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“Testing” the Market
Sticking your toe in the water is never a good strategy to sell your house
REAL ESTATE’S FOREVER BRAND
SM
NORTH POINTE
MEETING
19 August 2020
Real Estate License Renewal
August 29, 2020
20 August 2020 3
Lancaster County Market Statistics
$247,151
$261,678
$50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000-0-
Average Sales Price
July 2019 vs. July 2020
Homesale Realty
717-295-4663
Homesale.com
DISCLAIMER: Based on information from the Bright MLS for all residential property located in Lancaster County, PA,
for the period July 1-31, 2020. Data may not reflect all activity within the geographic marketplace.
Statistics Courtesy of:
+5.9%
-57.8%
Lancaster County Market Statistics
July 2019 vs. July 2020
Listing Inventory (End of Month) Median Days to Sell
10 7
Average Interest Rate
1 2 3 ÷
4 5 6 x
7 8 9 -
0 . = +
3.77%
1 2 3 ÷
4 5 6 x
7 8 9 -
0 . = +
3.02%
Freddie Mac monthly average commitment rate on 30-year fixed rate mortgages
Units Sold
621
FOR SALE
744
FOR SALE
Statistics Courtesy of:
612
SOLD
679
SOLD
-19.9%
DISCLAIMER: Based on information from the Bright MLS for all residential property located in Lancaster County, PA,
for the period July 1-31, 2020. Data may not reflect all activity within the geographic marketplace.
+19.8%
+10.9%
-30.0%
Lancaster County Market Statistics
Absorption Rates – July 2020
3
6
9
12
0
MonthsInventory
1.5
1.9
4.6
Buyer’s
Market
prices generally
decreasing
Seller’s
Market
prices generally
increasing
$0 to
$79.9K
$80K to
$119.9K
$120K to
$159.9K
$160K to
$199.9K
$200K to
$249.9K
$250K to
$299.9K
$300K to
$399.9K
$400K to
$499.9K
$500K +
Statistics Courtesy of: DISCLAIMER: Based on information from the Bright MLS for all residential property located in Lancaster County, PA,
for the period July 1-31, 2020. Data may not reflect all activity within the geographic marketplace.
.7 .9
.5 .5 .6 .8
Open House Results
20 August 2020 7
THE DREADED ZESTIMATE
Just how accurate is this Automated Valuation Model (AVM)
20 August 2020 8
How Accurate is a Zestimate
20 August 2020 9
Scroll to the bottom of the page
How Accurate is a Zestimate
20 August 2020 10
The Zestimate® home valuation model is Zillow’s estimate of a home's
market value. The Zestimate incorporates public and user-submitted data,
taking into account home facts, location and market conditions.
It is not an appraisal and it should be used as a starting point. We
encourage buyers, sellers and homeowners to supplement the Zestimate
with other research such as visiting the home, getting a professional
appraisal of the home, or requesting a comparative market analysis (CMA)
from a real estate agent.
Definition from Zillow.com – NOT from a real estate agent
How Accurate is a Zestimate
20 August 2020 11
Downloadable Spreadsheet available for every county in the USA
Lancaster County, PA
2/3 of the time the
Zestimate isn’t within
5% of the final sales
price!
How Accurate is a Zestimate
20 August 2020 12
Downloadable Spreadsheet available for every county in the USA
Lancaster County, PA
44% of the time the
Zestimate isn’t within
10% of the final sales
price!
HOMESALE’S SOCIAL MEDIA
ENDEAVORS
More exposure for you and your listings
20 August 2020 13
Homesale’s Social Media Endeavors
20 August 2020 14
Who are Homebuyers?
