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National Aeronautics and Space Administration




Lessons in Systems
Engineering –

The SSME Weight
Growth History

Richard Ryan
Technical Specialist, MSFC Chief Engineers Office
History of Design: Pre-Industrial Revolution

 • Classic Cathedral Design and Construction
   representative of the complexity of the era
 • Design and construction managed by Master Mason
   – All Knowing
     • Knew and could practice all the design and
       construction skills necessary to produce the
       magnificent cathedrals
       – Understood the physics associated with the
         cathedral design
     • Life long endeavor
     • Trained / apprenticed his replacement
     • Tools, Processes, Skills acquired through
       experience
       – Processes alone could not substitute for
         experience

                                                      2
History of Design: Post-Industrial Revolution

• The complexity system designs increased and became too
  much for one person to know
• Systems engineering developed in an attempt to manage
  these complex designs
  – “…the initial formalization of the systems engineering
   process for military development began to surface in the
   mid-1950’s on the ballistic missile programs.” (SP6102
   Readings in Systems Engineering, 1993, p.9)
 – Later evolution included the development of Integrated
   Product Teams, Product Development Teams, etc
 – Group becomes “all knowing”: Collectively contains the
   knowledge, skills and experience to produce products
 – Biggest challenge for SE is to make sure that the “Group
   Communication System” functions otherwise “all
   knowing” of the team fails


                                                              3
Systems Engineering: What Is It?

 • From SP-6102
   – “Systems engineering is the management function which
     controls the total system development effort for the purpose of
     achieving an optimum balance of all system elements. It is a
     process which transforms an operational need into a
     description of system parameters and integrates those
     parameters to optimize the overall system effectiveness.”

 • Purpose of SE then is to create a complex product that
   meets all requirements through a methodology that focuses
   on an integrated design that emphasizes balancing risk
   between all subsystems and components
   – The effect should be an optimized system but made up of sub-
     optimized subsystems and components



                                                                       4
Systems Engineering Functions

 • SE Functions can be grouped into three categories
   – Classical Systems Engineering focused on processes,
     procedures, configuration and data management control, etc
   – Project control focused on cost and schedule
   – Technical Integration focused on the interactions among all the
     compartmentalized hardware, design, and discipline areas
     reintegrating them into a verifiable and operable system that
     meets requirements in a balanced state.
 • Master Mason was responsible for all three
 • Today, there is a tendency to focus only on the first two
   assuming that the processes and procedures can
   compensate for lack of experience, training and the complex
   interactions between subsystems / components




                                                                       5
Systems Engineering: Why We Ignore Technical
Integration
 • Strong tendency to view systems engineering as only the
   processes that bring the designed parts together
   (integration) rather than creating “Integrated Designs”
   – It is based on an assumption that the system can be broken
      apart expecting linearity and handle everything by defining
      pertinent requirements, defining and managing interfaces,
      design data flow and then designing the parts (Classical SE).
      • Then when the system is put back together it will perform ok.
      • It is a false assumption because there are many interactions,
        linear and nonlinear, in a complex “system” causing the
        parts to perform different together than apart.
   – It also assumes design development is serial and not iterative
      in nature
   – This approach also tends to neglect the communication needs
      of the “Group Knowledge”


                                                                        6
Systems Engineering: Achieving a Balanced
Integrated Design
 • So, the systems engineer for an integrated design is
   responsible for and concerned with getting all interacting
   disciplines into a balanced state using uncertainties,
   sensitivities, risks, and programmatics (cost and schedule)
   – Part of that task is to also insure that all the discipline models,
     simulations, technology base, etc are at the appropriate
     maturity level so that an accurate trade space can be
     determined
   – Systems engineer does not replace the Master Mason but
     ensures that the necessary communication takes place in the
     SE process along with the necessary skills and tools to utilize
     the “Group Knowledge” in creating a balanced integrated
     design
   – The “Group Knowledge” provides the needed “understanding of
     the physics” associated with the complex system design


