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December 2019
Kelly Robson, Phillip Burgoyne-Allen, Juliet
Squire, and Jeff Schulz
Wide-Open Spaces: Schooling in Rural
America Today
2
Introduction
Fourteen percent of the nation’s population lives in rural communities, and one in five K-12 students
attends a rural school. This is a substantial portion of the population, but it’s far too often overlooked
by education analysts, advocates, and policymakers. When rural education is addressed, the
discussion is too often focused on the challenges facing those communities.
To be sure, education policy and practice in rural communities must take into account broader
community factors, such as limited economic opportunity, poor access to healthcare, and social
challenges, like drug addiction. But focusing exclusively on these challenges overlooks key assets
that can help create and sustain meaningful change in rural schools. Compared to communities in
other geographies, rural communities tend to place high value on civic and community engagement,
have high rates of volunteering and participation in community life, and have tight-knit networks of
support. Community members tend to have a deep sense of and commitment to place that dates back
generations. And at a state and national level, rural communities represent a powerful political voice.
Moreover, rural communities are incredibly diverse, both economically and racially. Some of the
country’s most impoverished areas are communities with significant minority populations in the rural
South, along the U.S.-Mexico border, and on Native American reservations throughout the West.
Those focused on improving outcomes for low-income and minority students simply cannot continue
to overlook rural America.
The purpose of this deck is to provide an overview of the state of rural communities and schools. It
aims to equip advocates, decision-makers, and other stakeholders with a shared understanding of
rural education to generate a more accurate and nuanced policy response.
3
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
The State of Rural America
The State of Education in Rural America
Looking Ahead
4
Executive Summary
Rural communities:
• Vary widely in their location, economies, and strengths and challenges
• Tend to have higher rates of poverty, lower median household incomes, and lower levels of
educational attainment on average than urban areas
• Struggle with persistent social challenges and lack of access to amenities
• Have higher rates of economic mobility in some places than urban areas
Rural schools:
• Face common challenges like declining enrollment, high rates of poverty, and a lack of human
capital and adequate transportation
• Face unique challenges, including urban-centric policy structures, low economies of scale, and
access to fewer courses and other community assets
• Tend to slightly lag behind suburban schools and outperform city and town schools, though
achievement gaps across race and income levels persist
• Send students to two-year college programs at similar rates as schools in other geographies, but
trail suburban schools in enrollment in four-year programs
Overview of
Rural
America
Education in
Rural
America
Looking
Ahead
Rural communities:
• Can harness individual, organizational, civic, cultural, and historical assets to create a shared vision
of the future
• Can capitalize on deep relationships, a high degree of self-reliance, and flexibility and creativity to
move toward a common goal
• Can take advantage of increased focus on their needs by partnering with economic development
organizations, nonprofits, and philanthropic institutions
5
Government agencies define “rural” differently; there is not
a single agreed-upon way to identify rural communities
U.S. Census Bureau
Office of Management
and Budget (OMB)
U.S. Department of
Agriculture Economic
Research Services (ERS)
National Center for
Education Statistics
(NCES)
NCES uses an “urban-centric” classification system with four major
locale categories: city, suburban, town, and rural. All categories are
further subdivided; “rural” has three subcategories: fringe, distant, and
remote.
The Census Bureau defines “rural” as encompassing all population,
housing, and territory not included within an urban area.
OMB designates counties as “Metropolitan,” “Micropolitan,” or “Neither,”
and considers all counties that are not part of a metropolitan statistical
area (MSA) as rural.
ERS typically studies conditions in nonmetropolitan counties, which
include some combination of: counties that are not part of larger labor
market areas, open countryside, rural towns, and urban areas with
populations below 50,000.
Note: The slides that follow represent “rural” data using
the definition of the data source.
Sources: NCES; USDA (2016); HRSA (2018)
The wide variety in definitions complicates our analysis of rural America, but to use just one
definition would place significant limits on the breadth of our understanding. We therefore
draw on a wide range of sources that use all of the above definitions but refrain from
comparing information between sources that use different definitions.
6
Table of Contents
Overview of Rural America
Executive Summary
Education in Rural America
Looking Ahead
7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
40%
2%
38%
22%
86%
Percent of Counties Percent of Population
12%
3.1K 308.8M Mostly Urban
Mostly Rural
Completely Rural
Note: Counties with 50% to 99.9% of the population living in
rural areas are considered “mostly rural”; those with 100% rural
population are considered “completely rural.”
Source: Census (2010)
Percent of Total Counties and Total Population
By county type, 2010
Nationwide, 60% of counties are mostly or completely rural;
these counties are home to 14% of the population
Percent
8
Total Rural Population (in thousands) and Rural Population Share
By state, 2010
The number of people and percent of the population living
in rural counties vary by state
Source: Census (2010)
1,880
(5%)
727
(19%)
1,073
(16%)
461
(29%)
157
(6%)
651
(10%)
260
(9%)
270
(40%)
696
(14%)
465
(23%)
199
(35%)
436
(44%)
1,418
(27%)
3,848
(15%)
1,266
(34%)
736
(26%)
491
(27%)
353
(43%)
1,477
(12%)
1,278
(44%)
1,771
(30%)
1,096
(36%)
1,697
(30%)
1,806
(42%)
2,133
(34%)
2,416
(25%)
1,958
(41%)
1,503
(51%)
1,216
(27%)
2,711
(21%)
950
(51%)
1,964
(25%)
3,234
(34%)
1,558
(34%)
1,661
(9%)
2,514
(25%)
2,547
(22%)
1,477
(12%)
241
(34%)
815
(61%)
2,350
(12%)
468
(5%)
150
(17%)
739
(13%)
429
(12%)
98
(9%)
526
(8%)382
(61%)
523
(40%)
1. Texas (3.8 M)
2. North Carolina (3.2 M)
3. Pennsylvania (2.7 M)
4. Ohio (2.5 M)
5. Michigan (2.5 M)
Largest total rural population
1. Maine (61%)
2. Vermont (61%)
3. West Virginia (51%)
4. Mississippi (51%)
5. Montana (44%)
Largest rural population share110
(8%)
9
Though primarily white, residents of rural communities
come from all racial and ethnic backgrounds
61%
79%
58%
18%
9%
20%
12%
8%
13%
8% 2% 8%
1% 2% 1%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
National Rural Urban
American Indian
Black
Other
White
Hispanic
Percentofpopulation
Sources: USDA ERS (2019); ACS (2017)
Population Demographics
By location, 2017
The population in rural areas is much less diverse than in urban areas; nearly
80% of America’s rural population is white, compared to 61% nationally and
58% in urban communities.
10
In many Southern states, minority groups make up
substantial shares of the rural population
56%
70%
59%
48%
78%
71%
40%
24%
39%
1%
2%
49%
7%
21%
1% 0% 0% 2%
8%
1%
1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
4%1%
GeorgiaAlabama
1%
Mississippi
21K
New Mexico Oklahoma
197K
Texas
176K 275K 104K 269K
6% Other
American Indian
and Alaska Native
Black
Hispanic
White
Percentofpopulation
Population Demographics of Completely Rural Counties
By state, 2010
There is substantial demographic variation across states. For example, a plurality of residents in New
Mexico’s most rural counties are Hispanic, 40% of residents in completely rural counties in Alabama are
black, and 8% of residents in completely rural counties in Oklahoma are of American Indian or Native
Alaskan descent.
Note: Completely rural counties have a population that is
100% rural.
Sources: American FactFinder (2019); Census (2016)
11
Rural counties struggle with higher average rates of poverty,
deep poverty, and intergenerational poverty
Sources: PBS (2017); Stanford (2017)
Poverty Rates
By metro/nonmetropolitan county and level of poverty, 2016
• On average, a higher rate of
individuals living in nonmetropolitan
counties live in poverty compared to
those in metropolitan counties (19%
vs. 14%).
• A higher rate of nonmetropolitan
residents live in deep poverty (<50%
of the federal poverty line) than those
in metropolitan counties.
• Intergenerational poverty is also
more common in the poorest rural
areas, including among black families
in the Deep South, white families in
Appalachia and the Ozarks, Native
Americans in states with large
reservations, and Hispanics in
communities along the U.S.-Mexico
border.
0
5
10
15
20
2%
9%
5%
7%
3%
Nonmetropolitan
7%
Metropolitan
Percentofpopulation
50-99% of poverty line
<50% of poverty line
100-149% of poverty line
12
Rural poverty rates are highest among nonwhite
populations …
Note: Hispanics may be any race
Source: USDA Economic Research Service
Poverty Rates
By race and region, 2013-2017
For members of all racial and ethnic groups, poverty rates are higher in nonmetropolitan
areas compared to metropolitan areas. Rural poverty rates are highest among black and
American Indian/Alaska native communities.
