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WMO update
• WMO/UN
• WMO Reform
• Status of climate & disasters
Prof. Petteri Taalas
Secretary-General
2
WMO contributions to the SDGs
Reforms at the WMO Secretariat
• Culture of common responsibility in provision of services for the Members
• New leadership of WMO: seven directors and several chiefs
• Voluntary separation/early retirement program was carried out to release fresh
resources for meeting new challenges
• Result based management & numerical indicators for implementation of the WMO
strategy
• Reforms at all departments (structures & working practices) for efficiency gains
• Reform of WMO administrative activities: savings, better in-house services,
transparency
WMO EC-70
Geneva, 20-29 June 2018
Objectives of CBRWMO Strategic Operating Plan
Goal 1 - Better serve societal needs: delivering, authoritative,
accessible, user-oriented and fit-for-purpose information and services
Strategic objective Illustrative monitoring indictors
1.1 Strengthen national multi-hazard
early warning/alert systems to extend
reach and better enable effective decision
response to the associated risks
1.1.1 Number of Members participating in a global alert system
1.1.2 Number of Members using the Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) in communication of
warnings/alerts
1.1.3 Number of Members with a MHEWS integrated in a national DRR management system
1.1.4 Number of Members cataloguing high impact weather, weather and climate events using
WMO standard unique identifiers
1.2 Broaden the provision of policy- and
decision-supporting climate information
and services at all levels
1.2.1 Number of Members with basic, essential, full and advanced climate services provision
capacity
1.2.2 Number of Members with NMHSs contributing to climate-relevant outputs (NAPs,
NDCs, mitigation/adaptation projects) through national, multi-stakeholder mechanisms (e.g.
National Frameworks for Climate Services)
1.2.3 Demonstrated impact of WMO climate-related flagship products
1.3 Further develop services in support of
sustainable water management
1.3.1 Number of Members participating in WMO Global Hydrological Status and Outlook
System
1.3.2 Number of Members with operational flood forecasting and warning services
1.3.3 Number of Members with operational drought warning system
1.3.4 Number of Members with improved integrated hydro/met/climate operational
capabilities
1.4 Enhance and innovate the provision
of value-added, decision-supporting
weather information and services
1.4.1 Number of Members with QMS for selected services (aviation, marine, EWS)
1.4.2 Number of Members with socioeconomic benefit analysis conducted in the past five
years
1.4.3 Number of Members with established public/private/academia engagement on: (a)
service delivery and (b) maintenance of networks
1.4.4 Number of Members using (a) web applications and (b) social media in service delivery
Partnerships for enhanced global impact of WMO
• New partnership/alliance agreements with World Bank, Green Climate Fund,
European Commission and UNDP to promote climate adaptation and to target
several billion USD scale investments in climate adaptation and national weather,
climate and water services
• WMO has also enhanced co-operation with the national development agencies of
USA, UK, France, Japan, Canada, China, South Korea, Norway, Sweden and
Netherlands
• New partnership agreements have been signed with FAO, WHO and UNFCCC to
improve agriculture, air quality and health services, to support climate mitigation
and to enhance global greenhouse gas monitoring. Also ICAO, IMO, ITU.
• WMO SG was selected as a UN Climate Principal by SG Guterres, WMO is advising
the UNSG on climate matters
6
Improvement of the global status of WMO
• WMO has enhanced its visibility in media and at several international events as a
climate, disaster and water resource management organization
• The annual state of the climate, disasters and greenhouse gas reports have gained
very high visibility globally. Also the recent 1.5 C report of IPCC and WMO was very
widely recognized. Typically attention of up to one billion readers/viewers have
been reached as follow up of WMO press conferences.
• WMO has began provision of early warning services of high impact weather,
seasonal predictions and El Nino/La Nina variability for UN agencies as a part of the
UNOCC centre at the UN Headquarters (storms, flooding, heat waves, and
drought). Those services help humanitarian agencies to act proactively rather than
after a disaster.
