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YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
Changing
Markets Belong
to the Prepared
North Pointe Sales Meeting
November 1, 2022
1
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 2
Our Homesale Complete Services
Dan Ranck
(717) 271-2400
NMLS # 140989
James Ream
(717) 286-9703
NMLS # 1598468
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 3
Sarah Tompos
(717) 587-7666
stompos@homesale.com
Sheri Kelly
(717) 669-2065
skelly@homesale.com
Our Homesale Complete Services
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 4
James White
(717) 575-4014
JamesWhite@homesale.com
Our Homesale Complete Services
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 5
Bright MLS Updates
Now available with your
subscription
$249/yr. FREE
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 6
Dotloop Changes
Multi-factor Authentication – User is granted access to
an application only after successfully presenting two or
more pieces of evidence to an authentication mechanism
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 7
Realtors Property Resource Changes
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 8
Are We Approaching a ‘Normalized’ Market?
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 9
Quotes From the Experts
Mark Fleming
Chief Economist
First American
While mortgage rates are expected to
continue to drift higher over the coming
months, much of the rapid increase in
rates is likely behind us . . . Nationally,
while month-over-month house prices
may decline, annual house price
declines are not expected, given the
ongoing supply-demand imbalance and
continued strength in the
labor market.
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 10
Quotes From the Experts
While the markets considered
overvalued may need to adjust to the
not-so-new reality of higher mortgage
rates, housing market fundamentals
still support a moderation of
annualized house price appreciation
rather than a sharp decline.
Mark Fleming
Chief Economist
First American
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 11
Average Days on Market* – On the Rise
June
‘22
13 14
18
20
July
‘22
August
‘22
September
‘22
* Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA
20
25
15
10
5
0
Days
on
Market
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 12
Average Sales Price* – Holding Steady
$332,497 $334,571
$350,221
$336,465
Sept ‘22
Aug ‘22
July ‘22
June ‘22
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
-0-
Average
Sales
Price
* Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 13
Average Sales Price – Year Over Year*
$300,341
$336,465
Sept ‘22
Sept ‘21
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
-0-
Average
Sales
Price
* Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA
+12.0%
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 14
Sales Price to Original Price Ratio* - Dropping
105.5%
104.0%
102.0%
101.5%
0.5%
106%
105%
104%
103%
102%
101%
100%
Percentage
Oct ‘22
Sept ‘22
Aug ‘22
July ‘22
June ‘22
May ‘22
* Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 15
Home Demand Index
Measures and tracks housing demand, home prices,
and home buying activities by analyzing property data
gathered from real estate agents, home sellers, and
homebuyers involved in the viewing, showing, buying,
and selling of homes.
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 16
Home Demand Index
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 17
Home Demand Index
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 18
Three Powerful Words for Success
Casey ‘Blade’ Cunningham
Founder and CEO
XINNIX
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 19
https://www.xinnix.com/company/about-xinnix/
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
RESPONSIBLE
20
3 Powerful Words for Success
Family – Diet – Exercise – Attitude – Kids
Work – Success – Income - Spouse
House – Car – Relationships – Brain
I AM
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 21
Changing Markets Belong to the Prepared
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 22
Market Corrections
• Market corrections aren’t bad things
• Fear creeps in because we have to adapt and change
the way we’ve been doing business
• If you understand the market, you can be prepared to
switch gears before your competitors
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 23
What Matters in a Seller’s Market?
• Seller’s think their house is worth more
• Don’t see value in agents
• Harder for agents to take listings
• Pressure to cut commissions
• Inventory is low
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 24
What Matters in a Buyer’s Market?
• Buyers want rock-bottom pricing
• Want to look at everything
• No pressure to choose a house quickly
• Pressure on agents to negotiate
• Seller’s want more, more, more marketing
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 25
What Matters in an Agent’s Market?
• Homes are selling at fair market value
• Sellers recognize value in using an agent
• Buyers are more reasonable
• Less pressure all around
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 26
1. Keep an Open Mind
• Limiting belief systems need a makeover
• Focus on why we can do something versus why we can’t
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 27
2. Be Flexible
• Change quickly
• Learn new ‘stuff’ by expanding
your knowledge base
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 28
3. Stay Up-to-Date on Trends
• Read industry news
• Understand economic factors
• Follow expert predictions
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 29
4. Be Willing to Learn From Others
• Join a ‘Mastermind’ group
• Follow, watch, and listen to expert
agents and brokers
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 30
5. Know What’s in Your Holster
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF. 31
5. Know What’s in Your Holster
MARKET
WATCH
Social
Connector
I skate to where the puck
is going to be, not where
it has already been.
- Wayne Gretzky
Hall of Fame Hockey Player
YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE
ROOF.
