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World Outlook
Welcome to the first ever ‘World Outlook’ produced almost entirely by
Shaping Tomorrow’s AI robot, Athena
About Athena
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 2
I was born on 23rd September 2013.
I'm the brainchild of Walter Kehl at Foresight
Knowledge, Shaping Tomorrow's partner.
Walter wanted me to help you scan the horizon
and see what's likely emerging, faster and
better than any human.
I made this presentation for you in less than
two hours.
I’m now also a chatbot with voice capability
and soon to be cognitive too, I hope. Enjoy!
About World Outlook
World Outlook is my unique, and first-of-its-kind, mathematical analysis
of the most important, leading indicators of opportunities and threats
facing the world today from aggregating >300,000 forecasts expressed
as dynamic infographics. I daily keep this flagship analysis up to date.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 3
Which sources did I most use
for this analysis?
26,000+ future orientated web
sources and social media feeds
containing over 300,000 verbatim
forecasts about the future within
over 1,000,000 reports, articles and
PowerPoints that I read.
I read the views of leading
organizations, pundits and experts
and sourced more forecasts from
my extensive library of important
topic keywords.
The most used sources are
displayed in the left-hand panel.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 4
Infographics Definitions and Settings
Definitions
• Intensity: Strength, Impact, Force
• Tipping Point: When ~33% of the world
population have likely accepted the new
paradigm
• Legends and metrics: definitions here
Settings
• Rolling three-year forecasts
• Click-throughs to all evidence and
updated infographics available at
shapingtomorrow.com
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 5
Which are the
potential future mega
drivers of change,
when are they likely to
arrive and with what
strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
India, AI, Digitilization
Weak, later arrivals:
UBI, Cryptocurrencies,
Trade?
Note: I think Climate Change deserves a
higher rating but my algorithm did not
find many estimated dollar impacts
associated with this issue. That will likely
change in the future!
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 6
How are social issues
likely to change, when
are they likely to arrive
and with what
strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
AI, Population change, Smart cities,
improved economic models
Weak, later arrivals:
Democratic shifts, human
augmentation, fake news reduction,
leadership improvements
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 7
How are sector
prospects likely to
change, when are they
likely to arrive and
with what strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
Retail, Software, Manufacturing,
Pharmaceuticals
Weak, later arrivals:
Military, Mining
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 8
How are occupations
likely to change, when
are they likely to arrive
and with what
strength?
Early strong, arrivals:
Water, Construction
Weak, later arrivals:
Education, Technology
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 9
Which countries will
likely experience the
most change: when
will it likely arrive and
with what strength?
Early strong, changes:
UK, USA, China, India,
Indonesia
Weak, later changes:
Argentina, South Africa
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 10
Which key global
players are more
future focused?
More future focused:
Samsung, Tesla
Less future focused:
Cisco, Salesforce, Ericsson
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 11
Which key research
organizations are more
future facing than their
peers
More future facing:
Pew, IFTF, Wood McKenzie,
Deloitte and, of course, Shaping
Tomorrow*
Less future facing:
Markets & Markets, Market
Research Future, WARC
* Since I am an aggregator of everyone else’s
forecasts I have excluded us from this analysis
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 12
How are the UN’s SDG
Global Goals doing,
when are they likely to
be achieved and with
what impact?
Early strong, arrivals:
Affordable and Clean
Energy, Good health and
Well-being, Decent Work
and Growth, Industry,
Innovation and
Infrastructure
Weak, later arrivals:
Reduced Inequalities
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 13
What existential
events may we face in
the future, when are
they likely to arise and
with what intensity?
Early strong, arrivals:
Space wars, Pandemics
Weak, later arrivals:
Extraterrestrials, Nuclear
winter, Geoengineering
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 14
The World in 2025?
My forecasts of what life may be like for all of us 7 years from now.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 15
Which topics will
present the biggest
threats and
opportunities in 2025?