                                                                           7
A Balanced Design

 • Achieving a balanced design is about “spreading the pain”
 • Balance needs to be achieved early in the design process
   usually by the conceptual design review because the impact
   is almost always already set
 • Metrics for balanced design
   – Risk: cost, schedule, technical
   – Margins
   – Uncertainties
   – Sensitivities of design parameter
   – Technology maturity level
      • If low it is difficult to impossible to quantify the others above
 • If balance not achieved programs / projects will experience
   cost overruns, schedule slips or even failure

 SSME Weight Story is a good example of what can go wrong if
 the requirements, technology base and final systems design do
 not balance early                                                          8
Background: Elementary Rocket Science

 • To fully appreciate the SSME weight growth story and the lessons
   it teaches us about proper systems engineering we need to
   understand some of the challenges of rocket design

 • The vehicle must impart orbital energy to the payload.
   – (Orbital energy is large -- h ~ 160 n.m. altitude, ΔV ~25,300 ft/s

 • With current technology, this pushes propulsion, structures, and
   systems capability to the limit.

 • Payload size and mass drives launch vehicle performance
   requirements.




                                                                          9
Background: Elementary Rocket Science

 • Propulsion:
   – Efficient conversion of chemical potential energy to kinetic energy (The
     Space Shuttle Main Engine has an Isp of 452 s out of a potential 460 s)
   – Vehicle Thrust to weight ratio at liftoff greater than 1.1
 • Structures:
   – Efficient/lightweight strong structures. Vehicle mass fraction around .90
     • The ratio of the average skin thickness to the diameter of the Shuttle
       External Tank is a factor of 3 less than that of an aluminum drink can.
 • System Effects:
   – Minimize losses during mission (Understand, quantify, control, and
     manage)




 All system elements being pushed to their limits creates a
 constant “tug of war” that, if not carefully monitored, leads to
 unbalance in the design
                                                                                 10
Liquid Pump-fed Main Engines
 • Pump-fed liquid engines are one of the most complex and challenging
   subsystems on the entire launch vehicle and present many systems
   engineering challenges
 • Pump-fed liquid engine design requires many of the same design functions
   and analysis disciplines that the vehicle design uses
    •            Liquid rocket engines have much higher
                 power densities than more conventional                                                 SSME
                 transportation system engines                                                          HP/Wt = 879

    •            This creates extreme environments and                                    SSME Fuel Turbopump
                                                                                          775 lb
                 stretches the limits of design and analysis                              72,000 HP
                 capabilities                                                             HP/Wt = 93


                                  100
                                                                                    SSME Ox Turbopump
                                                                                    575 lb
                                   90
                                                                                    29,000 HP
                                                                                    HP/Wt = 50
        Shaft Horsepower/Weight




                                   80


                                   70
                                                                     Jet Engine
                                   60
                                                                     2,800 lb
                                        Auto Engine   Indy Engine    52,900 HP
                                   50   370 lb        275 lb         HP/Wt = 18.9
                                        200 HP        800 HP
                                   40
                                        HP/Wt = .54   HP/Wt = 2.91
                                   30


                                   20


                                   10


                                    0                                                                                 11
Difficulty and Complexity of Liquid Rocket
        Engines Are Reflected in Turbomachinery Design
  • Turbopumps differ from conventional gas turbine engines in significant ways

