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RISK MANAGEMENT IN ISLAMIC BANKING
Presentation By
Arslan Asif
arsi2774@gmail.com
delldanger@hotmail.com
May 31, 2013
THE UNIVERSITY OF LAHORE
Lahore School Of Accountancy And Finance
DISCUSSED BELOW:
 Risk management
 Definition
 Introduction
 Risk management process
 Risk management activities
 Risks faced by banks
 Common types of risks faced by both Islamic & conventional banks
 Unique risks faced by Islamic banks
 Major unique risks faced by Islamic banks only
 Shariah perspective
 Risk mitigation tools
 Risk measurement
 Risk management Governance
 Guiding principles for risk management
 Challenge: How to capture unique risk of Islamic banking system
 Conclusion
 Ten rules to risk management
 Word of caution
WHAT IS RISK?
 Risks are uncertain future events that could influence the
achievement of the objectives, including :
 Strategic
 Operational
 Financial
 Compliance
Uncertain future events could be:
• Failure of a borrower to repay a financing
• Fluctuation of foreign exchange rates
• Fraud, incomplete security documentations, etc.
• Non-compliance with Shariah law and principles
• Other events that may result in a loss to the Bank
RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS
 What is risk management?
 Risk management is the process which involves
Identification, measurement, monitoring, reporting and
controlling risks to ensure that:
 Risk taking Decisions are in line with the business strategy and
objectives set by BOD.
 The expected payoffs compensate for the risks taken.
 Risk taking decisions are explicit and clear.
 The organization’s Risk exposure is within the limits established
by Board of Directors.
 The individuals who take or manage risks clearly understand it.
 Sufficient capital as a buffer is available to take risk.
RISK MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
 Risk management activities take place at:
 Strategic level by senior management and BOD
 Definition of risks, formulating strategy and policies for
managing risks and establish adequate systems and controls
to ensure that overall risk remain within acceptable level
and the reward compensate for the risk taken.
 Macro Level within business area/across business lines
 Risk reviews by middle management
 Micro Level where risks are actually created
 Activities performed by individuals who take risk on
organization’s behalf such as front office and loan origination
functions. Confined to following operational procedures and
guidelines set by management.
EXAMPLES OF RISK MANAGEMENT
FAILURES
 Barings / Nick Leeson (1995)
 Barings Singapore reported SIMEX trade losses of GBP 850
million
 Brought down the whole bank…
 National Australia Bank (2004)
 FX derivative losses of AUD 360 million
 Allied Irish Bank / John Rusnak (2001)
 US subsidiary Allfirst reported FX Options trading losses of
USD 750 million
 LTCM, Hedge Fund (1998)
 Bond Market losses wiping out capital of USD3.9 billion
 Fed and consortium of US Banks bailout
 Sumitomo / Yasuo Hamanaka (1996)
 Commodity (copper) trading losses of USD1.8 billion
 Orange County, CA, USA (1994)
 Equity losses of USD2 billion
 Reverse repos / over-leveraged
 Societe Generale, France (2008)
 Jerome Kerviel traded Euro stock index futures and
concealed losses up to almost EUR 5.0 bio
 The 2008 -… Financial Crisis
 Lack of Management / Board oversight
 Weak risk culture
 Risk Management function marginalized
 Over-reliance on quantitative tools /methodologies
 Poor liquidity management
 Lack of relevant internal valuation models
RISKS FACED BY BANKS
 Risk Dimensions
Types of Common risks Both Islamic and conventional banking
Credit risk The potential that a counterparty fails to
meet its obligations in accordance with
agreed terms and conditions of a credit
related contract
Market risk The potential impact of adverse price
movements such as benchmark rates, foreign
exchange rates, equity prices on the
economic value of an asset
Liquidity risk The potential loss arising from the Bank’s
inability either to meet its obligations or to
fund increases in assets as they fall due
without incurring unacceptable costs or
losses
Operational risk The potential loss resulting from inadequate
or failed internal processes, people and
system or external events
BANKS
 ISLAMIC BANKING LESS RISKY?
