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4th March 2015
© BSG. All rights reserved.
Make cashless
payments
Agenda
So what?
Cashless
Payments
Trends Emerging
Payment
Innovations
Drivers for Change:
Customer
Merchant
Critical
Success
Factors
1
2
3
4
?
Key challenges
Need for flexibility & choice
Need new revenue streams
High cost of in-house fraud &
security management
Cashless Payment Trends
© BSG. All rights reserved.
Cashless Payment Transactions
Mobile and Electronic Payments
Card Usage
Developing Markets Boosting Infrastructure
Hidden/Unreported Payment
Cashless Payments
Trends
Emerging Payment
Innovations
Drivers for Change:
Customer Merchant
Critical Success
Factors
1
2
3
4
Cashless Payment Trends
• 365.6 billion transactions by 2013
• Growth - led by developing markets
• Growth has slowed in North America and Europe
Growth in Cashless
Payment Transactions
• Electronic and mobile payments are converging
• Expected growth of 60.8% per year up to 2015
GROWTH IN CASHLESS PAYMENT TRANSACTIONS
POPULARITY OF MOBILE AND ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS
• Debit Cards still most popular
• 2013 Growth: 13.4% for debit cards and 9.9% for
credit cards
GROWTH IN CARD USAGE
Cashless Payment Trends
© BSG. All rights reserved.
Growth in Cashless
Payment Transactions
• Responsible for 25% of cashless transactions in 2012
• Cashless initiatives and infrastructure upgrades
• Developing markets to surpass developed markets - 5 years
• Lack of reporting standards
• Hidden Payments:
• Closed loop retail cards, Virtual currency, Prepaid mobile
wallets, Payment aggregators, Worker remittances
DEVELOPING MARKETS BOOSTING INFRASTRUCTURE
HIDDEN/UNREPORTED PAYMENT GROWTH
Emerging Payment Innovations
• Contactless Cards
• Multi-payment application
instruments
• Social Networking payment
instruments
• Value-added payment
instruments for merchants
Hidden/Unreported Payments
• Remote commerce emulation for
proximity payments
E-Payments & M-Payments
• Mobile money transfers (P2P)
• Digital Wallets
• Mobile devices as Acquiring
mechanisms
• Mobile NFC
Banking Retail E-Payments & M-Payments
Cashless Payments
Trends
Emerging Payment
Innovations
Drivers for Change:
Customer Merchant
Critical Success
Factors
1
2
3
4
Customer Drivers for Change
© BSG. All rights reserved.
Compatible
Technology Convenience
Simplicity
CUSTOME
R
DRIVERS
Cashless Payments
Trends
Emerging Payment
Innovations
Drivers for Change:
Customer Merchant
Critical Success
Factors
1
2
3
4
Merchant Drivers
Lower device
costs - merchant
can use their
own device
Lower
commission
costs
No need for a
Bank account
Customer centric
payment method
MERCHA
NT
DRIVERS
Cashless Payments
Trends
Emerging Payment
Innovations
Drivers for Change:
Customer Merchant
Critical Success
Factors
1
2
3
4
4. Critical Success Factors
Critical Success Factors
Cashless Payments
Trends
Emerging Payment
Innovations
Drivers for Change:
Customer Merchant
Critical Success
Factors
1
2
3
4
TRUST
Ease of transacting
Established strengths
ENGAGE WITH CUSTOMERS
CUSTOMER ACQUISITION
REINVIGORATE PARTNERSHIPS
FINANCIAL INCLUSION Real-time capability
Enabling environments
4th March 2015
© BSG. All rights reserved.
Make cashless
payments
Adding science to
magic in managing the
implementation
of innovative ideas
© BSG. All rights reserved.
How have we (mostly) always done things?
HOPE
and
The Big
launch
Grand plan Blueprint
Dedicate
resources
Build
Do we know
enough?
What do we
need to
move to
looking like?
Who?
How much?
What am I
committing to
show as a
return?
Overruns?
