Starting Up Startups.
    Methods, Magic, Meta of
  Building Startup Ecosystems




                 Dave McClure
                  500 Startups
                    Rio, Mar 2013
             slideshare.net/dmc500hats
500 Startups
            Global Seed Fund & Startup Accelerator
• What is 500?
   –   $60M+ under management
   –   20 people / 10 investing partners
   –   Locations: SV, NYC, MEX, BRZ, IND, CHN, SEasia
   –   1000+ Founders / 200+ Mentors
   –   20+ confs/events per year
• 475+ Portfolio Co’s / 30+ Countries
   –   Wildfire (acq GOOG, $350M)
   –   Twilio
   –   SendGrid
   –   TaskRabbit
   –   MakerBot
   –   9GAG
   –   Viki
   –   Gengo
   –   VivaReal
500 Startups: Global Seed Fund
              100+ startup investments in 30+ countries




• Q4/12 added: Germany, Korea, Peru; + Russia, Israel, Turkey in Q1/13
• Priorities in 2012: Brazil, Mexico, India
• Priorities In 2013: China, SE Asia, MENA, Eastern Europe
This Talk...

• Startup Weekend: WTF?
  ⇒ “Simulation Exercises 4 Startups”
  ⇒ 4 Geeks, Designers, Founders, Startup Teams
  ⇒ 4 Organizers, Partners, Investors, etc


 What does it do well?
 What doesn’t it do so well?
 What can be improved? How? Who? When?

• 3Ms: Metrics, Money, Mentorship
Startup Weekend: #WINNING
•   Test Drive an Idea -> Prototype
•   Test Drive a Co-Founder / Team -> Startup
•   Test Drive Customers, Workflow, Design, etc
•   Recruiting (for Startups, for Corps, for VCs)
•   Getaway from Ur Normal Boring Fucking Life
Startup Weekend: #FAIL
• Not Enough Time.…             • Not Enough Structure.…
  –   2 Build a “Real” Product/Biz   –   2 Come Up With “Good” Idea
  –   2 Get 2 Know Co-Founder/Team   –   2 Find Skilled Devs, Design
  –   2 Find/Scale Customers         –   2 Find/Scale Customers
  –   2 Get Funded                  –   2 Get Funded 
Startup Weekend: #MO.BETTAH?
•   Mo’ Structure / Organizers
•   Mo’ MO-nay $$$ (Sponsors, Investors)
•   Mo’ Experienced Entrepreneurs (WIN, FAIL)
•   Mo’ Skilled Devs, Design/UX, Marketing
•   Mo’ Customers / Specific Segments?
•   Mo’ Platforms for Distribution / Monetization
•   Mo’ Specific Outcomes, Metrics, Results:
    – Problems not Products (see: Customer Needs)
    – Teams not Individuals (see: FounderDating, other?)
    – Funding not “Winners” (see: Investors / Corp Sponsors)
The Rest of This Talk…
• Too Many Boring Fucking Slides
• Leave Now, Hit The Beach, Start Drinking
• (we’re in Fucking Rio, for Christ’s Sake)
The Lean VC:
           Lots of Little Bets, Incremental Investment

Method: Invest in lots of startups using incremental
 investment, iterative development. Start with many
 small experiments, filter out failures, and expand
 investment in successes… (Rinse & Repeat).

• Incubator: $0-100K (“Build & Validate Product”)
• Seed: $100K-$1M (“Test & Grow Marketing Channels””)
• Venture: $1M-$10M (“Maximize Growth & Revenue”)

    •   VC Evolution: Physician, Scale Thyself (Aug 2012)
    •   MoneyBall for Startups, 500 Startups Investment Thesis (Jul 2010)
Investment Stage #1:
  Product Validation + Customer Usage
• Structure
   – 1-3 founders
   – $25-$100K investment
   – Incubator environment: multiple peers, mentors/advisors


