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Compiled on behalf of:
U.S. VOTER OPINION
REGARDING ISRAEL
2016
February 11-15, 2016
N=2,000 Registered Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.2%
March 10-14, 2016
N=1,995 Registered Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.2%
Polls Included:
2
40%
21%
12%
12%
6%
4%
4%
2%
Econ issues #1, Security a solid #2 but with
significant partisan disagreement on importance.
Economic Issues – like taxes, wages,
jobs, unemployment, and spending
DEM IND GOP
34% 47% 41%
15% 17% 31%
17% 10% 8%
12% 12% 12%
9% 6% 2%
7% 2% 2%
5% 4% 1%
2% 2% 3%
Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign
policy, and border security
Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health
care law, Medicaid, other challenges
Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social
Security
Education Issues – like school
standards, class sizes, school choice,
and student loans
Women’s Issues – like birth control,
abortion, and equal pay
Energy Issues - like carbon emissions,
cost of electricity/gasoline, or renewables
Other
Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top
set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for
federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?
3
Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your
mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?
42%
44%
42%
40% 40%
42%41% 42%
45%
37%
40%39%
27%
33%
38%
40%
15%
11%11%
16% 16% 16%
18%
20%
18%
20%
17%17%
37%
26%
23%
21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Economic Issues
Security Issues
Health Care Issues
Seniors Issues
Education Issues
Women's Issues
Energy Issues
Other
+ Denotes Likely Voters
Security remains a solid #2 issue, but the San
Bernardino / Paris scare faded from the issue priority
as quickly as it appeared.
4
“Israeli People” and “Israel” both elicit goodwill from
voters. P.A., Hezbollah, & Hamas all negative.
Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world
affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat
Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below.
85%
80%
71%
61% 59%
55%
39%
31% 31%
20%
29%
25% 26%
11%
7% 7%
14%
10%
5%5% 7%
15%
19%
28%
25%
40% 38%
43%
35%
48%
53%
57% 56%
53%
56%
64%
73%
86%
+80
Fv Un
+73 +56
Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un
+42 +31 +30 -1 -7 -12 -15 -19 -28 -31 -45 -46 -49 -50 -63 -81
5
55%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Favorable
Unfavorable
Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world affairs,
please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or
Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below. … ISRAEL
Israel’s image has been relatively steady over the past
fourteen years.
** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
6
61% 61%
54%
71%
31%
46%
28%
23%
19% 21% 21%
17%
43%
31%
38%
58%
Total Lib.
(27%)
Mod.
(32%)
Cons.
(38%)
Total Lib.
(27%)
Mod.
(32%)
Cons.
(38%)
Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and
world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,
Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…
Fav Unf
Israeli people seen positively across the
ideological spectrum, the Palestinian people with
a more mixed image among voters.
“Israeli People” “Palestinian People”
Total & By Ideology Total & By Ideology
Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf
+42 +40 +33 +54 -12 +15 -10 -35
7
55%
48% 47%
71%
7% 9% 7% 6%
11%
16%
10% 10%
7% 9%
5% 7%
25%
32%
28%
18%
56%
53%
50%
67%
56%
50% 50%
67%
53% 51% 49%
61%
Total Lib.
(27%)
Mod.
(32%)
Cons.
(38%)
Total Lib.
(27%)
Mod.
(32%)
Cons.
(38%)
Total Lib.
(27%)
Mod.
(32%)
Cons.
(38%)
Total Lib.
(27%)
Mod.
(32%)
Cons.
(38%)
Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and
world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,
Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…
Fv
Majority favorable toward Israel, unfavorable
toward Hamas, PA, and Hezbollah. All three groups
seen through very similar ideological lens.
“Israel”
Total & By Party
Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un
“Hamas”
Total & By Party
“The PA”
Total & By Party
“Hezbollah”
Total & By Party
FvFv Fv
8
70%
78%
63% 63%
68% 70%
75% 77%
65% 66%
81%
13% 13% 14%
18% 16% 14%
6%
12% 15% 15%
10%
Total Male
(48%)
Female
(52%)
18-29
(21%)
30-44
(20%)
45-54
(22%)
55-64
(16%)
65+
(21%)
DEM
(40%)
IND
(27%)
GOP
(33%)
Do you support or oppose the United States maintaining a strong alliance with Israel?
Sup
Strategic support for maintaining the strong U.S.-
Israel alliance is high, above 60% of all key
demographic groups.
