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Stock Investments for Beginners
Natesh Bhargav
DISCLAIMER
I am NOT an investment advisor nor a financial advisor, and no information provided here is to be
interpreted as a suggestion to buy or sell stocks.
What are stocks?
 Stock is a share in the ownership of a company
 Claim on the company's assets and earnings
 More Stocks = Greater Stakes in the company
 Shares = Equity = Stocks = All are same
 Stock certificate = piece of paper that is proof of your ownership
 Demat account = No “stock certificates”. Everything will be done though the computer
electronically
Holding = Stock ownership
 Means that you are one of the many owners (shareholders) of a company
 You have claim to everything the company owns - tiny little piece of all the furniture, every
trademark, Profit etc…
 You are entitled to your share of the company's earnings as well
 Shareholder = No say in the day-to-day running of the business
 Shareholder = Voting rights to elect (or remove) Board of Directors
 Limited liability = as a stock owner not liable for companies debts
Why does company issue stocks?
 Methods of raising funds
 Equity financing = Raise money through stocks = No need to pay back money or interest
 Debt financing = taking loan from bank or bonds = has to pay back to bank
 IPO (Initial Public Offering) = The first sale of stock
 Equity Investment = No guarantees, Risk of losing the money
 Debt Investment (Bond) = Guaranteed principal + interest
Why does Stock prices go up/down?
 Because of supply and demand
 Demand = More people want to buy than sell = Prices goes up
 Supply = More people want to sell than buy = Prices goes down
 Sell and Buy depends on how company is performing & market sentiments
 Earnings of a company = Profit
 Company Results beats Dalal Street = Stocks goes up else goes down
 Market sentiments high = Stocks goes up else goes down
Sensex & Nifty
 NSE = National Stock Exchange (in Mumbai) , BSE = Bombay Stock Exchange (in Mumbai)
 Many other stock exchanges in India, but most of the trading done in NSE & BSE
 Sensex is an “index” = Indicator
 Gives an idea “most” of the stocks have gone up or down
 Sensex = Indicator for all major companies in BSE
 Nifty = Indicator for all major companies in NSE
Other Indexes
 Large Cap Index = Indicates how large cap companies doing
 Mid Cap Index = Indicates how mid cap companies doing
 Small Cap Index = Indicates how mid cap companies doing
New Investor – Ground Rules & Things to Remember
 Invest money you can afford to lose
 Use your brain = don’t completely rely on others advice
 Do your home work & examine facts about the company
 Stock Market = Full of Savvy investors
 98% of people lose money
 Some people are promoting wrong stocks (because they have invested)
 Buy the stock at a fair price and hold the stock for long-period.
 The stock will ultimately go up if a business does well
 Invest in good companies when everyone is fearing
 Don’t try to time the market – it is not possible
Stock Picking – Analysis
 Fundamental Analysis
 Based on core financials (Market cap, P/E ratio, Management etc…)
 Technical Analysis
 Based on the study of prices and volume
 Looks at stock chart, buying behavior etc..
 More complicated than fundamental analysis
Fundamental Analysis
 Based on financial and economic analysis to predict stock movement
 Analysis include – financial reports, non-financial info like product demand, govt policies etc…
 It is all about finding the “Real” or “Intrinsic” value of stock (Not easy!!)
 If Real value of stock < Current Market Price (CMP) = SELL
 If Real value of stock > Current Market Price (CMP) = BUY
How to find “Real” value of a stock?
 First, Analyze the overall economy then the company you are interested in
 Find out about company & products as much as possible
 Competitive Advantage – Management experience, Performance history, Product lines, Growth potential,
brand name, low cost production etc…
 Market share – How big? It is growing or shrinking?
 Financial Parameters & Ratios – EBITDA, EPS, P/E, PAT etc…
 Not only do we want our stock price to rise, we want it to rise FAST!
 The price of the stock does not make a stock good to buy
 Important = How much is the stock likely to rise & how fast?
% Rise of Stock is important not the price
 If the Rs.500 stock becomes worth Rs.540, then that is a 8% rise. This 8% rise only makes us Rs.40.
On the other hand when we invest the same Rs.500 in the 50paise stock and the stock price goes
up to Rs.1, it is a 100% rise as the stock price has doubled. This 100% rise makes us Rs.500.
 So, picking a company = Whose stock price will rise by a large percentage
 Challenges:
 How do you compare a stock worth Rs.500 to a stock worth 50paise and figure out which one will have a
higher percentage rise?
 How do you compare two companies that are in different fields and different industries?
 How do you know which one is fundamentally strong and which one is weak?
 Solution: Use fundamental analysis tools & ratios
Tools & Ratios
 EPS = Earnings Per Share
 Even comparing the earnings of one company to another really doesn’t make any sense because it will not
tell how many shares company has
 Because you do not know how many shares a company has, you do not know how many parts that
companies earnings have to be divided into
 If the company has more shares, the earnings will be divided into more parts.
