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Q2 2012 | SILICON VALLEY




                SILICON VALLEY

              RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT



                                                                                                                                    The Longest Recovery
  OFFICE                                                                                                                            NAVIGATING THROUGH THE ROUGH ECONOMY
             30.00%                                                                                     $4.00
                                                                                                                                 From an employment standpoint, this is the longest economic cycle from recession to recovery
                                                                                                                             Warehouse


             25.00%                                                                                                        12.00%since the end of World War II, according to Moody’s Analytics economic data. Looking historically
                                                                                                                                                                        $0.70
                                                                                                        $3.00

                                                                                                                           9.00% at previous recession and $0.50        recovery cycles, the average cycle lasted 26 months from peak
             20.00%                                                                                                                                                     $0.60

             15.00%                                                                                     $2.00

             10.00%
                                                                                                                                 employment pre-recession to the same level of employment post-recession. The current cycle
                                                                                                                                                                        $0.40
                                                                                                                           6.00%

              5.00%
                                                                                                        $1.00
                                                                                                                                 began in December of 2007, $0.30       reached its nadir in the second half of 2009, and now four and a half
                                                                                                                           3.00%                                        $0.20
             0.00%
                        Warehouse
                                                                                                        $0.00                    years since its beginning, the $0.10    country has still only recovered half of the jobs it lost. Given the slow
                                                                                                 2




                                                                                                                                 pace of this recovery, the news regarding the economy sounds like a broken record being played
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                                                                                                                           0.00%                                        $0.00
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                                                                             Q4




                                                                                             Q2
                                                   Q1

                                                          Q2

                                                                     Q3




                                                                                     Q1
                                  Q3

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              12.00% Avg. Starting Rent                                                   Availability Rate $0.70
                                                                                                                                                                          2
                                                                                                                                                                1

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                                                                     Vacancy Rate
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                                                                                                                                 overStarting Rent Vacancy Rate makingRate
                                                                                                                                        and over again, Availability people wonder if anything has changed. Although the Silicon Valley is
 R&D
                                                                                                                                                               Q4




                                                                                                                                                                         Q2
                                                                                                                                              Q1

                                                                                                                                                   Q2

                                                                                                                                                          Q3




                                                                                                                                                                    Q1
                                                                                                                                Q3

                                                                                                                                         Q4




                                                                                                              $0.60
                                                                                                                                   Avg.
               9.00%
             25.00%                                                                                         $0.50
                                                                                                           $2.00                 faring better than the country as a whole, there is still a long climb that is fraught with challenges
                                                                                                            $0.40
             20.00%
               6.00%
               MARKET INDICATORS                                                                           $1.50
                                                                                                            $0.30                to get back to where we began.
             15.00%                                                                                         $0.20
                3.00%                                                                                      $1.00
             10.00%                                                       Q1 2012                        Q2 2012
                                                                                                          $0.10                  InAll Silicon Valley, leasing and user sale activity dipped slightly in the second quarter of 2012
                                                                                                                                    the
               0.00%                                                                                        $0.00
                                                                                                           $0.50
              5.00%                                                                                                              generating 5.40 million square feet of gross absorption, a decrease of 9.8% compared to the 5.99
                                                                                                     2
                                                                                     1

                                                                                             2
                                       0

                                                 0

                                                         1

                                                                     1

                                                                             1




                          Availability Rate                                   13.60%                          13.45%
                                                                                    -1




                                                                                                    -1
                                                        -1

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                                                                                          -1
                                    -1

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                                                                                 Q4




                                                                                                 Q2
                                                      Q1

                                                                Q2

                                                                         Q3




                                                                                         Q1
                                  Q3

                                             Q4




                                            Avg. Starting Rent         Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                           $0.00
                                                                                              Availability Rate                  million square feet of activity reported in Q1 2012. The decline may raise some eyebrows, but when
                                                                                                                              18.00%
                 Gross Absorption                                        5,987,278 SF                  5,397,536 SF
                                                                                                   2
                                                                                  1

                                                                                          2
                                    0

                                                0

                                                        1

                                                                 1

                                                                          1

                                                                                 -1




                                                                                                 -1
                                                      -1

                                                                 -1

                                                                         -1




                                                                                         -1
                                   -1

                                              -1




                                                                                                                                 compared to the historical ten year gross absorption average of 5.81 million square feet per quarter
                                                                              Q4




                                                                                               Q2
                                                    Q1

                                                            Q2

                                                                      Q3




                                                                                                                              15.00%
                                                                                      Q1
                                  Q3