Why is it
taking so
long?
Will it
work?
Typically, it takes a long time to get from initial commitments to actual results…
1
2
3
Is this the right
thing to do?
Are we managing
expectations
effectively?
Are we confident that this
will work?
We’re smart people after all…
so we have good ideas!
Is there another way?
Real customers, in real situations, are often not part of this at all!
Vanity metrics!
© BSG. All rights reserved.
There have always only been two good outcomes for
any idea
Knowing
NOT Knowing
Thinking it’s still a good idea but not knowing
Knowing
A better way to innovate
© BSG. All rights reserved.
If we know that we don’t have all the
answers, why are we surprised that we
get things wrong?
© BSG. All rights reserved.
1. Is the problem
worth solving?
What’s our
next great
idea?
GREAT
IDEA
STOP GUESSING!
2. Have we created
a solution that
solves it?
3. Will people pay
for it?
4. Can you scale it
viably and make a
profit?
New concepts to appreciate
MVP
Build /
Measure
/ Learn
Pivot or
persevere
Customer
needs
Vanity
metrics
UVP
Confidence is
better than
hope
Failing is good – as
long as we do it quickly
and cheaply
© BSG. All rights reserved.
The Business Model Generation by
Alex Osterwalder
‘Why the Lean Start-up changes
everything’
HBR article by Steve Blank
The Lean Startup by Eric Ries
Running Lean by Ash Maurya
BSG’s experiences within Banking,
product development and Financial
Services
References
4th March 2015
© BSG. All rights reserved.
Make cashless
payments
Thank you

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Stop guessing - make cashless payments a success

  • 1. 4th March 2015 © BSG. All rights reserved. Make cashless payments
  • 2. Agenda So what? Cashless Payments Trends Emerging Payment Innovations Drivers for Change: Customer Merchant Critical Success Factors 1 2 3 4
  • 3. ? Key challenges Need for flexibility & choice Need new revenue streams High cost of in-house fraud & security management
  • 4. Cashless Payment Trends © BSG. All rights reserved. Cashless Payment Transactions Mobile and Electronic Payments Card Usage Developing Markets Boosting Infrastructure Hidden/Unreported Payment Cashless Payments Trends Emerging Payment Innovations Drivers for Change: Customer Merchant Critical Success Factors 1 2 3 4
  • 5. Cashless Payment Trends • 365.6 billion transactions by 2013 • Growth - led by developing markets • Growth has slowed in North America and Europe Growth in Cashless Payment Transactions • Electronic and mobile payments are converging • Expected growth of 60.8% per year up to 2015 GROWTH IN CASHLESS PAYMENT TRANSACTIONS POPULARITY OF MOBILE AND ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS • Debit Cards still most popular • 2013 Growth: 13.4% for debit cards and 9.9% for credit cards GROWTH IN CARD USAGE
  • 6. Cashless Payment Trends © BSG. All rights reserved. Growth in Cashless Payment Transactions • Responsible for 25% of cashless transactions in 2012 • Cashless initiatives and infrastructure upgrades • Developing markets to surpass developed markets - 5 years • Lack of reporting standards • Hidden Payments: • Closed loop retail cards, Virtual currency, Prepaid mobile wallets, Payment aggregators, Worker remittances DEVELOPING MARKETS BOOSTING INFRASTRUCTURE HIDDEN/UNREPORTED PAYMENT GROWTH
  • 7. Emerging Payment Innovations • Contactless Cards • Multi-payment application instruments • Social Networking payment instruments • Value-added payment instruments for merchants Hidden/Unreported Payments • Remote commerce emulation for proximity payments E-Payments & M-Payments • Mobile money transfers (P2P) • Digital Wallets • Mobile devices as Acquiring mechanisms • Mobile NFC Banking Retail E-Payments & M-Payments Cashless Payments Trends Emerging Payment Innovations Drivers for Change: Customer Merchant Critical Success Factors 1 2 3 4
  • 8. Customer Drivers for Change © BSG. All rights reserved. Compatible Technology Convenience Simplicity CUSTOME R DRIVERS Cashless Payments Trends Emerging Payment Innovations Drivers for Change: Customer Merchant Critical Success Factors 1 2 3 4
  • 9. Merchant Drivers Lower device costs - merchant can use their own device Lower commission costs No need for a Bank account Customer centric payment method MERCHA NT DRIVERS Cashless Payments Trends Emerging Payment Innovations Drivers for Change: Customer Merchant Critical Success Factors 1 2 3 4
  • 10. 4. Critical Success Factors Critical Success Factors Cashless Payments Trends Emerging Payment Innovations Drivers for Change: Customer Merchant Critical Success Factors 1 2 3 4 TRUST Ease of transacting Established strengths ENGAGE WITH CUSTOMERS CUSTOMER ACQUISITION REINVIGORATE PARTNERSHIPS FINANCIAL INCLUSION Real-time capability Enabling environments
  • 11. 4th March 2015 © BSG. All rights reserved. Make cashless payments Adding science to magic in managing the implementation of innovative ideas
