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Should we worry about filter bubbles? An
interdisciplinary inquiry into self- and pre-
selected personalised communication
Frederik J. Zuiderveen Borgesius, Damian Trilling, Judith Möller, Balázs Bodó, Claes H.
de Vreese, Natali Helberger
Increasing filtering mechanisms make it more likely for
people to only get news on subjects they are interested in,
and with the perspective they identify with. […] This new
reality will decrease the role of media as editors and
interpreters of information. It will also tend to create more
insulated communities as isolated subsets within the overall
public sphere. […] Such developments undoubtedly have a
potentially negative impact on democracy.
(Vīķe-Freiberga, Däubler-Gmelin, Hammersley, & Pessoa Maduro, 2013, p. 27)
High Level Expert Group on Media Pluralism
advises the European Commission:
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 2
Empirical
evidence?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 3
1. Filter bubbles and information cocoons: What’s the
problem?
2. Empirical evidence
1. Use
2. Effects
3. Should we worry?
Outline
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 4
What’s the problem?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 5
personalised
news use
filter bubbles
/ information
cocoons
being
unaware of
other topics /
viewpoints
polarization
lack of
common core
fragmentation
Self- versus pre-selected
personalisation
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 6
self-selected
personalized
news use
filter bubbles
/ information
cocoons
being
unaware of
other topics /
viewpoints
polarisation
lack of
common core
fragmentation
pre-selected
personalized
news use
Empirical evidence?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 7
filter bubbles
/ information
cocoons
being
unaware of
other topics /
viewpoints
polarisation
lack of
common core
fragmentation
use? effects?
self-selected
personalized
news use
pre-selected
personalized
news use
Use
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 8
 selective exposure (Festinger, 1957)
 Eerie county study (Lazarsfeld, Berelson, & Gaudet, 1944)
 party press in Europe until beginning of 20th century
 pillarization (verzuiling)
BUT: de facto limited choice until 1980s/90s
How common is self-selected
personalisation?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 9
 trivial to show that the audience of partisan media
outlets in general is partisan as well
 those who use a lot of partisan information also use
an above-average amount of mainstream news (e.g.,
Bimber & Davis, 2003; Trilling & Schoenbach, 2015, Zaller, 1992)
 At least in Europe, by far most people still get there
news via traditional sources, most notably public-
service television (Blekesaune, Elvestad, & Aalberg, 2012; Trilling &
Schoenbach 2013a, 2013b, 2015)
How common is self-selected
personalisation?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 10
 selective exposure vs selective avoidance: While
there is some evidence that people indeed seem to
select information they agree with, it is much less
sure whether people actually avoid possibly
conflicting information (Garret, 2009a, 2009b; Garret, Carnahan, & Lynch,
2011)
How common is self-selected
personalisation?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 11
 recommendations are popular on online shopping
sites or on YouTube (O'Callaghan, Greene, Conway, Carthy, &
Cunningham, 2013) and the context online search results (Van
Hoboken, 2012; Dillahunt, Brooks, & Gulati, 2015)
 still debatable how common and far-reaching pre-
selected personalisation is: If 11% of Google
searches differ due to personalisation (Hannak, Sapiezynski,
Molavi Kakhki, Krishnamurthy, Lazer, Mislove, & Wilson, 2013), is that much?
How common is pre-selected
personalisation?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 12
 news providers are experimenting with
personalisation, but not common yet
 more cross-cutting exposure on social networks
than often feared (Barbera, Jost, Nagler, Tucker, & Bonneau, 2015; Morgan,
Shafiq, & Lampe, 2013)
How common is pre-selected
personalisation?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 13
Effects
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 14
 Americans who show patterns of partisan selective
news exposure are generally more polarised (Stroud,
2010; Knobloch-Westerwick & Meng, 2011)
 people who regularly encounter diverse opinions in
the media are not only better able to provide
reasons for their own political choices; they also
have a better understanding of what motivates the
perspective of others (Price, Capella, & Nir, 2002)
self-selected personalisation ->
polarization
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 15
 if you do not encounter an argument, you cannot
learn about it
 but: small effects
self-selected personalisation -> political
learning
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 16
 very little evidence
 Facebook’s mood manipulation study (Kramer, Guillory &
Hancock, 2014)
 Epstein and Robertson (2015) claim that differences in
Google search results can shift voting preferences
of undecided voters by 20%.
pre-selected personalisation -> ?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 17
 Use of personalised sources (self- or preselected) is
(still?) clearly outweighed by use of general interest
news
 Small effects
 Potentially worrysome – but no reason to panic
 Important to monitor changes in patterns of media
use
Conclusion
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 18
 In public policy discourse much ado about filter
bubbles
 Review of empirical evidence shows that this is not
grounded in empirical reserach
Or, in short:
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 19
Find email-addresses, Twitter accounts and websites
of all authors at:
http://personalised-communication.net/the-team-2/
More info?
