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Trends for Global Supply
Chains in 2010
June 23, 2010
IDC Overview
 IDC is the premier independent global market
  intelligence, events, and advisory firm for information
  technology, telecommunications, and consumer
  technology markets (ICT)

 More than 1,000 IDC analysts provide global, regional,
  and local expertise on technology and industry
  opportunities and trends in over 50 countries

 We have been delivering IT intelligence, industry
  analysis, market data, and strategic guidance since 1964

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  250,000 technology users and decision makers annually,
  delivering unrivaled coverage

 IDC is a subsidiary of IDG, the world's leading
  technology media, research, and event company



 © IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
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© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Agenda

1. Economic Conditions in 2010
2. The Survey Says!
3. Theme for Supply Chains in 2010
4. Trends for 2010
5. Essential Guidance




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Trends Palooza

                                                Asset Oriented Value       Engineering Oriented        Technology Oriented     Brand Oriented Value
                         Value Chain                   Chain                   Value Chain                 Value Chain                Chain

                         Segments


Process Domains                                    Chemicals, Metals,
                                                     Pulp/Paper…
                                                                           Automotive, Aerospace,
                                                                               Machinery, …
                                                                                                            High-tech,       Fashion, Food&Beverage,…
                                                                                                         Semiconductor,…


                   Supply Chain
                    Strategies
                                                                                             Look at a
                                                                                           segment across
            Product Lifecycle Strategies                                                      domains


               Operations Technology
                     Strategies                     Look at a
                                                     domain
                                                 across segments
                 Emerging Agenda




                   IT Strategies




  © IDC Manufacturing Insights     Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Recovery Underway

                                           2007                        2008                        2009         2010 (?)


   DJIA on 10/9                                 14,279                        8,579                   9,865         Higher


   Oil on 10/9                              94.83/bbl                   76.77/bbl                  73.80/bbl        Higher


   $ to € on 10/9                                   .709                        .732                   .690          Lower


   Michigan October                                 80.9                        57.6                   70.6    Volatile (but
   Consumer                                                                                                       probably
   Sentiment                                                                                                        higher)
   ISM PMI for Mfg. -                               50.9                        38.9                   55.7         Higher
   October




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Key Points

 Industrial capacity rationalized
 Capital spending halted
 Inventory down
 R&D Shrinking




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Key Points

 Industrial capacity rationalized
 Capital spending halted
 Inventory down
 R&D Shrinking
 Big Cash Reserves
 Manufacturing activity up
 Volatile raw materials markets
 Inflation in our future?
 Jobless Recovery?




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Key Points

 Industrial capacity rationalized
 Capital spending halted
 Inventory down
 R&D Shrinking
 Big Cash Reserves
 Manufacturing activity up
 Volatile raw materials markets
 Inflation in our future?
 Jobless Recovery?

Bottom Line: All the factors in place for a major transformation of
the manufacturing industry.


© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Asset Oriented Value          Engineering             Technology Oriented   Brand Oriented Value
                        Value Chain                   Chain              Oriented Value Chain            Value Chain              Chain
                        Segments



                                                  Chemicals, Metals,
Process Domains                                                          Automotive, Aerospace,           High-tech,            Fashion,
                                                    Pulp/Paper…              Machinery, …              Semiconductor,…      Food&Beverage,…




             Product Lifecycle Strategies
                                                              Supply Chain at a
                                                                         Look
                                                                       segment across
                                                               Strategies domains
                Operations Technology
                      Strategies
                                                   Look at a
                                                    domain
                   Emerging Agenda              across segments


                     IT Strategies




 © IDC Manufacturing Insights    Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Survey Goals

 Identify business objectives that influence IT spend as perceived by those
  familiar with an organization’s supply chain (SC) strategy and operations.
 Identify top SC priorities and relate them to the business objectives.
 Given that many SC initiatives are not classified as top priorities, understand
  the importance of SC initiatives, such as asset tracking with RFID, risk
  management, quality, environmental sustainability, and supplier
  management.
 Recognize how IT can improve the SC from a more general perspective,
  such as data quality, information sharing, measuring KPIs, sense and
  respond, and collaboration. Responses will help identify the core issues IT
  needs to address within the supply chain and how advanced manufacturers
  and retailers are improving the supply chain with IT.
 Identify top 3 IT application investments an organization expects to make in
  the next 12 months, considering its business objectives and supply chain
  priorities.



 © IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Business Objectives
Driving IT Investments




       Note: Respondents selected 3 out of 16 possible responses




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Top Supply Chain Priorities




              Note: Respondents picked 3 out of 15 possible responses
              Rating on a scale of 1 to 4


© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Top Supply Chain Initiatives




              Note: Rated on a scale of 1 to 4 where 1 means not at all important
              and 4 means very important, across 13 supply chain initiatives


© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Top 3 Supply Chain Application
Investments Over the Next 12 Months




              Note: Respondents picked 3 out of 17 possible responses


© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Overall Supply Chain Theme for 2010

Manufacturing companies are fundamentally rethinking their supply
chain structures, evolving from a fixed-cost-driven supply network to a
variable-cost-driven value network.

   – IT proves itself in recession
   –   Supply Chain modernization accelerates out of the recession
   –   Uncertainty creates a need to hedge at a design level
   –   What is the “new normal”?
   –   Increasing customer segmentation will put focus on service levels
   –   Reverse bullwhip
   –   Cost versus Service – 2010 Style!




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Trends in 2010

 “Dynamic Optimization” dominates Capability Investment to Support
  Redefining of the Supply Chain
    –    Inventory optimization
    –    Sales and operations planning
    –    Integrated quality and financial information
    –    Full network optimization

 S&OP is Re-emerging as the Synchronizing Process for Reconciling
  Supply and Demand
    –   Critical in unpredictable times
    –   Collaborative, forward-looking process
    –   Integrating multiple planning horizons
    –   Clarity around benefits



© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Trends in 2010

 Balancing Supply and Demand Across the Value Chain is Prompting a
  Strategic Redesign of the Supply Network
    – Profitable proximity sourcing
    – Emergence of the “globally fair wage”
    – Logistics versus Labor


 Supply Chain and Product Life-Cycle Management Applications are
  Increasingly Converging as Manufacturing Companies Focus on
  Innovation Delivery
    –    Pressure of private label growth
    –    Improve innovation delivery
    –    Maturity of PLM adoption across manufacturing segments
    –    Inevitable interaction between PLM and SCM



© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Trends in 2010

 Intelligent Supply Chains Put Broader Visibility Burden on Supply Chain
  Organizations, Both Owned and Outsourced
    –    Unsurprisingly, outsourcing persists
    –    Challenge of managing blended networks
    –    Information capture and communication
    –    Opportunity for network visibility and facilitating tools

 Supply Chain Organizations are Investing in Capabilities That Facilitate
  Global Operations
    – Supply chain is key for global competition
    – Emergence of global trade tools to facilitate evolution
    – Cost management/cost awareness




© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Trends in 2010

 Transportation Capacity is Tightening, Causing Supply Chain
  Organizations to Rethink Fulfillment Strategies
    –    Cheap transportation?
    –    Capacity glut
    –    Return to traditional supply/demand balance
    –    Sustainable practices

 The Increasing Pace of Supply Chain Outsourcing/Offshoring Will Keep
  Risk Management High on the Strategic Agenda, But Investments Remain
  Focused on Building Risk Awareness
    – Cost versus risk
    – Risk functionality built into traditional applications
    – Leading manufacturers balance risk awareness, early detection, rapid
      response – although minimal new IT investment, for now!


© IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Essential Guidance

 Consider supply chain as an extension of other business units: more functionally integrated
  processes between supply chain and manufacturing, product lifecycle, and customer-facing
  businesses.
 Think "optimization" as well as just "management," and the ability to respond quickly and efficiently
  to the marketplace changes. The capability for efficient decision making is critical, both in terms of
  processes like S&OP and the ability to effectively balance supply and demand decisions.
 You can’t escape the focus on cost efficiency – and a good justification for investment in strategic
  sourcing and spend management – from contract compliance to spend analytics.
 If it’s truly a value chain, relationships need to be based on better supply visibility and operational
  flexibility. But don’t rely too much on visibility – it’s just an enabler.
 Partner interaction can be enhanced through more effective global trade management tools, for
  example, or with capabilities like better risk awareness, a clear sustainability strategy, and/or well-
  defined fulfillment approach.
 Retail supply chains are only getting more complex – more channels, wider variety of global
  sourcing and distribution requirements. Take the complexity out by reengineering processes,
  integrating and automating processes between functional areas of the business and supply chain
  partners, including everything from product design, sourcing, order management, compliance and
  quality control.