Percent
14
32 31
25
14
11
22 22
19
9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Hispanic, any raceAmerican
Indian/Alaska Nataive
White White, non-HispanicBlack
Nonmetro
Metro
13
… and are particularly high for black and Hispanic children
living in the South
19 19 17
23
15
47
33
42
47
3333 34
28
37
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
SouthNortheastU.S. Midwest West
White HispanicBlack
Rural Child Poverty Rates
By race and region, 2015
Source: Carsey School of Public Policy
• At 30%, the average rural child poverty rate is highest in the South
• In all regions but the Northeast, black children have the highest rates of rural poverty
• In all regions, rural child poverty rates for white children are below the regional averages
Percentofchildren
Regional Avg.
14
Rural counties also tend to have lower educational
attainment and lower median incomes than urban counties
14% 12%
36%
26%
21%
20%
9%
8%
20%
34%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
UrbanRural
Bachelor’s degree or
higher
Associate’s degree
Some college, no
degree
High school diploma
or equivalent
Less than high school
diploma or equivalent
Percentattainingeachlevelofeducation
Note: Cost of living in rural communities tends to be lower than in
other communities, which may somewhat deflate differences in
“real” income.
Sources: USDA ERS (2019); Census (2019)
$57,652
$59,970
$47,020
$44,020
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
All Counties Completely
Rural
Mostly Urban Mostly Rural
Educational Attainment for Adults 25 and Older
By county type, 2017
Median Household Income
By county type, 2013-2017
Rural Americans are more likely to have only a high school diploma, and less likely to have a four-
year degree or higher, than their urban counterparts. Similarly, households in rural counties tend to
have lower median incomes.
15
Drug overdose deaths in rural counties have outpaced
those in urban counties, fueled largely by opioid addiction
2006 201320022000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009
2.0K
2010 20122011 2014 20151999
4.3K
5.7K
1.7K
2.5K
3.0K
3.5K
4.0K
5.1K
5.4K 5.6K
6.0K
6.5K
6.3K 6.4K
6.8K
7.3K
+325%
Number of Deaths by Drug Overdose
For nonmetropolitan counties, 2000 to 2015
• Between 2000 and 2015, the number of drug overdose deaths rose by 325 percent in
nonmetropolitan counties, compared to 198 percent in metropolitan counties.
• The drug overdose death rate in rural counties reached 18.7 deaths per 100,000 persons in 2016,
nearly five times higher than it was in 2000.
• Poor rural counties and those with low economic prospects are among the hardest hit; they have
higher rates of opioid prescriptions, hospitalizations, and overdose deaths.
Sources: CDC (2017); Brookings (2018); U.S.
Department of Health and Human Services (2018)
16
And adults living in rural communities report persistent
social challenges and lack of access to amenities
Source: Pew Research Center (2018)
50
52
34
41
19 18
13
10
35 34
22 21
25
9 9
4
46
36
42
32
43
23 24
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Access to high-
speed internet
Access to
good doctors
and hospitals
Drug addiction PovertyAvailability
of affordable
housing
Availability of jobs Access to
grocery stores
Access to public
transportation
Urban Suburban Rural
Problems Facing Communities
Percent of adults saying each is a major problem in their community, by community type, 2018
Compared to adults living in suburban and urban communities, a higher percentage of adults living in
rural communities report that the availability of jobs and access to public transportation, good doctors
and hospitals, high-speed internet, and grocery stores are challenges in their communities.
Percentofadults
17
Importantly, national and regional data mask differences
between rural community types across the country
1. Innovation (e.g., universities and patents)
2. Development indicators (e.g., urban-rural continuum and real estate data)
3. Socioeconomic factors (e.g., poverty status and workforce participation)
4. Economic base (e.g., GDP by industry and productivity)
5. Human capital (e.g., population, demographics, and educational attainment)
Recent research by Walmart and McKinsey & Company categorized communities along a
continuum of urbanity using five broad categories of data:
Their analysis identified eight community archetypes:
Source: Walmart & McKinsey (2019)
18
Rural community archetypes span the country, and each
has different assets and challenges
Communities identified as “Distressed Americana” are present in nearly
every region of the country.
Source: Walmart & McKinsey (2019)
Map of Community Archetypes
By cluster group, 2019
19
In the upper Midwest, less densely populated areas have
higher rates of upward economic mobility
Sources: City Lab (2018); Opportunity Atlas;
Chetty et al. (2018); Weber et al. (2018)
Correlations between Population Density and Upward
Mobility for White Children
By state, 2018
In the Midwest and Mountain
West, rural areas tend to
have higher rates of upward
mobility than urban areas,
but that pattern is reversed
in the Southeast. This
variation suggests that the
underlying drivers of
economic mobility – and the
potential policy solutions –
may also vary greatly from
place to place.
20
• The Joint Economic Committee’s
Social Capital Project has created a
state-level social capital index that
includes indicators related to family
unity and interaction, social support,
community and institutional health,
crime, and charitable donations.
• Economic mobility tends to be
higher when states score better on
this social capital index.
• Social capital is positively
correlated with states that are less
dense and more rural.
0 to 0.790.8 and above
Social Capital Index Score:
-0.8 and below-0.79 to -0.1
Sources: Joint Economic Committee (2018); NORC (2018)
• The 12 states with the highest social capital scores are distributed across two continuous, mostly
rural blocs – nine states in the Midwest and three states in the far Northeast.
• Notably, much of the South and Southwest perform relatively poorly on the social capital index.
• Research has shown that historical events, like slavery and Jim Crow laws in the South, and the
forced movement and violence experienced by American Indian populations, have an ongoing
impact on these regions and the challenges they face.
Measures of social capital also demonstrate variability, with
strong social capital also concentrated in the upper Midwest
21
While the Upper Midwest is often a bright spot among rural
communities, the rural South stands out for its distress
Source: Economic Innovation Group (2017)
Economic Distress Scores
By county, 2017
Prosperous
Comfortable
Mid-tier
At risk
Distressed
Trends in economic and social distress in the rural South align to findings about the state of
rural education across the country.
Distress scores are measures of a county’s economic well-being relative to its peers
22
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Overview of Rural America
Education in Rural America
Looking Ahead
23
Twenty-eight percent of the nation’s public schools are rural;
these schools enroll 19% of all public pk-12 students
28%
13%
32%
27%
Rural
Town
City
Public Schools
99.8K
Suburb
19%
11%
40%
30%
Suburb
City
Public School Students
Town
Rural
50.3M
Percent of Public Schools Nationwide
By region, 2017
Percent of Students Nationwide
By region, 2017
Source: ELSI
24
Total Rural Pk-12 Student Enrollment (in thousands) and Rural Student Enrollment Share
By state, 2017
The number of rural students and rate of enrollment in rural
schools vary substantially by state
378
(6%)
84
(14%)
132
(12%)
80
(27%)
29
(6%)
115
(10%)
67
(10%)
44
(40%)
122
(13%)
82
(24%)
28
(29%)
53
(36%)
191
(22%)
916
(17%)
214
(31%)
142
(29%)
85
(27%)
56
(41%)
291
(11%)
169
(34%)
249
(27%)
174
(34%)
199
(23%)
255
(37%)
301 (30%)
491
(28%)
297
(40%)
229
(47%)
198
(28%)
318
(18%)
116
(42%)
316
(25%)
570 (37%)
262
(34%)
332
(12%)
309
(20%)
386
(23%)
292
(28%)
41
(31%)
95
(53%)
303
(11%)
110
(8%)
27
(20%)
122
(14%)
61
(11%)
14
(10%)
86
(9%)47
(53%)
62
(34%)
18
(10%)
1. Texas (916K)
2. North Carolina (570K)
3. Georgia (491K)
4. Ohio (386K)
5. California (378K)
Largest total rural student
enrollment
1. Vermont (53%)
2. Maine (53%)
3. Mississippi (47%)
4. West Virginia (42%)
5. South Dakota (41%)
Largest share of rural student
enrollment
Source: ELSI
25
White students make up a higher proportion of the overall rural
student population compared to other geographies
Nationwide Pk-12 Student Enrollment
By region and race/ethnicity, 2017
Source: ELSI
48%
70%
63%
49%
29%
15%
9%
10%
14%
23%
26%
14%
20%
27%
36%
6% 7%
6% 6%
Hispanic
Suburb
4%
Rural Town City
Black
9.5M 5.6M 20M 15.3M
5%
5%Other
Asian
White
5%
2%
Nationwide
50.3M
1%
26
However, in some states, minority groups make up
substantial portions of rural student enrollment
56%
46%
42%
38%
7%
White
2%
2%
3%1%
3%
Mississippi Texas
Other
Asian
Black
Hispanic
229K 916K
Pk-12 Enrollment in Rural Schools
For Mississippi and Texas, by race/ethnicity, 2017
In Mississippi, black
students make up more
than one-third of the
rural student enrollment,
compared to 9%
nationwide. In Texas,
more than 40% of rural
students are Hispanic,
compared to 14%
nationwide.
Source: ELSI
27
Nationally, 46% of rural students qualify for free or reduced-
price lunch (FRL), although rates are higher in many states
53%
46%
Rural Town
58%
Suburb
42%
City
Note: No rural student poverty data are available
for DE, DC, MA, or TN.