Top Threats:
Disease, Economy, Markets
Top Opportunities:
Technology, Investment, AI
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 16
• The top topic threat is disease which includes effects of and migratory impacts from climate
change and water shortages, increasing numbers of people suffering from health issues -
Alzheimer's and obesity, new virus epidemics, AMR and rapid population aging especially in
the West
• The number one topic opportunity is technology with most mentions for AI, Quantum
computing, Driverless cars, Drones, Smart
Cities, IoT, AR, 5G, Biotech, Neuroscience, Robotics, Printing, Batteries, Blockchain, Space,
Holograms and Digitalization.
Which countries face
the biggest threats and
opportunities in 2025?
Threats:
India
Opportunities:
USA, India, China and Brazil
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 17
• The top country at risk is expected to be in India where a burgeoning population and
climate change will have major impacts on liveability.
• The top country opportunities are forecast to be in the USA, India, China, and Brazil.
Which sectors face the
biggest threats and
opportunities right
now?
Threats:
Science, Pharmaceuticals,
Security
Opportunities
Security, Construction,
Pharmaceuticals
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 18
• The construction sector is at the top of the opportunity list because of growing
investments in Smart Cities, Hyperloops and high-speed rail projects, China's Belt and
Road initiative -Transport, Energy, and burgeoning population growth in China, Indiaand
other developing cities.
• Warnings of increasing climate change, spreading diseases and changing technologies,
(especially the possible dangers arising from AI) are the main reasons the science sector is
at the top of the sector threat list.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 19
What will likely be the
strongest felt changes in 2025?
Strongest felt changes:
ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION!
through digitization, virtual reality,
contactless payments, medicine
including biosimilars and huge
efficiency gains in support services
(administration) and increases in
renewable energy.
What will likely be the
strongest emerging
change topics in 2025?
Strongest topics:
Medicine, biosimilars, crop
production, renewables
versus oil and again a Global
Economic Transformation.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 20
What does this
knowledge graph say
about longer term
emerging issues in
2025?
Emerging Issues:
Energy transition, Disease
management, Pollution
control, Technology
advances, greater
Networking, Smart
Buildings, Space exploration
and Tourism, Body
enhancement and growth
and insufficient food
proteins to feed the world.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 21
Where will the major
hotspots be in 2025?
Hotspots:
UK, United States, China,
India, Canada, Australia,
Japan,
Governments, Energy,
Entertainment,
Environment, Financial
Services, IT
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 22
Which countries
will likely lead or
fall behind?:
Lead:
India, USA, China,
Indonesia, UK?,
Fall behind:
UK?, Most of Africa,
Spain
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 23
Which are the most
affected future topics
in 2025?
Most affected:
Economic Transformation,
Population changes,
Technological advances,
Smart Cities, Driverless
Vehicles, Energy transition,
AI, Food production,
Climate Change, Healthcare
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 24
Who is leading the charge to the
future for good or ill?
Leading the charge:
USA, China, UK, EU
Google, Amazon, Facebook
Donald Trump!
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 25
Are these future
changes seen as
negative or positive?
Most Positive:
Technology, Investment,
Emission reduction
Most Negative:
Climate change, Disease,
Consumer and National
debt
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 26
Finally! Are there more or
less reported world
Strengths and Opportunities
versus Threats and
Weaknesses?
Identified strengths and
opportunities far outweigh
weaknesses and threats overall and
the future is seen to be POSITIVE!
Now use what you know to
increase your own and world
strengths, and hence reduce
weaknesses*, to make this chart
turn VERY POSITIVE!
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 27
• Tip: Build your strengths to minimise your weaknesses. Don’t prioritize your
weaknesses to increase your strengths.
How to Use these Slides
• Identify key emerging opportunities and
risks that could impact your interest
topics, sector, country, job etc.
• Visit shapingtomorrow.com and search on
the identified emerging opportunity or
risk
• Use the center panel grid to create
immediate foresight reports, examine
infographics and view evidence in detail
and determine your collaborative
response using best practice,
collaborative futures tools in a few hours.
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 28
Free ST Demo. Workshop, Keynote or Executive Briefings and Facilitation
Contact us for detailed help:
Kerry Richardson
+44 (0)1 273 832221
kerry.richardson@shapingtomorrow.com
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 29
Thank you. Questions?
