SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
Effects of transmission tariffs to wholesale
market development in the EU
Joaquin Garcia
Gas Market Monitoring Officer
ACER
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat 2
Index
1. What’s the level of gas transmission tariffs across Europe?
2. How do transmission tariffs effect on market development? – focus on
prices
3. Some reflections about the future
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat 3
What’s the level of gas transmission tariffs in Europe?
Source: ACER calculations in collaboration with ENTSOG and TSOs
➢ European cross-border tariffs are quite diverse as they result from differing
regulatory choices and network cost factors
e.g. valuation of the regulatory asset base, rates of return, tariff methodologies
e.g. network size, configuration, capacity, topology, density
Benchmark of European average gas cross-border transportation tariffs – April 2018 - euros/MWh
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat 4
What’s the level of gas transmission tariffs in Europe?
Source: ACER calculations in collaboration with ENTSOG and TSOs
As far as tariffs are transparent, cost-reflective and efficient their actual levels shall not be a concern
Tariff levels at a selection of EU borders – 2017 - euros/MWh
10-15% final commodity price
<3% final commodity price
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
How do transmission tariffs effect on prices?
➢ Tariffs are a key element driving IPs utilisation. They:
• can promote or deter market access from a given origin
> This influences the competitive framework for price formation
• can add-up on final MSs sourcing cost via pancaking of supply-route tariffs*
• can be pivotal in hub price-spread formation
➢ However, concrete IP tariff effects on prices may vary in accordance to the distinct
markets’ conditions and players’ strategies. It is important to look at aspects as:
• Marginal price setter at each given market
• Number and type of active suppliers
• Suppliers’ possible determination to lower supply-price margins to compete in
– e.g. final supply prices not adding-up tariffs entirely
*arguably, particularly when tariffs methodologies diverge or are not reflective
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
How do transmission tariffs effect on prices?
2017 supplier’ gas sourcing cost at EU MSs - euros/MWh
Setting the scene of MSs
sourcing costs
Declining price differentials across MSs
suggest that:
• Most regions are benefiting from fiercer
supply-side competition.
• The development of the hub model plus
sufficient IP capacity is backing stronger
price convergence
• LNG sets marginal prices in many
markets, whereas major pipe producers
aim retaining market share via lowering
margins and orienting sellings into hubs
Gas sourcing via hubs is generally more
competitive. Non-hub indexed LTCs are
more exposed to non-gas fundamentals
Source: ACER based on Eurostat Comext, Platts, and NRAs
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
Setting the scene of hub price spreads
• Price convergence between EU hubs continues to advance. Dissimilar levels among regions persist yet
• Upstreamers selling gas at distinct hubs at differences below transmission tariffs assist convergence. E.g. Equinor at NWE
• Contracting surpluses assist convergence; as those constitute sunk costs inter-hub arbitrage trade takes place around
short run marginal costs
• Transportation costs, linked to physical distance can influence price differences, particularly when the specific IP sets the
marginal market price – e.g TTF into Italy
Analysis of DA price convergence and price correlation levels among selected EU hubs – 2015 - 2017
How do transmission tariffs effect on prices?
Source: ACER based on Platts and ICIS Heren. Notes: Spreads in euros/MWh are calculated as the absolute
price differential between pairs of hubs, independent of discount or premium
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
Tariffs are a pivotal price signalling factor for hub price spread formation. The type of
direction may be dissimilar among hub pairs in accordance to markets’ specifics
Price spreads rarely exceed
tariffs between hubs in NWE.
Tariffs tend to be a defacto
ceiling around which arbitrage
trading occurs. SRMCs, direct
access of common suppliers and
the determination of others to
compete in price seem to
determine actual spreads
Day-ahead price convergence levels in selected EU hubs compared to yearly transmission tariffs – 2017
Hub pairs where spreads were
higher than tariffs tend to include
those with lower liquidity or may
indicate capacity constraints at
IPs
DA tariffs are higher than yearly
ones limiting arbitrage
opportunities on the spot at
some markets
How do transmission tariffs effect on prices?
Source: ACER based on Platts and hub operators’ data for prices and ENTSOG TP for transportation tariffs.
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
Tariffs are a pivotal price signalling factor for hub price spread formation -> A different
way of presenting a similar analysis
Day- ahead price spreads compared to yearly transportation tariffs – 2017
How do transmission tariffs effect on prices?
Source: ACER based on Platts and hub operators’ data for prices and ENTSOG TP for transportation tariffs.
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
➢ The EU gas sector is shifting towards shorter-term capacity and commodity contracting
terms. This trend entails further hub-orientation and more profiled capacity bookings. NCs
are playing a part in this.
➢ A number of opposing elements could drive the evolution of IP tariffs along next years:
(-) The maturity of the European transportation systems could reduce the need for infrastructure
expansion and result in lower tariffs
(+) Declining demand and reduced bookings after the expiration of LTCs could increase tariff levels
➢ The implementation of the TAR NC could alter tariff levels at selected IPs affecting the
direction of EU flows.
➢ Some tariff framework reorganization proposals are being studied:
e.g. Quo Vadis: Suggestion of applying harmonised tariffs in all into-EU entry points, and the setting of all within-EU IPs reserve prices to
zero. This could encourage supply competition and regional price convergence. The proposal would be accompanied by a new inter-TSO
compensation fund to secure revenue recovery neutrality
Some reflections about the future
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community SecretariatSource: ACER calculations in collaboration with ENTSOG and TSOs
Thank you for your attention
See MMR 2017:
https://www.acer.europa.eu/en/Electricity/Market%20monitoring/Pages/Curre
nt-edition.aspx
See ACER analyses of tariffs consultations:
http://www.acer.europa.eu/en/Gas/Framework%20guidelines_and_network%2
0codes/Pages/Harmonised-transmission-tariff-structures.aspx
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
Back-up
Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat
Current state of gas hub development
Source: ACER
Note: Assessment made based on AGTM and other metrics
2017 EU gas hubs categorization on the basis of AGTM metrics
5

