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FOCUS ON CHILD LABOUR IMPACTS
Christian Osei (ISSER)
SEVEN-YEAR FOLLOW UP OF THE
GHANA LEAP 1000 EVALUATION
• Context
• Programme
• Study design
• Research
questions
• Findings
• Conclusions
• Policy implications
OVERVIEW
CONTEXT
• GDP growth started slowing in 2022 and
is expected to slow further in 2023
• High inflation
- In 2022, the Cedi lost over 40% of
its value against the US $
• Poverty reduction slowed in 2022, and it
is projected to slow down further in
2023.
• Child labour at 27.9% (MICS 2018)
− High regional disparities (49% in
Northern region)
− Children mostly work in agriculture
− Child labour rates are similar
between boys and girls
PROGRAMME
Eligibility
• Extreme poverty, assessed through a proxy means test
(PMT)
• At least one of the following:
- Age 65+ without any form of support
- Severely disabled
- Orphan and Vulnerable Children (OVC)
- Pregnant women and mothers with infants (from
2015)
STUDY DESIGN & TIMELINE
• Five districts
• Quasi-experimental design comparing households in the vicinity of the PMT
threshold
- Below threshold: LEAP 1000
- Above threshold: control
• Mixed methods
• Survey timeline
- 2015 (baseline)
- 2017 (after two years of implementation; short-term)
- 2022 (after seven years of implementation; long-term)
• Analysis sample: 2,141 households interviewed in all three rounds (86% of the
baseline sample of 2,497)
RESEARCH QUESTIONS
• What are the long-term (7 year)
impacts of LEAP 1000 on household
economic wellbeing?
• Were short-term (2 year) impacts
maintained?
• What are the effects of LEAP 1000 on
the young children that were the
main target group at inception?
• Schooling
• Child labour
FINDINGS
• Operations
• Household wellbeing
& economic activities
• Household health
• Schooling
• Child labour
outcomes
OPERATIONS – TIME SINCE LAST PAYMENT
0-2
months
3-4
months
5-9
months
10+
months
Don’t
know
Legend:
2017
2022
OPERATIONS – TRANSFER AMOUNTS (1 BENEFICIARY)
IMPACTS – HOUSEHOLD WELLBEING & ECONOMIC
ACTIVITIES
Impact
2022
Impact
2017
Difference
in impacts
(2022-2017)
Consumption NO
Poverty NO
Food security NO
Child material wellbeing NO
Happiness NO
Engaged in farming NO
Engaged in non-farming enterprise NO
Number of income sources NO
Hired any labour - -
Legend:
Protective impact
No impact
- Not measured
NO Impact size
remained
unchanged
IMPACTS – HOUSEHOLD WELLBEING & ECONOMIC
ACTIVITIES
Impact
2022
Impact
2017
Difference
in impacts
(2022-2017)
Consumption NO
Poverty NO
Food security NO
Child material wellbeing NO
Happiness NO
Engaged in farming NO
Engaged in non-farming enterprise NO
Number of income sources NO
Hired any labour - -
Legend:
Protective impact
No impact
- Not measured
NO Impact size remained
unchanged
“…we are happy
receiving those
moneys, because it has
reduced our burden, it
has helped us in our
daily feeding…”
(39-year-old parent)
“It has helped us in the
household to buy soap
to wash our clothes
and when the children
need anything, you buy
for them…”
(35-year-old parent)
IMPACTS – HOUSEHOLD & CHILD HEALTH
Impact
2022
Impact
2017
Difference
in impacts
(2022-2017)
Having valid NHIS card ↓
Ever had NHIS insurance NO
Illness (last 2 weeks) NO
Health care seeking (last 2 weeks) NO
Health expenditure (age ≥ 5) NO
Child health (age < 5) NO
Health expenditure (age < 5) NO
Legend:
Protective impact
No impact
- Not measured
NO Impact size
remained
unchanged
↓(↑) Impact size
declined
(increased)
IMPACTS – CHILD SCHOOLING, BY GENDER & AGE
Legend:
Protective
impact
No impact
Impact 2022
All Boys Girls 6-11 12-17
Currently enrolled
Average years of schooling
Education expenditure
(past 12 months)
Ever attended school
Attending school regularly
Can read and write
IMPACTS – CHILD TIME USE, BY GENDER
Impact 2022
All Boys Girls
Working children
Household chores (participation)
Household chores (hours)
Economic activities (participation)
Economic activities (hours)
Child labour
Long hours or hazardous conditions in
economic activities
Long hours in chores
Long hours or hazardous conditions in
economic activities or chores
Legend:
No impact
Potentially
adverse impacts
MAIN REASONS WHY CHILDREN WORK
Supplement family income
Support household
enterprise
Learn skills
School-related issues
Other
MAIN REASONS WHY CHILDREN WORK
Supplement family income
Support household
enterprise
Learn skills
School-related issues
Other
“Yes, they receive but it
is not enough to take
care of me and my
siblings in school. So,
we work to support
them”
(17-year-old child)
“It’s because we are
still living in poverty.
