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The Flexible Mechanisms of
       the Kyoto Protocol as
       Business Opportunity


       Aqua Vital International
       Dr. Howard Barmil


P   10.04.13                        1
Table of Contents
       Background on Kyoto Protocol
       Background to Project Development
       Project Development vs. Equipment Sales
       Contact points of the two different sectors (Equipm.Sales&Pro.Dev.)
       Feasibility Study with and without Carbon Credits
       Potentials Equipment Sales/ Potentials Project Development
       Organisation structure to exploit the potentials the Best way
       Financial and Personel needs
       Profit Analysis
       Recapitulation



    P       10.04.13                                                          2
Background (1): The Kyoto-Protocol

    Reference year: 1990                                                1 st Budget period:
                                                                             2008 - 2012
                                              - 5,2 %
                       Russia:                                 USA:
                       0%                                      -7%


                                  I: -6,5%    -8%       NL: - 6%
                              B: -7,5%                     F: 0%
                        GB: -12,5%                          SF: 0%
                      A: -13%                                  S: +4%
                    DK: -21%                  - 21%            IRL: +13%
                    L: -28%                                        E: + 15%
        ANNEX-I     EUROPEAN
        Countries   UNION
                                              Germany               GR: +25%
                                                                     P: + 27%



P        10.04.13                                                                         3
Background (2): Flexible Mechanisms
Joint Implementation:              >> project related
(JI)                               >> Reduction in Guest country will be credited
                                     to Investor country and deducted in the
                                     Guest country
                                   >> Clearing in the Budget period
                                        (Specialty: Early JI)
Business partners are both in an Industrialized Country, or in an Industrialized and
ex socialist country.


Clean Development Mech.: >> project related
(CDM)                              >> Reduction in Guest country raises
                                   Budget of the Investor country
                                   >> „immediately“ creditable
Business partners are in an Industrialized country and in a Developing Country.



P      10.04.13                                                                4
Scheme: Project Mechanisms




                                      Greenhousegas-
                                      Reduction



                                                                  Certification
                     Rehabilitation




               Investor               Carbon Credits
                                      ERU‘s or CER‘s

P   10.04.13                                                                  5
Business Profile


       With Business activities and
       projects
       Can Greenhouse gases be reduced?             

       Is it possible to save primary energy?       
       Will renewable energy sources be promoted?   



       ⇒ Project fits in this business field

P   10.04.13                                                               6
Procedure
        Execution of a CDM - Project

        • An intensive and complex Procedure
           has to be worked off in order to fulfil the needs to be
        called a Climate Change Project
        • The whole procedure includes among other subjects
        international contracts, Certifications and authorisations.




P    10.04.13                                                         7
Project Cycle



                PIN/PCN
                Letter of Endorsement/of Approval of the Host Government
                PDD
                Validation by independant Entity
                Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement
                Registration and following steps




P     10.04.13                                                              8
         PIN
              Letter of Endorsement/of Approval of the Host Government
              PDD
              Validation by independant Entity
              Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement
              Registration and following steps




P   10.04.13                                                              9
Example of Specific CO2 Production

                                     ~ 52 %          Condenser Plant Electrical Output
                                                                                                     ~ 19 %         0,669 kg CO2/kWh*



    100 % Primary Energy                                                                 Losses      ~ 40 %    Total 0,963 kg CO2/kWh*
                                                             Boiler

                                    ~ 48 %                                                           ~ 41 %         0,294 kg CO2/kWh*
                                                                                Thermal Output


                                                                                Electrical Output
                                                                                                    ~ 41,9 %
                                                         DEUTZ CHP
                                                                                         Losses
    100 % Primary Energy                                                                            ~ 13,3 %         Total 0,5 kg
                                                                                                                      CO2/kWh
                                                                                                    ~ 44,8 %
                                                                                Thermal Output