More Related Content

What's hot

Designing Network Codes
Designing Network CodesDesigning Network Codes
Designing Network Codes
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
An electricity market design at last?
An electricity market design at last?An electricity market design at last?
An electricity market design at last?
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
Challenges for the European Gas Market
Challenges for the European Gas MarketChallenges for the European Gas Market
Challenges for the European Gas Market
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
Importance of transparency in price formation
Importance of transparency in price formationImportance of transparency in price formation
Importance of transparency in price formation
Денис Киркач
 
Clean energy-package-compromise-infographic
Clean energy-package-compromise-infographicClean energy-package-compromise-infographic
Clean energy-package-compromise-infographic
Yuliya Nosulko
 
Regulating Electricity Market
Regulating Electricity MarketRegulating Electricity Market
Regulating Electricity MarketJustinas Pagirys
 
Electricity Markets and Principle Market Design Models
Electricity Markets and Principle Market Design ModelsElectricity Markets and Principle Market Design Models
Electricity Markets and Principle Market Design Models
Leonardo ENERGY
 
Toward a Target Model
Toward a Target ModelToward a Target Model
Toward a Target Model
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
Electricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - Pricing
Electricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - PricingElectricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - Pricing
Electricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - Pricing
Leonardo ENERGY
 
Cost-reflectivity of Distribution Tariffs
Cost-reflectivity of Distribution TariffsCost-reflectivity of Distribution Tariffs
Cost-reflectivity of Distribution Tariffs
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...
How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...
How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...
Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...
Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...
Leonardo ENERGY
 
Electricity Market Day 2015 - Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...
Electricity Market Day 2015 -  Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...Electricity Market Day 2015 -  Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...
Electricity Market Day 2015 - Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...Fingrid Oyj
 
