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Case StudiesCase Studies
TRACKING THE U.S. ECONOMY
Case Study 6.1: GDP and The State of the USA
GDP estimates have been refi ned for decades and are arguably
the most complex data aggregation effort in the
world. But they have their limits, as discussed already, and they
have their critics. One criticism is that GDP leaves
out much of what’s going on in the nation—with health care, the
environment, the family, energy use, and so on.
One challenge to GDP as the primary indicator of national
progress is coming from a nonprofi t group that has
developed a Web site to bring together hundreds of indicators.
The idea is to help Americans assess the progress of
the United States by using quality data selected by experts.
First, a little background. In 2003, a team at the U.S.
Government Accountability Offi ce, the investigative arm of
Congress, was looking for
alternatives to GDP to assess national progress. The team
became an independent nonprofi t agency in 2007 and took the
name “The State
of the USA.” With startup funding from the Gates, Hewlett,
MacArthur, and Rockefeller foundations, the group set out to
identify data that
would amount to a report card on how the country is doing in
specifi c areas—such as health care, education, the
environment, safety, energy,
transportation, the economy, the family, and so forth. The goal
is to help citizens and leaders assess what progress has been
made and where
we need to improve.
The effort got a big boost from a small provision in the massive
2010 health care bill that requires Congress to help fi nance and
oversee
a “key national indicator system.” State of the USA will become
that system, overseen by the National Academy of Sciences, a
group of pre-
eminent scholars established by Abraham Lincoln in 1863 to
“investigate, examine, experiment, and report upon any subject
of science or art”
whenever called upon to do so by any department of the
government (half the 20 economists in the National Academy
are Nobel laureates).
Along with the federal authorization came federal funding
totaling $70 million between 2010 and 2018.
The objective is not so much to replace GDP as the primary
measure of economic performance, but to broaden the
conversation and the
debate by including many more data series. Instead of just
having one gauge on the dashboard, GDP, there would be many
gauges. The State
of the USA Web site went live in 2010, and is accessible for
free. Eventually, The State of the USA plans to offer about 300
indicators. Rather
than develop original data, the site compiles and displays data
gathered by others. Despite the number of data series, the group
says the site
will be selective, not encyclopedic. For example, in health care
alone the government collects about 1,000 different measures.
The State of
the USA offers what they claim are the 20 most crucial health
care measures. The group says its objective is not to interpret
the data but to
disseminate it in a strictly nonpartisan manner.
The idea is to offer data in a form that can be easily shared to
promote as wide a distribution as possible. Data will be
available on the
national level, state level, and as far down the jurisdictional
chain as possible. For example, one of the 20 health care
measures reports smok-
ing rates by state (West Virginia is the highest and Utah is the
lowest). The State of the USA will also offer a variety of
interactive features to
encourage exploration, such as motion charts with audio
tutorials focusing on health costs and outcomes for the
developed world. Check out
the site and see what you think.
SOURCES: Jon Gertner, “The Rise and Fall of the G.D.P.” New
York Times, 10 May 2010; and The State of the USA site at
http://www.stateoftheusa.org/.
QUESTION
1. Is The State of the USA designed to replace GDP as the
primary measure of economic performance?
6
26692_CS_01-42.indd 1226692_CS_01-42.indd 12 11/11/11
6:07 PM11/11/11 6:07 PM
Case Study 6.2: Price Check on Aisle 2
The U.S. economy is one of the most dynamic in the world,
marked by rapid technological change. The Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS), the
government agency that calculates the CPI each month, employs
dozens of economists to analyze the impact of any quality
changes to prod-
ucts in the CPI market basket. Each month 400 data collectors
visit stores to record about 85,000 prices for 211 item
categories in the CPI
basket. About a week before the CPI is released, the BLS offi ce
is locked down with bright red “restricted area” signs on all the
doors. A total of
90 people, including product specialists and the other
economists working on the CPI, compute the basic indexes in
each category. Results are
released at 8:30 A.M., Eastern Time, about two weeks after the
end of the month in question. This release is a big deal.