• WMO has played an active role in the Arctic Council after reaching an observer
status in 2017
Better services for 191 Members
• About half of the WMO Members are lacking of state of the art weather, climate
and water services
• A country profile database has been developed to monitor the status of Members
and to target development resources
• WMO supports the Members in strategic planning and interacts with governments,
ministers, heads of states to enhance the efficiency of national meteorological and
hydrological services
• WMO promotes development of national and regional centers of excellence and
exchange of know-how and twinning between advanced and developing national
agencies
• WMO promotes coordinated co-operation between public and private sector actors
in weather services and observations
• WMO is establishing a global early warning system based on already existing
European Meteoalarm system
Innovativeness of 52 UN agencies & bodies
9
WMO
Additional financial needs for 2020-23
1. Private sector engagement staffing & meeting resources
2. Urban services: air quality, disasters, climate adaptation
3. Engagement of hydrological and scientific communities in WMO activities
4. Global Meteoalarm implementation
5. Early warning services for international organizations
Additional financial needs for 2020-23
6. Strengthening of regional development and collaboration activities
7. Management training for the PRs
8. Enhanced global greenhouse gas budget monitoring
9. Country database
10. Data “revolution”; interpretation of Resolution 40
WMO REFORM: WMO of 21st Century?
• Climate change, disasters and (lack of) water resources very high on the global
agenda, need for climate adaptation and the expertise of NMHSs is growing
• Demand for WMO expertise has grown among development agencies and other
UN agencies, like World Bank, Green Climate Fund, EU, FAO, WHO, UNFCCC &
OCHA
• Cross-cutting and holistic approach is favoured instead of silos in weather, climate
and water communities, need for data. Multi-hazard and impact based services
expected
• ~150 Members/PRs not well engaged in WMO
• Overall UN reform under way
12
Constituent Body Reform, WMO of 21st Century
1873 2050
WMO EC-70
Geneva, 20-29 June 2018
Objectives of CBRCongress-17 decision 2015
“Congress requested the Executive Council to provide
recommendations to the Eighteenth Congress on constituent body
constructs, as appropriate, including possible new structures for TCs,
RAs, EC, and also to provide recommendations on rules, procedures,
processes, working mechanisms, and duties, of constituent bodies,
WMO Officers (President, vice- presidents, PRAs and PTCs) and the
relationship between them and the WMO Secretariat to enhance the
efficiency and effectiveness of the Organization and good governance.”
REFORM IS NOT A MATTER OF WILL, IT IS A MUST
EC/Member driven process, Secretariat as facilitator
WMO EC-70
Geneva, 20-29 June 2018
• Effectiveness and efficiency
• Seamless integrated approach (spatial, temporal):
- Earth System approach
- WMO acting as one
• Wider engagement of Members & national experts
• Agility to uptake new challenges and tasks
• Improved collaboration with partners
Objectives of CBRObjectives of CB Reform
Long-Term Goal 5:
Governance
Alignment of WMO Structure
Policy Advisory
Committee
Scientific
Advisory Panel
Policy, coordination,
integration, foresight
Long-Term
Goal 1: Services
Long-Term
Goal 2: Systems
Long-Term
Goal 3: Science
Strategic Plan Global lead/regional expertise
Long-Term
Goal 4: Capacity
Regional
Associations
Technical
Coordination
Committee
Commission for
Services
Commission for
Infrastructures
Research Board
E-70C Recommendations to Congress
Joint WMO-IOC Committee
for Oceanography and
Meteorology
Established by EC-70
National/regional
experts
Expertise, assistance,
efficiency, innovation
Technical solutions
Standards, guidance
Regional requirements,
needs and priorities
An enhanced role for Regional Associations
Congress / EC
TECHNICAL
COMMISSIONS
Implementation
Process
REGIONAL
ASSOCIATIONS
• Increase engagement of all WMO Members to address
national, regional and global development needs
• Increase speed, agility and added-value in supporting
Members to provide information and services that
respond to national and regional emerging challenges
• Enhance contribution and visibility to the global
agenda
Capacity development as a top priority
Enhanced collaboration with partners
Joint bodies
Working arrangements
Programmes/Projects
More interaction and collaboration with
partners from all relevant areas, e.g.:
New Technical Commission structures
• Work driven by WMO strategy, progress followed by the
Executive Council and the Congress
• President + (up to) three Vice-Presidents
• Standing Committees (also joint with partners)
• Conjoint sessions
• 2-year cycle of session of constituent bodies
• Expert groups/Study groups
• Regional Associations engaged in nomination process
• Common procedures – Procedural Handbook
• Better engagement of experts from academia and
private sector
CBR-TF: Standing Committees
Infrastructure Commission
1. Earth observing systems and measurement networks
2. Methods of observations, measurements and
instrumentation
3. Data, products and information exchange and life
cycle management
4. Data processing for applied Earth system modelling
and prediction
CBR-TF: Standing Committees
Service Commission
1. Aeronautical meteorological services
2. Marine and oceanographic meteorological services
3. Agrometeorological and climatological services
4. Hydrological services
5. Public services and disaster risk reduction (noting
Members’ sovereignty on warnings)
Techical commission structures
Management Team
Expert Network
Normative Work
Exploratory Work
Standing
Committee
Standing
Committee
Standing
Committee
Expert Team
Expert Team
Study
Group
Study
Group
Expert Team
Expert Team
Expert Team
Expert Team
1. The work of constituent bodies more closely driven by
regional and national priorities
2. Possibility to engage much larger amount of Members in
WMO activities
3. 2-year cycle strengthens the opportunity to contribute
4. Increasing influence with international institutions,
development and funding agencies
5. Holistic Earth System observations and seamless multi-
hazard approaches
6. Greater efficiency, effectiveness and agility
Benefits to Members
What’s next?
