In Stock Market Prediction, the aim is to predict the future value of the financial stocks of a company. The recent trend in stock market prediction technologies is the use of machine learning which makes predictions based on the values of current stock market indices by training on their previous values. Machine learning itself employs different models to make prediction easier and authentic.
Stock Price Trend Forecasting using Supervised LearningSharvil Katariya
The aim of the project is to examine a number of different forecasting techniques to predict future stock returns based on past returns and numerical user-generated content to construct a portfolio of multiple stocks in order to diversify the risk. We do this by applying supervised learning methods for stock price forecasting by interpreting the seemingly chaotic market data.
Stock Price Trend Forecasting using Supervised LearningSharvil Katariya
The aim of the project is to examine a number of different forecasting techniques to predict future stock returns based on past returns and numerical user-generated content to construct a portfolio of multiple stocks in order to diversify the risk. We do this by applying supervised learning methods for stock price forecasting by interpreting the seemingly chaotic market data.
Stock Market Prediction using Machine LearningAravind Balaji
REPO : https://github.com/rvndbalaji/StockMarketPrediction
Stock Market Prediction using Machine
This is a presentation on Stock Market Prediction application built using R.
This is a part of final year engineering project
Presentation given on TechnicalAnalyst.com event "Machine learning techniques in finance" on 17th November 2016.
- What is machine learning and how it can help predict finnacial markets
- Technical stock analysis vs. behavioural news and social media analysis
- How machine learning can be applied to technical analysis in the stock market
- How machine learning can be applied to new/social media analysis
STOCK MARKET PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING METHODSIAEME Publication
Stock price forecasting is a popular and important topic in financial and academic
studies. Share market is an volatile place for predicting since there are no significant
rules to estimate or predict the price of a share in the share market. Many methods
like technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis and statistical
analysis etc. are used to predict the price in tie share market but none of these
methods are proved as a consistently acceptable prediction tool. In this paper, we
implemented a Random Forest approach to predict stock market prices. Random
Forests are very effectively implemented in forecasting stock prices, returns, and stock
modeling. We outline the design of the Random Forest with its salient features and
customizable parameters. We focus on a certain group of parameters with a relatively
significant impact on the share price of a company. With the help of sentiment
analysis, we found the polarity score of the new article and that helped in forecasting
accurate result. Although share market can never be predicted with hundred per-cent
accuracy due to its vague domain, this paper aims at proving the efficiency of Random
forest for forecasting the stock prices
The aim of the project is to determine the forecasting techniques to determine future stock prices of IT stocks using time series analysis & determining the maximum risk involved using Monte Carlo techniques
House Price Prediction An AI Approach.Nahian Ahmed
Suppose you have a house. And you want to sell it. Through House Price Prediction project you can predict the price from previous sell history.
And we make this prediction using Machine Learning.
Stock Market Prediction using Machine LearningAravind Balaji
REPO : https://github.com/rvndbalaji/StockMarketPrediction
Stock Market Prediction using Machine
This is a presentation on Stock Market Prediction application built using R.
This is a part of final year engineering project
Presentation given on TechnicalAnalyst.com event "Machine learning techniques in finance" on 17th November 2016.
- What is machine learning and how it can help predict finnacial markets
- Technical stock analysis vs. behavioural news and social media analysis
- How machine learning can be applied to technical analysis in the stock market
- How machine learning can be applied to new/social media analysis
STOCK MARKET PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING METHODSIAEME Publication
Stock price forecasting is a popular and important topic in financial and academic
studies. Share market is an volatile place for predicting since there are no significant
rules to estimate or predict the price of a share in the share market. Many methods
like technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis and statistical
analysis etc. are used to predict the price in tie share market but none of these
methods are proved as a consistently acceptable prediction tool. In this paper, we
implemented a Random Forest approach to predict stock market prices. Random
Forests are very effectively implemented in forecasting stock prices, returns, and stock
modeling. We outline the design of the Random Forest with its salient features and
customizable parameters. We focus on a certain group of parameters with a relatively
significant impact on the share price of a company. With the help of sentiment
analysis, we found the polarity score of the new article and that helped in forecasting
accurate result. Although share market can never be predicted with hundred per-cent
accuracy due to its vague domain, this paper aims at proving the efficiency of Random
forest for forecasting the stock prices
The aim of the project is to determine the forecasting techniques to determine future stock prices of IT stocks using time series analysis & determining the maximum risk involved using Monte Carlo techniques
House Price Prediction An AI Approach.Nahian Ahmed
Suppose you have a house. And you want to sell it. Through House Price Prediction project you can predict the price from previous sell history.