Total
+57
Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op
+65 +49
By Gender By Age By Party
+45 +52 +56 +69 +65 +50 +51 +71
9
51%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused
** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East,
please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a
supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
In context of the conflict, Israel receives far more U.S.
support than it did in the early 2000s.
10
The key terms for communicating to U.S. voters
about an ally (like Israel).
Thinking about allies of the United States, which of the terms shown below are MOST important in
an alliance? Please choose AT LEAST ONE and UP TO FIVE that you think are most important…
Respect 46%
Human Rights 39%
War on Terror 34%
Values 32%
Economic Partner 31%
Mutual Interests 30%
Defense 26%
Openness 24%
Trade 22%
Democratic 15%
Forthrightness 14%
Mutual Enemies 10%
Christian 10%
Beaches 1%
Western 2%
Judeo-Christian 3%
Travel 3%
Liberal 4%
Autonomy 4%
Language 4%
Militaristic 5%
Innovative 6%
Innovation 7%
Investment 7%
Minority Rights 8%
Culture 8%
Conservative 9%
11
Below are some words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe countries in the world.
Please tell me whether you think it describes ISRAEL very well, pretty well, not too well, or not well at all.
Israel seen as facing real threats, strong & necessary
ally of US. “Burden to US” is rejected.
74%
64%
61%
60%
59%
54%
43%
35%
34%
29%
29%
12%
18%
21%
22%
20%
27%
34%
45%
47%
54%
53%
Faces real threats
Is of strategic importance
A strong ally of the US
A strong friend of the US
Is a democracy
Willing to take risks for peace
Shares my values
Extreme
Too religious
A burden to the US
Is a burden
Very Well / Pretty Well Not Too Well / Not Well At All
12
81%
63%
54% 51%
10% 12%
36%
26%
Total Total Total Total
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement...
“Nothing can justify hate.” Putting BDS into this
framework flips the conversation.
Campaigns of hate only
drive everyone further
away from peace and
reconciliation. Nothing
can justify hate.
Agree Disagree
18%
Strongly
Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree
The United States
should oppose efforts to
delegitimize our allies
around the world,
undermining someone’s
right to exist will never
advance the cause of
peace.
Economic warfare is the
same as any other type
of warfare.
The United States
should not allow any of
its allies to be attacked
with economic weapons
like boycotts.
16%
Strongly
28%
Strongly
49%
Strongly
TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

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TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

  • 1. Compiled on behalf of: U.S. VOTER OPINION REGARDING ISRAEL 2016 February 11-15, 2016 N=2,000 Registered Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.2% March 10-14, 2016 N=1,995 Registered Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.2% Polls Included:
  • 2. 2 40% 21% 12% 12% 6% 4% 4% 2% Econ issues #1, Security a solid #2 but with significant partisan disagreement on importance. Economic Issues – like taxes, wages, jobs, unemployment, and spending DEM IND GOP 34% 47% 41% 15% 17% 31% 17% 10% 8% 12% 12% 12% 9% 6% 2% 7% 2% 2% 5% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign policy, and border security Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health care law, Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social Security Education Issues – like school standards, class sizes, school choice, and student loans Women’s Issues – like birth control, abortion, and equal pay Energy Issues - like carbon emissions, cost of electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?
  • 3. 3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? 42% 44% 42% 40% 40% 42%41% 42% 45% 37% 40%39% 27% 33% 38% 40% 15% 11%11% 16% 16% 16% 18% 20% 18% 20% 17%17% 37% 26% 23% 21% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Economic Issues Security Issues Health Care Issues Seniors Issues Education Issues Women's Issues Energy Issues Other + Denotes Likely Voters Security remains a solid #2 issue, but the San Bernardino / Paris scare faded from the issue priority as quickly as it appeared.