Presenter Contact Info
Tom Blefko
Associate Broker
REALTOR®
Director of Operations
North Pointe Office
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices
Homesale Realty
Office: (717) 560-9100
Cell: (717) 587-6600
Email: tblefko@homesale.com
33
• 2021 REALTOR® of the Year
• 2021 President
• 2009 Volunteer of the Year

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Changing Markets Belong to the Prepared

  • 1. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. Changing Markets Belong to the Prepared North Pointe Sales Meeting November 1, 2022 1
  • 2. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 2 Our Homesale Complete Services Dan Ranck (717) 271-2400 NMLS # 140989 James Ream (717) 286-9703 NMLS # 1598468
  • 3. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 3 Sarah Tompos (717) 587-7666 stompos@homesale.com Sheri Kelly (717) 669-2065 skelly@homesale.com Our Homesale Complete Services
  • 4. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 4 James White (717) 575-4014 JamesWhite@homesale.com Our Homesale Complete Services
  • 5. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 5 Bright MLS Updates Now available with your subscription $249/yr. FREE
  • 6. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 6 Dotloop Changes Multi-factor Authentication – User is granted access to an application only after successfully presenting two or more pieces of evidence to an authentication mechanism
  • 7. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 7 Realtors Property Resource Changes
  • 8. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 8 Are We Approaching a ‘Normalized’ Market?
  • 9. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 9 Quotes From the Experts Mark Fleming Chief Economist First American While mortgage rates are expected to continue to drift higher over the coming months, much of the rapid increase in rates is likely behind us . . . Nationally, while month-over-month house prices may decline, annual house price declines are not expected, given the ongoing supply-demand imbalance and continued strength in the labor market.
  • 10. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 10 Quotes From the Experts While the markets considered overvalued may need to adjust to the not-so-new reality of higher mortgage rates, housing market fundamentals still support a moderation of annualized house price appreciation rather than a sharp decline. Mark Fleming Chief Economist First American
  • 11. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 11 Average Days on Market* – On the Rise June ‘22 13 14 18 20 July ‘22 August ‘22 September ‘22 * Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA 20 25 15 10 5 0 Days on Market
  • 12. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 12 Average Sales Price* – Holding Steady $332,497 $334,571 $350,221 $336,465 Sept ‘22 Aug ‘22 July ‘22 June ‘22 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 -0- Average Sales Price * Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA
  • 13. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 13 Average Sales Price – Year Over Year* $300,341 $336,465 Sept ‘22 Sept ‘21 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 -0- Average Sales Price * Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA +12.0%
  • 14. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 14 Sales Price to Original Price Ratio* - Dropping 105.5% 104.0% 102.0% 101.5% 0.5% 106% 105% 104% 103% 102% 101% 100% Percentage Oct ‘22 Sept ‘22 Aug ‘22 July ‘22 June ‘22 May ‘22 * Source: Bright MLS; Lancaster County, PA
  • 15. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 15 Home Demand Index Measures and tracks housing demand, home prices, and home buying activities by analyzing property data gathered from real estate agents, home sellers, and homebuyers involved in the viewing, showing, buying, and selling of homes.
  • 16. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 16 Home Demand Index
  • 17. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 17 Home Demand Index
  • 18. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 18 Three Powerful Words for Success Casey ‘Blade’ Cunningham Founder and CEO XINNIX
  • 19. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 19 https://www.xinnix.com/company/about-xinnix/
  • 20. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. RESPONSIBLE 20 3 Powerful Words for Success Family – Diet – Exercise – Attitude – Kids Work – Success – Income - Spouse House – Car – Relationships – Brain I AM
  • 21. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 21 Changing Markets Belong to the Prepared
  • 22. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 22 Market Corrections • Market corrections aren’t bad things • Fear creeps in because we have to adapt and change the way we’ve been doing business • If you understand the market, you can be prepared to switch gears before your competitors
  • 23. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 23 What Matters in a Seller’s Market? • Seller’s think their house is worth more • Don’t see value in agents • Harder for agents to take listings • Pressure to cut commissions • Inventory is low
  • 24. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 24 What Matters in a Buyer’s Market? • Buyers want rock-bottom pricing • Want to look at everything • No pressure to choose a house quickly • Pressure on agents to negotiate • Seller’s want more, more, more marketing
  • 25. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 25 What Matters in an Agent’s Market? • Homes are selling at fair market value • Sellers recognize value in using an agent • Buyers are more reasonable • Less pressure all around
  • 26. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 26 1. Keep an Open Mind • Limiting belief systems need a makeover • Focus on why we can do something versus why we can’t
  • 27. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 27 2. Be Flexible • Change quickly • Learn new ‘stuff’ by expanding your knowledge base
  • 28. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 28 3. Stay Up-to-Date on Trends • Read industry news • Understand economic factors • Follow expert predictions
  • 29. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 29 4. Be Willing to Learn From Others • Join a ‘Mastermind’ group • Follow, watch, and listen to expert agents and brokers
  • 30. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 30 5. Know What’s in Your Holster
  • 31. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. 31 5. Know What’s in Your Holster MARKET WATCH Social Connector
  • 32. I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has already been. - Wayne Gretzky Hall of Fame Hockey Player
  • 33. YOUR WORLD. UNDER ONE ROOF. Presenter Contact Info Tom Blefko Associate Broker REALTOR® Director of Operations North Pointe Office Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Homesale Realty Office: (717) 560-9100 Cell: (717) 587-6600 Email: tblefko@homesale.com 33 • 2021 REALTOR® of the Year • 2021 President • 2009 Volunteer of the Year