    *Source:„Ganzheitliche Bilanzierung der Energiebereitstellung“ FfE-Study;                         48 % (0,463 kg CO2/kWh)
                                                                                                       CO2 - Saving with CHP
    Energy Mix Germany 1996: 0.669 kg CO2/kWhel

P             10.04.13                                                                                                                  10
Natural Gas - the cleanest Fossil Fuel
                         CO2 Production of fossil primary Energy at combustion
                                                   [kg CO2/kWh Energy input]
                 0,45            0,4
                   0,4                              0,33
                 0,35                                                    0,28
                   0,3                                                                        0,26
                 0,25                                                                                    0,2
                   0,2
                 0,15
                   0,1
                 0,05
                         0
                               lignite          Hard Coal          Heavy Fuel           Diesel Oil   Natural Gas
                                                                      Oil

    Quelle:          Third Report of the Parliamentary Comission on „Preventive Measures to
                     Protect the Earth`s Atmosphere“ published in October 1990

P             10.04.13                                                                                             11
Project Examples
        >>> Gathering and Utilization of Waste gases from
             - Landfill sites
             - Sewage Plants
             - Coal Mines
             - Biogas devices
         >>> Change of the Fuel
             (for example Natural Gas instead of Coal)
         >>>     Cogeneration
                   1 ton of CH4 equals 21 tons of CO2 
                   also in the payment!
P     10.04.13                                            12
Cost – Income Analysis: virtual Example
                Income and Costs for a Climate
                Change Project
                                                                           Cost        Revenues
 Transactioncosts of a Climate Change project                               60.000 €
 Value of a CER Certificate
 40.000 t/a x 12 € = annual payment
 equals about 10 MW Natural Gas projetct or 1,3
 MW Non Natural Gas project if Methanemissions
 are avoided                                                                           480.000 €
 Yearly costs of Verification (starting year 2)                             10.000 €
 Profit 1st. year                                                                      420.000 €
 Profit in the following years*                                                        470.000 €
* Projekt running times 1 x 10 Jahre oder 3 x 7 Jahre




 P           10.04.13                                                                          13
1. Background Project Development
Example: Biogas system

a.) Phases of Project development (major steps)

1. Offer of a raw material or gas (here Biogas, but also Coal Mine Gas, Landfill Gas, etc.)

2. Evaluation of the amount, Quality and time of use

3. Issuing an Investment Plan and Cash Flow Plan

4. Discussion with Investor about the total situation and Investment frame  green Light

5. Contracts about securing the raw material, Permits, Procurement (Tender procedure for
   equipment Service and operation)

6. Contracts for the Sales of Energy, Certificates and Fertilizer

7. Operation



P       10.04.13                                                                              14
2. Project Development Biogas device Overview




P    10.04.13                                   15
Equipment Sales vs. Project Development
    1.Equipment Sales
    a.) Tender procedure
    b.) Contact with specialized technical personell in that specific technical field
    c.) not complex (only supply against money)
    d.) specific customer segment
    e.) specific profit for specific supply


    2. Project Development
    a.) complex various specialists in different fields required
    b.) many segments, many fields possible
    c.) companies like more selling, me with project development like more buying
    d.) with „good contracts“ „good profit“ possible
P        10.04.13                                                                       16
2. What is needed?
a.) Personel

1.Specialists in the use of Biogas, Coal Mine Gas etc.
    (Experts who understands the technical issues of Biogas devices, Coal Mine use,
     Landfills etc., somebody who knows the technical criteria of equipment and use of the gas)

2.Specialists in Financing (somebody who knows how to model the financing of such
  systems, including the financing with Carbon Credits, somebody who knows about
  international subsidies and help of international banks

3.Specialists in CDM and JI (somebody who knows about the whole project cycle, to achieve
  the most credits possile but also where to sell or how to use the Credits the best way)

4.Specialists in Marketing and Distribution (somebody who knows international trade,
  establishes contacts in many countries, establishes subsidiaries, finds the distribution
  channels to many raw materials and gases, contractual expert (a tough fighter)

5. Operation supervisors (somebody who is responsible to supervise and has an overview
   over the projects) This person has to manage the projects the others have aquired.
   Installation and operation is subcontracted, but sales contracts have to be made up, then
   there has to be a responsible in the company, who knows about execution of the project.

