TCEH
Competitor Analysis
July 2015
Summary
(All figures in million unless otherwise stated)
1
TCEH Calpine DYNEGY
Balance Sheet Date: 6/30/2015 6/30/2015 3/31/2015
TEV 14,200(1) 7,909 9,912
Total Debt TBD 11,835 7,085
Credit Rating (Moody’s / S&P) NR B1/B+ B2/B+
Total Generation Capacity 15,427 MW ~27,000 MW ~26,000 MW
Total Number of Power Plants 14 88 with 1 under construction 35
Total Number of Units /
Generating Capacity
• Nuclear- 2 / 2,300MW
• Coal- 12 / 8,017MW
• Natural Gas- 26 / 5,110MW
• Simple cycle 23u, 2,459MW.
• Combined Cycle 26u, 14,208MW.
• Renewable Cycle 15u 729MW.
• Under advanced development 2u,
793MW.
• Under Construction 1u, 760MW
• Gas 17p, 13,184MW
• Oil 3p, 905MW
• Coal 14p, 11,420MW
Markets:
ERCOT
PJM
NEISO
CAISO
NYISO
MISO
SPP
Generation

Retail

Generation




Retail



Generation




Retail


Total Transmission/ Distribution
(circuit miles)
T
n/a
D
n/a
T
n/a
D
n/a
T
n/a
D
n/a
Retail/Utility Customers 7.3(1)
Summary
2
Talen NRG AEP
Balance Sheet Date: 12/31/2014 6/30/2015 6/30/2015
TEV 5,570 29,513 9,912
Total Debt 4,107 20,713 7,085
Credit Rating (Moody’s / S&P) BA2/- BA3/BB- B2/B+
Total Generation Capacity 15,320 MW ~52,000 MW ~32,000 MW(1)
Total Number of Power Plants 22 ~150 ~60
Total Number of
Units/Generation Capacity
• Gas 14p, 20u,149MW
• Coal 7p, 16,176MW
• Nuclear 1p, 2u, 2,600MW
• Hydro/ Renewable 2p, 2u 169MW
• Natural Gas 29p, 14,896MW
• Oil 28p, 5,424MW
• Coal 13p, 10,884MW
• Nuclear 1p, 1,146MW
• Solar 6p, 518MW
Wind 26p, 1381MW
Markets:
ERCOT
PJM
NEISO
CAISO
NYISO
MISO
SPP
Generation




