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Updated Sept. 15, 2017
The Air Travel Value Proposition:
Safer, Cheaper, Greener, Quieter and ~80% On Time
U.S. Airline Industry Safety Has Improved Markedly
From 1986-1990 to 2010-2015, NTSB Fatal Accident Rate Reduced 100 Percent
airlines.org2
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
1-Year 5-Year
Source: A4A analysis of data from the National Transportation Safety Board (Tables 6 and 12)
Fatal Accidents per 10M Aircraft Departures in Scheduled Service
Americans Have Seen Increases in the Average Price of Food, Shelter, Public
Transportation and Entertainment Over The Past Two and a Half Decades
airlines.org3
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Association of Relators, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
Food
Transit
+86%
+87%
Food & Public Transit
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
+255%
Movie Tickets
PriceIndex:1982-84=100
$75
$100
$125
$150
$175
$200
$225
$250
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
+142%
Housing (Existing Home, $000)
$4
$6
$8
$10
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
+105%
Baseball (MLB) Tickets
Over the Past 26 Years, the Price of Purchasing Food, Taking the Bus/Train, or Going
to the Movies/Ballpark Has Significantly Outpaced the Price of Taking a Trip by Air
airlines.org4
Source: A4A, BTS, FRB St. Louis, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
350
375
400 1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Airfare*
Food
Public Transit
MLB Game
Movie Ticket
* Domestic round-trip average, including bag and change fees
PriceIndex:1990=100
+105%
+87%
+86%
+27%
+255%
“Air Travel Is Not Expensive: See for Yourself…It Costs Less Than You Think”
Air Transport Association Advertisement, The Saturday Evening Post (March 22, 1941)
5
Boston-Los Angeles Air Travel, 75 Years After the Evening Post
9 Hours Faster, 90% Cheaper (in Real* Terms)
airlines.org6
$281.56
$4,596.97
$451.97
1941 Actual (15hrs 15mins, 12 stops)
1941 Inflation-Adjusted*
2016 Actual (6hrs 15mins)
Average Round-Trip BOS-LAX Airfare and One-Way Block Time
Source: DOT Data Bank 1B via Diio Mi; “Air Travel Is Not Expensive,” The Saturday Evening Post (Mar. 22, 1941), p. 59; Campbell-Hill Aviation Group
* Adjusted using 2016 constant dollars from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (http://www.bls.gov/cpi/#tables)
U.S. Airlines: Domestic Flights Cancelled/Completed
airlines.org7
96
97
98
99
100
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
Cancellation Rate (%) Completion Factor (%)
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
U.S. Airlines: Flights Departing On Time and Arriving 00:15 of Schedule
airlines.org8
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Arrivals (A14) Departures (D0)
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
The Share of Flights Arriving Early or on Schedule Has Risen Steadily Over the Past
Few Decades, Whereas On-Time 0:15 and 0:30 Have Been Relatively Flat
airlines.org9
63.0%
81.4%
88.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
0:00 0:15 0:30
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
U.S. Airlines: Mishandled Baggage per 1,000 Domestic Passengers Enplaned
airlines.org10
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report
U.S. Airlines: Involuntary Denied Boardings per 10,000 Enplanements at U.S. Airports
airlines.org11
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report
U.S. Airlines: Customer Complaints per 100,000 Passengers Enplaned Systemwide
airlines.org12
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report
With Each Decade, U.S. Airline Fuel Efficiency Has Improved
Up More Than 120% from 1978 to 2016, More Than 30%; from 2000 to 2016
airlines.org13
1.93
2.51
3.53
4.44
5.58
6.37 6.49
1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010-2015 2016
Revenue Ton Miles* per Gallon
Source: A4A and BTS, for all U.S. passenger and all-cargo airlines * An RTM is a single ton of payload (passengers or cargo) carried one mile in revenue service
airlines.org14
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Passenger
Enplanements (Right)
Noise-Exposed
Population (Left)
MillionsofPeople1
MillionsofPassengers2
1. U.S. residents exposed to significant (65 dB DNL) noise levels from all aviation operations within U.S. airspace
2. Passengers enplaned on U.S. and foreign flag carriers as captured in the FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)
Commercial Aviation Has Gotten Markedly Quieter
From 1975-2015, the Number of U.S. Residents Exposed to Significant Aircraft Noise Fell
95% While Enplanements Rose 287%); 61% from 2000-2015 (Enplanements Rose 11%)
The Value Proposition for U.S. Air Travelers Is Alive and Well
It’s Safer, It’s Greener, It’s Quieter, It’s ~80 Percent On-Time and It’s Still a Bargain
airlines.org15
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
Index (1990 = 100)
* 5-year-moving-average fatal accident rate for U.S. air carriers operating under 14 CFR 121 scheduled service
On-Time
Real Fares (incl. Fees)
Safety Risk*
Noise
Fuel Efficiency
www.airlines.org

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The Air Travel Value Proposition