20 August 2020 15
 45% of buyers are 25 to 44 years old
Average Number of Social Media Apps Downloaded
20 August 2020 16
Gen Z Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers
The Social Path to Purchase
20 August 2020 17
Global
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
Homesale Social Media Site Handles
20 August 2020 18
Facebook
@HomesaleRE
Twitter
@HomesaleRE
Instagram
@HomesaleRealty
Snapchat
SEARCH:
Homesale Realty
LinkedIn
SEARCH:
Berkshire Hathaway
HomeServices
Homesale Realty
Pinterest
SEARCH:
Homesale Realty
YouTube
YouTube.com/
HomesaleRE
Homesale Blog
AskHomesale.com
Homesale’s Company Social Media Stats
20 August 2020 19
Facebook
Instagram
Twitter
12,794 followers
1,488 followers
1,258 followers
Homesale’s Social Reach
20 August 2020 20
July 2020
 1,179,711 post reach on Facebook
January – July 2020
 11,100+ Video views on Facebook
 360,360 Impressions on Pinterest
 247,800 Impressions on Twitter
 33,445 Views on Google Business Pages
 25,600 Impressions on YouTube
 5,731 Video views on YouTube
 153.6 Watched hours on YouTube
February – July 2020
 49,873 impressions on Instagram
Benefits to Agents
20 August 2020 21
Facebook
Your accomplishments, name and business can reach thousands of
people connected to the Homesale profile
Google Business
Connects online searchers with our company, leading them to our
website and to you
Instagram
Luxury listings, sold properties, awards, office happenings, and new
home communities are posted, getting your name to a broader
audience and showcasing your expertise
Benefits to Agents
20 August 2020 22
Pinterest
Your luxury listings get pinned to our account, reaching thousands of
users and directing them back to the listing detail page
YouTube
Every listing’s property tour video is uploaded to YouTube. Since
YouTube is owned by Google, your property shows up in searches and
leads home buyers directly to you
Giphy
Ability to brand your posts & connect with audience in a fun, personal
way
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 23
Team Homesale
What graphics are available?
General graphics, holiday graphics, Facebook cover
photos, market and tech stats, and items of value
Where do you find them?
 HomesaleCenter.com
 TeamHomesale icon
 Search “Social Media Graphics”
How do you share?
 Double click and save
 Log onto the app and upload
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 24
REsource Center
What graphics are available?
Holidays, special occasions, BHHS
branding, luxury, awards, and more
Where do you find them?
 https://www.bhhsresource.com/
 Click Marketing Resource
How do you share?
 Follow directions within each asset
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 25
AskHomesale.com
What’s available?
Consumer-facing blog surrounding real
estate related information
How do you share?
 Scroll to the bottom of each article and
click the appropriate share button
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 26
Homesale Blog
What’s available?
Hyper local information on
the areas we serve
Where can I find it?
 https://www.homesale.com/
homesale-blog/
How do you share?
 Click the appropriate
platform social icon
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 27
Facebook
What’s available?
Videos, graphics, articles about real estate,
company info, current campaigns,
announcements, awards, and much more
Where can I find it?
 https://www.facebook.com/HomesaleRE/
How do you share?
 Click share
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 28
Instagram
What’s available?
Videos, graphics, articles about real
estate, company info, current
campaigns, announcements, awards,
and much more
Where can I find it?
 https://www.instagram.com/homesale
realty/
How do you share?
 Repost app
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 29
Twitter
What’s available?
Videos, graphics, articles about real
estate, company info, current
campaigns, announcements, awards,
and much more
Where can I find it?
 https://twitter.com/HomesaleRE
How do you share?
 Retweet
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 30
LinkedIn
What’s available?
Items of value, market and tech stats,
campaign videos, blog articles,
magazines, etc.
Where can I find it?
 https://www.linkedin.com/company/
homesalere/
How do you share?
 Click share to post to your LinkedIn
page
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 31
YouTube
What’s available?
Virtual tours of all our listings, promotional
videos, testimonials, company history,
branding, etc.
Where can I find it?
 https://www.youtube.com/c/HomesaleRE
How do you share?
 Click the share button underneath the
thumbnail of the video
What does Homesale provide for posting?
20 August 2020 32
Giphy’s
How does Homesale promote agents?
20 August 2020 33
Peak Performers
 Every month, they are posted on the
office page
 Clients and sphere of influence love to
celebrate with you
 Make sure to share. When someone
comments, it reaches all of their
friends and provides agent with more
exposure/branding
How does Homesale promote agents?