2018 2019 2020
Finalization of proposals,
work on details, mapping,
communication, formation of
Communities of Practice (CoP)
APPROVAL of CBR
Establishing of
structures, work
programmes,
preparation of
first session
Kick-off of new TCs
Expert Teams/Task Teams/Working
Groups/etc; by commission
• < 270 teams in total, many of them with (partly) overlapping mandates, terms of
reference and membership;
• 3601 Experts in total, 2373 unique names;
• 75 pairs of teams have 4 or more experts in common; 125 pairs have 3 or more;
8
25
28
50
24
30
18
34
61
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
CAeM CAgM CAS CBS CCl Chy CIMO GCOS JCOMM
Groups per Technical Commission
TC expert distribution by Member
United States of America 323
United Kingdom 118
China 111
Germany 109
Australia 108
Japan 93
France 93
Canada 80
Republic of Korea 69
Russian Federation 57
• Half the experts are provided by 10 Members
• More than one third (66) of the WMO Members have no
experts participating in TC work
• Almost half the WMO Members (87) have one or fewer
participating experts
Private sector engagement
1. Besides infrastructures (obs & IT) private sector provides services and
observations
2. WMO is supposed to serve the interests of the governments including private
sector
3. Private sector inside/outside of WMO?
4. Decision making will remain in the hands of PRs, but private sector
initiatives/perspectives could be heard at constituent bodies
5. Support for national level legal basis for PPE
6. The backbone of global observing system remains to be financed by public
sector; also the interest of private sector
Weather risks are the top economic risks
World Economic Forum, Davos - Global Risk Landscape 2018
Source: World Economic Forum (2018)
Extreme weather events
Natural disasters
Failure of climate-change mitigation
and adaptation
Distribution on natural disasters 1998-2017
90.6 % weather related
30
~4.5 billion people affected 1998-2017
96 % weather related
31
Warming so far
-
-
Global precipitation 1986–2015 vs. 1901–1960
Uneven economic impact of current warming
Effect of 1°C temperature increase on per capita output
Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook
GDP Change %
Carbon dioxide level highest in 3 million years
CO2 CH4 N2O
Increase 146 %
Lifetime several
thousands years
Contribution to
warming 66 %
Increase 257 %
Lifetime 12 years
Contribution to
warming 17 %
Increase 122%
Lifetime 114 years
Contribution to
warming 6 %
Global CO2 emissions by country
Emissions from OECD countries are about the same as in 1990
Emissions from non-OECD countries have increased rapidly in the last decade
Source: CDIAC; Le Quéré et al 2017; Global Carbon Budget 2017
3 C warming is a major risk for global food security
Loss of crop yield in most parts of the world
37
Population in low elevation coastal zones
2060 projections
Source: Neumann, Vafeidis, Zimmermann, Nicholls 2015
Today 85 % of energy fossil, should be replaced with
renewable, hydro and nuclear during coming decades
Energy consumption by fuel source from 2000 to 2016, with growth rates indicated for the
more recent period of 2011 to 2016
Source: BP 2017; Jackson et al 2017; Global Carbon Budget 2017
‫شكر‬
Thank you
Gracias
Merci
Спасибо
谢谢

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WMO UPDATE Secretary general Prof. Petteri Taalas

  • 1. WMO update • WMO/UN • WMO Reform • Status of climate & disasters Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary-General
  • 3. Reforms at the WMO Secretariat • Culture of common responsibility in provision of services for the Members • New leadership of WMO: seven directors and several chiefs • Voluntary separation/early retirement program was carried out to release fresh resources for meeting new challenges • Result based management & numerical indicators for implementation of the WMO strategy • Reforms at all departments (structures & working practices) for efficiency gains • Reform of WMO administrative activities: savings, better in-house services, transparency
  • 4. WMO EC-70 Geneva, 20-29 June 2018 Objectives of CBRWMO Strategic Operating Plan
  • 5. Goal 1 - Better serve societal needs: delivering, authoritative, accessible, user-oriented and fit-for-purpose information and services Strategic objective Illustrative monitoring indictors 1.1 Strengthen national multi-hazard early warning/alert systems to extend reach and better enable effective decision response to the associated risks 1.1.1 Number of Members participating in a global alert system 1.1.2 Number of Members using the Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) in communication of warnings/alerts 1.1.3 Number of Members with a MHEWS integrated in a national DRR management system 1.1.4 Number of Members cataloguing high impact weather, weather and climate events using WMO standard unique identifiers 1.2 Broaden the provision of policy- and decision-supporting