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THE INFLUENCE OF AUSTRALIAN AND JAPANESE
TOURISTS NUMBER ON BALI LOCAL REVENUE
IN 2010-2013
SCHOLARLY PAPER
Submitted to fulfill a final requirement study at senior high school 1 in
MATHEMATICS lesson
Written by :
Syifa Sahaliya
131410145
XII Science 9
SUMEDANG SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL 1
ii
APPROVAL PAGE
The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on
Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013
Approved by,
Material Adviser,
Dedeh Hodiyah, M.Pd.
NIP 19680705 199101 2 002
Technical Adviser,
Acih Mintarsih, S.Pd. M.M.Pd.
NIP 19641230 198703 2 003
Known by,
The Headmaster of
Senior High School 1 Sumedang,
Drs. Yosep Raharja, M.M.Pd.
NIP 19621126 198703 1 011
Homeroom Teacher of
XII Science 9,
Dra. Alis Nursofa, M.Ag.
NIP 19670523 199802 2 001
iii
DEDICATED PAGE
“So remember Me, I will remember you. And be grateful to Me and
do not deny Me” (Al-Baqarah : 152)
...
“There’s no success without a sacrifice and
there’s no success without hardness”
...
I dedicate this page to
Mom & Dad (Aam & Darsim) , also My Beloved brothers
and sister (Acep, Rubby, and Rully), who always support me,
Then Mr. Sarip, Mrs. Sa’diah, Ms. Nurul, Mr. Ruhbi, Mrs. Lin, and Mrs.
Titin who’ve motivated me
The Big Family of Integrated Junior High School of Ar-Risalah ,
especially SPURS1013and all members of TIREX Basketball Team
who’ve made me understand about “Life”
The Big Family of , who taught
me
The Big Family of Universe :
AIDA, ARNI, CHAIDIR, DWI, EGI, ELNI, FITRI, GENDIS,
GHINA, MIA, MOCH. FIKRY, NADYA, NOVIA, RIBHY,
SHAINNE, TALITHA, AND YEVI
who’ve colored my days
and this is for everyone whom I love...
This is for you ^_^
iv
PREFACE
All praises may be to Allah, the most Gracious, the One, with His love and
mercy I can finish this scholarly paper. May the blessing and peace of Allah be
upon the last and the great prophet Muhammad SAW, his family, his companions,
his followers, and his following followers till the day of judgement.
As long as the author wrote this scholarly paper, there were many
difficulties faced from many sides. But, with all guidances, suggestions, and
motivations from all sides, finally the scholarly paper entitled “The Influence of
Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on Bali Local revenue in 2010-2013” can
be finished well. Therefore, the author would like to thank to :
1. Mr. Drs. Yosep Raharja, M.M.Pd., as the Headmaster of Senior High School
1 Sumedang who always gives good examples for all students.
2. Mrs. Dra. Alis Nursofa, M.Ag, as the Homeroom teacher of XII Science 9
which always motivates and encourages author to complete this scholarly
paper soon.
3. Mrs. Dedeh Hodiyah, M.Pd. and Mrs. Acih Mintarsih, S.Pd. M.M.Pd., as
the advisers who always guide the materially, and technically, and give any
corrections during the writing of this scholarly paper.
v
4. My beloved parents who always support materially and spiritually,
especially their miracle prayers, motivation, knowledge, and simpathy that
make the author feel excited to finish this scholarly paper well.
5. My beloved brothers and sister who always cheer the author up to finish this
scholarly paper soon.
6. All teachers of Sumedang Senior High School 1 for their advices.
7. All of my friends, especially all members of Universe who have colored
my days, and given the author inspiration.
The author realizes this scholarly paper is still far of perfection, therefore
the author is waiting for the suggestion and the comments from the readers. The
author hopes that it can make the improvement to be better in the future.
Hopefully, this scholarly paper could give benefits to the readers.
Sumedang, October 2015
The Author
vi
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COVER PAGE.........................................................................................................i
APPROVAL PAGE .................................................................................................ii
DEDICATED PAGE...............................................................................................iii
PREFACE ...............................................................................................................iv
TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................vi
TABLE OF PICTURES ........................................................................................ viii
CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION ............................................................................ 1
1.1 Problem Background ................................................................................ 1
1.2 Problem Formulation................................................................................ 2
1.3 Research Purpose...................................................................................... 3
1.4 Time and Place of Research..................................................................... 3
1.5 Research Methods .................................................................................... 3
1.6 Writing Systematic ................................................................................... 4
CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW................................................................ 5
2.1 Definition of Foreign Tourists.................................................................. 5
2.2 Definition of Local Revenue .................................................................... 6
2.2.1 Sources of Local Revenue................................................................. 7
2.3 Statistic ................................................................................................... 11
2.3.1 Statistical Basic ............................................................................... 11
2.3.2 History of Statistics ......................................................................... 12
2.3.3 Statistics As a grouping of Analytical Methods.............................. 13
2.3.4 Benefit of Statistics ......................................................................... 15
2.3.4 Forms of Data Presentation............................................................. 16
vii
CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS ......................................................... 25
3.1 The Development of Australian tourist visitors to Bali in 2010-2013... 25
3.1.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 26
3.2 The Development of Japanese Tourist Visitors to Bali in 2010- 2013 .. 27
3.2.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 30
3.3 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali
Island in 2010-2013........................................................................................... 31
3.3.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 32
3.4 The Development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013........................ 33
3.4.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 34
a. Bar Chart .................................................................................................... 34
3.5 The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Local
Revenue in 2010-2013....................................................................................... 35
3.5.2 Data Processing............................................................................... 37
3.5.3 Data Processing............................................................................... 41
CHAPTER IV ....................................................................................................... 44
CLOSING.............................................................................................................. 44
4.1 Conclusions ............................................................................................ 44
4.1 Suggestions............................................................................................. 45
BIBLIOGRAPHY ...................................................................................................ix
BIOGRAPHY..........................................................................................................xi
ATTACHMENT ....................................................................................................xii
viii
TABLE OF PICTURES
Picture 2.3.4.2 Example Diagram Circle............................................................... 18
Picture 2.3.4.3 Example Histogram Graph ........................................................... 19
Picture 2.3.4.4 Example Line Diagram................................................................. 20
Picture 3.1.1 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. ... 26
Picture 3.1.2 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram
............................................................................................................................... 27
Picture 3.2.1 The Number of Japanese Tousrist in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. ....... 30
Picture 3.2.2 The Number of Japanese Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram.30
Picture 3.3.1 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali
Island in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.......................................................................... 32
Picture 3.3.2 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali
Island in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. .................................................................. 32
Picture 3.4.1 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.... 34
Picture 3.4.2 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram
............................................................................................................................... 35
Picture 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-
2013 in Line Diagram. .......................................................................................... 36
Picture 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-
2013 in Line Diagram. .......................................................................................... 40
1
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Problem Background
Bali island is a small island that is so beautiful that many tourists
both local and foreign tourists visit Bali which is very prominent with their
objects, such as nature tourism and cultural tourism. Tourists know Bali
island than Indonesia, or it can be said that the name of Bali is more famous
than the name of Indonesia. This indicates that Bali island has a very strong
appeal to the international community. Even in the book "Indonesian
Portraits from an Archipelago" written by Ian Charles Stewart, Bali is
mentioned as a "gem" in the east end of the island of Java. Thus, it is evident
that Bali island is a promising potential land for Indonesian tourism industry
for foreign tourists, especially Australia and Japan, both of which are
countries in the Asia Pacific region.
Foreign tourists are tourists who come from abroad, or people who
relax into other countries. Australia is a country located in the south of
Indonesia and is separated from Asia by the Arafura and Timor Sea. While
Japan is an island nation located in East Asia and in northern Indonesia.
Australia and Japan is the 2 countries with the highest rating among other
countries who visit the island of Bali.
2
Bali island becomes an area that has the largest local revenues in the
tourism sector in all parts of Indonesia. With regard to the affairs of local
revenues of Bali above (local revenue here is only concerned with the
tourism sector), then the number of tourism becomes very important here.
From year to year the number of tourists of Australia and Japan who
came to the island of Bali is not always constant it increases or even
decrease. The author feels more interested in studying the influence of
tourists of Australia and Japan to Bali Local Revenue in the year 2010-2013.
Therefore, the author is interested in doing a study entitled " The Influence
of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on Bali Local Revenue in
2010-2013"
1.2 Problem Formulation
In this research, the author has some problem formulations, these are :
1. How is the development of The Australian tourist number on Bali Island
in 2010-2013?
2. How is the development of The Japanese tourist number on Bali Island
in 2010-2013?
3. How is the development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013?
4. How is the influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists number on
Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 ?
3
1.3 Research Purpose
The purpose to be achieved after finishing this research are :
1. to know the development of The Australian tourist number on Bali
Island in 2010-2013 ;
2. to know the development of The Japanese tourist number on Bali Island
in 2010-2013 ;
3. to know the development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 ;
4. to know the influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists number on
Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
1.4 Time and Place of Research
The author was conducting this research while the big family of
Sumedang Senior High School 1 were touring to Bali on Juni 6, 2015 until
July 13, 2015. Some objects were visited, such as; Tanah Lot, Panglipuran
village, Bedugul lake, Turtle Island, Pandawa Beach, Soka Beach, Kute
Beach, and Joker.
1.5 Research Methods
In this scholarly paper, the author conducted several methods to
obtain the necessary data, these are :
1. Literature Study, by reading books related to the material that will be
discussed.
4
2. Observation, by observing to the observation sites.
3. Browsing The Internet, by searching data in the sites which are
necessary for my scholarly paper.
1.6 Writing Systematic
CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION, consists of problem background,
problem formulation, research purpose, time and place of research, research
methods, and writing systematic.
CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW,
CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS,
CHAPTER IV CLOSING, as the closing of scholarly paper writing
which consists of the conclusions and suggestions.
5
CHAPTER II
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Definition of Foreign Tourists
Foreign tourists are citizens of a country who travel from their country
to the outside environment (entering other countries). In terms of foreign
tourists in the Dictionary of Indonesian, foreign tourists are tourists who come
from abroad.
Australia is located in the southern hemisphere between the Pacific
Ocean and the Indian Ocean. Australian continent stretches from 10° 41'SL
until 43° 39'SL and from 113° 09'EL until 153° 39'EL. Australia shared the
ocean with the nearest neighbors, Indonesia and Papua New Guinea. Australia
is located in southeast Indonesia. At the nearest point limit, Australia and
Indonesia are only a few kilometers apart.
Japan is an archipelago called Nippon by the Japanese. It’s well known
as the Rising Sun Country and Sakura Country. Japan is located in north
Indonesia, with astronomical layout 30ºNL until 47ºNL and 128ºEL until
146ºEL, and the geographical position in east Asia region apart from Asia, east
Asia and west Pacific Ocean.
From the data taken by the Central Bureau of Statistics of Bali
Province, Australia ranked first in the list of ten countries supplying tourists to
Bali. Under the head of this government agency, I Gede Suarsa added that
6
Australians continually come to Bali because they consider Bali as their
second home. This means that Australians feel comfortable staying in Bali,
both because of the uniqueness of this island, or because of the tendency of
Australians who want to escape for a moment from the bustle in their country.
In addition, the main reason why the number of Australian tourists visit Bali
is due to the geographical position of the adjacent Bali and Australia, as well
as the uniqueness of Bali which is offered to the tourists of Australia.
Not much different from Australian tourists, many Japanese tourists
also visiti the island because of the privilege and the uniqueness of the island
itself. Although the location is quite far away from Japan, but the Japanese
tourists including foreign tourists are the most numerous and frequent tourists
who come to Bali after Australia. They liked the island of Bali and tourist
attractions such as Bajra Sandhi and other historic buildings.
2.2 Definition of Local Revenue
Local Revenue hereinafter called PAD is reception area obtained from
sources within its own territory which is levied based on Local Regulation in
accordance with the legislation in force (Article 1 of Law No. 33 of 2004).
Then Abdul Halim (2004: 64) says that the original income (PAD) are all local
revenues derived from the sources of the local economy. From both
definitions, the author concluded that revenue is all local revenues collected
7
by local regulations in accordance with the legislation in force and obtained
from its own territory.
Local Revenue (PAD) Bali Province 2010-2013 period was influenced
by the growth in the number of tourist arrivals in a positive way. The increase
in the value growth of the number of tourist arrivals will mean the increasing
rate of the number of hotel occupancy, both star and non-star hotels, as well
as increase the number of tourists visiting the place of tourism objects, both
natural tourism, historical and cultural tourism in the province of Bali. It also
will increase the number of hotels and restaurants that will have an impact on
the increase in local tax revenues and levies, which in turn will increase
revenue.
2.2.1 Sources of Local Revenue
Based on Law No. 25 of 1999 the sources of revenue (PAD) either the
district or city are derived from :
1. Local Tax.
2. Local Retribution.
3. The companies belong to the region and the nature wealth of the areas.
4. Other Local Revenue legitimate.
8
The definition of the sources of local revenue based on Law No. 25 of
1999 is as follows:
1. Local Tax
Local tax is the compulsory contributions made by individual or entity
to areas without immediate reward that can not be enforced and used to finance
the organization of local governance, which consists of :
a. Hotel taxes.
b. Restaurant tax.
c. Entertainment tax.
d. Advertisement tax.
e. Street lighting tax.
f. Tax Collection and the Processing of Minerals Group C.
g. Parking Tax.
2. Retribution
It is the compulsory contribution made by individual or entity to the
region in exchange for immediate and can not be enforced and used to finance
the implementation of the local government, which consists of :
9
a. Public service levies.
b. Business service levies.
c. Specific Licensing levy.
3. The income of companies belong to the regionand the processing
of other separated regional assets include:
a. Share of profit.
b. Dividends.
c. The sale of shares belonging to the area.
4. Other legitimate local revenue, such as sales of fixed assets and
current accounts area.
Based on the Regional Revenue of Office Cimahi office in it’s book
(DIPENDA, 2003), the Local Revenue (PAD) is the revenue taken from local
sources within its own territory imposed under the law, which is derived from :
A. Local Tax
1) Provincial Tax.
a. Motor Vehicle Tax and Vehicle on Water (PKB).
b. Customs of Vehicle and Vehicle on Water (BBNKB).
c. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax (PBBKB).
d. Taxes on the extraction and utilization of ground water and surface water.
2) District / City Tax
10
a. Hotel taxes.
b. Restaurant tax.
c. Entertainment tax.
d. Advertising Tax
e. Public street lighting tax.
f. Collection Tax and Processing of Minerals Group C.
g. Parking Tax.
B. Retribution
Retribution is a levy that is conducted by the Regional Government
for services and the use of public facilities provided by the regional
government for the benefit of society, appropriate with regional regulations
applied.
C. Regional Owned Company Results wealth management and other areas
that are separated.
D. Other Local Revenue approved the sale of fixed assets such as regional
and current accounts.
11
2.3 Statistic
2.3.1 Statistical Basic
According to Wikipedia ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics )
Statistics is the study of the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation,
and organization of data. In applying statistics to, e.g., a scientific, industrial,
or societal problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or
a statistical model process to be studied. Populations can be diverse topics such
as "all persons living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal".
Statistics deals with all aspects of data including the planning of data collection
in terms of the design of surveys and experiments.
When census data cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by
developing specific experiment designs and survey samples. Representative
sampling assures that inferences and conclusions can safely extend from the
sample to the population as a whole. An experimental study involves taking
measurements of the system under study, manipulating the system, and then
taking additional measurements using the same procedure to determine if the
manipulation has modified the values of the measurements. In contrast, an
observational study does not involve experimental manipulation.
12
2.3.2 History of Statistics
The use of the term statistics / statistics stems from the Latin term in
modern terms statisticum collegium ("council of state") and the Italian statista
("statesman" or "politician"). English dictionary we will find the word
statistics and statistics said. Those two words have different meanings. The
word statistics means "the science of statistics", was said statistic diartika as
"size obtained or derived from a sample," ie as opposed to the word
"parameter" which means "measure obtained or derived from the population".
Gottfried Achenwall (1749) use statistics in German for the first time
as a name for the data analysis activities of state, to interpret it as "the science
of the state (state)". At the beginning of the 19th century there has been a shift
in the sense of being "knowledge regarding the collection and classification of
data". Sir John Sinclair introduced the name (Statistics) and these terms into
English. Thus, statistics in principle at first only takes care of the data used
administrative agencies and government. Data collection continues, in
particular through the census conducted regularly to provide information on
population change at any time.
In the 19th century and early 20th century statistics started being used
mainly opportunities. Branch of statistics that are currently very widely used
to support scientific methods, statistical inference, developed in the second
half of the 19th century and early 20th century by Ronald Fisher (the
foundation stone of statistical inference), Karl Pearson (linear regression
13
method), and William Sealey Gosset (researching the problem of small sample
size). The use of statistics in the past can now be said to have touched all areas
of science, from astronomy to linguistika. Fields of economics, biology and
branches of its application, as well as psychology influenced by the statistical
methodology. Consequently born combined sciences such as econometrics,
biometrics (or biostatistics), and psikometrika.
Although there are those who think of statistics as a branch of
mathematics, but some others consider the statistics as a field that is much
related to the mathematical view of the history and application. In Indonesia,
most of the statistical studies included in the faculty of mathematics and
natural sciences, both within its own departments and incorporated with math.
2.3.3 Statistics As a grouping of Analytical Methods
a. Descriptive Statistics
Descriptive statistics is the science of statistics relating to the activities
of recording and summarizing the results of observations of events or
characteristics of human beings, places and so on, quantitative, or statistical
study ways of collecting, preparing, and presenting and depiction data has
been collected to a study.
The activities included in this category, such as data collection,
grouping data, the determination of value and statistical functions, create
14
graphs, diagrams and drawings. Records regarding the number of births,
deaths and marriages per year are called statistics. Similarly, descriptive
regarding age, education level, as well as the composition ernik residents
living in an area.
The main purpose of the operation descriptive statistics is easier for
people to read and understand the meaning of data. The scope includes
descriptive statistics:
1) The frequency distribution
2) Measurement of central values (mean, mode, median and standard
deviation), dispersion, skewness and kurtosis.
3) Presentation of data in the form of graphs (histograms, polygons, ogive)
4) Figures Index
5) Time series or time series
b. Inferential Statistics
Inferential statistics is the field of statistical science that studies the
procedures for drawing conclusions about the entire population based on
existing data (sample) or statistics relating to the activities of drawing
conclusions from the facts, and making decisions based on facts.
In the inferential staistik contain parameter estimation, hypothesis
testing, prediction and calculation of the degree of association between
variables. The scope of inferential statistics include:
15
1) Probability.
2) Distribution of data.
3) Estimation of parameters
4) Test the hypothesis including chi-square test and analysis of variance.
5) Regression analysis.
6) The correlation analysis.
2.3.4 Benefit of Statistics
1. Statistics As Material Planning
Statistics as described in the previous point is the knowledge associated
with data collection, processing, analysis, presentation, and drawing
conclusions and making decisions based on data and analysis of activities
undertaken. In other words, any data that is needed is the data reliable and
timely. Through reliable data and timely expected that all data processing
activities will generate information to make an appropriate decision.
Possibilities of irregularities that have been tried to be eliminated as small as
possible through various methods developed in statistics, will greatly assist in
any planning activities program.