Source: ELSI
The percentage of students eligible
for FRL is lower for rural schools
overall than schools located in
towns or in cities.
Rural poverty is largely concentrated in
the South and Southeastern United
States.
Percentage of Pk-12 Public School
Students Eligible for FRL
By region, 2017
Rural Student Poverty
States with rural student FRL-eligibility rates at or
above 50%, 2017
28
At the K-12 level, rural students lag behind suburban
students but outperform students in other locations
PercentScoringProficientorAbove
34 34
36
36
35
36
45
45
45
46
44
45 46
37
35
35
40
36 36
37
39 39
43
44
40 40 40
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
35
SuburbCity Town Rural
Source: NAEP Data Explorer
Performance on Grade 4 Math NAEP
By school location, 2007-2019
Regionally — across the Northeast, Midwest, West, and South — rural students consistently have
proficiency rates lower than suburban students but higher than students in towns and cities.
29 29
30
32 32
31
38 38
39
40
41
42
41
30
29 30
33
32
31 30
34
33
35
36 36
35
34
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
28
Performance on Grade 4 Reading NAEP
By school location, 2007-2019
PercentScoringProficientorAbove
29
Achievement gaps in math and reading persist among rural
students along racial/ethnic lines ...
PercentScoring
ProficientorAbove
55
18
26 32
57
25 29
3945
15
28
17
46
20
28
19
0
20
40
60
American
Indian/Alaska Native
White Black Hispanic
City Suburb RuralTown
PercentScoring
ProficientorAbove
Source: NAEP Data Explorer
Across school locations, black, Hispanic, and American Indian/Alaska Native students have lower
rates of proficiency on the 4th grade NAEP than their white peers. In addition, rural white and
American Indian/Alaska Native students both perform lower than their city and suburban peers.
49
16 21 22
50
23 27 25
38
12 18 16
39
17 21 19
0
10
20
30
40
50
HispanicWhite American
Indian/Alaska Native
Black
Performance on Grade 4 Reading NAEP Assessment
By student subgroup and school location, 2019
Performance on Grade 4 Mathematics NAEP Assessment
By student subgroup and school location, 2019
30
... as well as among other historically underserved
subgroups
49
19
35
9
54
24
44
11
44
20
33
47
22
35
0
20
40
60
7
ELLFRPL-Ineligible FRPL-Eligible Not ELL
7
City Suburb RuralTown
PercentScoring
ProficientorAbove
PercentScoring
ProficientorAbove
Source: NAEP Data Explorer
Performance on Grade 4 Reading NAEP Assessment
By student subgroup and school location, 2019
Rural students who are eligible for free and reduced-price lunch outperform similar students in other
locations in math, and outperform their peers in cities and towns in reading. Rural students who are
English language learners lag behind their peers in other locations.
57
23
40
18
61
27
50
15
53
26
40
14
53
28
42
13
0
20
40
60
80
FRPL-Ineligible FRPL-Eligible Not ELL ELL
Performance on Grade 4 Mathematics NAEP Assessment
By student subgroup and school location, 2019
31
Rural students graduate from high school at higher rates
than students in other locations
80 84
75 77
63
88 91
83 83 78
86 88
82 84
74
89 91
85 86
77
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
All BlackWhite Hispanic American
Indian/Alaska Native
SuburbCity Town Rural
Source: NCES (2016-17)
Public High School Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate
By student subgroup and school location, 2016-17
Across most subgroups, rural students graduate from high school at
rates that are similar or higher than their peers in other locations.
PercentofStudents
32
At the postsecondary level, rural students matriculate to and
complete two-year degrees at similar rates as their peers ...
23 29
73
8
21 26
77
8
23 26
72
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Two-Year College
Persistence^
Two-Year College
Enrollment (first fall)*
Two-Year College
Enrollment (two years)**
Two-Year College
Completion^^
Rural
Suburban
Urban
PercentofStudents
*First fall after high school graduation, class of 2017
**First two years after high school graduation, class of 2015
^Persistence from first to second year of college, class of 2015
^^Six-year completion rates, class of 2011
Source: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center (2018)
Enrollment, Persistence, and Completion Rates at Two-Year Colleges
By school location, various years
• Rural students enroll in two-year colleges at similar rates as their urban and suburban peers.
• Rural students are somewhat less likely to persist from their first year to their second year in two-
year colleges than students from other locations.
• While rural students are somewhat more likely to complete programs at two-year colleges within
six years of enrolling, only 10% do so.
33
... but they matriculate to and complete four-year degrees
at lower rates than their suburban peers
40 42
91
28
47 50
92
3840 44
91
32
0
20
40
60
80
100
Four-Year College
Enrollment (first fall)*
Four-Year College
Enrollment (two years)**
Four-Year College
Persistence^
Four-Year College
Completion^^
Urban
Suburban
Rural
PercentofStudents
*First fall after high school graduation, class of 2017
**First two years after high school graduation, class of 2015
^Persistence from first to second year of college, class of 2015
^^Six-year completion rates, class of 2011
Source: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center (2018)
Enrollment, Persistence, and Completion Rates at Four-Year Colleges
By school location, various years
• Rural students enroll in four-year colleges at higher rates than urban students but at lower rates than
suburban students.
• Rural students persist from their first year to their second year in four-year colleges at similar rates
as their urban and suburban peers.
• Rural students are more likely than urban students to complete programs at four-year colleges within
six years of enrolling but are less likely to do so than suburban students.
34
Moreover, rural CTE programs may not be effectively
designed, resourced, or implemented to maximize impact
78%
68%
91%
37%
70% 62%
77%
24%
68% 60%
76%
24%
60% 59% 67%
35%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Offer CTE courses
that earn both high
school and
postsecondary credits
Most or all CTE
programs structured
as career pathways
Offer CTE courses that
earn high school credits
in math, science, ELA,
or social studies
Offer CTE courses
online (including
blended/hybrid courses)
Rural
Town
City
Suburb
Percentofschooldistricts
offeringCTEprograms
Source: NCES (2018)
Characteristics of CTE Programs Offered by School Districts
By district type, 2016-17
• Ninety-eight percent of rural districts offer CTE programs to high school students but are less likely
to provide programs that are career pathways, earn credit in key subject areas, or earn dual credit.
• Rural districts are less likely to offer CTE programs that include student-run enterprises, mentoring
by local employers, on-the-job training, and apprenticeships than other district types.
• Rural districts are also less likely to get advice or guidance from employers on CTE programming
and curriculum.
• Rural districts are more likely to identify lack of funding, high program costs, and facilities limitations
as “large” or “very large” barriers to providing CTE programs but less likely to cite finding or keeping
teachers for in-demand industries as a challenge.
35
Limited postsecondary pathways can combine with “brain
drain” to sap rural places of skilled workers
-4.2 0 7.9 23
Net Brain Drain
Share of highly educated leavers minus highly educated entrants, by
state, 2017
• “Brain drain” is the
phenomenon where
educated individuals
leave a community in
search of better options
elsewhere.
• Rural communities that
have limited career
opportunities for
educated individuals are
especially susceptible to
brain drain.
• This population loss
hurts the local tax base
and can hamper
economic growth.
Note: “Net brain drain” is the difference between the share of
highly educated individuals who leave a state and highly
educated individuals who relocate to a state.
Sources: Wharton Public Policy Initiative (2018); United States
Congress Joint Economic Committee (2019)
36
Differences in educational attainment and earnings have
economic implications for rural communities
$72,348
$54,597
$36,738
$30,829
$23,158
$40,843
$54,513
$42,269
$32,020
$29,240
$22,248
$32,360
All earners
Graduate or professional degree
Bachelor’s degree
Less than high school diploma
Some college or associate’s degree
High school diploma or equivalent
Urban
Rural
Sources: USDA ERS (2019); Urban Institute (2018); USDA ERS
(2014); Hechinger Report (2019); Georgetown CEW (2013)
Rural populations have lower earnings than their urban counterparts across all levels of education —
especially for bachelor’s and advanced degrees, though some of these disparities may be accounted
for by differences in cost of living.
Median Earnings
By educational attainment and location, 2017
37
Especially as farming and manufacturing jobs decline, and
new jobs require greater skills
• The rise of globalization and the
information economy has boosted
returns to urban areas and devalued the
resources and manual labor supplied by
nonmetropolitan areas.
• While the wage gap between regions
was shrinking as recently as 1980, the
last decade of growth has mostly been
concentrated in a small number of urban
hubs.
• Jobs at “high risk”* of automation are
more concentrated in rural communities;
for example, about 25% of the jobs in
Americana, Distressed Americana,
Resource-Rich Regions, and Rural
Service Hubs are considered high risk.
There has been a decline in core industries that undergird rural economies, like timber,
coal mining, tobacco, and textiles in Appalachia, or agriculture and low-skilled
manufacturing in the Delta region. And continued automation could place additional
stress on rural economies in the future.
*”High-risk” jobs are defined as those susceptible to more than 70% automation.
