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MARKET OUTLOOK
DECEMBER 2019
Weekly Report
NIFTY BANKNIFTY
R2 12350 32800
R1 12300 32500
PIVOT 12086.70 32850
S1 12098 31924
S2 11903 31234
•The Nifty, which opened lower, remained volatile through the session and closed flat
on January 17 as traders closely watched third-quarter earnings and eagerly
await Union Budget on February 1.
•The index managed to close above 12,350 and formed a small bullish candle on
daily charts, as the closing was higher than the opening tick.
•For the week, it remained lacklustre and traded in a range of more than 100 points,
forming a bullish candle on the weekly scale.
•Experts say the sideways trade will continue in the coming week and traders will
closely watch the crucial 12,300-mark as it will be key to further direction, on either
side.
•The volatility index India VIX fell marginally by 0.37 percent to 14.12
NIFTY WEEKLY
SECTORIAL PERFORMANCE
SECTOR CLOSING WoW
Nifty Bank 31590.65 -1.58%
Nifty IT 16356.6 2.49%
Nifty
Pharma 8345.3 3.56%
Nifty
Finance 14561.8 -0.33%
Nifty FMCG 31371.45 3.30%
Nifty MNC 14146.85 2.57%
Nifty
Services 17596.1 0.22%
Nifty
Energy 16077.65 0.86%
BSE Dollex
300 4805.25 1.32%
BSE IT 15778.24 1.01%
FII / DII (DAILY)
Date FII DII
17-Jan-20 264.26 -500.17
16-Jan-20 -395.24 -184.65
15-Jan-20 279.53 -648.34
14-Jan-20 -205.56 -642.47
13-Jan-20 120.79 -1,128.89
10-Jan-20 578.28 -251.74
09-Jan-20 -431.11 419.22
08-Jan-20 -515.85 748.4
07-Jan-20 -682.23 311.19
RESEARCH DESK
H.O.D Research - SOHAN RAI
PAWAN PATIL
Technical Analyst
• Among the sectors, Nifty PSU Bank jumped over 2 percent led by State Bank of
India, PNB, Bank of Baroda and Canara Bank which added over 2 percent each
followed by Syndicate Bank, Indian Bank and Union Bank of India.
• Nifty Bank is also up 2 percent ICICI Bank, IDFC First Bank, IndusInd Bank,
RBL Bank and Axis Bank. The rise in banking shares was aided fall in yields and
recovery in rupee.
• Yes Bank share price declined 7 percent intraday on January 14 following
reports of resignation on the company's independent director.
BANK NIFTY WEEKLY
Date :18 jan 2020
• The FTSE 100 is a stock index representing the performance of the largest 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange
(LSE) by market capitalization. The FTSE 100 stock index offers traders high liquidity and a reliable picture of UK economic health.
Follow the FTSE 100 live with the chart and read our latest news and analysis. Plan your trades with the FTSE forecast, the economic
calendar and learn about relevant events to assist your fundamental analysis.
Weekly Report
FTSE
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tracks the performance of 30 of the biggest companies in the US and is
often used as a barometer for the overall performance of the country’s equity markets. The Dow chart is a useful
measure of US economic health. Follow the Dow Jones live with the real-time chart and view the latest Dow
forecasts, news and analysis. Key pivot points and support and resistance will help you trade the Dow Jones today
and into the future.
DOW
Date 18 January 2020
• Crude oil prices jumped higher today after the Energy Information Administration reported a crude oil inventory decline for
the last week of 2019.
• The draw totaled an impressive 11.5 million barrels. Analysts had expected a decline of 3.167 million barrels, after the
EIA reported a draw of 5.5 million barrels for the week to December 20. At 429.9 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories
are at the five-year seasonal average.
• In gasoline the EIA reported an inventory increase of 3.2 million barrels for the week to December 27, up from a 2-million-
barrel build for the previous week. Gasoline production averaged 10.2 million barrels daily during the period, compared
with 10.3 million bpd a week earlier.