20 August 2020 34
Agent Reviews
 Reviews are submitted via the
Homesale surveys
 Agents can share this post and reach
more people
 When others comment it reaches their
friends
How does Homesale promote agents?
20 August 2020 35
Luxury Listings
 Posted on Homesale VTours Luxury
Playlists (YouTube)
 Pinned on Homesale Pinterest Luxury
boards and interiors on others
 Featured on Homesale’s Instagram
‘TESTING’ THE MARKET
Sticking your toe in the water is not a good way to sell a house
20 August 2020 36
“We want to test the market”
20 August 2020 37
 What they really mean -
“We want to list at an
artificially high price to see
if someone is crazy enough
to pay that price.”
 Consumer products never
go ‘on-the-market’ until
they are thoroughly tested
1. Today’s buyers have zero tolerance for artificially
high prices
20 August 2020 38
 Use Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) to gauge approximate pricing
 Buyers pre-judge listing prices based on their research
2. All transactions with loans must go through an
appraiser
20 August 2020 39
 The ‘second’ negotiation period
 A low appraisal usually has a sobering
effect on a buyer
3. Overpriced listings miss the ‘magic window’
20 August 2020 40
 The highest priced offers
usually show up during the
first 14 days
 If a seller, after extended days
on the market, relents and
lowers the price, buyers will
often write offers even lower
4. Seasoned agents have a low tolerance for
overpriced listings
20 August 2020 41
 Listing agents are spending more money up front to enhance the
marketing (i.e. 3D tours, aerial photography, staging, etc.)
 Selling agents aren’t stupid
5. COVID-19 has changed everything
20 August 2020 42
 Home searches have become more
purposeful
 The paring down process has
accelerated because of low inventory
levels – people can’t waste time
Inspiration
20 August 2020 43
Speaker Contact Info
44
Tom Blefko
Associate Broker
REALTOR®
Director of Operations
North Pointe Office
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Homesale Realty
Office: (717) 560-9100
Cell: (717) 587-6600
Email: tblefko@homesale.com
20 August 2020

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Testing the Market is Never a Good Idea

  • 1. “Testing” the Market Sticking your toe in the water is never a good strategy to sell your house
  • 2. REAL ESTATE’S FOREVER BRAND SM NORTH POINTE MEETING 19 August 2020
  • 3. Real Estate License Renewal August 29, 2020 20 August 2020 3
  • 4. Lancaster County Market Statistics $247,151 $261,678 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000-0- Average Sales Price July 2019 vs. July 2020 Homesale Realty 717-295-4663 Homesale.com DISCLAIMER: Based on information from the Bright MLS for all residential property located in Lancaster County, PA, for the period July 1-31, 2020. Data may not reflect all activity within the geographic marketplace. Statistics Courtesy of: +5.9%
  • 5. -57.8% Lancaster County Market Statistics July 2019 vs. July 2020 Listing Inventory (End of Month) Median Days to Sell 10 7 Average Interest Rate 1 2 3 ÷ 4 5 6 x 7 8 9 - 0 . = + 3.77% 1 2 3 ÷ 4 5 6 x 7 8 9 - 0 . = + 3.02% Freddie Mac monthly average commitment rate on 30-year fixed rate mortgages Units Sold 621 FOR SALE 744 FOR SALE Statistics Courtesy of: 612 SOLD 679 SOLD -19.9% DISCLAIMER: Based on information from the Bright MLS for all residential property located in Lancaster County, PA, for the period July 1-31, 2020. Data may not reflect all activity within the geographic marketplace. +19.8% +10.9% -30.0%
  • 6. Lancaster County Market Statistics Absorption Rates – July 2020 3 6 9 12 0 MonthsInventory 1.5 1.9 4.6 Buyer’s Market prices generally decreasing Seller’s Market prices generally increasing $0 to $79.9K $80K to $119.9K $120K to $159.9K $160K to $199.9K $200K to $249.9K $250K to $299.9K $300K to $399.9K $400K to $499.9K $500K + Statistics Courtesy of: DISCLAIMER: Based on information from the Bright MLS for all residential property located in Lancaster County, PA, for the period July 1-31, 2020. Data may not reflect all activity within the geographic marketplace. .7 .9 .5 .5 .6 .8
  • 7. Open House Results 20 August 2020 7
  • 8. THE DREADED ZESTIMATE Just how accurate is this Automated Valuation Model (AVM) 20 August 2020 8
  • 9. How Accurate is a Zestimate 20 August 2020 9 Scroll to the bottom of the page