                                            Q4




                                           Avg. Starting Rent         Vacancy Rate           Availability Rate
                                  Net Absorption                          -293,292 SF                  1,457,405 SF           12.00% decline is within a normal variance. Although we would like to see stronger activity overall,
                                                                                                                                 the
Industrial
                                                                                                                                 there seems to be little reason for concern because the market has naturally ebbed and flowed
                                                                                                                               9.00%
                                           All
             SILICON VALLEY AVAILABILITY
        14.00%                         $1.00                                                                                     during this slower economic recovery cycle.
                                                                                                                               6.00%
        12.00%                                                                                                                 3.00%
                                                                                                         $0.80
        10.00%18.00%
                                                                                                         $0.60
                                                                                                                                There
                                                                                                                              0.00%         continues to be optimism in the Silicon Valley as the weighted asking rents for all four
         8.00%
                            15.00%
                                                                                                                                    product types have increased by almost 7% since the beginning of the year. Given the nature of
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                                                                                                                                                        Q4
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         6.00%
                                                                                                                                                     Q1




                                                                                                                                                        Q1
                                                                                                                                         Q3

                                                                                                                                              Q4




                                                                                                         $0.40
                            12.00%
         4.00%                                                                                                                      this slow recovery, part of the decrease in activity during the second quarter can be attributed to
                                                                                                                                             Vacancy Rate     Availability Rate
         2.00% 9.00%
                                                                                                         $0.20
                                                                                                                                    the landlords pushing up rent to see what the market will bear while the tenants muster up the
         0.00%                    6.00%                                                                  $0.00
                                                                                                                                    confidence to follow.
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                                  3.00%
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                                                                             Q4




                                                                                             Q2
                                                  Q1

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                                                                                     Q1
                            Q3

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                                       Avg. Starting Rent            Vacancy Rate         Availability Rate
                                  0.00%                                                                                             Although demand slowed down during the quarter, Silicon Valley’s net absorption of commercial
                                                                                                                      2
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                                                                                  1




                                                                                                                      2
                                                                                          11
                                                10




                                                                       1
                                                            0




                                                                                                                                    space was more robust than expected garnering a sizable occupancy gain. In Q2 2012, net
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                                                                                                 Q4
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                                                                                                           Q1
                                            Q3

                                                      Q4




                                                         Vacancy Rate                               Availability Rate               absorption was positive 1.46 million square feet; the third highest occupancy gain since the first
                                                                                                                                    quarter of 2007. Also noteworthy is the fact that three out of the four commercial real estate
             SILICON VALLEY GROSS ABSORPTION                                                                                        product types that Colliers tracks had occupancy gains for the quarter, the exception being the
                                                                                                                                    office sector which posted an occupancy loss.
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                                       4
                                                                                                                                    Available space continues to decline, decreasing from 42.84 million square feet at the end of Q1 to
              SquaF in Millions




                                                                                                                                    42.42 million square feet in Q2. Although the change in available space is lacking in magnitude, it
                                       3
                                                                                                                                    continues to move in the right direction.
                 re eet




                                       2
                                                                                                                                    Although there are concerns, there is a reason for the Silicon Valley to hope. In December of 2007,
                                       1
                                                                                                                                    when turmoil in the economy first began, the Valley’s unemployment rate stood at 4.9%. Since
                                       0                                                                                            reaching its high watermark of 12.0% in January of 2010, Silicon Valley’s unemployment rate
                                                                                                   2



                                                                                                                      12




                                                                                                                                    clawed its way back to 8.4%. As the Valley treks through the recovery, the pace has been slower
                                                                              1




                                                                                                              2
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                                              0

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                                       Q3

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                                               R&D               Office              Industrial               Warehouse             than expected. The Valley is halfway back but there’s another half to go.



                www.colliers.com/sanjose
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | SILICON VALLEY