Sometimes we have no
other options…”
(51-year-old-parent)
CONCLUSIONS
• Some of the impacts detected in 2017 were sustained, including on
household consumption and poverty reduction
• However, other outcomes were not affected, including household
economic activities, morbidity and child health
• Schooling outcomes improved, especially for boys
• But the programme had no impacts on child labour outcomes
− Participation / hours in household chores was not affected
− Participation / hours in economic activities was not affected,
except for boys (↑)
− Child labour (long hours or exposure to hazards) was not affected
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
• Strengthen implementation aspects of LEAP, especially payment
amount and regularity
• Given most children work in agriculture, important to align payments
to the period preceding the peak of agricultural season, so
households can hire adult labour
• Enrollment in NHIS needs to be further supported and simplified
• Sensitization on schooling and labour outcomes is important to boost
positive impacts on schooling and reduction in child labour (potential
to further scale up ISS services and improve their quality)
• Strengthen the supply side of schooling
THANK YOU
Christian Osei
ckosei2000@gmail.com

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Seven-year Follow-up of the Ghana LEAP 1000 Evaluation: A Focus on Child Labor Impacts

  • 1. FOCUS ON CHILD LABOUR IMPACTS Christian Osei (ISSER) SEVEN-YEAR FOLLOW UP OF THE GHANA LEAP 1000 EVALUATION
  • 2. • Context • Programme • Study design • Research questions • Findings • Conclusions • Policy implications OVERVIEW
  • 3. CONTEXT • GDP growth started slowing in 2022 and is expected to slow further in 2023 • High inflation - In 2022, the Cedi lost over 40% of its value against the US $ • Poverty reduction slowed in 2022, and it is projected to slow down further in 2023. • Child labour at 27.9% (MICS 2018) − High regional disparities (49% in Northern region) − Children mostly work in agriculture − Child labour rates are similar between boys and girls
  • 4. PROGRAMME Eligibility • Extreme poverty, assessed through a proxy means test (PMT) • At least one of the following: - Age 65+ without any form of support - Severely disabled - Orphan and Vulnerable Children (OVC) - Pregnant women and mothers with infants (from 2015)
  • 5. STUDY DESIGN & TIMELINE • Five districts • Quasi-experimental design comparing households in the vicinity of the PMT threshold - Below threshold: LEAP 1000 - Above threshold: control • Mixed methods • Survey timeline - 2015 (baseline) - 2017 (after two years of implementation; short-term) - 2022 (after seven years of implementation; long-term) • Analysis sample: 2,141 households interviewed in all three rounds (86% of the baseline sample of 2,497)
  • 6. RESEARCH QUESTIONS • What are the long-term (7 year) impacts of LEAP 1000 on household economic wellbeing? • Were short-term (2 year) impacts maintained? • What are the effects of LEAP 1000 on the young children that were the main target group at inception? • Schooling • Child labour
  • 7. FINDINGS • Operations • Household wellbeing & economic activities • Household health • Schooling • Child labour outcomes
  • 8. OPERATIONS – TIME SINCE LAST PAYMENT 0-2 months 3-4 months 5-9 months 10+ months Don’t know Legend: 2017 2022
  • 9. OPERATIONS – TRANSFER AMOUNTS (1 BENEFICIARY)
  • 10. IMPACTS – HOUSEHOLD WELLBEING & ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES Impact 2022 Impact 2017 Difference in impacts (2022-2017) Consumption NO Poverty NO Food security NO Child material wellbeing NO Happiness NO Engaged in farming NO Engaged in non-farming enterprise NO Number of income sources NO Hired any labour - - Legend: Protective impact No impact - Not measured NO Impact size remained unchanged
  • 11. IMPACTS – HOUSEHOLD WELLBEING & ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES Impact 2022 Impact 2017 Difference in impacts (2022-2017) Consumption NO Poverty NO Food security NO Child material wellbeing NO Happiness NO Engaged in farming NO Engaged in non-farming enterprise NO Number of income sources NO Hired any labour - - Legend: Protective impact No impact - Not measured NO Impact size remained unchanged “…we are happy receiving those moneys, because it has reduced our burden, it has helped us in our daily feeding…” (39-year-old parent) “It has helped us in the household to buy soap to wash our clothes and when the children need anything, you buy for them…” (35-year-old parent)
  • 12. IMPACTS – HOUSEHOLD & CHILD HEALTH Impact 2022 Impact 2017 Difference in impacts (2022-2017) Having valid NHIS card ↓ Ever had NHIS insurance NO Illness (last 2 weeks) NO Health care seeking (last 2 weeks) NO Health expenditure (age ≥ 5) NO Child health (age < 5) NO Health expenditure (age < 5) NO Legend: Protective impact No impact - Not measured NO Impact size remained unchanged ↓(↑) Impact size declined (increased)
  • 13. IMPACTS – CHILD SCHOOLING, BY GENDER & AGE Legend: Protective impact No impact Impact 2022 All Boys Girls 6-11 12-17 Currently enrolled Average years of schooling Education expenditure (past 12 months) Ever attended school Attending school regularly Can read and write
  • 14. IMPACTS – CHILD TIME USE, BY GENDER Impact 2022 All Boys Girls Working children Household chores (participation) Household chores (hours) Economic activities (participation) Economic activities (hours) Child labour Long hours or hazardous conditions in economic activities Long hours in chores Long hours or hazardous conditions in economic activities or chores Legend: No impact Potentially adverse impacts
