The document is a newsletter from the CEO of HBJ Capital providing an outlook on the global markets and economy. It warns that the US and European economies may be heading toward a recession as various economic indicators are slowing down. It predicts the Indian stock market will see further downside in the near future. The newsletter advocates keeping cash reserves for now and anticipates a buying opportunity will soon arise in stocks once market bottoms. It promotes understanding economic cycles to time investments in stocks and other asset classes.
Abbott Laboratories is a large company based in Chicago that produces medical, pharmaceutical, and nutritional products. Their top-selling products include drugs for rheumatoid arthritis and epilepsy, coronary stents, and nutritional supplements. The company employs over 68,000 people globally and has been in business for over 120 years. Their vision focuses on innovation, quality, and customer trust. They face competition from large companies like Johnson & Johnson and must continually develop new products and technologies to remain competitive in their industry.
The relationship bt book value & market valueYen LE
The document discusses the relationship between book value and market value of stocks using econometric analysis. It provides a quick overview of book value and market value, describes how to build models of their relationship for industries and the market as a whole using econometrics software, analyzes trends for some industries and individual companies, and discusses how the model can be applied to estimate the expected market value of a stock given its book value.
The document discusses company takeovers, including:
1) A takeover occurs when an acquirer takes control of a target company by acquiring a substantial number of its shares, transferring ownership.
2) SEBI guidelines mandate acquirers to make an offer for at least 26% of the target company's shares. Acquirers with over 55% must announce plans to acquire more shares.
3) Reasons for takeovers include gaining market growth, economies of scale, market position, skills/strengths, and diversification.
Case studies provide examples of specific takeovers and acquisitions.
Reasons For Mergers and Acquisition FailureSunidhi Kumari
The document discusses reasons for mergers and acquisitions failures. It provides examples of failed mergers such as AOL-Time Warner due to overpaying, HP-Compaq due to cultural clashes, and Sprint-Nextel due to job losses creating conflicts. The document identifies common reasons for failure as valuation errors, inadequate due diligence, difficulties integrating technologies and cultures, underestimating costs of integration, and regulatory issues.
Hedge funds (The Indian Context and the Regulatory Framework)Sham Chandak
This presentation in a broad sense gives an idea about the hedge funds, their objectives, their participants, their evolution. It talks about how India attracts the eye of Hedge Fund managers world wide. The growth potential in India as an emerging economy. The various types of Hedge Funds and the strategies implemented. The indices which track Hedge Fund performances around the globe. Some empirical findings about the absolute returns generated by hedge funds. The regulatory framework in India for Hedge Funds as a part of Alternative Investment Funds as guided by SEBI
Intensive & integration strategies....mineFarhan Ahmad
Unilever Pakistan uses various intensive and integration strategies for its brands. For brands like Clear, Badam, Vim, Walls, and Lifebouy, Unilever uses a market penetration strategy focusing on greater marketing efforts. For Vaseline and Sunsilk, Unilever uses a market development strategy to enter new markets. Domex and Fair & Lovely Men were introduced using a product development strategy. Horizontally, Unilever acquired Polka Ice Cream, Knorr, and Glaxose-D brands. Unilever does not engage in forward or backward integration strategies.
This document discusses different portfolio management strategies and analysis tools used to evaluate a company's multiple business units or product lines. It describes the Boston Box, McKinsey/GE Matrix, AD Little Life-Cycle Matrix and provides examples of how companies like Unilever, Procter & Gamble, and Virgin Group manage their diverse business portfolios. Key portfolio strategies discussed are hold, build, harvest, and divest. It also outlines advantages and limitations of different portfolio analysis models.
Abbott Laboratories is a large company based in Chicago that produces medical, pharmaceutical, and nutritional products. Their top-selling products include drugs for rheumatoid arthritis and epilepsy, coronary stents, and nutritional supplements. The company employs over 68,000 people globally and has been in business for over 120 years. Their vision focuses on innovation, quality, and customer trust. They face competition from large companies like Johnson & Johnson and must continually develop new products and technologies to remain competitive in their industry.
The relationship bt book value & market valueYen LE
The document discusses the relationship between book value and market value of stocks using econometric analysis. It provides a quick overview of book value and market value, describes how to build models of their relationship for industries and the market as a whole using econometrics software, analyzes trends for some industries and individual companies, and discusses how the model can be applied to estimate the expected market value of a stock given its book value.
The document discusses company takeovers, including:
1) A takeover occurs when an acquirer takes control of a target company by acquiring a substantial number of its shares, transferring ownership.
2) SEBI guidelines mandate acquirers to make an offer for at least 26% of the target company's shares. Acquirers with over 55% must announce plans to acquire more shares.
3) Reasons for takeovers include gaining market growth, economies of scale, market position, skills/strengths, and diversification.
Case studies provide examples of specific takeovers and acquisitions.
Reasons For Mergers and Acquisition FailureSunidhi Kumari
The document discusses reasons for mergers and acquisitions failures. It provides examples of failed mergers such as AOL-Time Warner due to overpaying, HP-Compaq due to cultural clashes, and Sprint-Nextel due to job losses creating conflicts. The document identifies common reasons for failure as valuation errors, inadequate due diligence, difficulties integrating technologies and cultures, underestimating costs of integration, and regulatory issues.
Hedge funds (The Indian Context and the Regulatory Framework)Sham Chandak
This presentation in a broad sense gives an idea about the hedge funds, their objectives, their participants, their evolution. It talks about how India attracts the eye of Hedge Fund managers world wide. The growth potential in India as an emerging economy. The various types of Hedge Funds and the strategies implemented. The indices which track Hedge Fund performances around the globe. Some empirical findings about the absolute returns generated by hedge funds. The regulatory framework in India for Hedge Funds as a part of Alternative Investment Funds as guided by SEBI
Intensive & integration strategies....mineFarhan Ahmad
Unilever Pakistan uses various intensive and integration strategies for its brands. For brands like Clear, Badam, Vim, Walls, and Lifebouy, Unilever uses a market penetration strategy focusing on greater marketing efforts. For Vaseline and Sunsilk, Unilever uses a market development strategy to enter new markets. Domex and Fair & Lovely Men were introduced using a product development strategy. Horizontally, Unilever acquired Polka Ice Cream, Knorr, and Glaxose-D brands. Unilever does not engage in forward or backward integration strategies.
