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THE DISRUPTIVE FUTURE OF RETAIL
ようこそ
Tony
D’Onofrio
www.tonydonofrio.com© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
2
You are the Leaders to Shape It.
Retail Globalization
Where is the Global Shrink?
The Retail Digital Challenge
The Disruptive Future of Retail
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Disruptive Future of Retail
JAPAN
3
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Retail
Globalization
4
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The World and Retail Find their Growth Groove
5Source: World Bank 2018, The Economist August 2017
Global GDP 2015-2020 (% growth) Retail Sales 2012-2021 ($ Trillion)
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Global Retail Sales
6Sources: The Economist Intelligence Unit 2018, Focus Economics 2018, Chain Store Age / IHL Group 2018
Retail sales growth, 2018-2019 forecasts
(real % change per year)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(*)
Retail Sales
(annual growth %)
14.3 13.1 12.0 10.7 10.4 7.2
China Retail Sales
(*) The Economist Intelligence Unit Forecast, August 2017
India 2021(*)
$1.5 Trillion
USA 2018
+6.2%
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Global Top 250 Retailers
7Source: Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited 2018
43 $10,055 17.2% 35.1% 26.5 14%
135 $21,685 54% 21.1% 5.9 38.5%
51 $14,698 20.4% 22.4% 8.1 33.3%
21 $14,354 8.4% 20.4% 6.7 38.1%
250 $17,643 100.0% 22.5% 10.0 33.2%
Number of
Companies
Average Retail
Revenue US$M
Share of Top
250 Companies
Average # of
Country
% Of Retail Revenue
Average From
Foreign Operations
% Single-country
Operators
Top 250
Apparel and
accessories
Fast-moving
consumer goods
Hardlines and
leisure
Diversified
Product sector profiles, FY2016
Level of globalization
by product sector, FY2016
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Top 10 Global Retailers & Fastest Growing
8
Top 10 Retailer Country
FY2011 - 2016 retail
Revenue CAGR %
RANK Fastest Retailer Country
FY2011 - 2016
Retail
Revenue CAGR %
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc US 1.7 1 Vipshop Holdings Limited China 103.8
Costco Wholesale Corp. US 6.0 2 Albertsons Company, Inc. US 74.0
The Kroger Co. US 5.0 3 JD.com, Inc. China 62.6
Schwarz Group (LIDL) Germany 7.3 4 Zalando SE Germany 48.1
Walgreens Boots
Alliance, Inc.
US 6.1 5
Reliance Industries
Limited/Reliance Retail
India 34.5
Amazon.com, Inc US 17.6 6
Southeastern Grocers,
LLC
US 31.7
The Home Depot, Inc. US 6.1 7
Axel Johnson AB/ Axfood,
Axstores
Sweden 31.6
Aldi Group Germany 7.7 8 Hudson’s Bay Company Canada 30.3
Carrefour S.A. France -1.1 9
Sprouts Farmers Market,
Inc. US 29.6
CVS Health Corp. US 6.4 10 Lenta Group Russia 27.8
Source: Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited 2018
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
APAC Leading Middle Class Evolution
9
500M
77%
66%
New urban middle
class globally
Of new urban middle
Class in Asia Pacific
Working-age proportion
of global population (peaked in 2015)
1 2 33 Billion People Make Up
Global Middle Class
$33 Trillion Was Spent by the
Global Middle Class in 2015
2021 is the Year Most People
Could Be in the Middle Class
2016 Urban
Middle Class
2026 Urban
Middle Class
Brookings Institution, 2016JCI Estimates based on UN, Pew Foundation, IMF, & CEIC Data
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
10Source: A.T .Kearney 2017
2017 Global Retail Development Index
Rank Country
GRDI
Score
Population
(million)
GDP per
Capita, PPP
National
Retail Sales
($ billion)
1 India 71.7 1,329 6,658 1,071
2 China 70.4 1,378 15,424 3,128
3 Malaysia 60.9 31 27,234 92
4 Turkey 59.8 80 21,147 241
5 United Arab
Emirates
59.4 9 67,696 73
6 Vietnam 56.1 93 6,422 90
7 Morocco 56.1 35 8,360 40
8 Indonesia 55.9 259 11,699 350
9 Peru 54.0 32 13,019 61
10 Colombia 53.6 49 14,162 90
Emerging markets are ahead in growth
of mobile shopping
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
11Source: A.T .Kearney 2017
Global Retail Development Index
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Where is The Global Shrink?
