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Using New Modeling Technology to
Help Solve Heavy Oil Processing
Issues




© 2010 Invensys. All Rights Reserved. The names, logos, and taglines identifying the products and services of Invensys are proprietary marks of Invensys or its
subsidiaries. All third party trademarks and service marks are the proprietary marks of their respective owners.
www.real-time-answers.com/refinery/
Introducing our first speaker
Crude Oil
Yesterday and Today
• Initially oil was developed
  based on it ease of access
  and quality
 – Light Sweet Crude
 – Relatively shallow fields
• However…"The easy oil is
  coming to an end“*
 – Production in the North Sea
   is on the Decline
 – Major oil fields in the Gulf
   region have pumped more
   than half their oil
                                              Drumbeat: October 5, 2009, The Oil Drum

   *Alex Munton, Analyst for Wood Mackenzie
Crude Oil Demand

• Demand keeps increasing
 –Growth in China and India
  jumped by 2.3 MBPD barrels
  in 2010
 –Current consumption is +87
  MBPD and expected to
  increase 2-3% per year
 –Prices per BBL remaining at
  $80 to $100




                                EIA, International Energy Outlook 2011
Heavy Oil / Bitumen
Gaining Momentum
• Largest % of Reserves
• Aggressively being
  sought out as prices
  remain elevated.
• Resources are estimated
  +8 Trillion Barrels                                  Bitumen
                                                         30%
                                                                    Conventional
                                                                       30%
 –That’s about 100 years of
  global consumption at
  current levels.                                                     Heavy 15%
                                                        Extra
                                                      Heavy 25%



                   Alboudwarej, Hussein, "Highlighting Heavy Oil“
                   Oilfield Review (Schlumberger).
Heavy Oil / Bitumen Deposits (MBBL)

                                                529

     3041

                     92
                                        482

                                                          178
                            971
                                          18


                      129
                                                                 72
              3359




  Heavy Oil                   USGS, Heavy Oil and Natural Bitumen
                              Resources in Geological Basins of the World
  Bitumen
Characteristics

• High asphaltene content
 –Incorporates roughly 90 percent
  of the sulfur and metals in the oil
• Dense, viscous nature
  (similar to molasses),
• Contains impurities such as
  waxes and carbon residue.
• API Gravity from 22° to
  below 10°
                                           3D Picture of
                                         Venezuelan Crude
                                        Asphaltene Molecule
Challenges – Technology &
Infrastructure
Production

• Location (e.g. Tar Sands)

• Extraction Processes

Transportation

• Limited Pipelines

• Flow capability

Processing

• Old Equipment Designs

• Impurity Removal

• Inconsistency in composition
Investment is Ongoing

• Extraction Technologies
 – Expect $20 Billion USD in Western
   Canada alone
 – Mining Technologies / In Situ
   development, e.g. SAGD

• Billions in Transportation
 – Keystone XL Pipeline

• Billions in Refining Investments
 – $1.6 Billion upgrade at Valero Port Arthur
 – $3.7 Billion expansion Cenovus
   /ConocoPhillips Wood River
The Role of Modeling

• Models serve a critical role in
  the production, transportation
  and processing of crude oil
 – Design: Proper sizing and costing
   of equipment
 – Operate: Used to study changes
   in the process, changes in the
   feedstock, Operating Training
   simulation
 – Optimize: Reduce Energy,
   Increase Product Value, Improve
   Procedures
Getting It Right

• Years of experience on
  light crudes
• Heavy Crudes are a
  challenge
 –Lack of experience
 –Complex relationships
 –Impurities



    Without the proper models, companies run the
       risk of not getting the most out of their
                     Investment!
Introducing our second speaker
Agenda – Heavy Oils Webinar

• Functionality currently available to improve simulations of processes
  with heavy oils and bitumens
   • Improved characterization of high boiling point petro components (Tb > 1,000K)
   • Improved accuracy in prediction of liquid viscosity
   • Improved accuracy in prediction of liquid thermal conductivity
   • EoS binary interaction parameters for accurate prediction of Hg solubility in light
     hydrocarbons
   • EoS binary interaction parameters for accurate prediction of H2 and H2S
     solubility in hydro-processing applications

• Functionality under development
   • Characterization of asphaltenes and prediction of phase equilibrium
   • Molecular-based characterization as alternative to petro-components
   • New properties from structure method for improved accuracy of thermo-
     physical properties
Heavy Oil Method for Characterization

• The original SIMSCI (Twu)
  correlation was developed for
  Normal Boiling Points (NBP)
  of up to 1000 K (1340 oF).

• The Heavy Oil method
  extrapolates critical properties
  and molecular weight to NBPs
  above 1000 K.

• Property at 1000K is used as
  reference and extrapolation is
  based on constant Watson K
  to NBP of pseudo component
Method for Improved Accuracy in Prediction
of Liquid Viscosity
• Based on correlation published by Twu* [1985]
• Uses principle of corresponding states
 – Normal alkane reference series

 – Kinematic viscosities at 100oF and 210oF are estimated for n-alkane with same boiling
   point as fluid of interest

 – Kinematic viscosities at 100oF and 210oF are calculated for fluid of interest based on
   perturbation from reference series, based on specific gravity and boiling point.