climate information and services at all levels 1.2.1 Number of Members with basic, essential, full and advanced climate services provision capacity 1.2.2 Number of Members with NMHSs contributing to climate-relevant outputs (NAPs, NDCs, mitigation/adaptation projects) through national, multi-stakeholder mechanisms (e.g. National Frameworks for Climate Services) 1.2.3 Demonstrated impact of WMO climate-related flagship products 1.3 Further develop services in support of sustainable water management 1.3.1 Number of Members participating in WMO Global Hydrological Status and Outlook System 1.3.2 Number of Members with operational flood forecasting and warning services 1.3.3 Number of Members with operational drought warning system 1.3.4 Number of Members with improved integrated hydro/met/climate operational capabilities 1.4 Enhance and innovate the provision of value-added, decision-supporting weather information and services 1.4.1 Number of Members with QMS for selected services (aviation, marine, EWS) 1.4.2 Number of Members with socioeconomic benefit analysis conducted in the past five years 1.4.3 Number of Members with established public/private/academia engagement on: (a) service delivery and (b) maintenance of networks 1.4.4 Number of Members using (a) web applications and (b) social media in service delivery
  • 6. Partnerships for enhanced global impact of WMO • New partnership/alliance agreements with World Bank, Green Climate Fund, European Commission and UNDP to promote climate adaptation and to target several billion USD scale investments in climate adaptation and national weather, climate and water services • WMO has also enhanced co-operation with the national development agencies of USA, UK, France, Japan, Canada, China, South Korea, Norway, Sweden and Netherlands • New partnership agreements have been signed with FAO, WHO and UNFCCC to improve agriculture, air quality and health services, to support climate mitigation and to enhance global greenhouse gas monitoring. Also ICAO, IMO, ITU. • WMO SG was selected as a UN Climate Principal by SG Guterres, WMO is advising the UNSG on climate matters 6
  • 7. Improvement of the global status of WMO • WMO has enhanced its visibility in media and at several international events as a climate, disaster and water resource management organization • The annual state of the climate, disasters and greenhouse gas reports have gained very high visibility globally. Also the recent 1.5 C report of IPCC and WMO was very widely recognized. Typically attention of up to one billion readers/viewers have been reached as follow up of WMO press conferences. • WMO has began provision of early warning services of high impact weather, seasonal predictions and El Nino/La Nina variability for UN agencies as a part of the UNOCC centre at the UN Headquarters (storms, flooding, heat waves, and drought). Those services help humanitarian agencies to act proactively rather than after a disaster. • WMO has played an active role in the Arctic Council after reaching an observer status in 2017
  • 8. Better services for 191 Members • About half of the WMO Members are lacking of state of the art weather, climate and water services • A country profile database has been developed to monitor the status of Members and to target development resources • WMO supports the Members in strategic planning and interacts with governments, ministers, heads of states to enhance the efficiency of national meteorological and hydrological services • WMO promotes development of national and regional centers of excellence and exchange of know-how and twinning between advanced and developing national agencies • WMO promotes coordinated co-operation between public and private sector actors in weather services and observations • WMO is establishing a global early warning system based on already existing European Meteoalarm system
  • 9. Innovativeness of 52 UN agencies & bodies 9 WMO
  • 10. Additional financial needs for 2020-23 1. Private sector engagement staffing & meeting resources 2. Urban services: air quality, disasters, climate adaptation 3. Engagement of hydrological and scientific communities in WMO activities 4. Global Meteoalarm implementation 5. Early warning services for international organizations
  • 11. Additional financial needs for 2020-23 6. Strengthening of regional development and collaboration activities 7. Management training for the PRs 8. Enhanced global greenhouse gas budget monitoring 9. Country database 10. Data “revolution”; interpretation of Resolution 40
  • 12. WMO REFORM: WMO of 21st Century? • Climate change, disasters and (lack of) water resources very high on the global agenda, need for climate adaptation and the expertise of NMHSs is growing • Demand for WMO expertise has grown among development agencies and other UN agencies, like World Bank, Green Climate Fund, EU, FAO, WHO, UNFCCC & OCHA • Cross-cutting and holistic approach is favoured instead of silos in weather, climate and water communities, need for data. Multi-hazard and impact based services expected • ~150 Members/PRs not well engaged in WMO • Overall UN reform under way 12
