The document discusses the potential for growth in Denmark's food cluster exports globally. It notes that Denmark is a small, open economy that relies heavily on exports. The food cluster, including agriculture, food processing and technology, is an important part of Denmark's economy. There are significant opportunities for growth in food exports to Asia and other regions to meet rising global demand as the world population and middle class increases. However, obstacles like environmental regulations and a lack of resources could hamper Denmark's ability to realize this export potential. The food cluster represents the possibility of balanced growth through increased knowledge and sustainable production.

1. ”Global potential for the Danish food cluster”
June 9 th, 2015
Danish Agriculture &
Food Council
Thomas Søby, Chief Economist

2. Agenda
• Role of exports in Danish economy
• The food cluster today
• The bright future

3. Denmark is a small open economy

4. With a huge potential in exports
Denmark's utilization of the export potential in 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Global Europe Oceania Asia North
America
South
America
Africa
100 = potential

5. Important food cluster
Primary production
Agro industry
Processing
Science and research
development
Exports

6. Danish balance of trade
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2014
Others Danish Food clusterDKK billion
Net
=
DKK billion 61

7. DKK billion 151 to 211 countries

8. 2014 – Goods to the World
10 countries = DKK 103 bill.
17 countries = DKK 30 bill.
183 countries = DKK 18 bill.
…
…….
………....

9. Steady increase in exports, but…
81
87 89
93
86
94
100
105 107 107
21
25 23
24
22
28
31
34
37 33
8
10 11
13
9
10
11
12
12
12
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Food
Biobased products
Agri-technologi
DKK billion

10. S:EAOplæg og præsentationerSerier - Thomas2015.05.06 - Finansielle medlemmer S:EAOplæg og præsentationerSerier - Thomas2015.05.06 - Finansielle medlemmer
“In the next 40 years, humans will
need to produce more food
than they did in the previous
10,000 put together”
– The Economist, Jan. 2015
S:EAOplægogpræsentationerSerier-Thomas2015.05.06-Finansiellemedlemmer

11. Everyone needs food …
… we must take action
Agricultural land, hectare per capita World Population (bill.)

12. • Globally 500,000 new members of
the middle class – every day!
• Increasing exploitation of global
resources.
Our world is growing
 Vast growth potential
for intensified (resource) effective
production of food

13. East & Southeast Asia are growing markets
*estimated exports
*DKK bill. , constant prices
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015*
2016*
2017*
2018*
2019*
China incl. Hong Kong Rest of East & Southeast Asia
+14 billion since
2000
+ 5 billion since
2014

14. Responsibility …
… creates growth in balance
Production
Phosphorus surplus
Ammonia loss
Nitrogen surplus
Greenhouse gasses
Phosphorus surplus

15. ”The road to the future - obstacles or growth”
29. april 2015
- Lack of raw commodities put pressure on growth.
- Rigid environmental regulations and lengthy approval processes
stop the expansion and modernization of farms.
• (Over-) implementation of EU legislation is putting the brakes
on Denmark in the international competition.

16. Increasing demand = export potential
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
DKK billion, constant prices
Exports Danish food cluster, 2000-2020
* Estimated values
187
bill.

17. Conclusions
• Denmark is a small open economy
• The food cluster is important
• Great potential in Asia and other areas
• Potential abroad – obstacles at home

18. Knowledge
Growth
Balance