This document discusses different portfolio management strategies and analysis tools used to evaluate a company's multiple business units or product lines. It describes the Boston Box, McKinsey/GE Matrix, AD Little Life-Cycle Matrix and provides examples of how companies like Unilever, Procter & Gamble, and Virgin Group manage their diverse business portfolios. Key portfolio strategies discussed are hold, build, harvest, and divest. It also outlines advantages and limitations of different portfolio analysis models.
The document provides an overview of fundamental analysis. It discusses that fundamental analysis determines a stock's value by focusing on a company's business and prospects. It also outlines some key questions and processes in fundamental analysis including macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis. It then discusses how to identify strong companies and provides examples of benchmarking companies. Finally, it outlines commonly used valuation methods like discounted cash flow analysis and relative valuation.
Vodafone acquired HTIL (Hutchison Telecom International)’s 67% stake in Hutchison-Essar.
Relations between Hutchison Telecom and the Essar group of India will be key to the sale of Hutch's 67% stake in Hutch-Essar.
This document discusses mergers and acquisitions. It defines a merger as the combination of two or more corporations where one maintains its identity and absorbs the others. An acquisition refers to one corporation acquiring ownership of another corporation's assets. The types of mergers and acquisitions covered are horizontal between competitors, vertical between suppliers and customers, and conglomerate between unrelated industries. The key difference between mergers and acquisitions is that in a merger, multiple corporations join to form a new single entity, while in an acquisition, one corporation takes over another which ceases to exist.
Financial restructuring is the process of rearranging a company's financial structure to avoid liquidation. It is necessary when companies face issues like misappropriated funds, obsolete technology, inefficient resource use, or external factors causing losses. Financial restructuring can involve reducing debt, reorganizing equity capital through share issuances or buybacks, or altering share capital through consolidation, subdivision, or conversion to stock. The goals are to make a company's capitalization balanced and improve its competitiveness and efficiency. Court approval and shareholder approval through special resolution are required for financial restructuring plans involving reductions to share capital.
Signaling theory and window of opportunity theory are two theories of capital structure. Signaling theory suggests that managers have better information about a company's prospects than outside investors. Companies with positive prospects will avoid stock offerings, while those with negative prospects will want to issue stock to share losses. The window of opportunity theory proposes that managers time the market when issuing securities, such as issuing equity when stock prices are high and debt when interest rates are low. Capital structure choices also impact lenders and rating agencies.
The document discusses mergers and acquisitions. It defines mergers as a financial tool where two companies combine with mutual consent to expand operations. It describes different types of mergers like horizontal, vertical, and conglomerate mergers. It provides examples of mergers in different industries. It also defines acquisitions as one company purchasing another. It discusses the benefits and potential failures of mergers as well as largest M&A deals worldwide. It analyzes M&A activity in India by sector and cross-border deals involving Indian companies.
Corporate restructuring refers to changes in ownership, business mix, assets, and alliances to enhance shareholder value. It may involve ownership, business, or assets restructuring through mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, strategic alliances, joint ventures, employee stock ownership plans, or leverage buyouts. The main motives for restructuring include limiting competition, achieving economies of scale, and gaining access to new markets. Valuation methods like discounted cash flow are used to evaluate restructuring transactions.
The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and The Theory of InvestmentRaju Basnet Chhetri
This article develops a theory of capital structure and its implications. It proposes three main propositions:
1) The market value of a firm is independent of its capital structure and depends only on expected returns.
2) The expected yield of common stock increases linearly with leverage.
3) The cutoff point for a firm's investments, known as the cost of capital, depends only on expected returns and is unaffected by capital structure.
The authors provide preliminary empirical evidence from utilities and oil companies that supports the first two propositions. They also discuss how the propositions can inform corporate financial planning and investment decisions. The theory contributes a new framework for understanding how capital structure relates to firm valuation and investment.
The document discusses various tactics that can be used during hostile takeovers, including dawn raids, bear hugs, Saturday night specials, and proxy fights as acquisition tactics. It also discusses potential defense tactics for target companies like crown jewels, blank checks, shark repellents, grey knights, white knights, golden parachutes, Pacman, green mail, poison pills, poison puts, people pills, and scorched earth. One highlighted defense tactic is using buy-backs of company shares using borrowed funds, which increases the promoters' stake while negatively impacting cash flows and attractiveness to potential acquirers.
The document discusses an IPO (Initial Public Offering) which is when a privately held company first offers shares of its stock to the public. It describes the process where a company hires an investment bank to sell shares and raise funds for operations. After the IPO, the stock trades between investors through brokers but the company does not receive more money, dispelling the myth that companies profit from stock trading after an IPO. The only times a company receives more money is through additional stock offerings to finance further expansion.
This document discusses various defensive and offensive strategies used in mergers and acquisitions. On the defensive side, it outlines poison pills, golden parachutes, greenmail, standstill agreements, and antitakeover amendments like staggered boards. Offensively, it details strategies like street sweeps, bear hugs, dawn raids, and using a white knight or white squire. It also discusses the strategic rationale for divestitures like unlocking hidden value and eliminating dissynergies.
1) The chapter discusses portfolio risk and return, and how diversification can reduce risk without lowering expected returns. It also covers calculating expected portfolio returns and standard deviation.
2) The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) measures systematic risk using beta coefficients. Systematic risk cannot be diversified away, whereas unsystematic risk can be through diversification.
3) CAPM predicts that investors will require a higher expected return for investments with higher betas or systematic risk. This relationship is depicted by the security market line.
The document discusses private equity funding and foreign venture capital investors. It provides an overview of private equity, including forms of private equity funding like angel investors, venture capital, and private equity. It describes the general private equity investment process and discusses valuations, structures and instruments, and exit options. The document also provides regulatory information regarding foreign venture capital investors and different fund structures they can utilize like offshore funds, onshore funds, and co-investment funds.
Corporate restructuring study material-final (2)Haridas Karath
This document provides an overview of various types of corporate restructuring transactions under Indian law. It begins by discussing mergers and amalgamations, noting the technical differences between the two but their common use. It then covers the different types of mergers (horizontal, vertical, congeneric, and conglomerate), as well as cash mergers and triangular mergers. Next, it discusses acquisitions, including friendly takeovers, hostile takeovers, and leveraged buyouts. It also mentions bailout takeovers. Finally, it briefly outlines strategic alliances, joint ventures, and demergers as other forms of corporate restructuring.
