1. Updated Sept. 15, 2017
The Air Travel Value Proposition:
Safer, Cheaper, Greener, Quieter and ~80% On Time
2. U.S. Airline Industry Safety Has Improved Markedly
From 1986-1990 to 2010-2015, NTSB Fatal Accident Rate Reduced 100 Percent
airlines.org2
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
1-Year 5-Year
Source: A4A analysis of data from the National Transportation Safety Board (Tables 6 and 12)
Fatal Accidents per 10M Aircraft Departures in Scheduled Service
3. Americans Have Seen Increases in the Average Price of Food, Shelter, Public
Transportation and Entertainment Over The Past Two and a Half Decades
airlines.org3
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Association of Relators, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
Food
Transit
+86%
+87%
Food & Public Transit
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
+255%
Movie Tickets
PriceIndex:1982-84=100
$75
$100
$125
$150
$175
$200
$225
$250
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
+142%
Housing (Existing Home, $000)
$4
$6
$8
$10
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
+105%
Baseball (MLB) Tickets
4. Over the Past 26 Years, the Price of Purchasing Food, Taking the Bus/Train, or Going
to the Movies/Ballpark Has Significantly Outpaced the Price of Taking a Trip by Air
airlines.org4
Source: A4A, BTS, FRB St. Louis, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
350
375
400 1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Airfare*
Food
Public Transit
MLB Game
Movie Ticket
* Domestic round-trip average, including bag and change fees
PriceIndex:1990=100
+105%
+87%
+86%
+27%
+255%
5. “Air Travel Is Not Expensive: See for Yourself…It Costs Less Than You Think”
Air Transport Association Advertisement, The Saturday Evening Post (March 22, 1941)
5
6. Boston-Los Angeles Air Travel, 75 Years After the Evening Post
9 Hours Faster, 90% Cheaper (in Real* Terms)
airlines.org6
$281.56
$4,596.97
$451.97
1941 Actual (15hrs 15mins, 12 stops)
1941 Inflation-Adjusted*
2016 Actual (6hrs 15mins)
Average Round-Trip BOS-LAX Airfare and One-Way Block Time
Source: DOT Data Bank 1B via Diio Mi; “Air Travel Is Not Expensive,” The Saturday Evening Post (Mar. 22, 1941), p. 59; Campbell-Hill Aviation Group
* Adjusted using 2016 constant dollars from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (http://www.bls.gov/cpi/#tables)
8. U.S. Airlines: Flights Departing On Time and Arriving 00:15 of Schedule
airlines.org8
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Arrivals (A14) Departures (D0)
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
9. The Share of Flights Arriving Early or on Schedule Has Risen Steadily Over the Past
Few Decades, Whereas On-Time 0:15 and 0:30 Have Been Relatively Flat
airlines.org9
63.0%
81.4%
88.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
0:00 0:15 0:30
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
13. With Each Decade, U.S. Airline Fuel Efficiency Has Improved
Up More Than 120% from 1978 to 2016, More Than 30%; from 2000 to 2016
airlines.org13
1.93
2.51
3.53
4.44
5.58
6.37 6.49
1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010-2015 2016
Revenue Ton Miles* per Gallon
Source: A4A and BTS, for all U.S. passenger and all-cargo airlines * An RTM is a single ton of payload (passengers or cargo) carried one mile in revenue service
14. airlines.org14
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Passenger
Enplanements (Right)
Noise-Exposed
Population (Left)
MillionsofPeople1
MillionsofPassengers2
1. U.S. residents exposed to significant (65 dB DNL) noise levels from all aviation operations within U.S. airspace
2. Passengers enplaned on U.S. and foreign flag carriers as captured in the FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)
Commercial Aviation Has Gotten Markedly Quieter
From 1975-2015, the Number of U.S. Residents Exposed to Significant Aircraft Noise Fell
95% While Enplanements Rose 287%); 61% from 2000-2015 (Enplanements Rose 11%)
15. The Value Proposition for U.S. Air Travelers Is Alive and Well
It’s Safer, It’s Greener, It’s Quieter, It’s ~80 Percent On-Time and It’s Still a Bargain
airlines.org15
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
Index (1990 = 100)
* 5-year-moving-average fatal accident rate for U.S. air carriers operating under 14 CFR 121 scheduled service
On-Time
Real Fares (incl. Fees)
Safety Risk*
Noise
Fuel Efficiency
A4A Passenger Airline Cost Index
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/business/wp/2015/06/12/how-theme-parks-like-disney-world-left-the-middle-class-behind/
http://allears.net/tix/tixpix10.htm
https://www.teammarketing.com/tmr/81
Hi John,
The US noise exposure results are based on all commercial operations (US and Foreign) plus Air Taxi ops, military ops, some GA (mostly jet) ops, and cargo ops. The enplanement data comes from the FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF), which includes foreign flag enplanements.
Joe
Airline Workers Enjoy Compensation 56 Percent Above U.S. Private Sector Average
Average 2015 Wages and Benefits per FTE for Selected U.S. Economic Sectors
http://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9&step=1#reqid=9&step=1&isuri=1
(000)
Securities, commodities $259
Oil and gas 198
Pipeline transportation 153
IT and data processing 147
Utilities 141
Computer systems design 129
Federal government (civilian) 123
Rail transportation 117
Legal services 115
Water transportation 114
Air transportation 109
Broadcasting and telecom 106
Performing arts, museums 102
Insurance 100
Movies, sound recording 97
State and local government 87
Hospitals 79
Construction 71
Real estate 71
Private sector average 70
Waste management 70
Truck transportation 65
Furniture and related 54
Accommodation (lodging) 44
Transit, other ground transport 42
Farming 42
Amusements, gambling 37
General retail 33
Food services, bars 30