Note: “Large” communities are those with over 1M residents; “medium” between 250K and 1M; “small” between 50K and 250K; “micro” between 10K
and 50K; “adjacent” are rural areas adjacent to a metro area; and “non-adjacent” are rural areas not adjacent to a metro area.
Sources: Brookings (2018); MarketWatch (2019); Walmart & McKinsey (2019)
38
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
The State of Rural America
The State of Education in Rural America
Looking Ahead
39
Rural schools face challenges similar to urban schools,
although they often manifest differently given geography
Recruiting and retaining high-quality teachers, school leaders,
and system leaders is a challenge many schools face, made
more difficult in rural districts due to their isolation and lack of
social, cultural, and economic amenities.
Busing is costly for schools, especially in rural districts where
students live far apart and frequently have long bus rides.
School consolidations can make these rides even longer.
Declining enrollment in rural schools can lead to challenges
including school closure and/or consolidation, tighter budgets,
and fewer school amenities and extracurricular activities.
Rural schools struggle with high rates of poverty. Although FRL
eligibility is lower on average, rural counties tend to have higher
rates of children living in poverty compared to urban counties.
Enrollment
Poverty
Human Capital
Transportation
40
Rural schools also face challenges unique to their
geography
Due to their size and human capital challenges, rural schools
often struggle to offer students robust course options. This is
particularly true for specialized coursework (e.g., high-level
math or science, or foreign languages).
Rural communities often lack the social and cultural assets
common in larger communities (like YMCAs, preschools,
nonprofits, etc.). Schools either must attempt to compensate,
or students may go without access to these opportunities.
Policies written with urban schools in mind often create
additional barriers for rural schools. For example, school
improvement policies that require replacing low-performing
staff can exasperate rural schools’ human capital challenges.
States’ school funding policies often disadvantage rural
schools due to their size, and rural schools often lack a
strong tax base, making it difficult to pass levies and bonds
to fund district needs.
Policy Barriers
Funding
Course Access
Community
Assets
41
Common strategies for improving K-12 education have
some benefits for rural schools but also create challenges
Sources: EdTech Magazine (2018); ROCI (2015); Education
Superhighway (2018); NCES (2018); Education Next (2015 and
2019); Fordham Institute (2017)
Strategy Benefits Challenges
Technology
• Technology can increase access to effective
teachers and other educational resources.
• It can also provide opportunities for
personalized learning.
• Ninety-eight percent of school districts have
internet speeds meeting the FCC’s 100
kbps per student goal.
• Only 59% of nonmetropolitan children
have internet access at home.
• Many rural students live far away from
school, limiting their ability to rely on their
schools for internet access.
School
Options
• Charter schools can reduce compliance
burdens and provide more specialized
education options.
• Greater access to courses beyond district
offerings could allow rural students to have
more options without disrupting local
schools.
• Charter schools in rural communities may
pull students and funding away from one
school or a small number of schools
already facing constrained budgets, and
therefore often face community backlash.
• Course access often depends on
students’ access to broadband, which is
often constrained.
Teacher
Evaluation
• Teacher evaluation reforms can help reward
and retain effective teachers and remove
minimally effective teachers from the
classroom.
• Rural schools already struggle to attract a
sufficient number of teachers, meaning
supply-side approaches, like recruiting
efforts and certifying paraprofessionals,
may be more promising in these areas.
42
Nonetheless, many rural districts have been able to
succeed despite their challenges and resource constraints
Developing
relationships with
students, staff, and
the community
• Leaders in these districts prioritized relationships and put real effort into building and
sustaining them.
• For example, Holyoke School District in Colorado sought the input of its teachers,
parents, and local businesses on raising the district’s student achievement goals, which
increased community support and teacher buy-in.
• These districts rely on local ingenuity and resourcefulness rather than looking to others
to solve their problems.
• For example, in Lincoln, Wyoming, teachers created their own professional
development program, which other districts around the country have now adopted.
• District leaders talked about problem-solving and the conscious financial trade-offs they
made to better support students.
• Typically, these districts focus their funding on improving instruction, attracting high-
quality teachers, and rewarding good performance.
Utilizing flexibility,
creativity, and self-
reliance
Making conscious
trade-offs
Respecting costs
and stewarding
public funds
• Leaders in these districts are frugal, determined to get the most out of every dollar, and
don’t assume that every change in the schools will require new money.
• For example, when Brackettville, Texas, failed to raise additional funds for replacing a
building, the district opted to renovate the school with existing funds, and used modular
buildings to add a 10-classroom facility.
Source: ROCI (2015)
Research has shown that a higher portion of remote rural districts fall into the category of being
“productivity superstars,” exhibiting higher outcomes than would be predicted by their mix of students
and access to funds. These districts share common themes:
43
And rural communities have many strengths that can help
support efforts to strengthen the local school system
Organizational
and Associational
Assets
Community
Assets
Cultural Assets
and Historical
Context
Individual Assets
• Research has shown that rural communities’ “greatest assets are their people.”
• These assets include civic and community engagement through volunteerism,
entrepreneurship, and the resilience and adaptive capacities of rural residents.
• Schools serve as anchor institutions in many rural areas, and educational
institutions across all academic levels have been identified as strong
community assets.
• Faith-based organizations are an important asset in rural communities,
providing social support and a place to gather and discuss topics that impact
the community more broadly.
• Small businesses and chambers of commerce also help rural areas create jobs
and wealth, and they often invest in the local community.
• Many rural community assets are tied to natural resources, including water,
land, resources used for energy, and timber.
• Many people in rural areas feel a deep connection to where they grew up and
have a strong sense of history and place.
• They also have important cultural assets, including a close-knit sense of
community, strong family support systems and neighborly social ties, and pride
in self and family.
Sources: NORC (2018); Disability and Vocational
Rehabilitation in Rural Settings (2017)
44
Dozens of organizations have been working in rural
communities for decades
45
In particular, economic development initiatives are working to
bridge the gap between K-12 schools and postsecondary options
• Established by an act of Congress in 1965, the Appalachian Regional
Commission (ARC) is a regional economic development agency that represents
a partnership of federal, state, and local government.
• ARC makes investments across Appalachia to pursue various goals, like
boosting economic opportunities, readying the workforce, supporting critical
infrastructure like broadband and transportation, and building the capacity of
leaders and communities.
• ARC’s education and training activities focus on a range of issues, including
workforce skills, early childhood education, dropout prevention, and improved
college attendance.
• The Golden LEAF Foundation is a nonprofit organization that receives a portion
of North Carolina’s funding from the 1998 Master Settlement Agreement with
cigarette manufacturers.
• Golden LEAF has worked to increase economic opportunity in North Carolina’s
rural and tobacco-dependent communities under multiple focus areas.
• In education, the foundation focuses on graduating students from high school
and college and has funded projects like scholarships, teacher training, and
STEM and educational technology programs.
• The foundation also funds projects that develop skills needed by businesses
looking to locate or expand in rural communities.
Sources: ARC (here and here); Golden Leaf
(here, here, and here)
46
Rural areas have received relatively little philanthropic
investment in the past, but the tides may be turning
 Although 19% of the population lives in rural
communities, in 2009 just 7% of foundation
grants went to rural communities.
 Between 2010 and 2014, per-capita giving
in large urban areas like New York City
reached nearly $2,000; it was just $41 per
capita in some of the nation’s most
impoverished rural communities, like
Alabama’s Black Belt and the Mississippi
Delta.
 Between 2001 and 2015, just 20% of
philanthropic giving was directed to the
South, which is home to large numbers of
African American and rural communities.
 Surveys of grant-makers in 2015 and 2018
found a decrease in grant-making
activities with an explicit focus on urban
communities and an increase in those
with a focus on rural communities.
Sources: USDA (2015); NCRP (2017); Bellwether Education
Partners (2019); Grantmakers for Education (2015 and 2018)
42
Large urban
32%
RuralSmall to mid-
size urban
Suburban
44%
62%
49%
37%
32%
27%
2015 2018
Education Grantmakers Reporting Explicit
Regional Focus
By community type, 2015 and 2018
47
Conclusion
While rural communities are not a monolith — they vary widely in their locations,
economies, and strengths and barriers — they tend to face some persistent challenges,
including higher rates of poverty, lower median household incomes, and lower rates of
educational attainment compared to urban areas.
The schools serving these rural communities often struggle with declining enrollment, high
rates of child poverty, low economies of scale, and a lack of human capital and adequate
transportation. Even so, while rural schools tend to lag behind suburban schools, they
outperform those located in cities and towns on the whole. But like other places,
achievement gaps persist across race and income levels.
The challenges facing rural communities and schools require different solutions and
approaches than those commonly used in more urban environments. And we’re not
starting from scratch — there are bright spots in rural education that should give the field
optimism about the potential for positive momentum in the years ahead.
We hope the data and information presented in this deck empowers researchers,
policymakers, and funders to make informed investments in rural communities and
schools.
48
About the Authors
Kelly Robson is an associate partner on the policy and evaluation team. She can be
reached at kelly.robson@bellwethereducation.org.
