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Using geographical micro-data to measure
  segregation at the scale of competing
           schools in London
                 Richard Harris
       School of Geographical Sciences &
    Centre for Market and Public Organisation
             University of Bristol, UK
Outline

There is an argument that “school choice” (in the UK)
leads to social segregation.
Segregation is a spatial outcome of spatial processes that
are spatially variable.
Aim, therefore is to develop local indices of segregation
developed and applied, not between arbitrary areas or
regions but specifically for schools that overlap in regard
to their admission spaces.
Outline

Use detailed and geographically referenced
governmental micro-data (PLASC/NPD) that allow pupil
flows from primary (elementary) to secondary (high)
schools to be modelled, therefore "competing" schools
to be identified.
Looking to see if there is a separation of more and less
economically (dis-) advantaged pupils as they make the
transition from primary to secondary schools.
Which would suggest a process of social sorting over-
and-above prior sorting (by neighbourhood geography
and by primary school).
Context

Study region is Greater London, with 382 516 records of
pupils who entered one of 384 state-funded secondary
schools in any one of the years 2003 to 2008.
It has been reported that only one quarter of pupils in
London go to their nearest secondary school (Burgess et
al 2008)
… who also find that there is an average of 37 feeder
primary schools per secondary school in London.
Which implies a ‘noisy system’
Showing the typical number of feeder primary schools
        a secondary school in London has for
      a certain percentage of its intake in 2008
But… it is easy to exaggerate…
Showing the links between primary and secondary schools
 for the first 50% of the intake into each secondary school
                (shown for a part of London in 2008).

                                             Evidence of
                                             geographical
                                             clustering?
                                                 Cf. Hamnett and
                                                  Butler 2011
                                                  ’Geography
                                                  Matters’: the role
                                                  distance plays in
                                                  reproducing
                                                  educational
                                                  inequality in East
                                                  London TIBG 36
                                                  479–500
The geography…

… is not surprising
It isn’t a choice system
When demand for places exceeds supply, admissions
criteria are used and these often make allocations based
on where the pupil lives (in general, proximity to the
school).
Schools that select by faith or by entrance exam are the
exceptions.
Pupils still tend to go to a local school.
Consequently…

Schools that recruit a
higher proportion of
FSM eligible pupils
tends to be competing
with schools that do the
same.
Reflects neighbourhood
geographies.
But are there local
differences between
competing schools?
How to define “competing”?
The graph shows secondary schools
that are connected by one or more
primary school.
The level of ‘competition’ between
schools is quantified in the form of a
weights matrix
   the weight between any two competing
    schools (iand j) is the (joint) probability
    that a pupil selected at random from
    secondary school i attended the same
    primary school as a pupil selected at
    random from secondary school j.
   The weights are then scaled (row-
    standardised) so that the sum of the
    weights for any school is equal to one.
From the weights matrix to the local indices of
                segregation
A local and spatial index of segregation is here defined as
one where
    (a) each zone or place in the study region is considered
     with respect to all others with which it interacts, is
     proximate to, shares a border and/or with which there is
     an interdependency or connection; and
    (b) where a separate index value is calculated for every
     zone or place within the study region (as opposed to
     having one summary average for them all) so their
     distribution of the values across the study region can be
     considered
Three measures

Local index of difference (of dissimilarity)

   Where p is the proportion of FSM eligible pupils
Local index of isolation

Local index of clustering



Their share characteristic is the (spatial) weights matrix
Index values for 2008
   by school type
LID scores (2008)
So, local differences but are they getting worse
                   (or better)?




                     (no!)
Conclusions

The substantive conclusion of the case study is that
apparently competing secondary schools do not recruit
equal proportions of FSM eligible pupils.
   Smithers& Robinson (2010) find that comprehensive
    schools in England are highly socially segregated
Across London, in 2008, the mean difference between a
school and its average competitor was 0.078 (7.8
percentage points) against an overall proportion of 0.268
of pupils eligible for FSM.
Conclusions

The patterns of segregation vary geographically and by
school type, with schools that select either by faith or by
academic ability tending to under recruit FSM eligible
pupils relative to their competitors.
Whilst there is no evidence that the social segregation
has increased over the period 2002 to 2008, the evidence
it may have decreased is rendered uncertain by the
underlying inconsistency of what FSM eligibility
measures at any time period.
Conclusions

However, some stability is not especially surprising when
it isn’t a school choice system at all, only the right to
express a preference.
It is likely that these admissions criteria create and
maintain differences between schools (in regard to who
they are recruiting) but what should the policy response
be?
   Lottery for places? Guarantee right of entry to a particular
    choice set of schools?
References

Harris, RJ, 2011, Measuring segregation – ‘a geographical tale',
Environment and Planning A, 43, pp. 1747-1753.
Harris RJ, 2012, Local indices of segregation with application
to social segregation between London’s secondary schools,
2003 – 2008/9, Environment and Planning A, in press.
Harris RJ, 2012/13, Geographies of transition and the
separation of lower and higher attaining pupils in the move
from primary to secondary school in London, Transactions of
the Institute of British Geographers, in press.