• Walther equation is fitted to estimate temperature dependence and
  used to interpolate or extrapolate


    *Twu, C.H., Ind. Eng. Chem. Process Des. Dev., 24 (1985)
    1287-1293




  Slide 16
Effect of Accuracy of Viscosity Prediction on
Heat Exchanger Performance

  Crude
20.98oAPI
  735oF
  MeABP
  11.43
Watson K
  103oF
 400 psig




                            Vac Resid
                             4.6oAPI
                             1182oF
                             MeABP
                              11.35
                            Watson K
                Slide 18
                              278oF
                            250 psig
Effect of Accuracy of Viscosity Prediction on
Heat Exchanger Performance
                 Viscosity(L)     Measured API Procedure   Heavy Oil
                  method           Values  11A4.2 (2011)   Prediction

  Crude
              Duty (106 BTU/hr)    3.654        8.976        5.432
20.98oAPI
  735oF
  MeABP       LMTD (oF)             165         150           159
  11.43       U (BTU/hr/ft2/oF)    4.657        12.62        7.144
Watson K      Shell Side
  103oF       Tout (oF)             265         245           258
 400 psig
              ΔP (psi)               58          8            27
              Tube Side
              Tout (oF)             110         119           113
              ΔP (psi)               9           13           11
                                           Vac Resid
                                            4.6oAPI
                                            1182oF
                                            MeABP
                                             11.35
                                           Watson K
                 Slide 19
                                             278oF
                                           250 psig
Effect of Accuracy of Viscosity Prediction on
Heat Exchanger Performance
               Temperature, oF   Crude Kinematic Viscosity, cSt
                                 Measured API 11A4.2     Heavy Oil
  Crude
20.98oAPI                  60      49.75      111.6        70.65
  735oF                    80      27.95      58.77        39.69
  MeABP                    100     17.52      34.26        24.38
  11.43
Watson K                         Vac Resid Kinematic Viscosity, cSt
  103oF                    210     6787       454.0         4784
 400 psig
                           250     1261       147.5        858.5
                           300     274.6      50.83        176.8



                                      Vac Resid
                                       4.6oAPI
                                       1182oF
                                       MeABP
                                        11.35
                                      Watson K
                Slide 20
                                        278oF
                                      250 psig
Conclusions: SimSci Heavy Oil Method for
Liquid Viscosity Prediction
• Method results in a significant improvement to accuracy of
  prediction of liquid viscosities
 – Marked improvement in the 100 cSt to 100,000 cSt range
 – No reduction in accuracy in the 0.1 cST to 100 cSt range
• Temperature dependence, especially at low temperatures is
  improved
• Observations:
 – Method is very sensitive to value used for normal boiling point (method
   uses SimDis 50% point)
 – It appears best to treat undefined portion of fluid (petro fractions) as
   single component and avoid applying mixing rules to individual component
   viscosities
 – Accuracy may be improved further if more heavy oil viscosity data are
   made available
 – Some correlation between viscosity and asphaltene content was expected,
   but not supported by current data set




  Slide 21
Prediction of Liquid Thermal Conductivity
• Negligible amount of published data for liquid thermal conductivity
  for bitumens and heavy oils
  – Data from Wiltec* for narrow boiling fractions from SRC-II coal liquids
• Fortunately, thermal conductivity (λL) for most organic liquids varies
  between 0.10 and 0.17 W.m-1.K-1and varies linearly with temperature
  – No successful theory, to date, for predicting λL
  – Approximate techniques are recommended for engineering calculations
• Heavy Oil Method (modified Sato-Riedel)
λL = const1 + const2(1 – Tr)2/3
                                                                                     Heavy
                                                                                      Oil




*Gray, J.A., Brady, C.J., Cunningham, J.R., Freeman, J.R., Wilson, G.M., Ind. Eng. Chem. Process Des. Dev. 1983,
22, 410-424
Conclusions: Liquid Thermal Conductivity
• The best and the worst:
 – Riazi & Faghri method predicts wrong sign of temperature gradient for
   heaviest fractions
 – Heavy Oil method (based on Sato-Riedel) requires only estimate of
   critical temperature, Tc and appears to be the most accurate
• Very little data available
 – No data on bitumens
 – Some evaluated data on pure components from NIST via TDE
 – Coal liquid data (used as surrogate for bitumen) are suspect




  Slide 23
Adverse impact of Mercury


• Process impairment
• Process equipment failure (corrosion / cracking)
• Catalyst poisoning
• Adsorption bed malfunction
• Wastewater contamination
• Mercury carryover in flare systems
Mercury Solubility in n-Alkanes at 30°C
                                  1.8
 Mercury Solubility (ppm-molar)



                                  1.6



                                  1.4



                                  1.2



                                   1                      Measured
                                                          ZERO Kij's (SRK EOS) ‐ Uncorrected Mercury Vapor Pressures
                                  0.8                     CUSTOM Kij's (SRK EOS) ‐ Uncorrected Mercury Vapor Pressures
                                                          ZERO Kij's (SRKM EOS)

                                  0.6                     CUSTOM Kij's (SRKM EOS)



                                  0.4



                                  0.2
                                        5   6         7                     8                       9                    10

                                                Carbon Number of n-Alkane
Results


Mercury — n‐Alkane (nC1 – nC10) binary interaction parameters available for
low pressure, low temperature (0-65 °C) applications