• Test Functional Prototype / “Minimum Viable Product” (MVP):
   –   Prototype->Alpha, ~3-6 months
   –   Develop Minimal Critical Feature Set => Get to “It Works! Someone Uses It.”
   –   Improve Design & Usability, Setup Conversion Metrics
   –   Test Small-Scale Customer Adoption (10-1000 users)

• Demonstrate Concept, Reduce Product Risk, Test Functional Use
• Develop Metrics & Filter for Possible Future Investment
Investment Stage #2:
   Market Validation + Revenue Testing
• Structure
   – 2-10 person team
   – $100K-$1M investment
   – Syndicate of Angel Investors / Small VC Funds


• Improve Product, Expand Customers, Test Revenue:
   –   Alpha->Beta, ~6-12 months
   –   Scale Customer Adoption => “Many People Use It, & They Pay.”
   –   Test Marketing Campaigns, Customer Acquisition Channels + Cost
   –   Test Revenue Generation, Find Profitable Customer Segments

• Prove Solution/Benefit, Assess Market Size
• Test Channel Cost, Revenue Opportunity
• Determine Org Structure, Key Hires
Investment Stage #3:
             Revenue Validation + Growth
• Structure
   – 5-25 person team
   – $1M-$10M investment
   – Seed & Venture Investors


• Make Money (or Go Big), Get to Sustainability:
   –   Beta->Production, 12-24 months
   –   Revenue / Growth => “We Can Make (a lot of) Money!”
   –   Mktg Plan => Predictable Channels / Campaigns + Budget
   –   Scalability & Infrastructure, Customer Service & Operations
   –   Connect with Distribution Partners, Expand Growth

• Prove/Expand Market, Operationalize Business
• Future Milestones: Profitable/Sustainable, Exit Options
FAILURE IS NECESSARY.
IT’S A PROCESS, NOT A PROBLEM
Failure = CRITICAL to Innovation
•   Failure not only tolerated, but ENCOURAGED
•   Success = Continued Iteration of Failure
•   US/SV: Failure = Growth, Education, Shared
•   Elsewhere: Failure = Shame, Silence, Death
•   Celebrity Role Models for Failure
•   “Fall Down 7 Times, Get Up 8” = Fail Warrior!
Platform Innovation
 Search, Social, Mobile
Platform Viability
Successful Platforms
have 3 Things:          Features
                        Features
1) Features
2) Users
3) Money
                   Growth             Profit
                            Nirvana

                                ..
                        Profitable
           Users
           Users           ..
                         Growth Money
                                   Money
Distribution Platforms
Customer Reach: 100M+

  • Search: Google, Baidu, Yahoo/Bing, Yandex

  • Social/Games: Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, TenCent/QQ

  • Mobile: Apple (iOS), Android


  • Local: Yelp, Groupon, LivingSocial, FourSquare

  • Media: Video (YouTube), Blogs (Tumblr), Photos (Pinterest)

  • Comm: SMS, IM, Skype, Phone/Voice, etc
Startup Investor Ecosystem
                        Bootstrap, KickStarter,
                      Crowdfunding, Startup Wknd


                  Y-Combinator
                                 Angels &
               TechStars        Incubators
                                 ($0-10M)


      SV Angel (Conway)
                                               SoftTech (Clavier)
                            “Micro-VC” Funds
    Floodgate (Maples)         ($10-100M)
                                                   Felicis (Senkut)
      First Round                                        True
                            Smaller VC Funds
   Union Square               ($100-300M)
                                                      Foundry Group


   Atomico                                                 Andreessen
                            Larger VC Funds
                                (>$300M)
Greylock                                                        Sequoia
Angel* List: It Rocks.