   Difficult Propellants      Extreme Blade Loading
   Material compatibility      Up to 550 hp per blade
issues, cavitation, bearing
stresses, high heat fluxes,
  heavier flanges, tighter
      complex seals
                                                                      Typical Pump Fed Rocket Engine Hydrogen
                                                Item                  Turbopump Parameters (range depends on        Jet Engine
                                                                             engine cycle and application)
                                                                                                                    Petroleum
      High Speeds             Fuel                                                   Hydrogen
                                                                                                                     distillate
        Bearing life,
                              Oxidizer                                                Oxygen                            Air
  rotordynamics issues
                              Operating speed (RPM)                               20,000 to 36,000                    15,000
                              Turbine blade tip speed (ft/sec)                     1400 to 1850                        1850
                              Turbine power density (HP/in^2)                      2000 to 3200                         394
                              Turbine inlet temperature (deg F)                     1000 to 1600                       2400
   High Power Density         Turbine heat transfer coef.
   High power bending                                                             20,000 to 54,000                      500
stress, high work per unit    (BTU/ft^2- hr-degF)
area, tight manufacturing     Turbine thermal start/stop transients
                                                                                   1000 to 32,000                       100
        tolerances            (deg F/sec)
                              Pump/compressor pressure rise (psi)                   2000 to 7000                     400 - 600
                              Pump dynamic pressure (psi)                           500 to 2000                       50 - 200

    Uncooled Blades                       High Pressures                                               High Thermal Strains
 Limit inlet temperature,              (static and dynamic)                                           Very high thermal stress,
   increase rotational                 High housing loads,                                               low cycle fatigue,
    speed and blade                  instabilities, high-cycle                                          material limitations
          turning                              fatigue
                                                                                                                              12
SSME Weight Growth History
                                                                      First Flight
                      10000

                                Thrust Requirement up to 550K.


                                       Weight previously scaled from 415K engine.
                                       Due to re-evaluation, weight increase is not as large.
                       9000

                                                              Increase in nozzle                                                         Block II Configuration
                                                             tube walls to meet CEI                            Block IIA Configuration
                                                             safety factor.
                                                                                                   Block I Configuration
Engine Weight (lbs)




                       8000
                                     Lowering of thrust requirement                  Actual weight variance deduction
                                     to 470K. Authority to proceed.                  due to actual engine weights.

                                                                                            Return to Flight Configuration
                                         Customer addition of pogo
                                         suppression system.
                       7000

                                                                                                  Change in bookkeeping
                                                                                                  philosophy.
                                                                      Customer change to heat shield
                                                                      increased nozzle structure.
                       6000
                                                                         Customer addition of nozzle thermal protection.
                                                      Stress analysis on primary nozzle resulted in weight increase and subsequent nozzle redesign.

                                                 Machining of excess material.

                                Customer requirements change.
                       5000
                         11/24/70 11/23/72 11/23/74 11/22/76 11/22/78 11/21/80 11/21/82 11/20/84 11/20/86 11/19/88 11/19/90 11/18/92 11/18/94 11/17/96 11/17/98 11/16/00
                                                                                                 Date


           Challenge and Problem better understood by looking at engine thrust to weight ratio13
SSME Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio History

                                                                               First Flight
                                                                                               • Early (1971) thrust to weight ratio predictions for the
                                       90                                                           SSME concepts were around 65 to 1
                                                 Machining of excess material.                      – Based on J-2 and F-1 technology base and some
                                                                                                        advanced development with Air Force
                                                          Stress analysis on primary nozzle resulted in weight increase and subsequent nozzle redesign.

                                                                                                    – Estimate was realistic and representative of
                                                                        Customer addition of nozzle thermal protection.

                                       80
                                                                                                        achievable values
                                                                                  Customer change to heat shield increased nozzle structure.
Engine Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio




                                                                                               • As the Space Shuttle System design concept
                                                                                               Increase in nozzle
                                                                                               tubematured, weight became a serious problem driving
                                                                                                     walls to meet CEI
                                                                                               safety factor.
                                                                                                    the thrust to weight ratio requirements of the SSME
                                                                                                                   Change in bookkeeping
                                                                                                                   philosophy.                    Return to Flight Configuration
                                                                                                    to 80 to 1
                                       70                                                           – The technology base did not support this requirement
                                                                                                    – Massive development effort required to cut weight out
                                                            Customer requirements change.               of theweight variance deduction
                                                                                                          Actual engine
                                                       Lowering of thrust requirement                   • due to actual engineconstruction for most of the components
                                                                                                             All welded weights.
                                                       to 470K.Authority to proceed.
                                       60                                                               • No weld lands I Configuration
                                                                                                    Thrust increase from 470k
                                                                                                                                Block