  • 4. 4 “Israeli People” and “Israel” both elicit goodwill from voters. P.A., Hezbollah, & Hamas all negative. Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below. 85% 80% 71% 61% 59% 55% 39% 31% 31% 20% 29% 25% 26% 11% 7% 7% 14% 10% 5%5% 7% 15% 19% 28% 25% 40% 38% 43% 35% 48% 53% 57% 56% 53% 56% 64% 73% 86% +80 Fv Un +73 +56 Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un +42 +31 +30 -1 -7 -12 -15 -19 -28 -31 -45 -46 -49 -50 -63 -81
  • 5. 5 55% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Favorable Unfavorable Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below. … ISRAEL Israel’s image has been relatively steady over the past fourteen years. ** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
  • 6. 6 61% 61% 54% 71% 31% 46% 28% 23% 19% 21% 21% 17% 43% 31% 38% 58% Total Lib. (27%) Mod. (32%) Cons. (38%) Total Lib. (27%) Mod. (32%) Cons. (38%) Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of… Fav Unf Israeli people seen positively across the ideological spectrum, the Palestinian people with a more mixed image among voters. “Israeli People” “Palestinian People” Total & By Ideology Total & By Ideology Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf +42 +40 +33 +54 -12 +15 -10 -35
  • 7. 7 55% 48% 47% 71% 7% 9% 7% 6% 11% 16% 10% 10% 7% 9% 5% 7% 25% 32% 28% 18% 56% 53% 50% 67% 56% 50% 50% 67% 53% 51% 49% 61% Total Lib. (27%) Mod. (32%) Cons. (38%) Total Lib. (27%) Mod. (32%) Cons. (38%) Total Lib. (27%) Mod. (32%) Cons. (38%) Total Lib. (27%) Mod. (32%) Cons. (38%) Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of… Fv Majority favorable toward Israel, unfavorable toward Hamas, PA, and Hezbollah. All three groups seen through very similar ideological lens. “Israel” Total & By Party Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un “Hamas” Total & By Party “The PA” Total & By Party “Hezbollah” Total & By Party FvFv Fv
  • 8. 8 70% 78% 63% 63% 68% 70% 75% 77% 65% 66% 81% 13% 13% 14% 18% 16% 14% 6% 12% 15% 15% 10% Total Male (48%) Female (52%) 18-29 (21%) 30-44 (20%) 45-54 (22%) 55-64 (16%) 65+ (21%) DEM (40%) IND (27%) GOP (33%) Do you support or oppose the United States maintaining a strong alliance with Israel? Sup Strategic support for maintaining the strong U.S.- Israel alliance is high, above 60% of all key demographic groups. Total +57 Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op +65 +49 By Gender By Age By Party +45 +52 +56 +69 +65 +50 +51 +71
  • 9. 9 51% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused ** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians? In context of the conflict, Israel receives far more U.S. support than it did in the early 2000s.
  • 10. 10 The key terms for communicating to U.S. voters about an ally (like Israel). Thinking about allies of the United States, which of the terms shown below are MOST important in an alliance? Please choose AT LEAST ONE and UP TO FIVE that you think are most important… Respect 46% Human Rights 39% War on Terror 34% Values 32% Economic Partner 31% Mutual Interests 30% Defense 26% Openness 24% Trade 22% Democratic 15% Forthrightness 14% Mutual Enemies 10% Christian 10% Beaches 1% Western 2% Judeo-Christian 3% Travel 3% Liberal 4% Autonomy 4% Language 4% Militaristic 5% Innovative 6% Innovation 7% Investment 7% Minority Rights 8% Culture 8% Conservative 9%
  • 11. 11 Below are some words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe countries in the world. Please tell me whether you think it describes ISRAEL very well, pretty well, not too well, or not well at all. Israel seen as facing real threats, strong & necessary ally of US. “Burden to US” is rejected. 74% 64% 61% 60% 59% 54% 43% 35% 34% 29% 29% 12% 18% 21% 22% 20% 27% 34% 45% 47% 54% 53% Faces real threats Is of strategic importance A strong ally of the US A strong friend of the US Is a democracy Willing to take risks for peace Shares my values Extreme Too religious A burden to the US Is a burden Very Well / Pretty Well Not Too Well / Not Well At All
  • 12. 12 81% 63% 54% 51% 10% 12% 36% 26% Total Total Total Total Do you agree or disagree with the following statement... “Nothing can justify hate.” Putting BDS into this framework flips the conversation. Campaigns of hate only drive everyone further away from peace and reconciliation. Nothing can justify hate. Agree Disagree 18% Strongly Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree The United States should oppose efforts to delegitimize our allies around the world, undermining someone’s right to exist will never advance the cause of peace. Economic warfare is the same as any other type of warfare. The United States should not allow any of its allies to be attacked with economic weapons like boycotts. 16% Strongly 28% Strongly 49% Strongly