         •   Startups & Investors
         •   Activity & Metrics
         •   Platform & APIs
         •   Customers & Corporates

         •   *ps – not just for Angels, or USA
Big Data. Little Bets.
MoneyBall 4 Startups




                    http://slideshare.net/paulsingh/
moneyball-a-quantitative-approach-to-angel-investing-austin-tx-aug-2012

         1. Make Lots Of Little Bets
         2. Count Cards (Metrics)
         3. Double Down on Winners
“Lots of Little Bets”*
1) Make lots of little                                                 30%
  bets pre-traction,                                                 Capital
  early-stage startups



2) after 6-12 months, identify                                        70%
    top 20% performers and                                          Capital
    double-down higher $$$


3) conservative model assumes
-5-10% large exits @20X ($50-100M+)
-10-20% small exits @5X ($5-50M)




                                      22
                                           *See Peter Sims book: “Little Bets”
Bet on Singles, Not HomeRuns.
 (Look for Ichiros, Not Barry Bonds)
Startup Incubators
  Lots of Little Bets. Most FAIL.
      (but a few succeed :)
Incubator 2.0: Fast, Cheap, FAIL
• Incubators = supportive startup ecosystem (+ angels, VCs)
• Efficient use of investment capital ($0-100K)
• High fail rate (60-80%) => large initial sample size
Incubator 2.0:
  Education, Collaboration, Iteration




• Success based on:
  –   MANY, small experiments
  –   common platforms, customers, problems & solutions
  –   physical proximity, open/collaborative environment
  –   Domain-specific mentors & expertise
  –   fast fail, iteration, metrics & feedback loop
• Incremental investment; high-risk, but high-reward
Resources Accelerators Can Provide
global networks,
mentors and staff



training and space




portfolio companies



conferences & events


                       27
Incubator Innovation
• Vertically-Focused Incubators:
  –   Facebook: fbFund
  –   Nike: Sensors / Wearables
  –   Rock Health: Digital Healthcare
  –   Digital Media: Turner Media, NY Times


• Investing & Partnering with Incubators
  – Startup Communities, Conferences, Events
  – Entrepreneurs, Hackers, Mentors
  – Hackathons, Contests, Demo Days
fbFund REV
fbFund REV: Facebook “Social” Incubator: invest in startups, apps,
  websites based on Facebook platform & Facebook Connect.
•   22 startups @ ~$35K each (< $1M total)
•   3 month program: Technology, Design, Marketing, Business topics
•   Success: 8 startups raised $500K –> 5 Series A -> 3 Series B (+ 3 small exits)
•   Wildfire Interactive acquired by GOOG for $350M (>50X) 
Questions?

• Someone Get Me a Beer.

Startup Organizer Summit (Rio, 2013)