                                               Thrust Requirement up to 550K.
                                                                                                        • Machining off all excess material
                                                                                                    to 490k without weight
                                                                                                    increase
                                                                                                                                              Block IIA Configuration

                                                                                                    – Additional performance enhancements to meet system
                                                                                                                                                   Block II Configuration
                                                                                                        weight problem included trading engine life for
                                                                                                        increased power level
                                       50
                                        11/24/70 11/23/72 11/23/74 11/22/76 11/22/78 11/21/80 11/21/82 11/20/84 11/20/86 11/19/88 11/19/90 thrust to 109% PL and 11/16/00
                                                                                                        • Increased engine 11/18/92 11/18/94 11/17/96 11/17/98 cut design
                                                                                                               Date
                                                                                                             life from 100 to 55 missions                                        14
SSME Weight Problems
 • As consequence of weight cuts and power level increase, engine
   began experiencing many fatigue failures some resulting in
   catastrophic engine failures during ground testing
   – High cost of hardware losses, design changes and schedule slips
   – In 1978, two alternating MSFC engineering teams of about 100 each
     were established at Canoga Park and worked with a large team at
     MSFC for 9 months to address these problems
   – Instituted a fracture control survey of engine and identified many
     problem areas
     • Engine originally not designed for fracture control
     • Fracture control team established permanently
 • Lack of robustness in design lead to increased operations costs to
   assure engine safety and reliability




                                                                          15
SSME Solutions and Weight Growth

 • In late 70’s as Shuttle System design began to solidify, weight was
   offered up to the SSME project manager to fix problems by Shuttle
   program manager
   – SSME project manager put off weight increases to support first flight
     date using current engine design with limited life and performance
     • Believed that it was better to be flying at lower capability than to wait
        until all capability was available (balancing political concerns)
   – Weight was increased as new redesigned components were added as
     block upgrades beginning in the mid to late 80’s and into the 90’s
     • Major examples are Two Duct Hot Gas Manifold, Large Throat Main
        Combustion Chamber, ATD High Pressure Oxidizer Turbopump,
        ATD High Pressure Fuel Turbopump

 • Weight could be added without impacting performance because the
   Orbiter had to fly ballast in the back to offset a heavy nose section
   – Increased engine weight just off loaded ballast



                                                                                   16
SSME Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio History

 • Final engine T/W ratio essentially same as originally estimated but
   final design was compromised because unrealistic requirements
   set stage for constrained engine design
                                                                                     First Flight
                                          90

                                                  Machining of excess material.

                                                           Stress analysis on primary nozzle resulted in weight increase and subsequent nozzle redesign.

                                                                         Customer addition of nozzle thermal protection.
                                                                                   Customer change to heat shield increased nozzle structure.
   Engine Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio




                                          80

                                                                                                 Increase in nozzle
                                                                                                 tube walls to meet CEI
                                                                                                 safety factor.
                                                                                                                  Change in bookkeeping
                                                                                                                  philosophy.                       Return to Flight Configuration

                                          70



                                                            Customer requirements change.
                                                                                                           Actual weight variance deduction
                                                                                                           due to actual engine weights.
                                                        Lowering of thrust requirement
                                                        to 470K.Authority to proceed.
                                                                                                                              Block I Configuration
                                          60
                                                                                                     Thrust increase from 470k
                                                                                                     to 490k without weight
                                                Thrust Requirement up to 550K.                                                             Block IIA Configuration
                                                                                                     increase