                                                                                 R&D
        This is the third straight quarter of                                    Silicon Valley’s R&D sector posted modest            promising trend. The R&D availability rate
       positive net absorption for the R&D                                       results for the second quarter of 2012. After        decreased to 14.1% at the end of Q2 from 14.4%
  sector, which is a promising trend. The                                        posting an extremely strong 3.26 million square      at the end of Q1. The decrease marks eight
  R&D availability rate decreased to 14.1%                                       feet of gross absorption in Q1, the R&D sector       straight quarters of decline in availability from
at the end of Q2 from 14.4% at the end of
                                                                                 finished Q2 with a respectable 2.52 million          the peak rate of 20.6% in Q2 2010.
     Q1. The decrease marks eight straight
                                                                                 square feet of demand—just a tad shy of the
    quarters of decline in availability from
                           OFFICE
       the peak rate of 20.6% in Q2 2010.                                        2.62 million square feet per quarter, ten-year       The five largest R&D submarkets accounted for
                                                                                 average. Year-to-date, R&D demand is running         over 92% of the leasing and user-sale activity
                                    30.00%                                       at a 5.78-million-square-foot clip and is within
                                                                                                             $4.00                    in Warehouse total gross absorption of 2.34
                                                                                                                                          Q2, with
                                                                                 striking distance of reaching Colliers’ forecasted   million square feet between San Jose,
                                    25.00%                                                                                             12.00%                                                       $0.70
                                                                                 12.0 million square feet for$3.00
                                                                                                              2012.                   Sunnyvale, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Mountain
                                    20.00%                                                                                                                                                          $0.60
                                                                                                                                      View.
                                                                                                                                        9.00% Moreover, four of the five major                      $0.50
                                    15.00%                                                                $2.00
                                                                                 Even though R&D activity took a dip during the       submarkets registered positive net absorption
                                                                                                                                                                                                    $0.40
                                    10.00%                                       quarter, the rate of previously occupied             for the quarter; the exception being Sunnyvale
                                                                                                                                        6.00%
                                                                                                          $1.00                                                                                     $0.30
                                     5.00%                                       “rollover space” coming to market decreased          which experienced an occupancy loss in Q2.
                                                                                                                                       3.00%                                                        $0.20
                                    0.00%                                                                               $0.00
                                                                                                                                      Silicon Valley’s largest R&D submarket, San $0.10



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                                              R&D AVAILABILITY & RENT TRENDS                                                          Jose, posted gross absorption of 649,418 $0.00
                                                                                                                                        0.00%
                                                           -1
                                                          -




                                                         Q4




                                                         Q2
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                                                                                                                                      square feet in Q2, 19.6% less than the 807,861




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                                                            Avg. Starting Rent         Vacancy Rate        Availability Rate




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                        R&D




                                                                                                                                                                              Q4




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                                                                                                                                                    Q4
                                                                                                                                      square feet Starting Rent in Q1. Rate
                                                                                                                                                Avg. recorded     Vacancy Transactions Rate
                                                                                                                                                                                Availability
                                    25.00%                                                                                 $2.00      included 8X8 signing a 104,657-square-foot
                                    20.00%                                                                                            lease on O’Nel Drive and Skyera subleasing
                                                                                                                           $1.50
                                                                                                                                      81,778 square feet on Automation Drive. All in,
                                    15.00%
                                                                                                                           $1.00
                                                                                                                                      R&D net absorption in San Jose was positive to
                                    10.00%                                                                                            the tune of 428,680 square feet, its third
                                                                                                                                               All
                                                                                                                           $0.50      consecutive quarter of positive net absorption.
                                     5.00%

                                                                                                                           $0.00      The18.00% Clara submarket benefited from
                                                                                                                                            Santa
                                                                                                                   2




                                                                                                                                      InfoBlox taking 126,594 square feet on
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                                                                                                Q4




                                                                                                               Q2
                                                                       Q1

                                                                                 Q2

                                                                                        Q3




                                                                                                                                          15.00%
                                                                                                        Q1
                                                       Q3

                                                               Q4




                                                              Avg. Starting Rent        Vacancy Rate         Availability Rate
                                                                                                                                      Coronado Drive and garnered a gain in R&D
                                                                                                                                      occupancy of 190,366 square feet for Q2. The
                                                                                                                                          12.00%
                       Industrial                                                                                                     Q2 occupancy gain was enough to offset the
                                                                                                                                           9.00%
                                                                                                                                      98,604-square-foot R&D occupancy loss in Q1
                                14.00%                                           as well. The net result of$1.00 slower flow of
                                                                                                              the                     and 6.00%
                                                                                                                                           put Santa Clara in the black for the year.
                                12.00%                                           space coming to market and average R&D               R&D gross absorption for Santa Clara was
                                                                                                             $0.80                         3.00%
                                                                                 demand was a Q2 occupancy gain of 882,647            341,598 square feet for the quarter.
                                10.00%
                                                                                 square feet for the sector; $0.60
                                                                                                             a 26.4% increase in           0.00%
                                8.00%
                                                                                 net absorption from the first quarter’s              Fremont got into the mix with a Q2 R&D gross




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                                                                                                                                                                                           Q4
                                                                                                                                                                          Q2

                                                                                                                                                                                   Q3
                                6.00%
                                                                                                                                                                 Q1




                                                                                                                                                                                                  Q1
                                                                                 698,146-square-foot occupancy gain. This is          absorption total of 597,132 square feet, the
                                                                                                                                                    Q3