Most price adjustments are straightforward. For example, if a
candy bar shrinks 10 percent but still sells for the same price,
the CPI shows
this as a 10 percent price increase. But sometimes a product
changed in a more complicated way. Economists at BLS
specialize in particular
products, such as televisions, automobiles, kitchen appliances,
and so on. One of their greatest challenges is to identify
substitutes for products
that are no longer available on the market. For example, data
collectors fi nd the model of TV they priced the previous month
is missing about
one-fi fth of the time. When a particular product is missing, a
four-page checklist of features such as screen size and the type
of remote control
guides the data collector to the nearest comparable model. That
price is reported and the product specialist in Washington must
then decide
whether it’s an acceptable substitute.
For example, the TV specialist decided that the newer version
of the 27-inch model had some important improvements,
including a fl at
screen. A complex computer model estimated that the
improvements alone would be valued by consumers as worth
$135 more. After factoring
improvements into the price of the $330 set, the analyst
determined that the price of the TV had actually declined 29
percent [= 135/(330 +
135)]. In another example, the price of a 57-inch TV dropped
from $2,239 to $1,910, for an apparent decline of 15 percent.
But on closer
inspection, the analyst found that the new model lacked an
HDTV tuner that had been included in the model it replaced.
This tuner would be
valued by consumers at $514. So, instead of declining 15
percent, the price of the 57-inch TV actually rose 11 percent [=
1,910/(2,239 – 514)].
The TV analyst is applying the hedonic method, which breaks
down the item under consideration into its characteristics, and
then estimates
the dollar value of each characteristic. This is a way of
capturing the impact of a change in product quality on any price
change. Otherwise,
price changes would not refl ect the fact that consumers are
getting more or less for their money as product features change
over time.
SOURCES: Jon Hilsenrath, “A Deeper Look at the Fed’s Infl
ation Debate,” Wall Street Journal, 5 April 2010; Javier
Hernandez, “Prices of Consumer Goods Hold Steady, Indicating
That Infl ation Is at Bay,” New York Times, 18 March 2010;
and Mary Kokoski, Keith Waehrer, and Patricia Rosaklis,
“Using Hedonic Methods for Quality Adjustment in the CPI,”
U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics Working Paper (2000) found at
http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpiaudio.htm.
QUESTION
1. What is the hedonic method and why is it sometimes used to
track changes in the consumer price index?
26692_CS_01-42.indd 1326692_CS_01-42.indd 13 11/11/11
6:07 PM11/11/11 6:07 PM
Assignment 4: "Bad News" Message DUE February 13, 2014 by
midnight EST.
Write a release using the direct approach to deliver bad news to
a community of stakeholders who care, and care quite a bit,
about the bad news. You may design the situation yourself;
examples include—
informing shareholders of a drop in profits;
informing employees of mandatory furlough days;
informing members that a community organization is
slated for shut down;
informing employees of imminent layoffs.
You need to accomplish two items in the main with this
assignment: (1) deliver truly bad news in a professional and
ethical manner, and (2) make sure it is truly bad news.
Delivering lukewarm bad news will not push your skills as
much as a writer. An example of lukewarm bad news is
informing employees that due to budget cuts there will be no
travel this year. An example of genuinely bad news is that due
to budget cuts no contracts of temporary employees will be
renewed.
Tight match of your approach to situation and audience
20
Provide reasons and additional information; be comprehensive
(without legally compromising organization)
20
Use emphatic, concise, fluent sentences
10
Paragraphs are tightly focused, well developed, and logically
sequenced
10
Contains no proofreading errors
10
Open with polite but clear statement of the bad news
10
Show polite "you" attitude; maintain confident tone
10
Tight match of form (e.g., memo, letter, news release) to
audience and purpose
10
TOTAL
100
Project Description:
Using the direct approach, deliver bad news to a community of
stakeholders who care, and care quite a bit, about the bad news.
You may design the situation yourself; examples include—
informing shareholders of a drop in profits;
informing employees of mandatory furlough days;
informing members that a community organization is slated for
shut down;
informing employees of imminent layoffs.
You may also choose the format yourself (e.g., memo, letter,
news release).
You need to accomplish two items in the main with this
assignment: (1) deliver bad news in a professional and ethical
manner, and (2) make sure your announcement anticipates and
addresses the wealth of questions that the distressed audience
needs answered.
Delivering lukewarm bad news will not push your skills that
much as a writer. An example of lukewarm bad news is
informing employees that due to budget cuts there will be no
travel this year. An example of genuinely bad news is that due
to budget cuts no contracts of temporary employees will be
renewed.