16
2. Statistics For Monitoring Materials
As already mentioned in the narrow sense that the statistics are a
summary of data in the form of numbers then it is very helpful in an activity
monitoring. Therefore, generally performed in the monitoring activity is to
monitor all the strength and weaknesses of the program that involves many
variables in the form of a summary of data (for example: the number of babies
weighed, population, number of family planning acceptors, number of children
immunized and so forth).
3. Statistics As Material Evaluation
By knowing a variety of reliable data so we can then analyze and
decide the good and the bad. In addition, through a variety of existing data we
can compare and then make a generalization of the small sample to the
population.
2.3.4 Forms of Data Presentation
1. Table
Tables are more appropriately called table column line are tables made
apart from contingency tables and frequency distribution is a table consisting
of rows and columns that have the feature is not composed of the factors that
consists of several categories and do not constitute quantitative data made into
several groups.
17
Examples Table Grade Point Avarage (GPA) list a student of Mathematics
Education
Number Semester GPA
1 I 3,12
2 II 3,00
3 III 3,39
4 IV 3,37
5 V 2,9
6 VI 3,3
7 VII 3,4
2. Diagram Circle
Presentation of statistical data in percent or degrees dapan using pie
charts. The surplus, a place to make a pie chart is not too large. The pie chart
is very useful to show and compare the proportion of data. The drawback, pie
charts can not show the frequency.
18
Example Diagram Circle
Picture 2.3.4.2 Example Diagram Circle
3. Histogram Graph
A histogram is a graph of the frequency distribution of a variable.
Histogram display in the form of patches of rectangles. As a horizontal axis
may be put on the edges of the class, the class limits or values of variables
observed, while the vertical axis shows the frequency. For distribution
bergolong or groups who become abscissa is the middle value of each class.
(Drs. Ating Somantri, 2006: 113).
25%
50%
15%
10%
Method of Transportation to School
Bycicle School Bus Car Walk
19
Example Histogram Graph
Picture 2.3.4.3 Example Histogram Graph
4. Line Diagram
Line charts are made usually to show the development of a state. The
development of an upward bias bias down. This appears visually through the
line in the graph. There is a vertical line in the graph showing the number and
the horizontal shows certain variables shown in the figure below, which need
to be considered in making the graph is the appropriateness of making the scale
on the vertical line which will reflect the number of observation results. (Dr.
Sugiyono, 2002: 34).
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
The Number of Students in Integrated Junior High School of Ar-
Risalah Ciamis
100
200
300
400
500
600
TheNumber ofStudentsinintegratedjuniorhighschoolofAr-risalahciamis
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
20
Example Line Diagram
Picture 2.3.4.4 Example Line Diagram
5. Pearson Colleration
Pearson correlation statistic is a technique used to measure the strength
of the relationship two variables and also to be able to know the relationship
between the two variables with results that are quantitative. The strength of
the relationship between the two variables in question here is whether the
relationship closely, weak, or not closely while the shape of the relationship is
whether the shape of the correlation Linear Linear Positive or Negative.
The strength of relationship between two variables are usually called
correlation coefficient and denoted by the symbol "r". R coefficients value will
always be between -1 to + 1.Koefisien correlation will always be in the range
1000
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
The Number of Students in Ar-Risalah
Boarding School Ciamis
The Number of Students in Ar-Risalah Boarding School Ciamis
21
-1 ≤ r ≤ +1. Pearson Correlation Coefficient The correlation coefficient is also
called the Simple because the simple correlation coefficient calculation
formula is expressed by Karl Pearson is a mathematician who came from
England.
The formula used to calculate the correlation coefficients Modest is as
follows:
(This formula is also called the Pearson Product Moment).
Description:
n = Number of data pair X and Y
ΣX = Total Number of Variable X
ΣY = Total Number of Variable Y
ΣX2 = Squares of Total Total Variable X
ΣY2 = Squares of Total Total Variable Y
ΣXY = Result Multiplication of Total Number of variable X and variable Y
22
 Pattern / Form of relationship between two variables :
1. Correlation Linear Positive (+1)
Change one followed Variable Value followed by other Variable Value
that changes regularly in the same direction. If the value variable X increases,
the variable Y will go up. If the value variable X has decreased, then the
variable Y will come down. If the correlation coefficient value closer to +1
(positive one) means a pair of data variables X and Y variables have a strong
positive linear correlation / Closely.
2. Correlation Linear negative (-1)
Change one followed Variable Value followed by other Variable Value
that changes regularly with the opposite direction. If the value variable X
increases, the variable Y will fall. If the value has decreased variable X, then
Y variable value will rise. If the correlation coefficient value close to -1
(negative one) then this shows a pair of data variables X and Y variables have
a strong negative linear correlation / closely.
3. Correlates (0)
The increase in value only variable that is sometimes followed by the
decrease in other variables or sometimes followed by an increase in other
variable. Direction relation irregular, sometimes one way, sometimes the
opposite. If the correlation coefficient value close to 0 (zero) means a pair of
23
data variables X and Y variables correlated very weakly or not correlated
likely.
 Coefficient of Determination
The correlation coefficient, r, only provides a measure of the strength
and direction of the linear relationship between two variables. But does not
provide information on what proportion of variance (variation) dependent
variable (Y) that can be explained or caused by a linear relationship with the
value of the independent variable (X). R value can not be compared directly,
for example, we can not say that the value of r = 0.8 is twice the value of r =
0.4.
Fortunately, squared values of r can measure precisely the ratio /
proportion of these, and the value of this statistic called the coefficient of
determination, r 2. Thus, the coefficient of determination can be defined as the
value which states that the proportion of Y diversity can be explained /
described by a linear relationship between the variables X and Y.
24
r
The Criteria of Relationship
according to Proffesor Sugiyono
0 No Correlation
> 0 – 0,199 Very Low Correlation
>0,20 – 0,399 Low Correlation
>0,40 – 0,599 Medium Correlation
>0,60 – 0,799 Strong Correlation
>0,80 – 0,999 Very Strong Correlation
1 Perfect Correlation
25
CHAPTER III
DISCUSSION PROBLEMS
3.1 The Development of Australian Tourists Visitors to Bali in 2010-
2013
Australia is a country that’s located close to Indonesia, and automatically it’s
also close to the island of Bali. Australian tourists visited Bali because of the beauty
and uniqueness of the island itself, and many of the Australian tourists visited Bali
because the distance is not too far between Australia and Bali. The number of
Australian tourists who visited Bali in 2010-2013 relatively increased. Here are data
on the number of Australian tourists visited Bali in 2010-2013.
Table 3.1 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali in 2010-2013
Number Years Number of Australian Tourists
1 2010 647.872
2 2011 790.965
3 2012 823.821
4 2013 826.385
26
From the data above we can see the number of Australian tourists visited Bali
island from 2010 to 2013 has increased. It means that the island was increasingly in
demand by Australian tourist, so that more Australian tourists visited Bali.
3.1.1 Presentation of Data
a. Bar Chart
Picture 3.1.1 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Bar
Chart.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2010 2011 2012 2013
647.872
790.965 823.821 826.385
The Number of Australian Tourists in
2010-2013
Number of Australian Tourists
27
b. Line Diagram
Picture 3.1.2 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line
Diagram.
3.2 The Development of Japanese Tourist Visitors to Bali in 2010-
2013
Bali island is famous for its beauty, there are many attractions on the island of
Bali, as well as the uniqueness of objects that make foreign tourists interested in
visiting the island, including Japan which is located quite far from Indonesia. There
are many Japanese tourists who visit the island of Bali. However, in 2010-2011 the
number of Japanese tourists visiting Indonesia declined, and in 2012-2013 increased
647972
790965 823821 826385
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
2010 2011 2012 2013
The Number of Australian Tourists in
2010-2013
Number of Australian Tourists
28
again. The following data is the number of Japanese tourists visiting the island of Bali
in 2010-2013.
Table 3.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-2013
From the data above we can see the number of Japanese tourists visited Bali
island from 2010 to 2013 decreased and increased. Decrease occurred in 2011,
whereas the increase occurred in 2012-2013.
According to the head of the Bali Tourism Office, Ida Bagus Kadek Subhiksu,
there were many factors affecting the decline in the number of Japanese tourists to
Bali, one of them was the closing of direct flights of Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-
Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010. One reason JAL closed direct flights to Denpasar
was, due to the financial problems that convoluted the airline. Thus, the direct flight
path of Tokyo-Denpasar is only operated by Garuda Indonesia. Furthermore Subhiksu
states, in addition to the closure of JAL flight path, the murder case of two Japanese
tourists in 2009 and the catastrophic March 11, 2011, also affected the reduction in
Number Years Number of Japanese Tourists
1 2010 246.465
2 2011 183.284
3 2012 191.836
4 2013 208.115
29
the number of Japanese tourists to Bali. However, in subsequent years the number of
Japanese tourists increased again, this happened because the Garuda plane started to
fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo, then with the end of the case of two Japanese tourists
murder as well as the disaster on March 11, 2011.
So, there are several factors that lead to a decrease in the number of Japanese
tourists who visited the island in 2011, three of them due to the closure of direct flights
Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010 ago, then the murder case
of two Japanese tourists in 2009 and the disaster on March 11, 2011. However, in
subsequent years the number of Japanese tourists has increased back because Garuda
began to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo, then with the end of the case of two Japanese
murder tourists as well as the disaster on March 11, 2011.
30
3.2.1 Presentation of Data
a. Bar Chart
Picture3.2.1 The Number of Japanese Tousrist in 2010-2013inBar Chart.
b. Line Diagram
Picture 3.2.2 The Number of Japanese Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line
Diagram.
0
50
100
150
200
250
2010 2011 2012 2013
246.465
183.284 191.836
208.115
The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-
2013
Number of Japanese Tourists
246.465
183.284 191.836
208.115
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2011 2012 2013
The Number of Japanese Tourists in
2010-2013
Number of Japanese Tourists
31
3.3 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to
Bali Island in 2010-2013
The number of Australian tourists visited Bali in the years 2010-2013 was
more than the number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013.