  • 10. How Accurate is a Zestimate 20 August 2020 10 The Zestimate® home valuation model is Zillow’s estimate of a home's market value. The Zestimate incorporates public and user-submitted data, taking into account home facts, location and market conditions. It is not an appraisal and it should be used as a starting point. We encourage buyers, sellers and homeowners to supplement the Zestimate with other research such as visiting the home, getting a professional appraisal of the home, or requesting a comparative market analysis (CMA) from a real estate agent. Definition from Zillow.com – NOT from a real estate agent
  • 11. How Accurate is a Zestimate 20 August 2020 11 Downloadable Spreadsheet available for every county in the USA Lancaster County, PA 2/3 of the time the Zestimate isn’t within 5% of the final sales price!
  • 12. How Accurate is a Zestimate 20 August 2020 12 Downloadable Spreadsheet available for every county in the USA Lancaster County, PA 44% of the time the Zestimate isn’t within 10% of the final sales price!
  • 13. HOMESALE’S SOCIAL MEDIA ENDEAVORS More exposure for you and your listings 20 August 2020 13
  • 14. Homesale’s Social Media Endeavors 20 August 2020 14
  • 15. Who are Homebuyers? 20 August 2020 15  45% of buyers are 25 to 44 years old
  • 16. Average Number of Social Media Apps Downloaded 20 August 2020 16 Gen Z Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers
  • 17. The Social Path to Purchase 20 August 2020 17 Global 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
  • 18. Homesale Social Media Site Handles 20 August 2020 18 Facebook @HomesaleRE Twitter @HomesaleRE Instagram @HomesaleRealty Snapchat SEARCH: Homesale Realty LinkedIn SEARCH: Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Homesale Realty Pinterest SEARCH: Homesale Realty YouTube YouTube.com/ HomesaleRE Homesale Blog AskHomesale.com
  • 19. Homesale’s Company Social Media Stats 20 August 2020 19 Facebook Instagram Twitter 12,794 followers 1,488 followers 1,258 followers
  • 20. Homesale’s Social Reach 20 August 2020 20 July 2020  1,179,711 post reach on Facebook January – July 2020  11,100+ Video views on Facebook  360,360 Impressions on Pinterest  247,800 Impressions on Twitter  33,445 Views on Google Business Pages  25,600 Impressions on YouTube  5,731 Video views on YouTube  153.6 Watched hours on YouTube February – July 2020  49,873 impressions on Instagram
  • 21. Benefits to Agents 20 August 2020 21 Facebook Your accomplishments, name and business can reach thousands of people connected to the Homesale profile Google Business Connects online searchers with our company, leading them to our website and to you Instagram Luxury listings, sold properties, awards, office happenings, and new home communities are posted, getting your name to a broader audience and showcasing your expertise
  • 22. Benefits to Agents 20 August 2020 22 Pinterest Your luxury listings get pinned to our account, reaching thousands of users and directing them back to the listing detail page YouTube Every listing’s property tour video is uploaded to YouTube. Since YouTube is owned by Google, your property shows up in searches and leads home buyers directly to you Giphy Ability to brand your posts & connect with audience in a fun, personal way
  • 23. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 23 Team Homesale What graphics are available? General graphics, holiday graphics, Facebook cover photos, market and tech stats, and items of value Where do you find them?  HomesaleCenter.com  TeamHomesale icon  Search “Social Media Graphics” How do you share?  Double click and save  Log onto the app and upload
  • 24. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 24 REsource Center What graphics are available? Holidays, special occasions, BHHS branding, luxury, awards, and more Where do you find them?  https://www.bhhsresource.com/  Click Marketing Resource How do you share?  Follow directions within each asset
  • 25. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 25 AskHomesale.com What’s available? Consumer-facing blog surrounding real estate related information How do you share?  Scroll to the bottom of each article and click the appropriate share button