 © IDC Manufacturing Insights   Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Thank You,

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Simon Ellis from IDC Manufacturing Insights on ‘Worldwide Supply Chain 2010 Top 10 Predictions: Key insights for supply chain managers and their suppliers’

  • 1. Trends for Global Supply Chains in 2010 June 23, 2010
  • 2. IDC Overview  IDC is the premier independent global market intelligence, events, and advisory firm for information technology, telecommunications, and consumer technology markets (ICT)  More than 1,000 IDC analysts provide global, regional, and local expertise on technology and industry opportunities and trends in over 50 countries  We have been delivering IT intelligence, industry analysis, market data, and strategic guidance since 1964  Our multilingual, multicultural workforce surveys over 250,000 technology users and decision makers annually, delivering unrivaled coverage  IDC is a subsidiary of IDG, the world's leading technology media, research, and event company © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 3. IDC’s Family of Industry Research Units Insights: Industry-Specific Advisory Services  Insights are a series of industry- focused business units within IDC  Each Insights focuses on technology-enabled business innovation within a single industry  Insights leverage 40+ years of IDC research methodologies and processes  An agile start up with a global footprint “IDC has demonstrated a solid approach for concentrating on and carving out the Insights product lines based on a core of best practice and benchmarking metrics. Each of the verticals products has specific deliverables that meet the needs of that vertical industry, underscoring IDC’s philosophy that one size will not fit all.” Outsell Inc., “IDC Grows Vertically Through Insights Product Line”, Nov. 07 © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 4. IDC’s Global Network of Country Offices • 1000+ analysts providing a global information network • Coverage of 50+ countries around the world • More than 40+ years experience analyzing IT and Communications markets © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 5. Agenda 1. Economic Conditions in 2010 2. The Survey Says! 3. Theme for Supply Chains in 2010 4. Trends for 2010 5. Essential Guidance © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 6. Trends Palooza Asset Oriented Value Engineering Oriented Technology Oriented Brand Oriented Value Value Chain Chain Value Chain Value Chain Chain Segments Process Domains Chemicals, Metals, Pulp/Paper… Automotive, Aerospace, Machinery, … High-tech, Fashion, Food&Beverage,… Semiconductor,… Supply Chain Strategies Look at a segment across Product Lifecycle Strategies domains Operations Technology Strategies Look at a domain across segments Emerging Agenda IT Strategies © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 7. Recovery Underway 2007 2008 2009 2010 (?) DJIA on 10/9 14,279 8,579 9,865 Higher Oil on 10/9 94.83/bbl 76.77/bbl 73.80/bbl Higher $ to € on 10/9 .709 .732 .690 Lower Michigan October 80.9 57.6 70.6 Volatile (but Consumer probably Sentiment higher) ISM PMI for Mfg. - 50.9 38.9 55.7 Higher October © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Key Points  Industrial capacity rationalized  Capital spending halted  Inventory down  R&D Shrinking © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 9. Key Points  Industrial capacity rationalized  Capital spending halted  Inventory down  R&D Shrinking  Big Cash Reserves  Manufacturing activity up  Volatile raw materials markets  Inflation in our future?  Jobless Recovery? © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 10. Key Points  Industrial capacity rationalized  Capital spending halted  Inventory down  R&D Shrinking  Big Cash Reserves  Manufacturing activity up  Volatile raw materials markets  Inflation in our future?  Jobless Recovery? Bottom Line: All the factors in place for a major transformation of the manufacturing industry. © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 11. Asset Oriented Value Engineering Technology Oriented Brand Oriented Value Value Chain Chain Oriented Value Chain Value Chain Chain Segments Chemicals, Metals, Process Domains Automotive, Aerospace, High-tech, Fashion, Pulp/Paper… Machinery, … Semiconductor,… Food&Beverage,… Product Lifecycle Strategies Supply Chain at a Look segment across Strategies domains Operations Technology Strategies Look at a domain Emerging Agenda across segments IT Strategies © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 12. Supply Chain Survey Goals  Identify business objectives that influence IT spend as perceived by those familiar with an organization’s supply chain (SC) strategy and operations.  Identify top SC priorities and relate them to the business objectives.  Given that many SC initiatives are not classified as top priorities, understand the importance of SC initiatives, such as asset tracking with RFID, risk management, quality, environmental sustainability, and supplier management.  Recognize how IT can improve the SC from a more general perspective, such as data quality, information sharing, measuring KPIs, sense and respond, and collaboration. Responses will help identify the core issues IT needs to address within the supply chain and how advanced manufacturers and retailers are improving the supply chain with IT.  