12
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Retailer Losses
13Source: Senormatic Gobal Shrink Index 2018, IHL Group
33%
23%
18%
26%
Shoplifting
Employee Theft
Administrative Losses
Vendor Fraud
$99.56 B
Global Shrink
Loss
RETURNS
$643 Million
Lost in Returns
INVENTORY
DISTORTION
$1.1 Trillion
Lost Revenue Opportunity Due
To Inventory Distortion
Total Retail Losses
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Global Retail Shrink
$99.56B in losses
14
23%
18%
26%
33%
Shoplifting Dishonest
Employee Theft
Admin/non-
crime Loss
Supplier Fraud
INDIA ITALY FRANCE
Highest Global Shrink Countries
Highest Global Shrink by Segment
1.98%
1.85% 1.83%
Fashion/Accessories Variety Stores Department
Store
Source: Sensormatic Global Shrink Shrink Index, 2018
2.13% 2.32% 2.06%
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
LP Growing Industry Influence
15
15%
22%
23%
26%
37%
45%
54%
79%
34%
56%
38%
52%
32%
41%
33%
14%
51%
22%
40%
23%
30%
14%
13%
7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
RFID
Fire Solution
Video Analytics
Data Mining
EAS
Access Control
Exception-based reporting
CCTV
Ranked 1-3 in importance Ranked 4-6 in importance Ranked 7-8 in importance
Technologies Most Critical in the US
Loss Prevention and Security Functions
Base: 182 USA Decision-Makers
Gaining
Influence
61%
Remained
the same
24%
15%Losing
Influence
LP
Department
Influence Over
the Years
Base: 168 US Decision-Makers
Source: LP Magazine Study
of US LP decision
makers consider EAS
tech extremely or very
important
56%
Very
Important
32%
24%Extremely
Important
Slightly
Important
3%12
%
28% Moderately
Important
Not at all
important
Base: 157 US Decision-Makers
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Retail Digital
Challenge
16
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Store Systems Priorities
17Source: IHL Group, 2018
Top 10 Strategic Priorities for 2018
12%
15%
16%
33%
46%
54%
59%
72%
78%
89%
Store Network Upgrades
Workforce Management
Reducing Supply Chain Costs
Digital Transformation
Single Transaction Engine
One Cross Channel Customer Database
Empowering Store Associates
Upgrading CRM/Loyalty Programs
Inventory Visibility
Personalizing Customer Experience
5.6%
Average increase
Enterprise IT spending in
2018
vs. 4.5% last year
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Emerging Technologies
18Source: IHL Group, 2018
New Technology Priorities
1.3%
1.4%
2.8%
3.5%
5.3%
5.5%
6.7%
7.0%
7.3%
RFID
Augmented / Virtual Reality
SD-WAN
IoT
Big data
Conversational Commerce
Predictive / Prescriptive Analytics
AI/Machine Learning
Proximity / Location-based Mkt
Respondents Planning To Increase Spend by >10%
Who Are Leaders
42%
57%
60%
73%
74%
76%
80%
100%
100%
Big Data Integration
AI / Machine Learning
SD-WAN
Predictive / Prescriptive Analytics
Proximity / Location Based Mkt
Conversational Commerce
IoT
RFID
Augmented / Virtual Reality
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Age of Amazon (Alibaba): Challenges & Opportunities
19Source: RIS / Gartner Retail Technology Study 2017
You will not out-Amazon Amazon (Alibaba), but you can learn a great deal from how they constantly innovate using a customer centric lens.