Retail

Generation




Retail


Generation


Retail




Total Transmission/ Distribution
(circuit miles)
T
5,468
D
n/a
T
n/a
D
n/a
T
~40,000
D
~220,000
Retail/Utility Customers 10+ ~3 5.3
(All figures in million unless otherwise stated)
Calpine
 Based in Houston, Texas.
 Largest producer of electricity from natural gas (16,194) & geothermal resources (769).
 Filed for bankruptcy on December 20th, 2005.
 Emerged from bankruptcy on January 31st, 2008.
 It serves in the ERCOT, CAISO, PJM, and ISO-NE power generation markets.
 Calpine is primarily a wholesale power company.
3
Total Enterprise Value
(3/31/2015)
Market Capitalization 7,909
Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 796
Total Debt 11,835
Minority Interest 53
Preferred Equity -
Total Enterprise Value 15,040
Credit Ratings
(Moody’s/S&P)
B1/B+
Financial Metrics
(6/30/2015)
EBITDA 6/30/2015 1,866
Adj. EBITDA (6/30/2015) 60(1)
1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 1,949
Interest Expense 617
Debt/EBITDA 6.0x
EBITDA/Interest Coverage 3.0x
Note: All data from S&P Capital IQ unless otherwise noted.
(1) Source: Calpine 2015 Q2 Earnings Press Release.
Calpine
 Generation capacity of 26,548MW
 Owns and operates 88 power plants including 1 under construction.
4
Retail:
 Calpine announced it will acquire Champion Energy (peak load of 4,000MW), on July 20th,2015.
 Expected to close deal with Champion Energy by the fourth quarter of 2015.
Generation
Other Lines of Business
Dynegy
 Based in Houston, Texas.
 Operates in three divisions; Coal, Illinois Power Holdings (IPH) subsidiary, and Gas.
 Went bankrupt in November 2011.
 Emerged from bankruptcy on October 2nd, 2012.
 It serves in the CAISO, NYISO, IPHISO, NEISO, and PJM power generation markets.
 DYNEGY sells its services as a wholesale company.
5
Credit Ratings
(Moody’s/S&P)
B2/B+
Total Enterprise Value
(3/31/2015)
Market Capitalization 4,162
Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 1,734
Total Debt 7,085
Minority Interest (1)
Preferred Equity 400
Total Enterprise Value 9,912
Financial Metrics
(3/31/2015)
EBITDA 3/31/2015 310
Adj. EBITDA 825-1,025(1)
1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 1,272
Interest Expense 329
Debt/EBITDA 23.0x
EBITDA/Interest Coverage 0.9x
Note: All data from S&P Capital IQ unless otherwise noted.
(1) Source: Dynegy Investor Day Presentation dated June 25, 2015.
Dynegy
 Generation capacity of ~26,000MW
 35 power plants
6
13%
19%
33%
35%
Fuel Type
Renewables Nuclear
Natural Gas Coal
Retail:
 Homefield Energy
 Dynegy Energy Services
Generation
Other Lines of Business
Talen Energy
 Based in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
 Portfolio of carbon free nuclear power, natural gas generation, and coal-fired generation assets.
 Third largest independent power producer in the country.
 Facilities consist of coal-fired, nuclear, and hydro-electric power plants.
 Serves in the ERCOT, PJM, WECC/MT (Western Electricity Coordinating Council), and NEISO power generation market.
 Largest plant is Susquehanna Steam Electric Station which produces 2,352 MW of generating capacity and is a nuclear plant.
 Owns 5,468 Circuit miles of transmission line.
 July 23, 2015-Talen Energy Corporation announced Monday an agreement to acquire MACH Gen, LLC, for $1.175 billion inclusive of
any assumed debt, subject to customary purchase price adjustments. The transaction is expected to be completed by year-end.
7
Credit Ratings
(Moody’s/S&P)
Ba2 / -
Total Enterprise Value
(12/31/2014)
Market Capitalization 1,960
Less: Cash and Short
Term Investments
1,094
Total Debt 4,107
Minority Interest -
Preferred Equity -
Total Enterprise Value 5,570
Financial Metrics
(12/31/2014)
EBITDA 776
Adj. EBITDA 4
1 Yr. Forward EBITDA
(2016)
928
Interest Expense 219
Debt/EBITDA 4.1x
EBITDA/Interest
Coverage
3.5x
Talen Energy
 Generation capacity of 15,320MW
 22 power plants, looking to purchase more.
 LG&E(1) and KU(2) operate a joint electric balancing authority area and own approximately 5,468 circuit
miles of electric transmission lines.
8
Generation: Mach GEN
 July 23, 2015-Talen Energy Corporation announced Monday an agreement to acquire MACH Gen, LLC,
for $1.175 billion inclusive of any assumed debt, subject to customary purchase price adjustments. The
transaction is expected to be completed by year-end.
Generation
Other Lines of Business
NRG
 NRG Energy is based in Princeton, New Jersey.
 Operated 95 active fossil fuel and nuclear plants, 14 utility scale solar facilities, and 35 wind farms and multiple distributed
solar facilities.
 NRG’s reps consist of: Reliant, Green Mountain, Energy Plus, Dominion/Cirro.
 It operates and produces energy in the NYISO, NEISO, ERCOT, PJM, MISO, SERC and CAISO power generation markets.
 NRG Energy files for bankruptcy on May 14th, 2003.
 NRG Energy emerges from bankruptcy on December 5th, 2003.
9
Credit Ratings
(Moody’s/S&P)
Ba3 / BB-
Total Enterprise Value
(6/30/2015)
Market Capitalization 6,626
Less: Cash and Short
Term Investments
2,146
Total Debt 20,424
Minority Interest 2,671
Preferred Equity 296
Total Enterprise Value 27,871
Financial Metrics
(6/30/2015)
EBITDA 3,154
Adj. EBITDA 3,400
1 Yr. Forward EBITDA
(2016)
3,089
Interest Expense 1,154
Debt/EBITDA 7.0x
EBITDA/Interest
Coverage
2.7x
NRG
 Owns and operates ~150 plants
 Generation capacity of ~52,000 Megawatts
10
Retail:
 Reliant- Texas, Green Mountain- Texas, Cirro Energy-Texas, Pennywise Power-Texas, NRG Home-
Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland
Total Customers: ~3 million
Generation
Other Lines of Business
American Electric Power Co.
 AEP is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio
 It generates electricity using coal and lignite, natural gas, nuclear, and hydroelectric and other energy sources.
 It supplies electricity as wholesale.
 Their transmission system supplies ~10% of demand in Eastern Interconnection, the transmission system that serves 38
U.S. states & E. Canada, and 11% of demand in ERCOT, covering much of Texas.
 Operates and produces in PJM, ERCOT, and MISO power generation market.
11
Credit Ratings
(Moody’s/S&P)
Baa1 / BBB
Total Enterprise Value
(6/30/2015)
Market Capitalization 26,780
Less: Cash and Short
Term Investments
302
Total Debt 20,683
Minority Interest 8
Preferred Equity N/A
Total Enterprise Value 47,169
Financial Metrics
(6/30/2015)
EBITDA 5,204
Adj. EBITDA 109(1)
1 Yr. Forward EBITDA
(2016)
5,451
Interest Expense (891)
Debt/EBITDA 4.0x
EBITDA/Interest
Coverage
5.8x
American Electric Power Co.
 It owns and operates 25 power plants.
 Generation capacity of 37,600MW
12
60%
23%
5% 12%
Fuel Type (2014)
Coal
Natural Gas
Nuclear
Hydro
pumped/rene
wables
Retail:
 AEP Ohio, AEP Texas, AEP Energy, PSO, SWEPCO, Indiana Michigan Power, Kentucky Power,
Appalachian Power
Total Customers: ~5.3
Generation
Other Lines of Business
Appendix
13
Power Market Map
 NEISO- New England ISO
 NYISO- New York ISO
 ERCOT- Electric Reliability Council of Texas
 MISO- Midcontinent ISO
 SPP- Southwest Power Pool
 CAISO- California ISO
 PJM- PJM Interconnection
14

