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YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
The True Cost of
Waiting to Buy a
Home
North Pointe Sales Meeting
October 4, 2022
1
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 2
Our Homesale Complete Services
Dan Ranck
(717) 271-2400
NMLS # 140989
James Ream
(717) 286-9703
NMLS # 1598468
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 3
Sarah Tompos
(717) 587-7666
stompos@homesale.com
Sheri Kelly
(717) 669-2065
skelly@homesale.com
Our Homesale Complete Services
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 4
James White
(717) 575-4014
JamesWhite@homesale.com
Our Homesale Complete Services
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 5
VIP Services Spotlight
Bruce Kronman
Security Consultant
ADT Security Services
America’s #1 Home
Security Provider
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 6
Designer Bag Bingo
Date: Thursday, October 27th
Time: Doors open at 6:00 PM
Location: Farm & Home Center
1383 Arcadia Road
Tickets: $25 in advance
$30 at the door
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 7
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 8
Agent+ Contest (October 1-31, 2022)
● Agent/Employee arranges meeting between candidate and manager
Agent/Employee registers candidate via HomesaleAgentPlus.com
● Entries Earned:
- Vet Candidate = 2 Contest Entries
- NTB Candidate = 1 Contest Entry
● Drawing held on November 1, 2022 for - - -
$3,000
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 9
Normalizing Market Boot Camp
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 10
1. Accountability Partners
• Both participants had accountability partners
o Office manager or mentors
o Bounce ideas off of each other
• Read ‘The Miracle Morning for
Real Estate Agents’
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 11
2. Morning Routine
• Both participants had routines (although different)
o Affirmations and goals
o Exercise and fill the mind with positive stuff
(podcasts, YouTube, SXM Radio)
• If they step outside of their routine, it throws off
the balance of the day
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 12
3. Time Blocking
• Both participants sit down and plan their day/week
o Important to add personal appointments
o Networking, social media, appointments,
prospecting
• If you finish 70% of your items, consider it a success
o Don’t be so hard on yourself
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 13
4. Changes Made Over the Last 6 Months
• Both emphasized setting expectations
o We’ve gotten away from this
o “It’s not me, it’s the market”
• Be able to clearly describe the market
o Get educated
o Know your stats
o “Marry the house, not the rate”
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 14
5. Goal-setting Process
• It’s OK to have anxiety prior to starting the process
• The process itself
o Mindset to continually improve over the
previous year
o What can I/we improve upon?
o Focus on habits and the results will come
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 15
6. Final Thoughts
• STOP watching or listening to the news
• We spend a lot of time in the car – use it wisely
• Mindset takes work and discipline – it’s not easy
• NINJA will get you in the right mindset
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
Future Sessions
16
• Marketing Your Listings and Seller Communication Strategies
Tuesday, October 4th at 1:00 PM
• Working with Buyers in a Normalizing Market
Tuesday, October 11th at 1:00 PM
HomesaleBootCamp.com
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 17
“The real estate market is moving so fast.
Recession is upon us, interest rates are crazy,
and inflation is out of control!”
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 18
People tend to do
nothing without
good information
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 19
The True Cost of Waiting
to Buy a Home
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 20
National Median Asking Rent (1998-2022)
2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021
$1,400
$1,300
$1,200
$1,100
$1,000
$900
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
Recession Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey/Housing Vacancy Survey, August 2, 2022
Recession Data: National Bureau of Economic Research, www.nber.org
Median
Asking
Rent
$1,314
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 21
Lancaster County Average Asking Rent
(www.Rent.com)
$1,665/mo.
2 bedroom
September 2022
(www.RentCafe.com)
$1,506/mo.
1,031 SF
July 2022
(www.Zumper.com)
$1,507/mo.
2 bedroom
September 2022
Average
$1,559/mo.
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 22
CoreLogic 2022 Q2 Home Equity Report
$60.2K
Average equity gain
for U.S. homeowners
with mortgages
27.8%
Year-Over-Year percentage
increase in equity for U.S.
homeowners with mortgages
“The total average equity per borrower has
now reached almost $300,000, the highest
in the data series.”
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
Selma Hepp
Interim Lead of the Office
of the Chief Economist
23
Home Equity Perspective
For many households, home equity
is the only source of wealth
creation. As a result, recent record
gains in equity and record declines
in loan-to-value ratios will provide
many owners with a financial buffer
in case economic conditions worsen.