THE RETAIL DIGITAL CHALLENGE
Top 5
Major
Strategies
over the next
18 months
52% 49% 48% 42%
Personalized mkt
capabilities
Leveraging
social media
Increasing customer
engagement
45%
Expanding unified
commerce
Advancing mobile
commerce
Top 5
Challenges
over the next
3 years
38%
Digital commerce as
growth channels
Optimizing stores as
a growing channel
Retiring legacy
systems
Upgrading store-level
bandwidth and
infrastructure
44% 44%
Customer data
security
35% 35%
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The $15 Billion
Innovation Challenge
20Source: IHL Group
Over 50% of US Households
have Prime membership
66 Million Households
70% of Households > $112k Income
87% - 237%
Average IT spend increase required to effectively
compete with Amazon
USA 20
Amazon’s annual spend is more than the amounts of the
following retailers combined
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Disruptive Future of Retail
CHINA
21
Fung Business Intelligence, July 2017
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Why Clicks NEED Bricks
22
CLICKS Getting Physical CLICKS Insights
• Amazon > Bookstores > Amazon Go > Whole
Foods ($13.7 Billion)
• Alibaba $8 Billion in Physical Stores Last 2 Yrs
> Hema Supermarkets
• The Delivery Last Mile
• INNOVATION Differentiation
• Expanding Loyalty Programs
• Return Rate – Online nearly 33% / instore 9%
• The Profit is in the Store
Forbes 19 April 2017, Forbes 27 August 2017), Economist 2017 / Bloomberg Business Week November 3, 2017
Where Do Apparel Retailers Make The Largest Profit ?
In Store Online Online In Store
Pick Up
Online Ship
From Store
32%
Profit Margin Profit Margin Profit Margin Profit Margin
30% 23% 12%
For each additional percentage
point of shopping that moves
online, a retailer’s margins
shrink by about half a point.
~ Morgan Stanley
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Disruptive
Future of Retail
23
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
24
Technology Driving Shifts in Retail Power
MANUFACTURER RETAILER CONSUMER
FUTURE OF RETAILFUTURE OF RETAIL
Pre-1970s 1970s 2010s
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Innovation SPEED
25Source: Singularity.com, Economist 2017, Ericsson Mobile Report 2017
Blowing away the cloud
Connected devices, worldwide, bn
*Everyday objects
Connected to the internet
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Retail Innovation
26
Fast Fashion – 10% CAGR
Market Share
Do you own a voice-
controlled digital home
assistant?
Cowen & Company 2017 RIS Shopper Insights 360, 2017
New Channels
Biz Models
Source: Cowen & Company, Company Reports
Buying Platforms
Shopper Purchase Frequency
Through New Channels
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Evolution of Loss Prevention
27
Store Intelligence
Item Intelligence
Item Security
Data & Video Analytics
Traffic & Shopper
Analytics
EAS Video
RFID
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Retail Loss Prevention Disrupted
28
RETAIL THEFT
OPPORTUNITIES
DIGITALLY EMPOWERED
CONSUMER
Shrink
Brand Value Differentiation
Real Time Consumer Loyalty
Immersive Unified Customer
Experiences
Smart Supply Chains
Brand Integrated Security / Video
Analytics / Machine Learning
Data / Visual Zone Deterrence
Prescriptive Data Analytics
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
The Future Retail Ecosystem
29
The retailer of the future will likely be a retailer of
the past — just the most efficient version therein.
