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Theories of International Trade
• A well developed global financial system is
   essential for supporting increased international
   trade & the basis of this increase refers to the
   evolution of certain major theories.
1. Theory of Absolute Advantage;
2. Theory of Comparative Advantage;
3. Heckscher-Ohlin Model;
4. Imitation Gap Theory;
5. International Product Life Cycle Theory.
1) Theory of Absolute Advantage
• Developed by Adam Smith in 1776;
• Holds that consumers will be better-off if they can buy
  foreign made products that are priced more cheaply than
  domestic one.

• As per the theory, a country may produce goods more
  efficiently because of a natural advantage (e.g. raw
  materials or climate) or because of acquired advantage
  (e.g. technology or skills).

• Assumptions: Full employment, No transportation
  cost, comparability of price across countries & perfect
  mobility of labour.
Theory of Absolute Advantage……
    A Hypothetical Situation
 –                                                     Country X               Country Y
 –   Resource available                                100 units               100 units
 –   Requirement to produce 1 TV                        10 units                5 units
 –   Requirement to produce 1 ton rice                  4 units                 20 units
 –   Both countries use half of the total resources per product when there is no foreign trade.

 –   Production (without Trade)                       TV(units)               Rice(units)
 –   Country X                                        5                       12 ½
 –   Country Y                                        10                      2½
 –   Total                                            15                      15

 –   Production (with Trade)                          TV(units)               Rice(units)
 –   Country X(only tons of Rice)                     -                       25 tons
 –   Country Y(only TV)                               20                      -
 –   Total                                            20                      25

 –   If each country specialized in the commodity for which it has an absolute advantage,
     then production of both products can be increased.
Theory of Absolute Advantage……
           Limitations
1)   It explains the causes of trade between two countries
     only in those situations where both the countries enjoy
     absolute advantage in production of at least one
     product.
2)   It assumes non-existence or insignificant cost of
     transportation, which does not always hold well.
3)   The assumption that prices are comparable across
     countries implies stability of exchange rate.
4)   Theory assumes mobility of labour from other sectors
     to a particular sector, where the country enjoys
     comparative advantage in production, which does not
     actually exist.
Theory of Comparative Advantage


• David Ricardo’s(1817) Comparative
  Advantage theory holds that total output
  can be increased through foreign trade,
  even though one country may have an
  absolute advantage in the production of all
  products.
Theory of Comparative Advantage
          A Hypothetical case
–                                   Country X        Country Y
Resource available                     100 units      100 units
Requirement to produce 1 TV            10 units        5 units
Requirement to produce 1 ton rice 10 units             4 units
Both countries use half of the total resources per product when
  there is no foreign trade.


– Production (Without trade-state of autarky) TV       Rice
           Country – X                       5 units  5tons
           Country – Y                       10 units 12 ½ tons
           Total                             15 units 17 ½ tons

– Country Y has an absolute advantage in producing
  both products, but has a comparative advantage in
  producing rice.
Hypothetical case……….
– With trade - Increasing TV Production TV   Rice
          Country – X               10 units   0 tons
          Country – Y                6 units 17 ½ tons
          Total                     16 units 17 ½ tons

– If the combined production of rice is unchanged from
  where there was no trade, country Y can produce all 17
  ½ tons by using 70 units of resources and rest 30 units
  can be used to produce TV.

– With trade - Increasing Rice Production TV    Rice
          Country – X               10 units    0 tons
          Country – Y                5 units   18 ¾ tons
          Total                     15 units   18 ¾ tons
Hypothetical case……….
• If the combined TV production is unchanged from time
  before trade, country X could produce 10 units by all
  resources and country Y required 25 units of resources
  to produce the rest 5 sets.

• The remaining 75 units of resources of country Y can
  produce 18 ¾ tons of rice.

• Whether the production target is an increase of TV or
  rice or both, two countries can gain by having X trade
  some of its rice production to Y for some of that country’s
  TV production.
Assumptions
1.   Perfect competition with flexible prices and wages prevails in both
     the countries. This results in the prices of TV & rice being different
     in X & Y due to a difference in labour hours used & hence
     production costs.