TCEH Competitive Analysis July 2015

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Summary (All figures inmillion unless otherwise stated) 1 TCEH Calpine DYNEGY Balance Sheet Date: 6/30/2015 6/30/2015 3/31/2015 TEV 14,200(1) 7,909 9,912 Total Debt TBD 11,835 7,085 Credit Rating (Moody’s / S&P) NR B1/B+ B2/B+ Total Generation Capacity 15,427 MW ~27,000 MW ~26,000 MW Total Number of Power Plants 14 88 with 1 under construction 35 Total Number of Units / Generating Capacity • Nuclear- 2 / 2,300MW • Coal- 12 / 8,017MW • Natural Gas- 26 / 5,110MW • Simple cycle 23u, 2,459MW. • Combined Cycle 26u, 14,208MW. • Renewable Cycle 15u 729MW. • Under advanced development 2u, 793MW. • Under Construction 1u, 760MW • Gas 17p, 13,184MW • Oil 3p, 905MW • Coal 14p, 11,420MW Markets: ERCOT PJM NEISO CAISO NYISO MISO SPP Generation  Retail  Generation     Retail    Generation     Retail   Total Transmission/ Distribution (circuit miles) T n/a D n/a T n/a D n/a T n/a D n/a Retail/Utility Customers 7.3(1)
  • 3.
    Summary 2 Talen NRG AEP BalanceSheet Date: 12/31/2014 6/30/2015 6/30/2015 TEV 5,570 29,513 9,912 Total Debt 4,107 20,713 7,085 Credit Rating (Moody’s / S&P) BA2/- BA3/BB- B2/B+ Total Generation Capacity 15,320 MW ~52,000 MW ~32,000 MW(1) Total Number of Power Plants 22 ~150 ~60 Total Number of Units/Generation Capacity • Gas 14p, 20u,149MW • Coal 7p, 16,176MW • Nuclear 1p, 2u, 2,600MW • Hydro/ Renewable 2p, 2u 169MW • Natural Gas 29p, 14,896MW • Oil 28p, 5,424MW • Coal 13p, 10,884MW • Nuclear 1p, 1,146MW • Solar 6p, 518MW Wind 26p, 1381MW Markets: ERCOT PJM NEISO CAISO NYISO MISO SPP Generation     Retail  Generation     Retail   Generation   Retail     Total Transmission/ Distribution (circuit miles) T 5,468 D n/a T n/a D n/a T ~40,000 D ~220,000 Retail/Utility Customers 10+ ~3 5.3 (All figures in million unless otherwise stated)
  • 4.
    Calpine  Based inHouston, Texas.  Largest producer of electricity from natural gas (16,194) & geothermal resources (769).  Filed for bankruptcy on December 20th, 2005.  Emerged from bankruptcy on January 31st, 2008.  It serves in the ERCOT, CAISO, PJM, and ISO-NE power generation markets.  Calpine is primarily a wholesale power company. 3 Total Enterprise Value (3/31/2015) Market Capitalization 7,909 Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 796 Total Debt 11,835 Minority Interest 53 Preferred Equity - Total Enterprise Value 15,040 Credit Ratings (Moody’s/S&P) B1/B+ Financial Metrics (6/30/2015) EBITDA 6/30/2015 1,866 Adj. EBITDA (6/30/2015) 60(1) 1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 1,949 Interest Expense 617 Debt/EBITDA 6.0x EBITDA/Interest Coverage 3.0x Note: All data from S&P Capital IQ unless otherwise noted. (1) Source: Calpine 2015 Q2 Earnings Press Release.
  • 5.
    Calpine  Generation capacityof 26,548MW  Owns and operates 88 power plants including 1 under construction. 4 Retail:  Calpine announced it will acquire Champion Energy (peak load of 4,000MW), on July 20th,2015.  Expected to close deal with Champion Energy by the fourth quarter of 2015. Generation Other Lines of Business
  • 6.
    Dynegy  Based inHouston, Texas.  Operates in three divisions; Coal, Illinois Power Holdings (IPH) subsidiary, and Gas.  Went bankrupt in November 2011.  Emerged from bankruptcy on October 2nd, 2012.  It serves in the CAISO, NYISO, IPHISO, NEISO, and PJM power generation markets.  DYNEGY sells its services as a wholesale company. 5 Credit Ratings (Moody’s/S&P) B2/B+ Total Enterprise Value (3/31/2015) Market Capitalization 4,162 Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 1,734 Total Debt 7,085 Minority Interest (1) Preferred Equity 400 Total Enterprise Value 9,912 Financial Metrics (3/31/2015) EBITDA 3/31/2015 310 Adj. EBITDA 825-1,025(1) 1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 1,272 Interest Expense 329 Debt/EBITDA 23.0x EBITDA/Interest Coverage 0.9x Note: All data from S&P Capital IQ unless otherwise noted. (1) Source: Dynegy Investor Day Presentation dated June 25, 2015.
  • 7.
    Dynegy  Generation capacityof ~26,000MW  35 power plants 6 13% 19% 33% 35% Fuel Type Renewables Nuclear Natural Gas Coal Retail:  Homefield Energy  Dynegy Energy Services Generation Other Lines of Business
  • 8.