                                                                                                                                                          Q4




                                                                                                             $0.40
                                4.00%                                            the third straight quarter of positive net           highest amount ofVacancy Rate Fremont has
                                                                                                                                                          R&D activity            Availabilit
                                2.00%                                            absorption for the R&D $0.20sector, which is a       seen since Q1 2010. R&D net absorption for the
                                0.00%                                                                                    $0.00
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 R&D LEASING & SALES ACTIVITY
                                                          Avg. Starting Rent           Vacancy Rate        Availability Rate
 SELECTED COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS - Q2 2012

 PROPERTY ADDRESS                                                   SQUARE FEET                               LANDLORD/SELLER              TENANT/BUYER                        TYPE

 3111 Coronado Drive, Santa Clara                                       126,594                              Bixby Land Company                InfoBlox                        Lease

 3055 Orchard Drive, San Jose                                           111,285                                 JER/Lane, LLC               TMG Partners                  Investment Sale

 2125 O'Nel Drive, San Jose                                             104,657                                Cannae Partners                 8x8 Inc.                        Lease

 6580 Via Del Oro, San Jose                                             81,158                        South Bay Development Company       Ken & Jim Taggert               Investment Sale

 573-585 Maude Court, Sunnyvale                           5             55,288                               The Irvine Company         LitePoint Corporation                 Renewal

 82 Pioneer Way, Mountain View                                           34,985                            Tufan Tech Center, LLC          Bloomreach, Inc                     Lease
                                                          4
                                     eet in Millions




                                                          3
P. 2   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
                                                          2
Fremont submarket was a positive                                                                                                                                in available space, the Silicon Valley
113,922 square feet for the quarter.                                                                                                                            saw the delivery of two new office
                                                                                                                                                                buildings totaling 306,900 square
In the second quarter, weighted
                                                    OFFICE AVAILABILITY & RENT TRENDS                                                                           feet, which increased the building
                                             OFFICE
average R&D starting rents dropped                                                                                                                              base and added to the higher
back to $1.31 per square foot NNN,                 30.00%                                                                                 $4.00
                                                                                                                                                                availability rate.
                                                                                                                                                                           Warehouse

well off the Q2 anomaly of $1.67 per
                                                   25.00%                                                                                                                 12.00%
square foot. Taking the first half of                                                                                                     $3.00               It was a mixed bag for the five
2012 as a whole, overall R&D                      20.00%                                                                                                      major 9.00%office    markets         with
starting rents are $1.51 per square                15.00%                                                                                 $2.00               nondescript numbers across the
foot NNN, right on target to hit                   10.00%                                                                                                     board. 6.00% a gross absorption
                                                                                                                                                                         On
Colliers’    forecasted    weighted                                                                                                       $1.00               basis, two markets increased
                                                      5.00%
average start rate of $1.60 NNN at                                                                                                                            activity 3.00%
                                                                                                                                                                         compared to Q1, two
                                                      0.00%                                                                               $0.00
year-end.                                                                                                                                                     markets        decreased          activity




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                                                                                                                                                                       0.00%
                                                                                                                                                              compared to Q1, and one market




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                                                                                   Q4




                                                                                   Q2
                                                                                    Q1

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                                                                                   Q1
                                                                          Q3

                                                                                   Q4
                                                                                                                                                              stayed on par. On a net absorption




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                                                                               Avg. Starting Rent        Vacancy Rate        Availability Rate




                                                                                                                                                                                   -1

                                                                                                                                                                                           -1
                                            R&D




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Q1

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Q2

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Q3
                                                                                                                                                                               Q3

                                                                                                                                                                                         Q4
                                                                                                                                                              basis, three markets had Rentloss in
                                                                                                                                                                                Avg. Starting a       Vacancy Rate
OFFICE                                             25.00%                                                                                    $2.00            occupancy during the quarter and
After five consecutive quarters of solid 20.00%                                                                                                  two markets had a gain in occupancy during
                                                                                                                                             $1.50
occupancy gains, the Silicon Valley office                                                                                                       the quarter.
sector was unable to keep up the pace and 15.00%
                                                                                                                                             $1.00
registered its first loss in occupancy since 10.00%                                                               San Jose, the Valley’s largest office market,
2010. The occupancy loss for the quarter
                                                                                                                                             All
                                                                                                                  recorded an occupancy loss of 70,481 square
                                                                                                             $0.50
                                                5.00%
totaled a modest 117,772 square feet for the                                                                      feet paired with a middling gross absorption
office market. Given the long drawn-out nature                                                               $0.00total of 406,654 square feet. Santa Clara’s
                                                                                                                                        18.00%
of the recovery, a few bumps in the road are to                                                                   office market posted an occupancy gain of
                                                                                                                                     2
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                                                                                                                  Q4