P        10.04.13                                                                              17
b.) Value Chain and where are the values
      (where can you earn money)
-Raw material
-Service and Engineering of the whole project
-Equipment (Foreign- and own systems)
-Service of devices
-Energy Sales
-Generation of Certificates
-Trade of Certificates     a. Sales of the generated Certificates of own projects
                             b. Brokerage

-Trading of Coproducts (for example Water, Fertilizer, CO2)

-Sale of the whole project




P      10.04.13                                                                     18
3.) Connection Equipment Sales and Project Development
a.) Equipment Sales (when
company just sells equipment)
                                         Client
Company




                                                  b.) Project Development

P      10.04.13                                                             19
Feasibility Study with and without Cabon Credits (Example study
to show what IRRs can be achieved, to be discussed in person)




P     10.04.13                                                    20
Registered Climate Change projects
                                               (01) Energy industries (renewable - / non-renewable sources)

                                               (02) Energy distribution

                                               (03) Energy demand
                                    82
                              1
                                               (04) Manufacturing industries

                                               (05) Chemical industries

                  228                          (06) Construction

                                               (07) Transport


                                         584   (08) Mining/mineral production
            0
                                               (09) Metal production
           16

                    86                         (10) Fugitive emissions from fuels (solid, oil and gas)

                         1
                                               (11) Fugitive emissions from production and consumption of halocarbons and
                         6                     sulphur hexafluoride
                              66
                         1                     (12) Solvent use
                                   14
                         0
                                    0          (13) Waste handling and disposal
                         16
                                               (14) Afforestation and reforestation

                                               (15) Agriculture




P      10.04.13                                                                                                             21
Potential




    Out of that potential we can do most of the segments shown before




P      10.04.13                                                         22
Outlook in the future
    New possibilities: Establishment of Programatic CDM in Indonesia
             (Fixed preliminary agreements )


    Involved Experts:
    -Dr. Günther Herdin (International Gas engine Expert)
    -Dr. Tamer Turna (International Engineering Expert)
    -Dr. Howard Barmil (International Business Development Expert)
    -Knowledge of Government officials worldwide for example
    -Mr. Franzjosef Schafhausen, Germany
     Dr. Dr. Dürr Vienna etc. due to the fact of participation in working groups in
     Austrian and German Governments and the COPs/MOPs




P         10.04.13                                                                    23

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UNFCCC - RE Project Funding International presentation