Valuation methods used in mergers and acquisitionsanvi sharma
This document discusses various valuation methods used in mergers and acquisitions, including asset-based valuation, earnings-based valuation using capitalization of earnings and PE ratios, dividend-based valuation using growth models, CAPM-based valuation, and free cash flow valuation. It emphasizes that the fair value of a company is typically determined by averaging the results of two or more methods to account for different factors and avoid reliance on a single approach.
The document discusses the verification of investments by auditors, including obtaining opening balances, confirming purchase and sale transactions, verifying the closing balance, and ensuring investments are within the entity's authority. It also covers examining internal controls over investments, verifying transactions through documents, conducting physical inspections where possible, examining valuation methods and disclosure compliance, and performing analytical review procedures.
Derivatives Disasters: The Legal Perspective discusses several high-profile derivatives disasters from the 1990s that resulted in significant losses for various institutions. It summarizes key details of losses sustained by entities such as Hammersmith and Fulham council, Allied Lyons, Metallgesellschaft, Orange County, Gibson Greetings, Procter & Gamble, and Barings Bank. It also discusses agency problems and lack of proper risk controls that allowed situations like Nick Leeson's losses at Barings and Robert Citron's bets in Orange County to occur. Speculation is described as different from gambling and is argued to be desirable as it facilitates hedging and provides market liquidity.
Long-Lived NonMonetary Assets And Their AmortizationNivin Vinoi
1. The document summarizes Chapter 7 of an accounting textbook, which covers long-lived nonmonetary assets and their amortization. It includes updated cases on Stern Corporation and WorldCom.
2. The chapter discusses the concepts of depreciation and amortization. Students often incorrectly think depreciation relates to changes in asset value rather than writing off cost over time. The chapter also summarizes several FASB statements related to intangible assets.
3. The cases include problems analyzing fixed asset transactions for Stern Corporation, and transactions related to capitalization for Stafford Press. The Silic and WorldCom cases involve choosing an accounting method and describing an accounting fraud case.
Types of hr strategies - overarching hr strategies - strategic human resourc...manumelwin
Overarching HR strategies describe the general intentions for how an organization will manage and develop its human resources to attract, retain, motivate and engage employees. They aim to create organizational effectiveness through employing high-quality people and processes. Examples provided include AEGON's integrated HR approach, B&Q's goals around commitment and retention, Egg's customer-focused treatment of employees, and GSK's goal of being the best place for top talent.
The Combined Code is the primary document outlining principles of corporate governance in the UK. It consolidates recommendations from several earlier reports, including the Cadbury, Greenbury, Hampel, Turnbull, Higgs, and Smith Reports. These reports responded to corporate scandals and provided guidance on board responsibilities and composition, executive compensation, internal controls, audit functions, and shareholder rights. The Combined Code establishes 14 governance principles and is updated annually with new recommendations to maintain best practices.
The document provides an overview of fundamental analysis. It discusses that fundamental analysis determines a stock's value by focusing on a company's business and prospects. It also outlines some key questions and processes in fundamental analysis including macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis. It then discusses how to identify strong companies and provides examples of benchmarking companies. Finally, it outlines commonly used valuation methods like discounted cash flow analysis and relative valuation.
Vodafone acquired HTIL (Hutchison Telecom International)’s 67% stake in Hutchison-Essar.
Relations between Hutchison Telecom and the Essar group of India will be key to the sale of Hutch's 67% stake in Hutch-Essar.
This document discusses mergers and acquisitions. It defines a merger as the combination of two or more corporations where one maintains its identity and absorbs the others. An acquisition refers to one corporation acquiring ownership of another corporation's assets. The types of mergers and acquisitions covered are horizontal between competitors, vertical between suppliers and customers, and conglomerate between unrelated industries. The key difference between mergers and acquisitions is that in a merger, multiple corporations join to form a new single entity, while in an acquisition, one corporation takes over another which ceases to exist.
Financial restructuring is the process of rearranging a company's financial structure to avoid liquidation. It is necessary when companies face issues like misappropriated funds, obsolete technology, inefficient resource use, or external factors causing losses. Financial restructuring can involve reducing debt, reorganizing equity capital through share issuances or buybacks, or altering share capital through consolidation, subdivision, or conversion to stock. The goals are to make a company's capitalization balanced and improve its competitiveness and efficiency. Court approval and shareholder approval through special resolution are required for financial restructuring plans involving reductions to share capital.
Signaling theory and window of opportunity theory are two theories of capital structure. Signaling theory suggests that managers have better information about a company's prospects than outside investors. Companies with positive prospects will avoid stock offerings, while those with negative prospects will want to issue stock to share losses. The window of opportunity theory proposes that managers time the market when issuing securities, such as issuing equity when stock prices are high and debt when interest rates are low. Capital structure choices also impact lenders and rating agencies.
The document discusses mergers and acquisitions. It defines mergers as a financial tool where two companies combine with mutual consent to expand operations. It describes different types of mergers like horizontal, vertical, and conglomerate mergers. It provides examples of mergers in different industries. It also defines acquisitions as one company purchasing another. It discusses the benefits and potential failures of mergers as well as largest M&A deals worldwide. It analyzes M&A activity in India by sector and cross-border deals involving Indian companies.
Corporate restructuring refers to changes in ownership, business mix, assets, and alliances to enhance shareholder value. It may involve ownership, business, or assets restructuring through mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, strategic alliances, joint ventures, employee stock ownership plans, or leverage buyouts. The main motives for restructuring include limiting competition, achieving economies of scale, and gaining access to new markets. Valuation methods like discounted cash flow are used to evaluate restructuring transactions.
The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and The Theory of InvestmentRaju Basnet Chhetri
This article develops a theory of capital structure and its implications. It proposes three main propositions:
1) The market value of a firm is independent of its capital structure and depends only on expected returns.
2) The expected yield of common stock increases linearly with leverage.
3) The cutoff point for a firm's investments, known as the cost of capital, depends only on expected returns and is unaffected by capital structure.
The authors provide preliminary empirical evidence from utilities and oil companies that supports the first two propositions. They also discuss how the propositions can inform corporate financial planning and investment decisions. The theory contributes a new framework for understanding how capital structure relates to firm valuation and investment.
The document discusses various tactics that can be used during hostile takeovers, including dawn raids, bear hugs, Saturday night specials, and proxy fights as acquisition tactics. It also discusses potential defense tactics for target companies like crown jewels, blank checks, shark repellents, grey knights, white knights, golden parachutes, Pacman, green mail, poison pills, poison puts, people pills, and scorched earth. One highlighted defense tactic is using buy-backs of company shares using borrowed funds, which increases the promoters' stake while negatively impacting cash flows and attractiveness to potential acquirers.