  • 13. Constituent Body Reform, WMO of 21st Century 1873 2050
  • 14. WMO EC-70 Geneva, 20-29 June 2018 Objectives of CBRCongress-17 decision 2015 “Congress requested the Executive Council to provide recommendations to the Eighteenth Congress on constituent body constructs, as appropriate, including possible new structures for TCs, RAs, EC, and also to provide recommendations on rules, procedures, processes, working mechanisms, and duties, of constituent bodies, WMO Officers (President, vice- presidents, PRAs and PTCs) and the relationship between them and the WMO Secretariat to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of the Organization and good governance.” REFORM IS NOT A MATTER OF WILL, IT IS A MUST EC/Member driven process, Secretariat as facilitator
  • 15. WMO EC-70 Geneva, 20-29 June 2018 • Effectiveness and efficiency • Seamless integrated approach (spatial, temporal): - Earth System approach - WMO acting as one • Wider engagement of Members & national experts • Agility to uptake new challenges and tasks • Improved collaboration with partners Objectives of CBRObjectives of CB Reform
  • 16. Long-Term Goal 5: Governance Alignment of WMO Structure Policy Advisory Committee Scientific Advisory Panel Policy, coordination, integration, foresight Long-Term Goal 1: Services Long-Term Goal 2: Systems Long-Term Goal 3: Science Strategic Plan Global lead/regional expertise Long-Term Goal 4: Capacity Regional Associations Technical Coordination Committee Commission for Services Commission for Infrastructures Research Board E-70C Recommendations to Congress Joint WMO-IOC Committee for Oceanography and Meteorology Established by EC-70
  • 17. National/regional experts Expertise, assistance, efficiency, innovation Technical solutions Standards, guidance Regional requirements, needs and priorities An enhanced role for Regional Associations Congress / EC TECHNICAL COMMISSIONS Implementation Process REGIONAL ASSOCIATIONS
  • 18. • Increase engagement of all WMO Members to address national, regional and global development needs • Increase speed, agility and added-value in supporting Members to provide information and services that respond to national and regional emerging challenges • Enhance contribution and visibility to the global agenda Capacity development as a top priority
  • 19. Enhanced collaboration with partners Joint bodies Working arrangements Programmes/Projects More interaction and collaboration with partners from all relevant areas, e.g.:
  • 20. New Technical Commission structures • Work driven by WMO strategy, progress followed by the Executive Council and the Congress • President + (up to) three Vice-Presidents • Standing Committees (also joint with partners) • Conjoint sessions • 2-year cycle of session of constituent bodies • Expert groups/Study groups • Regional Associations engaged in nomination process • Common procedures – Procedural Handbook • Better engagement of experts from academia and private sector
  • 21. CBR-TF: Standing Committees Infrastructure Commission 1. Earth observing systems and measurement networks 2. Methods of observations, measurements and instrumentation 3. Data, products and information exchange and life cycle management 4. Data processing for applied Earth system modelling and prediction
  • 22. CBR-TF: Standing Committees Service Commission 1. Aeronautical meteorological services 2. Marine and oceanographic meteorological services 3. Agrometeorological and climatological services 4. Hydrological services 5. Public services and disaster risk reduction (noting Members’ sovereignty on warnings)
  • 23. Techical commission structures Management Team Expert Network Normative Work Exploratory Work Standing Committee Standing Committee Standing Committee Expert Team Expert Team Study Group Study Group Expert Team Expert Team Expert Team Expert Team
  • 24. 1. The work of constituent bodies more closely driven by regional and national priorities 2. Possibility to engage much larger amount of Members in WMO activities 3. 2-year cycle strengthens the opportunity to contribute 4. Increasing influence with international institutions, development and funding agencies 5. Holistic Earth System observations and seamless multi- hazard approaches 6. Greater efficiency, effectiveness and agility Benefits to Members
  • 25. What’s next? 2018 2019 2020 Finalization of proposals, work on details, mapping, communication, formation of Communities of Practice (CoP) APPROVAL of CBR Establishing of structures, work programmes, preparation of first session Kick-off of new TCs