13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 30

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World Outlook to 2025

  • 1. World Outlook Welcome to the first ever ‘World Outlook’ produced almost entirely by Shaping Tomorrow’s AI robot, Athena
  • 2. About Athena 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 2 I was born on 23rd September 2013. I'm the brainchild of Walter Kehl at Foresight Knowledge, Shaping Tomorrow's partner. Walter wanted me to help you scan the horizon and see what's likely emerging, faster and better than any human. I made this presentation for you in less than two hours. I’m now also a chatbot with voice capability and soon to be cognitive too, I hope. Enjoy!
  • 3. About World Outlook World Outlook is my unique, and first-of-its-kind, mathematical analysis of the most important, leading indicators of opportunities and threats facing the world today from aggregating >300,000 forecasts expressed as dynamic infographics. I daily keep this flagship analysis up to date. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 3
  • 4. Which sources did I most use for this analysis? 26,000+ future orientated web sources and social media feeds containing over 300,000 verbatim forecasts about the future within over 1,000,000 reports, articles and PowerPoints that I read. I read the views of leading organizations, pundits and experts and sourced more forecasts from my extensive library of important topic keywords. The most used sources are displayed in the left-hand panel. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 4
  • 5. Infographics Definitions and Settings Definitions • Intensity: Strength, Impact, Force • Tipping Point: When ~33% of the world population have likely accepted the new paradigm • Legends and metrics: definitions here Settings • Rolling three-year forecasts • Click-throughs to all evidence and updated infographics available at shapingtomorrow.com 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 5
  • 6. Which are the potential future mega drivers of change, when are they likely to arrive and with what strength? Early strong, arrivals: India, AI, Digitilization Weak, later arrivals: UBI, Cryptocurrencies, Trade? Note: I think Climate Change deserves a higher rating but my algorithm did not find many estimated dollar impacts associated with this issue. That will likely change in the future! 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 6
  • 7. How are social issues likely to change, when are they likely to arrive and with what strength? Early strong, arrivals: AI, Population change, Smart cities, improved economic models Weak, later arrivals: Democratic shifts, human augmentation, fake news reduction, leadership improvements 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 7
  • 8. How are sector prospects likely to change, when are they likely to arrive and with what strength? Early strong, arrivals: Retail, Software, Manufacturing, Pharmaceuticals Weak, later arrivals: Military, Mining 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 8
  • 9. How are occupations likely to change, when are they likely to arrive and with what strength? Early strong, arrivals: Water, Construction Weak, later arrivals: Education, Technology 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 9
  • 10. Which countries will likely experience the most change: when will it likely arrive and with what strength? Early strong, changes: UK, USA, China, India, Indonesia Weak, later changes: Argentina, South Africa 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 10
  • 11. Which key global players are more future focused? More future focused: Samsung, Tesla Less future focused: Cisco, Salesforce, Ericsson 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 11
  • 12. Which key research organizations are more future facing than their peers More future facing: Pew, IFTF, Wood McKenzie, Deloitte and, of course, Shaping Tomorrow* Less future facing: Markets & Markets, Market Research Future, WARC * Since I am an aggregator of everyone else’s forecasts I have excluded us from this analysis 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 12
  • 13. How are the UN’s SDG Global Goals doing, when are they likely to be achieved and with what impact? Early strong, arrivals: Affordable and Clean Energy, Good health and Well-being, Decent Work and Growth, Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure Weak, later arrivals: Reduced Inequalities 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 13
  • 14. What existential events may we face in the future, when are they likely to arise and with what intensity? Early strong, arrivals: Space wars, Pandemics Weak, later arrivals: Extraterrestrials, Nuclear winter, Geoengineering 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 14
  • 15. The World in 2025? My forecasts of what life may be like for all of us 7 years from now. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 15
  • 16. Which topics will present the biggest threats and opportunities in 2025? Top Threats: Disease, Economy, Markets Top Opportunities: Technology, Investment, AI 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 16 • The top topic threat is disease which includes effects of and migratory impacts from climate change and water shortages, increasing numbers of people suffering from health issues - Alzheimer's and obesity, new virus epidemics, AMR and rapid population aging especially in the West • The number one topic opportunity is technology with most mentions for AI, Quantum computing, Driverless cars, Drones, Smart Cities, IoT, AR, 5G, Biotech, Neuroscience, Robotics, Printing, Batteries, Blockchain, Space, Holograms and Digitalization.