 Islamic Banking is safer as it is not based on INTEREST
 Depositors are liable to share losses, therefore solvency risk is
mitigated
 MAJOR UNIQUE RISKS FACED BY ISLAMIC BANKS ONLY
Types of Unique risks Islamic banking Only
Shariah noncompliance risk Risk arises from the failure to comply
with the Shariah rules and Principles
Rate of return risk The potential impact on the returns
caused by unexpected change in the
rate of returns
Types of Unique risks Islamic banking Only
Displaced Commercial risk The risk that the bank may confront
commercial pressure to pay returns
that exceed the rate that has been
earned on its assets financed by
investment account holders. The bank
foregoes part or its entire share of
profit in order to retain its fund
providers and dissuade them from
withdrawing their funds.
Equity Investment risk The risk arising from entering into a
partnership for the purpose of
participating in a particular financing
or general business activity as
described in the contract, and in which
the provider of finance shares in the
business risk. This risk is relevant
under Mudarabah and Musharakah
contracts.
Inventory risk risk arising from holding items in
inventory either for resale under a
Murabahah’ contract, or with a view to
leasing under the Ijarah contract
RISK PROFILE OF ISLAMIC
BANKS
.
Islamic Bank
Rate of return
risk
Displaced
Commercial
risk
Equity
Investment
risk
Inventory
risk
Shariah
noncompliance
risk
Credit risk
Market risk
Liquidity
risk
Operational
risk
uniquecommon
RISK FACTORS
 Following are the risk factors faced by IB’s
 Financial
 Business
 Operational
FINANCIAL RISK FACTORS
 Credit Risk
 Default Risk
 Counter Party Risk
 Settlement Risk
 Market Risk
 Price Risk
 Rate of return Risk
 Exchange rate Risk
 Liquidity Risk
 Funding Liquidity Risk
 Asset Liquidity Risk
 Cash Management Risk
BUSINESS RISK FACTORS
 Management Risk
 Planning
 Organizing
 Reporting
 Monitoring
 Strategic Risk
 Research and Development
 Product Design
 Market Dynamics
 Economic
OPERATIONAL RISK
 People Risk
 Relationships
 Ethics
 Legal Risk
 Compliance
 Control
 System Risk
 Hardware
 Software
 External Risk
 Event
 Client
 Security
PERCEPTION OF ISLAMIC BANKING
INDUSTRY ABOUT RISKS
 The research asked Islamic banks to rank the Islamic
modes of finance used by them from 1 (least severe)
to 5 (most severe) in terms of risks.
 Responses of some Major Islamic banks are included.
INDUSTRY AVERAGES
CREDIT RISK
MARKET RISK
LIQUIDITY RISK
OPERATIONAL RISK
SHARIAH PERSPECTIVE
 No Risk No Reward principle (Al Ribh Bi Daman)
 Measures taken by Hazrat Yousuf (A.S) for drought (Ahsan ul
Qasas)
 Do not give your Amwal to Sufahaa
 Writing of contracts – whether spot or deferred (Legal risk,
Documentation risk etc.)
 Maqasid-e-Shariah
 Protection of Izat, Jaan, ‘Aql, Maal, Nasl
RISK MITIGATION TOOLS
Following are the tools for the mitigation of risk.
Pledge of assets as collateral
 Inventories, Shares, Sukuk, Units etc.
Third party Guarantee
Personal Guarantee
Promise
Charge on deposits and assets
Takaful
Hamish Jiddiya
Urbun
Khiyar / Option
Parallel contract, if permissible
SEVERITY OF RISKS
RISK MEASUREMENT
 Risk measurement deals with quantification of
risk exposures.
