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Through the storm
Transforming Tata Motor to sustain its unique
position and corporate value
Soraya | Colin| Sigga | Grace | Kyle
Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II
Situation analysis
2
Brexit - Why does it matter?
Before Brexit
Single Market - Seamless transfer of
goods, services, capital and resources in EU
countries + Norway, Iceland & Lichtenstein
1. No Tariffs
2. No Border Checks
3. Yes Just-In-Time Supply Chain
Competitive Advantage
After Brexit
Hard Borders - No more seamless flow of goods
and services, necessitates new trade deal
The “Backstop” - Stuck in Customs Union
means loss of control
1. Yes Tariffs
2. Yes Border Checks
3. No Just-In-Time Supply Chain
Loss of Competitive Advantage
1. Does JLR keep production in the U.K. or diversify their production base?
2. How else can we mitigate this risk and hedge against impending disaster?
CEO Must Decide
Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II
Impact
3
Disruption of the integrated supply chain and rise in tariffs will lead to a decrease in profits
Cross Border R&DSupply ChainCosts and Revenue
Restricted flow of human
capital
JLR’s expat professionals likely to find
that their qualifications for working in
the UK are no longer recognized
Skill shortage
90% of employers struggling to find
the talent they need, and expected to
get worse post-Brexit
Border checks on just-in-time
deliveries
Parts delays would force the
suspension of production at a cost of
£1.25 million per hour at each
production center
No technology solutions
The composition of each truck-
container will differ from day to day
and even hour to hour
High sales in Europe
Europe accounts for more than 25%
of JLR’s sales
Import and Export Tariffs
There will be a import tariff on the
600,000 parts from the EU and a 10%
tariff on all cars exported into the EU
Delays will lead to an extra cost of £60
million pounds a day
The restricted flow of people is expected
to trigger difficulties in R&D at the HQ in
London
Sales in the EU decrease by estimated
10% due to a rise in prices of JLR cars
Loss of £1.2 billion worth of net profit each year
Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II
Impact
4
Serious fluctuation on pound in the future creates significant uncertainty for Tata Motors
UK Government Interference Demand of pound in financial market
The Bank of
England has raised
interest rate from
0.5% to 0.75% as of
2 Aug 2018 (2nd time
in a decade)
Central Bank effort stabilizes the investment value of pound
GBP to USD
Demand from stock market can sustain the demand of pound
Major firms’
earnings may get
boosted when
converted back in
GBP, attracting
investors to purchaseLarge % of revenue of FTSE100 firms are from overseas
Uncertainty in the settlement term Unpredictable market reaction and sentiment
Unclear “divorce bill” affects the confidence on UK’s government and pound
A deal on Brexit payment by UK is estimated to
be at 13% of the total EU budget, upwards of
GBP 50 billion
The cost of a hard Brexit, with no transition deal,
may cost Uk as much as GBP 190 billion in
economic fallout by 2030
Occurrence of different events and how market reacts to them are hard to estimate
Pound value
responds actively to
multiple relevant
issues and events,
which are highly
unpredictable
Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II
Impact
5
Serious fluctuation on pound in the future creates significant uncertainty for Tata Motor
UK Government Interference Demand of pound in financial market
The Bank of
England has raised
interest rate from
0.5% to 0.75% as at
2 Aug 2018 (2nd time
in a decade)
Central Bank effort stabilizes the investment value of pound
GBP to USD
Demand from stock market can sustain the demand of pound
Major firms’
earnings may get
boosted when
converted back in
GBP, attracting
investors to purchaseLarge % of revenue of FTSE100 firms are from overseas
Uncertainty in the settlement term Unpredictable market reaction and sentiment
Unclear “divorce bill” affects the confidence on UK’s government and pound
A deal on Brexit payment by UK is estimated to
be at 13% of the total EU budget, upwards of
GBP 50 billion
The cost of a hard Brexit, with no transition deal,
may cost Uk as much as GBP 190 billion in
economic fallout by 2030
Occurrence of different events and how market reacts to them are hard to estimate
Pound value
responds actively to
multiple relevant
issues and events,
which are highly
unpredictable
In Long-term, the fluctuation on pound should be limited.