— Goldman Sachs 2017
CONSUMER
STORE DATA EXPLOSION
• POS
• Labor Scheduling
• Planograms
• Store Traffic
• Loyalty Programs
• EAS
• Video
• RFID
• HVAC
• Internet of Things
• Beacons
• Wearables
• Robots
• Unified Commerce
• Smart Mirrors
• Smart Floors
• Smart Fitting Rooms
• Augmented Reality
• Virtual Reality
INTELLIGENT FILTERS
• Video Analytics
• Artificial Intelligence
• Machine Learning
• Big Data
Seamless
Bricks & Clicks
Consumers
as Brand
Ambassadors
Associates
as Brand
Ambassadors
Unassisted
Self Checkout
Covert Intelligent
LP (deterrence)
IMMERSIVE
EXPERIENCES
© 2017 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
30
The Formulas for Retail Success
Americans spend 1.2 billion hours/week driving to mall, finding parking,
wondering around aisles, checking out and driving home
Wall Street Journal, 16 October 2017 / McKinsey October 2017
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
31
Stores Not Going AWAY
Source: Economist 2017, Cowen & Company 2017 / PSFK / RSR Research
Educate & empower in-store
employees using technology
Opportunity for improving
in-store experience*
E-commerce sales
As % of total
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
32
Store Reinvented - Associate Brand Ambassadors
Source: RIS Shopper Insights 360, 2017 / EKN Modern Labor for Omnichannel Success Report
Retailers reported
16.5% improvement
in KPIs related to sales,
customer engagement &
satisfaction from empowered
sales associates
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Global
Source
Tagging
33
18%
34%
37%
45%
50%
73%
50%
46%
41%
21%
9%
16%
17%
14%
29%
Latin America
Europe
Global
Asia - Pacific
North America
33%
28%
20%
12%
11%
51%
62%
67%
73%
78%
16%
10%
14%
15%
11%
Apparel and fashion Accossories
Food and Beverages
Health and Beauty
Electronics
DIY/ Home Improvement
Future Plans of Using Source Tagging Across Regions Future Plans of Using Source Tagging Across Product Categories
Not Planning to Implement Planning to
Increase
Planning to Maintain
The Future of Retail
• Theft is not going away
• Branding & Customer Experiences Everywhere
• Remove the non-customer facing store clutter
Source: Global Theft Barometer
“There is only one boss: the customer. And he can fire everybody in the company from the
chairman on down, simply by spending his money somewhere else.” ~ Sam Walton
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
CHINA
34
Room for Growth
Internet usage % of population, 2016
Source: Economist
© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
35
ありがとうございました
“Retail Success
Is a Team Sport”
~ Tony D’Onofrio
You are the Leaders
to Shape It.
www.tonydonofrio.com

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The Disruptive Future of Retail

  • 1. THE DISRUPTIVE FUTURE OF RETAIL ようこそ Tony D’Onofrio
  • 2. www.tonydonofrio.com© 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 2 You are the Leaders to Shape It. Retail Globalization Where is the Global Shrink? The Retail Digital Challenge The Disruptive Future of Retail
  • 3. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Disruptive Future of Retail JAPAN 3
  • 4. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Retail Globalization 4
  • 5. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The World and Retail Find their Growth Groove 5Source: World Bank 2018, The Economist August 2017 Global GDP 2015-2020 (% growth) Retail Sales 2012-2021 ($ Trillion)
  • 6. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Global Retail Sales 6Sources: The Economist Intelligence Unit 2018, Focus Economics 2018, Chain Store Age / IHL Group 2018 Retail sales growth, 2018-2019 forecasts (real % change per year) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(*) Retail Sales (annual growth %) 14.3 13.1 12.0 10.7 10.4 7.2 China Retail Sales (*) The Economist Intelligence Unit Forecast, August 2017 India 2021(*) $1.5 Trillion USA 2018 +6.2%