SRK, SRKM, PR and PRM Equations of State
• Predicted solubility validated against thermodynamic and plant data


SRKM and PRM Equations of State
•Additionally, EOS α-parameters fine-tuned to match mercury vapor
pressures to 1500 K
Hydrogen Solubility Prediction
• Heavy Oils require increased Hydroprocessing to remove trace
  impurities (Sulfur, Nitrogen etc)
• Supply and Management of Hydrogen is critical to Refinery
  optimization and meeting stringent Sulfur specification
• Current techniques are inaccurate as T & P dependence not
  considered
 – Very little published data with Heavy Fractions

• Invensys SimSci-Esscor is taking to lead in this emerging area
 – Improve prediction of H2 solubility in hydrocarbons
 – Improve prediction of H2S solubility
 – Improve prediction of NH3 solubility
Hydrogen – n-Paraffins kij = kij(T)




         P, T, x regression




                   Invensys proprietary &
                                            Slide 28


                   confidential
Hydrogen – mono-aromatics kij = kij(T)




           P, T, x regression




                 Invensys proprietary &
                                          Slide 29


                 confidential
Solubility of hydrogen in n-decane – no kijs




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 30


               confidential
Solubility of hydrogen in n-decane – with kijs




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 31


               confidential
Observations and Conclusions
• For H2 – hydrocarbon binaries, kij appears to be a linear function of
  temperature
 – kij should take values greater than unity at high temperatures

• For H2 – hydrocarbon binaries, kij required for an aromatic
  component appears to be larger than kij for similar molecular weight
  paraffin
• For H2S – hydrocarbon binaries, kij is poorly correlated with
  temperature
 ‒ Very low R2 values

• Work is continuing for NH3 – hydrocarbon binaries
• Work is continuing to generalize kij for undefined narrow-boiling
  fractions (petro components), based on molecular descriptor(s)
 – Boiling point, API gravity and/or molecular weight
Functionality Under Development



• Asphaltene Phase Behavior
• Component-Based
  Characterization
• Properties from Structure




© 2010 Invensys. All Rights Reserved. The names, logos, and taglines identifying the products and services of Invensys are proprietary marks of Invensys or its
subsidiaries. All third party trademarks and service marks are the proprietary marks of their respective owners.
Asphaltenes
•       Bitumen and heavy oils are rich in             Structures of Hypothetical Asphaltene
        asphaltenes                                    Components*
    •   Heaviest, most polar fraction
    •   Insoluble in n-alkanes, soluble in aromatics
    •   Self-associating, forming aggregates
    •   Contribute significantly to viscosity and
        coking tendency
•       Asphaltenes are precipitated to lower
        viscosity and make more easily refined
        product (e.g. VAPEX processes)
•       Heavy oils are diluted with solvent (e.g.
        condensate) to lower viscosity for
        transport
•       To optimize processes, it is necessary
        to have accurate prediction of amount
        of asphaltene precipitated as function
        of amount of solvent temperature and
        pressure                                       *From University of Utah
Calculation of Asphaltene Phase Behavior
• Bitumen is divided into four SARA fractions, Saturates (S),
  Aromatics (A), Resins (R), Asphaltenes (A)
• Asphaltene fraction is further divided into fractions with different
  molar masses based on gamma distribution
• Correlations from Akbarzardeh* et al. provide estimates of solubility
  parameters and molar volumes of asphaltene fractions
• Flory-Huggins version of Regular Solution Theory is applied to
  predict activity coefficients of asphaltene fractions
 • Assume liquid-liquid equilibrium
 • Heavy, asphaltene-rich phase with only asphaltenes and resins
 • Light oil-rich phase including all components

• Parameters of gamma distribution are adjusted to match onset of
  precipitation conditions
   *Kamran Akbarzadeh, Hussein Alboudwarej, William Y. Svrcek, Harvey W. Yarranton,
   Fluid Phase Equilibria 232 (2005) 159-170
Asphaltenes Characterized as Low Molecular
   Weight Polymers
                              Shultz-Zimm distribution
                              (special case of Gamma distribution)
                              f(x,α,β) = βα/Γ(α). x(α-1).e-βx, mean = α/β
                              x = (r – 1)/(ravg – 1)
                              r = number of monomer units
                              ravg = average number of monomer units




11/7/2012


                                            36
Middle Distillate Example

      MOLECULAR-BASED
      CHARACTERIZATION

Slide 37
From: Narrow Boiling Fraction Representation
of Middle Distillate

       NBP 540 (Tb = 540K, S = 0.8876)
       Tpc = 745.78K
       Ppc = 2093.07 kPa




                        API Procedure 4D3.1 (1987)
                                           (                                                      )
                       T pc = 10.6443 exp − 5.1747 × 10 − 4 Tb − 0.5444S + 3.5995 × 10 − 4 Tb S Tb0.81067 S 0.53691
                        API Procedure 4D4.1 (1987)
                                               (                                                      )
                        Ppc = 6.162 × 10 6 exp − 4.725 × 10 −3 Tb − 4.8014 S + 3.1939 × 10 −3 Tb S Tb−0.4844 S 4.0846
                        where :
                       Tb = mean average boiling point in oR
                        S = specific gravity, 60 o F/60 o F
                       T pc = pseudocritical temperatur e in oR
                        Ppc = pseudocritical pressure in psia