  • 1.
    Starting Up Startups. Methods, Magic, Meta of Building Startup Ecosystems Dave McClure 500 Startups Rio, Mar 2013 slideshare.net/dmc500hats
  • 2.
    500 Startups Global Seed Fund & Startup Accelerator • What is 500? – $60M+ under management – 20 people / 10 investing partners – Locations: SV, NYC, MEX, BRZ, IND, CHN, SEasia – 1000+ Founders / 200+ Mentors – 20+ confs/events per year • 475+ Portfolio Co’s / 30+ Countries – Wildfire (acq GOOG, $350M) – Twilio – SendGrid – TaskRabbit – MakerBot – 9GAG – Viki – Gengo – VivaReal
  • 3.
    500 Startups: GlobalSeed Fund 100+ startup investments in 30+ countries • Q4/12 added: Germany, Korea, Peru; + Russia, Israel, Turkey in Q1/13 • Priorities in 2012: Brazil, Mexico, India • Priorities In 2013: China, SE Asia, MENA, Eastern Europe
  • 4.
    This Talk... • StartupWeekend: WTF? ⇒ “Simulation Exercises 4 Startups” ⇒ 4 Geeks, Designers, Founders, Startup Teams ⇒ 4 Organizers, Partners, Investors, etc  What does it do well?  What doesn’t it do so well?  What can be improved? How? Who? When? • 3Ms: Metrics, Money, Mentorship
  • 5.
    Startup Weekend: #WINNING • Test Drive an Idea -> Prototype • Test Drive a Co-Founder / Team -> Startup • Test Drive Customers, Workflow, Design, etc • Recruiting (for Startups, for Corps, for VCs) • Getaway from Ur Normal Boring Fucking Life
  • 6.
    Startup Weekend: #FAIL •Not Enough Time.… • Not Enough Structure.… – 2 Build a “Real” Product/Biz – 2 Come Up With “Good” Idea – 2 Get 2 Know Co-Founder/Team – 2 Find Skilled Devs, Design – 2 Find/Scale Customers – 2 Find/Scale Customers – 2 Get Funded  – 2 Get Funded 
  • 7.
    Startup Weekend: #MO.BETTAH? • Mo’ Structure / Organizers • Mo’ MO-nay $$$ (Sponsors, Investors) • Mo’ Experienced Entrepreneurs (WIN, FAIL) • Mo’ Skilled Devs, Design/UX, Marketing • Mo’ Customers / Specific Segments? • Mo’ Platforms for Distribution / Monetization • Mo’ Specific Outcomes, Metrics, Results: – Problems not Products (see: Customer Needs) – Teams not Individuals (see: FounderDating, other?) – Funding not “Winners” (see: Investors / Corp Sponsors)
  • 8.
    The Rest ofThis Talk… • Too Many Boring Fucking Slides • Leave Now, Hit The Beach, Start Drinking • (we’re in Fucking Rio, for Christ’s Sake)
  • 9.
    The Lean VC: Lots of Little Bets, Incremental Investment Method: Invest in lots of startups using incremental investment, iterative development. Start with many small experiments, filter out failures, and expand investment in successes… (Rinse & Repeat). • Incubator: $0-100K (“Build & Validate Product”) • Seed: $100K-$1M (“Test & Grow Marketing Channels””) • Venture: $1M-$10M (“Maximize Growth & Revenue”) • VC Evolution: Physician, Scale Thyself (Aug 2012) • MoneyBall for Startups, 500 Startups Investment Thesis (Jul 2010)
  • 10.
    Investment Stage #1: Product Validation + Customer Usage • Structure – 1-3 founders – $25-$100K investment – Incubator environment: multiple peers, mentors/advisors • Test Functional Prototype / “Minimum Viable Product” (MVP): – Prototype->Alpha, ~3-6 months – Develop Minimal Critical Feature Set => Get to “It Works! Someone Uses It.” – Improve Design & Usability, Setup Conversion Metrics – Test Small-Scale Customer Adoption (10-1000 users) • Demonstrate Concept, Reduce Product Risk, Test Functional Use • Develop Metrics & Filter for Possible Future Investment
  • 11.
    Investment Stage #2: Market Validation + Revenue Testing • Structure – 2-10 person team – $100K-$1M investment – Syndicate of Angel Investors / Small VC Funds • Improve Product, Expand Customers, Test Revenue: – Alpha->Beta, ~6-12 months – Scale Customer Adoption => “Many People Use It, & They Pay.” – Test Marketing Campaigns, Customer Acquisition Channels + Cost – Test Revenue Generation, Find Profitable Customer Segments • Prove Solution/Benefit, Assess Market Size • Test Channel Cost, Revenue Opportunity • Determine Org Structure, Key Hires
  • 12.