  • 7. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Global Top 250 Retailers 7Source: Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited 2018 43 $10,055 17.2% 35.1% 26.5 14% 135 $21,685 54% 21.1% 5.9 38.5% 51 $14,698 20.4% 22.4% 8.1 33.3% 21 $14,354 8.4% 20.4% 6.7 38.1% 250 $17,643 100.0% 22.5% 10.0 33.2% Number of Companies Average Retail Revenue US$M Share of Top 250 Companies Average # of Country % Of Retail Revenue Average From Foreign Operations % Single-country Operators Top 250 Apparel and accessories Fast-moving consumer goods Hardlines and leisure Diversified Product sector profiles, FY2016 Level of globalization by product sector, FY2016
  • 8. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Top 10 Global Retailers & Fastest Growing 8 Top 10 Retailer Country FY2011 - 2016 retail Revenue CAGR % RANK Fastest Retailer Country FY2011 - 2016 Retail Revenue CAGR % Wal-Mart Stores, Inc US 1.7 1 Vipshop Holdings Limited China 103.8 Costco Wholesale Corp. US 6.0 2 Albertsons Company, Inc. US 74.0 The Kroger Co. US 5.0 3 JD.com, Inc. China 62.6 Schwarz Group (LIDL) Germany 7.3 4 Zalando SE Germany 48.1 Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. US 6.1 5 Reliance Industries Limited/Reliance Retail India 34.5 Amazon.com, Inc US 17.6 6 Southeastern Grocers, LLC US 31.7 The Home Depot, Inc. US 6.1 7 Axel Johnson AB/ Axfood, Axstores Sweden 31.6 Aldi Group Germany 7.7 8 Hudson’s Bay Company Canada 30.3 Carrefour S.A. France -1.1 9 Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. US 29.6 CVS Health Corp. US 6.4 10 Lenta Group Russia 27.8 Source: Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited 2018
  • 9. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. APAC Leading Middle Class Evolution 9 500M 77% 66% New urban middle class globally Of new urban middle Class in Asia Pacific Working-age proportion of global population (peaked in 2015) 1 2 33 Billion People Make Up Global Middle Class $33 Trillion Was Spent by the Global Middle Class in 2015 2021 is the Year Most People Could Be in the Middle Class 2016 Urban Middle Class 2026 Urban Middle Class Brookings Institution, 2016JCI Estimates based on UN, Pew Foundation, IMF, & CEIC Data
  • 10. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 10Source: A.T .Kearney 2017 2017 Global Retail Development Index Rank Country GRDI Score Population (million) GDP per Capita, PPP National Retail Sales ($ billion) 1 India 71.7 1,329 6,658 1,071 2 China 70.4 1,378 15,424 3,128 3 Malaysia 60.9 31 27,234 92 4 Turkey 59.8 80 21,147 241 5 United Arab Emirates 59.4 9 67,696 73 6 Vietnam 56.1 93 6,422 90 7 Morocco 56.1 35 8,360 40 8 Indonesia 55.9 259 11,699 350 9 Peru 54.0 32 13,019 61 10 Colombia 53.6 49 14,162 90 Emerging markets are ahead in growth of mobile shopping
  • 11. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 11Source: A.T .Kearney 2017 Global Retail Development Index
  • 12. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Where is The Global Shrink? 12
  • 13. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Retailer Losses 13Source: Senormatic Gobal Shrink Index 2018, IHL Group 33% 23% 18% 26% Shoplifting Employee Theft Administrative Losses Vendor Fraud $99.56 B Global Shrink Loss RETURNS $643 Million Lost in Returns INVENTORY DISTORTION $1.1 Trillion Lost Revenue Opportunity Due To Inventory Distortion Total Retail Losses
  • 14. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Global Retail Shrink $99.56B in losses 14 23% 18% 26% 33% Shoplifting Dishonest Employee Theft Admin/non- crime Loss Supplier Fraud INDIA ITALY FRANCE Highest Global Shrink Countries Highest Global Shrink by Segment 1.98% 1.85% 1.83% Fashion/Accessories Variety Stores Department Store Source: Sensormatic Global Shrink Shrink Index, 2018 2.13% 2.32% 2.06%
  • 15. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. LP Growing Industry Influence 15 15% 22% 23% 26% 37% 45% 54% 79% 34% 56% 38% 52% 32% 41% 33% 14% 51% 22% 40% 23% 30% 14% 13% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% RFID Fire Solution Video Analytics Data Mining EAS Access Control Exception-based reporting CCTV Ranked 1-3 in importance Ranked 4-6 in importance Ranked 7-8 in importance Technologies Most Critical in the US Loss Prevention and Security Functions Base: 182 USA Decision-Makers Gaining Influence 61% Remained the same 24% 15%Losing Influence LP Department Influence Over the Years Base: 168 US Decision-Makers Source: LP Magazine Study of US LP decision makers consider EAS tech extremely or very important 56% Very Important 32% 24%Extremely Important Slightly Important 3%12 % 28% Moderately Important Not at all important Base: 157 US Decision-Makers
