1. Roadmap for
Healthcare Robotics
1
4th March, 2014 Management Consulting Practice

2. Table of Contents
What is healthcare robotics?
Who are the stakeholders?
Industry roadmap
– Next 5 years
– Next 10 years
– Next 30 years…
Recommendations
2

3. What is Healthcare Robotics
FP7 (European Commission) Definition
– Robotics for Medicine and Healthcare is considered the
domain of systems able to perform coordinated
mechatronic actions (force or movement exertions) on
the basis of processing of information acquired through
sensor technology, with the aim to support the
functioning of impaired individuals, medical interventions,
care and rehabilitation of patients and also to support
individuals in prevention programs
Innovation areas
– Monitoring/therapy robots
– Medical capsules
– Intelligent prosthetics
– Robotised surgery
3
Our focus

4. Existing Medical
Robots & TechnologyVasteras Giraff
iRobot’s AVA Tele-presence Tech.
Hector Eldercare Robot
Tokyo Partner Robot
InTouch Health’s RP-VITA
Mobile Robot
Hocoma AG’s Lokomat

5. Who are the Stakeholders
Manufacturers/Suppliers
– : big market opportunity
– : regarded as high risk/cost
 Research organizations
– : research area getting importance
– : not clear who should take initiative, researcher or company?
 Healthcare providers/institutions
– : possibility for more qualitative and more effective care with less man power
– : lack of personnel dealing with new technologies
 Professional users
– : increase efficiency
– : personal contacts with patient is still an important part of professional ethic
 Patients
– : provided more choices for care and lifestyle
– : emotional barrier against robotics healthcare
 Informal caregivers
– : more choices
– : reliability and usability concern
 Government
– : reducing healthcare expenses, solution for lack of care personnel
– : requires lot of regulation changes and promoting actions
5
Our focus

6. Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics
6

7. 7
2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030
Driver
Barrier
Products
Services
Technology
Capability
Aging in developed
countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar
with IT/ Quality of life
gain more importance
Aging in developing
countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
Monitoring
Individual
Monitoring + Therapy
Interactive
Diagnosis + Care plan
Proactive
• Aging society
• Lack of doctors/nurses
• Increased expense for
healthcare
• More people live alone
• Depopulation of rural area
• People care quality of life
more
• Get used to IT
• WW Aging society
• Acceptance for robotics
increase
• Limited landscape
• Cost/Regulation
• Reliability/acceptance
• Advanced technology
• Usability
• Quality
• Resistance
Market needs
Challenges
• Security cameras for
nursing
• Wearable monitoring
• Therapy robots
(pets, partners)
• Tele-medicine
• Tele-diagnosis
• Proactive Diagnosis
robots (doctors, nurses)
• Autonomous devices
• Sensors (wearable)
• Actuators
• Monitoring camera
• Pattern recognition
• High speed network
• Sensor feedback
• Soft Actuators
• Intention recognition
• Advanced Human
machine interface
• Natural language
processing
• Autonomous navigation
system
• Machine learning &
statistical analysis

8. 8
2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030
Driver
Barrier
Aging in developed
countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar
with IT/ Quality of life
gain more importance
Aging in developing
countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
• In 2011, 6% of less developed total 
15% by 2050
• By 2050, 15b or 16% of global total
• Projected 115m worldwide living with
AD/ dementia in 2050
1. Aging society
& increasing
burden of
Dementia
• In 2011, 16% of developed total
 26% by 2050
• Recent estimate 27-36m living
with AD/dementia
• Worldwide cost of dementia
exceeded US$600b in 2010

9. 9
2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030
Driver
Barrier
Aging in developed
countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar
with IT/ Quality of life
gain more importance
Aging in developing
countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
2. Increased
healthcare
spending &
workers shortage
Global increase in healthcare spending (2001-2011):
• In USA, 26%
• In Costa Rica, 156%
• In China, 266%
• In Japan, 50%
• In Singapore, 234%
• In UK, 66%
• In Poland, 122%
• In Russia, 215%
• In Iran, 162%
• In S Africa, 59% • Global shortage of 12.9m
healthcare workers by 2035
• Global home healthcare:
US$306b by 2020
• Global medical device:
US$228b by 2015

10. 10
2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030
Driver
Barrier
Aging in developed
countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar
with IT/ Quality of life
gain more importance
Aging in developing
countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
• In Europe, more than 40% of women
elderly live alone
• In Japan, elderly living alone
increased from 28% to 32% from
2001 to 2011
3. Changing
family
structure
• “Beanpole family” in more
developed countries
• Fewer children & smaller
generations
• Number of elderly living alone is
rising in most countries