                                                                                                                                                     Block II Configuration


                                          50
                                          11/24/70 11/23/72 11/23/74 11/22/76 11/22/78 11/21/80 11/21/82 11/20/84 11/20/86 11/19/88 11/19/90 11/18/92 11/18/94 11/17/96 11/17/98 11/16/00
                                                                                                               Date                                                                         17
Lesson Learned

• Absolutely critical that someone be responsible for the Integrated
  Vehicle System Design (not just “integrating” pieces together) to
  adequately balance the risks across all elements while decomposing the
  requirements down to each element taking into account the varying
  maturity levels of the technology base, the design of each and the
  intricate interactions
  – That “someone” is not a master mason but ensures that the “Group
    Knowledge” of the design team provides the same function
• Shuttle system was designed with an immature technology base for
  many of the subsystems
  – Made it impossible to adequately balance risk by properly flowing down
    requirements to these subsystems such as the SSME
  – Cannot adequately measure risk, uncertainties, sensitivities, cost or
    schedule if technology base is not demonstrated and understood
  – Must fight external pressures to compromise on technical credibility




                                                                             18
Lesson Learned Continued

• Pushing the envelope without margin or a robust design will result in
  increased problems and non-optimum designs at significant cost
  – SSME, while a magnificent machine, is not robust
  – It took numerous design block changes with increased weight and
    operations costs to reach the current level of maturity that is flying today
• Anticipating unknowns is essential because they will occur during
  development no matter how mature the technology base or the design
  concept
  – Minimizing these unknown unknowns is accomplished through diligently
    quantifying sensitivities, uncertainties and risks based on all identified
    potential failure modes