Australian tourist numbers continued to increase from year to year, while the number
of Japanese tourists decreased. So it looks clear the comparison of the number of
Australia and Japan tourists in 2010-2013. The following is a comparison of data.
Table 3.3 The Comparison of Australian and Japanese Tourists to Bali
island in 2010-2013
Number Years Number of Australian
Tourists
Number of Japanese
Tourists
1 2010 647.872 246.465
2 2011 790.965 183.284
3 2012 823.821 191.836
4 2013 826.385 208.115
32
3.3.1 Presentation of Data
a. Bar Chart
Picture 3.3.1 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists
Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.
b. Line Diagram
Picture 3.3.2 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists
Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013
647.872
790.965 823.821 826.385
246.465
183.284 191.836 208.115
The Comparsionof AustralianandJapanese
Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013
Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists
647.872
790.965 823.821 826.385
246.465
183.284 191.836 208.115
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013
The Comparsion of Australian and
Japanese Tourist Number to Bali Island in
2010-2013
Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists
33
3.4 The Development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013
Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013was influenced by the growth in the number
of tourist arrivals in a positive way. The increase in the value growth of the number
of tourist arrivals is including Australian and Japanese. This means it created a rising
rate of the number of hotel occupancy, both star and non-star hotels, as well as the
increase number of tourists visiting the place of tourism objects, both natural
attractions, historical tourism and cultural tourism in Bali . It also increased the
number of hotels and restaurants that would have an impact on the increase in local
tax revenues and levies that could ultimately increase Bali Local Revenue itself.
Table 3.4 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013
Number Years
Bali Local Revenue
(Rupiah)
1 2010 196.185.384
2 2011 215.866.366
3 2012 236.455.421
4 2013 257.971.060
34
So, from the data above we can conclude that in 2010-2013 the state of Bali
Local Revenue relatively increased. This is affected because of the increasing number
of foreign tourists, including Australian and Japanese Tourists who visited Bali Island
in 2010-2013.
3.4.1 Presentation of Data
a. Bar Chart
Picture 3.4.1 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Bar
Chart.
0
50000000
100000000
150000000
200000000
250000000
300000000
2010 2011 2012 2013
196185384
215866366
236455421
257971060
The Number of Bali Local Revenue in
2010-2013
Number of Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah)
35
b. Line Diagram
Picture 3.4.2 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line
Diagram.
3.5 The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to
Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013
Bali Local Revenue was affected by the number of domestic tourists or foreign
tourists who visited the island itself. In this case, the scope of foreign tourists include
Australian and Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013. In this case the
data needed to determine the relationship between the number of Australian and
Japanese tourists with Regional Income of Bali in 2010-2013 to determine the
quantitative result. The table below shows a clear correlation of Australian tourist
number to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
196185384
215866366
236455421
257971060
0
50000000
100000000
150000000
200000000
250000000
300000000
2010 2011 2012 2013
The Number of Bali Local Revenue in
2010-2013
Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah)
36
Table 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourist to Bali Local Revenue in
2010-2013
Years Number of Asustralian
Tourists
Bali Local Revenue
(Rupiah)
2010 647.872 196.185.384
2011 790.965 215.866.366
2012 823.821 236.455.421
2013 826.385 257.971.060
Picture 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in
2010-2013 in Line Diagram.
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
600 650 700 750 800 850
BaliLocalRevenue(MillionRupiah)
Number of Australian Tourist (Thousand)
The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local
Revenue in2010-2013
2010 2011
2012
2013
37
With the most visitors in the category of foreign tourists who visited Bali
island, the number of Australian tourists can affect the Revenue in the island of Bali.
We can see the proof from graph of the number of Australian tourists to Bali Local
Revenue in 2010-2013.
3.5.2 Data Processing
To determine the correlation or relationship with a number of Australian
tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the following is data on the number of
Australian tourist to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
38
39
nΣxy – (Σx) (Σy)
√{nΣx² – (Σx)²} {nΣy2 – (Σy)2}
(4)(705,826,113,087,779) – (3.089.043)(906.478.231)
√{(4)( 2,406,956,967,875) – (3.089.043)²}
{(4)(207.547.226.783.084.000) – (906.478.231)2}
23,154,218,228,183
26,958,523,014,911
0.858883041
r² = 0.737680078134467 = the coefficient of determination is73%
If r = 0.858883041 means very strong correlation, with a coefficient of
determination or the percentage reaches 73%. So the number of Australian tourist is
very influential on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the percentage reached 73%.
r =
r =
r =
r =
40
When compared with the number of Australian Tourists, the number of
Japanese tourists is smaller than Australian tourist. The following is data on the
number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
Table 3.5.2 The Number ofJapanese tourists on Bali Revenue in 2010-2013
Picture 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in
2010-2013 in Line Diagram.
Years Number of Japanese
Tourists
Bali Local Revenue
(Rupiah)
2010 246.465 196.185.384
2011 183.284 215.866.366
2012 191.836 236.455.421
2013 208.115 257.971.060
180
200
220
240
260
280
170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260
BaliLocalRevenue(MillionRupiah)
Number of Japanese Tourist (Thousand)
The Number of Japanese Tourist toBali Local Revenue
in 2010-2013
2013
2012
2011
2010
41
In the data graph above the number of Japanese tourists had decreased in 2011,
but the amount of revenue of the island remained elevated. So it can be said that the
number of Japanese tourists had weak effect on the Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
3.5.3 Data Processing
To determine the correlation number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local
Revenue in 2010-2013, the following is the data on the number of Japanese tourists to
Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
42
43
nΣxy – (Σx) (Σy)
√{nΣx² – (Σx)²} {nΣy2 – (Σy)2}
(4) (186.965.990.988.360) – (829.700) (906.478.231)
√{(4)(174.450.925.002) – (829.700)²}
{(4)(207.547.226.783.084.000) – (906.478.231)2}
-4,241,024,307,260
8,932,145,709,095
-0.474804649
r² = 0.225439454609558 = the coefficient of determination is22% .
If r = -0.474804649 means a medium correlation, with a coefficient of
determination or the percentage reaches 22% So the number of Japanese tourists has
a medium effect on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the percentage reached 22%.
20102011 2012
2011
2013
2011
r =
r =
r =
r =
44
CHAPTER IV
CLOSING
4.1 Conclusions
1. Based on the analysis the author concluded that the development of the of
Australian tourists number visited Bali in 2010-2013 was relative to rise
because of the higher tourist attraction of Bali island’s beauty.
2. The number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013 had ever
decreased in 2011 because there were several factors that influenced it, three
of them due to the closure of direct flights Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-Ngurah
Rai on October 1, 2010, then the murder case of two Japanese tourists in 2009
and the disaster on March 11, 2011. However, in subsequent years the number
of Japanese tourists increased back because Garuda began to fly to Haneda
airport in Tokyo along then with the end of the case of the murder two Japanese
tourists and the disaster on March 11, 2011.
3. The state of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 relative increased. This was of
them influenced by the increasing number of foreign tourists, including
Australian and Japanese Tourists who visited the island in 2010-2011.
4. The number of Australian tourists increased influence on Bali Local Revenue
in 2010-2013, with its the percentage reached 73%. While the number of
Japanese tourists which declined gave medium effect on Bali local revenue in
2010-2013, ie the percentage reached 22%.
45
4.1 Suggestions
1. The author recommends tourists foreign tourists including Australia and Japan
to have a greater enthusiasm to visit the island with its tourist objects in order
Bali Local Revenue rised even more.
2. Bali Island has beautiful natures, wich thick culture, and the attractions which
are unique and charming, it is good if it’s preserved as well as possible as one
of the main evidence of our love to the nature of Indonesia.
ix
BIBLIOGRAPHY
August,12, 2015
https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia
https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan
https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics
http://kebudayaan.kemdikbud.go.id/museumnasional/2014/06/20/eksotika-pulau-
bali-dikenal-dunia-sejak-abad-ke-16/
http://madebayu.blogspot.com
http://www.kamusbesar.com/59544/wisatawan-asing
August,17, 2015
https://teorionline.wordpress.com/category/tutorial-statistik/product-moment-
pearson/
http://dfat.gov.au/about-us/publications/people-to-people/geografi-
australia/pengantar/index.html#
http://sejarahanda.blogspot.com
http://nanangbudianas.blogspot.com/2013/02/sumber-sumber-pendapatan-asli-
daerah.html
x
http://windartyther.blogspot.com/2012/07/pengertian-tujuan-dan-fungsi-
statistik.html
http://statisticscentre.blogspot.com/2014/02/teknik-penyajian-data.html
August,20, 2015
http://balitour.net/id/view/bali-rumah-kedua-warga-australia/
http://www.yukpegi.com/menarik/lainnya/turis-turis-yang-paling-sering-
berkunjung-ke-indonesia/
http://download.portalgaruda.org/article.php?article=106357&val=1351#
https://chabyeofmath.wordpress.com/sejarah-statistik/
http://teknikelektronika.com/pengertian-analisis-korelasi-sederhana-rumus-
pearson/#
August, 25, 2015
http://www.halojepang.com/politikkerjasama/4910-wisatawan-jepang-ke-bali
http://download.portalgaruda.org/article.php?article=106357&val=1351
September,2, 2015
http://niningdwikristiyani.blogspot.com/2010_05_01_archive.html
http://www.newsletter-
pariwisataindonesia.com/index.php?option=com_weblinks&view=category&id=4
0&Itemid=94&limitstart=20
xi
BIOGRAPHY
The author’s name is Syifa Sahaliya,
but commonly called Syifa. She was born in
Sumedang, October 23th 1997. Nowadays,
she lives at Rancamulya, Sumedang. She is
the last daughter of Mr. Darsim and Mrs.