  • 26. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 26 Homesale Blog What’s available? Hyper local information on the areas we serve Where can I find it?  https://www.homesale.com/ homesale-blog/ How do you share?  Click the appropriate platform social icon
  • 27. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 27 Facebook What’s available? Videos, graphics, articles about real estate, company info, current campaigns, announcements, awards, and much more Where can I find it?  https://www.facebook.com/HomesaleRE/ How do you share?  Click share
  • 28. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 28 Instagram What’s available? Videos, graphics, articles about real estate, company info, current campaigns, announcements, awards, and much more Where can I find it?  https://www.instagram.com/homesale realty/ How do you share?  Repost app
  • 29. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 29 Twitter What’s available? Videos, graphics, articles about real estate, company info, current campaigns, announcements, awards, and much more Where can I find it?  https://twitter.com/HomesaleRE How do you share?  Retweet
  • 30. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 30 LinkedIn What’s available? Items of value, market and tech stats, campaign videos, blog articles, magazines, etc. Where can I find it?  https://www.linkedin.com/company/ homesalere/ How do you share?  Click share to post to your LinkedIn page
  • 31. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 31 YouTube What’s available? Virtual tours of all our listings, promotional videos, testimonials, company history, branding, etc. Where can I find it?  https://www.youtube.com/c/HomesaleRE How do you share?  Click the share button underneath the thumbnail of the video
  • 32. What does Homesale provide for posting? 20 August 2020 32 Giphy’s
  • 33. How does Homesale promote agents? 20 August 2020 33 Peak Performers  Every month, they are posted on the office page  Clients and sphere of influence love to celebrate with you  Make sure to share. When someone comments, it reaches all of their friends and provides agent with more exposure/branding
  • 34. How does Homesale promote agents? 20 August 2020 34 Agent Reviews  Reviews are submitted via the Homesale surveys  Agents can share this post and reach more people  When others comment it reaches their friends
  • 35. How does Homesale promote agents? 20 August 2020 35 Luxury Listings  Posted on Homesale VTours Luxury Playlists (YouTube)  Pinned on Homesale Pinterest Luxury boards and interiors on others  Featured on Homesale’s Instagram
  • 36. ‘TESTING’ THE MARKET Sticking your toe in the water is not a good way to sell a house 20 August 2020 36
  • 37. “We want to test the market” 20 August 2020 37  What they really mean - “We want to list at an artificially high price to see if someone is crazy enough to pay that price.”  Consumer products never go ‘on-the-market’ until they are thoroughly tested
  • 38. 1. Today’s buyers have zero tolerance for artificially high prices 20 August 2020 38  Use Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) to gauge approximate pricing  Buyers pre-judge listing prices based on their research
  • 39. 2. All transactions with loans must go through an appraiser 20 August 2020 39  The ‘second’ negotiation period  A low appraisal usually has a sobering effect on a buyer
  • 40. 3. Overpriced listings miss the ‘magic window’ 20 August 2020 40  The highest priced offers usually show up during the first 14 days  If a seller, after extended days on the market, relents and lowers the price, buyers will often write offers even lower
  • 41. 4. Seasoned agents have a low tolerance for overpriced listings 20 August 2020 41  Listing agents are spending more money up front to enhance the marketing (i.e. 3D tours, aerial photography, staging, etc.)  Selling agents aren’t stupid
  • 42. 5. COVID-19 has changed everything 20 August 2020 42  Home searches have become more purposeful  The paring down process has accelerated because of low inventory levels – people can’t waste time
  • 44. Speaker Contact Info 44 Tom Blefko Associate Broker REALTOR® Director of Operations North Pointe Office Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Homesale Realty Office: (717) 560-9100 Cell: (717) 587-6600 Email: tblefko@homesale.com 20 August 2020

Editor's Notes

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