                  Slide 38
To: Molecular-Based Representation of
Middle Distillate
To: Molecular-Based Representation of
Middle Distillate
                         Tc       Pc
                         (K)      (kPa)
          butyldecalin   729.78   1906

          butylindan     749.25   2507

          pentadecane    701.08   1471
Linear Combination of Bond Orbitals (LCBO) Method
Applied to Properties from Structure
•    Based on work of R.D. Brown (1953): for molecules with σ bonds, using a set of
     orbitals situated in each bond (e.g. methane’s 8 σ electrons move in orbitals formed
     by linear combinations of localized σ orbitals in each C-H bond
•    Total electronic energy by orders of overlap integral:
    – At zeroth order, just depends linearly on number of C and H atoms
    – At first order, just depends on number of CH3, CH2, CH and C atoms
    – At second, just depends on number of each possible Ci-Cj bonds (9 of them) and of above carbon
      atoms
    – At third order, just depends linearly on number of possible Ci-Cj-Ck triplets (35 of them) and of the
      above carbon atoms and bonds
•    The higher the degree of expansion, the more distinguishable will be the positions of
     isomers
•    LCBO method accurately predicts ΔH0f, ΔG0f, enthalpies of alkyl radicals, C-H and
     C-C dissociation energies
•    It is possible to add CH2, CH and C naphthenic carbon atoms to alkyl atoms and
     corresponding bond combinations
•    Provides additional accurate prediction of:
    – Activation energies required for kinetic model of thermal cracking (initiation, propagation, evolution
      and termination reactions)
Example: Decylbenzene, Normal Boiling Point
                          Atoms                                             Bonds
    Type                     Count                 Δi       Type              Count    Δi
    CH3                         1                 0.10340 CH3-CH2              1      -0.04364
    CH2                         9                 -0.28352 CH2-CH2             8      0.23626

    aromCH                      5                 -0.05881 CH2-aromC           1      0.12346

    aromC                       1                 0.02533   aromCH-aromCH      4      0.00341

                                                            aromCH-aromC       2      -0.03111
Multi - linear regression of tranformed equation used to initialize non - linear form :
        ⎡⎛      N desc
                         ⎞          ⎛       N desc
                                                     ⎞⎤
Tb = c3 ⎢⎜ c1 + ∑ ni ∆ i ⎟
         ⎜               ⎟          ⎜ c 2 + ∑ ni ∆ i ⎟ ⎥
                                    ⎜                ⎟
        ⎣⎝       i =1    ⎠          ⎝        i =1    ⎠⎦
N desc

∑n ∆
 i =1
         i   i   = 1 * 0.10340 + 9 * −0.28352 + 5 * −0.05881 + 1 * 0.02533

+ 1 * −0.04364 + 8 * 0.23626 + 1 * 0.12346 + 4 * 0.00341 + 2 * −0.03111 = −0.79569
Tb = 1195[(− 0.10206 − 0.79569) (− 1.10206 − 0.79569 )]
Tb = 565.31K
                                       Slide 42
Slide 43
Conclusions and Further Work
• The Linear Combination of Bond Orbitals (LCBO) method improves
  accuracy of prediction of thermo-physical properties
   • Number of “atom” and “bond” descriptors is manageable for hydrocarbons and
     molecules with hetero-atoms found in crude oil
   • Linear and hyperbolic equation forms are sufficient to represent almost all properties
   • Linear regression can be used to ascertain statistical significance of regressed
     coefficients and confidence intervals around predictions
   • Equations to predict properties are independent of other property predictions

• Molecular representation may be a viable alternative approach to
  the characterization of petroleum fluids
   • Accuracy in prediction of thermo-physical properties of mixtures can be improved
   • More knowledge of chemical structure is retained for reaction pathways and kinetics
     calculations

• Work is in progress to:
   • Create a data bank of thermo-physical property data for components with boiling
     points up to 800K and above
   • Implement a Gibbs energy minimization method to infer composition in terms of a
     subset of defined surrogate components from basic assay data
Wrap Up

• Heavy Oil / Bitumen is in Our Future
• Current Modeling Technology is Limited
• Invensys SimSci-Esscor is on a journey
 – Heavy Oil Consortium Providing Input
 – Working Through the Issues
 – Improving Model Robustness and Accuracy

• Driven to ensure proper design, operations, and optimization of
  facilities
• Ultimately translates into to cost savings for our clients through the
  design, operate, and optimize life cycle.
Thank you!
Questions
Thank you!