  • 16. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Retail Digital Challenge 16
  • 17. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Store Systems Priorities 17Source: IHL Group, 2018 Top 10 Strategic Priorities for 2018 12% 15% 16% 33% 46% 54% 59% 72% 78% 89% Store Network Upgrades Workforce Management Reducing Supply Chain Costs Digital Transformation Single Transaction Engine One Cross Channel Customer Database Empowering Store Associates Upgrading CRM/Loyalty Programs Inventory Visibility Personalizing Customer Experience 5.6% Average increase Enterprise IT spending in 2018 vs. 4.5% last year
  • 18. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Emerging Technologies 18Source: IHL Group, 2018 New Technology Priorities 1.3% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% RFID Augmented / Virtual Reality SD-WAN IoT Big data Conversational Commerce Predictive / Prescriptive Analytics AI/Machine Learning Proximity / Location-based Mkt Respondents Planning To Increase Spend by >10% Who Are Leaders 42% 57% 60% 73% 74% 76% 80% 100% 100% Big Data Integration AI / Machine Learning SD-WAN Predictive / Prescriptive Analytics Proximity / Location Based Mkt Conversational Commerce IoT RFID Augmented / Virtual Reality 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
  • 19. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Age of Amazon (Alibaba): Challenges & Opportunities 19Source: RIS / Gartner Retail Technology Study 2017 You will not out-Amazon Amazon (Alibaba), but you can learn a great deal from how they constantly innovate using a customer centric lens. THE RETAIL DIGITAL CHALLENGE Top 5 Major Strategies over the next 18 months 52% 49% 48% 42% Personalized mkt capabilities Leveraging social media Increasing customer engagement 45% Expanding unified commerce Advancing mobile commerce Top 5 Challenges over the next 3 years 38% Digital commerce as growth channels Optimizing stores as a growing channel Retiring legacy systems Upgrading store-level bandwidth and infrastructure 44% 44% Customer data security 35% 35%
  • 20. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The $15 Billion Innovation Challenge 20Source: IHL Group Over 50% of US Households have Prime membership 66 Million Households 70% of Households > $112k Income 87% - 237% Average IT spend increase required to effectively compete with Amazon USA 20 Amazon’s annual spend is more than the amounts of the following retailers combined
  • 21. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Disruptive Future of Retail CHINA 21 Fung Business Intelligence, July 2017
  • 22. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Why Clicks NEED Bricks 22 CLICKS Getting Physical CLICKS Insights • Amazon > Bookstores > Amazon Go > Whole Foods ($13.7 Billion) • Alibaba $8 Billion in Physical Stores Last 2 Yrs > Hema Supermarkets • The Delivery Last Mile • INNOVATION Differentiation • Expanding Loyalty Programs • Return Rate – Online nearly 33% / instore 9% • The Profit is in the Store Forbes 19 April 2017, Forbes 27 August 2017), Economist 2017 / Bloomberg Business Week November 3, 2017 Where Do Apparel Retailers Make The Largest Profit ? In Store Online Online In Store Pick Up Online Ship From Store 32% Profit Margin Profit Margin Profit Margin Profit Margin 30% 23% 12% For each additional percentage point of shopping that moves online, a retailer’s margins shrink by about half a point. ~ Morgan Stanley
  • 23. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Disruptive Future of Retail 23
  • 24. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 24 Technology Driving Shifts in Retail Power MANUFACTURER RETAILER CONSUMER FUTURE OF RETAILFUTURE OF RETAIL Pre-1970s 1970s 2010s