Phillip Burgoyne-Allen is an analyst on the policy and evaluation team. He can be
reached at phillip.burgoyne-allen@bellwethereducation.org.
Juliet Squire is a partner on the policy and evaluation team. She can be reached at
juliet.squire@bellwethereducation.org.
Jeff Schulz is a partner on the strategic advising team. He can be reached at
jeff.schulz@bellwethereducation.org.
49
Acknowledgments
Bellwether Education Partners would like to thank the Walton Family
Foundation for its support of this project.
Any errors are the responsibility of the authors alone.

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Wide Open Spaces: Schooling in Rural America Today

  • 1. December 2019 Kelly Robson, Phillip Burgoyne-Allen, Juliet Squire, and Jeff Schulz Wide-Open Spaces: Schooling in Rural America Today
  • 2. 2 Introduction Fourteen percent of the nation’s population lives in rural communities, and one in five K-12 students attends a rural school. This is a substantial portion of the population, but it’s far too often overlooked by education analysts, advocates, and policymakers. When rural education is addressed, the discussion is too often focused on the challenges facing those communities. To be sure, education policy and practice in rural communities must take into account broader community factors, such as limited economic opportunity, poor access to healthcare, and social challenges, like drug addiction. But focusing exclusively on these challenges overlooks key assets that can help create and sustain meaningful change in rural schools. Compared to communities in other geographies, rural communities tend to place high value on civic and community engagement, have high rates of volunteering and participation in community life, and have tight-knit networks of support. Community members tend to have a deep sense of and commitment to place that dates back generations. And at a state and national level, rural communities represent a powerful political voice. Moreover, rural communities are incredibly diverse, both economically and racially. Some of the country’s most impoverished areas are communities with significant minority populations in the rural South, along the U.S.-Mexico border, and on Native American reservations throughout the West. Those focused on improving outcomes for low-income and minority students simply cannot continue to overlook rural America. The purpose of this deck is to provide an overview of the state of rural communities and schools. It aims to equip advocates, decision-makers, and other stakeholders with a shared understanding of rural education to generate a more accurate and nuanced policy response.
  • 3. 3 Table of Contents Executive Summary The State of Rural America The State of Education in Rural America Looking Ahead
  • 4. 4 Executive Summary Rural communities: • Vary widely in their location, economies, and strengths and challenges • Tend to have higher rates of poverty, lower median household incomes, and lower levels of educational attainment on average than urban areas • Struggle with persistent social challenges and lack of access to amenities • Have higher rates of economic mobility in some places than urban areas Rural schools: • Face common challenges like declining enrollment, high rates of poverty, and a lack of human capital and adequate transportation • Face unique challenges, including urban-centric policy structures, low economies of scale, and access to fewer courses and other community assets • Tend to slightly lag behind suburban schools and outperform city and town schools, though achievement gaps across race and income levels persist • Send students to two-year college programs at similar rates as schools in other geographies, but trail suburban schools in enrollment in four-year programs Overview of Rural America Education in Rural America Looking Ahead Rural communities: • Can harness individual, organizational, civic, cultural, and historical assets to create a shared vision of the future • Can capitalize on deep relationships, a high degree of self-reliance, and flexibility and creativity to move toward a common goal • Can take advantage of increased focus on their needs by partnering with economic development organizations, nonprofits, and philanthropic institutions
  • 5. 5 Government agencies define “rural” differently; there is not a single agreed-upon way to identify rural communities U.S. Census Bureau Office of Management and Budget (OMB) U.S. Department of Agriculture Economic Research Services (ERS) National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) NCES uses an “urban-centric” classification system with four major locale categories: city, suburban, town, and rural. All categories are further subdivided; “rural” has three subcategories: fringe, distant, and remote. The Census Bureau defines “rural” as encompassing all population, housing, and territory not included within an urban area. OMB designates counties as “Metropolitan,” “Micropolitan,” or “Neither,” and considers all counties that are not part of a metropolitan statistical area (MSA) as rural. ERS typically studies conditions in nonmetropolitan counties, which include some combination of: counties that are not part of larger labor market areas, open countryside, rural towns, and urban areas with populations below 50,000. Note: The slides that follow represent “rural” data using the definition of the data source. Sources: NCES; USDA (2016); HRSA (2018) The wide variety in definitions complicates our analysis of rural America, but to use just one definition would place significant limits on the breadth of our understanding. We therefore draw on a wide range of sources that use all of the above definitions but refrain from comparing information between sources that use different definitions.
  • 6. 6 Table of Contents Overview of Rural America Executive Summary Education in Rural America Looking Ahead
  • 7. 7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 40% 2% 38% 22% 86% Percent of Counties Percent of Population 12% 3.1K 308.8M Mostly Urban Mostly Rural Completely Rural Note: Counties with 50% to 99.9% of the population living in rural areas are considered “mostly rural”; those with 100% rural population are considered “completely rural.” Source: Census (2010) Percent of Total Counties and Total Population By county type, 2010 Nationwide, 60% of counties are mostly or completely rural; these counties are home to 14% of the population Percent
  • 8. 8 Total Rural Population (in thousands) and Rural Population Share By state, 2010 The number of people and percent of the population living in rural counties vary by state Source: Census (2010) 1,880 (5%) 727 (19%) 1,073 (16%) 461 (29%) 157 (6%) 651 (10%) 260 (9%) 270 (40%) 696 (14%) 465 (23%) 199 (35%) 436 (44%) 1,418 (27%) 3,848 (15%) 1,266 (34%) 736 (26%) 491 (27%) 353 (43%) 1,477 (12%) 1,278 (44%) 1,771 (30%) 1,096 (36%) 1,697 (30%) 1,806 (42%) 2,133 (34%) 2,416 (25%) 1,958 (41%) 1,503 (51%) 1,216 (27%) 2,711 (21%) 950 (51%) 1,964 (25%) 3,234 (34%) 1,558 (34%) 1,661 (9%) 2,514 (25%) 2,547 (22%) 1,477 (12%) 241 (34%) 815 (61%) 2,350 (12%) 468 (5%) 150 (17%) 739 (13%) 429 (12%) 98 (9%) 526 (8%)382 (61%) 523 (40%) 1. Texas (3.8 M) 2. North Carolina (3.2 M) 3. Pennsylvania (2.7 M) 4. Ohio (2.5 M) 5. Michigan (2.5 M) Largest total rural population 1. Maine (61%) 2. Vermont (61%) 3. West Virginia (51%) 4. Mississippi (51%) 5. Montana (44%) Largest rural population share110 (8%)
  • 9. 9 Though primarily white, residents of rural communities come from all racial and ethnic backgrounds 61% 79% 58% 18% 9% 20% 12% 8% 13% 8% 2% 8% 1% 2% 1% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 National Rural Urban American Indian Black Other White Hispanic Percentofpopulation Sources: USDA ERS (2019); ACS (2017) Population Demographics By location, 2017 The population in rural areas is much less diverse than in urban areas; nearly 80% of America’s rural population is white, compared to 61% nationally and 58% in urban communities.
  • 10. 10 In many Southern states, minority groups make up substantial shares of the rural population 56% 70% 59% 48% 78% 71% 40% 24% 39% 1% 2% 49% 7% 21% 1% 0% 0% 2% 8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 4%1% GeorgiaAlabama 1% Mississippi 21K New Mexico Oklahoma 197K Texas 176K 275K 104K 269K 6% Other American Indian and Alaska Native Black Hispanic White Percentofpopulation Population Demographics of Completely Rural Counties By state, 2010 There is substantial demographic variation across states. For example, a plurality of residents in New Mexico’s most rural counties are Hispanic, 40% of residents in completely rural counties in Alabama are black, and 8% of residents in completely rural counties in Oklahoma are of American Indian or Native Alaskan descent. Note: Completely rural counties have a population that is 100% rural. Sources: American FactFinder (2019); Census (2016)
  • 11. 11 Rural counties struggle with higher average rates of poverty, deep poverty, and intergenerational poverty Sources: PBS (2017); Stanford (2017) Poverty Rates By metro/nonmetropolitan county and level of poverty, 2016 • On average, a higher rate of individuals living in nonmetropolitan counties live in poverty compared to those in metropolitan counties (19% vs. 14%). • A higher rate of nonmetropolitan residents live in deep poverty (<50% of the federal poverty line) than those in metropolitan counties. • Intergenerational poverty is also more common in the poorest rural areas, including among black families in the Deep South, white families in Appalachia and the Ozarks, Native Americans in states with large reservations, and Hispanics in communities along the U.S.-Mexico border. 0 5 10 15 20 2% 9% 5% 7% 3% Nonmetropolitan 7% Metropolitan Percentofpopulation 50-99% of poverty line <50% of poverty line 100-149% of poverty line
  • 12. 12 Rural poverty rates are highest among nonwhite populations … Note: Hispanics may be any race Source: USDA Economic Research Service Poverty Rates By race and region, 2013-2017 For members of all racial and ethnic groups, poverty rates are higher in nonmetropolitan areas compared to metropolitan areas. Rural poverty rates are highest among black and American Indian/Alaska native communities. Percent 14 32 31 25 14 11 22 22 19 9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Hispanic, any raceAmerican Indian/Alaska Nataive White White, non-HispanicBlack Nonmetro Metro
  • 13. 13 … and are particularly high for black and Hispanic children living in the South 19 19 17 23 15 47 33 42 47 3333 34 28 37 30 0 10 20 30 40 50 SouthNortheastU.S. Midwest West White HispanicBlack Rural Child Poverty Rates By race and region, 2015 Source: Carsey School of Public Policy • At 30%, the average rural child poverty rate is highest in the South • In all regions but the Northeast, black children have the highest rates of rural poverty • In all regions, rural child poverty rates for white children are below the regional averages Percentofchildren Regional Avg.