 Feel free to contact us


                     Terry Kubera
                     Terry.kubera@invensys.com




                    David Bluck
                    David.bluck@invensys.com




48
VISIT www.real-time-answers.com/refinery/
APPENDIX


Slide 50
Methods Evaluated for Prediction of λL
API Procedure 12A1.2
      λL = 0.4407M0.7717[(3 + 20(1 – Tr)2/3)/( 3 + 20(1 – 298.15/Tc)2/3] / VL25
API Procedure 12A3.1
      λL = 0.164 – 0.0001277T
API Procedure 12A3.2
      λL = Tb0.2904(2.551x10-2 – 1.982x10-5T)
Heavy Oil Method (modified Sato-Riedel)
      λL = const1 + const2(1 – Tr)2/3
Riazi & Faghri
      λL = (0.11594Tb0.7534SG0.5478 – 2.2989Tb0.2983SG0.0094)(1.8T - 460) / (3 +
      2.2989x10-2Tb0.2983SG0.0094)

                                                                           Heavy Oil




   Slide 51
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 52


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 53


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 54


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 55


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 56


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 57


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 58


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 59


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 60


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 61


                confidential
H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T)




                Invensys proprietary &
                                         Slide 62


                confidential
H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T)




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 63


               confidential
H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T)




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 64


               confidential
H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T)




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 65


               confidential
H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T)




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 66


               confidential
H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T)




               Invensys proprietary &
                                        Slide 67


               confidential
Examples of Descriptors – σ Bonding, Saturates




Examples of Descriptors – π Bonding, Aromatics and
Heterocyclics




                 Slide 68
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Using new modeling technology to help solve heavy oil processing issues final