Yet, the short-term impacts are unlikely to be predicted, thus there is necessity to mitigate the uncertainty.
Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II
Recommendation II
Tata Motors can reduce its reliance on mature market by diversifying its product portfolio
6
Too high concentration of revenue from UK and EU (around 33% of revenue in FY 2018) magnify the Brexit influence on Tata MotorsCurrent issue
Modifying the regional focus to distributing to emerging markets through leveraging the mature product portfolio of commercial vehiclesSolution
• Offer the right car: Tata Motors can provide commercial
vehicles with outstanding emission control technologies
while maintaining superior performance of the vehicles
• Offer the car right: Tata Motors can offer distinctive terms
of deal for local government in exchange of continuous
partnership for long-term benefits
Tata Motor can gradually shift the business driver to emerging market and lower the reliance of mature markets which suffer from slower growth rate and geopolitical issues
Entry point Government Business
• Simplify the supply chain: Tata Motors can magnify its
scale of distribution channels in these markets to ensure
satisfactory communication and delivery of values
• Leverage on joint-venture: Tata Motors can seek for more
joint-ventures with local players to leverage on their
sensitivity and connection to local consumers
Developing countries with active development plan
(e.g. China – BRI initiative, India – Project Mausam)
Industry with heavy use of commercial vehicles
Appendix
Appendix
Navigator
7
Tata Motor
Manufacturing location
Revenue breakdown
Sales Volume
Income statement
Product catalog
Technology
Stock price
Pound value
Other
Trading volume of pound
Risk and Mitigation
Demand of commercial vehicles - China
Demand of commercial vehicles - World
Highlight of FTSE100 index
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s manufacturing location
8
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s revenue breakdown (by geographic location)
*rupee in Crores
**A crore denotes ten million (10,000,000) in
the Indian numbering system
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s sales volume breakdown 2017 & 2018
The following table sets forth the Company consolidated total sales of Tata and other brand vehicles:
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s income statement for the year 2018
*rupee in Crores
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s commercial vehicle catalog
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s commercial vehicle catalog
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s technology on emission control
Sophisticated knowhow on
environmentally friendly
vehicle production
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s synergy with JLR on emission control
Significant synergy with JLR
on vehicle development
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Risk and mitigation
Potential Risks Contingency Plan
Brand Dilution
Reputational loss following the exit
from Britain and loss of brand image
of being a purely British brand
Promotional Efforts
Marketing efforts to emphasize that
the brand is designed in Britain and
has a British heritage
Favorable UK Post-BREXIT
The UK manages to negotiate more
favorable free trade agreements
than the EU had in place
Fail to expand our focus
Failure to penetrate the emerging
markets and gain the support of the
local governments
Backup Strategies
Slow the momentum of
transitioning out of the UK market
Adopt a localization strategy
Adapt our product offerings to the
local market to increase the appeal
to the local consumers
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Tata Motor’s stock price chart (NSE)
17
Vote of Brexit
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Pound Value (GBP against USD)
18
BOE increases interest rate
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Trading volume of pound
19
They have shown that based on information
taken from banks in the top trading centers,
the volume of forex trading in Britain has
grown by 23% to a daily average of $2.7
trillion, a record number.
In comparison, the US was up by less than
half, showing an increase of 11 percent to
$994 billion.
This shows that London is still proving to be
worthy investment hub for businesses
globally and will continue to dominate the
forex market.