Rethinking Renewables
Rethinking RenewablesRethinking Renewables
Rethinking Renewables
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)
Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)
Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)
CEPA Ltd
 
Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...
Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...
Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...
Florence Shool of Regulation
 
Completing the Internal Energy Market
Completing the Internal Energy Market Completing the Internal Energy Market
Completing the Internal Energy Market
Florence Shool of Regulation
 

What's hot (20)

Designing Network Codes
Designing Network CodesDesigning Network Codes
Designing Network Codes
 
Vattenfall
VattenfallVattenfall
Vattenfall
 
An electricity market design at last?
An electricity market design at last?An electricity market design at last?
An electricity market design at last?
 
Challenges for the European Gas Market
Challenges for the European Gas MarketChallenges for the European Gas Market
Challenges for the European Gas Market
 
Importance of transparency in price formation
Importance of transparency in price formationImportance of transparency in price formation
Importance of transparency in price formation
 
Clean energy-package-compromise-infographic
Clean energy-package-compromise-infographicClean energy-package-compromise-infographic
Clean energy-package-compromise-infographic
 
Gazdefrance
GazdefranceGazdefrance
Gazdefrance
 
Dihk
DihkDihk
Dihk
 
Regulating Electricity Market
Regulating Electricity MarketRegulating Electricity Market
Regulating Electricity Market
 
Electricity Markets and Principle Market Design Models
Electricity Markets and Principle Market Design ModelsElectricity Markets and Principle Market Design Models
Electricity Markets and Principle Market Design Models
 
Toward a Target Model
Toward a Target ModelToward a Target Model
Toward a Target Model
 
Electricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - Pricing
Electricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - PricingElectricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - Pricing
Electricity Markets Regulation - Lesson 8 - Pricing
 
Cost-reflectivity of Distribution Tariffs
Cost-reflectivity of Distribution TariffsCost-reflectivity of Distribution Tariffs
Cost-reflectivity of Distribution Tariffs
 
How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...
How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...
How far can Member States go to derogate from Third Package obligations and m...
 
Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...
Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...
Internal electricity market (dir 2009/72/EC) and progress reports on internal...
 
Electricity Market Day 2015 - Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...
Electricity Market Day 2015 -  Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...Electricity Market Day 2015 -  Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...
Electricity Market Day 2015 - Anne-Marit Rudby, Nasdaq Commodities - How to ...
 
Rethinking Renewables
Rethinking RenewablesRethinking Renewables
Rethinking Renewables
 
Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)
Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)
Assessment of Offshore Transmission Tender Round 1 benefits (2014)
 
Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...
Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...
Application of Article 11 of the Gas Directive: TSOs controlled by companies ...
 
Completing the Internal Energy Market
Completing the Internal Energy Market Completing the Internal Energy Market
Completing the Internal Energy Market
 

Similar to tew (09.10.18) - Garcia

The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)
The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)
The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)European University Institute
 
Alliance eii
Alliance eiiAlliance eii
Alliance eiiAhmad Eid
 
Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013
Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013
Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013Raluca Dirjan
 
Nera
NeraNera
tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...
tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...
tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...
Денис Киркач
 
American chamber of_commerce
American chamber of_commerceAmerican chamber of_commerce
American chamber of_commerceAhmad Eid
 
Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...
Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...
Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...
VaasaETT
 
GRT Gaz
GRT GazGRT Gaz
GRT Gaz
Mark Peterson
 
Eca insight 1.21 price spikes in greeces new electricity market
Eca insight 1.21   price spikes in greeces new electricity marketEca insight 1.21   price spikes in greeces new electricity market
Eca insight 1.21 price spikes in greeces new electricity market
Gail Gibson
 
The european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOs
The european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOsThe european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOs
The european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOs
ENTSO-E
 
Px ets karsten neuhoff slides
Px ets karsten neuhoff slidesPx ets karsten neuhoff slides
Px ets karsten neuhoff slides
Policy_Exchange
 
