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Presents

Think like it’s 2014.

Paul Barter
VP, Research
@barterpaul

Jeff DeChambeau
Senior Analyst
@jeffdechambeau
1996.
In 1996…

Paul Barter

Jeff DeChambeau
Speed:
Price:
Size:
Name:

1.3-1.7 TFLOPS (!!!)
$55,000,000
0.8 tennis courts
ASCI RED
10 years later...
A new supercomputer appears…

*
* Possible scale
Speed:
Price:
Size:
Name:

1.8 TFLOPS
$499
0.00045 tennis courts
?
Some context

ASCI RED

PS3
Meanwhile…
Paul
Completed Kellogg-Schulich MBA
Adjunct Professor, Schulich MBA
VP Strategy T4G Limited
Consultant with New Paradigm

Jeff
At the University of Western Ontario
Studying Physics & Philosophy
Intern at New Paradigm
8 years later…
(…today!)
Paul and Jeff at a glance
Gen Y

Baby Boomer
Engineering

Raised on Star Trek

Strategy

Grew up online

GE

Technology

Kellogg-Schulich MBA

Schulich MBA prof
Raptors
MS Excel
Venture
investor

B.A. Philosophy
T4G Limited
Guest lecturer
Elon Musk
Game of
Thrones

Designer-entrepreneur

Storytelling
HTML/CSS/
JQuery
T4G in 30 seconds
We design, develop, and
implement technology
solutions that help our
customers run their
businesses better.

Analytics

Digital
Marketing

Managed
Services

Omnichannel

Custom
Development
T4G Research
But wait, what about this?

ASCI RED 1996

PS3 2006
Or this?

ASCI RED 1996

PS3 2006

Your phone in 2016?
We need some context.
What about back in the day?
Exponential Change
All of History: The Graph
What of it?

+

=

The human brain plus exponential change equals disruption.
We all have mental models
Change impacts them.
Beware of dusty ideas.
There are many more possible combinations
Which means much more change
Our brains have never dealt with such
incredibly fast change before
This causes facts to expire
Leading to misinformed decisions
You need to keep your thinking up to date
Looking forward. Our goals today:

Show you five big trends,
how they’re changing the world,
and what to do about it.
Today’s agenda
Trend

Impact

1

Exponential change

Expiring facts

2

The 2nd internet revolution

Responsive design*

3

The internet of things

Big data

4

Managing the transition

Privacy, security, and trust

5

The decline of interruption

From STEM to STEAM
nd
2

The
internet revolution
The second internet revolution

Paul born

Jeff born
But first:

General purpose
Technology
What’s a general purpose technology?

The next
fortune.
How should
we respond?
“Responsive Design” Today

Only responds to one context: the screen
But what about
other contexts?
And these?

Emotions

Activity
Level

Motion

Sleep

Heart
rate

Calories
burned

Heart
rate
GPS

Motion
History
Demographics
What type of user
experience could
you design?
You must provide
compelling reasons to
customers to get them to
share their data.
Internet
of
things
Just the past couple weeks…
Heart
rate
Activity
Level

Sleep

Calories
burned
Healthcare
Consumer data
Industrial internet
Large, complex systems
What about
all those data?
“More photos are
taken every two
minutes than in
th
all of the 19
century.”
1. Structured

3. Unstructured

2. Semistructured
Structured
Semi-structured
Unstructured
Bringing it
all together.
Managing
the transition
All of History: The Graph
Traditional IT
New Tech Titans
Moving quicker
Economies of scale
More open

And everything is
interconnected
IT’s role hasn’t changed

Security

Privacy

Manageability
Privacy, Security,
and Trust
You’re being trusted with their data.

Take this responsibility seriously.
Lost data leads to lost advantage
Data breaches erode trust
The NSA is listening
The decline of
interruption
The shape of a container
determines what you can
put inside it.
Jonathan Blow
The shift from
STEM to STEAM
STEM

STEAM

Science, Technology,
Engineering, Math

Same + Arts
Example

14,118,595 views
How they do it
But make sure your product is good
Advice:
Go back to first principles.

Summary:
Do stuff worth talking about.
Think like it’s 2014.
Our goals today…

Show you five big trends,
how they’re changing the world,
and what to do about it.
Influential books
If you buy the arguments,
here’s how to keep up to date
with T4G Research.
t4g.com
Or send us a note:
Paul.Barter@T4G.com

Jeff.DeChambeau@T4G.com

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Think like it's 2014.