It includes:
 Risk measurement methods
 Traditional
 GAP analysis
 Duration analysis
 Statistical analysis
 Scenario analysis
 Modern portfolio theory
 Variation from the mean
RISK MANAGEMENT
GOVERNANCE
 Risk management Governance structure
Managing
Director
Chief Risk
Officer
Board
Board Risk
Committee
Board Risk
Committee
Board Audit
Committee
Board Audit
Committee
Other Board sub
committees
Other Board sub
committees
Chief Internal
Auditor
Compliance /
Shariah
SupportSupport CFO,
CTO, etc
CFO,
CTO, etc
Business
Divisions
Business
Divisions HRHR
GUIDING PRINCIPLES FOR RISK
MANAGEMENT
These includes
•BASEL Committee on Banking Supervision
•Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB)
•Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)
•Institute of International Finance (IIF)
BASEL
 1988 Capital Accord (Basel I)
 Regulatory based
 Set out requirements to calculate capital charge i.e. the amount of
capital to be set aside to absorb potential loss across banks and across
countries
 One size fits all
 1996 Basel I (Amendments)
 Market Risk was incorporated into Basel I
 2004 International Convergence of Capital
Measurement and Capital Standards (Basel II)
 Aims to make capital requirements more risk sensitive
 Includes Operational Risk
 Bank shall be subject to 3 mutually reinforcing pillars
 2010 Basel III (Response to Financial Crisis)
 Enhanced capital ratios, liquidity ratios, leverage ratio
IFSB STANDARDS
WWW.IFSB.ORG
 IFSB-1 Guiding Principles of Risk Management
 IFSB-2 Capital Adequacy Standard
 IFSB-3 Corporate Governance
 IFSB-4 Transparency and Market Discipline
 IFSB-5 Supervisory Review Process
 IFSB-6 Islamic Collective Investment Schemes
 IFSB-7 Sukuk, Securitizations and Real Estate
 IFSB-8 Takaful
 IFSB-9 Conduct of Business
 IFSB-10 Shariah Governance Systems
BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA (BNM)
WWW.BNM.GOV.MY
 Islamic Banking Act 1983
 Guidelines on Capital Adequacy (CAFIB)
 Guidelines on Financial Reporting
 Guidelines on Anti Money Laundering
 Guidelines on Prudential Limits and Standards
INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL
FINANCE (IIF)
WWW.IIF.COM
 Final Report of the IIF Committee on Market
Best Practices:
 Principles of Conduct and Best Practice
Recommendations
 Financial Services Industry Response to the
Market Turmoil of 2007-2008
CHALLENGE: HOW TO CAPTURE UNIQUE
RISK OF ISLAMIC BANKING SYSTEM
 The answer is to develop Internal Rating
Systems (IRSs) in IBs
 IRSs can be considered as risk-based inventories
of individual assets of banks either based on the
loss given default (LGD) of the facility or
probability of default (PD) of the obligor or both
 Most IRSs are JUDGMENTAL NOT STATISTICAL
USES OF IRSS
 IRSs differ from bank to bank, from use to use
 IRSs are used for a number of purposes:
 guiding credit origination process,
 portfolio monitoring and management reporting
 Analysis of adequacy of loan loss reserves and capital
 Profitability and loan pricing analysis
 Input to formal mathematical modes of risk management
 Facilitate prudential bank supervision
DESIRABILITY OF IRSS FOR
ISLAMIC BANKING SYSTEM
 To capture the diverse nature of the Islamic
modes of finance
 Internal ratings are based on the profile of
individual assets, not on a bucket of assets
 Internal ratings help the development of
systematic database of critical financial variables
 Internal ratings supplement external credit
assessment
 Internal ratings can enhance external ratings
 Internal ratings improve quality of MISs
SOURCES AND INPUTS OF IRSS
 Client oriented system - probability of default
(PD)
 Facility oriented system - value of an asset
expected to be lost in the event of a default (loss
given a default: LGD)
 In both cases: balance sheet value of total asset
i.e., Exposure-at- Default (EAD)
 Maturity of facility
 Concentration of credit to the specific client as a
percentage of total portfolio etc.
CONCLUSION
 There are differences in terms of risks faced by
Islamic banks compared to conventional banks
 As a result, the risk assessment techniques need to
consider these risks
 The fast-paced development of Islamic banking
means that risk assessment approach needs to be
continuously refined
TEN RULES TO RISK
MANAGEMENT
 There is no return without risks
 Rewards go to those who take risks
 Be transparent
 Risk should be fully understood
 Seek experience
 Risk is measured and managed by people, not by
mathematical models
 Know what you don’t know
 Question the assumptions made
 Communicate
 Risk should be discussed openly
 Diversify-avoid concentration
 Multiple risks will produce more consistent rewards
 Show discipline
 A consistent and rigorous approach will beat a
constantly changing strategy
 Use common sense
 It is better to be approximately right, than to be
precisely wrong
 Return is only half of the equation
 Decisions should be made only after considering the
risks and returns of the possibilities
 Oversight must be enterprise-wide
 Risks cannot be managed in isolation
A WORD OF CAUTION
 Risk Management of your life is important than
everything.
 Would you ever think about it.
 Various risks are related with our body and Soul.
Some of them could harm a lot and some less.
 Kindly Think about it .
Risk management in islamic banking

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Risk management in islamic banking

  • 1.