An economic assessment of low carbon vehicles
An economic assessment of low carbon vehiclesAn economic assessment of low carbon vehicles
An economic assessment of low carbon vehicles
Ricardo Energy & Environment
 

Similar to tew (09.10.18) - Garcia (20)

Keynote
KeynoteKeynote
Keynote
 
The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)
The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)
The (In)Achievements of the EU Internal Energy Market(s)
 
Alliance eii
Alliance eiiAlliance eii
Alliance eii
 
Efet
EfetEfet
Efet
 
Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013
Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013
Major eu energy law and policy developments in 2013
 
Nera
NeraNera
Nera
 
Unice
UniceUnice
Unice
 
tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...
tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...
tew (10.10.18) - Network code on harmonised transmission tariff structures fo...
 
Eurometaux
EurometauxEurometaux
Eurometaux
 
American chamber of_commerce
American chamber of_commerceAmerican chamber of_commerce
American chamber of_commerce
 
Statoil
StatoilStatoil
Statoil
 
Ceep
CeepCeep
Ceep
 
Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...
Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...
Christophe Dromacque, VaasaETT: Overview of European residential markets - Fo...
 
GRT Gaz
GRT GazGRT Gaz
GRT Gaz
 
Etso
EtsoEtso
Etso
 
Eca insight 1.21 price spikes in greeces new electricity market
Eca insight 1.21   price spikes in greeces new electricity marketEca insight 1.21   price spikes in greeces new electricity market
Eca insight 1.21 price spikes in greeces new electricity market
 
Cefic
CeficCefic
Cefic
 
The european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOs
The european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOsThe european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOs
The european energy policy the role of ENTSO-E and of TSOs
 
Px ets karsten neuhoff slides
Px ets karsten neuhoff slidesPx ets karsten neuhoff slides
Px ets karsten neuhoff slides
 
An economic assessment of low carbon vehicles
An economic assessment of low carbon vehiclesAn economic assessment of low carbon vehicles
An economic assessment of low carbon vehicles
 

More from Денис Киркач

Energy poverty web
Energy poverty webEnergy poverty web
Energy poverty web
Денис Киркач
 
Agenda eng
Agenda engAgenda eng
Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...
Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...
Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...
Денис Киркач
 
1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted
1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted
1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted
Денис Киркач
 
Alert 8449d a4
Alert 8449d a4Alert 8449d a4
Alert 8449d a4
Денис Киркач
 
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)
Денис Киркач
 
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_finalRes factbook dec2018_di_xi_final
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final
Денис Киркач
 
Azov ns2
Azov ns2Azov ns2
Factsheet oil
Factsheet oilFactsheet oil
Dixi 6229 brochure(eng)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(eng)_strDixi 6229 brochure(eng)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(eng)_str
Денис Киркач
 
2545 translation web_final
2545 translation web_final2545 translation web_final
2545 translation web_final
Денис Киркач
 
Dixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_strDixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_str
Денис Киркач
 
Analytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_eng
Analytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_engAnalytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_eng
Analytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_eng
Денис Киркач
 
Методичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів влади
Методичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів владиМетодичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів влади
Методичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів влади
Денис Киркач
 
tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...
tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...
tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...
Денис Киркач
 
tew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accounts
tew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accountstew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accounts
tew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accounts
Денис Киркач
 
tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab
tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab
tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab
Денис Киркач
 
tew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkeytew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkey
Денис Киркач
 
tew (12.10.18) - Kolmek
tew (12.10.18) - Kolmektew (12.10.18) - Kolmek
tew (12.10.18) - Kolmek
Денис Киркач
 
tew (12.10.18) - Turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Turkeytew (12.10.18) - Turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Turkey
Денис Киркач
 

More from Денис Киркач (20)

Energy poverty web
Energy poverty webEnergy poverty web
Energy poverty web
 
Agenda eng
Agenda engAgenda eng
Agenda eng
 
Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...
Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...
Results of the Quantitative Public Opinion Poll of the USAID Transparent Ener...
 