  • 14. 14 Rural counties also tend to have lower educational attainment and lower median incomes than urban counties 14% 12% 36% 26% 21% 20% 9% 8% 20% 34% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 UrbanRural Bachelor’s degree or higher Associate’s degree Some college, no degree High school diploma or equivalent Less than high school diploma or equivalent Percentattainingeachlevelofeducation Note: Cost of living in rural communities tends to be lower than in other communities, which may somewhat deflate differences in “real” income. Sources: USDA ERS (2019); Census (2019) $57,652 $59,970 $47,020 $44,020 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000 $45,000 $50,000 $55,000 $60,000 All Counties Completely Rural Mostly Urban Mostly Rural Educational Attainment for Adults 25 and Older By county type, 2017 Median Household Income By county type, 2013-2017 Rural Americans are more likely to have only a high school diploma, and less likely to have a four- year degree or higher, than their urban counterparts. Similarly, households in rural counties tend to have lower median incomes.
  • 15. 15 Drug overdose deaths in rural counties have outpaced those in urban counties, fueled largely by opioid addiction 2006 201320022000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 2.0K 2010 20122011 2014 20151999 4.3K 5.7K 1.7K 2.5K 3.0K 3.5K 4.0K 5.1K 5.4K 5.6K 6.0K 6.5K 6.3K 6.4K 6.8K 7.3K +325% Number of Deaths by Drug Overdose For nonmetropolitan counties, 2000 to 2015 • Between 2000 and 2015, the number of drug overdose deaths rose by 325 percent in nonmetropolitan counties, compared to 198 percent in metropolitan counties. • The drug overdose death rate in rural counties reached 18.7 deaths per 100,000 persons in 2016, nearly five times higher than it was in 2000. • Poor rural counties and those with low economic prospects are among the hardest hit; they have higher rates of opioid prescriptions, hospitalizations, and overdose deaths. Sources: CDC (2017); Brookings (2018); U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (2018)
  • 16. 16 And adults living in rural communities report persistent social challenges and lack of access to amenities Source: Pew Research Center (2018) 50 52 34 41 19 18 13 10 35 34 22 21 25 9 9 4 46 36 42 32 43 23 24 12 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Access to high- speed internet Access to good doctors and hospitals Drug addiction PovertyAvailability of affordable housing Availability of jobs Access to grocery stores Access to public transportation Urban Suburban Rural Problems Facing Communities Percent of adults saying each is a major problem in their community, by community type, 2018 Compared to adults living in suburban and urban communities, a higher percentage of adults living in rural communities report that the availability of jobs and access to public transportation, good doctors and hospitals, high-speed internet, and grocery stores are challenges in their communities. Percentofadults
  • 17. 17 Importantly, national and regional data mask differences between rural community types across the country 1. Innovation (e.g., universities and patents) 2. Development indicators (e.g., urban-rural continuum and real estate data) 3. Socioeconomic factors (e.g., poverty status and workforce participation) 4. Economic base (e.g., GDP by industry and productivity) 5. Human capital (e.g., population, demographics, and educational attainment) Recent research by Walmart and McKinsey & Company categorized communities along a continuum of urbanity using five broad categories of data: Their analysis identified eight community archetypes: Source: Walmart & McKinsey (2019)
  • 18. 18 Rural community archetypes span the country, and each has different assets and challenges Communities identified as “Distressed Americana” are present in nearly every region of the country. Source: Walmart & McKinsey (2019) Map of Community Archetypes By cluster group, 2019
  • 19. 19 In the upper Midwest, less densely populated areas have higher rates of upward economic mobility Sources: City Lab (2018); Opportunity Atlas; Chetty et al. (2018); Weber et al. (2018) Correlations between Population Density and Upward Mobility for White Children By state, 2018 In the Midwest and Mountain West, rural areas tend to have higher rates of upward mobility than urban areas, but that pattern is reversed in the Southeast. This variation suggests that the underlying drivers of economic mobility – and the potential policy solutions – may also vary greatly from place to place.
  • 20. 20 • The Joint Economic Committee’s Social Capital Project has created a state-level social capital index that includes indicators related to family unity and interaction, social support, community and institutional health, crime, and charitable donations. • Economic mobility tends to be higher when states score better on this social capital index. • Social capital is positively correlated with states that are less dense and more rural. 0 to 0.790.8 and above Social Capital Index Score: -0.8 and below-0.79 to -0.1 Sources: Joint Economic Committee (2018); NORC (2018) • The 12 states with the highest social capital scores are distributed across two continuous, mostly rural blocs – nine states in the Midwest and three states in the far Northeast. • Notably, much of the South and Southwest perform relatively poorly on the social capital index. • Research has shown that historical events, like slavery and Jim Crow laws in the South, and the forced movement and violence experienced by American Indian populations, have an ongoing impact on these regions and the challenges they face. Measures of social capital also demonstrate variability, with strong social capital also concentrated in the upper Midwest
  • 21. 21 While the Upper Midwest is often a bright spot among rural communities, the rural South stands out for its distress Source: Economic Innovation Group (2017) Economic Distress Scores By county, 2017 Prosperous Comfortable Mid-tier At risk Distressed Trends in economic and social distress in the rural South align to findings about the state of rural education across the country. Distress scores are measures of a county’s economic well-being relative to its peers
  • 22. 22 Table of Contents Executive Summary Overview of Rural America Education in Rural America Looking Ahead
  • 23. 23 Twenty-eight percent of the nation’s public schools are rural; these schools enroll 19% of all public pk-12 students 28% 13% 32% 27% Rural Town City Public Schools 99.8K Suburb 19% 11% 40% 30% Suburb City Public School Students Town Rural 50.3M Percent of Public Schools Nationwide By region, 2017 Percent of Students Nationwide By region, 2017 Source: ELSI
  • 24. 24 Total Rural Pk-12 Student Enrollment (in thousands) and Rural Student Enrollment Share By state, 2017 The number of rural students and rate of enrollment in rural schools vary substantially by state 378 (6%) 84 (14%) 132 (12%) 80 (27%) 29 (6%) 115 (10%) 67 (10%) 44 (40%) 122 (13%) 82 (24%) 28 (29%) 53 (36%) 191 (22%) 916 (17%) 214 (31%) 142 (29%) 85 (27%) 56 (41%) 291 (11%) 169 (34%) 249 (27%) 174 (34%) 199 (23%) 255 (37%) 301 (30%) 491 (28%) 297 (40%) 229 (47%) 198 (28%) 318 (18%) 116 (42%) 316 (25%) 570 (37%) 262 (34%) 332 (12%) 309 (20%) 386 (23%) 292 (28%) 41 (31%) 95 (53%) 303 (11%) 110 (8%) 27 (20%) 122 (14%) 61 (11%) 14 (10%) 86 (9%)47 (53%) 62 (34%) 18 (10%) 1. Texas (916K) 2. North Carolina (570K) 3. Georgia (491K) 4. Ohio (386K) 5. California (378K) Largest total rural student enrollment 1. Vermont (53%) 2. Maine (53%) 3. Mississippi (47%) 4. West Virginia (42%) 5. South Dakota (41%) Largest share of rural student enrollment Source: ELSI
  • 25. 25 White students make up a higher proportion of the overall rural student population compared to other geographies Nationwide Pk-12 Student Enrollment By region and race/ethnicity, 2017 Source: ELSI 48% 70% 63% 49% 29% 15% 9% 10% 14% 23% 26% 14% 20% 27% 36% 6% 7% 6% 6% Hispanic Suburb 4% Rural Town City Black 9.5M 5.6M 20M 15.3M 5% 5%Other Asian White 5% 2% Nationwide 50.3M 1%