2.   Labor is the only factor of production & the average product of
     labour is constant for producing both the products in both the
     countries.

3.   There is full employment in both the countries.

4.   Labour is perfectly mobile among various sectors but perfectly
     immobile between countries.

5.   No technological innovation takes place in any of the economies.

•    It suffers from all the drawbacks associated with the assumptions; yet this
     theory is one of the closest explanations of international trade.
HECKSCHER-OHLIN MODEL
             (Factor-Proportion Theory)
• Model developed in 1920s holds that a country’s relative endowments
  of land, labour and capital will determine the relative cost of these
  factors.

• If labour were abundant in relation to land & capital, labour cost would
  be low and land & capital costs high; & vice versa.

• These factor costs, in turn, will determine which goods the country can
  produce more efficiently.

• The reason two countries operating at the same level of efficiency
  can, and do benefit from trade can be traced to the differences in their
  factor endowment.

• There are two types of products – labour & capital intensive, to be
  produced by labour and capital rich countries respectively; then the two
  countries will trade these goods to get the benefits of international
  trade.
HECKSCHER-OHLIN MODEL
     (Factor-Proportion Theory)…….
• Assumptions:
• No obstruction to trade (e.g. trade controls,
  transportation cost etc.) are there;
• Both commodity & factor markets are perfectly
  competitive;
• There are constant or decreasing return to scale;
• Both countries have same technology & hence operate
  at same level of efficiency;
• Two factors of production exist – labour & capital. Both
  are perfectly immobile for inter-country transfers, but
  perfectly mobile for inter-sector transfer.
Limitations
• It assumes that factor endowments are given, where as
  they can also be developed though innovations.

• Due to minimum wage laws in some countries, the factor
  prices may change to such an extent, that an otherwise
  labour-rich country may find it cheaper to import labour
  intensive goods than to produce them locally.

• The findings of an empirical study by economist Wassily
  Leontief pointed out that despite being a capital-rich
  country,US exports are more labor-intensive than capital
  intensive (Leontief Paradox).
IMITATION-GAP THEORY
• Developed by Posner, the theory considers possibility
  between two countries having similar factor endowments
  and consumer tastes because of existence of inventions
  & innovations in existing products.

• Degree of trade between such countries will depend
  upon the difference between the ‘demand lag’ and the
  ‘imitation lag’.

• Demand Lag is the difference between the times a new
  or an improved product is introduced in one country, and
  the time when consumers in the other country start
  demanding it.
IMITATION-GAP THEORY…
•   Demand Lag depends on:
    1) speed & effectiveness of flow of information,
    2) readiness of the consumers of the second
    country to use innovative products, 3) ability &
    timing to convert their desire to demands.

•   Imitation Lag is the difference between the
    time of introduction of the product in one
    country, and the time when the producers in
    the other country start producing it.
IMITATION-GAP THEORY…
•   Imitation Lag depends on:

1. Readiness of the second country to adopt new technology;
2. Time taken by the second country to learn the new process;
3. Likelihood of the second country developing the technology on their own
   due to a constant process of R&D.

•   If due to any of the above factors, the imitation lag is shorter than the
    demand lag, no trade will take place between the two countries.

•   Normally demand lag is shorter than imitation lag – country coming out with
    innovation starts exporting to the second country – as awareness create
    demand there – export continues till demand lag is over.

• If local producers can start producing before the last part, they can
  arrest the growth of the importers (imitation lag);
  at the end of the imitation lag, the trade will start coming down and
  shall be finally eliminated.
INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE
           CYCLE THEORY
•    Two important principles of this theory (Raymond
     Vernon):
1.   New products are developed as a result of
     technological innovation;
2.   Trade patterns are determined by the market structure
     and the phases in new product’s life.