  • 1. The Flexible Mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol as Business Opportunity Aqua Vital International Dr. Howard Barmil P 10.04.13 1
  • 2. Table of Contents  Background on Kyoto Protocol  Background to Project Development  Project Development vs. Equipment Sales  Contact points of the two different sectors (Equipm.Sales&Pro.Dev.)  Feasibility Study with and without Carbon Credits  Potentials Equipment Sales/ Potentials Project Development  Organisation structure to exploit the potentials the Best way  Financial and Personel needs  Profit Analysis  Recapitulation P 10.04.13 2
  • 3. Background (1): The Kyoto-Protocol Reference year: 1990 1 st Budget period: 2008 - 2012 - 5,2 % Russia: USA: 0% -7% I: -6,5% -8% NL: - 6% B: -7,5% F: 0% GB: -12,5% SF: 0% A: -13% S: +4% DK: -21% - 21% IRL: +13% L: -28% E: + 15% ANNEX-I EUROPEAN Countries UNION Germany GR: +25% P: + 27% P 10.04.13 3
  • 4. Background (2): Flexible Mechanisms Joint Implementation: >> project related (JI) >> Reduction in Guest country will be credited to Investor country and deducted in the Guest country >> Clearing in the Budget period (Specialty: Early JI) Business partners are both in an Industrialized Country, or in an Industrialized and ex socialist country. Clean Development Mech.: >> project related (CDM) >> Reduction in Guest country raises Budget of the Investor country >> „immediately“ creditable Business partners are in an Industrialized country and in a Developing Country. P 10.04.13 4
  • 5. Scheme: Project Mechanisms Greenhousegas- Reduction Certification Rehabilitation Investor Carbon Credits ERU‘s or CER‘s P 10.04.13 5
  • 6. Business Profile With Business activities and projects Can Greenhouse gases be reduced?  Is it possible to save primary energy?  Will renewable energy sources be promoted?  ⇒ Project fits in this business field P 10.04.13 6
  • 7. Procedure Execution of a CDM - Project • An intensive and complex Procedure has to be worked off in order to fulfil the needs to be called a Climate Change Project • The whole procedure includes among other subjects international contracts, Certifications and authorisations. P 10.04.13 7
  • 8. Project Cycle  PIN/PCN  Letter of Endorsement/of Approval of the Host Government  PDD  Validation by independant Entity  Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement  Registration and following steps P 10.04.13 8
  • 9. PIN  Letter of Endorsement/of Approval of the Host Government  PDD  Validation by independant Entity  Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement  Registration and following steps P 10.04.13 9
  • 10. Example of Specific CO2 Production ~ 52 % Condenser Plant Electrical Output ~ 19 % 0,669 kg CO2/kWh* 100 % Primary Energy Losses ~ 40 % Total 0,963 kg CO2/kWh* Boiler ~ 48 % ~ 41 % 0,294 kg CO2/kWh* Thermal Output Electrical Output ~ 41,9 % DEUTZ CHP Losses 100 % Primary Energy ~ 13,3 % Total 0,5 kg CO2/kWh ~ 44,8 % Thermal Output *Source:„Ganzheitliche Bilanzierung der Energiebereitstellung“ FfE-Study; 48 % (0,463 kg CO2/kWh) CO2 - Saving with CHP Energy Mix Germany 1996: 0.669 kg CO2/kWhel P 10.04.13 10
  • 11. Natural Gas - the cleanest Fossil Fuel CO2 Production of fossil primary Energy at combustion [kg CO2/kWh Energy input] 0,45 0,4 0,4 0,33 0,35 0,28 0,3 0,26 0,25 0,2 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 0 lignite Hard Coal Heavy Fuel Diesel Oil Natural Gas Oil Quelle: Third Report of the Parliamentary Comission on „Preventive Measures to Protect the Earth`s Atmosphere“ published in October 1990 P 10.04.13 11
  • 12. Project Examples >>> Gathering and Utilization of Waste gases from - Landfill sites - Sewage Plants - Coal Mines - Biogas devices >>> Change of the Fuel (for example Natural Gas instead of Coal) >>> Cogeneration 1 ton of CH4 equals 21 tons of CO2  also in the payment! P 10.04.13 12
  • 13. Cost – Income Analysis: virtual Example Income and Costs for a Climate Change Project Cost Revenues Transactioncosts of a Climate Change project 60.000 € Value of a CER Certificate 40.000 t/a x 12 € = annual payment equals about 10 MW Natural Gas projetct or 1,3 MW Non Natural Gas project if Methanemissions are avoided 480.000 € Yearly costs of Verification (starting year 2) 10.000 € Profit 1st. year 420.000 € Profit in the following years* 470.000 € * Projekt running times 1 x 10 Jahre oder 3 x 7 Jahre P 10.04.13 13