The document discusses an IPO (Initial Public Offering) which is when a privately held company first offers shares of its stock to the public. It describes the process where a company hires an investment bank to sell shares and raise funds for operations. After the IPO, the stock trades between investors through brokers but the company does not receive more money, dispelling the myth that companies profit from stock trading after an IPO. The only times a company receives more money is through additional stock offerings to finance further expansion.
This document discusses various defensive and offensive strategies used in mergers and acquisitions. On the defensive side, it outlines poison pills, golden parachutes, greenmail, standstill agreements, and antitakeover amendments like staggered boards. Offensively, it details strategies like street sweeps, bear hugs, dawn raids, and using a white knight or white squire. It also discusses the strategic rationale for divestitures like unlocking hidden value and eliminating dissynergies.
1) The chapter discusses portfolio risk and return, and how diversification can reduce risk without lowering expected returns. It also covers calculating expected portfolio returns and standard deviation.
2) The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) measures systematic risk using beta coefficients. Systematic risk cannot be diversified away, whereas unsystematic risk can be through diversification.
3) CAPM predicts that investors will require a higher expected return for investments with higher betas or systematic risk. This relationship is depicted by the security market line.
The document discusses private equity funding and foreign venture capital investors. It provides an overview of private equity, including forms of private equity funding like angel investors, venture capital, and private equity. It describes the general private equity investment process and discusses valuations, structures and instruments, and exit options. The document also provides regulatory information regarding foreign venture capital investors and different fund structures they can utilize like offshore funds, onshore funds, and co-investment funds.
Corporate restructuring study material-final (2)Haridas Karath
This document provides an overview of various types of corporate restructuring transactions under Indian law. It begins by discussing mergers and amalgamations, noting the technical differences between the two but their common use. It then covers the different types of mergers (horizontal, vertical, congeneric, and conglomerate), as well as cash mergers and triangular mergers. Next, it discusses acquisitions, including friendly takeovers, hostile takeovers, and leveraged buyouts. It also mentions bailout takeovers. Finally, it briefly outlines strategic alliances, joint ventures, and demergers as other forms of corporate restructuring.
Valuation methods used in mergers and acquisitionsanvi sharma
This document discusses various valuation methods used in mergers and acquisitions, including asset-based valuation, earnings-based valuation using capitalization of earnings and PE ratios, dividend-based valuation using growth models, CAPM-based valuation, and free cash flow valuation. It emphasizes that the fair value of a company is typically determined by averaging the results of two or more methods to account for different factors and avoid reliance on a single approach.
The document discusses the verification of investments by auditors, including obtaining opening balances, confirming purchase and sale transactions, verifying the closing balance, and ensuring investments are within the entity's authority. It also covers examining internal controls over investments, verifying transactions through documents, conducting physical inspections where possible, examining valuation methods and disclosure compliance, and performing analytical review procedures.
Derivatives Disasters: The Legal Perspective discusses several high-profile derivatives disasters from the 1990s that resulted in significant losses for various institutions. It summarizes key details of losses sustained by entities such as Hammersmith and Fulham council, Allied Lyons, Metallgesellschaft, Orange County, Gibson Greetings, Procter & Gamble, and Barings Bank. It also discusses agency problems and lack of proper risk controls that allowed situations like Nick Leeson's losses at Barings and Robert Citron's bets in Orange County to occur. Speculation is described as different from gambling and is argued to be desirable as it facilitates hedging and provides market liquidity.
Long-Lived NonMonetary Assets And Their AmortizationNivin Vinoi
1. The document summarizes Chapter 7 of an accounting textbook, which covers long-lived nonmonetary assets and their amortization. It includes updated cases on Stern Corporation and WorldCom.
2. The chapter discusses the concepts of depreciation and amortization. Students often incorrectly think depreciation relates to changes in asset value rather than writing off cost over time. The chapter also summarizes several FASB statements related to intangible assets.
3. The cases include problems analyzing fixed asset transactions for Stern Corporation, and transactions related to capitalization for Stafford Press. The Silic and WorldCom cases involve choosing an accounting method and describing an accounting fraud case.
Types of hr strategies - overarching hr strategies - strategic human resourc...manumelwin
Overarching HR strategies describe the general intentions for how an organization will manage and develop its human resources to attract, retain, motivate and engage employees. They aim to create organizational effectiveness through employing high-quality people and processes. Examples provided include AEGON's integrated HR approach, B&Q's goals around commitment and retention, Egg's customer-focused treatment of employees, and GSK's goal of being the best place for top talent.
The Combined Code is the primary document outlining principles of corporate governance in the UK. It consolidates recommendations from several earlier reports, including the Cadbury, Greenbury, Hampel, Turnbull, Higgs, and Smith Reports. These reports responded to corporate scandals and provided guidance on board responsibilities and composition, executive compensation, internal controls, audit functions, and shareholder rights. The Combined Code establishes 14 governance principles and is updated annually with new recommendations to maintain best practices.
The document discusses recent market and economic developments and their implications. It notes that while job growth has remained strong, the quality of jobs created has lagged. Total worker compensation has dropped significantly. Commodity prices, especially oil, have impacted markets. Views on precious metals prices like gold diverge, with some bullish but others like EQS bearish as they believe metals will decline if interest rates rise. Overall the document analyzes recent economic data and trader perspectives.
Everyone enjoys a nice surprise - especially the ones that cause you to grin ear to ear, smile non-stop and wish the moment will never end.
There can also be bad surprises - and these are not the least bit enjoyable.
In this issue of the IceCap Global Outlook, we explain how governments are about to experience a bad surprise. And their reaction to these surprises will be significantly higher taxes for everyone.
There will also be a good surprise - adjusting your portfolios in anticipation of the bad surprise will allow you to not only preserve your capital, but also have you grinning ear to ear.
We invite you to read more.
The document discusses the recession in the United States, defining it as a contraction of GDP for at least two quarters. It then discusses the causes of recessions, including decreased consumer confidence leading to lower spending, production and higher unemployment. It also covers the subprime mortgage crisis in the U.S. and its role in the 2007-2008 recession, with many subprime borrowers defaulting as home prices fell. This caused losses for banks and helped spread the crisis globally.