•    The introduction stage is marked by:

1.   Innovation in reference to observe need;
2.   Exporting by the innovative country;
3.   Near monopoly position – sales based on uniqueness
     rather than price – evolving product characteristics.
INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE
             THEORY……………..
•    The Growth stage is marked by:

1.   Increases in exports by innovating country;
2.   More competition – some competitors begin price cutting –
     product becoming more standardized;
3.   Increased capital intensity.

•    The Maturity Stage is characterized by:

1.   Factor requirement changes & also change in the centre of
     production from innovative country to other developed
     country – offering a cost advantage due to a more suitable
     pattern of factor prices;
2.   More standardization of product;
3.   More capital intensity & increased competitiveness of price.
INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE
             THEORY……………..
•    The Decline stage is marked by:

1.   Concentration of production in LDCs as now it would become
     possible to produce the good with relatively unskilled labour;
2.   Innovating country becoming net importer.

•    There are certain products for which production movements
     do not take place:

1.   Products having extremely short life cycle because of rapid
     innovations (electronic products);
2.   Luxury products for which cost is of little concern to the
     consumer;
3.   Products for which international transportation cost is high,&
     so no opportunity for export in any stage of life cycle.
Intra-Industry Trade
•  Refers to simultaneous import and export of the
   same product by a single country;
• Reasons:
1. Transportation Costs (Geographical advantage);

2. Seasonal differences (for agricultural produce);

3. Product differentiation (superior quality capital-
   intensive products vs. labour-intensive and lower
   quality capital intensive products) :If demand for
   both types of goods exists in both countries, it may
   result in intra-industry trade.
Factors affecting International
                 Trade
1.   High re-entry costs: A firm temporarily facing a slump
     in international demand and/or price for its product
     may have to continue its supply, even if it is not
     economically justifiable, due to high re-entry costs.

2. Economies of Scale: A firm may be able to export even
    without comparative advantage, as a result of
    economies of scale.

3. Currency value: Exchange rates may increase or
   decrease the competitiveness of a product in the
   international market.
Factors affecting International
            Trade…………
4. Strong customer tastes for costlier brand & imperfect
   competition (because of non-availability of information of
   cheaper product) would distort the trade patterns.

5. Although most trade theories deal with cross-country
   benefits and costs, trading decisions are usually made at
   the company level – companies must have competitive
   advantages to be viable exporters.

6. Companies may seek trading opportunities in order to
   use excess capacity, lower production costs, or spread
   risk.

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Theories Of International Trade