Length Requirement: (~500 words)

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Case StudiesCase StudiesTRACKING THE U.S. ECONOMYCase St.docx

  • 1. Case StudiesCase Studies TRACKING THE U.S. ECONOMY Case Study 6.1: GDP and The State of the USA GDP estimates have been refi ned for decades and are arguably the most complex data aggregation effort in the world. But they have their limits, as discussed already, and they have their critics. One criticism is that GDP leaves out much of what’s going on in the nation—with health care, the environment, the family, energy use, and so on. One challenge to GDP as the primary indicator of national progress is coming from a nonprofi t group that has developed a Web site to bring together hundreds of indicators. The idea is to help Americans assess the progress of the United States by using quality data selected by experts. First, a little background. In 2003, a team at the U.S. Government Accountability Offi ce, the investigative arm of Congress, was looking for alternatives to GDP to assess national progress. The team became an independent nonprofi t agency in 2007 and took the name “The State of the USA.” With startup funding from the Gates, Hewlett, MacArthur, and Rockefeller foundations, the group set out to
  • 2. identify data that would amount to a report card on how the country is doing in specifi c areas—such as health care, education, the environment, safety, energy, transportation, the economy, the family, and so forth. The goal is to help citizens and leaders assess what progress has been made and where we need to improve. The effort got a big boost from a small provision in the massive 2010 health care bill that requires Congress to help fi nance and oversee a “key national indicator system.” State of the USA will become that system, overseen by the National Academy of Sciences, a group of pre- eminent scholars established by Abraham Lincoln in 1863 to “investigate, examine, experiment, and report upon any subject of science or art” whenever called upon to do so by any department of the government (half the 20 economists in the National Academy are Nobel laureates). Along with the federal authorization came federal funding totaling $70 million between 2010 and 2018. The objective is not so much to replace GDP as the primary measure of economic performance, but to broaden the conversation and the debate by including many more data series. Instead of just
  • 3. having one gauge on the dashboard, GDP, there would be many gauges. The State of the USA Web site went live in 2010, and is accessible for free. Eventually, The State of the USA plans to offer about 300 indicators. Rather than develop original data, the site compiles and displays data gathered by others. Despite the number of data series, the group says the site will be selective, not encyclopedic. For example, in health care alone the government collects about 1,000 different measures. The State of the USA offers what they claim are the 20 most crucial health care measures. The group says its objective is not to interpret the data but to disseminate it in a strictly nonpartisan manner. The idea is to offer data in a form that can be easily shared to promote as wide a distribution as possible. Data will be available on the national level, state level, and as far down the jurisdictional chain as possible. For example, one of the 20 health care measures reports smok- ing rates by state (West Virginia is the highest and Utah is the lowest). The State of the USA will also offer a variety of interactive features to encourage exploration, such as motion charts with audio tutorials focusing on health costs and outcomes for the developed world. Check out
  • 4. the site and see what you think. SOURCES: Jon Gertner, “The Rise and Fall of the G.D.P.” New York Times, 10 May 2010; and The State of the USA site at http://www.stateoftheusa.org/. QUESTION 1. Is The State of the USA designed to replace GDP as the primary measure of economic performance? 6 26692_CS_01-42.indd 1226692_CS_01-42.indd 12 11/11/11 6:07 PM11/11/11 6:07 PM Case Study 6.2: Price Check on Aisle 2 The U.S. economy is one of the most dynamic in the world, marked by rapid technological change. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the government agency that calculates the CPI each month, employs dozens of economists to analyze the impact of any quality changes to prod- ucts in the CPI market basket. Each month 400 data collectors visit stores to record about 85,000 prices for 211 item categories in the CPI basket. About a week before the CPI is released, the BLS offi ce is locked down with bright red “restricted area” signs on all the doors. A total of
