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International Finance
Introduction
• It is the branch of economics which deals with the
dynamics of:
– International Trade
– Exchange rate
– Foreign Investment
– Global financial system
• It is a branch of International Economics
• It is concerned with understanding all the procedures,
techniques & tools related to helping firm in accessing
global markets for short/long term funds
• International trade
– Applies microeconomic models to understand
the emergence and significance of international
trade
• Why? – Theories international trade – Their
practical application
• Different types of trade policy – free, restricted, etc.
• How composition of international trade changes
due to changes in economic conditions, etc.
• International trade is a cross border trade
• It refers to exchange of capital, goods, services, and
across international borders or territories
• Without international trade, nations would be limited to
the goods and services produced within their own borde
rs
• Each country has scarce resources / specific skills –
better to produce some, rather than all – to optimize
the utilization
What is International Trade??
International Trade Theories
Absolute Advantage theory
• Adam Smith – trade b/w two nations is based on
absolute advantage
• When one nation is more efficient (has absolute
advantage) than another in production of A, but
• Less efficient (has absolute disadvantage) in
production of B
• Both nations can gain by each specializing in
production of good of its absolute advantage
• Numerical example – next slide
3-1• Assume - Total resources for each X & Y = 200 Mhrs
– X requires 10 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice & 20 Mhrs for 1 unit of wheat
– Y requires 40 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice & 10 Mhrs for 1 unit of wheat
Country Rice Wheat Before Trade
Absolute Advantage
X – Rice
Y - Wheat
X 10 5
Y 2.5 10
Total 12.5 15
Production with
specialization
Consumption after
trade of 6 units
each
Gain from
specialization and
trade
Country Rice Wheat Rice Wheat Rice Wheat
X 20 0 14 6 4 1
Y 0 20 6 14 3.5 4
Total 20 20 20 20 7.5 5
Comparative Advantage theory
• Ricardo – even if one nation is less efficient
(has absolute disadvantage) in both A & B than
other nation
• Still it is beneficial for trade
Example - Comparative Advantage
• Absolute Advantage – X in both products
• Comparative Advantage – Y in wheat
Country Rice Wheat
X 10 7.5
Y 2.5 5
Total 12.5 12.5
• Total resources for each X & Y = 200 Mhrs
• Country X requires10 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice and 13.33 Mhrs
for 1 unit of wheat
• Country requires 40 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice and 20 Mhrs for 1
unit of wheat
Example – Gains from trade
Production
without
specialization
Production
with
specialization
Consumption
after trade of
4 units each
Gain from
specialization
and trade
Country Rice Wheat Rice Wheat Rice Wheat Rice Wheat
X 10 7.5 15 3.75 11 7.75 1 0.25
Y 2.5 5 0 10 4 6 1.5 1
Total 12.5 12.5 15 13.75 15 13.75 2.5 1.25
Heckscher-ohlin Theory / Factor
Endowment Theory - Assumptions:
• 2 countries, 2 goods and 2 Factor of production (FOP)
i.e. L, K
• Two factors are available in fixed amounts in each of
the two countries; they are fully mobile b/w industries
within each country; but immobile b/w countries
• Two countries are alike in every respect except for
their endowments of two factors
• For each of the two goods, required technology is
available
Heckscher-ohlin Theory / Factor
Endowment Theory
• A country is labor-abundant if it has a higher ration of
labor to other factors than does the rest of the world
• A product is labor-intensive if labor costs are a greater
share of its value than the are of the value of other
products.
• A country has comparative advantage in the good that is
relatively intensive in the country’s relatively abundant
factor
• Export – commodity intensive in its relatively abundant &
cheap factor of production (FOP)
• Import – commodity intensive in its relatively scarce &
expensive factor of production (FOP)
Empirical Test of H-O Model
(Leontief Paradox)
• Wassily W. Leontief made an attempt to test the
Heckscher-Ohlin theory empirically.
• In 1954, Leontief found that the U.S. (the most capital-
abundant country in the world) exported labor-intensive
commodities and
• imported capital-intensive commodities, in contradiction
with Heckscher-Ohlin theory ("H-O theory").