  • 1. Theories of International Trade • A well developed global financial system is essential for supporting increased international trade & the basis of this increase refers to the evolution of certain major theories. 1. Theory of Absolute Advantage; 2. Theory of Comparative Advantage; 3. Heckscher-Ohlin Model; 4. Imitation Gap Theory; 5. International Product Life Cycle Theory.
  • 2. 1) Theory of Absolute Advantage • Developed by Adam Smith in 1776; • Holds that consumers will be better-off if they can buy foreign made products that are priced more cheaply than domestic one. • As per the theory, a country may produce goods more efficiently because of a natural advantage (e.g. raw materials or climate) or because of acquired advantage (e.g. technology or skills). • Assumptions: Full employment, No transportation cost, comparability of price across countries & perfect mobility of labour.
  • 3. Theory of Absolute Advantage…… A Hypothetical Situation – Country X Country Y – Resource available 100 units 100 units – Requirement to produce 1 TV 10 units 5 units – Requirement to produce 1 ton rice 4 units 20 units – Both countries use half of the total resources per product when there is no foreign trade. – Production (without Trade) TV(units) Rice(units) – Country X 5 12 ½ – Country Y 10 2½ – Total 15 15 – Production (with Trade) TV(units) Rice(units) – Country X(only tons of Rice) - 25 tons – Country Y(only TV) 20 - – Total 20 25 – If each country specialized in the commodity for which it has an absolute advantage, then production of both products can be increased.
  • 4. Theory of Absolute Advantage…… Limitations 1) It explains the causes of trade between two countries only in those situations where both the countries enjoy absolute advantage in production of at least one product. 2) It assumes non-existence or insignificant cost of transportation, which does not always hold well. 3) The assumption that prices are comparable across countries implies stability of exchange rate. 4) Theory assumes mobility of labour from other sectors to a particular sector, where the country enjoys comparative advantage in production, which does not actually exist.
  • 5. Theory of Comparative Advantage • David Ricardo’s(1817) Comparative Advantage theory holds that total output can be increased through foreign trade, even though one country may have an absolute advantage in the production of all products.
  • 6. Theory of Comparative Advantage A Hypothetical case – Country X Country Y Resource available 100 units 100 units Requirement to produce 1 TV 10 units 5 units Requirement to produce 1 ton rice 10 units 4 units Both countries use half of the total resources per product when there is no foreign trade. – Production (Without trade-state of autarky) TV Rice Country – X 5 units 5tons Country – Y 10 units 12 ½ tons Total 15 units 17 ½ tons – Country Y has an absolute advantage in producing both products, but has a comparative advantage in producing rice.
  • 7. Hypothetical case………. – With trade - Increasing TV Production TV Rice Country – X 10 units 0 tons Country – Y 6 units 17 ½ tons Total 16 units 17 ½ tons – If the combined production of rice is unchanged from where there was no trade, country Y can produce all 17 ½ tons by using 70 units of resources and rest 30 units can be used to produce TV. – With trade - Increasing Rice Production TV Rice Country – X 10 units 0 tons Country – Y 5 units 18 ¾ tons Total 15 units 18 ¾ tons
  • 8. Hypothetical case………. • If the combined TV production is unchanged from time before trade, country X could produce 10 units by all resources and country Y required 25 units of resources to produce the rest 5 sets. • The remaining 75 units of resources of country Y can produce 18 ¾ tons of rice. • Whether the production target is an increase of TV or rice or both, two countries can gain by having X trade some of its rice production to Y for some of that country’s TV production.
  • 9. Assumptions 1. Perfect competition with flexible prices and wages prevails in both the countries. This results in the prices of TV & rice being different in X & Y due to a difference in labour hours used & hence production costs. 2. Labor is the only factor of production & the average product of labour is constant for producing both the products in both the countries. 3. There is full employment in both the countries. 4. Labour is perfectly mobile among various sectors but perfectly immobile between countries. 5. No technological innovation takes place in any of the economies. • It suffers from all the drawbacks associated with the assumptions; yet this theory is one of the closest explanations of international trade.
  • 10. HECKSCHER-OHLIN MODEL (Factor-Proportion Theory) • Model developed in 1920s holds that a country’s relative endowments of land, labour and capital will determine the relative cost of these factors. • If labour were abundant in relation to land & capital, labour cost would be low and land & capital costs high; & vice versa. • These factor costs, in turn, will determine which goods the country can produce more efficiently. • The reason two countries operating at the same level of efficiency can, and do benefit from trade can be traced to the differences in their factor endowment. • There are two types of products – labour & capital intensive, to be produced by labour and capital rich countries respectively; then the two countries will trade these goods to get the benefits of international trade.
  • 11. HECKSCHER-OHLIN MODEL (Factor-Proportion Theory)……. • Assumptions: • No obstruction to trade (e.g. trade controls, transportation cost etc.) are there; • Both commodity & factor markets are perfectly competitive; • There are constant or decreasing return to scale; • Both countries have same technology & hence operate at same level of efficiency; • Two factors of production exist – labour & capital. Both are perfectly immobile for inter-country transfers, but perfectly mobile for inter-sector transfer.