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 24
Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES)
9.00%
4.74%
3.67% 3.41% 3.57%
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
pulsenomics®
Survey of a national panel of over
100 economists, real estate
experts, and investment and
market strategists
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 25
Lancaster County Median Sales Price
Sept
2021
$320,000
$310,000
$300,000
$290,000
$280,000
$270,000
$260,000
$250,000
$240,000
$230,000
$220,000
Source: Bright MLS (all residential property)
Median
Sales
Price
Oct
2021
Nov
2021
Dec
2021
Jan
2022
Feb
2022
Mar
2022
Apr
2022
May
2022
June
2022
July
2022
Aug
2022
$310,000
+16.98%
12 month increase
in median sales price
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 26
Refinancing Strategy #1 for Homebuyers
Sales Price:
Mortgage:
Loan to Value:
Interest Rate:
Term:
Payment (P&I):
$310,000
$279,000
90%
7%
30 years
$1,856.19
Sales Price:
Mortgage:
Loan to Value:
Interest Rate:
Term:
Payment (P&I):
$336,610*
$273,127
81.1%
5%
30 years
$1,466.20
* 4.74% in 2023 and 3.67% in 2024
Home Price Expectation Survey
Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 27
Refinancing Strategy #1 for Homebuyers
Sales Price
Less Mortgage
Equity
Down Pymt
Refinance Fee
Available Equity
$ 336,610
273,127
63,483
31,000
4,500
$ 27,983
Rent Option
Buy vs. Rent
$ 37,416
$ 65,399
Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years
-0-
$27,983
$37,416
$65,399
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 28
Refinancing Strategy #2 for Homebuyers
Sales Price:
Mortgage:
Loan to Value:
Interest Rate:
Term:
Payment (P&I):
$310,000
$279,000
90%
7%
30 years
$1,856.19
Sales Price:
Mortgage:
Loan to Value:
Interest Rate:
Term:
Payment (P&I):
$336,610*
$277,627
(includes $4,500 refinance fee)
81.1%
5%
30 years
$1,466.20
* 4.74% in 2023 and 3.67% in 2024
Home Price Expectation Survey
Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 29
Refinancing Strategy #2 for Homebuyers
Sales Price
Less Mortgage
(includes $4,500 refinance fee)
Equity
Down Pymt
Available Equity
$ 336,610
277,627
58,983
31,000
$ 27,983
Rent Option
Buy vs. Rent
$ 37,416
$ 65,399
Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years
-0-
$27,983
$37,416
$65,399
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 30
Still thinking about waiting?
Being challenged in
life is inevitable, being
defeated is optional.
- Roger Crawford
Disabled, world-class athlete
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
Presenter Contact Info
Tom Blefko
Associate Broker
REALTOR®
Director of Operations
North Pointe Office
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices
Homesale Realty
Office: (717) 560-9100
Cell: (717) 587-6600
Email: tblefko@homesale.com
32
• 2021 REALTOR® of the Year
• 2021 President
• 2009 Volunteer of the Year

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The True Cost of Waiting to Buy a Home

  • 1. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. The True Cost of Waiting to Buy a Home North Pointe Sales Meeting October 4, 2022 1
  • 2. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 2 Our Homesale Complete Services Dan Ranck (717) 271-2400 NMLS # 140989 James Ream (717) 286-9703 NMLS # 1598468
  • 3. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 3 Sarah Tompos (717) 587-7666 stompos@homesale.com Sheri Kelly (717) 669-2065 skelly@homesale.com Our Homesale Complete Services
  • 4. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 4 James White (717) 575-4014 JamesWhite@homesale.com Our Homesale Complete Services
  • 5. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 5 VIP Services Spotlight Bruce Kronman Security Consultant ADT Security Services America’s #1 Home Security Provider
  • 6. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 6 Designer Bag Bingo Date: Thursday, October 27th Time: Doors open at 6:00 PM Location: Farm & Home Center 1383 Arcadia Road Tickets: $25 in advance $30 at the door
  • 7. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 7
  • 8. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 8 Agent+ Contest (October 1-31, 2022) ● Agent/Employee arranges meeting between candidate and manager Agent/Employee registers candidate via HomesaleAgentPlus.com ● Entries Earned: - Vet Candidate = 2 Contest Entries - NTB Candidate = 1 Contest Entry ● Drawing held on November 1, 2022 for - - - $3,000
  • 9. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 9 Normalizing Market Boot Camp
  • 10. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 10 1. Accountability Partners • Both participants had accountability partners o Office manager or mentors o Bounce ideas off of each other • Read ‘The Miracle Morning for Real Estate Agents’
  • 11. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 11 2. Morning Routine • Both participants had routines (although different) o Affirmations and goals o Exercise and fill the mind with positive stuff (podcasts, YouTube, SXM Radio) • If they step outside of their routine, it throws off the balance of the day
  • 12. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 12 3. Time Blocking • Both participants sit down and plan their day/week o Important to add personal appointments o Networking, social media, appointments, prospecting • If you finish 70% of your items, consider it a success o Don’t be so hard on yourself
  • 13. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 13 4. Changes Made Over the Last 6 Months • Both emphasized setting expectations o We’ve gotten away from this o “It’s not me, it’s the market” • Be able to clearly describe the market o Get educated o Know your stats o “Marry the house, not the rate”
  • 14. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 14 5. Goal-setting Process • It’s OK to have anxiety prior to starting the process • The process itself o Mindset to continually improve over the previous year o What can I/we improve upon? o Focus on habits and the results will come
  • 15. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 15 6. Final Thoughts • STOP watching or listening to the news • We spend a lot of time in the car – use it wisely • Mindset takes work and discipline – it’s not easy • NINJA will get you in the right mindset
  • 16. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. Future Sessions 16 • Marketing Your Listings and Seller Communication Strategies Tuesday, October 4th at 1:00 PM • Working with Buyers in a Normalizing Market Tuesday, October 11th at 1:00 PM HomesaleBootCamp.com
  • 17. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 17 “The real estate market is moving so fast. Recession is upon us, interest rates are crazy, and inflation is out of control!”