                                                                                                                                 Q2
                                                                                          Q1

                                                                                                    Q2

                                                                                                          Q3




                                                                                                                                        15.00%
                                                                                                                         Q1
                                                                          Q3

                                                                                   Q4




be expected during this slow recovery cycle.                                                                      86,143 square feet in Q2 combined with a
                                                             Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate   Availability Rate
                                                                                                                  modest 274,233 square feet of gross
                                                                                                                                        12.00%
Office activity dropped 11.1% from the previous
                                         Industrial                                                               absorption. Sunnyvale netted the largest
quarter and generated 1.35 million square feet                                                                    occupancy loss of all 9.00%
                                                                                                                                         the submarkets during
of gross absorption in Q2, compared to the 1.52   14.00%                                                    $1.00 the quarter, logging 152,025 square feet of
                                                                                                                                         6.00%
million square feet generated in the previous     12.00%
                                                            Office activity dropped 11.1% from the                negative net absorption. Sunnyvale’s gross
                                                                                                                                         3.00%
                                                         previous quarter and generated 1.35 million $0.80absorption was a nominal 142,838 square feet
quarter. Although the drop in activity may seem
                                                  10.00%
like cause for concern, prior to 2011, the five-            square feet of gross absorption in Q2,                for the quarter.       0.00%
                                                           compared to the 1.52 million square feet         $0.60
year average for gross absorption is 1.398.00%




                                                                                                                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                                                                                                           0

                                                                                                                                                                                                    0



                                                                                                                                                                                                               -1
                                                                                                                                                                                                          -1
                                                              generated in the previous quarter.



                                                                                                                                                                                          -1

                                                                                                                                                                                                   -1



                                                                                                                                                                                                               Q2
million square feet per quarter, not much more6.00%                                                         $0.40The largest deal for the quarter was LinkedIn’s




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                     Q3

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Q4
than what was produced in this quarter.            4.00%                                                          75,810-square-foot lease on Mathilda Avenue
                                                                                                                                                       Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                            $0.20in Sunnyvale. The next largest direct office deal
                                                   2.00%
Available space increased in Silicon Valley’s million square feet during the quarter, translating was Chegg signing a lease for 45,000 square
                                                   0.00%                                                    $0.00
office sector during Q2 for the first time since to a 17.9% availability rate. Beyond the negative feet on Freedom Circle in Santa Clara. The
                                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                                   1

                                                                                                                         2
                                                                           0

                                                                                    0

                                                                                            1

                                                                                                    1

                                                                                                            1

                                                                                                                  -1




                                                                                                                                 -1
                                                                                          -1

                                                                                                    -1

                                                                                                           -1




                                                                                                                         -1
                                                                          -1

                                                                                   -1




Q3 2010. Total office availability grew to 11.07 net absorption that contributed to the increase remainder of office activity recorded in the
                                                                                                                Q4




                                                                                                                               Q2
                                                                                        Q1

                                                                                                Q2

                                                                                                         Q3




                                                                                                                        Q1
                                                                    Q3

                                                                                Q4




                                                                               Avg. Starting Rent        Vacancy Rate        Availability Rate



 OFFICE LEASING & SALES ACTIVITY

 SELECTED COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS - Q2 2012

 PROPERTY ADDRESS                            SQUARE FEET                                            LANDLORD/SELLER                                      TENANT/BUYER                            TYPE

 3990 Freedom Circle, Santa Clara                 45,000                                                    RREEF                                         Cheeg, Inc.                        Lease

 800 Concar Drive, San Mateo                      43,925                                   Concar Acqusition (JP Morgan)                                Capcom USA, Inc                     Renewal

 333 W San Carlos Street, San Jose                28,618                       5                     Legacy Partners                                     PDF Solutions                      Renewal

 4000 E 3rd Avenue, Foster City                   24,375                                             Tishman Speyer                                   Home Depot USA Inc                     Lease
                                                                               4
                                                      SquaF in Millions




 333 W San Carlos Street, San Jose                19,670                                                 PDF Solutions                                    Baynote, Inc.                     Sublease

 2520 Mission College Blvd, Santa Clara           14,203                       3                            RREEF                                    Toppan Photomasks, Inc                  Lease
                                                         re eet




                                                                               2

P. 3   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
                                                                               1
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Silicon Valley CRE Research & Forecast Report