  • 25. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Innovation SPEED 25Source: Singularity.com, Economist 2017, Ericsson Mobile Report 2017 Blowing away the cloud Connected devices, worldwide, bn *Everyday objects Connected to the internet
  • 26. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Retail Innovation 26 Fast Fashion – 10% CAGR Market Share Do you own a voice- controlled digital home assistant? Cowen & Company 2017 RIS Shopper Insights 360, 2017 New Channels Biz Models Source: Cowen & Company, Company Reports Buying Platforms Shopper Purchase Frequency Through New Channels
  • 27. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Evolution of Loss Prevention 27 Store Intelligence Item Intelligence Item Security Data & Video Analytics Traffic & Shopper Analytics EAS Video RFID
  • 28. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Retail Loss Prevention Disrupted 28 RETAIL THEFT OPPORTUNITIES DIGITALLY EMPOWERED CONSUMER Shrink Brand Value Differentiation Real Time Consumer Loyalty Immersive Unified Customer Experiences Smart Supply Chains Brand Integrated Security / Video Analytics / Machine Learning Data / Visual Zone Deterrence Prescriptive Data Analytics
  • 29. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. The Future Retail Ecosystem 29 The retailer of the future will likely be a retailer of the past — just the most efficient version therein. — Goldman Sachs 2017 CONSUMER STORE DATA EXPLOSION • POS • Labor Scheduling • Planograms • Store Traffic • Loyalty Programs • EAS • Video • RFID • HVAC • Internet of Things • Beacons • Wearables • Robots • Unified Commerce • Smart Mirrors • Smart Floors • Smart Fitting Rooms • Augmented Reality • Virtual Reality INTELLIGENT FILTERS • Video Analytics • Artificial Intelligence • Machine Learning • Big Data Seamless Bricks & Clicks Consumers as Brand Ambassadors Associates as Brand Ambassadors Unassisted Self Checkout Covert Intelligent LP (deterrence) IMMERSIVE EXPERIENCES
  • 30. © 2017 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 30 The Formulas for Retail Success Americans spend 1.2 billion hours/week driving to mall, finding parking, wondering around aisles, checking out and driving home Wall Street Journal, 16 October 2017 / McKinsey October 2017
  • 31. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 31 Stores Not Going AWAY Source: Economist 2017, Cowen & Company 2017 / PSFK / RSR Research Educate & empower in-store employees using technology Opportunity for improving in-store experience* E-commerce sales As % of total
  • 32. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 32 Store Reinvented - Associate Brand Ambassadors Source: RIS Shopper Insights 360, 2017 / EKN Modern Labor for Omnichannel Success Report Retailers reported 16.5% improvement in KPIs related to sales, customer engagement & satisfaction from empowered sales associates
  • 33. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. Global Source Tagging 33 18% 34% 37% 45% 50% 73% 50% 46% 41% 21% 9% 16% 17% 14% 29% Latin America Europe Global Asia - Pacific North America 33% 28% 20% 12% 11% 51% 62% 67% 73% 78% 16% 10% 14% 15% 11% Apparel and fashion Accossories Food and Beverages Health and Beauty Electronics DIY/ Home Improvement Future Plans of Using Source Tagging Across Regions Future Plans of Using Source Tagging Across Product Categories Not Planning to Implement Planning to Increase Planning to Maintain The Future of Retail • Theft is not going away • Branding & Customer Experiences Everywhere • Remove the non-customer facing store clutter Source: Global Theft Barometer “There is only one boss: the customer. And he can fire everybody in the company from the chairman on down, simply by spending his money somewhere else.” ~ Sam Walton
  • 34. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. CHINA 34 Room for Growth Internet usage % of population, 2016 Source: Economist
  • 35. © 2018 Retail Solutions. All Rights Reserved. 35 ありがとうございました “Retail Success Is a Team Sport” ~ Tony D’Onofrio You are the Leaders to Shape It. www.tonydonofrio.com