• This contradiction is called as Leontief Paradox
• Leontief's paradox undermined the validity of the
Heckscher-Ohlin theorem (H-O) theory
Arguments to support HO Model
• Some economists argue that the U.S. has an advantage
in highly skilled labor more so than capital.
• This can be seen as viewing "capital" more broadly, to
include human capital.
• Using this definition, the exports of the U.S. are very
(human) capital-intensive, and not particularly
intensive in (unskilled) labor.
Overlapping product Ranges Theory
• The type, complexity and diversity of product demands of
a country increase as country's income increases.
• International trade patterns would follow this principle
• So that countries of similar income per capita levels will
trade most intensively having overlapping product
demands
• According to Linder - nations with similar demands would
develop similar industries.
• These nations would then trade with each other in similar
but differentiated goods.
Overlapping product Ranges Theory
• For instance, both the U.S. and Germany are developed
countries with a significant demand for cars, so both
have large automotive industries (overlapping product
demands)
• Rather than one country dominating the industry with a
comparative advantage - both countries trade different
brands of cars between them.
Product Life Cycle Theory
• The product life-cycle theory looks at the potential export
possibilities of a product in five discrete stages in its life-
cycle
• Stage 1: Introduction
– A new product is manufactured in the innovating country
and sold primarily in that domestic market
– Any overseas sales are generated through exports to other
markets
– At this stage the innovating company has little competition
in markets abroad.
• Stage 2: Expansion
– Sales increase, but so does competition as other firms
enter the arena
– At this point, the firm begins some production abroad, to
serve foreign markets and to counter the competition
• Stage 3: Maturity
– Exports from the home country decrease, because of
increased production in overseas locations.
– Price has become a critical determinant of
competitiveness, so minimising costs becomes an
important objective.
– Production may shift to less developed countries to
take advantage of lower labour costs
– At this point, domestic production may cease and the
product is imported by the home market.
• Stage 4: Sales decline
– This occurs because competitors have achieved economies of
scale equal to those of the innovator.
• Stage 5: Demise
– The innovator may cease production and leave the declining
market to imitators
– Product's popularity has also ceased and consumers seek other
products.
• This theory holds - for products such as consumer durables,
synthetic fabrics and electronic equipment;
• Products which have a long time-span from innovation to eventual
peak consumer demand.
International Finance Guide to Trade Theories & Concepts

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International Finance Guide to Trade Theories & Concepts

  • 2. Introduction • It is the branch of economics which deals with the dynamics of: – International Trade – Exchange rate – Foreign Investment – Global financial system • It is a branch of International Economics • It is concerned with understanding all the procedures, techniques & tools related to helping firm in accessing global markets for short/long term funds
  • 3. • International trade – Applies microeconomic models to understand the emergence and significance of international trade • Why? – Theories international trade – Their practical application • Different types of trade policy – free, restricted, etc. • How composition of international trade changes due to changes in economic conditions, etc.
  • 4. • International trade is a cross border trade • It refers to exchange of capital, goods, services, and across international borders or territories • Without international trade, nations would be limited to the goods and services produced within their own borde rs • Each country has scarce resources / specific skills – better to produce some, rather than all – to optimize the utilization What is International Trade??