  • 2. RISK MANAGEMENT IN ISLAMIC BANKING Presentation By Arslan Asif arsi2774@gmail.com delldanger@hotmail.com May 31, 2013 THE UNIVERSITY OF LAHORE Lahore School Of Accountancy And Finance
  • 3. DISCUSSED BELOW:  Risk management  Definition  Introduction  Risk management process  Risk management activities  Risks faced by banks  Common types of risks faced by both Islamic & conventional banks  Unique risks faced by Islamic banks  Major unique risks faced by Islamic banks only  Shariah perspective  Risk mitigation tools  Risk measurement  Risk management Governance  Guiding principles for risk management  Challenge: How to capture unique risk of Islamic banking system  Conclusion  Ten rules to risk management  Word of caution
  • 4. WHAT IS RISK?  Risks are uncertain future events that could influence the achievement of the objectives, including :  Strategic  Operational  Financial  Compliance Uncertain future events could be: • Failure of a borrower to repay a financing • Fluctuation of foreign exchange rates • Fraud, incomplete security documentations, etc. • Non-compliance with Shariah law and principles • Other events that may result in a loss to the Bank
  • 5. RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS  What is risk management?  Risk management is the process which involves Identification, measurement, monitoring, reporting and controlling risks to ensure that:  Risk taking Decisions are in line with the business strategy and objectives set by BOD.  The expected payoffs compensate for the risks taken.  Risk taking decisions are explicit and clear.  The organization’s Risk exposure is within the limits established by Board of Directors.  The individuals who take or manage risks clearly understand it.  Sufficient capital as a buffer is available to take risk.
  • 6. RISK MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES  Risk management activities take place at:  Strategic level by senior management and BOD  Definition of risks, formulating strategy and policies for managing risks and establish adequate systems and controls to ensure that overall risk remain within acceptable level and the reward compensate for the risk taken.  Macro Level within business area/across business lines  Risk reviews by middle management  Micro Level where risks are actually created  Activities performed by individuals who take risk on organization’s behalf such as front office and loan origination functions. Confined to following operational procedures and guidelines set by management.
  • 7. EXAMPLES OF RISK MANAGEMENT FAILURES  Barings / Nick Leeson (1995)  Barings Singapore reported SIMEX trade losses of GBP 850 million  Brought down the whole bank…  National Australia Bank (2004)  FX derivative losses of AUD 360 million  Allied Irish Bank / John Rusnak (2001)  US subsidiary Allfirst reported FX Options trading losses of USD 750 million  LTCM, Hedge Fund (1998)  Bond Market losses wiping out capital of USD3.9 billion  Fed and consortium of US Banks bailout
  • 8.  Sumitomo / Yasuo Hamanaka (1996)  Commodity (copper) trading losses of USD1.8 billion  Orange County, CA, USA (1994)  Equity losses of USD2 billion  Reverse repos / over-leveraged  Societe Generale, France (2008)  Jerome Kerviel traded Euro stock index futures and concealed losses up to almost EUR 5.0 bio
  • 9.  The 2008 -… Financial Crisis  Lack of Management / Board oversight  Weak risk culture  Risk Management function marginalized  Over-reliance on quantitative tools /methodologies  Poor liquidity management  Lack of relevant internal valuation models
  • 10. RISKS FACED BY BANKS  Risk Dimensions Types of Common risks Both Islamic and conventional banking Credit risk The potential that a counterparty fails to meet its obligations in accordance with agreed terms and conditions of a credit related contract Market risk The potential impact of adverse price movements such as benchmark rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices on the economic value of an asset Liquidity risk The potential loss arising from the Bank’s inability either to meet its obligations or to fund increases in assets as they fall due without incurring unacceptable costs or losses Operational risk The potential loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and system or external events
  • 11. BANKS  ISLAMIC BANKING LESS RISKY?  Islamic Banking is safer as it is not based on INTEREST  Depositors are liable to share losses, therefore solvency risk is mitigated  MAJOR UNIQUE RISKS FACED BY ISLAMIC BANKS ONLY Types of Unique risks Islamic banking Only Shariah noncompliance risk Risk arises from the failure to comply with the Shariah rules and Principles Rate of return risk The potential impact on the returns caused by unexpected change in the rate of returns