• Gold prices moved higher on Friday following a softer than expected US payroll report. The dollar eased slightly as US
yields moved down. For the week gold prices increased by approximately 0.6%. This comes following a wild rise where
prices surged mid-week in the wake of the retaliation by Iran on an Iraqi military base.
• The RSI moved above the overbought trigger level of 70, pointing to accelerating positive momentum, but also a
potential correction. The fast stochastic is also accelerating higher but is short of the 80 overbought trigger level which
means there is still room for prices to climb.
Weekly Report
CRUDE OIL
GOLD
Date 11 january 2020
Date : 17 January 2020
Above scanners will showcase a list of stock within the NSE 500 universe which have qualified
post a through process of scanning via technical based queries on a combination of various
technical indicators. The query models have been designed with an intension to gauge the
existing trend or expected momentum or a likely reversal. The objective of the process is to equip
short term traders with a watch list for the week. One can use this information to immediately view
the stock chart and see if there is any opportunity to trade. Since the stocks have been evaluated
based on EOD analysis it is advisable to consult with your advisor or a qualified analyst for a
trading positional opportunity. Regardless for your approach, this additional information could help
you eliminate and help you better trading decisions.
NEWS
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION
Weekly Report
STOCK NEWS POLITICAL NEWS ECONOMIC NEWS GLOBAL NEWS
A. TCS with a revenue miss
and margins higher could
open slightly lower on
January 20 since the
narrative is not very
pleasant.
The levels of Rs 2,300 is
likely to pose as strong
resistance while Rs 2,195
could be good support
levels for this stock. As long
as it remains below the
resistance levels, it will
remain in a sideways
category.
HCL Tech delivered strong
numbers and is currently in
an overbought zone. The
level of Rs 580 would be a
good support level for the
stock with a 10 percent
upside. In relative strength,
HCL Tech is a better bet
than its large-cap peers.
For RIL, the level of Rs
1,620 could be strong
resistance. Reliance is
currently in a consolidation
phase and a breakout
above 1,620 will bring
about the fresh rally of
about 5 percent otherwise it
will continue to remain
sideways.
As a sit-in against the
Citizenship (Amendment)
Act (CAA) continued in
Badwali Chowki area here
for the third day on Friday,
two policemen including a
senior officer were
shunted out following an
alleged baton charge on
protesters the day before.
Additional Superintendent
of Police Guruprasad
Parasher was "line-
attached" (transferred) to
the police headquarters,
Bhopal, an official source
said. Data from the
National Crime Records
Bureau (NCRB) reveal
that in terms of value, Rs
2,000 banknotes
comprised 56 percent of
all fake currency seized
across India since
demonetisation. Here’s a
look at the states where
the most Rs 2,000 fake
notes were confiscated
since November 2016
until December 2018.
(Image: PTI)
Data from the National
Crime Records Bureau
(NCRB) reveal that in terms
of value, Rs 2,000
banknotes comprised 56
percent of all fake currency
seized across India since
demonetisation. Here’s a
look at the states where the
most Rs 2,000 fake notes
were confiscated since
November 2016 until
December 2018. (Image:
PTI)
Given the current tax
collection run rate, meeting
the fiscal deficit target
seems difficult. The market
has already factored in
slippage of 50-75 bps
Given that elections are
behind, the Budget would
focus on reforms and
means to increase demand.
The infrastructure sector
would be one of the biggest
beneficiaries.
Infrastructure and
Agriculture sector would be
in the limelight to revive
demand and boost the
gross domestic product
(GDP).
It was more than a year ago
when St. Louis Federal
Reserve bank President
James Bullard started
raising the alarm about a
U.S. bond market where
interest rates seemed to
show investors losing faith
in the economy, a risky
environment for the Fed to
carry out planned rate
increases.
