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The Electorate
Who votes?
History of voter suppression
Voting rights
Who Votes?
⦿ In 2016
› What percentage of the voting age
population actually voted?
› Wa voter turnout HIGHER or LOWER than in
2012?
Who Votes?
⦿ In 2016
› About 58% of eligible voting population
actually voted (128 million voters)
› Turnout was down from 2012 and 2008 (20
year low)
› Turnout was higher in swing states (63%)
⦿ For 2014 midterm elections:
› 38% of registered voters came to the polls
⦿ The 42% of eligible citizens who didn’t vote
represents 93 million people!
Why People Don’t Vote
⦿ Apathy—in registering to vote
› Once registered, people tend to show up
› A low percentage of the voting-age
population is registered
⦿ Registered nonvoters say:
› I’m too busy
› Family obligations
› My vote won’t count
Possible Solutions
⦿ “I’m too busy”
› Make Election Day a holiday
› Weekend voting
› Early voting (some states are now doing this)
How To Increase Registration
⦿ Motor Voter Law (1993)
› Register to vote when applying for driver’s
license; register through the mail and at
state offices
› Success?—voter registration increased but
voter turnout has not
› “People who register when the process is
costless are less likely to vote”
⦿ Early voting
⦿ Same-day registration
⦿ Online registration (20 states)
Rise of the American Electorate
⦿ Who Can Vote?
› 1787 (Constitution)—only white male property
owners
› Andrew Jackson—all white adult males
› Civil War—black males (15th amendment)
› 1920—women (19th amendment)
› 1961—DC residents
› Vietnam War—18 year olds (26th Am)
Disenfranchisement
⦿ Literacy tests
⦿ Poll tax
⦿ Grandfather clause
⦿ White primaries
⦿ Intimidation, harassment, threats
Extension of Voting Rights
African Americans
⦿ 15th amendment
⦿ Voting Rights Act of 1965
› Outlawed literacy tests
› Instructed the Attorney General to challenge
poll taxes
› Gave federal gov. oversight power in areas that
had historically discriminated
⚫WAIT! What about federalism? 10th Amendment?
› Results: from 1960-1970, percentage of black
voters rose from 5% to over 70%
› SCOTUS overturned this part of VRA in 2013
⦿ Women
› 19th Amendment
› Women began to vote in large numbers
immediately
⦿ Youth (under 30)
› 26th amendment—1970
› Always a lower turnout than for the
population as a whole
› In 2008—18% of total election day electorate
Modern Disenfranchisement?
⦿ Shelby County v. Holder (2013)
› 9 states and many individual counties had to
get clearance from the fed. gov. if they
wanted to make changes to their voting
laws
› SCOTUS struck that part of the law
› 7 preclearance states have since enacted
new voting restrictions
› Voter ID; no same-day registration; cut early
voting
North Carolina
⦿ voter ID
⦿ no same-day registration
➢ 250,000 people in 2012, disproportionately
African-American
⦿ cut early voting
› More than 70 percent of African-American
voters utilized early voting during the 2008
and 2012 general elections.
› Affects poor voters
Models of Voter Behavior
Rational-choice Voting
⦿ voting based on what is perceived to be
in the citizen’s individual interest
⦿ straight-ticket voting
Retrospective Voting
⦿ voting to decide whether the party or
candidate in power should be re-
elected based on the recent past
Prospective Voting
⦿ voting based on predictions of how a
party or candidate will perform in the
future
Party-line voting
⦿ supporting a party by voting for
candidates from one political party for
all public offices across the field

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The electorate who votes, suppression, and rights

  • 1. The Electorate Who votes? History of voter suppression Voting rights
  • 2. Who Votes? ⦿ In 2016 › What percentage of the voting age population actually voted? › Wa voter turnout HIGHER or LOWER than in 2012?
  • 3. Who Votes? ⦿ In 2016 › About 58% of eligible voting population actually voted (128 million voters) › Turnout was down from 2012 and 2008 (20 year low) › Turnout was higher in swing states (63%)
  • 4. ⦿ For 2014 midterm elections: › 38% of registered voters came to the polls
  • 5. ⦿ The 42% of eligible citizens who didn’t vote represents 93 million people!
  • 6. Why People Don’t Vote ⦿ Apathy—in registering to vote › Once registered, people tend to show up › A low percentage of the voting-age population is registered ⦿ Registered nonvoters say: › I’m too busy › Family obligations › My vote won’t count
  • 7. Possible Solutions ⦿ “I’m too busy” › Make Election Day a holiday › Weekend voting › Early voting (some states are now doing this)
  • 8. How To Increase Registration ⦿ Motor Voter Law (1993) › Register to vote when applying for driver’s license; register through the mail and at state offices › Success?—voter registration increased but voter turnout has not › “People who register when the process is costless are less likely to vote”
  • 9. ⦿ Early voting ⦿ Same-day registration ⦿ Online registration (20 states)
  • 10.
  • 11. Rise of the American Electorate ⦿ Who Can Vote? › 1787 (Constitution)—only white male property owners › Andrew Jackson—all white adult males › Civil War—black males (15th amendment) › 1920—women (19th amendment) › 1961—DC residents › Vietnam War—18 year olds (26th Am)
  • 12. Disenfranchisement ⦿ Literacy tests ⦿ Poll tax ⦿ Grandfather clause ⦿ White primaries ⦿ Intimidation, harassment, threats
  • 13. Extension of Voting Rights African Americans ⦿ 15th amendment ⦿ Voting Rights Act of 1965 › Outlawed literacy tests › Instructed the Attorney General to challenge poll taxes › Gave federal gov. oversight power in areas that had historically discriminated ⚫WAIT! What about federalism? 10th Amendment? › Results: from 1960-1970, percentage of black voters rose from 5% to over 70% › SCOTUS overturned this part of VRA in 2013
  • 14. ⦿ Women › 19th Amendment › Women began to vote in large numbers immediately ⦿ Youth (under 30) › 26th amendment—1970 › Always a lower turnout than for the population as a whole › In 2008—18% of total election day electorate
  • 15. Modern Disenfranchisement? ⦿ Shelby County v. Holder (2013) › 9 states and many individual counties had to get clearance from the fed. gov. if they wanted to make changes to their voting laws › SCOTUS struck that part of the law › 7 preclearance states have since enacted new voting restrictions › Voter ID; no same-day registration; cut early voting
  • 16. North Carolina ⦿ voter ID ⦿ no same-day registration ➢ 250,000 people in 2012, disproportionately African-American ⦿ cut early voting › More than 70 percent of African-American voters utilized early voting during the 2008 and 2012 general elections. › Affects poor voters
  • 17. Models of Voter Behavior Rational-choice Voting ⦿ voting based on what is perceived to be in the citizen’s individual interest ⦿ straight-ticket voting
  • 18. Retrospective Voting ⦿ voting to decide whether the party or candidate in power should be re- elected based on the recent past
  • 19. Prospective Voting ⦿ voting based on predictions of how a party or candidate will perform in the future
  • 20. Party-line voting ⦿ supporting a party by voting for candidates from one political party for all public offices across the field