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PART II: Methodological Considerations
• The Motive: Why Did We Do This?

• The Scene of the Crime: A Rigorous Virtual
  Testing Methodology

• The Verdict: Virtual Shopping Hypotheses…and What Is
  Actually Real
Global Leader in                                  Pioneer in Immersive
    Community Panels                                      Virtual Testing


                    Intersection of Research & Technology
      Engaging Visual                                Data Visualization & Rapid
    Questions/ Exercises                                 Online Reporting




3
WHY DID WE DO THIS?
THE MOTIVE
• ‘Virtual Shopping’ is over a decade old
   – Vision Critical a pioneer, powering the industry

• Lots of new technology, lots of theories
   –   From super computer to notebook
   –   From flat images to 3D modeling
   –   From central location to online
   –   From curiosity to key tool in category management

• Real world validation is well documented, but no true ‘best
  practices’ for wide variety of virtual methods used

            We Wanted to Set The Record Straight!
TODAY’S WEBINAR:
        THE VIRTUAL SHOPPING HYPOTHESES
► Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic
► ‘Dummy Shop’ Produces Better Data
► Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposures
THE SCENE OF THE CRIME
A Rigorous Virtual Shopping Methodology
• n=1800 category buyers; Vision Critical Springboard America Panel
• 20-minute questionnaire online

Multiple Types of Tests Included (~N=200 per test)
• Multi-cell design, monadic and sequential monadic depending on test
• Point-in-time and longitudinal depending on test
• Online 2D full standard aisle/Online 3D full standard aisle
MONADIC IS
SUPERIOR TO
SEQUENTIAL
MONADIC
First, Second and Third Category Exposure Randomized




                    Variety of shelf configurations tested
               Both monadic and sequential monadic methods
                       Up to three shops per interview
        Respondent was received the same instructions before each shop

9
Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic
                               In a sequential monadic design, the number of product views decreased
                               in the 2nd and 3rd shops; as did shop time
                               Basket size/spend statistically consistent across shops


                                                                                                                                     Shop Time
                                                                                             Purchases               Views   $ Spent   (min)


                           First Shop (A)                                                    2.3            6.4 B            $9.31     4.4 B




                  Second/Third Shop (B)                                                     2.2         3.7                  $8.80      1.6




     Note: 3 POGs tested in 3 positions – averages across the 3 shown on this page,
10   Uppercase letters indicate the number is statistically higher than other at 95% confidence level, lower case at 90%
Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic


                                                              Sequential
               Monadic                                         Monadic

                Shorter               Survey length             Longer

                 More            Sample required                 Less




         Ideal when objectives                           Ideal for testing wide
     require full investigation the                    range of differences from
        shelf; Allows for greater                     aisle to aisle; When doing
      in-depth diagnostic follow-                     a ‘disaster check’ on major
       up questions/shopability;                       category/pricing changes
               Findability

11
‘DUMMY SHOPS’
PRODUCE
BETTER DATA
‘Dummy Shop’ Example Shelfset




     Prior to actual shop, ‘Dummy Shop’ with one cell of respondents
               Both cells shopped the same ‘actual’ Shelfset
          Both cells had similar instructions prior to ‘actual’ shop

13
‘Dummy Shops’ Produce Better Data
                               ‘Dummy Shop’ respondents spend less time during the ‘actual’ shop
                               But spending, basket size and examination behaviors are similar
                               Satisfaction data consistent as well

                                                                                                                                         Shop Time
                                                                                            Purchases               Views        $ Spent   (min)


                  With Dummy Shop (A)                                                       2.3              5.9                 $9.37      3.0




                Without Dummy Shop (B)                                                       2.4             5.8                 $9.58     3.6 B




14   Note: Uppercase letters indicate the number is statistically higher than other at 95% confidence level, lower case at 90%
‘Dummy Shops’ Produce Better Data



             Dummy Shop                                  No Dummy Shop

                  ×                     Cost                    
                  ×                 Time to set up              
          Longer (2 shopping
                                    Survey length             Shorter
              exercises)



          From a behavioral                          Suitable for most projects;
     standpoint, no real benefit;                     Detailed virtual shopping
     Takes away valuable survey                      instructions are sufficient
        real estate; Helpful for
           ‘disguising’ test

15
SPENDING INCREASES
WITH REPEAT
CATEGORY EXPOSURES
Longitudinal First, Second and Third Category Exposures




                            Same, full category layout in 2D
     Longitudinal sampling one week later and five weeks later (same respondents)
     Sample sizes reduced slightly each time (n=200 first; n=95 completed all three)
                             No package changes included
17
Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposure
          Shoppers become familiar with the shelf in the first exposure
          Basket size & spending consistent
          There were no significant differences in the brands purchased
                                                                          Shop Time
                                        Purchases    Views   $ Spent        (min)

     First Exposure (A)               2.3      6.0            $9.29          2.9




      Second Exposure                                                        2.9
                                      2.2     4.4             $8.84
     (1 Week Later) (B)




       Third Exposure                 2.2     4.9
     (5 Weeks Later) (C)                                      $9.25          2.6


18
Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposure




           One Exposure                           Repeat Exposure

              Shorter              Timeline             Longer

               Lower                Cost                Higher




     Suitable for most projects;                 Ideal for understanding
        Particularly in static                  impact on shopping over
             categories                       time; Seasonal categories &
                                                  changing competitive
                                                context; Package testing


19
VIRTUAL SHOPPING HYPOTHESES

► Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic
► ‘Dummy Shop’ Produces Better Data
► Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposures
Conclusions

                      Technology is never a substitute
                           for sound research design

     Match the technology to the business
     issues (and know when to say when!)