                                                                                   19

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Ryan.richard

  • 1. National Aeronautics and Space Administration Lessons in Systems Engineering – The SSME Weight Growth History Richard Ryan Technical Specialist, MSFC Chief Engineers Office
  • 2. History of Design: Pre-Industrial Revolution • Classic Cathedral Design and Construction representative of the complexity of the era • Design and construction managed by Master Mason – All Knowing • Knew and could practice all the design and construction skills necessary to produce the magnificent cathedrals – Understood the physics associated with the cathedral design • Life long endeavor • Trained / apprenticed his replacement • Tools, Processes, Skills acquired through experience – Processes alone could not substitute for experience 2
  • 3. History of Design: Post-Industrial Revolution • The complexity system designs increased and became too much for one person to know • Systems engineering developed in an attempt to manage these complex designs – “…the initial formalization of the systems engineering process for military development began to surface in the mid-1950’s on the ballistic missile programs.” (SP6102 Readings in Systems Engineering, 1993, p.9) – Later evolution included the development of Integrated Product Teams, Product Development Teams, etc – Group becomes “all knowing”: Collectively contains the knowledge, skills and experience to produce products – Biggest challenge for SE is to make sure that the “Group Communication System” functions otherwise “all knowing” of the team fails 3
  • 4. Systems Engineering: What Is It? • From SP-6102 – “Systems engineering is the management function which controls the total system development effort for the purpose of achieving an optimum balance of all system elements. It is a process which transforms an operational need into a description of system parameters and integrates those parameters to optimize the overall system effectiveness.” • Purpose of SE then is to create a complex product that meets all requirements through a methodology that focuses on an integrated design that emphasizes balancing risk between all subsystems and components – The effect should be an optimized system but made up of sub- optimized subsystems and components 4
  • 5. Systems Engineering Functions • SE Functions can be grouped into three categories – Classical Systems Engineering focused on processes, procedures, configuration and data management control, etc – Project control focused on cost and schedule – Technical Integration focused on the interactions among all the compartmentalized hardware, design, and discipline areas reintegrating them into a verifiable and operable system that meets requirements in a balanced state. • Master Mason was responsible for all three • Today, there is a tendency to focus only on the first two assuming that the processes and procedures can compensate for lack of experience, training and the complex interactions between subsystems / components 5
  • 6. Systems Engineering: Why We Ignore Technical Integration • Strong tendency to view systems engineering as only the processes that bring the designed parts together (integration) rather than creating “Integrated Designs” – It is based on an assumption that the system can be broken apart expecting linearity and handle everything by defining pertinent requirements, defining and managing interfaces, design data flow and then designing the parts (Classical SE). • Then when the system is put back together it will perform ok. • It is a false assumption because there are many interactions, linear and nonlinear, in a complex “system” causing the parts to perform different together than apart. – It also assumes design development is serial and not iterative in nature – This approach also tends to neglect the communication needs of the “Group Knowledge” 6
  • 7. Systems Engineering: Achieving a Balanced Integrated Design • So, the systems engineer for an integrated design is responsible for and concerned with getting all interacting disciplines into a balanced state using uncertainties, sensitivities, risks, and programmatics (cost and schedule) – Part of that task is to also insure that all the discipline models, simulations, technology base, etc are at the appropriate maturity level so that an accurate trade space can be determined – Systems engineer does not replace the Master Mason but ensures that the necessary communication takes place in the SE process along with the necessary skills and tools to utilize the “Group Knowledge” in creating a balanced integrated design – The “Group Knowledge” provides the needed “understanding of the physics” associated with the complex system design 7
  • 8. A Balanced Design • Achieving a balanced design is about “spreading the pain” • Balance needs to be achieved early in the design process usually by the conceptual design review because the impact is almost always already set • Metrics for balanced design – Risk: cost, schedule, technical – Margins – Uncertainties – Sensitivities of design parameter – Technology maturity level • If low it is difficult to impossible to quantify the others above • If balance not achieved programs / projects will experience cost overruns, schedule slips or even failure SSME Weight Story is a good example of what can go wrong if the requirements, technology base and final systems design do not balance early 8