 For example, companies A and B both earn Rs.100, but company A has 10 shares outstanding, so
each share holder has in effect earned Rs.10. If B has 20 shares, each share holder earns Rs 2
 EPS = Net Earnings / Outstanding shares
 EPS is not the only basis for comparing companies
P/E Ratio
 P/E Ratio tells what market thinks of a stock = market likes or dislikes the stock
 The P/E looks at the relationship between the stock price and the company’s earnings. The P/E is the
most popular stock analysis ratio, although it is not the only one you should consider
 P/E Ratio = Stock Price / EPS
 A company with a share price of Rs.40 and an EPS of 8 would have a P/E of: (40 / 8) = 5
 P/E Ratio tells:
 High P/E ratio looked as as “over priced” stock
 Market has high hopes for this stock’s future and has bid up the price
 Low P/E ratio looked as “vote of no confidence” by market
 Market has overlooked this stock
PEG Ratio = Price to future growth ratio
 The market is usually more concerned about the future than the present
 Always looking for some way to figure out what is going to happen in the companies future
 A ratio that will help you look at future earnings growth is called the PEG ratio
 PEG = (P/E) / Project Growth in Earnings
 E.g. stock with a P/E of 30 and projected earning growth next year of 15% would have a PEG of 30 / 15 = 2
 Technically speaking: The lower the PEG number, the less you pay for each unit of future earnings growth.
 So even a stock with a high P/E, but high projected earning growth may be a good value.
 To put it very simply, we are interested in stocks with a low PEG value
 PEG ratio relies on the projected % earnings. These earnings are not always accurate and so the PEG ratio is not always
accurate.
Picking the “Right” Stock – Criteria
 Market Cap of the company should be >1000 Crores
 Good management & governance in place
 Major shareholders of the company should be institutional investors
 Share capital - number of shares given by company should NOT be increasing drastically
 Cash flow - operating activity should positive and healthy growth
 Company should be a leader in the segment and should have unique strengths
 Profit After Tax (PAT) trend should be increasing
 The company should be giving higher dividends on regular basis
 P/E Ratio: A low P/E stock is preferable over high PE assuming other factors of the company are
same.
 EPS should be high compared to competitors
Thank You

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Stock Market for Beginners

  • 1. Stock Investments for Beginners Natesh Bhargav
  • 2. DISCLAIMER I am NOT an investment advisor nor a financial advisor, and no information provided here is to be interpreted as a suggestion to buy or sell stocks.
  • 3. What are stocks?  Stock is a share in the ownership of a company  Claim on the company's assets and earnings  More Stocks = Greater Stakes in the company  Shares = Equity = Stocks = All are same  Stock certificate = piece of paper that is proof of your ownership  Demat account = No “stock certificates”. Everything will be done though the computer electronically
  • 4. Holding = Stock ownership  Means that you are one of the many owners (shareholders) of a company  You have claim to everything the company owns - tiny little piece of all the furniture, every trademark, Profit etc…  You are entitled to your share of the company's earnings as well  Shareholder = No say in the day-to-day running of the business  Shareholder = Voting rights to elect (or remove) Board of Directors  Limited liability = as a stock owner not liable for companies debts
  • 5. Why does company issue stocks?  Methods of raising funds  Equity financing = Raise money through stocks = No need to pay back money or interest  Debt financing = taking loan from bank or bonds = has to pay back to bank  IPO (Initial Public Offering) = The first sale of stock  Equity Investment = No guarantees, Risk of losing the money  Debt Investment (Bond) = Guaranteed principal + interest
  • 6. Why does Stock prices go up/down?  Because of supply and demand  Demand = More people want to buy than sell = Prices goes up  Supply = More people want to sell than buy = Prices goes down  Sell and Buy depends on how company is performing & market sentiments  Earnings of a company = Profit  Company Results beats Dalal Street = Stocks goes up else goes down  Market sentiments high = Stocks goes up else goes down
  • 7. Sensex & Nifty  NSE = National Stock Exchange (in Mumbai) , BSE = Bombay Stock Exchange (in Mumbai)  Many other stock exchanges in India, but most of the trading done in NSE & BSE  Sensex is an “index” = Indicator  Gives an idea “most” of the stocks have gone up or down  Sensex = Indicator for all major companies in BSE  Nifty = Indicator for all major companies in NSE
  • 8. Other Indexes  Large Cap Index = Indicates how large cap companies doing  Mid Cap Index = Indicates how mid cap companies doing  Small Cap Index = Indicates how mid cap companies doing
  • 9. New Investor – Ground Rules & Things to Remember  Invest money you can afford to lose  Use your brain = don’t completely rely on others advice  Do your home work & examine facts about the company  Stock Market = Full of Savvy investors  98% of people lose money  Some people are promoting wrong stocks (because they have invested)  Buy the stock at a fair price and hold the stock for long-period.  The stock will ultimately go up if a business does well  Invest in good companies when everyone is fearing  Don’t try to time the market – it is not possible
  • 10. Stock Picking – Analysis  Fundamental Analysis  Based on core financials (Market cap, P/E ratio, Management etc…)  Technical Analysis  Based on the study of prices and volume  Looks at stock chart, buying behavior etc..  More complicated than fundamental analysis
  • 11. Fundamental Analysis  Based on financial and economic analysis to predict stock movement  Analysis include – financial reports, non-financial info like product demand, govt policies etc…  It is all about finding the “Real” or “Intrinsic” value of stock (Not easy!!)  If Real value of stock < Current Market Price (CMP) = SELL  If Real value of stock > Current Market Price (CMP) = BUY
  • 12. How to find “Real” value of a stock?  First, Analyze the overall economy then the company you are interested in  Find out about company & products as much as possible  Competitive Advantage – Management experience, Performance history, Product lines, Growth potential, brand name, low cost production etc…  Market share – How big? It is growing or shrinking?  Financial Parameters & Ratios – EBITDA, EPS, P/E, PAT etc…  Not only do we want our stock price to rise, we want it to rise FAST!  The price of the stock does not make a stock good to buy  Important = How much is the stock likely to rise & how fast?