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Using geographical micro-data to measure segregation at the scale of competing schools in London

  • 1. Using geographical micro-data to measure segregation at the scale of competing schools in London Richard Harris School of Geographical Sciences & Centre for Market and Public Organisation University of Bristol, UK
  • 2. Outline There is an argument that “school choice” (in the UK) leads to social segregation. Segregation is a spatial outcome of spatial processes that are spatially variable. Aim, therefore is to develop local indices of segregation developed and applied, not between arbitrary areas or regions but specifically for schools that overlap in regard to their admission spaces.
  • 3. Outline Use detailed and geographically referenced governmental micro-data (PLASC/NPD) that allow pupil flows from primary (elementary) to secondary (high) schools to be modelled, therefore "competing" schools to be identified. Looking to see if there is a separation of more and less economically (dis-) advantaged pupils as they make the transition from primary to secondary schools. Which would suggest a process of social sorting over- and-above prior sorting (by neighbourhood geography and by primary school).
  • 4. Context Study region is Greater London, with 382 516 records of pupils who entered one of 384 state-funded secondary schools in any one of the years 2003 to 2008. It has been reported that only one quarter of pupils in London go to their nearest secondary school (Burgess et al 2008) … who also find that there is an average of 37 feeder primary schools per secondary school in London. Which implies a ‘noisy system’
  • 5. Showing the typical number of feeder primary schools a secondary school in London has for a certain percentage of its intake in 2008
  • 6. But… it is easy to exaggerate…
  • 7. Showing the links between primary and secondary schools for the first 50% of the intake into each secondary school (shown for a part of London in 2008). Evidence of geographical clustering?  Cf. Hamnett and Butler 2011 ’Geography Matters’: the role distance plays in reproducing educational inequality in East London TIBG 36 479–500
  • 8. The geography… … is not surprising It isn’t a choice system When demand for places exceeds supply, admissions criteria are used and these often make allocations based on where the pupil lives (in general, proximity to the school). Schools that select by faith or by entrance exam are the exceptions. Pupils still tend to go to a local school.
  • 9. Consequently… Schools that recruit a higher proportion of FSM eligible pupils tends to be competing with schools that do the same. Reflects neighbourhood geographies. But are there local differences between competing schools?
  • 10. How to define “competing”? The graph shows secondary schools that are connected by one or more primary school. The level of ‘competition’ between schools is quantified in the form of a weights matrix  the weight between any two competing schools (iand j) is the (joint) probability that a pupil selected at random from secondary school i attended the same primary school as a pupil selected at random from secondary school j.  The weights are then scaled (row- standardised) so that the sum of the weights for any school is equal to one.
  • 11. From the weights matrix to the local indices of segregation A local and spatial index of segregation is here defined as one where  (a) each zone or place in the study region is considered with respect to all others with which it interacts, is proximate to, shares a border and/or with which there is an interdependency or connection; and  (b) where a separate index value is calculated for every zone or place within the study region (as opposed to having one summary average for them all) so their distribution of the values across the study region can be considered
  • 12. Three measures Local index of difference (of dissimilarity)  Where p is the proportion of FSM eligible pupils Local index of isolation Local index of clustering Their share characteristic is the (spatial) weights matrix
  • 13. Index values for 2008 by school type
  • 15. So, local differences but are they getting worse (or better)? (no!)
  • 16. Conclusions The substantive conclusion of the case study is that apparently competing secondary schools do not recruit equal proportions of FSM eligible pupils.  Smithers& Robinson (2010) find that comprehensive schools in England are highly socially segregated Across London, in 2008, the mean difference between a school and its average competitor was 0.078 (7.8 percentage points) against an overall proportion of 0.268 of pupils eligible for FSM.
  • 17. Conclusions The patterns of segregation vary geographically and by school type, with schools that select either by faith or by academic ability tending to under recruit FSM eligible pupils relative to their competitors. Whilst there is no evidence that the social segregation has increased over the period 2002 to 2008, the evidence it may have decreased is rendered uncertain by the underlying inconsistency of what FSM eligibility measures at any time period.
  • 18. Conclusions However, some stability is not especially surprising when it isn’t a school choice system at all, only the right to express a preference. It is likely that these admissions criteria create and maintain differences between schools (in regard to who they are recruiting) but what should the policy response be?  Lottery for places? Guarantee right of entry to a particular choice set of schools?
  • 19. References Harris, RJ, 2011, Measuring segregation – ‘a geographical tale', Environment and Planning A, 43, pp. 1747-1753. Harris RJ, 2012, Local indices of segregation with application to social segregation between London’s secondary schools, 2003 – 2008/9, Environment and Planning A, in press. Harris RJ, 2012/13, Geographies of transition and the separation of lower and higher attaining pupils in the move from primary to secondary school in London, Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, in press.