  • 1. Using New Modeling Technology to Help Solve Heavy Oil Processing Issues © 2010 Invensys. All Rights Reserved. The names, logos, and taglines identifying the products and services of Invensys are proprietary marks of Invensys or its subsidiaries. All third party trademarks and service marks are the proprietary marks of their respective owners.
  • 4. Crude Oil Yesterday and Today • Initially oil was developed based on it ease of access and quality – Light Sweet Crude – Relatively shallow fields • However…"The easy oil is coming to an end“* – Production in the North Sea is on the Decline – Major oil fields in the Gulf region have pumped more than half their oil Drumbeat: October 5, 2009, The Oil Drum *Alex Munton, Analyst for Wood Mackenzie
  • 5. Crude Oil Demand • Demand keeps increasing –Growth in China and India jumped by 2.3 MBPD barrels in 2010 –Current consumption is +87 MBPD and expected to increase 2-3% per year –Prices per BBL remaining at $80 to $100 EIA, International Energy Outlook 2011
  • 6. Heavy Oil / Bitumen Gaining Momentum • Largest % of Reserves • Aggressively being sought out as prices remain elevated. • Resources are estimated +8 Trillion Barrels Bitumen 30% Conventional 30% –That’s about 100 years of global consumption at current levels. Heavy 15% Extra Heavy 25% Alboudwarej, Hussein, "Highlighting Heavy Oil“ Oilfield Review (Schlumberger).
  • 7. Heavy Oil / Bitumen Deposits (MBBL) 529 3041 92 482 178 971 18 129 72 3359 Heavy Oil USGS, Heavy Oil and Natural Bitumen Resources in Geological Basins of the World Bitumen
  • 8. Characteristics • High asphaltene content –Incorporates roughly 90 percent of the sulfur and metals in the oil • Dense, viscous nature (similar to molasses), • Contains impurities such as waxes and carbon residue. • API Gravity from 22° to below 10° 3D Picture of Venezuelan Crude Asphaltene Molecule
  • 9. Challenges – Technology & Infrastructure Production • Location (e.g. Tar Sands) • Extraction Processes Transportation • Limited Pipelines • Flow capability Processing • Old Equipment Designs • Impurity Removal • Inconsistency in composition
  • 10. Investment is Ongoing • Extraction Technologies – Expect $20 Billion USD in Western Canada alone – Mining Technologies / In Situ development, e.g. SAGD • Billions in Transportation – Keystone XL Pipeline • Billions in Refining Investments – $1.6 Billion upgrade at Valero Port Arthur – $3.7 Billion expansion Cenovus /ConocoPhillips Wood River
  • 11. The Role of Modeling • Models serve a critical role in the production, transportation and processing of crude oil – Design: Proper sizing and costing of equipment – Operate: Used to study changes in the process, changes in the feedstock, Operating Training simulation – Optimize: Reduce Energy, Increase Product Value, Improve Procedures
  • 12. Getting It Right • Years of experience on light crudes • Heavy Crudes are a challenge –Lack of experience –Complex relationships –Impurities Without the proper models, companies run the risk of not getting the most out of their Investment!
  • 14. Agenda – Heavy Oils Webinar • Functionality currently available to improve simulations of processes with heavy oils and bitumens • Improved characterization of high boiling point petro components (Tb > 1,000K) • Improved accuracy in prediction of liquid viscosity • Improved accuracy in prediction of liquid thermal conductivity • EoS binary interaction parameters for accurate prediction of Hg solubility in light hydrocarbons • EoS binary interaction parameters for accurate prediction of H2 and H2S solubility in hydro-processing applications • Functionality under development • Characterization of asphaltenes and prediction of phase equilibrium • Molecular-based characterization as alternative to petro-components • New properties from structure method for improved accuracy of thermo- physical properties
  • 15. Heavy Oil Method for Characterization • The original SIMSCI (Twu) correlation was developed for Normal Boiling Points (NBP) of up to 1000 K (1340 oF). • The Heavy Oil method extrapolates critical properties and molecular weight to NBPs above 1000 K. • Property at 1000K is used as reference and extrapolation is based on constant Watson K to NBP of pseudo component
  • 16. Method for Improved Accuracy in Prediction of Liquid Viscosity • Based on correlation published by Twu* [1985] • Uses principle of corresponding states – Normal alkane reference series – Kinematic viscosities at 100oF and 210oF are estimated for n-alkane with same boiling point as fluid of interest – Kinematic viscosities at 100oF and 210oF are calculated for fluid of interest based on perturbation from reference series, based on specific gravity and boiling point. • Walther equation is fitted to estimate temperature dependence and used to interpolate or extrapolate *Twu, C.H., Ind. Eng. Chem. Process Des. Dev., 24 (1985) 1287-1293 Slide 16
  • 17.
  • 18. Effect of Accuracy of Viscosity Prediction on Heat Exchanger Performance Crude 20.98oAPI 735oF MeABP 11.43 Watson K 103oF 400 psig Vac Resid 4.6oAPI 1182oF MeABP 11.35 Watson K Slide 18 278oF 250 psig
  • 19. Effect of Accuracy of Viscosity Prediction on Heat Exchanger Performance Viscosity(L) Measured API Procedure Heavy Oil method Values 11A4.2 (2011) Prediction Crude Duty (106 BTU/hr) 3.654 8.976 5.432 20.98oAPI 735oF MeABP LMTD (oF) 165 150 159 11.43 U (BTU/hr/ft2/oF) 4.657 12.62 7.144 Watson K Shell Side 103oF Tout (oF) 265 245 258 400 psig ΔP (psi) 58 8 27 Tube Side Tout (oF) 110 119 113 ΔP (psi) 9 13 11 Vac Resid 4.6oAPI 1182oF MeABP 11.35 Watson K Slide 19 278oF 250 psig
  • 20. Effect of Accuracy of Viscosity Prediction on Heat Exchanger Performance Temperature, oF Crude Kinematic Viscosity, cSt Measured API 11A4.2 Heavy Oil Crude 20.98oAPI 60 49.75 111.6 70.65 735oF 80 27.95 58.77 39.69 MeABP 100 17.52 34.26 24.38 11.43 Watson K Vac Resid Kinematic Viscosity, cSt 103oF 210 6787 454.0 4784 400 psig 250 1261 147.5 858.5 300 274.6 50.83 176.8 Vac Resid 4.6oAPI 1182oF MeABP 11.35 Watson K Slide 20 278oF 250 psig