  • 5. 90 people, including product specialists and the other economists working on the CPI, compute the basic indexes in each category. Results are released at 8:30 A.M., Eastern Time, about two weeks after the end of the month in question. This release is a big deal. Most price adjustments are straightforward. For example, if a candy bar shrinks 10 percent but still sells for the same price, the CPI shows this as a 10 percent price increase. But sometimes a product changed in a more complicated way. Economists at BLS specialize in particular products, such as televisions, automobiles, kitchen appliances, and so on. One of their greatest challenges is to identify substitutes for products that are no longer available on the market. For example, data collectors fi nd the model of TV they priced the previous month is missing about one-fi fth of the time. When a particular product is missing, a four-page checklist of features such as screen size and the type of remote control guides the data collector to the nearest comparable model. That price is reported and the product specialist in Washington must then decide whether it’s an acceptable substitute. For example, the TV specialist decided that the newer version of the 27-inch model had some important improvements, including a fl at
  • 6. screen. A complex computer model estimated that the improvements alone would be valued by consumers as worth $135 more. After factoring improvements into the price of the $330 set, the analyst determined that the price of the TV had actually declined 29 percent [= 135/(330 + 135)]. In another example, the price of a 57-inch TV dropped from $2,239 to $1,910, for an apparent decline of 15 percent. But on closer inspection, the analyst found that the new model lacked an HDTV tuner that had been included in the model it replaced. This tuner would be valued by consumers at $514. So, instead of declining 15 percent, the price of the 57-inch TV actually rose 11 percent [= 1,910/(2,239 – 514)]. The TV analyst is applying the hedonic method, which breaks down the item under consideration into its characteristics, and then estimates the dollar value of each characteristic. This is a way of capturing the impact of a change in product quality on any price change. Otherwise, price changes would not refl ect the fact that consumers are getting more or less for their money as product features change over time. SOURCES: Jon Hilsenrath, “A Deeper Look at the Fed’s Infl ation Debate,” Wall Street Journal, 5 April 2010; Javier Hernandez, “Prices of Consumer Goods Hold Steady, Indicating That Infl ation Is at Bay,” New York Times, 18 March 2010; and Mary Kokoski, Keith Waehrer, and Patricia Rosaklis,
  • 7. “Using Hedonic Methods for Quality Adjustment in the CPI,” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Working Paper (2000) found at http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpiaudio.htm. QUESTION 1. What is the hedonic method and why is it sometimes used to track changes in the consumer price index? 26692_CS_01-42.indd 1326692_CS_01-42.indd 13 11/11/11 6:07 PM11/11/11 6:07 PM Assignment 4: "Bad News" Message DUE February 13, 2014 by midnight EST. Write a release using the direct approach to deliver bad news to a community of stakeholders who care, and care quite a bit, about the bad news. You may design the situation yourself; examples include— informing shareholders of a drop in profits; informing employees of mandatory furlough days; informing members that a community organization is slated for shut down; informing employees of imminent layoffs. You need to accomplish two items in the main with this assignment: (1) deliver truly bad news in a professional and ethical manner, and (2) make sure it is truly bad news. Delivering lukewarm bad news will not push your skills as much as a writer. An example of lukewarm bad news is informing employees that due to budget cuts there will be no travel this year. An example of genuinely bad news is that due to budget cuts no contracts of temporary employees will be renewed.
  • 8. Tight match of your approach to situation and audience 20 Provide reasons and additional information; be comprehensive (without legally compromising organization) 20 Use emphatic, concise, fluent sentences 10 Paragraphs are tightly focused, well developed, and logically sequenced 10 Contains no proofreading errors 10 Open with polite but clear statement of the bad news 10 Show polite "you" attitude; maintain confident tone 10 Tight match of form (e.g., memo, letter, news release) to audience and purpose 10 TOTAL 100
  • 9. Project Description: Using the direct approach, deliver bad news to a community of stakeholders who care, and care quite a bit, about the bad news. You may design the situation yourself; examples include— informing shareholders of a drop in profits; informing employees of mandatory furlough days; informing members that a community organization is slated for shut down; informing employees of imminent layoffs. You may also choose the format yourself (e.g., memo, letter, news release). You need to accomplish two items in the main with this assignment: (1) deliver bad news in a professional and ethical manner, and (2) make sure your announcement anticipates and addresses the wealth of questions that the distressed audience needs answered. Delivering lukewarm bad news will not push your skills that much as a writer. An example of lukewarm bad news is informing employees that due to budget cuts there will be no travel this year. An example of genuinely bad news is that due to budget cuts no contracts of temporary employees will be renewed. Length Requirement: (~500 words)