  • 9. Background: Elementary Rocket Science • To fully appreciate the SSME weight growth story and the lessons it teaches us about proper systems engineering we need to understand some of the challenges of rocket design • The vehicle must impart orbital energy to the payload. – (Orbital energy is large -- h ~ 160 n.m. altitude, ΔV ~25,300 ft/s • With current technology, this pushes propulsion, structures, and systems capability to the limit. • Payload size and mass drives launch vehicle performance requirements. 9
  • 10. Background: Elementary Rocket Science • Propulsion: – Efficient conversion of chemical potential energy to kinetic energy (The Space Shuttle Main Engine has an Isp of 452 s out of a potential 460 s) – Vehicle Thrust to weight ratio at liftoff greater than 1.1 • Structures: – Efficient/lightweight strong structures. Vehicle mass fraction around .90 • The ratio of the average skin thickness to the diameter of the Shuttle External Tank is a factor of 3 less than that of an aluminum drink can. • System Effects: – Minimize losses during mission (Understand, quantify, control, and manage) All system elements being pushed to their limits creates a constant “tug of war” that, if not carefully monitored, leads to unbalance in the design 10
  • 11. Liquid Pump-fed Main Engines • Pump-fed liquid engines are one of the most complex and challenging subsystems on the entire launch vehicle and present many systems engineering challenges • Pump-fed liquid engine design requires many of the same design functions and analysis disciplines that the vehicle design uses • Liquid rocket engines have much higher power densities than more conventional SSME transportation system engines HP/Wt = 879 • This creates extreme environments and SSME Fuel Turbopump 775 lb stretches the limits of design and analysis 72,000 HP capabilities HP/Wt = 93 100 SSME Ox Turbopump 575 lb 90 29,000 HP HP/Wt = 50 Shaft Horsepower/Weight 80 70 Jet Engine 60 2,800 lb Auto Engine Indy Engine 52,900 HP 50 370 lb 275 lb HP/Wt = 18.9 200 HP 800 HP 40 HP/Wt = .54 HP/Wt = 2.91 30 20 10 0 11
  • 12. Difficulty and Complexity of Liquid Rocket Engines Are Reflected in Turbomachinery Design • Turbopumps differ from conventional gas turbine engines in significant ways Difficult Propellants Extreme Blade Loading Material compatibility Up to 550 hp per blade issues, cavitation, bearing stresses, high heat fluxes, heavier flanges, tighter complex seals Typical Pump Fed Rocket Engine Hydrogen Item Turbopump Parameters (range depends on Jet Engine engine cycle and application) Petroleum High Speeds Fuel Hydrogen distillate Bearing life, Oxidizer Oxygen Air rotordynamics issues Operating speed (RPM) 20,000 to 36,000 15,000 Turbine blade tip speed (ft/sec) 1400 to 1850 1850 Turbine power density (HP/in^2) 2000 to 3200 394 Turbine inlet temperature (deg F) 1000 to 1600 2400 High Power Density Turbine heat transfer coef. High power bending 20,000 to 54,000 500 stress, high work per unit (BTU/ft^2- hr-degF) area, tight manufacturing Turbine thermal start/stop transients 1000 to 32,000 100 tolerances (deg F/sec) Pump/compressor pressure rise (psi) 2000 to 7000 400 - 600 Pump dynamic pressure (psi) 500 to 2000 50 - 200 Uncooled Blades High Pressures High Thermal Strains Limit inlet temperature, (static and dynamic) Very high thermal stress, increase rotational High housing loads, low cycle fatigue, speed and blade instabilities, high-cycle material limitations turning fatigue 12
  • 13. SSME Weight Growth History First Flight 10000 Thrust Requirement up to 550K. Weight previously scaled from 415K engine. Due to re-evaluation, weight increase is not as large. 9000 Increase in nozzle Block II Configuration tube walls to meet CEI Block IIA Configuration safety factor. Block I Configuration Engine Weight (lbs) 8000 Lowering of thrust requirement Actual weight variance deduction to 470K. Authority to proceed. due to actual engine weights. Return to Flight Configuration Customer addition of pogo suppression system. 7000 Change in bookkeeping philosophy. Customer change to heat shield increased nozzle structure. 6000 Customer addition of nozzle thermal protection. Stress analysis on primary nozzle resulted in weight increase and subsequent nozzle redesign. Machining of excess material. Customer requirements change. 5000 11/24/70 11/23/72 11/23/74 11/22/76 11/22/78 11/21/80 11/21/82 11/20/84 11/20/86 11/19/88 11/19/90 11/18/92 11/18/94 11/17/96 11/17/98 11/16/00 Date Challenge and Problem better understood by looking at engine thrust to weight ratio13
