Venture K Trends Ppt.
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The document analyzes past venture capital investment trends to make predictions about the future of the industry. It finds that after peaking at over $100B in the late 1990s, VC investments fell sharply to under $25B after the dot-com bubble burst. The authors predict a gradual shakeout of existing VC firms, with half possibly closing. Their analysis of economic data suggests a realistic scenario of $5-15B in annual VC investments going forward. This would lead to lower overall returns and fewer, though still established, venture firms remaining in the industry.
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The document discusses the outlook for the financial sector following the financial crisis. It argues that banks now have record levels of excess capital and liquidity that will be deployed aggressively, driving strong earnings growth and multiple expansion in financial stocks. The valuation of financial stocks is at historic lows compared to their historic earnings and cash flows. However, fund managers remain significantly underweight financial stocks due to the complexities of bank accounting and lingering effects of the crisis. The document advocates that the set-up is similar to the post-savings and loan crisis period of the 1990s, which saw a powerful rally in financial stocks. It evaluates specific banks like Fifth Third Bancorp using the CAMEL framework to assess their financial strength and outlook.
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