  • 12. © BSG. All rights reserved. How have we (mostly) always done things? HOPE and The Big launch Grand plan Blueprint Dedicate resources Build Do we know enough? What do we need to move to looking like? Who? How much? What am I committing to show as a return? Overruns? Why is it taking so long? Will it work? Typically, it takes a long time to get from initial commitments to actual results… 1 2 3 Is this the right thing to do? Are we managing expectations effectively? Are we confident that this will work? We’re smart people after all… so we have good ideas! Is there another way? Real customers, in real situations, are often not part of this at all! Vanity metrics!
  • 13. © BSG. All rights reserved. There have always only been two good outcomes for any idea Knowing NOT Knowing Thinking it’s still a good idea but not knowing Knowing
  • 14. A better way to innovate © BSG. All rights reserved. If we know that we don’t have all the answers, why are we surprised that we get things wrong?
  • 15. © BSG. All rights reserved. 1. Is the problem worth solving? What’s our next great idea? GREAT IDEA STOP GUESSING! 2. Have we created a solution that solves it? 3. Will people pay for it? 4. Can you scale it viably and make a profit?
  • 16. New concepts to appreciate MVP Build / Measure / Learn Pivot or persevere Customer needs Vanity metrics UVP Confidence is better than hope Failing is good – as long as we do it quickly and cheaply
  • 17. © BSG. All rights reserved. The Business Model Generation by Alex Osterwalder ‘Why the Lean Start-up changes everything’ HBR article by Steve Blank The Lean Startup by Eric Ries Running Lean by Ash Maurya BSG’s experiences within Banking, product development and Financial Services References
  • 18. 4th March 2015 © BSG. All rights reserved. Make cashless payments Thank you

Editor's Notes

  1. New Customer demands The need to address new or changing buyer and seller demands, unfulfilled by traditional offerings. Provide alternatives for cash In trying to provide convenience to customers there is a convergence of channels i.e.. physical, electronic, and mobile High cost of in-house fraud & security management Need for differentiation understanding of the customer’s location, context and technology environment is required – in addition to a stated need Need for new revenue streams With the increasing use of mobile devices for payments organizations are focusing on providing customers with more convenience and a broader selection of products at prices regarded as competitive South Africa in a transition phase towards a “cash-light” society 30-35% of retail payments are electronic and 60-65% are cash payments Reserve banks estimate the cost to society of using cash to be about 1.5% of GDP. Electronic payments, however have proven to boost economic growth. Need for flexibility & choice Customers are demanding flexibility and choice, and are experimenting with alternative payment methods, such as social media payments
  2. New Customer demands The need to address new or changing buyer and seller demands, unfulfilled by traditional offerings. Provide alternatives for cash In trying to provide convenience to customers there is a convergence of channels i.e.. physical, electronic, and mobile High cost of in-house fraud & security management Need for differentiation understanding of the customer’s location, context and technology environment is required – in addition to a stated need Need for new revenue streams With the increasing use of mobile devices for payments organizations are focusing on providing customers with more convenience and a broader selection of products at prices regarded as competitive South Africa in a transition phase towards a “cash-light” society 30-35% of retail payments are electronic and 60-65% are cash payments Reserve banks estimate the cost to society of using cash to be about 1.5% of GDP. Electronic payments, however have proven to boost economic growth. Need for flexibility & choice Customers are demanding flexibility and choice, and are experimenting with alternative payment methods, such as social media payments
  3. * New delivery models, such as the use of APIs, as well as the reuse of existing platforms (for example, instant messaging, social media and Bitcoin blockchain) provide lower cost of entry and an ability to deliver need-based payment solutions to consumers and merchants/ small and midsize businesses (SMBs).   Non-traditional financial services providers, such as PayPal, are gaining market share by offering basic cash management services with different integration approaches that are a better fit for the financial supply chain needs of SMBs. It is critical to stress that there is no such thing as a mobile payment industry or a mobile payment. What we are dealing with as an industry is the use of mobility (mobile devices, wireless networks, etc.) to create, augment and replace components of the payment value chain.  