  • 1. Q2 2012 | SILICON VALLEY SILICON VALLEY RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT The Longest Recovery OFFICE NAVIGATING THROUGH THE ROUGH ECONOMY 30.00% $4.00 From an employment standpoint, this is the longest economic cycle from recession to recovery Warehouse 25.00% 12.00%since the end of World War II, according to Moody’s Analytics economic data. Looking historically $0.70 $3.00 9.00% at previous recession and $0.50 recovery cycles, the average cycle lasted 26 months from peak 20.00% $0.60 15.00% $2.00 10.00% employment pre-recession to the same level of employment post-recession. The current cycle $0.40 6.00% 5.00% $1.00 began in December of 2007, $0.30 reached its nadir in the second half of 2009, and now four and a half 3.00% $0.20 0.00% Warehouse $0.00 years since its beginning, the $0.10 country has still only recovered half of the jobs it lost. Given the slow 2 pace of this recovery, the news regarding the economy sounds like a broken record being played 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0.00% $0.00 -1 -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 12.00% Avg. Starting Rent Availability Rate $0.70 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Vacancy Rate -1 -1 -1 overStarting Rent Vacancy Rate makingRate and over again, Availability people wonder if anything has changed. Although the Silicon Valley is R&D Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 $0.60 Avg. 9.00% 25.00% $0.50 $2.00 faring better than the country as a whole, there is still a long climb that is fraught with challenges $0.40 20.00% 6.00% MARKET INDICATORS $1.50 $0.30 to get back to where we began. 15.00% $0.20 3.00% $1.00 10.00% Q1 2012 Q2 2012 $0.10 InAll Silicon Valley, leasing and user sale activity dipped slightly in the second quarter of 2012 the 0.00% $0.00 $0.50 5.00% generating 5.40 million square feet of gross absorption, a decrease of 9.8% compared to the 5.99 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 Availability Rate 13.60% 13.45% -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate $0.00 Availability Rate million square feet of activity reported in Q1 2012. The decline may raise some eyebrows, but when 18.00% Gross Absorption 5,987,278 SF 5,397,536 SF 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 compared to the historical ten year gross absorption average of 5.81 million square feet per quarter Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 15.00% Q1 Q3 Q4 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate Net Absorption -293,292 SF 1,457,405 SF 12.00% decline is within a normal variance. Although we would like to see stronger activity overall, the Industrial there seems to be little reason for concern because the market has naturally ebbed and flowed 9.00% All SILICON VALLEY AVAILABILITY 14.00% $1.00 during this slower economic recovery cycle. 6.00% 12.00% 3.00% $0.80 10.00%18.00% $0.60 There 0.00% continues to be optimism in the Silicon Valley as the weighted asking rents for all four 8.00% 15.00% product types have increased by almost 7% since the beginning of the year. Given the nature of 2 1 1 2 1 0 1 10 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 - Q4 Q2 Q2 Q3 6.00% Q1 Q1 Q3 Q4 $0.40 12.00% 4.00% this slow recovery, part of the decrease in activity during the second quarter can be attributed to Vacancy Rate Availability Rate 2.00% 9.00% $0.20 the landlords pushing up rent to see what the market will bear while the tenants muster up the 0.00% 6.00% $0.00 confidence to follow. 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 3.00% -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate 0.00% Although demand slowed down during the quarter, Silicon Valley’s net absorption of commercial 2 1 1 2 11 10 1 0 space was more robust than expected garnering a sizable occupancy gain. In Q2 2012, net -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 - - Q4 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q1 Q3 Q4 Vacancy Rate Availability Rate absorption was positive 1.46 million square feet; the third highest occupancy gain since the first quarter of 2007. Also noteworthy is the fact that three out of the four commercial real estate SILICON VALLEY GROSS ABSORPTION product types that Colliers tracks had occupancy gains for the quarter, the exception being the office sector which posted an occupancy loss. 5 4 Available space continues to decline, decreasing from 42.84 million square feet at the end of Q1 to SquaF in Millions 42.42 million square feet in Q2. Although the change in available space is lacking in magnitude, it 3 continues to move in the right direction. re eet 2 Although there are concerns, there is a reason for the Silicon Valley to hope. In December of 2007, 1 when turmoil in the economy first began, the Valley’s unemployment rate stood at 4.9%. Since 0 reaching its high watermark of 12.0% in January of 2010, Silicon Valley’s unemployment rate 2 12 clawed its way back to 8.4%. As the Valley treks through the recovery, the pace has been slower 1 2 1 0 0 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 - Q4 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q1 Q3 Q4 R&D Office Industrial Warehouse than expected. The Valley is halfway back but there’s another half to go. www.colliers.com/sanjose