  • 13. % Rise of Stock is important not the price  If the Rs.500 stock becomes worth Rs.540, then that is a 8% rise. This 8% rise only makes us Rs.40. On the other hand when we invest the same Rs.500 in the 50paise stock and the stock price goes up to Rs.1, it is a 100% rise as the stock price has doubled. This 100% rise makes us Rs.500.  So, picking a company = Whose stock price will rise by a large percentage  Challenges:  How do you compare a stock worth Rs.500 to a stock worth 50paise and figure out which one will have a higher percentage rise?  How do you compare two companies that are in different fields and different industries?  How do you know which one is fundamentally strong and which one is weak?  Solution: Use fundamental analysis tools & ratios
  • 14. Tools & Ratios  EPS = Earnings Per Share  Even comparing the earnings of one company to another really doesn’t make any sense because it will not tell how many shares company has  Because you do not know how many shares a company has, you do not know how many parts that companies earnings have to be divided into  If the company has more shares, the earnings will be divided into more parts.  For example, companies A and B both earn Rs.100, but company A has 10 shares outstanding, so each share holder has in effect earned Rs.10. If B has 20 shares, each share holder earns Rs 2  EPS = Net Earnings / Outstanding shares  EPS is not the only basis for comparing companies
  • 15. P/E Ratio  P/E Ratio tells what market thinks of a stock = market likes or dislikes the stock  The P/E looks at the relationship between the stock price and the company’s earnings. The P/E is the most popular stock analysis ratio, although it is not the only one you should consider  P/E Ratio = Stock Price / EPS  A company with a share price of Rs.40 and an EPS of 8 would have a P/E of: (40 / 8) = 5  P/E Ratio tells:  High P/E ratio looked as as “over priced” stock  Market has high hopes for this stock’s future and has bid up the price  Low P/E ratio looked as “vote of no confidence” by market  Market has overlooked this stock
  • 16. PEG Ratio = Price to future growth ratio  The market is usually more concerned about the future than the present  Always looking for some way to figure out what is going to happen in the companies future  A ratio that will help you look at future earnings growth is called the PEG ratio  PEG = (P/E) / Project Growth in Earnings  E.g. stock with a P/E of 30 and projected earning growth next year of 15% would have a PEG of 30 / 15 = 2  Technically speaking: The lower the PEG number, the less you pay for each unit of future earnings growth.  So even a stock with a high P/E, but high projected earning growth may be a good value.  To put it very simply, we are interested in stocks with a low PEG value  PEG ratio relies on the projected % earnings. These earnings are not always accurate and so the PEG ratio is not always accurate.
  • 17. Picking the “Right” Stock – Criteria  Market Cap of the company should be >1000 Crores  Good management & governance in place  Major shareholders of the company should be institutional investors  Share capital - number of shares given by company should NOT be increasing drastically  Cash flow - operating activity should positive and healthy growth  Company should be a leader in the segment and should have unique strengths  Profit After Tax (PAT) trend should be increasing  The company should be giving higher dividends on regular basis  P/E Ratio: A low P/E stock is preferable over high PE assuming other factors of the company are same.  EPS should be high compared to competitors

Editor's Notes

  1. If you invest Rs.500 in one stock of Rs.500 and the price goes up to Rs.540 you will make Rs.40. However, if you invest Rs.500 in a 50paise stock, you will have 1000 stocks. If the price of the stock goes up from 50paise to Rs.1, then the Rs.500 you invested is now Rs.1000. You made a profit of Rs.500. 
  2. Market Cap of the company should be >1000 Crores, so that company is big enough and some level of governance in place and it will not vanish over night Major shareholders of the company should be institutional investors like mutual fund investors like  Birla Mutual fund, Franklin Templeton, LIC etc..  with less retail investors like you and me. Share capital - number of shares given by company should not be increasing drastically other than bonus shares or stock split Cash flow - operating activity should positive and healthy growth Company should be a leader in the segment and should have unique strengths & business proposition (e.g. Bosch is a leader in hydroelectric turbines, there is no competition) Profit after Tax (PAT) should be increasing Whether the company is giving dividends on regular basis, Dividend Yield - Generally, a company with higher dividend yield is preferred since high dividend yield means investors will get more cash in comparison to low dividend yield companies. PE Ratio: Generally, a low PE stock is preferable over high PE assuming other factors of the company are same.