As 2020 gets under way,
the closely watched
spreads between long- and
short-term Treasury
securities still don’t look
completely healthy.
But with months of market
turbulence and three rate
cuts now in the rear view
mirror, Bullard says he is
ready to stand down, leave
policy on hold for up to a
year, and see what
transpires.
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18 weekly saturday report

  • 2. Weekly Report NIFTY BANKNIFTY R2 12350 32800 R1 12300 32500 PIVOT 12086.70 32850 S1 12098 31924 S2 11903 31234 •The Nifty, which opened lower, remained volatile through the session and closed flat on January 17 as traders closely watched third-quarter earnings and eagerly await Union Budget on February 1. •The index managed to close above 12,350 and formed a small bullish candle on daily charts, as the closing was higher than the opening tick. •For the week, it remained lacklustre and traded in a range of more than 100 points, forming a bullish candle on the weekly scale. •Experts say the sideways trade will continue in the coming week and traders will closely watch the crucial 12,300-mark as it will be key to further direction, on either side. •The volatility index India VIX fell marginally by 0.37 percent to 14.12 NIFTY WEEKLY SECTORIAL PERFORMANCE SECTOR CLOSING WoW Nifty Bank 31590.65 -1.58% Nifty IT 16356.6 2.49% Nifty Pharma 8345.3 3.56% Nifty Finance 14561.8 -0.33% Nifty FMCG 31371.45 3.30% Nifty MNC 14146.85 2.57% Nifty Services 17596.1 0.22% Nifty Energy 16077.65 0.86% BSE Dollex 300 4805.25 1.32% BSE IT 15778.24 1.01% FII / DII (DAILY) Date FII DII 17-Jan-20 264.26 -500.17 16-Jan-20 -395.24 -184.65 15-Jan-20 279.53 -648.34 14-Jan-20 -205.56 -642.47 13-Jan-20 120.79 -1,128.89 10-Jan-20 578.28 -251.74 09-Jan-20 -431.11 419.22 08-Jan-20 -515.85 748.4 07-Jan-20 -682.23 311.19 RESEARCH DESK H.O.D Research - SOHAN RAI PAWAN PATIL Technical Analyst • Among the sectors, Nifty PSU Bank jumped over 2 percent led by State Bank of India, PNB, Bank of Baroda and Canara Bank which added over 2 percent each followed by Syndicate Bank, Indian Bank and Union Bank of India. • Nifty Bank is also up 2 percent ICICI Bank, IDFC First Bank, IndusInd Bank, RBL Bank and Axis Bank. The rise in banking shares was aided fall in yields and recovery in rupee. • Yes Bank share price declined 7 percent intraday on January 14 following reports of resignation on the company's independent director. BANK NIFTY WEEKLY Date :18 jan 2020
  • 3. • The FTSE 100 is a stock index representing the performance of the largest 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) by market capitalization. The FTSE 100 stock index offers traders high liquidity and a reliable picture of UK economic health. Follow the FTSE 100 live with the chart and read our latest news and analysis. Plan your trades with the FTSE forecast, the economic calendar and learn about relevant events to assist your fundamental analysis. Weekly Report FTSE The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tracks the performance of 30 of the biggest companies in the US and is often used as a barometer for the overall performance of the country’s equity markets. The Dow chart is a useful measure of US economic health. Follow the Dow Jones live with the real-time chart and view the latest Dow forecasts, news and analysis. Key pivot points and support and resistance will help you trade the Dow Jones today and into the future. DOW Date 18 January 2020
  • 4. • Crude oil prices jumped higher today after the Energy Information Administration reported a crude oil inventory decline for the last week of 2019. • The draw totaled an impressive 11.5 million barrels. Analysts had expected a decline of 3.167 million barrels, after the EIA reported a draw of 5.5 million barrels for the week to December 20. At 429.9 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are at the five-year seasonal average. • In gasoline the EIA reported an inventory increase of 3.2 million barrels for the week to December 27, up from a 2-million- barrel build for the previous week. Gasoline production averaged 10.2 million barrels daily during the period, compared with 10.3 million bpd a week earlier. • Gold prices moved higher on Friday following a softer than expected US payroll report. The dollar eased slightly as US yields moved down. For the week gold prices increased by approximately 0.6%. This comes following a wild rise where prices surged mid-week in the wake of the retaliation by Iran on an Iraqi military base. • The RSI moved above the overbought trigger level of 70, pointing to accelerating positive momentum, but also a potential correction. The fast stochastic is also accelerating higher but is short of the 80 overbought trigger level which means there is still room for prices to climb. Weekly Report CRUDE OIL GOLD Date 11 january 2020