Identify top 3 IT application investments an organization expects to make in the next 12 months, considering its business objectives and supply chain priorities. © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 13. Business Objectives Driving IT Investments Note: Respondents selected 3 out of 16 possible responses © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 14. Top Supply Chain Priorities Note: Respondents picked 3 out of 15 possible responses Rating on a scale of 1 to 4 © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 15. Top Supply Chain Initiatives Note: Rated on a scale of 1 to 4 where 1 means not at all important and 4 means very important, across 13 supply chain initiatives © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 16. Top 3 Supply Chain Application Investments Over the Next 12 Months Note: Respondents picked 3 out of 17 possible responses © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 17. Overall Supply Chain Theme for 2010 Manufacturing companies are fundamentally rethinking their supply chain structures, evolving from a fixed-cost-driven supply network to a variable-cost-driven value network. – IT proves itself in recession – Supply Chain modernization accelerates out of the recession – Uncertainty creates a need to hedge at a design level – What is the “new normal”? – Increasing customer segmentation will put focus on service levels – Reverse bullwhip – Cost versus Service – 2010 Style! © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 18. Supply Chain Trends in 2010  “Dynamic Optimization” dominates Capability Investment to Support Redefining of the Supply Chain – Inventory optimization – Sales and operations planning – Integrated quality and financial information – Full network optimization  S&OP is Re-emerging as the Synchronizing Process for Reconciling Supply and Demand – Critical in unpredictable times – Collaborative, forward-looking process – Integrating multiple planning horizons – Clarity around benefits © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 19. Supply Chain Trends in 2010  Balancing Supply and Demand Across the Value Chain is Prompting a Strategic Redesign of the Supply Network – Profitable proximity sourcing – Emergence of the “globally fair wage” – Logistics versus Labor  Supply Chain and Product Life-Cycle Management Applications are Increasingly Converging as Manufacturing Companies Focus on Innovation Delivery – Pressure of private label growth – Improve innovation delivery – Maturity of PLM adoption across manufacturing segments – Inevitable interaction between PLM and SCM © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 20. Supply Chain Trends in 2010  Intelligent Supply Chains Put Broader Visibility Burden on Supply Chain Organizations, Both Owned and Outsourced – Unsurprisingly, outsourcing persists – Challenge of managing blended networks – Information capture and communication – Opportunity for network visibility and facilitating tools  Supply Chain Organizations are Investing in Capabilities That Facilitate Global Operations – Supply chain is key for global competition – Emergence of global trade tools to facilitate evolution – Cost management/cost awareness © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 21. Supply Chain Trends in 2010  Transportation Capacity is Tightening, Causing Supply Chain Organizations to Rethink Fulfillment Strategies – Cheap transportation? – Capacity glut – Return to traditional supply/demand balance – Sustainable practices  The Increasing Pace of Supply Chain Outsourcing/Offshoring Will Keep Risk Management High on the Strategic Agenda, But Investments Remain Focused on Building Risk Awareness – Cost versus risk – Risk functionality built into traditional applications – Leading manufacturers balance risk awareness, early detection, rapid response – although minimal new IT investment, for now! © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 22. Essential Guidance  Consider supply chain as an extension of other business units: more functionally integrated processes between supply chain and manufacturing, product lifecycle, and customer-facing businesses.  Think "optimization" as well as just "management," and the ability to respond quickly and efficiently to the marketplace changes. The capability for efficient decision making is critical, both in terms of processes like S&OP and the ability to effectively balance supply and demand decisions.  You can’t escape the focus on cost efficiency – and a good justification for investment in strategic sourcing and spend management – from contract compliance to spend analytics.  If it’s truly a value chain, relationships need to be based on better supply visibility and operational flexibility. But don’t rely too much on visibility – it’s just an enabler.  Partner interaction can be enhanced through more effective global trade management tools, for example, or with capabilities like better risk awareness, a clear sustainability strategy, and/or well- defined fulfillment approach.  Retail supply chains are only getting more complex – more channels, wider variety of global sourcing and distribution requirements. Take the complexity out by reengineering processes, integrating and automating processes between functional areas of the business and supply chain partners, including everything from product design, sourcing, order management, compliance and quality control. © IDC Manufacturing Insights Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.