Aam. She has a sister named Rully, and two
brothers named Rubby and Acep.
The author has finished her
education at Al-Hidayah 1 Sumedang
Kindergarten, Sukaraja 1 Sumedang
Elementary School, and Integrated Junior
High School of Ar-Risalah Ciamis. Now, she is studying at Sumedang 1 Senior
High School (XII Science 9).
She likes playing basketball, writing, doing research, photography, and
designing house. She wishes in 2016 she can continue her study at university,
especially at medical faculty in Veteran University and can be a professional doctor
in the future.
Find her on facebook (Syifa Sahaliya), twitter (@Bart_sifa), instagram
(Bart_sifa), ask.fm (@Syifafaqot), email (Syifasahal@yahoo.com), or others social
media (BBM, Line).
xii
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Syifa's Scholarly Paper "THE INFLUENCE OF AUSTRALIAN AND JAPANESE TOURIST NUMBER ON BALI LOCAL REVENUE IN 2010-2013" SCHOLARLY PAPER 2015

  • 1. i THE INFLUENCE OF AUSTRALIAN AND JAPANESE TOURISTS NUMBER ON BALI LOCAL REVENUE IN 2010-2013 SCHOLARLY PAPER Submitted to fulfill a final requirement study at senior high school 1 in MATHEMATICS lesson Written by : Syifa Sahaliya 131410145 XII Science 9 SUMEDANG SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL 1
  • 2. ii APPROVAL PAGE The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Approved by, Material Adviser, Dedeh Hodiyah, M.Pd. NIP 19680705 199101 2 002 Technical Adviser, Acih Mintarsih, S.Pd. M.M.Pd. NIP 19641230 198703 2 003 Known by, The Headmaster of Senior High School 1 Sumedang, Drs. Yosep Raharja, M.M.Pd. NIP 19621126 198703 1 011 Homeroom Teacher of XII Science 9, Dra. Alis Nursofa, M.Ag. NIP 19670523 199802 2 001
  • 3. iii DEDICATED PAGE “So remember Me, I will remember you. And be grateful to Me and do not deny Me” (Al-Baqarah : 152) ... “There’s no success without a sacrifice and there’s no success without hardness” ... I dedicate this page to Mom & Dad (Aam & Darsim) , also My Beloved brothers and sister (Acep, Rubby, and Rully), who always support me, Then Mr. Sarip, Mrs. Sa’diah, Ms. Nurul, Mr. Ruhbi, Mrs. Lin, and Mrs. Titin who’ve motivated me The Big Family of Integrated Junior High School of Ar-Risalah , especially SPURS1013and all members of TIREX Basketball Team who’ve made me understand about “Life” The Big Family of , who taught me The Big Family of Universe : AIDA, ARNI, CHAIDIR, DWI, EGI, ELNI, FITRI, GENDIS, GHINA, MIA, MOCH. FIKRY, NADYA, NOVIA, RIBHY, SHAINNE, TALITHA, AND YEVI who’ve colored my days and this is for everyone whom I love... This is for you ^_^
  • 4. iv PREFACE All praises may be to Allah, the most Gracious, the One, with His love and mercy I can finish this scholarly paper. May the blessing and peace of Allah be upon the last and the great prophet Muhammad SAW, his family, his companions, his followers, and his following followers till the day of judgement. As long as the author wrote this scholarly paper, there were many difficulties faced from many sides. But, with all guidances, suggestions, and motivations from all sides, finally the scholarly paper entitled “The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on Bali Local revenue in 2010-2013” can be finished well. Therefore, the author would like to thank to : 1. Mr. Drs. Yosep Raharja, M.M.Pd., as the Headmaster of Senior High School 1 Sumedang who always gives good examples for all students. 2. Mrs. Dra. Alis Nursofa, M.Ag, as the Homeroom teacher of XII Science 9 which always motivates and encourages author to complete this scholarly paper soon. 3. Mrs. Dedeh Hodiyah, M.Pd. and Mrs. Acih Mintarsih, S.Pd. M.M.Pd., as the advisers who always guide the materially, and technically, and give any corrections during the writing of this scholarly paper.
  • 5. v 4. My beloved parents who always support materially and spiritually, especially their miracle prayers, motivation, knowledge, and simpathy that make the author feel excited to finish this scholarly paper well. 5. My beloved brothers and sister who always cheer the author up to finish this scholarly paper soon. 6. All teachers of Sumedang Senior High School 1 for their advices. 7. All of my friends, especially all members of Universe who have colored my days, and given the author inspiration. The author realizes this scholarly paper is still far of perfection, therefore the author is waiting for the suggestion and the comments from the readers. The author hopes that it can make the improvement to be better in the future. Hopefully, this scholarly paper could give benefits to the readers. Sumedang, October 2015 The Author
  • 6. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS COVER PAGE.........................................................................................................i APPROVAL PAGE .................................................................................................ii DEDICATED PAGE...............................................................................................iii PREFACE ...............................................................................................................iv TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................vi TABLE OF PICTURES ........................................................................................ viii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION ............................................................................ 1 1.1 Problem Background ................................................................................ 1 1.2 Problem Formulation................................................................................ 2 1.3 Research Purpose...................................................................................... 3 1.4 Time and Place of Research..................................................................... 3 1.5 Research Methods .................................................................................... 3 1.6 Writing Systematic ................................................................................... 4 CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW................................................................ 5 2.1 Definition of Foreign Tourists.................................................................. 5 2.2 Definition of Local Revenue .................................................................... 6 2.2.1 Sources of Local Revenue................................................................. 7 2.3 Statistic ................................................................................................... 11 2.3.1 Statistical Basic ............................................................................... 11 2.3.2 History of Statistics ......................................................................... 12 2.3.3 Statistics As a grouping of Analytical Methods.............................. 13 2.3.4 Benefit of Statistics ......................................................................... 15 2.3.4 Forms of Data Presentation............................................................. 16
  • 7. vii CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS ......................................................... 25 3.1 The Development of Australian tourist visitors to Bali in 2010-2013... 25 3.1.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 26 3.2 The Development of Japanese Tourist Visitors to Bali in 2010- 2013 .. 27 3.2.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 30 3.3 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013........................................................................................... 31 3.3.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 32 3.4 The Development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013........................ 33 3.4.1 Presentation of Data ........................................................................ 34 a. Bar Chart .................................................................................................... 34 3.5 The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013....................................................................................... 35 3.5.2 Data Processing............................................................................... 37 3.5.3 Data Processing............................................................................... 41 CHAPTER IV ....................................................................................................... 44 CLOSING.............................................................................................................. 44 4.1 Conclusions ............................................................................................ 44 4.1 Suggestions............................................................................................. 45 BIBLIOGRAPHY ...................................................................................................ix BIOGRAPHY..........................................................................................................xi ATTACHMENT ....................................................................................................xii
  • 8. viii TABLE OF PICTURES Picture 2.3.4.2 Example Diagram Circle............................................................... 18 Picture 2.3.4.3 Example Histogram Graph ........................................................... 19 Picture 2.3.4.4 Example Line Diagram................................................................. 20 Picture 3.1.1 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. ... 26 Picture 3.1.2 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram ............................................................................................................................... 27 Picture 3.2.1 The Number of Japanese Tousrist in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. ....... 30 Picture 3.2.2 The Number of Japanese Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram.30 Picture 3.3.1 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.......................................................................... 32 Picture 3.3.2 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. .................................................................. 32 Picture 3.4.1 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart.... 34 Picture 3.4.2 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram ............................................................................................................................... 35 Picture 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010- 2013 in Line Diagram. .......................................................................................... 36 Picture 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010- 2013 in Line Diagram. .......................................................................................... 40
  • 9. 1 CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1.1 Problem Background Bali island is a small island that is so beautiful that many tourists both local and foreign tourists visit Bali which is very prominent with their objects, such as nature tourism and cultural tourism. Tourists know Bali island than Indonesia, or it can be said that the name of Bali is more famous than the name of Indonesia. This indicates that Bali island has a very strong appeal to the international community. Even in the book "Indonesian Portraits from an Archipelago" written by Ian Charles Stewart, Bali is mentioned as a "gem" in the east end of the island of Java. Thus, it is evident that Bali island is a promising potential land for Indonesian tourism industry for foreign tourists, especially Australia and Japan, both of which are countries in the Asia Pacific region. Foreign tourists are tourists who come from abroad, or people who relax into other countries. Australia is a country located in the south of Indonesia and is separated from Asia by the Arafura and Timor Sea. While Japan is an island nation located in East Asia and in northern Indonesia. Australia and Japan is the 2 countries with the highest rating among other countries who visit the island of Bali.
  • 10. 2 Bali island becomes an area that has the largest local revenues in the tourism sector in all parts of Indonesia. With regard to the affairs of local revenues of Bali above (local revenue here is only concerned with the tourism sector), then the number of tourism becomes very important here. From year to year the number of tourists of Australia and Japan who came to the island of Bali is not always constant it increases or even decrease. The author feels more interested in studying the influence of tourists of Australia and Japan to Bali Local Revenue in the year 2010-2013. Therefore, the author is interested in doing a study entitled " The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013" 1.2 Problem Formulation In this research, the author has some problem formulations, these are : 1. How is the development of The Australian tourist number on Bali Island in 2010-2013? 2. How is the development of The Japanese tourist number on Bali Island in 2010-2013? 3. How is the development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013? 4. How is the influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 ?