  • 26. 26 However, in some states, minority groups make up substantial portions of rural student enrollment 56% 46% 42% 38% 7% White 2% 2% 3%1% 3% Mississippi Texas Other Asian Black Hispanic 229K 916K Pk-12 Enrollment in Rural Schools For Mississippi and Texas, by race/ethnicity, 2017 In Mississippi, black students make up more than one-third of the rural student enrollment, compared to 9% nationwide. In Texas, more than 40% of rural students are Hispanic, compared to 14% nationwide. Source: ELSI
  • 27. 27 Nationally, 46% of rural students qualify for free or reduced- price lunch (FRL), although rates are higher in many states 53% 46% Rural Town 58% Suburb 42% City Note: No rural student poverty data are available for DE, DC, MA, or TN. Source: ELSI The percentage of students eligible for FRL is lower for rural schools overall than schools located in towns or in cities. Rural poverty is largely concentrated in the South and Southeastern United States. Percentage of Pk-12 Public School Students Eligible for FRL By region, 2017 Rural Student Poverty States with rural student FRL-eligibility rates at or above 50%, 2017
  • 28. 28 At the K-12 level, rural students lag behind suburban students but outperform students in other locations PercentScoringProficientorAbove 34 34 36 36 35 36 45 45 45 46 44 45 46 37 35 35 40 36 36 37 39 39 43 44 40 40 40 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 35 SuburbCity Town Rural Source: NAEP Data Explorer Performance on Grade 4 Math NAEP By school location, 2007-2019 Regionally — across the Northeast, Midwest, West, and South — rural students consistently have proficiency rates lower than suburban students but higher than students in towns and cities. 29 29 30 32 32 31 38 38 39 40 41 42 41 30 29 30 33 32 31 30 34 33 35 36 36 35 34 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 28 Performance on Grade 4 Reading NAEP By school location, 2007-2019 PercentScoringProficientorAbove
  • 29. 29 Achievement gaps in math and reading persist among rural students along racial/ethnic lines ... PercentScoring ProficientorAbove 55 18 26 32 57 25 29 3945 15 28 17 46 20 28 19 0 20 40 60 American Indian/Alaska Native White Black Hispanic City Suburb RuralTown PercentScoring ProficientorAbove Source: NAEP Data Explorer Across school locations, black, Hispanic, and American Indian/Alaska Native students have lower rates of proficiency on the 4th grade NAEP than their white peers. In addition, rural white and American Indian/Alaska Native students both perform lower than their city and suburban peers. 49 16 21 22 50 23 27 25 38 12 18 16 39 17 21 19 0 10 20 30 40 50 HispanicWhite American Indian/Alaska Native Black Performance on Grade 4 Reading NAEP Assessment By student subgroup and school location, 2019 Performance on Grade 4 Mathematics NAEP Assessment By student subgroup and school location, 2019
  • 30. 30 ... as well as among other historically underserved subgroups 49 19 35 9 54 24 44 11 44 20 33 47 22 35 0 20 40 60 7 ELLFRPL-Ineligible FRPL-Eligible Not ELL 7 City Suburb RuralTown PercentScoring ProficientorAbove PercentScoring ProficientorAbove Source: NAEP Data Explorer Performance on Grade 4 Reading NAEP Assessment By student subgroup and school location, 2019 Rural students who are eligible for free and reduced-price lunch outperform similar students in other locations in math, and outperform their peers in cities and towns in reading. Rural students who are English language learners lag behind their peers in other locations. 57 23 40 18 61 27 50 15 53 26 40 14 53 28 42 13 0 20 40 60 80 FRPL-Ineligible FRPL-Eligible Not ELL ELL Performance on Grade 4 Mathematics NAEP Assessment By student subgroup and school location, 2019
  • 31. 31 Rural students graduate from high school at higher rates than students in other locations 80 84 75 77 63 88 91 83 83 78 86 88 82 84 74 89 91 85 86 77 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 All BlackWhite Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native SuburbCity Town Rural Source: NCES (2016-17) Public High School Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate By student subgroup and school location, 2016-17 Across most subgroups, rural students graduate from high school at rates that are similar or higher than their peers in other locations. PercentofStudents
  • 32. 32 At the postsecondary level, rural students matriculate to and complete two-year degrees at similar rates as their peers ... 23 29 73 8 21 26 77 8 23 26 72 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Two-Year College Persistence^ Two-Year College Enrollment (first fall)* Two-Year College Enrollment (two years)** Two-Year College Completion^^ Rural Suburban Urban PercentofStudents *First fall after high school graduation, class of 2017 **First two years after high school graduation, class of 2015 ^Persistence from first to second year of college, class of 2015 ^^Six-year completion rates, class of 2011 Source: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center (2018) Enrollment, Persistence, and Completion Rates at Two-Year Colleges By school location, various years • Rural students enroll in two-year colleges at similar rates as their urban and suburban peers. • Rural students are somewhat less likely to persist from their first year to their second year in two- year colleges than students from other locations. • While rural students are somewhat more likely to complete programs at two-year colleges within six years of enrolling, only 10% do so.
  • 33. 33 ... but they matriculate to and complete four-year degrees at lower rates than their suburban peers 40 42 91 28 47 50 92 3840 44 91 32 0 20 40 60 80 100 Four-Year College Enrollment (first fall)* Four-Year College Enrollment (two years)** Four-Year College Persistence^ Four-Year College Completion^^ Urban Suburban Rural PercentofStudents *First fall after high school graduation, class of 2017 **First two years after high school graduation, class of 2015 ^Persistence from first to second year of college, class of 2015 ^^Six-year completion rates, class of 2011 Source: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center (2018) Enrollment, Persistence, and Completion Rates at Four-Year Colleges By school location, various years • Rural students enroll in four-year colleges at higher rates than urban students but at lower rates than suburban students. • Rural students persist from their first year to their second year in four-year colleges at similar rates as their urban and suburban peers. • Rural students are more likely than urban students to complete programs at four-year colleges within six years of enrolling but are less likely to do so than suburban students.
  • 34. 34 Moreover, rural CTE programs may not be effectively designed, resourced, or implemented to maximize impact 78% 68% 91% 37% 70% 62% 77% 24% 68% 60% 76% 24% 60% 59% 67% 35% 0 20 40 60 80 100 Offer CTE courses that earn both high school and postsecondary credits Most or all CTE programs structured as career pathways Offer CTE courses that earn high school credits in math, science, ELA, or social studies Offer CTE courses online (including blended/hybrid courses) Rural Town City Suburb Percentofschooldistricts offeringCTEprograms Source: NCES (2018) Characteristics of CTE Programs Offered by School Districts By district type, 2016-17 • Ninety-eight percent of rural districts offer CTE programs to high school students but are less likely to provide programs that are career pathways, earn credit in key subject areas, or earn dual credit. • Rural districts are less likely to offer CTE programs that include student-run enterprises, mentoring by local employers, on-the-job training, and apprenticeships than other district types. • Rural districts are also less likely to get advice or guidance from employers on CTE programming and curriculum. • Rural districts are more likely to identify lack of funding, high program costs, and facilities limitations as “large” or “very large” barriers to providing CTE programs but less likely to cite finding or keeping teachers for in-demand industries as a challenge.