The document discusses the recession in the United States. It defines a recession as a decline in GDP for at least two consecutive quarters. It outlines some of the key indicators of a recession like decreasing personal income and factory production as well as rising unemployment. It then discusses some of the major recessions in US history and how the subprime mortgage crisis of the late 2000s led to a major recession due to declining home prices and rising mortgage defaults. This caused major financial institutions like Lehman Brothers to fail, significantly damaging the US and global economies.
The recession that began in the late 2000s was, to date, the worst economic downturn in the United States since the Great Depression. They didn't call it the "Great Recession" for nothing.
The document summarizes the February 2011 economic outlook from the Las Vegas Real Estate Club newsletter. It discusses how geopolitical events like the uprising in Egypt are impacting commodity prices and the US dollar. It also summarizes that the Federal Reserve is maintaining low interest rates and quantitative easing. Finally, it provides seven potential investment opportunities to consider, including lower gold exposure, dividend stocks, and cash flow real estate investments in Las Vegas.
The document discusses emerging markets and whether recent turmoil could lead to contagion as seen in 1997. It summarizes that while some emerging markets face issues like inflation and political unrest, economies are now stronger and the affected countries too small to significantly impact the US economy. The author believes recent emerging market weakness provides an excuse for investors to take profits after big gains in 2013, but that a correction would not be fundamentally driven given the ongoing economic recovery.
This document provides an overview of All Star Financial, an independent fee-only financial advisory firm. It discusses the firm's services, investment philosophy, and approach to managing client portfolios. Key points include:
1. All Star Financial provides personal and corporate financial planning, investment management, and tax services. They manage client assets using mutual funds, ETFs, stocks, and bonds.
2. The firm's investment approach focuses on reducing risk and volatility through strategic asset allocation and diversification. They emphasize keeping what you earn over maximizing returns.
3. Examples from past economic cycles and market downturns illustrate why diversification and staying the course are important strategies during volatile periods. Panicking and making
The global markets were volatile in Q1 2014 due to inconsistent economic data, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, and fears of slowing growth in China. Canadian markets performed best, gaining 6.2%, while US, European, and emerging markets also posted strong returns. The portfolio manager recommends sticking to a diversified plan and not making hasty decisions during periods of market uncertainty. Maintaining a balanced portfolio with stocks, bonds, and cash helps reduce risk and smooth returns over the long run.
- Global stock markets rose strongly in the third quarter of 2010, with the S&P 500 experiencing its best September performance since 1939 due to gains in the telecommunications sector. Commodity prices also increased.
- Materials stocks performed well, particularly in fertilizer, metals and mining, as Chinese economic indicators exceeded expectations, calming fears of an Asian slowdown.
- Investor demand for fixed income remained strong despite low bond yields, as flows continued into government and corporate bonds seeking stability and income. However, bond prices may fall as money rotates to equities.
- Global stock markets rose strongly in the third quarter of 2010, with the S&P 500 experiencing its best September performance since 1939 due to gains in the telecommunications sector.
- Commodity prices also increased, with base metal prices leading gains, while bond markets were boosted by strong investor demand that pushed yields lower.
- By the end of the third quarter, fears of a slowdown in China's economy, a double-dip recession in the US, and the European sovereign debt crisis all subsided, helping fuel the stock market rebound.
1. The portfolio manager discusses the market performance in Q2 2014, with the Canadian equity markets outperforming other global regions.
2. He explains that central bank monetary policies, particularly from the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank, have been a key driver for the stock market rally over the past few years by keeping interest rates low.
3. The portfolio manager reiterates his advice to investors to stick to their customized plans and not be deterred by short-term market fluctuations, as the plans are designed to navigate periods of volatility.
Could a turnaround last the distance for major markets? Hantec Markets
After a tumultuous period of trading on financial markets is a turning point about to be seen? If so, how long can it last? We consider the outlook for forex, equities and commodities in the coming days.
- The document discusses how Labor Day may mark the end of summer but not the end of market volatility this year. Uncertainty around China, the Fed, commodities, and equities is fueling high volatility.
- Bill Gross, a prominent bond investor, recommends cash or near-cash investments due to ongoing uncertainty and risk. His comments add to concerns that ordinary investors may reduce market exposure.
- Uncertainty around China, the Fed interest rate decision, Europe, and Japan means volatility is likely to continue through the autumn. The document argues this "volatility heat wave" is just beginning.
The document provides an overview and analysis of recent economic events and the ongoing debt crisis. It summarizes that a last-minute deal avoided a US debt default, but S&P downgraded the US credit rating due to high debt levels. Global markets declined sharply on contagion fears in Europe and recession concerns. The document then analyzes how decades of accumulating consumer and government debt across developed nations has now come to a head, though the economy may stabilize over the long run.
The fundamental theme of the newsletter remains the same -- to dive deeper into economic issues that affect our investors. However to keep it interesting, the analysis has been kept at a macro level without getting into minute details.
We received encouraging feedback on the inaugural issue and we have used the same to improve this edition.
We hope you find the newsletter interesting.
This is where Deitric Muhammad predicted the so-called Credit Crunch/Financial Crisis 2008, the rise of telecommunications and banking in Africa, and more! Yes, he was THE FIRST person to ACCURATELY PREDICT the World Financial Crisis as early as October 2005!!!
Similar to Sample Copy of Market Outlook Report - The Market & Business Cycles - Sept 2011 Issue (20)
Phoenix Lamps is an Indian company that is the dominant manufacturer of halogen lighting in India, with over 50% market share across various vehicle segments. It has a cost advantage over competitors due to large scale manufacturing. The company was previously owned by Actis Capital, but is now owned by Suprajit Engineering, an established player in auto ancillaries, which should improve management quality. The document discusses Phoenix Lamps' business overview, financials, valuation, and risks, concluding the company is a quality business available at an attractive price.
The document provides an update from HBJ Capital on the Indian stock market and their investment strategies. In 3 sentences:
Indian markets continued their strong rally in January driven by global liquidity and the domestic political mandate. However, some stocks are now trading at "absurd valuations" and frothy levels despite decent growth potential. HBJ Capital remains focused on finding attractively valued, quality businesses with upside potential rather than continually buying overvalued stocks that have performed well in the past.
The Indian markets had a flat December with a brief correction in the middle of the month. The letter outlines reasons for the fund manager's bullish long-term outlook on Indian markets, including a cyclical economic recovery aided by lower inflation and commodity prices. Several structural factors are also cited such as capital inflows due to low global growth, India embracing capitalism, and monetary reforms. The fund manager believes the market correction provides opportunities to accumulate quality stocks at attractive valuations. The letter concludes with investment quotes emphasizing valuation, patience, and focusing on companies with potential for outsized returns.