  • 11. 3 1.3 Research Purpose The purpose to be achieved after finishing this research are : 1. to know the development of The Australian tourist number on Bali Island in 2010-2013 ; 2. to know the development of The Japanese tourist number on Bali Island in 2010-2013 ; 3. to know the development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 ; 4. to know the influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists number on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013. 1.4 Time and Place of Research The author was conducting this research while the big family of Sumedang Senior High School 1 were touring to Bali on Juni 6, 2015 until July 13, 2015. Some objects were visited, such as; Tanah Lot, Panglipuran village, Bedugul lake, Turtle Island, Pandawa Beach, Soka Beach, Kute Beach, and Joker. 1.5 Research Methods In this scholarly paper, the author conducted several methods to obtain the necessary data, these are : 1. Literature Study, by reading books related to the material that will be discussed.
  • 12. 4 2. Observation, by observing to the observation sites. 3. Browsing The Internet, by searching data in the sites which are necessary for my scholarly paper. 1.6 Writing Systematic CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION, consists of problem background, problem formulation, research purpose, time and place of research, research methods, and writing systematic. CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW, CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS, CHAPTER IV CLOSING, as the closing of scholarly paper writing which consists of the conclusions and suggestions.
  • 13. 5 CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Definition of Foreign Tourists Foreign tourists are citizens of a country who travel from their country to the outside environment (entering other countries). In terms of foreign tourists in the Dictionary of Indonesian, foreign tourists are tourists who come from abroad. Australia is located in the southern hemisphere between the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean. Australian continent stretches from 10° 41'SL until 43° 39'SL and from 113° 09'EL until 153° 39'EL. Australia shared the ocean with the nearest neighbors, Indonesia and Papua New Guinea. Australia is located in southeast Indonesia. At the nearest point limit, Australia and Indonesia are only a few kilometers apart. Japan is an archipelago called Nippon by the Japanese. It’s well known as the Rising Sun Country and Sakura Country. Japan is located in north Indonesia, with astronomical layout 30ºNL until 47ºNL and 128ºEL until 146ºEL, and the geographical position in east Asia region apart from Asia, east Asia and west Pacific Ocean. From the data taken by the Central Bureau of Statistics of Bali Province, Australia ranked first in the list of ten countries supplying tourists to Bali. Under the head of this government agency, I Gede Suarsa added that
  • 14. 6 Australians continually come to Bali because they consider Bali as their second home. This means that Australians feel comfortable staying in Bali, both because of the uniqueness of this island, or because of the tendency of Australians who want to escape for a moment from the bustle in their country. In addition, the main reason why the number of Australian tourists visit Bali is due to the geographical position of the adjacent Bali and Australia, as well as the uniqueness of Bali which is offered to the tourists of Australia. Not much different from Australian tourists, many Japanese tourists also visiti the island because of the privilege and the uniqueness of the island itself. Although the location is quite far away from Japan, but the Japanese tourists including foreign tourists are the most numerous and frequent tourists who come to Bali after Australia. They liked the island of Bali and tourist attractions such as Bajra Sandhi and other historic buildings. 2.2 Definition of Local Revenue Local Revenue hereinafter called PAD is reception area obtained from sources within its own territory which is levied based on Local Regulation in accordance with the legislation in force (Article 1 of Law No. 33 of 2004). Then Abdul Halim (2004: 64) says that the original income (PAD) are all local revenues derived from the sources of the local economy. From both definitions, the author concluded that revenue is all local revenues collected
  • 15. 7 by local regulations in accordance with the legislation in force and obtained from its own territory. Local Revenue (PAD) Bali Province 2010-2013 period was influenced by the growth in the number of tourist arrivals in a positive way. The increase in the value growth of the number of tourist arrivals will mean the increasing rate of the number of hotel occupancy, both star and non-star hotels, as well as increase the number of tourists visiting the place of tourism objects, both natural tourism, historical and cultural tourism in the province of Bali. It also will increase the number of hotels and restaurants that will have an impact on the increase in local tax revenues and levies, which in turn will increase revenue. 2.2.1 Sources of Local Revenue Based on Law No. 25 of 1999 the sources of revenue (PAD) either the district or city are derived from : 1. Local Tax. 2. Local Retribution. 3. The companies belong to the region and the nature wealth of the areas. 4. Other Local Revenue legitimate.
  • 16. 8 The definition of the sources of local revenue based on Law No. 25 of 1999 is as follows: 1. Local Tax Local tax is the compulsory contributions made by individual or entity to areas without immediate reward that can not be enforced and used to finance the organization of local governance, which consists of : a. Hotel taxes. b. Restaurant tax. c. Entertainment tax. d. Advertisement tax. e. Street lighting tax. f. Tax Collection and the Processing of Minerals Group C. g. Parking Tax. 2. Retribution It is the compulsory contribution made by individual or entity to the region in exchange for immediate and can not be enforced and used to finance the implementation of the local government, which consists of :
  • 17. 9 a. Public service levies. b. Business service levies. c. Specific Licensing levy. 3. The income of companies belong to the regionand the processing of other separated regional assets include: a. Share of profit. b. Dividends. c. The sale of shares belonging to the area. 4. Other legitimate local revenue, such as sales of fixed assets and current accounts area. Based on the Regional Revenue of Office Cimahi office in it’s book (DIPENDA, 2003), the Local Revenue (PAD) is the revenue taken from local sources within its own territory imposed under the law, which is derived from : A. Local Tax 1) Provincial Tax. a. Motor Vehicle Tax and Vehicle on Water (PKB). b. Customs of Vehicle and Vehicle on Water (BBNKB). c. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax (PBBKB). d. Taxes on the extraction and utilization of ground water and surface water. 2) District / City Tax
  • 18. 10 a. Hotel taxes. b. Restaurant tax. c. Entertainment tax. d. Advertising Tax e. Public street lighting tax. f. Collection Tax and Processing of Minerals Group C. g. Parking Tax. B. Retribution Retribution is a levy that is conducted by the Regional Government for services and the use of public facilities provided by the regional government for the benefit of society, appropriate with regional regulations applied. C. Regional Owned Company Results wealth management and other areas that are separated. D. Other Local Revenue approved the sale of fixed assets such as regional and current accounts.
  • 19. 11 2.3 Statistic 2.3.1 Statistical Basic According to Wikipedia ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics ) Statistics is the study of the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization of data. In applying statistics to, e.g., a scientific, industrial, or societal problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model process to be studied. Populations can be diverse topics such as "all persons living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal". Statistics deals with all aspects of data including the planning of data collection in terms of the design of surveys and experiments. When census data cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by developing specific experiment designs and survey samples. Representative sampling assures that inferences and conclusions can safely extend from the sample to the population as a whole. An experimental study involves taking measurements of the system under study, manipulating the system, and then taking additional measurements using the same procedure to determine if the manipulation has modified the values of the measurements. In contrast, an observational study does not involve experimental manipulation.
  • 20. 12 2.3.2 History of Statistics The use of the term statistics / statistics stems from the Latin term in modern terms statisticum collegium ("council of state") and the Italian statista ("statesman" or "politician"). English dictionary we will find the word statistics and statistics said. Those two words have different meanings. The word statistics means "the science of statistics", was said statistic diartika as "size obtained or derived from a sample," ie as opposed to the word "parameter" which means "measure obtained or derived from the population". Gottfried Achenwall (1749) use statistics in German for the first time as a name for the data analysis activities of state, to interpret it as "the science of the state (state)". At the beginning of the 19th century there has been a shift in the sense of being "knowledge regarding the collection and classification of data". Sir John Sinclair introduced the name (Statistics) and these terms into English. Thus, statistics in principle at first only takes care of the data used administrative agencies and government. Data collection continues, in particular through the census conducted regularly to provide information on population change at any time. In the 19th century and early 20th century statistics started being used mainly opportunities. Branch of statistics that are currently very widely used to support scientific methods, statistical inference, developed in the second half of the 19th century and early 20th century by Ronald Fisher (the foundation stone of statistical inference), Karl Pearson (linear regression
  • 21. 13 method), and William Sealey Gosset (researching the problem of small sample size). The use of statistics in the past can now be said to have touched all areas of science, from astronomy to linguistika. Fields of economics, biology and branches of its application, as well as psychology influenced by the statistical methodology. Consequently born combined sciences such as econometrics, biometrics (or biostatistics), and psikometrika. Although there are those who think of statistics as a branch of mathematics, but some others consider the statistics as a field that is much related to the mathematical view of the history and application. In Indonesia, most of the statistical studies included in the faculty of mathematics and natural sciences, both within its own departments and incorporated with math. 2.3.3 Statistics As a grouping of Analytical Methods a. Descriptive Statistics Descriptive statistics is the science of statistics relating to the activities of recording and summarizing the results of observations of events or characteristics of human beings, places and so on, quantitative, or statistical study ways of collecting, preparing, and presenting and depiction data has been collected to a study. The activities included in this category, such as data collection, grouping data, the determination of value and statistical functions, create
  • 22. 14 graphs, diagrams and drawings. Records regarding the number of births, deaths and marriages per year are called statistics. Similarly, descriptive regarding age, education level, as well as the composition ernik residents living in an area. The main purpose of the operation descriptive statistics is easier for people to read and understand the meaning of data. The scope includes descriptive statistics: 1) The frequency distribution 2) Measurement of central values (mean, mode, median and standard deviation), dispersion, skewness and kurtosis. 3) Presentation of data in the form of graphs (histograms, polygons, ogive) 4) Figures Index 5) Time series or time series b. Inferential Statistics Inferential statistics is the field of statistical science that studies the procedures for drawing conclusions about the entire population based on existing data (sample) or statistics relating to the activities of drawing conclusions from the facts, and making decisions based on facts. In the inferential staistik contain parameter estimation, hypothesis testing, prediction and calculation of the degree of association between variables. The scope of inferential statistics include:
  • 23. 15 1) Probability. 2) Distribution of data. 3) Estimation of parameters 4) Test the hypothesis including chi-square test and analysis of variance. 5) Regression analysis. 6) The correlation analysis. 2.3.4 Benefit of Statistics 1. Statistics As Material Planning Statistics as described in the previous point is the knowledge associated with data collection, processing, analysis, presentation, and drawing conclusions and making decisions based on data and analysis of activities undertaken. In other words, any data that is needed is the data reliable and timely. Through reliable data and timely expected that all data processing activities will generate information to make an appropriate decision. Possibilities of irregularities that have been tried to be eliminated as small as possible through various methods developed in statistics, will greatly assist in any planning activities program.