  • 26. Expert Teams/Task Teams/Working Groups/etc; by commission • < 270 teams in total, many of them with (partly) overlapping mandates, terms of reference and membership; • 3601 Experts in total, 2373 unique names; • 75 pairs of teams have 4 or more experts in common; 125 pairs have 3 or more; 8 25 28 50 24 30 18 34 61 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 CAeM CAgM CAS CBS CCl Chy CIMO GCOS JCOMM Groups per Technical Commission
  • 27. TC expert distribution by Member United States of America 323 United Kingdom 118 China 111 Germany 109 Australia 108 Japan 93 France 93 Canada 80 Republic of Korea 69 Russian Federation 57 • Half the experts are provided by 10 Members • More than one third (66) of the WMO Members have no experts participating in TC work • Almost half the WMO Members (87) have one or fewer participating experts
  • 28. Private sector engagement 1. Besides infrastructures (obs & IT) private sector provides services and observations 2. WMO is supposed to serve the interests of the governments including private sector 3. Private sector inside/outside of WMO? 4. Decision making will remain in the hands of PRs, but private sector initiatives/perspectives could be heard at constituent bodies 5. Support for national level legal basis for PPE 6. The backbone of global observing system remains to be financed by public sector; also the interest of private sector
  • 29. Weather risks are the top economic risks World Economic Forum, Davos - Global Risk Landscape 2018 Source: World Economic Forum (2018) Extreme weather events Natural disasters Failure of climate-change mitigation and adaptation
  • 30. Distribution on natural disasters 1998-2017 90.6 % weather related 30
  • 31. ~4.5 billion people affected 1998-2017 96 % weather related 31
  • 34. Uneven economic impact of current warming Effect of 1°C temperature increase on per capita output Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook GDP Change %
  • 35. Carbon dioxide level highest in 3 million years CO2 CH4 N2O Increase 146 % Lifetime several thousands years Contribution to warming 66 % Increase 257 % Lifetime 12 years Contribution to warming 17 % Increase 122% Lifetime 114 years Contribution to warming 6 %
  • 36. Global CO2 emissions by country Emissions from OECD countries are about the same as in 1990 Emissions from non-OECD countries have increased rapidly in the last decade Source: CDIAC; Le Quéré et al 2017; Global Carbon Budget 2017
  • 37. 3 C warming is a major risk for global food security Loss of crop yield in most parts of the world 37
  • 38. Population in low elevation coastal zones 2060 projections Source: Neumann, Vafeidis, Zimmermann, Nicholls 2015
  • 39. Today 85 % of energy fossil, should be replaced with renewable, hydro and nuclear during coming decades Energy consumption by fuel source from 2000 to 2016, with growth rates indicated for the more recent period of 2011 to 2016 Source: BP 2017; Jackson et al 2017; Global Carbon Budget 2017

Editor's Notes

  1. Includes Working Groups and Management Groups (no Focal Points) It doesn’t include PUB5 Experts (president, vice-president,…)
  2. Spatial and seasonal pattern of present-day warming: Regional warming for the 2006–2015 decade relative to 1850–1900 for the annual mean (top), the average of December, January and February (bottom left) and for June, July and August (bottom right). Warming is evaluated by regressing regional changes in the (Cowtan and Way, 2014) dataset onto the total (combined human and natural) externally-forced warming (yellow line in Figure 1.2). See Supplementary Material 1.SM for further details and versions using alternative datasets. The definition of regions (green boxes and labels in top panel) is adopted from the AR5 (Christensen et al., 2013).
  3. 2017 has been a cooler year than the record-setting 2016, with 1.1°C above 1880-1900 (pre-industrial), 2017 sits among top 3 warmest years on record: 2015, 2016, 2017
  4. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook published in October 2017 indicates that increases in countries’ temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects. Adverse consequences are concentrated in countries with relatively hot climates, such as most low-income countries. in countries with hot climates an increase in temperature reduces per capita output, in both the short and medium term, by reducing agricultural output, suppressing the productivity of workers exposed to heat, slowing investment, and damaging health. For the median low-income developing country, with annual average temperature conditions around 25°C, a 1°C increase in temperature could lower per capita economic output by about 1.2 percent. Even though countries whose economies are projected to be significantly adversely affected by an increase in temperature produced only about one-fifth of global GDP in 2016, they are home to close to 60% of current global population and to more than 75% of the global population projected for the end of the century.