  • 15. MAIN REASONS WHY CHILDREN WORK Supplement family income Support household enterprise Learn skills School-related issues Other
  • 16. MAIN REASONS WHY CHILDREN WORK Supplement family income Support household enterprise Learn skills School-related issues Other “Yes, they receive but it is not enough to take care of me and my siblings in school. So, we work to support them” (17-year-old child) “It’s because we are still living in poverty. Sometimes we have no other options…” (51-year-old-parent)
  • 17. CONCLUSIONS • Some of the impacts detected in 2017 were sustained, including on household consumption and poverty reduction • However, other outcomes were not affected, including household economic activities, morbidity and child health • Schooling outcomes improved, especially for boys • But the programme had no impacts on child labour outcomes − Participation / hours in household chores was not affected − Participation / hours in economic activities was not affected, except for boys (↑) − Child labour (long hours or exposure to hazards) was not affected
  • 18. POLICY IMPLICATIONS • Strengthen implementation aspects of LEAP, especially payment amount and regularity • Given most children work in agriculture, important to align payments to the period preceding the peak of agricultural season, so households can hire adult labour • Enrollment in NHIS needs to be further supported and simplified • Sensitization on schooling and labour outcomes is important to boost positive impacts on schooling and reduction in child labour (potential to further scale up ISS services and improve their quality) • Strengthen the supply side of schooling

Editor's Notes

  1. Presentation on behalf of the Ghana LEAP 1000 Impact Evaluation Team (UNICEF Innocenti, UNICEF Ghana, UNC, ISSER). Acknowledge the support of the Government of Ghana, including: Ministry of Gender Children & Social Protection (MoGCSP) LEAP Management Secretariat (LMS) Ministry of Employment and Labour Relations (Planning, Policy, Monitoring and Evaluation; Child Labour Unit)
  2. The country is facing difficult economic circumstances. Non-extractive sectors (agriculture and services) are most affected by the slow down in GDP growth
  3. The programme includes cash + access to health insurance through the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS). The LEAP 100 study was design specifically to study impacts on households with pregnant women / mothers with infants. From 2020, the LEAP programme also started including delivery of decentralized and Integrated Social Services (ISS), across social protection programmes, social welfare, community development, the Ghana Health Service (GHS) and NHIS. Another study, distinct from this report, is separately assessing the specific impact of ISS, by comparing households receiving LEAP plus ISS versus households receiving LEAP only. That evaluation was started in 2021, and a baseline report was produced (Ghana LEAP ISS Impact Evaluation Team, 2022).
  4. This impact evaluation has a focus on the impacts of LEAP 1000 on children’s work (general participation and hours spent by children in household chores or economic activities) and child labour (long hours in economic activities or chores, and/or exposure to work-related hazards). The study of child labour impact is relevant because child labour is generally associated with poverty. By reducing poverty, social protection can thus contribute eliminating child labour. However, the extent to which social protection can reduce child labour varies depending on contextual conditions and the specific design features of social protection programmes, such as transfer amount, frequency of payments, and provision of complementary services beyond cash (ILO and UNICEF Innocenti, 2022). So, it is important to empirically assess the effectiveness of LEAP in reducing child labour
  5. The figure shows the time since the last payment. We observe some major differences between 2017 and 2022 In 2017 nearly all beneficiaries reported having received the last payment in the past 2 months, this share was only 4% in 2022 In contrast most beneficiaries (70%) reported having received their last payment 3-4 months before the interview
  6. The figure shows nominal (blue) and real (orange) transfer values from 2010 to 2022. We can see a steady decline in the real value of the transfer (orange) since the most recent adjustment in September 2015 By 2022, the real value of the transfer was just GHc 8
  7. We only show impacts for 2022 (no impacts were found in 2017; some child labour outcomes only measured in 2022)
  8. We show 2022 impacts, by gender (in 2017, impacts on child time use were mostly non statistically significant; child labour for elimination was only measured in 2022)
  9. The quantitative survey also asked about reasons why children work Supplementing family income was cited at about 70% as the main and first reason why children work, followed by support household enterprise at 17% Learn skills is cited at 8% School issues (distance and availability, closure due to COVID, etc) are cited at 2.5% **These reasons are equally prevalent in beneficiary and control households
  10. The above aligns with: UNICEF Ghana social protection budget brief 2022 UNICEF multi-sectoral approach to address child labour (see UNICEF, 2021) New Ghana National Action Plan on Child Labour (2023-2027)