And we make this prediction using Machine Learning.
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2. BRIEF DESCRIPTION
In Stock Market Prediction, the aim is to predict the future
value of the financial stocks of a company. The recent trend
in stock market prediction technologies is the use of
machine learning which makes predictions based on the
values of current stock market indices by training on their
previous values. Machine learning itself employs different
models to make prediction easier and authentic.
1
3. Technical
Objective
The technical objectives will be
implemented in R. The system must
be able to access a list of historical
prices. It must calculate the
estimated price of stock based on
the historical data. It must also
provide an instantaneous
visualization of the market index.
2
10. Requirement
Analysis
After the extensive analysis of the problems in
the system. we are familiarized with the
requirement that the current system needs. The
requirement that the system needs is
categorized into the functional and non-
functional requirements. These requirements are
listed below:
6
11. Functional Requirements
Stock Id = use to know which id stock belongs to
Stock name = helps to track which stock I am
monitoring
Stock value = need to know what value is it at
beginning and ending
Admin = person who going to do all the work
Date = helps to monitor stock day by day
General index = to keep track for everything
Monitor = helps to view all the stocks graph
Printer = to print out results
Data = code we will be using to find out the
stock price
Max value = maximum value for stock
6
Min value = minimum value for stock when its start
Stock price = a constant price which we need to
start with
Stock quantity = amount of stock we will be
investing.
Closing price = the value of stock at end of the day
one
Market price = comparison for stocks in regular
market
Actual value = compare the new value with actual
day value
Result = finally the result for knowing the stocks
(predictions)
12. Non-Functional Requirements
1. Reliability: The reliability of the product will be dependent on the accuracy of the data-date
of purchase, how much stock was purchased, high and low value range as well as opening
and closing figures. Also the stock data used in the training would determine the reliability
of the software.
2. Security: The user will only be able to access the website using his login details and will not
be able to access the computations happening at the back end.
3. Maintainability: The maintenance of the product would require training of the software by
recent data so that their commendations are up to date. The database must be updated
with recent values.
4. Portability: The website is completely portable and the recommendations completely
trustworthy as the data is dynamically updated.
5. Interoperability: The interoperability of the website is very high because it synchronize all
the database with the warp server.
7
13. Select a process model, justify
Machine learning has significant applications in the stock price
prediction. In this machine learning project, we will be talking about
predicting the returns on stocks. We will develop this project with
following steps:
First, we will learn how to predict stock price using the LSTM
neural network.
Then we will build a dashboard using Plotly dash for stock
analysis. Then,
The system will be able to access a list of historical prices and It
will calculate the estimated price of stock based on the historical
data.
8
18. Security/safety
concerns
Stock market prediction has always had a certain
appeal for everyone. In fundamental and
technical approaches, stock market price
movements are believed to derive from a
security’s relative data. Information from quarterly
reports or breaking news stories can dramatically
affect the share price of a security. Stock market is
where prices are determined randomly and
outperforming the market is infeasible. Market
timing is critical and opportunities can be found
through the careful averaging of historical price
and volume moments and comparing them
against current prices. The further reason that
price movements are not totally random, however,
technical analysis is considered to be more of an
art from rather than a science and is subject to
interpretation.
10
23. CMM
Description
CMM stands for the Capability Maturity Model.
