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M&A: Curse or Cure?
DOUGLAS FLINT
Group Finance Director   16 May 2007
Maintaining capital efficiency


                                                                                                                    US$105bn
    100                                                                                                                        20
                                               Return on invested capital (%)                    US$95bn

        90
                                                                                US$86bn
                                                                                                                               15
        80
US$bn




                                                              US$76bn
                                                                                                                                    (%)
                                                                                        Tier 1 ratio (%)
        70
                                                                                                                               10


        60
                                               US$56bn
                     US$52bn
        50                                                                                                                     5
                       2001                         2002        2003             2004              2005                2006

                      Average invested capital employed (US$bn)         Return on invested capital (%)     Tier 1 ratio (%)

        (1) UK gaap to 2003, IFRS basis from 2004
        (2) Dividends per share in respect of each year


                                                                                                                                          2
HSBC acquisition framework


• Strategic fit

• Human fit

• Technology fit

• Something shareholders cannot do?

• Financial returns

• Market reaction




                                      3
Curse or Cure ?


Cure                           Curse

• Licence to operate           • Management diversion

• Access to resources          • Technology strain

• Access to distribution       • Management and control framework

• Economies of scale           • Employee engagement

• Diversification imbalances   • Aggregated risk resolution

• Capital and funding gaps     • Regulatory and accounting spaghetti




                                                                       4
Challenges to successful M&A


• Balancing operational independence with consistency of control framework

• Delivering clear lines of management accountability

• Avoiding silos and tribes

• Aligning reward structures for legacy and incoming management

• Remembering what made the target successful




                       Demonstrate creation of shareholder value




                                                                             5
Impact of the current environment


• Real focus being given to the benefits of scale and diversification

• Capital discipline under scrutiny

• Stock market rating - Use it or Lose it

• Liquid market – high acquisition premia

• Does scale offer differentiation and returns that offset complexity?

• Disintermediating banks - is this an option for investors?




                                                                         6
Where we have come from
Financial performance over 15 years

                                                                                                                               $2.1bn provision at
US$                                                                                                                            Mortgage Services

 1.50                                                                                                                               1.40
                                                                                                                           1.36
                                                                       Asian                  Argentine
                                                                       crisis                   crisis              1.18

                                                                                                             0.99
 1.00
                                                                                       0.80                                             0.81
                                                                                                      0.76                      0.73
                                                                0.69            0.66                                    0.66
                                                         0.61                                  0.63
                                                                       0.54                                      0.60
                                                                                                          0.53
                                                  0.49                                            0.48
 0.50                                   0.41                                              0.44
                              0.35                                                 0.34
                    0.31                                           0.28   0.31
                                                            0.22
          0.15                                0.14   0.16
              0.08        0.10     0.12

 0.00
           1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
                                  Earnings Per Share                                              Dividends Per Share
(1) UK gaap to 2003, IFRS basis from 2004
(2) Dividends per share in respect of each year


                                                                                                                                                     7
Thank you




            8

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HSBC M&A: curse or cure

  • 1. M&A: Curse or Cure? DOUGLAS FLINT Group Finance Director 16 May 2007
  • 2. Maintaining capital efficiency US$105bn 100 20 Return on invested capital (%) US$95bn 90 US$86bn 15 80 US$bn US$76bn (%) Tier 1 ratio (%) 70 10 60 US$56bn US$52bn 50 5 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Average invested capital employed (US$bn) Return on invested capital (%) Tier 1 ratio (%) (1) UK gaap to 2003, IFRS basis from 2004 (2) Dividends per share in respect of each year 2
  • 3. HSBC acquisition framework • Strategic fit • Human fit • Technology fit • Something shareholders cannot do? • Financial returns • Market reaction 3
  • 4. Curse or Cure ? Cure Curse • Licence to operate • Management diversion • Access to resources • Technology strain • Access to distribution • Management and control framework • Economies of scale • Employee engagement • Diversification imbalances • Aggregated risk resolution • Capital and funding gaps • Regulatory and accounting spaghetti 4
  • 5. Challenges to successful M&A • Balancing operational independence with consistency of control framework • Delivering clear lines of management accountability • Avoiding silos and tribes • Aligning reward structures for legacy and incoming management • Remembering what made the target successful Demonstrate creation of shareholder value 5
  • 6. Impact of the current environment • Real focus being given to the benefits of scale and diversification • Capital discipline under scrutiny • Stock market rating - Use it or Lose it • Liquid market – high acquisition premia • Does scale offer differentiation and returns that offset complexity? • Disintermediating banks - is this an option for investors? 6
  • 7. Where we have come from Financial performance over 15 years $2.1bn provision at US$ Mortgage Services 1.50 1.40 1.36 Asian Argentine crisis crisis 1.18 0.99 1.00 0.80 0.81 0.76 0.73 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.61 0.63 0.54 0.60 0.53 0.49 0.48 0.50 0.41 0.44 0.35 0.34 0.31 0.28 0.31 0.22 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.00 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share (1) UK gaap to 2003, IFRS basis from 2004 (2) Dividends per share in respect of each year 7