  4. Growth in Cashless Payment Transactions The total non-cash volume was expected to reach 365.6 billion transactions by 2013 Cashless transaction growth is led by developing markets like Central Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Growth slowed in North America and Europe mainly due to slow economic recovery in these regions There is huge potential for investment and innovation in this space Popularity of Mobile and Electronic Payments The distinction between these two types of cashless payments is gradually shrinking with customers making use of mobile devices to transact electronically Mobile payments = mobile device is used as a payment method not just a channel to send the payment instruction Electronic payment = Payment made over the internet for e commerce activities Mobile payments is expected to grow by 60.8% each year up to 2015 This sector’s growth is mainly attributed to; technological advances, innovation and increased smartphone and internet penetration Non banks (Pay pal) are expected to grow faster than banks in this space Near Field Communication still has a low adoption rate which is expected to keep on declining Decommissioning Cheque Cards Lower banking interchange rates on cheque cards have reduced the profitability of these cards As a result there is a shift to move towards debit cards to replace the existing cheque card structures
  5. Developing Markets Boosting Infrastructure Developing markets were responsible for 25% of the cashless transactions in 2012 Developing countries are increasingly focussing on upgrading infrastructure and creating initiatives to boost cashless transactions Examples in China of initiatives are: Union Pay and Alipay It is expected that China will surpass leading non cash markets like North America and the Eurozone (one in five people using mobile banking lives in China) within the next five years mainly due to the existing low penetration and the increase in cashless initiatives Hidden/Unreported Payment Growth There is a lack of reporting standards for Electronic and Mobile payments resulting in incorrect statistical data around the market segment that these methods claim (unreported payment niches) This poses a significant market risk as it leads to incorrect analysis and predictions of market size and segment, used to determine future payment strategies Examples of this are: Closed loop retail cards: Features similar to a debit card with no credit rating cheques Virtual currency: Bitcoin reached 60 000 transactions per day during 2013 Prepaid mobile wallets: Statistics do not show the transactions once the money is loaded onto the wallet Payment aggregators: Merchant can accept transfers without a merchant account with any bank or card association Worker remittances: Money is transferred through private payment networks and not recorded in the open payment network space
  6. Success Stories: Banking Absa’s CashSend – Launched late 2008 This system allows users to send money to any recipient from their account and the cell phone banking application. Since its launch in late 2008 up to 2011, Absa CashSend exceeded R500m in transactions 25% of customers send money to themselves CashSend has proved particularly popular at ATMs near University campuses Telecommunications M-PESA (Kenya) - In March 2007, the leading cell phone company in Kenya, Safaricom launched M‐PESA, M-PESA was an SMS‐based money transfer system that allowed individuals to send and withdraw funds using their cell phone. M‐PESA has grown rapidly, reaching by 2010 approximately 38% of Kenya’s adult population. By 2012, a stock of about 17 million M-PESA accounts had been registered in Kenya Retail e-Bucks – rewards programme launched October 2000 e-Bucks Rewards quickly established itself as South Africa's leading rewards programme  In February 2003 e-Bucks Rewards had become a profitable business eight months ahead of forecast A key measure of a reward programmes’ success is the conversion rate of rewards into spending It notches up a conversion rate of over 80%/month compared with a norm of 60%-70% in developed markets Failed Implementations: Banking Get Cash and Emergency Cash - NatWest and The Royal Bank of Scotland launched these in 2012. These enabled users to request an amount of cash using their mobile banking application, which would then generate a 6-digit pin to be entered at an ATM. The simplicity and also the vulnerability of the system stood in the fact that any user could withdraw money from the bank knowing only that 6 digit PIN number Telecommunications M-PESA – launched in 2010 by Vodacom & Nedbank There were estimated to be more than 13 million "economically active" people without a bank