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TOPIC
The Impact of
Terrorist Attacks On
Tourism-Based
Economies
FORUM
APEC Workshop On
Strengthening Tourism
Resilience Against The
Impact Of Terrorist
Attack
SPEAKER Tony Ridley -CEO Intelligent Travel
APEC Workshop On Strengthening Tourism Resilience Against The Impact Of Terrorist Attack
The Impact of Terrorist Attacks On Tourism-Based Economies
Tourism Drawcards
The very things that drive people to travel
and mold their decision making
Influences
Direct and indirect factors the impact travellers and the
choices they make when travelling
Local Economy Impact
Direct and indirect economic impact on
the local economy post terrorism event
Time Cycles
A view of the segmented demographics associated with
tourism and how it affects tourism, post terrorist attack
Terrorism
Consideration and evalaution as to
whether terrorism is the main/sole factor
Tourism Measurables
A quick review and consideration for the
main travel safety tourism ratios
Professional Analysis
Inputs and analysis taken from direct experience and
prior support to travel and tourism industries
Location Examples
Specific locations affected as a result of terrorist attack
and the flow on effect it has/had on tourism
Tony Ridley
CEO & Founder Intelligent Travel
 Travel health, safety, security and
risk management professional
 Bali, Mumbai, Jakarta, Philippines
 Terrorism specialist
 Open source Intelligence
management
 www.travelsafetydepartment.comsupport@intelligenttravel.com.au
Tourism Market
Fundamentals and Technical Analysis
Source: WTO & World Bank
Source: WTO & World Bank
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Source: Google
Turkey
30% Decline in Tourists
– Down to 25.4 Million
Source: Skift.com – May 17
Egypt
68.4 % Decline in Tourists
– First 9 months of 2016
France
11% Decline in Foreign Tourists
– First half of 2016
- “Industrial Crisis” looming
Medical
Government
Updates & Alerts
Travel Insurance
Tipping Point
Factor Analysis
Is It Safe To Travel?
Will choose to travel based on
their appreciation of all the
information, available control
measures, advice and their
own evaluation of the risk
62%
Yes!
Will elect not to travel [ or
defer travel for now] based on
their appreciation of all the
information, available control
measures, advice and their
own evaluation of the risk
38%
No/Maybe
Based On What The Traveller
“Knows”
What To Consider?
Tourist Segmentation
First-Time/New Regulars
Time Cycles
Short-Term
Immediate
Sustained
Days Weeks Months
Alternate Destinations
What Response Options To
Focus On?
Top 20 Countries
Where US Citizens Were Killed Abroad [Non-Natural] 2010 to 2012
http://intelligenttravel.com.au/travel-risk-management/top-20-countries-where-us-citizens-were-killed-abroad-non-natural-2010-to-2012
Top Causes of US Citizen Deaths Abroad
[Non-Natural] 2010-2012
http://intelligenttravel.com.au/travel-management-2/top-causes-of-us-citizen-deaths-abroad-non-natural-2010-2012
http://intelligenttravel.com.au/travel-risk-
management/australian-international-travel-deaths-
2006-to-2011-infographic?hvid=1f8M5k
http://blog.intelligenttravel.com.au/travel-insurance-facts-infographic/
APEC Workshop On Strengthening Tourism Resilience Against The Impact Of Terrorist Attack
The Impact of Terrorist Attacks On Tourism-Based Economies
Tourism Drawcards
The very things that drive people to travel
and mold their decision making
Influences
Direct and indirect factors the impact travellers and the
choices they make when travelling
Local Economy Impact
Direct and indirect economic impact on
the local economy
Time Cycles
A view of the segmented demographics associated with
tourism and how it affects tourism, post terrorist attack
Terrorism
Consideration and evalaution as to
whether terrorism is the main/sole factor
Tourism Measurables
A quick review and consideration for the
main travel safety tourism ratios
Professional Analysis
Inputs and analysis taken from direct experience and
prior support to travel and tourism industries
Location Examples
Specific locations affected as a result of terrorist attack
and the flow on effect it has/had on tourism
www.howsafe.is

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