  • 14. 1. Background Project Development Example: Biogas system a.) Phases of Project development (major steps) 1. Offer of a raw material or gas (here Biogas, but also Coal Mine Gas, Landfill Gas, etc.) 2. Evaluation of the amount, Quality and time of use 3. Issuing an Investment Plan and Cash Flow Plan 4. Discussion with Investor about the total situation and Investment frame  green Light 5. Contracts about securing the raw material, Permits, Procurement (Tender procedure for equipment Service and operation) 6. Contracts for the Sales of Energy, Certificates and Fertilizer 7. Operation P 10.04.13 14
  • 15. 2. Project Development Biogas device Overview P 10.04.13 15
  • 16. Equipment Sales vs. Project Development 1.Equipment Sales a.) Tender procedure b.) Contact with specialized technical personell in that specific technical field c.) not complex (only supply against money) d.) specific customer segment e.) specific profit for specific supply 2. Project Development a.) complex various specialists in different fields required b.) many segments, many fields possible c.) companies like more selling, me with project development like more buying d.) with „good contracts“ „good profit“ possible P 10.04.13 16
  • 17. 2. What is needed? a.) Personel 1.Specialists in the use of Biogas, Coal Mine Gas etc. (Experts who understands the technical issues of Biogas devices, Coal Mine use, Landfills etc., somebody who knows the technical criteria of equipment and use of the gas) 2.Specialists in Financing (somebody who knows how to model the financing of such systems, including the financing with Carbon Credits, somebody who knows about international subsidies and help of international banks 3.Specialists in CDM and JI (somebody who knows about the whole project cycle, to achieve the most credits possile but also where to sell or how to use the Credits the best way) 4.Specialists in Marketing and Distribution (somebody who knows international trade, establishes contacts in many countries, establishes subsidiaries, finds the distribution channels to many raw materials and gases, contractual expert (a tough fighter) 5. Operation supervisors (somebody who is responsible to supervise and has an overview over the projects) This person has to manage the projects the others have aquired. Installation and operation is subcontracted, but sales contracts have to be made up, then there has to be a responsible in the company, who knows about execution of the project. P 10.04.13 17
  • 18. b.) Value Chain and where are the values (where can you earn money) -Raw material -Service and Engineering of the whole project -Equipment (Foreign- and own systems) -Service of devices -Energy Sales -Generation of Certificates -Trade of Certificates a. Sales of the generated Certificates of own projects b. Brokerage -Trading of Coproducts (for example Water, Fertilizer, CO2) -Sale of the whole project P 10.04.13 18
  • 19. 3.) Connection Equipment Sales and Project Development a.) Equipment Sales (when company just sells equipment) Client Company b.) Project Development P 10.04.13 19
  • 20. Feasibility Study with and without Cabon Credits (Example study to show what IRRs can be achieved, to be discussed in person) P 10.04.13 20
  • 21. Registered Climate Change projects (01) Energy industries (renewable - / non-renewable sources) (02) Energy distribution (03) Energy demand 82 1 (04) Manufacturing industries (05) Chemical industries 228 (06) Construction (07) Transport 584 (08) Mining/mineral production 0 (09) Metal production 16 86 (10) Fugitive emissions from fuels (solid, oil and gas) 1 (11) Fugitive emissions from production and consumption of halocarbons and 6 sulphur hexafluoride 66 1 (12) Solvent use 14 0 0 (13) Waste handling and disposal 16 (14) Afforestation and reforestation (15) Agriculture P 10.04.13 21
  • 22. Potential Out of that potential we can do most of the segments shown before P 10.04.13 22
  • 23. Outlook in the future New possibilities: Establishment of Programatic CDM in Indonesia (Fixed preliminary agreements ) Involved Experts: -Dr. Günther Herdin (International Gas engine Expert) -Dr. Tamer Turna (International Engineering Expert) -Dr. Howard Barmil (International Business Development Expert) -Knowledge of Government officials worldwide for example -Mr. Franzjosef Schafhausen, Germany Dr. Dr. Dürr Vienna etc. due to the fact of participation in working groups in Austrian and German Governments and the COPs/MOPs P 10.04.13 23