    Talen Energy  Basedin Allentown, Pennsylvania.  Portfolio of carbon free nuclear power, natural gas generation, and coal-fired generation assets.  Third largest independent power producer in the country.  Facilities consist of coal-fired, nuclear, and hydro-electric power plants.  Serves in the ERCOT, PJM, WECC/MT (Western Electricity Coordinating Council), and NEISO power generation market.  Largest plant is Susquehanna Steam Electric Station which produces 2,352 MW of generating capacity and is a nuclear plant.  Owns 5,468 Circuit miles of transmission line.  July 23, 2015-Talen Energy Corporation announced Monday an agreement to acquire MACH Gen, LLC, for $1.175 billion inclusive of any assumed debt, subject to customary purchase price adjustments. The transaction is expected to be completed by year-end. 7 Credit Ratings (Moody’s/S&P) Ba2 / - Total Enterprise Value (12/31/2014) Market Capitalization 1,960 Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 1,094 Total Debt 4,107 Minority Interest - Preferred Equity - Total Enterprise Value 5,570 Financial Metrics (12/31/2014) EBITDA 776 Adj. EBITDA 4 1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 928 Interest Expense 219 Debt/EBITDA 4.1x EBITDA/Interest Coverage 3.5x
  • 9.
    Talen Energy  Generationcapacity of 15,320MW  22 power plants, looking to purchase more.  LG&E(1) and KU(2) operate a joint electric balancing authority area and own approximately 5,468 circuit miles of electric transmission lines. 8 Generation: Mach GEN  July 23, 2015-Talen Energy Corporation announced Monday an agreement to acquire MACH Gen, LLC, for $1.175 billion inclusive of any assumed debt, subject to customary purchase price adjustments. The transaction is expected to be completed by year-end. Generation Other Lines of Business
  • 10.
    NRG  NRG Energyis based in Princeton, New Jersey.  Operated 95 active fossil fuel and nuclear plants, 14 utility scale solar facilities, and 35 wind farms and multiple distributed solar facilities.  NRG’s reps consist of: Reliant, Green Mountain, Energy Plus, Dominion/Cirro.  It operates and produces energy in the NYISO, NEISO, ERCOT, PJM, MISO, SERC and CAISO power generation markets.  NRG Energy files for bankruptcy on May 14th, 2003.  NRG Energy emerges from bankruptcy on December 5th, 2003. 9 Credit Ratings (Moody’s/S&P) Ba3 / BB- Total Enterprise Value (6/30/2015) Market Capitalization 6,626 Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 2,146 Total Debt 20,424 Minority Interest 2,671 Preferred Equity 296 Total Enterprise Value 27,871 Financial Metrics (6/30/2015) EBITDA 3,154 Adj. EBITDA 3,400 1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 3,089 Interest Expense 1,154 Debt/EBITDA 7.0x EBITDA/Interest Coverage 2.7x
  • 11.
    NRG  Owns andoperates ~150 plants  Generation capacity of ~52,000 Megawatts 10 Retail:  Reliant- Texas, Green Mountain- Texas, Cirro Energy-Texas, Pennywise Power-Texas, NRG Home- Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland Total Customers: ~3 million Generation Other Lines of Business
  • 12.
    American Electric PowerCo.  AEP is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio  It generates electricity using coal and lignite, natural gas, nuclear, and hydroelectric and other energy sources.  It supplies electricity as wholesale.  Their transmission system supplies ~10% of demand in Eastern Interconnection, the transmission system that serves 38 U.S. states & E. Canada, and 11% of demand in ERCOT, covering much of Texas.  Operates and produces in PJM, ERCOT, and MISO power generation market. 11 Credit Ratings (Moody’s/S&P) Baa1 / BBB Total Enterprise Value (6/30/2015) Market Capitalization 26,780 Less: Cash and Short Term Investments 302 Total Debt 20,683 Minority Interest 8 Preferred Equity N/A Total Enterprise Value 47,169 Financial Metrics (6/30/2015) EBITDA 5,204 Adj. EBITDA 109(1) 1 Yr. Forward EBITDA (2016) 5,451 Interest Expense (891) Debt/EBITDA 4.0x EBITDA/Interest Coverage 5.8x
  • 13.
    American Electric PowerCo.  It owns and operates 25 power plants.  Generation capacity of 37,600MW 12 60% 23% 5% 12% Fuel Type (2014) Coal Natural Gas Nuclear Hydro pumped/rene wables Retail:  AEP Ohio, AEP Texas, AEP Energy, PSO, SWEPCO, Indiana Michigan Power, Kentucky Power, Appalachian Power Total Customers: ~5.3 Generation Other Lines of Business
  • 14.
  • 15.
    Power Market Map NEISO- New England ISO  NYISO- New York ISO  ERCOT- Electric Reliability Council of Texas  MISO- Midcontinent ISO  SPP- Southwest Power Pool  CAISO- California ISO  PJM- PJM Interconnection 14