  • 24. 16 2. Statistics For Monitoring Materials As already mentioned in the narrow sense that the statistics are a summary of data in the form of numbers then it is very helpful in an activity monitoring. Therefore, generally performed in the monitoring activity is to monitor all the strength and weaknesses of the program that involves many variables in the form of a summary of data (for example: the number of babies weighed, population, number of family planning acceptors, number of children immunized and so forth). 3. Statistics As Material Evaluation By knowing a variety of reliable data so we can then analyze and decide the good and the bad. In addition, through a variety of existing data we can compare and then make a generalization of the small sample to the population. 2.3.4 Forms of Data Presentation 1. Table Tables are more appropriately called table column line are tables made apart from contingency tables and frequency distribution is a table consisting of rows and columns that have the feature is not composed of the factors that consists of several categories and do not constitute quantitative data made into several groups.
  • 25. 17 Examples Table Grade Point Avarage (GPA) list a student of Mathematics Education Number Semester GPA 1 I 3,12 2 II 3,00 3 III 3,39 4 IV 3,37 5 V 2,9 6 VI 3,3 7 VII 3,4 2. Diagram Circle Presentation of statistical data in percent or degrees dapan using pie charts. The surplus, a place to make a pie chart is not too large. The pie chart is very useful to show and compare the proportion of data. The drawback, pie charts can not show the frequency.
  • 26. 18 Example Diagram Circle Picture 2.3.4.2 Example Diagram Circle 3. Histogram Graph A histogram is a graph of the frequency distribution of a variable. Histogram display in the form of patches of rectangles. As a horizontal axis may be put on the edges of the class, the class limits or values of variables observed, while the vertical axis shows the frequency. For distribution bergolong or groups who become abscissa is the middle value of each class. (Drs. Ating Somantri, 2006: 113). 25% 50% 15% 10% Method of Transportation to School Bycicle School Bus Car Walk
  • 27. 19 Example Histogram Graph Picture 2.3.4.3 Example Histogram Graph 4. Line Diagram Line charts are made usually to show the development of a state. The development of an upward bias bias down. This appears visually through the line in the graph. There is a vertical line in the graph showing the number and the horizontal shows certain variables shown in the figure below, which need to be considered in making the graph is the appropriateness of making the scale on the vertical line which will reflect the number of observation results. (Dr. Sugiyono, 2002: 34). 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 The Number of Students in Integrated Junior High School of Ar- Risalah Ciamis 100 200 300 400 500 600 TheNumber ofStudentsinintegratedjuniorhighschoolofAr-risalahciamis 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
  • 28. 20 Example Line Diagram Picture 2.3.4.4 Example Line Diagram 5. Pearson Colleration Pearson correlation statistic is a technique used to measure the strength of the relationship two variables and also to be able to know the relationship between the two variables with results that are quantitative. The strength of the relationship between the two variables in question here is whether the relationship closely, weak, or not closely while the shape of the relationship is whether the shape of the correlation Linear Linear Positive or Negative. The strength of relationship between two variables are usually called correlation coefficient and denoted by the symbol "r". R coefficients value will always be between -1 to + 1.Koefisien correlation will always be in the range 1000 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 The Number of Students in Ar-Risalah Boarding School Ciamis The Number of Students in Ar-Risalah Boarding School Ciamis
  • 29. 21 -1 ≤ r ≤ +1. Pearson Correlation Coefficient The correlation coefficient is also called the Simple because the simple correlation coefficient calculation formula is expressed by Karl Pearson is a mathematician who came from England. The formula used to calculate the correlation coefficients Modest is as follows: (This formula is also called the Pearson Product Moment). Description: n = Number of data pair X and Y ΣX = Total Number of Variable X ΣY = Total Number of Variable Y ΣX2 = Squares of Total Total Variable X ΣY2 = Squares of Total Total Variable Y ΣXY = Result Multiplication of Total Number of variable X and variable Y
  • 30. 22  Pattern / Form of relationship between two variables : 1. Correlation Linear Positive (+1) Change one followed Variable Value followed by other Variable Value that changes regularly in the same direction. If the value variable X increases, the variable Y will go up. If the value variable X has decreased, then the variable Y will come down. If the correlation coefficient value closer to +1 (positive one) means a pair of data variables X and Y variables have a strong positive linear correlation / Closely. 2. Correlation Linear negative (-1) Change one followed Variable Value followed by other Variable Value that changes regularly with the opposite direction. If the value variable X increases, the variable Y will fall. If the value has decreased variable X, then Y variable value will rise. If the correlation coefficient value close to -1 (negative one) then this shows a pair of data variables X and Y variables have a strong negative linear correlation / closely. 3. Correlates (0) The increase in value only variable that is sometimes followed by the decrease in other variables or sometimes followed by an increase in other variable. Direction relation irregular, sometimes one way, sometimes the opposite. If the correlation coefficient value close to 0 (zero) means a pair of
  • 31. 23 data variables X and Y variables correlated very weakly or not correlated likely.  Coefficient of Determination The correlation coefficient, r, only provides a measure of the strength and direction of the linear relationship between two variables. But does not provide information on what proportion of variance (variation) dependent variable (Y) that can be explained or caused by a linear relationship with the value of the independent variable (X). R value can not be compared directly, for example, we can not say that the value of r = 0.8 is twice the value of r = 0.4. Fortunately, squared values of r can measure precisely the ratio / proportion of these, and the value of this statistic called the coefficient of determination, r 2. Thus, the coefficient of determination can be defined as the value which states that the proportion of Y diversity can be explained / described by a linear relationship between the variables X and Y.
  • 32. 24 r The Criteria of Relationship according to Proffesor Sugiyono 0 No Correlation > 0 – 0,199 Very Low Correlation >0,20 – 0,399 Low Correlation >0,40 – 0,599 Medium Correlation >0,60 – 0,799 Strong Correlation >0,80 – 0,999 Very Strong Correlation 1 Perfect Correlation
  • 33. 25 CHAPTER III DISCUSSION PROBLEMS 3.1 The Development of Australian Tourists Visitors to Bali in 2010- 2013 Australia is a country that’s located close to Indonesia, and automatically it’s also close to the island of Bali. Australian tourists visited Bali because of the beauty and uniqueness of the island itself, and many of the Australian tourists visited Bali because the distance is not too far between Australia and Bali. The number of Australian tourists who visited Bali in 2010-2013 relatively increased. Here are data on the number of Australian tourists visited Bali in 2010-2013. Table 3.1 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali in 2010-2013 Number Years Number of Australian Tourists 1 2010 647.872 2 2011 790.965 3 2012 823.821 4 2013 826.385
  • 34. 26 From the data above we can see the number of Australian tourists visited Bali island from 2010 to 2013 has increased. It means that the island was increasingly in demand by Australian tourist, so that more Australian tourists visited Bali. 3.1.1 Presentation of Data a. Bar Chart Picture 3.1.1 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2010 2011 2012 2013 647.872 790.965 823.821 826.385 The Number of Australian Tourists in 2010-2013 Number of Australian Tourists
  • 35. 27 b. Line Diagram Picture 3.1.2 The Number of Australian Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. 3.2 The Development of Japanese Tourist Visitors to Bali in 2010- 2013 Bali island is famous for its beauty, there are many attractions on the island of Bali, as well as the uniqueness of objects that make foreign tourists interested in visiting the island, including Japan which is located quite far from Indonesia. There are many Japanese tourists who visit the island of Bali. However, in 2010-2011 the number of Japanese tourists visiting Indonesia declined, and in 2012-2013 increased 647972 790965 823821 826385 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 2010 2011 2012 2013 The Number of Australian Tourists in 2010-2013 Number of Australian Tourists
  • 36. 28 again. The following data is the number of Japanese tourists visiting the island of Bali in 2010-2013. Table 3.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-2013 From the data above we can see the number of Japanese tourists visited Bali island from 2010 to 2013 decreased and increased. Decrease occurred in 2011, whereas the increase occurred in 2012-2013. According to the head of the Bali Tourism Office, Ida Bagus Kadek Subhiksu, there were many factors affecting the decline in the number of Japanese tourists to Bali, one of them was the closing of direct flights of Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita- Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010. One reason JAL closed direct flights to Denpasar was, due to the financial problems that convoluted the airline. Thus, the direct flight path of Tokyo-Denpasar is only operated by Garuda Indonesia. Furthermore Subhiksu states, in addition to the closure of JAL flight path, the murder case of two Japanese tourists in 2009 and the catastrophic March 11, 2011, also affected the reduction in Number Years Number of Japanese Tourists 1 2010 246.465 2 2011 183.284 3 2012 191.836 4 2013 208.115
  • 37. 29 the number of Japanese tourists to Bali. However, in subsequent years the number of Japanese tourists increased again, this happened because the Garuda plane started to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo, then with the end of the case of two Japanese tourists murder as well as the disaster on March 11, 2011. So, there are several factors that lead to a decrease in the number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2011, three of them due to the closure of direct flights Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010 ago, then the murder case of two Japanese tourists in 2009 and the disaster on March 11, 2011. However, in subsequent years the number of Japanese tourists has increased back because Garuda began to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo, then with the end of the case of two Japanese murder tourists as well as the disaster on March 11, 2011.
