This document discusses how open source software is impacted by cloud computing. It notes that for the first time, developers can access computing resources like Amazon EC2 without needing permission from IT departments. This has led to more developers using open source software of their own volition. However, it also notes that too much convenience can be bad if users don't consider security and lock-in issues. The document ultimately questions whether the cloud is good or bad for open source and seeks different perspectives on this issue.

1. 10.20.2005
The Open Source
Forecast is Cloudy
November 2017

2. The New Kingmakers
Flickr: Sigfrid Lundberg

3. 33

5. 55
For the first time,
developers don’t
need permission

6. Flickr:Tom Raftery

8. 8
8
“EC2 means anyone
with a $10 bill can rent
a 10-machine cluster
with 1TB of distributed
storage for 8 hours.”
- Flip Kromer
Cause

9. 9
Consequence

10. 10
What IT Decision Makers Think is Being Used
CIO
DEVELOPERS
What Developers Want to Use What is Actually Being Used

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Number 1

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The
Software
Paradox

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Figure 1

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Figure 2

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Number 2

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Convenience
Kills

18. 181
8
The Convenience Spectrum
< <

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Number 3

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Choice Is
Good But
Then Bad

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Option A

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Option B

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Number 4

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Would You Walk
Into a Room
You Can’t Walk
Out Of?

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Number 5

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Is the cloud
good or bad for
open source?

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@sogrady
redmonk.com/sogrady