  • 14. SSME Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio History First Flight • Early (1971) thrust to weight ratio predictions for the 90 SSME concepts were around 65 to 1 Machining of excess material. – Based on J-2 and F-1 technology base and some advanced development with Air Force Stress analysis on primary nozzle resulted in weight increase and subsequent nozzle redesign. – Estimate was realistic and representative of Customer addition of nozzle thermal protection. 80 achievable values Customer change to heat shield increased nozzle structure. Engine Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio • As the Space Shuttle System design concept Increase in nozzle tubematured, weight became a serious problem driving walls to meet CEI safety factor. the thrust to weight ratio requirements of the SSME Change in bookkeeping philosophy. Return to Flight Configuration to 80 to 1 70 – The technology base did not support this requirement – Massive development effort required to cut weight out Customer requirements change. of theweight variance deduction Actual engine Lowering of thrust requirement • due to actual engineconstruction for most of the components All welded weights. to 470K.Authority to proceed. 60 • No weld lands I Configuration Thrust increase from 470k Block Thrust Requirement up to 550K. • Machining off all excess material to 490k without weight increase Block IIA Configuration – Additional performance enhancements to meet system Block II Configuration weight problem included trading engine life for increased power level 50 11/24/70 11/23/72 11/23/74 11/22/76 11/22/78 11/21/80 11/21/82 11/20/84 11/20/86 11/19/88 11/19/90 thrust to 109% PL and 11/16/00 • Increased engine 11/18/92 11/18/94 11/17/96 11/17/98 cut design Date life from 100 to 55 missions 14
  • 15. SSME Weight Problems • As consequence of weight cuts and power level increase, engine began experiencing many fatigue failures some resulting in catastrophic engine failures during ground testing – High cost of hardware losses, design changes and schedule slips – In 1978, two alternating MSFC engineering teams of about 100 each were established at Canoga Park and worked with a large team at MSFC for 9 months to address these problems – Instituted a fracture control survey of engine and identified many problem areas • Engine originally not designed for fracture control • Fracture control team established permanently • Lack of robustness in design lead to increased operations costs to assure engine safety and reliability 15
  • 16. SSME Solutions and Weight Growth • In late 70’s as Shuttle System design began to solidify, weight was offered up to the SSME project manager to fix problems by Shuttle program manager – SSME project manager put off weight increases to support first flight date using current engine design with limited life and performance • Believed that it was better to be flying at lower capability than to wait until all capability was available (balancing political concerns) – Weight was increased as new redesigned components were added as block upgrades beginning in the mid to late 80’s and into the 90’s • Major examples are Two Duct Hot Gas Manifold, Large Throat Main Combustion Chamber, ATD High Pressure Oxidizer Turbopump, ATD High Pressure Fuel Turbopump • Weight could be added without impacting performance because the Orbiter had to fly ballast in the back to offset a heavy nose section – Increased engine weight just off loaded ballast 16
  • 17. SSME Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio History • Final engine T/W ratio essentially same as originally estimated but final design was compromised because unrealistic requirements set stage for constrained engine design First Flight 90 Machining of excess material. Stress analysis on primary nozzle resulted in weight increase and subsequent nozzle redesign. Customer addition of nozzle thermal protection. Customer change to heat shield increased nozzle structure. Engine Vacuum Thrust to Weight Ratio 80 Increase in nozzle tube walls to meet CEI safety factor. Change in bookkeeping philosophy. Return to Flight Configuration 70 Customer requirements change. Actual weight variance deduction due to actual engine weights. Lowering of thrust requirement to 470K.Authority to proceed. Block I Configuration 60 Thrust increase from 470k to 490k without weight Thrust Requirement up to 550K. Block IIA Configuration increase Block II Configuration 50 11/24/70 11/23/72 11/23/74 11/22/76 11/22/78 11/21/80 11/21/82 11/20/84 11/20/86 11/19/88 11/19/90 11/18/92 11/18/94 11/17/96 11/17/98 11/16/00 Date 17
  • 18. Lesson Learned • Absolutely critical that someone be responsible for the Integrated Vehicle System Design (not just “integrating” pieces together) to adequately balance the risks across all elements while decomposing the requirements down to each element taking into account the varying maturity levels of the technology base, the design of each and the intricate interactions – That “someone” is not a master mason but ensures that the “Group Knowledge” of the design team provides the same function • Shuttle system was designed with an immature technology base for many of the subsystems – Made it impossible to adequately balance risk by properly flowing down requirements to these subsystems such as the SSME – Cannot adequately measure risk, uncertainties, sensitivities, cost or schedule if technology base is not demonstrated and understood – Must fight external pressures to compromise on technical credibility 18
  • 19. Lesson Learned Continued • Pushing the envelope without margin or a robust design will result in increased problems and non-optimum designs at significant cost – SSME, while a magnificent machine, is not robust – It took numerous design block changes with increased weight and operations costs to reach the current level of maturity that is flying today • Anticipating unknowns is essential because they will occur during development no matter how mature the technology base or the design concept – Minimizing these unknown unknowns is accomplished through diligently quantifying sensitivities, uncertainties and risks based on all identified potential failure modes 19