  • 5. Date : 17 January 2020 Above scanners will showcase a list of stock within the NSE 500 universe which have qualified post a through process of scanning via technical based queries on a combination of various technical indicators. The query models have been designed with an intension to gauge the existing trend or expected momentum or a likely reversal. The objective of the process is to equip short term traders with a watch list for the week. One can use this information to immediately view the stock chart and see if there is any opportunity to trade. Since the stocks have been evaluated based on EOD analysis it is advisable to consult with your advisor or a qualified analyst for a trading positional opportunity. Regardless for your approach, this additional information could help you eliminate and help you better trading decisions. NEWS PRODUCT DESCRIPTION Weekly Report STOCK NEWS POLITICAL NEWS ECONOMIC NEWS GLOBAL NEWS A. TCS with a revenue miss and margins higher could open slightly lower on January 20 since the narrative is not very pleasant. The levels of Rs 2,300 is likely to pose as strong resistance while Rs 2,195 could be good support levels for this stock. As long as it remains below the resistance levels, it will remain in a sideways category. HCL Tech delivered strong numbers and is currently in an overbought zone. The level of Rs 580 would be a good support level for the stock with a 10 percent upside. In relative strength, HCL Tech is a better bet than its large-cap peers. For RIL, the level of Rs 1,620 could be strong resistance. Reliance is currently in a consolidation phase and a breakout above 1,620 will bring about the fresh rally of about 5 percent otherwise it will continue to remain sideways. As a sit-in against the Citizenship (Amendment) Act (CAA) continued in Badwali Chowki area here for the third day on Friday, two policemen including a senior officer were shunted out following an alleged baton charge on protesters the day before. Additional Superintendent of Police Guruprasad Parasher was "line- attached" (transferred) to the police headquarters, Bhopal, an official source said. Data from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) reveal that in terms of value, Rs 2,000 banknotes comprised 56 percent of all fake currency seized across India since demonetisation. Here’s a look at the states where the most Rs 2,000 fake notes were confiscated since November 2016 until December 2018. (Image: PTI) Data from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) reveal that in terms of value, Rs 2,000 banknotes comprised 56 percent of all fake currency seized across India since demonetisation. Here’s a look at the states where the most Rs 2,000 fake notes were confiscated since November 2016 until December 2018. (Image: PTI) Given the current tax collection run rate, meeting the fiscal deficit target seems difficult. The market has already factored in slippage of 50-75 bps Given that elections are behind, the Budget would focus on reforms and means to increase demand. The infrastructure sector would be one of the biggest beneficiaries. Infrastructure and Agriculture sector would be in the limelight to revive demand and boost the gross domestic product (GDP). It was more than a year ago when St. Louis Federal Reserve bank President James Bullard started raising the alarm about a U.S. bond market where interest rates seemed to show investors losing faith in the economy, a risky environment for the Fed to carry out planned rate increases. As 2020 gets under way, the closely watched spreads between long- and short-term Treasury securities still don’t look completely healthy. But with months of market turbulence and three rate cuts now in the rear view mirror, Bullard says he is ready to stand down, leave policy on hold for up to a year, and see what transpires.
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