11. 11
2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030
Driver
Barrier
Aging in developed
countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar
with IT/ Quality of life
gain more importance
Aging in developing
countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
4. Increased
acceptance of
technology &
QOL
Global mature consumer study in 2011:
• 3,000 interviews in 23 countries including
BRIC, USA, Britain
• Technology use is extensive
• 69% have both fixed-line and mobile phones; 50%
use the internet
• Socio-
demographics, educati
on, experience with
technology will differ

12. Products/Services (2010-2014)
12http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html
Wearable monitoring systemSecurity cameras for nursing
Monitoring
Individual
Network Camera Network
Wi-Fi
Smartphone
Apps
Tremor and Movement
Inertial Sensors
Positioning, localization and
pattern recognition
Electronic
Actuator
Haptic Sensors
Adaptive auditory
Cueing system
User friendly
Interfacing

13. 13
Products/Services (2015-2020)
Monitoring + Therapy
Interactive
Tele-consultation, tele-diagnosisTherapeutic Interactive
Robot
Paro
Tactile, Light, Audition, Posture
and temperature Sensors
http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp
Speech and Vision
Pattern recognition
Advanced Human
machine Interface
Better understanding of
the effectiveness of therapies
Ambient
Intelligence
New materials, Artificial
skins and Soft actuators
Sensory feedback
http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/

14. 14
Products/Services (2020-2030)
Diagnosis + Care plan
Proactive
14
Access to EMR and PHR
Natural language
processing
autonomous navigation
technology
 Detection of vital data
• patient's blood pressure and pulse
 Conversation capability
• Live conversation with doctors in hospitals
• Extracting the meaning from human or natural
language input
 Autonomous navigation system
 Access to Personal health record (PHR)
 Suggest an appropriate diagnosis and a care plan to
patients/doctors by referring to previous cases
(Machine Learning & Big data)
Statistical analysis
AI : Machine Learning
Intelligent Robot
Platform ED-7270
Proactive diagnosis robot

15. Recommendations
Healthcare Robotics industry has the three steps
to the future growth
– Monitoring
– Monitoring + Therapy
– Diagnosis + Care plan
15
Products
Services
Monitoring
Individual
Monitoring + Therapy
Interactive
Diagnosis + Care plan
Proactive
• Security cameras for
nursing
• Wearable monitoring
• Therapy robots
(pets, partners)
• Tele-medicine
• Proactive Diagnosis
robots (doctors, nurses)
• Autonomous devices

16. Recommendations
Recommendations to manufacturers for
monitoring as a first step
16
Monitoring
Individual
• Manufacturers have to focus on these
technologies
• Sensors, Actuators and network
• Monitoring camera
• Pattern recognition
• Collaborative research with in-company
institutions and independent research firms
such as IT startups in Silicon Valley must be the
best choice for a quick attempt to get dynamic
information
• A collaboration can be the solution to improve
current technology for aging society and lack of
medical professionals in the developed
countries
Aging in developed
countries/Lack of
medical professionals
Solution

17. Recommendations
Second step is to add the improvement of
interactive functions to monitoring system
17
Monitoring + Therapy
Interactive
• Manufacturers have to focus on these
technologies
• Therapy robots (pets, partners)
• Self learning system
• Research and development has to focus on soft
technology such as how to heal and improve
the comfort to patients, that is, communication
skills
• Knowledge from psychological counselors
should be implemented to robots in this stage
• Robots will not be robots gradually, more
partners
Solution
People are familiar
with IT/ Quality of life
gain more importance

18. Recommendations
Finally Robots can make the decision
18
Diagnosis + Care plan
Proactive
• Manufacturers have to focus on these
technologies
• Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)
• Autonomous devices
• AI technology will be getting more important
• Also doctors can still play an important role as
final decision makers for caring plan, therefore
manufacturers can provide devices, which can
show how to understand and interpret
information from robots to real cares
• Technology transfer could be another issue in
order to apply advanced technology to
developing countries
Solution
Aging in developing
countries/Co-exist of
robots & human

19. For the healthy society achieved with the
coexistence of human and robots

20. Q&A

21. Appendices
21

22. Speed of Population Aging
22

23. References
 http://www.prb.org/Publications/Articles/2011/agingpopulationclocks.aspx
 http://www.emergogroup.com/resources/worldwide-health-expenditures
 http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/814221
 http://www.nia.nih.gov/sites/default/files/nia-who_report_booklet_oct-2011_a4__1-12-12_5.pdf
 http://www.atkearney.at/consumer-products-retail/maturing-consumer/report
 http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html
 http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp
 http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/
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