23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 20

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Should we worry about filter bubbles?

  • 1. Should we worry about filter bubbles? An interdisciplinary inquiry into self- and pre- selected personalised communication Frederik J. Zuiderveen Borgesius, Damian Trilling, Judith Möller, Balázs Bodó, Claes H. de Vreese, Natali Helberger
  • 2. Increasing filtering mechanisms make it more likely for people to only get news on subjects they are interested in, and with the perspective they identify with. […] This new reality will decrease the role of media as editors and interpreters of information. It will also tend to create more insulated communities as isolated subsets within the overall public sphere. […] Such developments undoubtedly have a potentially negative impact on democracy. (Vīķe-Freiberga, Däubler-Gmelin, Hammersley, & Pessoa Maduro, 2013, p. 27) High Level Expert Group on Media Pluralism advises the European Commission: 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 2
  • 3. Empirical evidence? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 3
  • 4. 1. Filter bubbles and information cocoons: What’s the problem? 2. Empirical evidence 1. Use 2. Effects 3. Should we worry? Outline 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 4
  • 5. What’s the problem? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 5 personalised news use filter bubbles / information cocoons being unaware of other topics / viewpoints polarization lack of common core fragmentation
  • 6. Self- versus pre-selected personalisation 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 6 self-selected personalized news use filter bubbles / information cocoons being unaware of other topics / viewpoints polarisation lack of common core fragmentation pre-selected personalized news use
  • 7. Empirical evidence? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 7 filter bubbles / information cocoons being unaware of other topics / viewpoints polarisation lack of common core fragmentation use? effects? self-selected personalized news use pre-selected personalized news use
  • 8. Use 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 8
  • 9.  selective exposure (Festinger, 1957)  Eerie county study (Lazarsfeld, Berelson, & Gaudet, 1944)  party press in Europe until beginning of 20th century  pillarization (verzuiling) BUT: de facto limited choice until 1980s/90s How common is self-selected personalisation? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 9
  • 10.  trivial to show that the audience of partisan media outlets in general is partisan as well  those who use a lot of partisan information also use an above-average amount of mainstream news (e.g., Bimber & Davis, 2003; Trilling & Schoenbach, 2015, Zaller, 1992)  At least in Europe, by far most people still get there news via traditional sources, most notably public- service television (Blekesaune, Elvestad, & Aalberg, 2012; Trilling & Schoenbach 2013a, 2013b, 2015) How common is self-selected personalisation? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 10
  • 11.  selective exposure vs selective avoidance: While there is some evidence that people indeed seem to select information they agree with, it is much less sure whether people actually avoid possibly conflicting information (Garret, 2009a, 2009b; Garret, Carnahan, & Lynch, 2011) How common is self-selected personalisation? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 11
  • 12.  recommendations are popular on online shopping sites or on YouTube (O'Callaghan, Greene, Conway, Carthy, & Cunningham, 2013) and the context online search results (Van Hoboken, 2012; Dillahunt, Brooks, & Gulati, 2015)  still debatable how common and far-reaching pre- selected personalisation is: If 11% of Google searches differ due to personalisation (Hannak, Sapiezynski, Molavi Kakhki, Krishnamurthy, Lazer, Mislove, & Wilson, 2013), is that much? How common is pre-selected personalisation? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 12
  • 13.  news providers are experimenting with personalisation, but not common yet  more cross-cutting exposure on social networks than often feared (Barbera, Jost, Nagler, Tucker, & Bonneau, 2015; Morgan, Shafiq, & Lampe, 2013) How common is pre-selected personalisation? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 13
  • 14. Effects 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 14
  • 15.  Americans who show patterns of partisan selective news exposure are generally more polarised (Stroud, 2010; Knobloch-Westerwick & Meng, 2011)  people who regularly encounter diverse opinions in the media are not only better able to provide reasons for their own political choices; they also have a better understanding of what motivates the perspective of others (Price, Capella, & Nir, 2002) self-selected personalisation -> polarization 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 15
  • 16.  if you do not encounter an argument, you cannot learn about it  but: small effects self-selected personalisation -> political learning 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 16
  • 17.  very little evidence  Facebook’s mood manipulation study (Kramer, Guillory & Hancock, 2014)  Epstein and Robertson (2015) claim that differences in Google search results can shift voting preferences of undecided voters by 20%. pre-selected personalisation -> ? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 17
  • 18.  Use of personalised sources (self- or preselected) is (still?) clearly outweighed by use of general interest news  Small effects  Potentially worrysome – but no reason to panic  Important to monitor changes in patterns of media use Conclusion 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 18
  • 19.  In public policy discourse much ado about filter bubbles  Review of empirical evidence shows that this is not grounded in empirical reserach Or, in short: 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 19
  • 20. Find email-addresses, Twitter accounts and websites of all authors at: http://personalised-communication.net/the-team-2/ More info? 23 November 2015 Institute for Information Law - IViR 20