  • 21. Conclusions: SimSci Heavy Oil Method for Liquid Viscosity Prediction • Method results in a significant improvement to accuracy of prediction of liquid viscosities – Marked improvement in the 100 cSt to 100,000 cSt range – No reduction in accuracy in the 0.1 cST to 100 cSt range • Temperature dependence, especially at low temperatures is improved • Observations: – Method is very sensitive to value used for normal boiling point (method uses SimDis 50% point) – It appears best to treat undefined portion of fluid (petro fractions) as single component and avoid applying mixing rules to individual component viscosities – Accuracy may be improved further if more heavy oil viscosity data are made available – Some correlation between viscosity and asphaltene content was expected, but not supported by current data set Slide 21
  • 22. Prediction of Liquid Thermal Conductivity • Negligible amount of published data for liquid thermal conductivity for bitumens and heavy oils – Data from Wiltec* for narrow boiling fractions from SRC-II coal liquids • Fortunately, thermal conductivity (λL) for most organic liquids varies between 0.10 and 0.17 W.m-1.K-1and varies linearly with temperature – No successful theory, to date, for predicting λL – Approximate techniques are recommended for engineering calculations • Heavy Oil Method (modified Sato-Riedel) λL = const1 + const2(1 – Tr)2/3 Heavy Oil *Gray, J.A., Brady, C.J., Cunningham, J.R., Freeman, J.R., Wilson, G.M., Ind. Eng. Chem. Process Des. Dev. 1983, 22, 410-424
  • 23. Conclusions: Liquid Thermal Conductivity • The best and the worst: – Riazi & Faghri method predicts wrong sign of temperature gradient for heaviest fractions – Heavy Oil method (based on Sato-Riedel) requires only estimate of critical temperature, Tc and appears to be the most accurate • Very little data available – No data on bitumens – Some evaluated data on pure components from NIST via TDE – Coal liquid data (used as surrogate for bitumen) are suspect Slide 23
  • 24. Adverse impact of Mercury • Process impairment • Process equipment failure (corrosion / cracking) • Catalyst poisoning • Adsorption bed malfunction • Wastewater contamination • Mercury carryover in flare systems
  • 25. Mercury Solubility in n-Alkanes at 30°C 1.8 Mercury Solubility (ppm-molar) 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 Measured ZERO Kij's (SRK EOS) ‐ Uncorrected Mercury Vapor Pressures 0.8 CUSTOM Kij's (SRK EOS) ‐ Uncorrected Mercury Vapor Pressures ZERO Kij's (SRKM EOS) 0.6 CUSTOM Kij's (SRKM EOS) 0.4 0.2 5 6 7 8 9 10 Carbon Number of n-Alkane
  • 26. Results Mercury — n‐Alkane (nC1 – nC10) binary interaction parameters available for low pressure, low temperature (0-65 °C) applications SRK, SRKM, PR and PRM Equations of State • Predicted solubility validated against thermodynamic and plant data SRKM and PRM Equations of State •Additionally, EOS α-parameters fine-tuned to match mercury vapor pressures to 1500 K
  • 27. Hydrogen Solubility Prediction • Heavy Oils require increased Hydroprocessing to remove trace impurities (Sulfur, Nitrogen etc) • Supply and Management of Hydrogen is critical to Refinery optimization and meeting stringent Sulfur specification • Current techniques are inaccurate as T & P dependence not considered – Very little published data with Heavy Fractions • Invensys SimSci-Esscor is taking to lead in this emerging area – Improve prediction of H2 solubility in hydrocarbons – Improve prediction of H2S solubility – Improve prediction of NH3 solubility
  • 28. Hydrogen – n-Paraffins kij = kij(T) P, T, x regression Invensys proprietary & Slide 28 confidential
  • 29. Hydrogen – mono-aromatics kij = kij(T) P, T, x regression Invensys proprietary & Slide 29 confidential
  • 30. Solubility of hydrogen in n-decane – no kijs Invensys proprietary & Slide 30 confidential
  • 31. Solubility of hydrogen in n-decane – with kijs Invensys proprietary & Slide 31 confidential
  • 32. Observations and Conclusions • For H2 – hydrocarbon binaries, kij appears to be a linear function of temperature – kij should take values greater than unity at high temperatures • For H2 – hydrocarbon binaries, kij required for an aromatic component appears to be larger than kij for similar molecular weight paraffin • For H2S – hydrocarbon binaries, kij is poorly correlated with temperature ‒ Very low R2 values • Work is continuing for NH3 – hydrocarbon binaries • Work is continuing to generalize kij for undefined narrow-boiling fractions (petro components), based on molecular descriptor(s) – Boiling point, API gravity and/or molecular weight
  • 33. Functionality Under Development • Asphaltene Phase Behavior • Component-Based Characterization • Properties from Structure © 2010 Invensys. All Rights Reserved. The names, logos, and taglines identifying the products and services of Invensys are proprietary marks of Invensys or its subsidiaries. All third party trademarks and service marks are the proprietary marks of their respective owners.
  • 34. Asphaltenes • Bitumen and heavy oils are rich in Structures of Hypothetical Asphaltene asphaltenes Components* • Heaviest, most polar fraction • Insoluble in n-alkanes, soluble in aromatics • Self-associating, forming aggregates • Contribute significantly to viscosity and coking tendency • Asphaltenes are precipitated to lower viscosity and make more easily refined product (e.g. VAPEX processes) • Heavy oils are diluted with solvent (e.g. condensate) to lower viscosity for transport • To optimize processes, it is necessary to have accurate prediction of amount of asphaltene precipitated as function of amount of solvent temperature and pressure *From University of Utah
  • 35. Calculation of Asphaltene Phase Behavior • Bitumen is divided into four SARA fractions, Saturates (S), Aromatics (A), Resins (R), Asphaltenes (A) • Asphaltene fraction is further divided into fractions with different molar masses based on gamma distribution • Correlations from Akbarzardeh* et al. provide estimates of solubility parameters and molar volumes of asphaltene fractions • Flory-Huggins version of Regular Solution Theory is applied to predict activity coefficients of asphaltene fractions • Assume liquid-liquid equilibrium • Heavy, asphaltene-rich phase with only asphaltenes and resins • Light oil-rich phase including all components • Parameters of gamma distribution are adjusted to match onset of precipitation conditions *Kamran Akbarzadeh, Hussein Alboudwarej, William Y. Svrcek, Harvey W. Yarranton, Fluid Phase Equilibria 232 (2005) 159-170
  • 36. Asphaltenes Characterized as Low Molecular Weight Polymers Shultz-Zimm distribution (special case of Gamma distribution) f(x,α,β) = βα/Γ(α). x(α-1).e-βx, mean = α/β x = (r – 1)/(ravg – 1) r = number of monomer units ravg = average number of monomer units 11/7/2012 36