City Union Bank (CUB) is recommended as a buy investment, with a core investment thesis that it is a well-run regional bank that has consistently generated healthy returns and shareholder wealth creation. CUB focuses on lending to the MSME segment, which is expected to see strong growth over the next decade as manufacturing and global trade increases in India. CUB has a strong track record over 15 years of delivering high returns through earnings growth, and its focus on MSME lending, strong execution, and conservative culture position it for continued outperformance going forward at its current attractive valuation.
This document recommends buying shares of Orient Cements, an Indian cement company. It suggests accumulating 65% of the recommended 8-10% allocation now while the stock trades below 48 rupees per share. The strategy is to hold the stock for 6-12 months as quarterly earnings are expected to trigger a re-rating of the stock price to its intrinsic value near 75 rupees per share. Orient Cements is seen as undervalued due to a technical correction following its listing, trading at a large discount to peers and at only 3.3 times estimated EBIDTA.
- HBJ Capital is an equity research firm that provides stock recommendations to retail, high net worth, and institutional clients with the goal of identifying "hidden gem" multibagger stocks.
- Their flagship Multibagger Stock Package recommends 12 stocks per year with in-depth research reports and quarterly updates, focusing on mid-cap, small-cap, micro-cap, and other styles that could generate high returns.
- Their research process involves analyzing sectors, companies, management, and financials through primary and secondary research to identify undervalued stocks with strong growth potential.
- The document discusses Ramco Systems, an Indian IT products company that is emerging as a player in the growing cloud ERP space.
- It provides an overview of the large and growing global cloud ERP market, which is disrupting the traditional ERP market. Legacy ERP providers are struggling to transition to cloud solutions.
- Ramco Systems has developed competitive cloud ERP products but has historically struggled with marketing and sales. A new management team is focusing on an aggressive global go-to-market strategy for its cloud products.
- If Ramco is able to successfully execute this strategy, it represents a high-risk, high-return investment opportunity for investors due to the large potential upside from the growing
Coromandel International is a fertilizer company that is well-positioned to benefit from reforms in the fertilizer industry and the need to improve agriculture productivity in India. The company has a strong core phosphate fertilizer business with cost advantages. Upcoming reforms to subsidies on urea fertilizer over the next 5 years could significantly improve business dynamics for the company. The company also has a good track record of inorganic growth through acquisitions and a focus on higher-margin non-subsidized businesses that now make up 20% of revenues. At its current valuation, the company represents an attractive investment opportunity.
- The document discusses DB Corp Ltd, an Indian media company focused on print media. It provides an overview of the company, its financials, and an analysis of why it is a good long-term investment.
- Warren Buffett's views on newspapers are summarized, noting that while print circulation and advertising are declining overall, local newspapers can remain valuable by providing indispensable local news and information to their communities.
- The document argues that within India, DB Corp is well positioned due to the continued growth potential of the Hindi print media market, the company's strong brand and readership, and attractive valuation.
NBCC Ltd is an Indian construction company that provides project management consultancy (PMC) services to government projects. It has a large order backlog and growth visibility. The company has a strong track record over 10 years and generates high returns. However, the stock trades at low valuations due to concerns over contingent liabilities, capital allocation, and potential policy changes. The analyst believes the stock is undervalued due to its large cash balance, high returns, and growth opportunities in real estate development.
- Shriram City Union Finance Ltd (SCUF) is recommended as a buy opportunity, with a maximum portfolio allocation of 2%.
- SCUF operates in the growing MSME lending space in India, which is underserved by formal lenders. SCUF is well-positioned to scale its MSME lending business significantly over the next 3-5 years due to structural growth opportunities in this market.
- SCUF has a track record of strong financial performance over the last 5 years, with returns expected to remain high due to its focus on the large MSME lending opportunity. This positions the stock to deliver multibagger returns for long term investors over the next 5+ years.
Bajaj Finserv Ltd is a financial services company engaged in life and general insurance, consumer finance, and other financial services through subsidiaries. It is seeking to accumulate a 6-8% position in Bajaj Finserv over 3-5 years due to its strong competitive advantages and management. The company has grown through prudent capital allocation and has opportunities from growth in the Indian insurance industry, which is still underpenetrated despite recent slowdowns. It has a strong balance sheet and caters to a wide range of financial needs through aggressive subsidiaries.
This document summarizes an investment analysis of Bajaj Finserv, an Indian financial services company whose main operations and most of its profits come from its insurance subsidiaries, Bajaj Allianz General Insurance and Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance. These insurance businesses have highly efficient and profitable underwriting operations that generate large amounts of low-cost capital. While Bajaj Finserv's stock is currently undervalued due to its holding structure and lack of attention from investors, the analyst believes the insurance subsidiaries can continue growing profits at double-digit rates, creating high returns for shareholders in the long run. At its current low valuation of less than 6 times earnings and 1.3 times book value, the stock provides
DB Corp Ltd is a leading newspaper publisher in India that operates newspapers in multiple languages. The document discusses DB Corp as an investment opportunity, providing an investment snapshot of the company, its financials, and the research desk's positive views. It believes DB Corp can deliver healthy risk-adjusted returns due to the attractive economics of quality newspaper franchises in India, DB Corp's excellent operational track record and growth, and attractive valuations given its quality. The research desk is bullish that regional newspapers like DB Corp still have a long runway for growth in India.
DB Corp is an Indian print media company focused on Hindi and Gujarati newspapers. It has grown organically over the past 15 years to become the largest print media company in India with a daily readership of 19.8 million across 14 states. The document discusses why DB Corp is a high-quality investment opportunity due to its attractive economics, excellent operational track record of aggressive expansion, and significant operational leverage that will drive earnings growth as the economy and ad market improve. DB Corp is still available at attractive valuations despite its quality franchise and management.
IL&FS Investment Managers (IIML) is an asset management company focused on the private equity industry in India. The document recommends buying shares of IIML, outlines a two-phase accumulation strategy, and presents the investment thesis that IIML has a unique business model in the growing Indian private equity industry that does not require capital for growth and pays high dividends. IIML manages over $3.2 billion in assets across sectors like infrastructure and real estate and has experience through multiple economic cycles.
- The document discusses Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd, a large Indian mortgage financier. It provides an analysis of the company's strengths, governance issues, financial performance, and competitive positioning within the housing finance industry.