  • 1. Updated Sept. 15, 2017 The Air Travel Value Proposition: Safer, Cheaper, Greener, Quieter and ~80% On Time
  • 2. U.S. Airline Industry Safety Has Improved Markedly From 1986-1990 to 2010-2015, NTSB Fatal Accident Rate Reduced 100 Percent airlines.org2 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 1-Year 5-Year Source: A4A analysis of data from the National Transportation Safety Board (Tables 6 and 12) Fatal Accidents per 10M Aircraft Departures in Scheduled Service
  • 3. Americans Have Seen Increases in the Average Price of Food, Shelter, Public Transportation and Entertainment Over The Past Two and a Half Decades airlines.org3 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Association of Relators, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 Food Transit +86% +87% Food & Public Transit $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 +255% Movie Tickets PriceIndex:1982-84=100 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175 $200 $225 $250 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 +142% Housing (Existing Home, $000) $4 $6 $8 $10 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 +105% Baseball (MLB) Tickets
  • 4. Over the Past 26 Years, the Price of Purchasing Food, Taking the Bus/Train, or Going to the Movies/Ballpark Has Significantly Outpaced the Price of Taking a Trip by Air airlines.org4 Source: A4A, BTS, FRB St. Louis, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 375 400 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Airfare* Food Public Transit MLB Game Movie Ticket * Domestic round-trip average, including bag and change fees PriceIndex:1990=100 +105% +87% +86% +27% +255%
  • 5. “Air Travel Is Not Expensive: See for Yourself…It Costs Less Than You Think” Air Transport Association Advertisement, The Saturday Evening Post (March 22, 1941) 5
  • 6. Boston-Los Angeles Air Travel, 75 Years After the Evening Post 9 Hours Faster, 90% Cheaper (in Real* Terms) airlines.org6 $281.56 $4,596.97 $451.97 1941 Actual (15hrs 15mins, 12 stops) 1941 Inflation-Adjusted* 2016 Actual (6hrs 15mins) Average Round-Trip BOS-LAX Airfare and One-Way Block Time Source: DOT Data Bank 1B via Diio Mi; “Air Travel Is Not Expensive,” The Saturday Evening Post (Mar. 22, 1941), p. 59; Campbell-Hill Aviation Group * Adjusted using 2016 constant dollars from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (http://www.bls.gov/cpi/#tables)
  • 7. U.S. Airlines: Domestic Flights Cancelled/Completed airlines.org7 96 97 98 99 100 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 Cancellation Rate (%) Completion Factor (%) Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
  • 8. U.S. Airlines: Flights Departing On Time and Arriving 00:15 of Schedule airlines.org8 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Arrivals (A14) Departures (D0) Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
  • 9. The Share of Flights Arriving Early or on Schedule Has Risen Steadily Over the Past Few Decades, Whereas On-Time 0:15 and 0:30 Have Been Relatively Flat airlines.org9 63.0% 81.4% 88.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 0:00 0:15 0:30 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
  • 10. U.S. Airlines: Mishandled Baggage per 1,000 Domestic Passengers Enplaned airlines.org10 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report
  • 11. U.S. Airlines: Involuntary Denied Boardings per 10,000 Enplanements at U.S. Airports airlines.org11 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.25 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report
  • 12. U.S. Airlines: Customer Complaints per 100,000 Passengers Enplaned Systemwide airlines.org12 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report
  • 13. With Each Decade, U.S. Airline Fuel Efficiency Has Improved Up More Than 120% from 1978 to 2016, More Than 30%; from 2000 to 2016 airlines.org13 1.93 2.51 3.53 4.44 5.58 6.37 6.49 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010-2015 2016 Revenue Ton Miles* per Gallon Source: A4A and BTS, for all U.S. passenger and all-cargo airlines * An RTM is a single ton of payload (passengers or cargo) carried one mile in revenue service
  • 14. airlines.org14 - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Passenger Enplanements (Right) Noise-Exposed Population (Left) MillionsofPeople1 MillionsofPassengers2 1. U.S. residents exposed to significant (65 dB DNL) noise levels from all aviation operations within U.S. airspace 2. Passengers enplaned on U.S. and foreign flag carriers as captured in the FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) Commercial Aviation Has Gotten Markedly Quieter From 1975-2015, the Number of U.S. Residents Exposed to Significant Aircraft Noise Fell 95% While Enplanements Rose 287%); 61% from 2000-2015 (Enplanements Rose 11%)
  • 15. The Value Proposition for U.S. Air Travelers Is Alive and Well It’s Safer, It’s Greener, It’s Quieter, It’s ~80 Percent On-Time and It’s Still a Bargain airlines.org15 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Index (1990 = 100) * 5-year-moving-average fatal accident rate for U.S. air carriers operating under 14 CFR 121 scheduled service On-Time Real Fares (incl. Fees) Safety Risk* Noise Fuel Efficiency

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/data/Pages/aviation_stats.aspx
  2. A4A Passenger Airline Cost Index http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/business/wp/2015/06/12/how-theme-parks-like-disney-world-left-the-middle-class-behind/ http://allears.net/tix/tixpix10.htm https://www.teammarketing.com/tmr/81
  3. Hi John,   The US noise exposure results are based on all commercial operations (US and Foreign) plus Air Taxi ops, military ops, some GA (mostly jet) ops, and cargo ops. The enplanement data comes from the FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF), which includes foreign flag enplanements.   Joe
  4. http://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/data/Pages/aviation_stats.aspx
  5. Airline Workers Enjoy Compensation 56 Percent Above U.S. Private Sector Average Average 2015 Wages and Benefits per FTE for Selected U.S. Economic Sectors http://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9&step=1#reqid=9&step=1&isuri=1 (000) Securities, commodities $259 Oil and gas 198 Pipeline transportation 153 IT and data processing 147 Utilities 141 Computer systems design 129 Federal government (civilian) 123 Rail transportation 117 Legal services 115 Water transportation 114 Air transportation 109 Broadcasting and telecom 106 Performing arts, museums 102 Insurance 100 Movies, sound recording 97 State and local government 87 Hospitals 79 Construction 71 Real estate 71 Private sector average 70 Waste management 70 Truck transportation 65 Furniture and related 54 Accommodation (lodging) 44 Transit, other ground transport 42 Farming 42 Amusements, gambling 37 General retail 33 Food services, bars 30