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Startup Valuation
Methods and Procedures
Vahid Fakhr
VentureCapitalist
2021
Vahid Fakhr
❖ MBA Graduated
❖ Venture Capital Principal at Lotus Investment Bank
❖ Previous Program manager OF TAC Accelerator
❖ Startup & VCs Fundraising Consultant
❖ The lean product playbook By Dan Olsen (Translate)
❖ Secretes of Sandhill Road By Scut Kupor (Translate)
Introduction
Startup Phases
Development Fundraising
Fundraising models
➢ Bootstrapping your business
➢ winning contests
➢ Friends and Family
➢ Crowdfunding
➢ Incubators and Accelerators
➢ Angel investor
➢ Bank Loan
➢ Non-Banking Financial Corporations (NBFCs)
➢ Venture Capital
The Best Choice?!
Advantages of VC funding
➢Debt FREE!
➢Experts
➢New Markets and Investors
➢Trustworthy
➢key management skills
➢VC portfolio
➢Real Value!
➢The Exit (Method?)
Disadvantages?!
➢ Loan or debt-based
fundraising
➢ Royalty Financing
➢ Convertible Debt or
Convertible Note
➢ Equity
VCs Fundraising Types
ImportantFactorsfor
Valuation
1-Team
2-Market Size (PAM, TAM, SAM, SOM)
3-Benchmark
4-Business Model (Specially Revenue Model)
5-Cash Need & Burn Rate
6-Historical Data (Growth & KPIs)
7-Financial Projection (Startup’s Bible)
8-StartupAge & Time to Maturity
9- Competition and maturity of market
10- Sum of above= Risk!
11-ETC.
Valuation Consideration
■ Definition of “startup” when we talk about “valuation for
startups”
■ Value = monetary estimate of the benefit from owning an
asset or the right to exploit an asset
■ Stock purchase vs. fundraise
■ Value lies in the eyes of the beholder
■ Valuation across business life cycle
■ Industry-specific valuation
■ More of an art than a science (is a systematic, disciplined
approach, not a science)
■ Overvaluation / Undervaluation
■ Post-money / Pre-money valuation
■ Discount Rate= DR
■ What is valuation in real?
Startup Valuation Methods
Time to Maturity
First Chicago
Valuation Variance
Value
Growth
Income Statement (P& L)
-Ratios= Profit Margin, EBIT
& EBITDA Margin
Revenue & Expense Growth,
Revenue/Each Cost …
-Working Capital
-FCF= Free Cash Flow
-Differences Between FCF &
Net Income
-….
Multiple Methode
■ EV / GMV
■ EV / S
■ EV / R
■ EV / EBITDA
■ EV / E
■ EV = Enterprise Value = Market Cap – Cash + Debt
■ EV = Market Cap – Cash – Short-term investment
– Assets held for sale – Long term financial assets +
Short-term financial debt + Long-term financial debt
EV REVENUE EV/REVENUE
Company 2018 2019 TTM NTM
Booking Holding 81.57 14.44 15.29 5.65 5.33
Expedia Holding 19.94 9.26 9.9 2.15 2.01
Ctrip 18.63 4.5 5.35 4.14 3.48
MakeMyTrip 2.09 0.486 0.659 4.30 3.17
Travelzoo 0.198 0.111 0.118 1.78 1.68
TripAdvisor 5.65 1.61 1.69 3.51 3.34
trivago 1.29 0.914 0.966 1.41 1.34
Despegar 0.567 0.53 0.522 1.07 1.09
Yatra 0.183 0.112 0.0731 1.63 2.50
AVERAGE 2.85 2.66
MEDIAN 2.15 2.50
Multiple Method
IN NTM & LTM
Post-Money Valuation = EV/X(Market Multiple Rate) *(1- DLOM)*X’(Actual Value of X in startup)
EV/R=3 , Startup Revenue LTM= 100,Dlom=25%, Pre-Money Valuation= 3*100*(1-0.25)=225
IN Projection
Post-Money Valuation = (EV/X(Market Multiple Rate) *(1- DLOM)*X’(Actual Value of X in startup))/(1+DR)^Maturity Year
EV/R=3 , Startup Revenue In Year 5= 500,Dlom=25%, DR=60%, Pre-Money Valuation= 3*500*(1-0.25) /(1+0.6)^5= 107
DCF (Discounted Cash Flows)Method
Terminal Value
WACC= TERMINAL DR
G= Fundamental Growth
YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 N
DR 90% 75% 65% 60% 55% 45%
Sources
THELEANPRODUCTPLA
YBOOK
DanOlsen
SECRETSOFSANDHILLROAD
SCOTTKUPOR
THEDARKSIDEofVALUATION
ASWATHDAMODARAN
VentureDeals
BradFeld,JasonMendelson
Thank You
Vahid Fakhr LinkedIn
VahidFakhr@Gmail.com
VahidF24
ForFiles,Booksandotherusefuldata
@investingfund

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Startup valuation 2021 by vahid fakhr

  • 1. Startup Valuation Methods and Procedures Vahid Fakhr VentureCapitalist 2021
  • 2. Vahid Fakhr ❖ MBA Graduated ❖ Venture Capital Principal at Lotus Investment Bank ❖ Previous Program manager OF TAC Accelerator ❖ Startup & VCs Fundraising Consultant ❖ The lean product playbook By Dan Olsen (Translate) ❖ Secretes of Sandhill Road By Scut Kupor (Translate) Introduction
  • 4. Fundraising models ➢ Bootstrapping your business ➢ winning contests ➢ Friends and Family ➢ Crowdfunding ➢ Incubators and Accelerators ➢ Angel investor ➢ Bank Loan ➢ Non-Banking Financial Corporations (NBFCs) ➢ Venture Capital
  • 5. The Best Choice?! Advantages of VC funding ➢Debt FREE! ➢Experts ➢New Markets and Investors ➢Trustworthy ➢key management skills ➢VC portfolio ➢Real Value! ➢The Exit (Method?) Disadvantages?!