  • 38. 30 3.2.1 Presentation of Data a. Bar Chart Picture3.2.1 The Number of Japanese Tousrist in 2010-2013inBar Chart. b. Line Diagram Picture 3.2.2 The Number of Japanese Tousrists in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. 0 50 100 150 200 250 2010 2011 2012 2013 246.465 183.284 191.836 208.115 The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010- 2013 Number of Japanese Tourists 246.465 183.284 191.836 208.115 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2010 2011 2012 2013 The Number of Japanese Tourists in 2010-2013 Number of Japanese Tourists
  • 39. 31 3.3 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 The number of Australian tourists visited Bali in the years 2010-2013 was more than the number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013. Australian tourist numbers continued to increase from year to year, while the number of Japanese tourists decreased. So it looks clear the comparison of the number of Australia and Japan tourists in 2010-2013. The following is a comparison of data. Table 3.3 The Comparison of Australian and Japanese Tourists to Bali island in 2010-2013 Number Years Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists 1 2010 647.872 246.465 2 2011 790.965 183.284 3 2012 823.821 191.836 4 2013 826.385 208.115
  • 40. 32 3.3.1 Presentation of Data a. Bar Chart Picture 3.3.1 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. b. Line Diagram Picture 3.3.2 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2010 2011 2012 2013 647.872 790.965 823.821 826.385 246.465 183.284 191.836 208.115 The Comparsionof AustralianandJapanese Tourists Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists 647.872 790.965 823.821 826.385 246.465 183.284 191.836 208.115 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2010 2011 2012 2013 The Comparsion of Australian and Japanese Tourist Number to Bali Island in 2010-2013 Number of Australian Tourists Number of Japanese Tourists
  • 41. 33 3.4 The Development of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013was influenced by the growth in the number of tourist arrivals in a positive way. The increase in the value growth of the number of tourist arrivals is including Australian and Japanese. This means it created a rising rate of the number of hotel occupancy, both star and non-star hotels, as well as the increase number of tourists visiting the place of tourism objects, both natural attractions, historical tourism and cultural tourism in Bali . It also increased the number of hotels and restaurants that would have an impact on the increase in local tax revenues and levies that could ultimately increase Bali Local Revenue itself. Table 3.4 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Number Years Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah) 1 2010 196.185.384 2 2011 215.866.366 3 2012 236.455.421 4 2013 257.971.060
  • 42. 34 So, from the data above we can conclude that in 2010-2013 the state of Bali Local Revenue relatively increased. This is affected because of the increasing number of foreign tourists, including Australian and Japanese Tourists who visited Bali Island in 2010-2013. 3.4.1 Presentation of Data a. Bar Chart Picture 3.4.1 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Bar Chart. 0 50000000 100000000 150000000 200000000 250000000 300000000 2010 2011 2012 2013 196185384 215866366 236455421 257971060 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Number of Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah)
  • 43. 35 b. Line Diagram Picture 3.4.2 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. 3.5 The Influence of Australian and Japanese Tourists Number to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Bali Local Revenue was affected by the number of domestic tourists or foreign tourists who visited the island itself. In this case, the scope of foreign tourists include Australian and Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013. In this case the data needed to determine the relationship between the number of Australian and Japanese tourists with Regional Income of Bali in 2010-2013 to determine the quantitative result. The table below shows a clear correlation of Australian tourist number to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013. 196185384 215866366 236455421 257971060 0 50000000 100000000 150000000 200000000 250000000 300000000 2010 2011 2012 2013 The Number of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah)
  • 44. 36 Table 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourist to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 Years Number of Asustralian Tourists Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah) 2010 647.872 196.185.384 2011 790.965 215.866.366 2012 823.821 236.455.421 2013 826.385 257.971.060 Picture 3.5 The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 600 650 700 750 800 850 BaliLocalRevenue(MillionRupiah) Number of Australian Tourist (Thousand) The Number of Australian Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in2010-2013 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 45. 37 With the most visitors in the category of foreign tourists who visited Bali island, the number of Australian tourists can affect the Revenue in the island of Bali. We can see the proof from graph of the number of Australian tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013. 3.5.2 Data Processing To determine the correlation or relationship with a number of Australian tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the following is data on the number of Australian tourist to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
  • 46. 38
  • 47. 39 nΣxy – (Σx) (Σy) √{nΣx² – (Σx)²} {nΣy2 – (Σy)2} (4)(705,826,113,087,779) – (3.089.043)(906.478.231) √{(4)( 2,406,956,967,875) – (3.089.043)²} {(4)(207.547.226.783.084.000) – (906.478.231)2} 23,154,218,228,183 26,958,523,014,911 0.858883041 r² = 0.737680078134467 = the coefficient of determination is73% If r = 0.858883041 means very strong correlation, with a coefficient of determination or the percentage reaches 73%. So the number of Australian tourist is very influential on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the percentage reached 73%. r = r = r = r =
  • 48. 40 When compared with the number of Australian Tourists, the number of Japanese tourists is smaller than Australian tourist. The following is data on the number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013. Table 3.5.2 The Number ofJapanese tourists on Bali Revenue in 2010-2013 Picture 3.5.2 The Number of Japanese Tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 in Line Diagram. Years Number of Japanese Tourists Bali Local Revenue (Rupiah) 2010 246.465 196.185.384 2011 183.284 215.866.366 2012 191.836 236.455.421 2013 208.115 257.971.060 180 200 220 240 260 280 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 BaliLocalRevenue(MillionRupiah) Number of Japanese Tourist (Thousand) The Number of Japanese Tourist toBali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 2013 2012 2011 2010
  • 49. 41 In the data graph above the number of Japanese tourists had decreased in 2011, but the amount of revenue of the island remained elevated. So it can be said that the number of Japanese tourists had weak effect on the Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013. 3.5.3 Data Processing To determine the correlation number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the following is the data on the number of Japanese tourists to Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013.
  • 50. 42
  • 51. 43 nΣxy – (Σx) (Σy) √{nΣx² – (Σx)²} {nΣy2 – (Σy)2} (4) (186.965.990.988.360) – (829.700) (906.478.231) √{(4)(174.450.925.002) – (829.700)²} {(4)(207.547.226.783.084.000) – (906.478.231)2} -4,241,024,307,260 8,932,145,709,095 -0.474804649 r² = 0.225439454609558 = the coefficient of determination is22% . If r = -0.474804649 means a medium correlation, with a coefficient of determination or the percentage reaches 22% So the number of Japanese tourists has a medium effect on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, the percentage reached 22%. 20102011 2012 2011 2013 2011 r = r = r = r =
  • 52. 44 CHAPTER IV CLOSING 4.1 Conclusions 1. Based on the analysis the author concluded that the development of the of Australian tourists number visited Bali in 2010-2013 was relative to rise because of the higher tourist attraction of Bali island’s beauty. 2. The number of Japanese tourists who visited the island in 2010-2013 had ever decreased in 2011 because there were several factors that influenced it, three of them due to the closure of direct flights Japan Airlines (JAL) Narita-Ngurah Rai on October 1, 2010, then the murder case of two Japanese tourists in 2009 and the disaster on March 11, 2011. However, in subsequent years the number of Japanese tourists increased back because Garuda began to fly to Haneda airport in Tokyo along then with the end of the case of the murder two Japanese tourists and the disaster on March 11, 2011. 3. The state of Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013 relative increased. This was of them influenced by the increasing number of foreign tourists, including Australian and Japanese Tourists who visited the island in 2010-2011. 4. The number of Australian tourists increased influence on Bali Local Revenue in 2010-2013, with its the percentage reached 73%. While the number of Japanese tourists which declined gave medium effect on Bali local revenue in 2010-2013, ie the percentage reached 22%.
  • 53. 45 4.1 Suggestions 1. The author recommends tourists foreign tourists including Australia and Japan to have a greater enthusiasm to visit the island with its tourist objects in order Bali Local Revenue rised even more. 2. Bali Island has beautiful natures, wich thick culture, and the attractions which are unique and charming, it is good if it’s preserved as well as possible as one of the main evidence of our love to the nature of Indonesia.
  • 55. x http://windartyther.blogspot.com/2012/07/pengertian-tujuan-dan-fungsi- statistik.html http://statisticscentre.blogspot.com/2014/02/teknik-penyajian-data.html August,20, 2015 http://balitour.net/id/view/bali-rumah-kedua-warga-australia/ http://www.yukpegi.com/menarik/lainnya/turis-turis-yang-paling-sering- berkunjung-ke-indonesia/ http://download.portalgaruda.org/article.php?article=106357&val=1351# https://chabyeofmath.wordpress.com/sejarah-statistik/ http://teknikelektronika.com/pengertian-analisis-korelasi-sederhana-rumus- pearson/# August, 25, 2015 http://www.halojepang.com/politikkerjasama/4910-wisatawan-jepang-ke-bali http://download.portalgaruda.org/article.php?article=106357&val=1351 September,2, 2015 http://niningdwikristiyani.blogspot.com/2010_05_01_archive.html http://www.newsletter- pariwisataindonesia.com/index.php?option=com_weblinks&view=category&id=4 0&Itemid=94&limitstart=20
  • 56. xi BIOGRAPHY The author’s name is Syifa Sahaliya, but commonly called Syifa. She was born in Sumedang, October 23th 1997. Nowadays, she lives at Rancamulya, Sumedang. She is the last daughter of Mr. Darsim and Mrs. Aam. She has a sister named Rully, and two brothers named Rubby and Acep. The author has finished her education at Al-Hidayah 1 Sumedang Kindergarten, Sukaraja 1 Sumedang Elementary School, and Integrated Junior High School of Ar-Risalah Ciamis. Now, she is studying at Sumedang 1 Senior High School (XII Science 9). She likes playing basketball, writing, doing research, photography, and designing house. She wishes in 2016 she can continue her study at university, especially at medical faculty in Veteran University and can be a professional doctor in the future. Find her on facebook (Syifa Sahaliya), twitter (@Bart_sifa), instagram (Bart_sifa), ask.fm (@Syifafaqot), email (Syifasahal@yahoo.com), or others social media (BBM, Line).