    Investment Stage #3: Revenue Validation + Growth • Structure – 5-25 person team – $1M-$10M investment – Seed & Venture Investors • Make Money (or Go Big), Get to Sustainability: – Beta->Production, 12-24 months – Revenue / Growth => “We Can Make (a lot of) Money!” – Mktg Plan => Predictable Channels / Campaigns + Budget – Scalability & Infrastructure, Customer Service & Operations – Connect with Distribution Partners, Expand Growth • Prove/Expand Market, Operationalize Business • Future Milestones: Profitable/Sustainable, Exit Options
  • 13.
    FAILURE IS NECESSARY. IT’SA PROCESS, NOT A PROBLEM
  • 14.
    Failure = CRITICALto Innovation • Failure not only tolerated, but ENCOURAGED • Success = Continued Iteration of Failure • US/SV: Failure = Growth, Education, Shared • Elsewhere: Failure = Shame, Silence, Death • Celebrity Role Models for Failure • “Fall Down 7 Times, Get Up 8” = Fail Warrior!
  • 15.
  • 16.
    Platform Viability Successful Platforms have3 Things: Features Features 1) Features 2) Users 3) Money Growth Profit Nirvana .. Profitable Users Users .. Growth Money Money
  • 17.
    Distribution Platforms Customer Reach:100M+ • Search: Google, Baidu, Yahoo/Bing, Yandex • Social/Games: Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, TenCent/QQ • Mobile: Apple (iOS), Android • Local: Yelp, Groupon, LivingSocial, FourSquare • Media: Video (YouTube), Blogs (Tumblr), Photos (Pinterest) • Comm: SMS, IM, Skype, Phone/Voice, etc
  • 18.
    Startup Investor Ecosystem Bootstrap, KickStarter, Crowdfunding, Startup Wknd Y-Combinator Angels & TechStars Incubators ($0-10M) SV Angel (Conway) SoftTech (Clavier) “Micro-VC” Funds Floodgate (Maples) ($10-100M) Felicis (Senkut) First Round True Smaller VC Funds Union Square ($100-300M) Foundry Group Atomico Andreessen Larger VC Funds (>$300M) Greylock Sequoia
  • 19.
    Angel* List: ItRocks. • Startups & Investors • Activity & Metrics • Platform & APIs • Customers & Corporates • *ps – not just for Angels, or USA
  • 20.
  • 21.
    MoneyBall 4 Startups http://slideshare.net/paulsingh/ moneyball-a-quantitative-approach-to-angel-investing-austin-tx-aug-2012 1. Make Lots Of Little Bets 2. Count Cards (Metrics) 3. Double Down on Winners
  • 22.
    “Lots of LittleBets”* 1) Make lots of little 30% bets pre-traction, Capital early-stage startups 2) after 6-12 months, identify 70% top 20% performers and Capital double-down higher $$$ 3) conservative model assumes -5-10% large exits @20X ($50-100M+) -10-20% small exits @5X ($5-50M) 22 *See Peter Sims book: “Little Bets”
  • 23.
    Bet on Singles,Not HomeRuns. (Look for Ichiros, Not Barry Bonds)
  • 24.
    Startup Incubators Lots of Little Bets. Most FAIL. (but a few succeed :)
  • 25.
    Incubator 2.0: Fast,Cheap, FAIL • Incubators = supportive startup ecosystem (+ angels, VCs) • Efficient use of investment capital ($0-100K) • High fail rate (60-80%) => large initial sample size
  • 26.
    Incubator 2.0: Education, Collaboration, Iteration • Success based on: – MANY, small experiments – common platforms, customers, problems & solutions – physical proximity, open/collaborative environment – Domain-specific mentors & expertise – fast fail, iteration, metrics & feedback loop • Incremental investment; high-risk, but high-reward
  • 27.
    Resources Accelerators CanProvide global networks, mentors and staff training and space portfolio companies conferences & events 27
  • 28.
    Incubator Innovation • Vertically-FocusedIncubators: – Facebook: fbFund – Nike: Sensors / Wearables – Rock Health: Digital Healthcare – Digital Media: Turner Media, NY Times • Investing & Partnering with Incubators – Startup Communities, Conferences, Events – Entrepreneurs, Hackers, Mentors – Hackathons, Contests, Demo Days
  • 29.
    fbFund REV fbFund REV:Facebook “Social” Incubator: invest in startups, apps, websites based on Facebook platform & Facebook Connect. • 22 startups @ ~$35K each (< $1M total) • 3 month program: Technology, Design, Marketing, Business topics • Success: 8 startups raised $500K –> 5 Series A -> 3 Series B (+ 3 small exits) • Wildfire Interactive acquired by GOOG for $350M (>50X) 
  • 30.