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Demand of commercial vehicles - China
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
Demand of commercial vehicles - World
Back to Navigator
Appendix
Appendix
The highlight of the Financial Time Stock Exchange
Back to Navigator

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The Effects Of Brexit On Tata Motors - Big Risk With Potential Opportunities

  • 1. Through the storm Transforming Tata Motor to sustain its unique position and corporate value Soraya | Colin| Sigga | Grace | Kyle
  • 2. Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II Situation analysis 2 Brexit - Why does it matter? Before Brexit Single Market - Seamless transfer of goods, services, capital and resources in EU countries + Norway, Iceland & Lichtenstein 1. No Tariffs 2. No Border Checks 3. Yes Just-In-Time Supply Chain Competitive Advantage After Brexit Hard Borders - No more seamless flow of goods and services, necessitates new trade deal The “Backstop” - Stuck in Customs Union means loss of control 1. Yes Tariffs 2. Yes Border Checks 3. No Just-In-Time Supply Chain Loss of Competitive Advantage 1. Does JLR keep production in the U.K. or diversify their production base? 2. How else can we mitigate this risk and hedge against impending disaster? CEO Must Decide
  • 3. Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II Impact 3 Disruption of the integrated supply chain and rise in tariffs will lead to a decrease in profits Cross Border R&DSupply ChainCosts and Revenue Restricted flow of human capital JLR’s expat professionals likely to find that their qualifications for working in the UK are no longer recognized Skill shortage 90% of employers struggling to find the talent they need, and expected to get worse post-Brexit Border checks on just-in-time deliveries Parts delays would force the suspension of production at a cost of £1.25 million per hour at each production center No technology solutions The composition of each truck- container will differ from day to day and even hour to hour High sales in Europe Europe accounts for more than 25% of JLR’s sales Import and Export Tariffs There will be a import tariff on the 600,000 parts from the EU and a 10% tariff on all cars exported into the EU Delays will lead to an extra cost of £60 million pounds a day The restricted flow of people is expected to trigger difficulties in R&D at the HQ in London Sales in the EU decrease by estimated 10% due to a rise in prices of JLR cars Loss of £1.2 billion worth of net profit each year
  • 4. Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II Impact 4 Serious fluctuation on pound in the future creates significant uncertainty for Tata Motors UK Government Interference Demand of pound in financial market The Bank of England has raised interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75% as of 2 Aug 2018 (2nd time in a decade) Central Bank effort stabilizes the investment value of pound GBP to USD Demand from stock market can sustain the demand of pound Major firms’ earnings may get boosted when converted back in GBP, attracting investors to purchaseLarge % of revenue of FTSE100 firms are from overseas Uncertainty in the settlement term Unpredictable market reaction and sentiment Unclear “divorce bill” affects the confidence on UK’s government and pound A deal on Brexit payment by UK is estimated to be at 13% of the total EU budget, upwards of GBP 50 billion The cost of a hard Brexit, with no transition deal, may cost Uk as much as GBP 190 billion in economic fallout by 2030 Occurrence of different events and how market reacts to them are hard to estimate Pound value responds actively to multiple relevant issues and events, which are highly unpredictable
  • 5. Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II Impact 5 Serious fluctuation on pound in the future creates significant uncertainty for Tata Motor UK Government Interference Demand of pound in financial market The Bank of England has raised interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75% as at 2 Aug 2018 (2nd time in a decade) Central Bank effort stabilizes the investment value of pound GBP to USD Demand from stock market can sustain the demand of pound Major firms’ earnings may get boosted when converted back in GBP, attracting investors to purchaseLarge % of revenue of FTSE100 firms are from overseas Uncertainty in the settlement term Unpredictable market reaction and sentiment Unclear “divorce bill” affects the confidence on UK’s government and pound A deal on Brexit payment by UK is estimated to be at 13% of the total EU budget, upwards of GBP 50 billion The cost of a hard Brexit, with no transition deal, may cost Uk as much as GBP 190 billion in economic fallout by 2030 Occurrence of different events and how market reacts to them are hard to estimate Pound value responds actively to multiple relevant issues and events, which are highly unpredictable In Long-term, the fluctuation on pound should be limited. Yet, the short-term impacts are unlikely to be predicted, thus there is necessity to mitigate the uncertainty.