  • 2. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | SILICON VALLEY R&D This is the third straight quarter of Silicon Valley’s R&D sector posted modest promising trend. The R&D availability rate positive net absorption for the R&D results for the second quarter of 2012. After decreased to 14.1% at the end of Q2 from 14.4% sector, which is a promising trend. The posting an extremely strong 3.26 million square at the end of Q1. The decrease marks eight R&D availability rate decreased to 14.1% feet of gross absorption in Q1, the R&D sector straight quarters of decline in availability from at the end of Q2 from 14.4% at the end of finished Q2 with a respectable 2.52 million the peak rate of 20.6% in Q2 2010. Q1. The decrease marks eight straight square feet of demand—just a tad shy of the quarters of decline in availability from OFFICE the peak rate of 20.6% in Q2 2010. 2.62 million square feet per quarter, ten-year The five largest R&D submarkets accounted for average. Year-to-date, R&D demand is running over 92% of the leasing and user-sale activity 30.00% at a 5.78-million-square-foot clip and is within $4.00 in Warehouse total gross absorption of 2.34 Q2, with striking distance of reaching Colliers’ forecasted million square feet between San Jose, 25.00% 12.00% $0.70 12.0 million square feet for$3.00 2012. Sunnyvale, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Mountain 20.00% $0.60 View. 9.00% Moreover, four of the five major $0.50 15.00% $2.00 Even though R&D activity took a dip during the submarkets registered positive net absorption $0.40 10.00% quarter, the rate of previously occupied for the quarter; the exception being Sunnyvale 6.00% $1.00 $0.30 5.00% “rollover space” coming to market decreased which experienced an occupancy loss in Q2. 3.00% $0.20 0.00% $0.00 Silicon Valley’s largest R&D submarket, San $0.10 2 1 2 10 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 R&D AVAILABILITY & RENT TRENDS Jose, posted gross absorption of 649,418 $0.00 0.00% -1 - Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 square feet in Q2, 19.6% less than the 807,861 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate -1 -1 -1 R&D Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 square feet Starting Rent in Q1. Rate Avg. recorded Vacancy Transactions Rate Availability 25.00% $2.00 included 8X8 signing a 104,657-square-foot 20.00% lease on O’Nel Drive and Skyera subleasing $1.50 81,778 square feet on Automation Drive. All in, 15.00% $1.00 R&D net absorption in San Jose was positive to 10.00% the tune of 428,680 square feet, its third All $0.50 consecutive quarter of positive net absorption. 5.00% $0.00 The18.00% Clara submarket benefited from Santa 2 InfoBlox taking 126,594 square feet on 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 15.00% Q1 Q3 Q4 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate Coronado Drive and garnered a gain in R&D occupancy of 190,366 square feet for Q2. The 12.00% Industrial Q2 occupancy gain was enough to offset the 9.00% 98,604-square-foot R&D occupancy loss in Q1 14.00% as well. The net result of$1.00 slower flow of the and 6.00% put Santa Clara in the black for the year. 12.00% space coming to market and average R&D R&D gross absorption for Santa Clara was $0.80 3.00% demand was a Q2 occupancy gain of 882,647 341,598 square feet for the quarter. 10.00% square feet for the sector; $0.60 a 26.4% increase in 0.00% 8.00% net absorption from the first quarter’s Fremont got into the mix with a Q2 R&D gross 1 1 1 1 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 - Q4 Q2 Q3 6.00% Q1 Q1 698,146-square-foot occupancy gain. This is absorption total of 597,132 square feet, the Q3 Q4 $0.40 4.00% the third straight quarter of positive net highest amount ofVacancy Rate Fremont has R&D activity Availabilit 2.00% absorption for the R&D $0.20sector, which is a seen since Q1 2010. R&D net absorption for the 0.00% $0.00 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 R&D LEASING & SALES ACTIVITY Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate SELECTED COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS - Q2 2012 PROPERTY ADDRESS SQUARE FEET LANDLORD/SELLER TENANT/BUYER TYPE 3111 Coronado Drive, Santa Clara 126,594 Bixby Land Company InfoBlox Lease 3055 Orchard Drive, San Jose 111,285 JER/Lane, LLC TMG Partners Investment Sale 2125 O'Nel Drive, San Jose 104,657 Cannae Partners 8x8 Inc. Lease 6580 Via Del Oro, San Jose 81,158 South Bay Development Company Ken & Jim Taggert Investment Sale 573-585 Maude Court, Sunnyvale 5 55,288 The Irvine Company LitePoint Corporation Renewal 82 Pioneer Way, Mountain View 34,985 Tufan Tech Center, LLC Bloomreach, Inc Lease 4 eet in Millions 3 P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL 2