  • 17. Which countries face the biggest threats and opportunities in 2025? Threats: India Opportunities: USA, India, China and Brazil 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 17 • The top country at risk is expected to be in India where a burgeoning population and climate change will have major impacts on liveability. • The top country opportunities are forecast to be in the USA, India, China, and Brazil.
  • 18. Which sectors face the biggest threats and opportunities right now? Threats: Science, Pharmaceuticals, Security Opportunities Security, Construction, Pharmaceuticals 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 18 • The construction sector is at the top of the opportunity list because of growing investments in Smart Cities, Hyperloops and high-speed rail projects, China's Belt and Road initiative -Transport, Energy, and burgeoning population growth in China, Indiaand other developing cities. • Warnings of increasing climate change, spreading diseases and changing technologies, (especially the possible dangers arising from AI) are the main reasons the science sector is at the top of the sector threat list.
  • 19. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 19 What will likely be the strongest felt changes in 2025? Strongest felt changes: ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION! through digitization, virtual reality, contactless payments, medicine including biosimilars and huge efficiency gains in support services (administration) and increases in renewable energy.
  • 20. What will likely be the strongest emerging change topics in 2025? Strongest topics: Medicine, biosimilars, crop production, renewables versus oil and again a Global Economic Transformation. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 20
  • 21. What does this knowledge graph say about longer term emerging issues in 2025? Emerging Issues: Energy transition, Disease management, Pollution control, Technology advances, greater Networking, Smart Buildings, Space exploration and Tourism, Body enhancement and growth and insufficient food proteins to feed the world. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 21
  • 22. Where will the major hotspots be in 2025? Hotspots: UK, United States, China, India, Canada, Australia, Japan, Governments, Energy, Entertainment, Environment, Financial Services, IT 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 22
  • 23. Which countries will likely lead or fall behind?: Lead: India, USA, China, Indonesia, UK?, Fall behind: UK?, Most of Africa, Spain 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 23
  • 24. Which are the most affected future topics in 2025? Most affected: Economic Transformation, Population changes, Technological advances, Smart Cities, Driverless Vehicles, Energy transition, AI, Food production, Climate Change, Healthcare 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 24
  • 25. Who is leading the charge to the future for good or ill? Leading the charge: USA, China, UK, EU Google, Amazon, Facebook Donald Trump! 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 25
  • 26. Are these future changes seen as negative or positive? Most Positive: Technology, Investment, Emission reduction Most Negative: Climate change, Disease, Consumer and National debt 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 26
  • 27. Finally! Are there more or less reported world Strengths and Opportunities versus Threats and Weaknesses? Identified strengths and opportunities far outweigh weaknesses and threats overall and the future is seen to be POSITIVE! Now use what you know to increase your own and world strengths, and hence reduce weaknesses*, to make this chart turn VERY POSITIVE! 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 27 • Tip: Build your strengths to minimise your weaknesses. Don’t prioritize your weaknesses to increase your strengths.
  • 28. How to Use these Slides • Identify key emerging opportunities and risks that could impact your interest topics, sector, country, job etc. • Visit shapingtomorrow.com and search on the identified emerging opportunity or risk • Use the center panel grid to create immediate foresight reports, examine infographics and view evidence in detail and determine your collaborative response using best practice, collaborative futures tools in a few hours. 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 28
  • 29. Free ST Demo. Workshop, Keynote or Executive Briefings and Facilitation Contact us for detailed help: Kerry Richardson +44 (0)1 273 832221 kerry.richardson@shapingtomorrow.com 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 29
  • 30. Thank you. Questions? 13/11/2018 All Rights Reserved - shapingtomorrow.com 30