  • 6. Situation analysis Impact Recommendation I Recommendation II Recommendation II Tata Motors can reduce its reliance on mature market by diversifying its product portfolio 6 Too high concentration of revenue from UK and EU (around 33% of revenue in FY 2018) magnify the Brexit influence on Tata MotorsCurrent issue Modifying the regional focus to distributing to emerging markets through leveraging the mature product portfolio of commercial vehiclesSolution • Offer the right car: Tata Motors can provide commercial vehicles with outstanding emission control technologies while maintaining superior performance of the vehicles • Offer the car right: Tata Motors can offer distinctive terms of deal for local government in exchange of continuous partnership for long-term benefits Tata Motor can gradually shift the business driver to emerging market and lower the reliance of mature markets which suffer from slower growth rate and geopolitical issues Entry point Government Business • Simplify the supply chain: Tata Motors can magnify its scale of distribution channels in these markets to ensure satisfactory communication and delivery of values • Leverage on joint-venture: Tata Motors can seek for more joint-ventures with local players to leverage on their sensitivity and connection to local consumers Developing countries with active development plan (e.g. China – BRI initiative, India – Project Mausam) Industry with heavy use of commercial vehicles
  • 7. Appendix Appendix Navigator 7 Tata Motor Manufacturing location Revenue breakdown Sales Volume Income statement Product catalog Technology Stock price Pound value Other Trading volume of pound Risk and Mitigation Demand of commercial vehicles - China Demand of commercial vehicles - World Highlight of FTSE100 index
  • 8. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s manufacturing location 8 Back to Navigator
  • 9. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s revenue breakdown (by geographic location) *rupee in Crores **A crore denotes ten million (10,000,000) in the Indian numbering system Back to Navigator
  • 10. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s sales volume breakdown 2017 & 2018 The following table sets forth the Company consolidated total sales of Tata and other brand vehicles: Back to Navigator
  • 11. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s income statement for the year 2018 *rupee in Crores Back to Navigator
  • 12. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s commercial vehicle catalog Back to Navigator
  • 13. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s commercial vehicle catalog Back to Navigator
  • 14. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s technology on emission control Sophisticated knowhow on environmentally friendly vehicle production Back to Navigator
  • 15. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s synergy with JLR on emission control Significant synergy with JLR on vehicle development Back to Navigator
  • 16. Appendix Appendix Risk and mitigation Potential Risks Contingency Plan Brand Dilution Reputational loss following the exit from Britain and loss of brand image of being a purely British brand Promotional Efforts Marketing efforts to emphasize that the brand is designed in Britain and has a British heritage Favorable UK Post-BREXIT The UK manages to negotiate more favorable free trade agreements than the EU had in place Fail to expand our focus Failure to penetrate the emerging markets and gain the support of the local governments Backup Strategies Slow the momentum of transitioning out of the UK market Adopt a localization strategy Adapt our product offerings to the local market to increase the appeal to the local consumers Back to Navigator
  • 17. Appendix Appendix Tata Motor’s stock price chart (NSE) 17 Vote of Brexit Back to Navigator
  • 18. Appendix Appendix Pound Value (GBP against USD) 18 BOE increases interest rate Back to Navigator
  • 19. Appendix Appendix Trading volume of pound 19 They have shown that based on information taken from banks in the top trading centers, the volume of forex trading in Britain has grown by 23% to a daily average of $2.7 trillion, a record number. In comparison, the US was up by less than half, showing an increase of 11 percent to $994 billion. This shows that London is still proving to be worthy investment hub for businesses globally and will continue to dominate the forex market. Back to Navigator
  • 20. Appendix Appendix Demand of commercial vehicles - China Back to Navigator
  • 21. Appendix Appendix Demand of commercial vehicles - World Back to Navigator
  • 22. Appendix Appendix The highlight of the Financial Time Stock Exchange Back to Navigator