            Leveraging technology effectively can bring
                    innovation to the research process

21
Questions?

                Ideas for Future Waves?

Will be presenting Oct 1-3 at LEAD Marketing Conference

  See you at Shopper Insights in Action July 18th-20th !

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Virtual Shopping Methodology Verdict

  • 1. PART II: Methodological Considerations
  • 2. • The Motive: Why Did We Do This? • The Scene of the Crime: A Rigorous Virtual Testing Methodology • The Verdict: Virtual Shopping Hypotheses…and What Is Actually Real
  • 3. Global Leader in Pioneer in Immersive Community Panels Virtual Testing Intersection of Research & Technology Engaging Visual Data Visualization & Rapid Questions/ Exercises Online Reporting 3
  • 4. WHY DID WE DO THIS?
  • 5. THE MOTIVE • ‘Virtual Shopping’ is over a decade old – Vision Critical a pioneer, powering the industry • Lots of new technology, lots of theories – From super computer to notebook – From flat images to 3D modeling – From central location to online – From curiosity to key tool in category management • Real world validation is well documented, but no true ‘best practices’ for wide variety of virtual methods used We Wanted to Set The Record Straight!
  • 6. TODAY’S WEBINAR: THE VIRTUAL SHOPPING HYPOTHESES ► Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic ► ‘Dummy Shop’ Produces Better Data ► Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposures
  • 7. THE SCENE OF THE CRIME A Rigorous Virtual Shopping Methodology • n=1800 category buyers; Vision Critical Springboard America Panel • 20-minute questionnaire online Multiple Types of Tests Included (~N=200 per test) • Multi-cell design, monadic and sequential monadic depending on test • Point-in-time and longitudinal depending on test • Online 2D full standard aisle/Online 3D full standard aisle
  • 9. First, Second and Third Category Exposure Randomized Variety of shelf configurations tested Both monadic and sequential monadic methods Up to three shops per interview Respondent was received the same instructions before each shop 9
  • 10. Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic In a sequential monadic design, the number of product views decreased in the 2nd and 3rd shops; as did shop time Basket size/spend statistically consistent across shops Shop Time Purchases Views $ Spent (min) First Shop (A) 2.3 6.4 B $9.31 4.4 B Second/Third Shop (B) 2.2 3.7 $8.80 1.6 Note: 3 POGs tested in 3 positions – averages across the 3 shown on this page, 10 Uppercase letters indicate the number is statistically higher than other at 95% confidence level, lower case at 90%
  • 11. Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic Sequential Monadic Monadic Shorter Survey length Longer More Sample required Less Ideal when objectives Ideal for testing wide require full investigation the range of differences from shelf; Allows for greater aisle to aisle; When doing in-depth diagnostic follow- a ‘disaster check’ on major up questions/shopability; category/pricing changes Findability 11
  • 13. ‘Dummy Shop’ Example Shelfset Prior to actual shop, ‘Dummy Shop’ with one cell of respondents Both cells shopped the same ‘actual’ Shelfset Both cells had similar instructions prior to ‘actual’ shop 13
  • 14. ‘Dummy Shops’ Produce Better Data ‘Dummy Shop’ respondents spend less time during the ‘actual’ shop But spending, basket size and examination behaviors are similar Satisfaction data consistent as well Shop Time Purchases Views $ Spent (min) With Dummy Shop (A) 2.3 5.9 $9.37 3.0 Without Dummy Shop (B) 2.4 5.8 $9.58 3.6 B 14 Note: Uppercase letters indicate the number is statistically higher than other at 95% confidence level, lower case at 90%
  • 15. ‘Dummy Shops’ Produce Better Data Dummy Shop No Dummy Shop × Cost  × Time to set up  Longer (2 shopping Survey length Shorter exercises) From a behavioral Suitable for most projects; standpoint, no real benefit; Detailed virtual shopping Takes away valuable survey instructions are sufficient real estate; Helpful for ‘disguising’ test 15
  • 17. Longitudinal First, Second and Third Category Exposures Same, full category layout in 2D Longitudinal sampling one week later and five weeks later (same respondents) Sample sizes reduced slightly each time (n=200 first; n=95 completed all three) No package changes included 17
  • 18. Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposure Shoppers become familiar with the shelf in the first exposure Basket size & spending consistent There were no significant differences in the brands purchased Shop Time Purchases Views $ Spent (min) First Exposure (A) 2.3 6.0 $9.29 2.9 Second Exposure 2.9 2.2 4.4 $8.84 (1 Week Later) (B) Third Exposure 2.2 4.9 (5 Weeks Later) (C) $9.25 2.6 18
  • 19. Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposure One Exposure Repeat Exposure Shorter Timeline Longer Lower Cost Higher Suitable for most projects; Ideal for understanding Particularly in static impact on shopping over categories time; Seasonal categories & changing competitive context; Package testing 19
  • 20. VIRTUAL SHOPPING HYPOTHESES ► Monadic Is Superior to Sequential Monadic ► ‘Dummy Shop’ Produces Better Data ► Spending Increases With Repeat Category Exposures
  • 21. Conclusions Technology is never a substitute for sound research design Match the technology to the business issues (and know when to say when!) Leveraging technology effectively can bring innovation to the research process 21
  • 22. Questions? Ideas for Future Waves? Will be presenting Oct 1-3 at LEAD Marketing Conference See you at Shopper Insights in Action July 18th-20th !