  • 35. 35 Limited postsecondary pathways can combine with “brain drain” to sap rural places of skilled workers -4.2 0 7.9 23 Net Brain Drain Share of highly educated leavers minus highly educated entrants, by state, 2017 • “Brain drain” is the phenomenon where educated individuals leave a community in search of better options elsewhere. • Rural communities that have limited career opportunities for educated individuals are especially susceptible to brain drain. • This population loss hurts the local tax base and can hamper economic growth. Note: “Net brain drain” is the difference between the share of highly educated individuals who leave a state and highly educated individuals who relocate to a state. Sources: Wharton Public Policy Initiative (2018); United States Congress Joint Economic Committee (2019)
  • 36. 36 Differences in educational attainment and earnings have economic implications for rural communities $72,348 $54,597 $36,738 $30,829 $23,158 $40,843 $54,513 $42,269 $32,020 $29,240 $22,248 $32,360 All earners Graduate or professional degree Bachelor’s degree Less than high school diploma Some college or associate’s degree High school diploma or equivalent Urban Rural Sources: USDA ERS (2019); Urban Institute (2018); USDA ERS (2014); Hechinger Report (2019); Georgetown CEW (2013) Rural populations have lower earnings than their urban counterparts across all levels of education — especially for bachelor’s and advanced degrees, though some of these disparities may be accounted for by differences in cost of living. Median Earnings By educational attainment and location, 2017
  • 37. 37 Especially as farming and manufacturing jobs decline, and new jobs require greater skills • The rise of globalization and the information economy has boosted returns to urban areas and devalued the resources and manual labor supplied by nonmetropolitan areas. • While the wage gap between regions was shrinking as recently as 1980, the last decade of growth has mostly been concentrated in a small number of urban hubs. • Jobs at “high risk”* of automation are more concentrated in rural communities; for example, about 25% of the jobs in Americana, Distressed Americana, Resource-Rich Regions, and Rural Service Hubs are considered high risk. There has been a decline in core industries that undergird rural economies, like timber, coal mining, tobacco, and textiles in Appalachia, or agriculture and low-skilled manufacturing in the Delta region. And continued automation could place additional stress on rural economies in the future. *”High-risk” jobs are defined as those susceptible to more than 70% automation. Note: “Large” communities are those with over 1M residents; “medium” between 250K and 1M; “small” between 50K and 250K; “micro” between 10K and 50K; “adjacent” are rural areas adjacent to a metro area; and “non-adjacent” are rural areas not adjacent to a metro area. Sources: Brookings (2018); MarketWatch (2019); Walmart & McKinsey (2019)
  • 38. 38 Table of Contents Executive Summary The State of Rural America The State of Education in Rural America Looking Ahead
  • 39. 39 Rural schools face challenges similar to urban schools, although they often manifest differently given geography Recruiting and retaining high-quality teachers, school leaders, and system leaders is a challenge many schools face, made more difficult in rural districts due to their isolation and lack of social, cultural, and economic amenities. Busing is costly for schools, especially in rural districts where students live far apart and frequently have long bus rides. School consolidations can make these rides even longer. Declining enrollment in rural schools can lead to challenges including school closure and/or consolidation, tighter budgets, and fewer school amenities and extracurricular activities. Rural schools struggle with high rates of poverty. Although FRL eligibility is lower on average, rural counties tend to have higher rates of children living in poverty compared to urban counties. Enrollment Poverty Human Capital Transportation
  • 40. 40 Rural schools also face challenges unique to their geography Due to their size and human capital challenges, rural schools often struggle to offer students robust course options. This is particularly true for specialized coursework (e.g., high-level math or science, or foreign languages). Rural communities often lack the social and cultural assets common in larger communities (like YMCAs, preschools, nonprofits, etc.). Schools either must attempt to compensate, or students may go without access to these opportunities. Policies written with urban schools in mind often create additional barriers for rural schools. For example, school improvement policies that require replacing low-performing staff can exasperate rural schools’ human capital challenges. States’ school funding policies often disadvantage rural schools due to their size, and rural schools often lack a strong tax base, making it difficult to pass levies and bonds to fund district needs. Policy Barriers Funding Course Access Community Assets
  • 41. 41 Common strategies for improving K-12 education have some benefits for rural schools but also create challenges Sources: EdTech Magazine (2018); ROCI (2015); Education Superhighway (2018); NCES (2018); Education Next (2015 and 2019); Fordham Institute (2017) Strategy Benefits Challenges Technology • Technology can increase access to effective teachers and other educational resources. • It can also provide opportunities for personalized learning. • Ninety-eight percent of school districts have internet speeds meeting the FCC’s 100 kbps per student goal. • Only 59% of nonmetropolitan children have internet access at home. • Many rural students live far away from school, limiting their ability to rely on their schools for internet access. School Options • Charter schools can reduce compliance burdens and provide more specialized education options. • Greater access to courses beyond district offerings could allow rural students to have more options without disrupting local schools. • Charter schools in rural communities may pull students and funding away from one school or a small number of schools already facing constrained budgets, and therefore often face community backlash. • Course access often depends on students’ access to broadband, which is often constrained. Teacher Evaluation • Teacher evaluation reforms can help reward and retain effective teachers and remove minimally effective teachers from the classroom. • Rural schools already struggle to attract a sufficient number of teachers, meaning supply-side approaches, like recruiting efforts and certifying paraprofessionals, may be more promising in these areas.
  • 42. 42 Nonetheless, many rural districts have been able to succeed despite their challenges and resource constraints Developing relationships with students, staff, and the community • Leaders in these districts prioritized relationships and put real effort into building and sustaining them. • For example, Holyoke School District in Colorado sought the input of its teachers, parents, and local businesses on raising the district’s student achievement goals, which increased community support and teacher buy-in. • These districts rely on local ingenuity and resourcefulness rather than looking to others to solve their problems. • For example, in Lincoln, Wyoming, teachers created their own professional development program, which other districts around the country have now adopted. • District leaders talked about problem-solving and the conscious financial trade-offs they made to better support students. • Typically, these districts focus their funding on improving instruction, attracting high- quality teachers, and rewarding good performance. Utilizing flexibility, creativity, and self- reliance Making conscious trade-offs Respecting costs and stewarding public funds • Leaders in these districts are frugal, determined to get the most out of every dollar, and don’t assume that every change in the schools will require new money. • For example, when Brackettville, Texas, failed to raise additional funds for replacing a building, the district opted to renovate the school with existing funds, and used modular buildings to add a 10-classroom facility. Source: ROCI (2015) Research has shown that a higher portion of remote rural districts fall into the category of being “productivity superstars,” exhibiting higher outcomes than would be predicted by their mix of students and access to funds. These districts share common themes:
  • 43. 43 And rural communities have many strengths that can help support efforts to strengthen the local school system Organizational and Associational Assets Community Assets Cultural Assets and Historical Context Individual Assets • Research has shown that rural communities’ “greatest assets are their people.” • These assets include civic and community engagement through volunteerism, entrepreneurship, and the resilience and adaptive capacities of rural residents. • Schools serve as anchor institutions in many rural areas, and educational institutions across all academic levels have been identified as strong community assets. • Faith-based organizations are an important asset in rural communities, providing social support and a place to gather and discuss topics that impact the community more broadly. • Small businesses and chambers of commerce also help rural areas create jobs and wealth, and they often invest in the local community. • Many rural community assets are tied to natural resources, including water, land, resources used for energy, and timber. • Many people in rural areas feel a deep connection to where they grew up and have a strong sense of history and place. • They also have important cultural assets, including a close-knit sense of community, strong family support systems and neighborly social ties, and pride in self and family. Sources: NORC (2018); Disability and Vocational Rehabilitation in Rural Settings (2017)
  • 44. 44 Dozens of organizations have been working in rural communities for decades
  • 45. 45 In particular, economic development initiatives are working to bridge the gap between K-12 schools and postsecondary options • Established by an act of Congress in 1965, the Appalachian Regional Commission (ARC) is a regional economic development agency that represents a partnership of federal, state, and local government. • ARC makes investments across Appalachia to pursue various goals, like boosting economic opportunities, readying the workforce, supporting critical infrastructure like broadband and transportation, and building the capacity of leaders and communities. • ARC’s education and training activities focus on a range of issues, including workforce skills, early childhood education, dropout prevention, and improved college attendance. • The Golden LEAF Foundation is a nonprofit organization that receives a portion of North Carolina’s funding from the 1998 Master Settlement Agreement with cigarette manufacturers. • Golden LEAF has worked to increase economic opportunity in North Carolina’s rural and tobacco-dependent communities under multiple focus areas. • In education, the foundation focuses on graduating students from high school and college and has funded projects like scholarships, teacher training, and STEM and educational technology programs. • The foundation also funds projects that develop skills needed by businesses looking to locate or expand in rural communities. Sources: ARC (here and here); Golden Leaf (here, here, and here)
  • 46. 46 Rural areas have received relatively little philanthropic investment in the past, but the tides may be turning  Although 19% of the population lives in rural communities, in 2009 just 7% of foundation grants went to rural communities.  Between 2010 and 2014, per-capita giving in large urban areas like New York City reached nearly $2,000; it was just $41 per capita in some of the nation’s most impoverished rural communities, like Alabama’s Black Belt and the Mississippi Delta.  Between 2001 and 2015, just 20% of philanthropic giving was directed to the South, which is home to large numbers of African American and rural communities.  Surveys of grant-makers in 2015 and 2018 found a decrease in grant-making activities with an explicit focus on urban communities and an increase in those with a focus on rural communities. Sources: USDA (2015); NCRP (2017); Bellwether Education Partners (2019); Grantmakers for Education (2015 and 2018) 42 Large urban 32% RuralSmall to mid- size urban Suburban 44% 62% 49% 37% 32% 27% 2015 2018 Education Grantmakers Reporting Explicit Regional Focus By community type, 2015 and 2018
  • 47. 47 Conclusion While rural communities are not a monolith — they vary widely in their locations, economies, and strengths and barriers — they tend to face some persistent challenges, including higher rates of poverty, lower median household incomes, and lower rates of educational attainment compared to urban areas. The schools serving these rural communities often struggle with declining enrollment, high rates of child poverty, low economies of scale, and a lack of human capital and adequate transportation. Even so, while rural schools tend to lag behind suburban schools, they outperform those located in cities and towns on the whole. But like other places, achievement gaps persist across race and income levels. The challenges facing rural communities and schools require different solutions and approaches than those commonly used in more urban environments. And we’re not starting from scratch — there are bright spots in rural education that should give the field optimism about the potential for positive momentum in the years ahead. We hope the data and information presented in this deck empowers researchers, policymakers, and funders to make informed investments in rural communities and schools.
  • 48. 48 About the Authors Kelly Robson is an associate partner on the policy and evaluation team. She can be reached at kelly.robson@bellwethereducation.org. Phillip Burgoyne-Allen is an analyst on the policy and evaluation team. He can be reached at phillip.burgoyne-allen@bellwethereducation.org. Juliet Squire is a partner on the policy and evaluation team. She can be reached at juliet.squire@bellwethereducation.org. Jeff Schulz is a partner on the strategic advising team. He can be reached at jeff.schulz@bellwethereducation.org.
  • 49. 49 Acknowledgments Bellwether Education Partners would like to thank the Walton Family Foundation for its support of this project. Any errors are the responsibility of the authors alone.