1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted
1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted
1405858 di xi_v_ukr_1.4-converted
 
Alert 8449d a4
Alert 8449d a4Alert 8449d a4
Alert 8449d a4
 
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final (1)
 
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_finalRes factbook dec2018_di_xi_final
Res factbook dec2018_di_xi_final
 
Azov ns2
Azov ns2Azov ns2
Azov ns2
 
Factsheet oil
Factsheet oilFactsheet oil
Factsheet oil
 
Dixi 6229 brochure(eng)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(eng)_strDixi 6229 brochure(eng)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(eng)_str
 
2545 translation web_final
2545 translation web_final2545 translation web_final
2545 translation web_final
 
Dixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_strDixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_str
Dixi 6229 brochure(ukr)_str
 
Analytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_eng
Analytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_engAnalytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_eng
Analytics draft law_on_res_auctions_2018_eng
 
Методичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів влади
Методичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів владиМетодичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів влади
Методичні рекомендації для проведення аудиту даних державних органів влади
 
tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...
tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...
tew (12.10.18) - Regulation of natural monopolies &amp; competitive energy ma...
 
tew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accounts
tew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accountstew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accounts
tew (12.10.18) - Licensee performance monitoring and uniform system of accounts
 
tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab
tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab
tew (12.10.18) - Facilitating network investments through rab
 
tew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkeytew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Electricity market reform in turkey
 
tew (12.10.18) - Kolmek
tew (12.10.18) - Kolmektew (12.10.18) - Kolmek
tew (12.10.18) - Kolmek
 
tew (12.10.18) - Turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Turkeytew (12.10.18) - Turkey
tew (12.10.18) - Turkey
 

Recently uploaded

"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe..."Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
SACHIN R KONDAGURI
 
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
Ashokrao Mane college of Pharmacy Peth-Vadgaon
 
Adversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdf
Adversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdfAdversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdf
Adversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdf
Po-Chuan Chen
 
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptxChapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Mohd Adib Abd Muin, Senior Lecturer at Universiti Utara Malaysia
 
Acetabularia Information For Class 9 .docx
Acetabularia Information For Class 9  .docxAcetabularia Information For Class 9  .docx
Acetabularia Information For Class 9 .docx
vaibhavrinwa19
 
Supporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptx
Supporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptxSupporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptx
Supporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptx
Jisc
 
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdf
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdfUnit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdf
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdf
Thiyagu K
 
Home assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdf
Home assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdfHome assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdf
Home assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdf
Tamralipta Mahavidyalaya
 
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and ResearchDigital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Vikramjit Singh
 
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptx
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptxFrancesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptx
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptx
EduSkills OECD
 
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...
Levi Shapiro
 
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free downloadThe French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
Vivekanand Anglo Vedic Academy
 
Model Attribute Check Company Auto Property
Model Attribute  Check Company Auto PropertyModel Attribute  Check Company Auto Property
Model Attribute Check Company Auto Property
Celine George
 
Lapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdf
Lapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdfLapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdf
Lapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdf
Jean Carlos Nunes Paixão
 
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptx
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptxHonest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptx
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptx
timhan337
 
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdfThe Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
kaushalkr1407
 
Phrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Phrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXPhrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Phrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
MIRIAMSALINAS13
 
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with MechanismOverview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
DeeptiGupta154
 
The approach at University of Liverpool.pptx
The approach at University of Liverpool.pptxThe approach at University of Liverpool.pptx
The approach at University of Liverpool.pptx
Jisc
 
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
EugeneSaldivar
 

Recently uploaded (20)

"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe..."Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
 
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
Biological Screening of Herbal Drugs in detailed.
 
Adversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdf
Adversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdfAdversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdf
Adversarial Attention Modeling for Multi-dimensional Emotion Regression.pdf
 
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptxChapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
Chapter 3 - Islamic Banking Products and Services.pptx
 
Acetabularia Information For Class 9 .docx
Acetabularia Information For Class 9  .docxAcetabularia Information For Class 9  .docx
Acetabularia Information For Class 9 .docx
 
Supporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptx
Supporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptxSupporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptx
Supporting (UKRI) OA monographs at Salford.pptx
 
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdf
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdfUnit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdf
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdf
 
Home assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdf
Home assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdfHome assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdf
Home assignment II on Spectroscopy 2024 Answers.pdf
 
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and ResearchDigital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
 
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptx
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptxFrancesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptx
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptx
 
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...
 
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free downloadThe French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
The French Revolution Class 9 Study Material pdf free download
 
Model Attribute Check Company Auto Property
Model Attribute  Check Company Auto PropertyModel Attribute  Check Company Auto Property
Model Attribute Check Company Auto Property
 
Lapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdf
Lapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdfLapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdf
Lapbook sobre os Regimes Totalitários.pdf
 
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptx
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptxHonest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptx
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptx
 
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdfThe Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdf
 
Phrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Phrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXPhrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Phrasal Verbs.XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
 
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with MechanismOverview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
Overview on Edible Vaccine: Pros & Cons with Mechanism
 
The approach at University of Liverpool.pptx
The approach at University of Liverpool.pptxThe approach at University of Liverpool.pptx
The approach at University of Liverpool.pptx
 
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...TESDA TM1 REVIEWER  FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
TESDA TM1 REVIEWER FOR NATIONAL ASSESSMENT WRITTEN AND ORAL QUESTIONS WITH A...
 