account during that period Vodacom projected that it would sign up 10 million users in the following three years from the launch in 2010 By May 2011, it had registered approximately 100,000 customers The gap between expectations for M-PESA's performance and its actual performance can be partly attributed to differences between the Kenyan and South African markets i.e. the banking regulations  Lack of education and product understanding also hindered efforts in the initial roll out of the product A tough regulatory environment with regards to customer registration and the acquisition of outlets also compounded the company's troubles Due to varying backgrounds in Africa’s different regional economies, innovation and the implementation of such innovation should not be generalised, but rather customised to suit regional and local needs Retail Gift cards
  7. Advancing Mobile Technology Mobile technology is getting better and better, bringing in newer functionality and newer ways of interacting online. More goods and services are also available online, meaning more organisations have an online and mobile store options. With the shopping experience getting better, customers are demanding simpler and more convenient payment methods Simplicity With better technology, comes better use of existing technology such as QR Codes and NFC. The user is able to load their card details onto their phone to create a Mobile Wallet. Payments can then be made with corresponding merchants removing the need to swipe from the customer side. Convenience Payment processes / checkout has been lengthy thus far due to the need to capture card and confirm details. Various organisations have created “Wallet” functionality that then allows customers to again upload card details. Future payments are then debited from the “wallet” based on secure authentication of the user on the respective site making the shopping experience quicker and easier.
  8. SnapScan, which was developed by a Stellenbosch start up, won MTN Business’s 2013 App of the Year award  Merchants can make use of their own mobile devices e.g. Tablets to set up and accept payments from customers. This means they avoid the high costs associated with running traditional payment mechanisms such as POS devices Merchants are not required to have or create a bank account when making use of applications such as SnapScan or PayPal. Customers have advanced mobile technology with is meant to make their lives easier. Companies are taking advantage of this by creating applications that make the best use of that technology putting pressure on merchants to facilitate methods for alternative payments. Banks are responding by accommodating both sides e.g. Standard Bank partnering with SnapScan to enable this type of payment
  9. Trust Gartner research shows that banks are trusted as payment providers. They have built this trust in part via the repeat usage of their services, which, in turn, creates an ability to demonstrate that they can deal with a fraud occurrence and by providing visibility on liquidity through a growing number of channels. Financial Inclusion is the delivery of financial services at affordable costs to sections of disadvantaged and low-income segments of society The increase in financial inclusion in Africa provides the “unbanked” with access to the formal financial system and services such as savings, payments, transfers, credit and insurance Providing real-time capability Data availability, enrichment, and correlation Leverage established strengths and reputation in security and customer insight Providing security/mitigating the risk of fraud Improving ease of commerce/transactions for customers Providing flexibility Improving speed of transactions Strong enabling environments are vital to the long-term success of cashless payments Regulation should not be complex, but conducive to the creation of a favourable environment for private investors as innovation stems mainly from the private sector This does not imply that regulation has to be lax, but for regulators to ‘walk’ with market evolution agents (banks, mobile service providers, etc.) to create a more enabling environment in the development of a less cash-dependent economy
