S&P 500 should have significant negative growth in year 2016 and 2017. We have analyzed last 25 years of S&P % growth and US GDP % growth for our analysis. I kept this deck purposefully short. If you have any questions, please drop your comments.

1. 11
S&P 500 significant negative % growth in year 2016/2017

2. 22
Goals
 Analyze S&P 500 and US GDP year over year % growth for last 25
years
 Capture observations and predictions
 Keep it short and simple!
 Data Source:
– S&P % year over year growth data is taken from Yahoo
– USA GDP % growth year over year is taken from world bank

3. 33
GDP and S&P 500 % growth change
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP and S&P % growth
GDP % Growth S&P500 % Growth

4. 44
Pattern of S&P 500 % growth change
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP and S&P % growth
GDP % Growth S&P500 % Growth
A A V
A A
V A A
V A A V?Chart
Shape

5. 55
Observations from chart
Year Chart Pattern
1990 – 1995 A A V
1995 – 2002 A A V
2002 – 2009 A A V
2009 – 2017 A A V?
 Pattern uses two font size
– Pattern Size “A” indicates % change >10%
– Pattern Size ” A” indicates % change <=10%
– Pattern V captures negative % growth

6. 66
Signals & Predictions
 In case AAV pattern repeats and V shape follows pattern something
like year 2008
– In year 2016 we may see significant negative growth of S&P 500
 In case AAV pattern repeats and V shape follows pattern something
like year 2002
– In year 2017 we may see significant negative growth of S&P 500
 S&P 500 negative % growth precedes GDP negative % growth
– If AAV pattern repeats, US GDP may go down in year 2017 or 2018