tew (09.10.18) - Garcia

  • 1. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat Effects of transmission tariffs to wholesale market development in the EU Joaquin Garcia Gas Market Monitoring Officer ACER
  • 2. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat 2 Index 1. What’s the level of gas transmission tariffs across Europe? 2. How do transmission tariffs effect on market development? – focus on prices 3. Some reflections about the future
  • 3. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat 3 What’s the level of gas transmission tariffs in Europe? Source: ACER calculations in collaboration with ENTSOG and TSOs ➢ European cross-border tariffs are quite diverse as they result from differing regulatory choices and network cost factors e.g. valuation of the regulatory asset base, rates of return, tariff methodologies e.g. network size, configuration, capacity, topology, density Benchmark of European average gas cross-border transportation tariffs – April 2018 - euros/MWh
  • 4. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat 4 What’s the level of gas transmission tariffs in Europe? Source: ACER calculations in collaboration with ENTSOG and TSOs As far as tariffs are transparent, cost-reflective and efficient their actual levels shall not be a concern Tariff levels at a selection of EU borders – 2017 - euros/MWh 10-15% final commodity price <3% final commodity price
  • 5. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat How do transmission tariffs effect on prices? ➢ Tariffs are a key element driving IPs utilisation. They: • can promote or deter market access from a given origin > This influences the competitive framework for price formation • can add-up on final MSs sourcing cost via pancaking of supply-route tariffs* • can be pivotal in hub price-spread formation ➢ However, concrete IP tariff effects on prices may vary in accordance to the distinct markets’ conditions and players’ strategies. It is important to look at aspects as: • Marginal price setter at each given market • Number and type of active suppliers • Suppliers’ possible determination to lower supply-price margins to compete in – e.g. final supply prices not adding-up tariffs entirely *arguably, particularly when tariffs methodologies diverge or are not reflective
  • 6. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat How do transmission tariffs effect on prices? 2017 supplier’ gas sourcing cost at EU MSs - euros/MWh Setting the scene of MSs sourcing costs Declining price differentials across MSs suggest that: • Most regions are benefiting from fiercer supply-side competition. • The development of the hub model plus sufficient IP capacity is backing stronger price convergence • LNG sets marginal prices in many markets, whereas major pipe producers aim retaining market share via lowering margins and orienting sellings into hubs Gas sourcing via hubs is generally more competitive. Non-hub indexed LTCs are more exposed to non-gas fundamentals Source: ACER based on Eurostat Comext, Platts, and NRAs
  • 7. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat Setting the scene of hub price spreads • Price convergence between EU hubs continues to advance. Dissimilar levels among regions persist yet • Upstreamers selling gas at distinct hubs at differences below transmission tariffs assist convergence. E.g. Equinor at NWE • Contracting surpluses assist convergence; as those constitute sunk costs inter-hub arbitrage trade takes place around short run marginal costs • Transportation costs, linked to physical distance can influence price differences, particularly when the specific IP sets the marginal market price – e.g TTF into Italy Analysis of DA price convergence and price correlation levels among selected EU hubs – 2015 - 2017 How do transmission tariffs effect on prices? Source: ACER based on Platts and ICIS Heren. Notes: Spreads in euros/MWh are calculated as the absolute price differential between pairs of hubs, independent of discount or premium
  • 8. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat Tariffs are a pivotal price signalling factor for hub price spread formation. The type of direction may be dissimilar among hub pairs in accordance to markets’ specifics Price spreads rarely exceed tariffs between hubs in NWE. Tariffs tend to be a defacto ceiling around which arbitrage trading occurs. SRMCs, direct access of common suppliers and the determination of others to compete in price seem to determine actual spreads Day-ahead price convergence levels in selected EU hubs compared to yearly transmission tariffs – 2017 Hub pairs where spreads were higher than tariffs tend to include those with lower liquidity or may indicate capacity constraints at IPs DA tariffs are higher than yearly ones limiting arbitrage opportunities on the spot at some markets How do transmission tariffs effect on prices? Source: ACER based on Platts and hub operators’ data for prices and ENTSOG TP for transportation tariffs.
  • 9. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat Tariffs are a pivotal price signalling factor for hub price spread formation -> A different way of presenting a similar analysis Day- ahead price spreads compared to yearly transportation tariffs – 2017 How do transmission tariffs effect on prices? Source: ACER based on Platts and hub operators’ data for prices and ENTSOG TP for transportation tariffs.
  • 10. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat ➢ The EU gas sector is shifting towards shorter-term capacity and commodity contracting terms. This trend entails further hub-orientation and more profiled capacity bookings. NCs are playing a part in this. ➢ A number of opposing elements could drive the evolution of IP tariffs along next years: (-) The maturity of the European transportation systems could reduce the need for infrastructure expansion and result in lower tariffs (+) Declining demand and reduced bookings after the expiration of LTCs could increase tariff levels ➢ The implementation of the TAR NC could alter tariff levels at selected IPs affecting the direction of EU flows. ➢ Some tariff framework reorganization proposals are being studied: e.g. Quo Vadis: Suggestion of applying harmonised tariffs in all into-EU entry points, and the setting of all within-EU IPs reserve prices to zero. This could encourage supply competition and regional price convergence. The proposal would be accompanied by a new inter-TSO compensation fund to secure revenue recovery neutrality Some reflections about the future
  • 11. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community SecretariatSource: ACER calculations in collaboration with ENTSOG and TSOs Thank you for your attention See MMR 2017: https://www.acer.europa.eu/en/Electricity/Market%20monitoring/Pages/Curre nt-edition.aspx See ACER analyses of tariffs consultations: http://www.acer.europa.eu/en/Gas/Framework%20guidelines_and_network%2 0codes/Pages/Harmonised-transmission-tariff-structures.aspx
  • 12. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat Back-up
  • 13. Energy Community SecretariatEnergy Community Secretariat Current state of gas hub development Source: ACER Note: Assessment made based on AGTM and other metrics 2017 EU gas hubs categorization on the basis of AGTM metrics 5