  • 37. Middle Distillate Example MOLECULAR-BASED CHARACTERIZATION Slide 37
  • 38. From: Narrow Boiling Fraction Representation of Middle Distillate NBP 540 (Tb = 540K, S = 0.8876) Tpc = 745.78K Ppc = 2093.07 kPa API Procedure 4D3.1 (1987) ( ) T pc = 10.6443 exp − 5.1747 × 10 − 4 Tb − 0.5444S + 3.5995 × 10 − 4 Tb S Tb0.81067 S 0.53691 API Procedure 4D4.1 (1987) ( ) Ppc = 6.162 × 10 6 exp − 4.725 × 10 −3 Tb − 4.8014 S + 3.1939 × 10 −3 Tb S Tb−0.4844 S 4.0846 where : Tb = mean average boiling point in oR S = specific gravity, 60 o F/60 o F T pc = pseudocritical temperatur e in oR Ppc = pseudocritical pressure in psia Slide 38
  • 39. To: Molecular-Based Representation of Middle Distillate
  • 40. To: Molecular-Based Representation of Middle Distillate Tc Pc (K) (kPa) butyldecalin 729.78 1906 butylindan 749.25 2507 pentadecane 701.08 1471
  • 41. Linear Combination of Bond Orbitals (LCBO) Method Applied to Properties from Structure • Based on work of R.D. Brown (1953): for molecules with σ bonds, using a set of orbitals situated in each bond (e.g. methane’s 8 σ electrons move in orbitals formed by linear combinations of localized σ orbitals in each C-H bond • Total electronic energy by orders of overlap integral: – At zeroth order, just depends linearly on number of C and H atoms – At first order, just depends on number of CH3, CH2, CH and C atoms – At second, just depends on number of each possible Ci-Cj bonds (9 of them) and of above carbon atoms – At third order, just depends linearly on number of possible Ci-Cj-Ck triplets (35 of them) and of the above carbon atoms and bonds • The higher the degree of expansion, the more distinguishable will be the positions of isomers • LCBO method accurately predicts ΔH0f, ΔG0f, enthalpies of alkyl radicals, C-H and C-C dissociation energies • It is possible to add CH2, CH and C naphthenic carbon atoms to alkyl atoms and corresponding bond combinations • Provides additional accurate prediction of: – Activation energies required for kinetic model of thermal cracking (initiation, propagation, evolution and termination reactions)
  • 42. Example: Decylbenzene, Normal Boiling Point Atoms Bonds Type Count Δi Type Count Δi CH3 1 0.10340 CH3-CH2 1 -0.04364 CH2 9 -0.28352 CH2-CH2 8 0.23626 aromCH 5 -0.05881 CH2-aromC 1 0.12346 aromC 1 0.02533 aromCH-aromCH 4 0.00341 aromCH-aromC 2 -0.03111 Multi - linear regression of tranformed equation used to initialize non - linear form : ⎡⎛ N desc ⎞ ⎛ N desc ⎞⎤ Tb = c3 ⎢⎜ c1 + ∑ ni ∆ i ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ c 2 + ∑ ni ∆ i ⎟ ⎥ ⎜ ⎟ ⎣⎝ i =1 ⎠ ⎝ i =1 ⎠⎦ N desc ∑n ∆ i =1 i i = 1 * 0.10340 + 9 * −0.28352 + 5 * −0.05881 + 1 * 0.02533 + 1 * −0.04364 + 8 * 0.23626 + 1 * 0.12346 + 4 * 0.00341 + 2 * −0.03111 = −0.79569 Tb = 1195[(− 0.10206 − 0.79569) (− 1.10206 − 0.79569 )] Tb = 565.31K Slide 42
  • 44. Conclusions and Further Work • The Linear Combination of Bond Orbitals (LCBO) method improves accuracy of prediction of thermo-physical properties • Number of “atom” and “bond” descriptors is manageable for hydrocarbons and molecules with hetero-atoms found in crude oil • Linear and hyperbolic equation forms are sufficient to represent almost all properties • Linear regression can be used to ascertain statistical significance of regressed coefficients and confidence intervals around predictions • Equations to predict properties are independent of other property predictions • Molecular representation may be a viable alternative approach to the characterization of petroleum fluids • Accuracy in prediction of thermo-physical properties of mixtures can be improved • More knowledge of chemical structure is retained for reaction pathways and kinetics calculations • Work is in progress to: • Create a data bank of thermo-physical property data for components with boiling points up to 800K and above • Implement a Gibbs energy minimization method to infer composition in terms of a subset of defined surrogate components from basic assay data
  • 45. Wrap Up • Heavy Oil / Bitumen is in Our Future • Current Modeling Technology is Limited • Invensys SimSci-Esscor is on a journey – Heavy Oil Consortium Providing Input – Working Through the Issues – Improving Model Robustness and Accuracy • Driven to ensure proper design, operations, and optimization of facilities • Ultimately translates into to cost savings for our clients through the design, operate, and optimize life cycle.
  • 48. Thank you! Feel free to contact us Terry Kubera Terry.kubera@invensys.com David Bluck David.bluck@invensys.com 48
  • 51. Methods Evaluated for Prediction of λL API Procedure 12A1.2 λL = 0.4407M0.7717[(3 + 20(1 – Tr)2/3)/( 3 + 20(1 – 298.15/Tc)2/3] / VL25 API Procedure 12A3.1 λL = 0.164 – 0.0001277T API Procedure 12A3.2 λL = Tb0.2904(2.551x10-2 – 1.982x10-5T) Heavy Oil Method (modified Sato-Riedel) λL = const1 + const2(1 – Tr)2/3 Riazi & Faghri λL = (0.11594Tb0.7534SG0.5478 – 2.2989Tb0.2983SG0.0094)(1.8T - 460) / (3 + 2.2989x10-2Tb0.2983SG0.0094) Heavy Oil Slide 51
  • 52. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 52 confidential
  • 53. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 53 confidential
  • 54. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 54 confidential
  • 55. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 55 confidential
  • 56. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 56 confidential
  • 57. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 57 confidential
  • 58. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 58 confidential
  • 59. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 59 confidential
  • 60. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 60 confidential
  • 61. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 61 confidential
  • 62. H2S – n-Paraffins, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 62 confidential
  • 63. H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 63 confidential
  • 64. H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 64 confidential
  • 65. H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 65 confidential
  • 66. H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 66 confidential
  • 67. H2S – mono-Aromatics, kij = kij(T) Invensys proprietary & Slide 67 confidential
  • 68. Examples of Descriptors – σ Bonding, Saturates Examples of Descriptors – π Bonding, Aromatics and Heterocyclics Slide 68