Editor's Notes

  • #3 (1) https://www.duke-energy.com/pdfs/de-factsheet.pdf
  • #4 (1) includes approx. 6,000 Megawatts of retired, or retiring plants, by early 2016.
  • #5 (1) http://investor.calpine.com/files/doc_news/2015/CPN-2Q15-Earnings-Press-Release.pdf
  • #6 (1) Renewable- geothermal conventional steam turbines. (2) Non-Cogen- natural gas-fired combustion turbines, which are primarily efficient combined-cycle plants
  • #7 (1) http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NTg0OTgzfENoaWxkSUQ9MjkzMTI1fFR5cGU9MQ==&t=1
  • #10 (1) LG&E- Louisville Gas and Electric Company (2) KU- Kentucky Utilities Company (pg. 7 clause 8) https://www.ferc.gov/whats-new/comm-meet/2014/121814/E-5.pdf
  • #11 http://www.streetinsider.com/Earnings/NRG+Energy+(NRG)+Reports+$187+million+of+Q2+Adjusted+EBITDA,+Updates+Gudiance/10777096.html
  • #13 (1) http://www.wsnewspublishers.com/afternoon-trade-stocks-roundup-american-electric-power-company-nyseaep-oil-states-international-nyseois-fluor-corporation-new-nyseflr-dentsply-international-nasdaqxray/1520671/