  10. Given the payment trends discussed, the key drivers and the case studies analysed, it is clear that we’re not always sure whether our great idea is the right thing to do and we’re also not 100% confident that things will work out the way we expect. But because of the fast-changing environment and need for innovative solutions which will allow us to remain competitive, we will proceed with our grand plan even though at times we often don’t know enough about whether we will truly be successful. How many of us have been on a piece of work where it was either stopped because we didn’t do enough investigation up-front or the importance of the initiative seemed to dwindle over time? In my own experience this has happened on numerous projects I have been involved in where the convenience to customers was seriously overestimated or their security concerns were underestimated. This has almost always affected the success and take-up of the product and completely invalidated the Business Plan we created so diligently upfront. Having been through this, we know that we don’t know everything So why do we pretend it’s not the case! We give ourselves a false sense of confidence through stats, research, focus groups etc We are not our customers! So why do we decide on their behalf! We need to work with them to understand their needs, as they may not know what these are either This approach takes too long It doesn’t manage investment in line with confidence
  11. There has to be a better way! Good news...there is If we all know that we don't have all the answers, why are we surprised that we get things wrong?
  12. Rather embrace failing, but fail quickly, cheaply, and constructively... To be realistic and open We don’t know everything We must embrace this attitude, embrace testing things out, and celebrate getting to points of knowing – then we can make decisions one way or the other Obviously we want to do great things But we must do so with confidence Remember: beauty is in the eye of the beholder, so success can only be measured by how successful our customers believe we are! So We have to stop guessing Guesswork is stressful, it’s risky, and it’s mostly wrong!
  13. Changes to slide: 4 steps with Build – measure – learn picture in the middle: Is the problem worth solving? Have we created a solution that solves it? Will people pay for it? Can you scale it viably and make a profit? Take out diagram at top right and remove extra arrows and business models canvas pics The “lean start-up,” favours experimentation over elaborate planning, customer feedback over intuition, and iterative design over traditional “big design up front” development. It introduces concepts such as “minimum viable product” and “pivoting” A MVP has just those core features that allow the product to be deployed to early adopters for testing, typically the product with the highest return on investment over risk. Pivoting involves making adjustments to solutions aligned to customer needs The emphasis is on nimbleness and speed, rapidly assembling a minimum viable product and immediately getting customer feedback to validate the approach. Using this to revise assumptions, we can start the cycle over again, testing redesigned offerings and making further small adjustments (iterations) or more substantive ones (pivots) to ideas that aren’t working – Build, Measure and Learn. 4 key questions need to be solved to ensure success: Is the problem worth solving? Let’s test it Have we created a solution that solves it? Get feedback from early adopters Will people pay for it? Can you scale it viably and make a profit? We need to get out of the building and ask customers and users to test the ideas upfront so that we can know whether to persevere or pivot before proceeding to the next step
  14. Vanity metrics are things like registered users, downloads, and raw pageviews. They are easily manipulated, and do not necessarily correlate to the numbers that really matter: active users, engagement, the cost of getting new customers, and ultimately revenues and profits. Some examples we would be used to in payments: App downloads vs active users of app Cards issued vs transactions performed Number of bank accounts you have versus number you are actually using Build-Measure-Learn Being flexible to adjust the solution based on customer feedback Unique value proposition Even if we can answer the 4 key questions with confidence, what makes us unique and sets us apart from someone or something else 4 key questions need to be solved to ensure success: Is the problem worth solving? Let’s test it Have we created a solution that solves it? Get feedback from early adopters Will people pay for it? Can you scale it viably and make a profit? How is our product different to other ones in the market Failing is good as long as we do it quickly and cheaply Checklist in conclusion: Be prepared to fail and expect to do so Include customers in all steps Have enough research data to make a start Build the smallest thing you need to get real feedback Validate ideas to set direction: pivot or persevere Once the problem is validated and the solution and market fit is confirmed, scale with confidence