  • 6. Absolute Advantage theory • Adam Smith – trade b/w two nations is based on absolute advantage • When one nation is more efficient (has absolute advantage) than another in production of A, but • Less efficient (has absolute disadvantage) in production of B • Both nations can gain by each specializing in production of good of its absolute advantage • Numerical example – next slide
  • 7. 3-1• Assume - Total resources for each X & Y = 200 Mhrs – X requires 10 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice & 20 Mhrs for 1 unit of wheat – Y requires 40 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice & 10 Mhrs for 1 unit of wheat Country Rice Wheat Before Trade Absolute Advantage X – Rice Y - Wheat X 10 5 Y 2.5 10 Total 12.5 15 Production with specialization Consumption after trade of 6 units each Gain from specialization and trade Country Rice Wheat Rice Wheat Rice Wheat X 20 0 14 6 4 1 Y 0 20 6 14 3.5 4 Total 20 20 20 20 7.5 5
  • 8. Comparative Advantage theory • Ricardo – even if one nation is less efficient (has absolute disadvantage) in both A & B than other nation • Still it is beneficial for trade
  • 9. Example - Comparative Advantage • Absolute Advantage – X in both products • Comparative Advantage – Y in wheat Country Rice Wheat X 10 7.5 Y 2.5 5 Total 12.5 12.5 • Total resources for each X & Y = 200 Mhrs • Country X requires10 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice and 13.33 Mhrs for 1 unit of wheat • Country requires 40 Mhrs for 1 unit of rice and 20 Mhrs for 1 unit of wheat
  • 10. Example – Gains from trade Production without specialization Production with specialization Consumption after trade of 4 units each Gain from specialization and trade Country Rice Wheat Rice Wheat Rice Wheat Rice Wheat X 10 7.5 15 3.75 11 7.75 1 0.25 Y 2.5 5 0 10 4 6 1.5 1 Total 12.5 12.5 15 13.75 15 13.75 2.5 1.25
  • 11. Heckscher-ohlin Theory / Factor Endowment Theory - Assumptions: • 2 countries, 2 goods and 2 Factor of production (FOP) i.e. L, K • Two factors are available in fixed amounts in each of the two countries; they are fully mobile b/w industries within each country; but immobile b/w countries • Two countries are alike in every respect except for their endowments of two factors • For each of the two goods, required technology is available
  • 12. Heckscher-ohlin Theory / Factor Endowment Theory • A country is labor-abundant if it has a higher ration of labor to other factors than does the rest of the world • A product is labor-intensive if labor costs are a greater share of its value than the are of the value of other products. • A country has comparative advantage in the good that is relatively intensive in the country’s relatively abundant factor • Export – commodity intensive in its relatively abundant & cheap factor of production (FOP) • Import – commodity intensive in its relatively scarce & expensive factor of production (FOP)
  • 13. Empirical Test of H-O Model (Leontief Paradox) • Wassily W. Leontief made an attempt to test the Heckscher-Ohlin theory empirically. • In 1954, Leontief found that the U.S. (the most capital- abundant country in the world) exported labor-intensive commodities and • imported capital-intensive commodities, in contradiction with Heckscher-Ohlin theory ("H-O theory"). • This contradiction is called as Leontief Paradox • Leontief's paradox undermined the validity of the Heckscher-Ohlin theorem (H-O) theory
  • 14. Arguments to support HO Model • Some economists argue that the U.S. has an advantage in highly skilled labor more so than capital. • This can be seen as viewing "capital" more broadly, to include human capital. • Using this definition, the exports of the U.S. are very (human) capital-intensive, and not particularly intensive in (unskilled) labor.
  • 15. Overlapping product Ranges Theory • The type, complexity and diversity of product demands of a country increase as country's income increases. • International trade patterns would follow this principle • So that countries of similar income per capita levels will trade most intensively having overlapping product demands • According to Linder - nations with similar demands would develop similar industries. • These nations would then trade with each other in similar but differentiated goods.
  • 16. Overlapping product Ranges Theory • For instance, both the U.S. and Germany are developed countries with a significant demand for cars, so both have large automotive industries (overlapping product demands) • Rather than one country dominating the industry with a comparative advantage - both countries trade different brands of cars between them.
  • 17. Product Life Cycle Theory • The product life-cycle theory looks at the potential export possibilities of a product in five discrete stages in its life- cycle
  • 18. • Stage 1: Introduction – A new product is manufactured in the innovating country and sold primarily in that domestic market – Any overseas sales are generated through exports to other markets – At this stage the innovating company has little competition in markets abroad. • Stage 2: Expansion – Sales increase, but so does competition as other firms enter the arena – At this point, the firm begins some production abroad, to serve foreign markets and to counter the competition
  • 19. • Stage 3: Maturity – Exports from the home country decrease, because of increased production in overseas locations. – Price has become a critical determinant of competitiveness, so minimising costs becomes an important objective. – Production may shift to less developed countries to take advantage of lower labour costs – At this point, domestic production may cease and the product is imported by the home market.
  • 20. • Stage 4: Sales decline – This occurs because competitors have achieved economies of scale equal to those of the innovator. • Stage 5: Demise – The innovator may cease production and leave the declining market to imitators – Product's popularity has also ceased and consumers seek other products. • This theory holds - for products such as consumer durables, synthetic fabrics and electronic equipment; • Products which have a long time-span from innovation to eventual peak consumer demand.