  • 6. ➢ Loan or debt-based fundraising ➢ Royalty Financing ➢ Convertible Debt or Convertible Note ➢ Equity VCs Fundraising Types
  • 7. ImportantFactorsfor Valuation 1-Team 2-Market Size (PAM, TAM, SAM, SOM) 3-Benchmark 4-Business Model (Specially Revenue Model) 5-Cash Need & Burn Rate 6-Historical Data (Growth & KPIs) 7-Financial Projection (Startup’s Bible) 8-StartupAge & Time to Maturity 9- Competition and maturity of market 10- Sum of above= Risk! 11-ETC.
  • 8. Valuation Consideration ■ Definition of “startup” when we talk about “valuation for startups” ■ Value = monetary estimate of the benefit from owning an asset or the right to exploit an asset ■ Stock purchase vs. fundraise ■ Value lies in the eyes of the beholder ■ Valuation across business life cycle ■ Industry-specific valuation ■ More of an art than a science (is a systematic, disciplined approach, not a science) ■ Overvaluation / Undervaluation ■ Post-money / Pre-money valuation ■ Discount Rate= DR ■ What is valuation in real?
  • 9. Startup Valuation Methods Time to Maturity First Chicago
  • 11. Income Statement (P& L) -Ratios= Profit Margin, EBIT & EBITDA Margin Revenue & Expense Growth, Revenue/Each Cost … -Working Capital -FCF= Free Cash Flow -Differences Between FCF & Net Income -….
  • 12. Multiple Methode ■ EV / GMV ■ EV / S ■ EV / R ■ EV / EBITDA ■ EV / E ■ EV = Enterprise Value = Market Cap – Cash + Debt ■ EV = Market Cap – Cash – Short-term investment – Assets held for sale – Long term financial assets + Short-term financial debt + Long-term financial debt EV REVENUE EV/REVENUE Company 2018 2019 TTM NTM Booking Holding 81.57 14.44 15.29 5.65 5.33 Expedia Holding 19.94 9.26 9.9 2.15 2.01 Ctrip 18.63 4.5 5.35 4.14 3.48 MakeMyTrip 2.09 0.486 0.659 4.30 3.17 Travelzoo 0.198 0.111 0.118 1.78 1.68 TripAdvisor 5.65 1.61 1.69 3.51 3.34 trivago 1.29 0.914 0.966 1.41 1.34 Despegar 0.567 0.53 0.522 1.07 1.09 Yatra 0.183 0.112 0.0731 1.63 2.50 AVERAGE 2.85 2.66 MEDIAN 2.15 2.50
  • 13. Multiple Method IN NTM & LTM Post-Money Valuation = EV/X(Market Multiple Rate) *(1- DLOM)*X’(Actual Value of X in startup) EV/R=3 , Startup Revenue LTM= 100,Dlom=25%, Pre-Money Valuation= 3*100*(1-0.25)=225 IN Projection Post-Money Valuation = (EV/X(Market Multiple Rate) *(1- DLOM)*X’(Actual Value of X in startup))/(1+DR)^Maturity Year EV/R=3 , Startup Revenue In Year 5= 500,Dlom=25%, DR=60%, Pre-Money Valuation= 3*500*(1-0.25) /(1+0.6)^5= 107
  • 14. DCF (Discounted Cash Flows)Method
  • 15. Terminal Value WACC= TERMINAL DR G= Fundamental Growth YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 N DR 90% 75% 65% 60% 55% 45%
  • 17. Thank You Vahid Fakhr LinkedIn VahidFakhr@Gmail.com VahidF24 ForFiles,Booksandotherusefuldata @investingfund