  • 12. Limitations • It assumes that factor endowments are given, where as they can also be developed though innovations. • Due to minimum wage laws in some countries, the factor prices may change to such an extent, that an otherwise labour-rich country may find it cheaper to import labour intensive goods than to produce them locally. • The findings of an empirical study by economist Wassily Leontief pointed out that despite being a capital-rich country,US exports are more labor-intensive than capital intensive (Leontief Paradox).
  • 13. IMITATION-GAP THEORY • Developed by Posner, the theory considers possibility between two countries having similar factor endowments and consumer tastes because of existence of inventions & innovations in existing products. • Degree of trade between such countries will depend upon the difference between the ‘demand lag’ and the ‘imitation lag’. • Demand Lag is the difference between the times a new or an improved product is introduced in one country, and the time when consumers in the other country start demanding it.
  • 14. IMITATION-GAP THEORY… • Demand Lag depends on: 1) speed & effectiveness of flow of information, 2) readiness of the consumers of the second country to use innovative products, 3) ability & timing to convert their desire to demands. • Imitation Lag is the difference between the time of introduction of the product in one country, and the time when the producers in the other country start producing it.
  • 15. IMITATION-GAP THEORY… • Imitation Lag depends on: 1. Readiness of the second country to adopt new technology; 2. Time taken by the second country to learn the new process; 3. Likelihood of the second country developing the technology on their own due to a constant process of R&D. • If due to any of the above factors, the imitation lag is shorter than the demand lag, no trade will take place between the two countries. • Normally demand lag is shorter than imitation lag – country coming out with innovation starts exporting to the second country – as awareness create demand there – export continues till demand lag is over. • If local producers can start producing before the last part, they can arrest the growth of the importers (imitation lag); at the end of the imitation lag, the trade will start coming down and shall be finally eliminated.
  • 16. INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE THEORY • Two important principles of this theory (Raymond Vernon): 1. New products are developed as a result of technological innovation; 2. Trade patterns are determined by the market structure and the phases in new product’s life. • The introduction stage is marked by: 1. Innovation in reference to observe need; 2. Exporting by the innovative country; 3. Near monopoly position – sales based on uniqueness rather than price – evolving product characteristics.
  • 17. INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE THEORY…………….. • The Growth stage is marked by: 1. Increases in exports by innovating country; 2. More competition – some competitors begin price cutting – product becoming more standardized; 3. Increased capital intensity. • The Maturity Stage is characterized by: 1. Factor requirement changes & also change in the centre of production from innovative country to other developed country – offering a cost advantage due to a more suitable pattern of factor prices; 2. More standardization of product; 3. More capital intensity & increased competitiveness of price.
  • 18. INTERNATIONAL PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE THEORY…………….. • The Decline stage is marked by: 1. Concentration of production in LDCs as now it would become possible to produce the good with relatively unskilled labour; 2. Innovating country becoming net importer. • There are certain products for which production movements do not take place: 1. Products having extremely short life cycle because of rapid innovations (electronic products); 2. Luxury products for which cost is of little concern to the consumer; 3. Products for which international transportation cost is high,& so no opportunity for export in any stage of life cycle.
  • 19. Intra-Industry Trade • Refers to simultaneous import and export of the same product by a single country; • Reasons: 1. Transportation Costs (Geographical advantage); 2. Seasonal differences (for agricultural produce); 3. Product differentiation (superior quality capital- intensive products vs. labour-intensive and lower quality capital intensive products) :If demand for both types of goods exists in both countries, it may result in intra-industry trade.
  • 20. Factors affecting International Trade 1. High re-entry costs: A firm temporarily facing a slump in international demand and/or price for its product may have to continue its supply, even if it is not economically justifiable, due to high re-entry costs. 2. Economies of Scale: A firm may be able to export even without comparative advantage, as a result of economies of scale. 3. Currency value: Exchange rates may increase or decrease the competitiveness of a product in the international market.
  • 21. Factors affecting International Trade………… 4. Strong customer tastes for costlier brand & imperfect competition (because of non-availability of information of cheaper product) would distort the trade patterns. 5. Although most trade theories deal with cross-country benefits and costs, trading decisions are usually made at the company level – companies must have competitive advantages to be viable exporters. 6. Companies may seek trading opportunities in order to use excess capacity, lower production costs, or spread risk.