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Exploring Text Virality in Social Networks
                                 Marco Guerini, Carlo Strapparava, Gözde Özbal               {marco.guerini@trentorise.eu, strappa@fbk.eu, ozbal@fbk.eu}



                 Virality: tendency of a content to spread quickly in a community by word-of-mouth...


             Virality is a phenomenon related                                                                                           Virality is a social phenomenon in
                                                                                                                                        which there are no “immune carriers”
         to the magnitude of the social connections
                                                                                        Virality is a phenomenon related to the                                        Social network connections
                                  Social network graphs,

                                                                                        characteristics of the content being spread                                    accounts for HOW content
                                    Opinion Leaders, etc.
                                                                                                                                                                        spreads, rather than WHY
       Virality as a single-
       faceted phenomenon                                                                                                                                   number of people who accessed a
                                                                                                                                                       content in a given time interval
                   e.g. number of comments,                                                                                       the ability
                   number of “I_like”                                                                    to induce discussion among users                                                                           e.g.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  number of “I_like”


                                                                                                                                polarize
                                                                                                       the audience (pro and against the
                                                                                                                given content).
                                                                                                                                                    Virality has                                                 how much
                                                                                                                                                           many facets!                            people share content by
                                                                                                                                                                                                        forwarding it



                                                                                                                             positive comments.
                                                                                                                                                                                                            how much
                                                                                                           “The best product I have ever bought”
    Dataset and Metrics                                                                                                                                                                      people comment a content

                                                                                                                                                                  negative comments.
                                                                                                                                                “Do not buy this product, it is a rip-off”
Digg dataset as a unique framework.
Text-based contents. Define metrics
to formalize every viral phenomenon.


   Rais = (NCL /NCT ) ∗ NUC
   Cont = min(A,B)/max(A,B)
   Buzz = …
                                                                                                           Prediction                      !         Good prediction of the viral phenomena
                                                                   Class Overlapping
    Experiments and results                                                                                             F1                             using just the wording of the content!
                                                                   App     Buzz    Cont     Rais                                                25 words are enough to predict viral phenomena with a good F1
                                                                                                           App         0.78

                                                                                                                                           !
Machine learning framework: SVM light.                      App      -     15.1%   4.2%     14.8%
Features: title & snippet words. PoS-tagged to                                                             Buzz        0.81
                                                            Buzz   77.0%     -     3.1%     51.7%                                                  These viral phenomena are
reduce data sparseness.
Specialized datasets: each viral phenomenon,                Cont   21.4%   3.0%      -      48.6%
                                                                                                           Cont        0.70                             quite independent
binary classification: 50/50 pos. neg. examples.            Rais   65.0% 44.6% 42.5%          -            Rais        0.68                     It is possible to separately predict them

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Text Virality in Social Networks - ICWSM 2011

  • 1. Exploring Text Virality in Social Networks Marco Guerini, Carlo Strapparava, Gözde Özbal {marco.guerini@trentorise.eu, strappa@fbk.eu, ozbal@fbk.eu} Virality: tendency of a content to spread quickly in a community by word-of-mouth...  Virality is a phenomenon related Virality is a social phenomenon in which there are no “immune carriers” to the magnitude of the social connections  Virality is a phenomenon related to the Social network connections Social network graphs,  characteristics of the content being spread accounts for HOW content Opinion Leaders, etc. spreads, rather than WHY Virality as a single- faceted phenomenon number of people who accessed a content in a given time interval e.g. number of comments, the ability number of “I_like” to induce discussion among users e.g. number of “I_like” polarize the audience (pro and against the given content).  Virality has how much many facets! people share content by forwarding it positive comments. how much “The best product I have ever bought” Dataset and Metrics people comment a content negative comments. “Do not buy this product, it is a rip-off” Digg dataset as a unique framework. Text-based contents. Define metrics to formalize every viral phenomenon. Rais = (NCL /NCT ) ∗ NUC Cont = min(A,B)/max(A,B) Buzz = … Prediction ! Good prediction of the viral phenomena Class Overlapping Experiments and results F1 using just the wording of the content! App Buzz Cont Rais 25 words are enough to predict viral phenomena with a good F1 App 0.78 ! Machine learning framework: SVM light. App - 15.1% 4.2% 14.8% Features: title & snippet words. PoS-tagged to Buzz 0.81 Buzz 77.0% - 3.1% 51.7% These viral phenomena are reduce data sparseness. Specialized datasets: each viral phenomenon, Cont 21.4% 3.0% - 48.6% Cont 0.70 quite independent binary classification: 50/50 pos. neg. examples. Rais 65.0% 44.6% 42.5% - Rais 0.68 It is possible to separately predict them