CMM developed by adapting the Total Quality
Management to use for Software Development
and changed the name to Capability Maturity
Model. The CMM for software is a structure that
emphasizes on processes for software
development. It was developed by observing
best practices in software organization as well as
non-software organization. Therefore, the
collective process experience and expectations
of many companies are reflected the CMM for
software. The CMM for the software can be used
both to evaluate the software process of an
organization and to plan process improvements
13
24. CMM
Levels
Level 1: $ 10,000
Very Low
Level 2: $ 20,000 Low
Level 3: $ 30,000
Normal
Level 4: $ 40,000
High
Level 5: $ 50,000
Very High.
My Project is of Level 1:
$ 10,000
I choose level 1 because
the system itself is not
complex, especially on the
level of Linux, however it’s
not a simple system either.
13
25. Case Tool
Utilization
Programming Tools: Managing process concerned with defining goals for company’s
future direction and determining on the missions and resources to achieve those
targets.
Editing tools: Need to fix and edit website for better use.
Documentation tools: The information that describes the product to its users. It
consists of technical manuals of product and online information.
Change management tools: It is on us to deal with the change from the perspective
of an organization and individual is a systematic approach.
Configuration management tools: Ensuring the proper accounting of a configuration
items and of the interrelationship between in and operation environment. It is
governance and system engineering process, and its software and capabilities are
necessary to deliver services for an organization.
Testing Tools: finding how it works and if error occurs it should be fixed.
Re-engineering tools: Involves reserving a program’s machine code back into the
source code. To duplicate or enhance the object to see how it works.
14
26. Software duration estimate
Nominal effect = 3.2 x (KDSI)1.05 person-month person-months
The constants 3.2 and 1.05 are the values that best fitted the
data on the organic mode
products used by Boehm to develop intermediate
COCOMO.
3.2 x (10) 1.05 = 35 person-months
15
27. Software Cost Estimate
Cost estimate of $10,000 during the
requirements workflow
Likely actual cost is in the range
($0.25k, $4k)
Cost estimate of $10,000 at the end
of the requirements workflow
Likely actual cost is in the range
($0.5k, $2k)
Cost estimate of $10,000 at the end
of the analysis workflow (earliest
appropriate time)
Likely actual cost is in the range
($9k, $10k)
16
Level 1: $ 10,000
Very Low
Assembler Version Ada Version
Source code size
Development costs
KDSI per person-month
Cost per source statement
Function points per person-
month
Cost per function point
7KDSI
$1,000
0.2
$10
0.2
$635
2 KDSI
$5000
0.211
$15
1.8
$500
29. Layer
Attributes
Private long serialVersionUID = 2L
Operations
Public Layer ( )
Public Layer( intneuronsNum, NeuronPropertiesneuronProperties )
Public void setParentNetwork(NeuralNetwork parent)
Public NeuralNetworkgetParentNetwork( )
Public iterator<Neuron>getNeuronsIterator( )
Public Neuron[0..*] getNeurons( ) Public void addNeuron( Neuron neuron)
Public void addNeuron( intidx, Neuron neuron)
Public void setNeuron( intidx, Neuron neuron)
Public void removeNeuron( Neuron neuron)
Public void removeNeuronAt( intidx )
Public Neuron getNeuronAt( intidx )
Public intindexOf( Neuron neuron )
Public intgetNeuronCount ( )
Public void calculate( ) Public void reset( )
Public void randomizeWeights( )
Fig 1.UML Class Diagram for the Layer.