- While there are some perceived governance concerns around the parent company, the document argues these do not impact the mortgage business and that Indiabulls Housing Finance has a conservative balance sheet, strong profitability, and consistent financial performance.
- Based on the analysis, the document recommends buying Indiabulls Housing Finance, viewing it as undervalued relative to its quality and growth prospects within the Indian housing sector.
Bajaj Electricals is a multi-year compounding stock trading at reasonable valuations. The document discusses Bajaj Electricals' business overview, investment rationale, and financials. It recommends buying Bajaj Electricals, with an accumulation range of Rs. 160-180. Bajaj Electricals has a market capitalization of Rs. 19.58 billion and is a leader in appliances and lighting with a diverse product portfolio and strong distribution network. The company has demonstrated healthy financial growth over 10 years and is well positioned to benefit from India's growing middle class.
Tree House Education & Accessories Ltd (THEAL) operates in the high potential education sector in India. It is the largest self-operated pre-school chain in India. The document discusses THEAL's business model, financials, growth opportunities and investment rationale. It notes THEAL's strong execution track record, profitable business model, and potential to benefit from India's growing education spending and pre-school penetration. The analyst views THEAL as a high quality business with stable earnings and recommends it as a long-term buy idea.
New Visa Rules for Tourists and Students in Thailand | Amit Kakkar Easy VisaAmit Kakkar
Discover essential details about Thailand's recent visa policy changes, tailored for tourists and students. Amit Kakkar Easy Visa provides a comprehensive overview of new requirements, application processes, and tips to ensure a smooth transition for all travelers.
The Universal Account Number (UAN) by EPFO centralizes multiple PF accounts, simplifying management for Indian employees. It streamlines PF transfers, withdrawals, and KYC updates, providing transparency and reducing employer dependency. Despite challenges like digital literacy and internet access, UAN is vital for financial empowerment and efficient provident fund management in today's digital age.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
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Well-crafted financial reports serve as vital tools for decision-making and transparency within an organization. By following the undermentioned tips, you can create standardized financial reports that effectively communicate your company's financial health and performance to stakeholders.
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Abhay Bhutada, the Managing Director of Poonawalla Fincorp Limited, is an accomplished leader with over 15 years of experience in commercial and retail lending. A Qualified Chartered Accountant, he has been pivotal in leveraging technology to enhance financial services. Starting his career at Bank of India, he later founded TAB Capital Limited and co-founded Poonawalla Finance Private Limited, emphasizing digital lending. Under his leadership, Poonawalla Fincorp achieved a 'AAA' credit rating, integrating acquisitions and emphasizing corporate governance. Actively involved in industry forums and CSR initiatives, Abhay has been recognized with awards like "Young Entrepreneur of India 2017" and "40 under 40 Most Influential Leader for 2020-21." Personally, he values mindfulness, enjoys gardening, yoga, and sees every day as an opportunity for growth and improvement.
Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
May’s reports showed signs of continued economic growth, said Sam Millette, director, fixed income, in his latest Economic Risk Factor Update.
For more market updates, subscribe to The Independent Market Observer at https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
3. From the desk of CEO
Dear HBJ Family Members,
After the successful release of our previous 3 market outlook reports during last 10 months, we are once again back with
the market forecasting report called “The Market & Business Cycles”. This issue is more informative, can be used
for education purpose. It will help you to look at the BIG PICTURE of the world economy & various asset class.
Last week, Ben Bernanke has warned about the US crisis. Market took it seriously, but later on nobody on the street was
cheered about Obama’s 447 billion dollars job package. Euro zone crisis is also deepening particularly, the Greece
crisis has become worse. ECB’s German member Jeorge Stark has decided to resign over dispute on helping
Greece. All these concerns will dampen the investors sentiments. At home, India Inc. will announce Advance tax
data for the second quarter on 15th September followed by RBI credit policy on Sept 16th.
We know that we can never predict the future. But with Market Cycles we can anticipate the safe times and the dangerous
times, the moment to take risk and the moment to conserve capital. Understanding the fact that bonds lead stocks,
and stocks lead commodities will help in selecting the asset class to part our funds. The rich understands the
economic cycle. Unlike the poor, the rich will start to park their cash in the stock market towards the end of
the depression. The rich will wait patiently for 1, 2 or 3 years. They are not bothered by the daily fluctuation in
stock prices. When stock market revive, they easily make 200-300% return.
Remember, Economy changes but history repeats itself.You don’t have to be a swami guru to predict the future. What
you need to be is just a part of HBJ Family. At this moment, wait for further downside in the market. Keep
cash in your hand, nowhere else. You are very close to once in a lifetime opportunity to invest in
stocks!
Regards,
Kumar Harendra, CEO, HBJ Capital
4. Successfully predicted the market trends…
“Is this a trend reversal?” [Nov’10 Issue]
– HIGH ALERT GIVEN ADVISING TO KEEP 50% CASH IN HAND & 50% IN STOCKS.
“Fat Boys” [Dec’10 Issue]
–ALERT GIVEN TO SAFEGUARD INVESTORS FROM THE FALSE BREAKOUT IN DEC’10
“The Sixth Sense” [Feb’11 Issue]
– PREDICTED SENSEX/NIFTY LEVELS OF 16K & 4800 BY JUNE’11, ACHIEVED IN AUG’11.
“The Market & Business Cycles” [Sept’11 Issue]
–– PREDICTED SENSEX/NIFTY LEVELS OF XX & YY BY DEC’11.
6. Interest rate near peak during “Early Contraction”
Interest rates play a very important role in determining economic activity, the phases of the business cycle and the
performance of the stock market. Higher interest rates increase the costs to businesses and individuals. Companies must
pay more to borrow money for capital investments or to fund daily business operations. Higher interest rates also increase
the demand for money to invest in bonds, competing for money to invest in the stock market.
8. Power shifting to Asian Economy!
PERHAPS there are two of the greatest kept secrets
in the West that are impacting our future that
continue to be ignored.
Lower interest rates destroy the economy reducing the
value of money at a time when its value rises removing the
incentive to lend money.
Fact that Asia use to be the largest economy and financial
capital of the world. Indeed, we are passing the torch from
the West to Asia because that is part of the nature of all
things.
The Financial Capital Of The World and the World’s
Largest Economy are two titles that have often
been shared, yet are never fixed.
Perhaps at first you might respond thinking China or
Japan may have held that title.
Yet, to your surprise, India once also held this title
around 1000AD. Today, India is one of the fastest growing
regions and Asia is evolving independent of Europe and
America. This is why the British were so interested in India.