  • 18. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 18 People tend to do nothing without good information
  • 19. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 19 The True Cost of Waiting to Buy a Home
  • 20. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 20 National Median Asking Rent (1998-2022) 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 $1,400 $1,300 $1,200 $1,100 $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 Recession Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey/Housing Vacancy Survey, August 2, 2022 Recession Data: National Bureau of Economic Research, www.nber.org Median Asking Rent $1,314
  • 21. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 21 Lancaster County Average Asking Rent (www.Rent.com) $1,665/mo. 2 bedroom September 2022 (www.RentCafe.com) $1,506/mo. 1,031 SF July 2022 (www.Zumper.com) $1,507/mo. 2 bedroom September 2022 Average $1,559/mo.
  • 22. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 22 CoreLogic 2022 Q2 Home Equity Report $60.2K Average equity gain for U.S. homeowners with mortgages 27.8% Year-Over-Year percentage increase in equity for U.S. homeowners with mortgages “The total average equity per borrower has now reached almost $300,000, the highest in the data series.”
  • 23. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. Selma Hepp Interim Lead of the Office of the Chief Economist 23 Home Equity Perspective For many households, home equity is the only source of wealth creation. As a result, recent record gains in equity and record declines in loan-to-value ratios will provide many owners with a financial buffer in case economic conditions worsen.
  • 24. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 24 Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES) 9.00% 4.74% 3.67% 3.41% 3.57% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 pulsenomics® Survey of a national panel of over 100 economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists
  • 25. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 25 Lancaster County Median Sales Price Sept 2021 $320,000 $310,000 $300,000 $290,000 $280,000 $270,000 $260,000 $250,000 $240,000 $230,000 $220,000 Source: Bright MLS (all residential property) Median Sales Price Oct 2021 Nov 2021 Dec 2021 Jan 2022 Feb 2022 Mar 2022 Apr 2022 May 2022 June 2022 July 2022 Aug 2022 $310,000 +16.98% 12 month increase in median sales price
  • 26. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 26 Refinancing Strategy #1 for Homebuyers Sales Price: Mortgage: Loan to Value: Interest Rate: Term: Payment (P&I): $310,000 $279,000 90% 7% 30 years $1,856.19 Sales Price: Mortgage: Loan to Value: Interest Rate: Term: Payment (P&I): $336,610* $273,127 81.1% 5% 30 years $1,466.20 * 4.74% in 2023 and 3.67% in 2024 Home Price Expectation Survey Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years
  • 27. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 27 Refinancing Strategy #1 for Homebuyers Sales Price Less Mortgage Equity Down Pymt Refinance Fee Available Equity $ 336,610 273,127 63,483 31,000 4,500 $ 27,983 Rent Option Buy vs. Rent $ 37,416 $ 65,399 Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years -0- $27,983 $37,416 $65,399
  • 28. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 28 Refinancing Strategy #2 for Homebuyers Sales Price: Mortgage: Loan to Value: Interest Rate: Term: Payment (P&I): $310,000 $279,000 90% 7% 30 years $1,856.19 Sales Price: Mortgage: Loan to Value: Interest Rate: Term: Payment (P&I): $336,610* $277,627 (includes $4,500 refinance fee) 81.1% 5% 30 years $1,466.20 * 4.74% in 2023 and 3.67% in 2024 Home Price Expectation Survey Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years
  • 29. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 29 Refinancing Strategy #2 for Homebuyers Sales Price Less Mortgage (includes $4,500 refinance fee) Equity Down Pymt Available Equity $ 336,610 277,627 58,983 31,000 $ 27,983 Rent Option Buy vs. Rent $ 37,416 $ 65,399 Buy NOW and REFINANCE in two years -0- $27,983 $37,416 $65,399
  • 30. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 30 Still thinking about waiting?
  • 31. Being challenged in life is inevitable, being defeated is optional. - Roger Crawford Disabled, world-class athlete
  • 32. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. Presenter Contact Info Tom Blefko Associate Broker REALTOR® Director of Operations North Pointe Office Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Homesale Realty Office: (717) 560-9100 Cell: (717) 587-6600 Email: tblefko@homesale.com 32 • 2021 REALTOR® of the Year • 2021 President • 2009 Volunteer of the Year