NeuralNetwok
Attributes
Private long serialVersionUID = 3L
Private thread learningThread
Operations
Public NeuralNetwork
Public void addLayer( Layer layer)
Public void addLayer( intidx, Layer layer)
Public void removeLayer( Layer layer)
Public void removeLayer( intidx)
Public Iterator<Layer>getLayersIterator( )
Public Layer[0..*] getLayers( )
Public Layer getLayerAt( intidx)
Public intindexOf(Layer layer)
Public intgetLayersCount( )
Public void setInput( Double inputVector[0..*])
Public void setinput( )
Public Double[0..*] getOutput( )
Public Double[0..*] getOutputAsArray( )
Public void calculate( )
Public void reset( )
Public void run( )
Public void learn( TrainingSettrainingSetToLearn )
Public void learnNewThread( TrainingSettrainingSetToLearn )
Public void learnNewThread( TrainingSettrainingSetToLearn,
LearningRulelearningRule )
Public void learnInSameThread( TrainingSettrainingSetToLearn )
Public void
learnSameThread(TrainingSettrainingSetToLearn, LearningRulelearningRule)
Public void stopLearning( )
Public void randomizeWeights( )
Public NeuralNetworkTypegetNetworkType( )
Public void setNetworkType( NeuralNetworkType type)
Public Neuron[0..*] getInputNeurons( )
Public void setInputNeurons( Neuron inputNeurons[0..*] )
Public Neuron[0..*] getoutputNeurons( )
Fig 2.UML Class Diagram for the NeuralNetwork.
17
17
39. Verification and Validation
Verification
Verification is the process of checking that
a software achieves its goal without any
bugs. It is the process to ensure whether
the product that is developed is right or
not. It verifies whether the developed
product fulfills the requirements that we
have.
Verification is Static Testing.
Validation:
Validation is the process of checking
whether the software product is up to the
mark or in other words product has high
level requirements. It is the process of
checking the validation of product i.e. it
checks what we are developing is the
right product. it is validation of actual and
expected product.
Validation is the Dynamic Testing.
25
40. DECOMMISSION PLAN
Develop a new ,up to date software system
Plan for seamless transfer to the new SW
system
Testing
Training
preparation Plan
Load the system on back-up main frame
Transfer to primary on a quiet Sunday
Fix any problem
try for a seamless transfer again
Items to be considered
26
41. DECOMMISSION PLAN
SCAN: SCANS THE
DATA SEND TO THE
DATABASE.
SEARCH: FINDS THE WORDS
DEFINITION/TRANSLATION OF
THE DATA REQUIREMENT.
SELECT: CHOOSE THE
RIGHT
DEFINITION/TRANSLATI
ON OF THE REQUIRED
DATA.
SEND TRANSFER THAT
REQUIRED BACK TO
WHERE IT IS REQUIRED.
RECEIVE: TRANSFER
INPUT DATA FROM THE
INPUT DEVICE
26
46. TELECOMM,HUB,
SWITCH,CORNING,ROU
TER,FIREWALL,5G
Telecom - Telecommunication is the
transmission of information by various types
of technologies over wire, radio, optical or
other electromagnetic systems.
Hub - a physical layer networking device
which is used to connect multiple devices in
a network
Switch -A switch is a device in a computer
network that connects other devices together
Corning - A company that focuses on
providing cellular coverage and land
deployment to businesses
Router - a networking device that forwards
data packets between computer networks
Firewall - a network security system that
monitors and controls incoming and
outgoing network traffic based on
predetermined security rules
5G - the fifth-generation technology
standard for broadband cellular networks
29
47. CYBER
SECURITY,ATTACKS,DEFENSE.
Cyber Security: the protection of internet-connected systems such as
hardware, software and data from cyber-threats. The practice is used by
individuals and enterprises to protect against unauthorized access to data
centers and other computerized systems.
Cloud Security: cloud computing security or, more simply, cloud security
refers to a broad set of policies, technologies, applications, and controls
utilized to protect virtualized IP, data, applications, services, and the
associated infrastructure of cloud computing
Digital Forensics: Digital forensics is the modem day version of forensic
science and deals with the recovery and investigation of material found in
digital devices. It is most often used in cybercrime situations, including but
not limited to attribution. identifying leaks within an organization.
Firewalls: A firewall is a system designed to prevent unauthorized access to
or from a private network. You can implement a firewall in either hardware
or software form, or a combination of both. Firewalls prevent unauthorized
internet users from accessing private networks connected to the internet,
especially intranets.
30
50. The Algorithm
I thought of a different
way of creating a bot to
decide to buy/sell a
stock today given the
stock’s history. In essence
you just predict the
opening value of the
stock for the next day,
and if it is beyond a
threshold amount you
buy the stock. If it is
below another threshold
amount, sell the stock.
32