10. Are we heading for an 'equities bloodbath'?
Equity investors are in for a rude shock.The global economy is sliding back into recession and they are still not even
aware that these events will trigger another leg down in valuations, the third major bear market since the equity valuation
bubble burst.
Economic data is increasingly pointing to a double-dip recession and that presently there is too much optimism among
investors. So far the equity market has shrugged off much of the weaker data that abounds, and has not joined the bond
market in a perceptive move.
The equity market will though crumble like the house of cards it is, when the nationwide [US] manufacturing ISM
slides below 50 into recession territory in coming months. During Aug’11 it was 50.6 almost close to recession zone!
12. Europe is on the doorstep of disaster.
Europe is on the doorstep of disaster. If it breaks-up, the trade barriers will rise with regulations and
freedom of movement will cease as everyone will be pointing fingers at everyone else as the cause.
That opens the door to WAR whether or not you want to even entertain that possibility.
This decision that there is EITHER a unified Europe or it disintegrates will have to be made VERY soon.
We are deeply concerned that the world will turn VERY, VERY Ugly and we are not talking about long-term
stuff here.
Japan found the magic formula to create a 26 year Great Depression.
Central banks raise and lower interest rates in HOPE or affecting DEMAND. This method is never
successful because it is INDIRECT and is based upon a hope and a prayer.
Because Japan lowered interest rates to virtually ZERO, they failed to stimulate DEMAND and all they
managed to create was a massive exportation of yen largely to dollars called the YEN CARRY TRADE.
They could earn 8% at the time in the USA and the domestic economy in Japan merely stagnated as capital
fled seeking profit elsewhere. Japan found the magic formula of how to create a 26 year Great Depression.
Guess what! This failed theory that making interest rates really cheap will somehow stimulate borrowing and
economic growth is so flawed because again it is based upon a domestic closed economy that does not exist
ignoring what happens if money just picks up and leaves.
14. Gold can spike high above $2300, now trading around $1855
What makes markets go up and down is NOT the fundamentals – it is people. Between
1970 and 1974 gold rallied from $35 to about $200 on the same default. Nothing changed,
but gold fell into 1976 to $103. Then it rallied to $875 into 1980. There was NO change in
the fundamentals.
Rumors are echoing in the corridors of power in Wall Street and Washington — whispers
about Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's secret plan for interest rates. The Fed on Aug. 9
pledged to keep the benchmark rate near zero until at least mid-2013. Now, the rumor is
that "Helicopter Ben" is seeking to force down longer-maturity bond yields — in a last-
ditch attempt to boost the economy.
Mind you, the 10-year note is only yielding about 2 percent now. But even on the rumor of
this shift in Fed policy, Wall Street heavyweights are rumbling there could be unforeseen
consequences from such a move. Lower returns on Treasuries drive investors into riskier
assets in search of a higher return. This can boost equities and most commodities —
including gold.
Investors who have never even thought about owning gold before will rush into the metal.
This could be the critical thrust we need to drive gold above $2,000 an ounce, then $2,300
— and potentially much higher! And it's not just gold. Commodities of all types —
precious metals, agriculture, energy and more — are poised to rocket on Bernanke's
gambit!
16. Economy works in a predictable cycle: Learn It
The rich understands this economic cycle. Unlike the poor, the rich will start to
park their cash in the stock market towards the end of the depression. The rich
will wait patiently for 1, 2 or 3 years. They are not bothered by the daily
fluctuation in stock prices. When stock market revive, they easily make 200-
300% return. The next thing they watch out for is the property prices.
When property prices begin to show its first quarter increase, they will sell off
The rich will some of their shares and grab a few properties. In another 1 or 2 years, their
wait patiently properties appreciate in value and they easily make a few millions. When the
economy reaches its peak, they will sell off some of their properties, keep some to
for 1, 2 or 3 earn rental income and park the rest of their money in fix deposit, survive
years. They are through the depression (which can last for about 5 years!) and wait for the
next cycle!
not bothered Guess what the poor will be doing? They do the exact opposite. When
by the daily the market is good, they got their pay rise and bonuses. They feel rich
and start to think of some investment. Usually, they will turn to a bank
fluctuation in and listen to those unit trust managers who show them all kinds of track record
stock prices. about the superb performance of their unit trusts. The poor will then put their
hard-earned cash into those unit trusts and become a victim of the next economy
depression.
Remember, Economy changes but history repeats itself. You don’t have
to be a swami guru to predict the future. What you need to be is a
member of HBJ Family.
18. Sector Rotation, a Proven Investing Strategy
Bonds Stocks Commodities,
Bond has fallen down, Stock is
falling now, Commodity will fall
in future & the cycle continues!
At every time period, a certain sector will do well due to changes in the economic and market cycle. Due to these
changes, an investor can invest in that sector that is doing well for that time period by buying a sector exchange traded
funds (ETFs). The economy lags the market by 3 to 6 months as investors try to predict economic events.This was evident
during the recent crisis.The market bottomed in March 2009 but the economic numbers began to pick up only much
later. This happens because the market attempt to predict the economy well ahead. Remember that the market is made up
of people with emotions and feelings.
The stock market cycle tends to precede the business cycle by six months on average, as investors try to anticipate when
the market will respond to changes in the economy. This means investors are more likely to beat the market, if they invest
in the sectors that line up with the current and next phase of the business cycle.
By using the sector rotation model, one can intelligently invest in the markets and liquidate when the needs arises. Even
though one cannot predict the market accurately, at least one can use this to intelligently guess where the market is headed
next without relying solely on those “economists”.
19. Regular
Income For
YOU
E-Mail: Info@hbjcapital.com
Call: +91 98867 36791
21. Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been
furnished to you solely for your information and must not
be reproduced or redistributed to any other person.
Persons into whose possession this document may come
are required to observe these restrictions. This material is
for the personal information of the authorized recipient
only.
The recommendation made herein does not constitute an offer
to sell or solicitation to buy any of the securities
mentioned. No representation can be made that
recommendation contained herein will be profitable or that
they will not result in loss. Information obtained is deemed
to be reliable but do not guarantee its accuracy and
completeness. Readers using the information contained
herein are solely responsible for their action.
HBJ Capital, or its representative will not be liable for the
recipient’s investment decision based on this report. HBJ
Capital, officers, directors, employees or its affiliates may
or may not hold positions in the companies /stocks
mentioned herein.