  • 3. Fremont submarket was a positive in available space, the Silicon Valley 113,922 square feet for the quarter. saw the delivery of two new office buildings totaling 306,900 square In the second quarter, weighted OFFICE AVAILABILITY & RENT TRENDS feet, which increased the building OFFICE average R&D starting rents dropped base and added to the higher back to $1.31 per square foot NNN, 30.00% $4.00 availability rate. Warehouse well off the Q2 anomaly of $1.67 per 25.00% 12.00% square foot. Taking the first half of $3.00 It was a mixed bag for the five 2012 as a whole, overall R&D 20.00% major 9.00%office markets with starting rents are $1.51 per square 15.00% $2.00 nondescript numbers across the foot NNN, right on target to hit 10.00% board. 6.00% a gross absorption On Colliers’ forecasted weighted $1.00 basis, two markets increased 5.00% average start rate of $1.60 NNN at activity 3.00% compared to Q1, two 0.00% $0.00 year-end. markets decreased activity 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0.00% compared to Q1, and one market -1 -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 stayed on par. On a net absorption 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate -1 -1 R&D Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 basis, three markets had Rentloss in Avg. Starting a Vacancy Rate OFFICE 25.00% $2.00 occupancy during the quarter and After five consecutive quarters of solid 20.00% two markets had a gain in occupancy during $1.50 occupancy gains, the Silicon Valley office the quarter. sector was unable to keep up the pace and 15.00% $1.00 registered its first loss in occupancy since 10.00% San Jose, the Valley’s largest office market, 2010. The occupancy loss for the quarter All recorded an occupancy loss of 70,481 square $0.50 5.00% totaled a modest 117,772 square feet for the feet paired with a middling gross absorption office market. Given the long drawn-out nature $0.00total of 406,654 square feet. Santa Clara’s 18.00% of the recovery, a few bumps in the road are to office market posted an occupancy gain of 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 15.00% Q1 Q3 Q4 be expected during this slow recovery cycle. 86,143 square feet in Q2 combined with a Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate modest 274,233 square feet of gross 12.00% Office activity dropped 11.1% from the previous Industrial absorption. Sunnyvale netted the largest quarter and generated 1.35 million square feet occupancy loss of all 9.00% the submarkets during of gross absorption in Q2, compared to the 1.52 14.00% $1.00 the quarter, logging 152,025 square feet of 6.00% million square feet generated in the previous 12.00% Office activity dropped 11.1% from the negative net absorption. Sunnyvale’s gross 3.00% previous quarter and generated 1.35 million $0.80absorption was a nominal 142,838 square feet quarter. Although the drop in activity may seem 10.00% like cause for concern, prior to 2011, the five- square feet of gross absorption in Q2, for the quarter. 0.00% compared to the 1.52 million square feet $0.60 year average for gross absorption is 1.398.00% 1 0 0 -1 -1 generated in the previous quarter. -1 -1 Q2 million square feet per quarter, not much more6.00% $0.40The largest deal for the quarter was LinkedIn’s Q1 Q3 Q4 than what was produced in this quarter. 4.00% 75,810-square-foot lease on Mathilda Avenue Vacancy Rate $0.20in Sunnyvale. The next largest direct office deal 2.00% Available space increased in Silicon Valley’s million square feet during the quarter, translating was Chegg signing a lease for 45,000 square 0.00% $0.00 office sector during Q2 for the first time since to a 17.9% availability rate. Beyond the negative feet on Freedom Circle in Santa Clara. The 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Q3 2010. Total office availability grew to 11.07 net absorption that contributed to the increase remainder of office activity recorded in the Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 Avg. Starting Rent Vacancy Rate Availability Rate OFFICE LEASING & SALES ACTIVITY SELECTED COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS - Q2 2012 PROPERTY ADDRESS SQUARE FEET LANDLORD/SELLER TENANT/BUYER TYPE 3990 Freedom Circle, Santa Clara 45,000 RREEF Cheeg, Inc. Lease 800 Concar Drive, San Mateo 43,925 Concar Acqusition (JP Morgan) Capcom USA, Inc Renewal 333 W San Carlos Street, San Jose 28,618 5 Legacy Partners PDF Solutions Renewal 4000 E 3rd Avenue, Foster City 24,375 Tishman Speyer Home Depot USA Inc Lease 4 SquaF in Millions 333 W San Carlos Street, San Jose 19,670 PDF Solutions Baynote, Inc. Sublease 2520 Mission College Blvd, Santa Clara 14,203 3 RREEF Toppan Photomasks, Inc Lease re eet 2 P. 3 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL 1