  • 12. Types of Unique risks Islamic banking Only Displaced Commercial risk The risk that the bank may confront commercial pressure to pay returns that exceed the rate that has been earned on its assets financed by investment account holders. The bank foregoes part or its entire share of profit in order to retain its fund providers and dissuade them from withdrawing their funds. Equity Investment risk The risk arising from entering into a partnership for the purpose of participating in a particular financing or general business activity as described in the contract, and in which the provider of finance shares in the business risk. This risk is relevant under Mudarabah and Musharakah contracts. Inventory risk risk arising from holding items in inventory either for resale under a Murabahah’ contract, or with a view to leasing under the Ijarah contract
  • 13. RISK PROFILE OF ISLAMIC BANKS . Islamic Bank Rate of return risk Displaced Commercial risk Equity Investment risk Inventory risk Shariah noncompliance risk Credit risk Market risk Liquidity risk Operational risk uniquecommon
  • 14. RISK FACTORS  Following are the risk factors faced by IB’s  Financial  Business  Operational
  • 15. FINANCIAL RISK FACTORS  Credit Risk  Default Risk  Counter Party Risk  Settlement Risk  Market Risk  Price Risk  Rate of return Risk  Exchange rate Risk  Liquidity Risk  Funding Liquidity Risk  Asset Liquidity Risk  Cash Management Risk
  • 16. BUSINESS RISK FACTORS  Management Risk  Planning  Organizing  Reporting  Monitoring  Strategic Risk  Research and Development  Product Design  Market Dynamics  Economic
  • 17. OPERATIONAL RISK  People Risk  Relationships  Ethics  Legal Risk  Compliance  Control  System Risk  Hardware  Software  External Risk  Event  Client  Security
  • 18. PERCEPTION OF ISLAMIC BANKING INDUSTRY ABOUT RISKS  The research asked Islamic banks to rank the Islamic modes of finance used by them from 1 (least severe) to 5 (most severe) in terms of risks.  Responses of some Major Islamic banks are included.
  • 24. SHARIAH PERSPECTIVE  No Risk No Reward principle (Al Ribh Bi Daman)  Measures taken by Hazrat Yousuf (A.S) for drought (Ahsan ul Qasas)  Do not give your Amwal to Sufahaa  Writing of contracts – whether spot or deferred (Legal risk, Documentation risk etc.)  Maqasid-e-Shariah  Protection of Izat, Jaan, ‘Aql, Maal, Nasl
  • 25. RISK MITIGATION TOOLS Following are the tools for the mitigation of risk. Pledge of assets as collateral  Inventories, Shares, Sukuk, Units etc. Third party Guarantee Personal Guarantee Promise Charge on deposits and assets Takaful Hamish Jiddiya Urbun Khiyar / Option Parallel contract, if permissible
  • 27. RISK MEASUREMENT  Risk measurement deals with quantification of risk exposures. It includes:  Risk measurement methods  Traditional  GAP analysis  Duration analysis  Statistical analysis  Scenario analysis  Modern portfolio theory  Variation from the mean
  • 28. RISK MANAGEMENT GOVERNANCE  Risk management Governance structure Managing Director Chief Risk Officer Board Board Risk Committee Board Risk Committee Board Audit Committee Board Audit Committee Other Board sub committees Other Board sub committees Chief Internal Auditor Compliance / Shariah SupportSupport CFO, CTO, etc CFO, CTO, etc Business Divisions Business Divisions HRHR
  • 29. GUIDING PRINCIPLES FOR RISK MANAGEMENT These includes •BASEL Committee on Banking Supervision •Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) •Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) •Institute of International Finance (IIF)
  • 30. BASEL  1988 Capital Accord (Basel I)  Regulatory based  Set out requirements to calculate capital charge i.e. the amount of capital to be set aside to absorb potential loss across banks and across countries  One size fits all  1996 Basel I (Amendments)  Market Risk was incorporated into Basel I  2004 International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards (Basel II)  Aims to make capital requirements more risk sensitive  Includes Operational Risk  Bank shall be subject to 3 mutually reinforcing pillars  2010 Basel III (Response to Financial Crisis)  Enhanced capital ratios, liquidity ratios, leverage ratio
  • 31. IFSB STANDARDS WWW.IFSB.ORG  IFSB-1 Guiding Principles of Risk Management  IFSB-2 Capital Adequacy Standard  IFSB-3 Corporate Governance  IFSB-4 Transparency and Market Discipline  IFSB-5 Supervisory Review Process  IFSB-6 Islamic Collective Investment Schemes  IFSB-7 Sukuk, Securitizations and Real Estate  IFSB-8 Takaful  IFSB-9 Conduct of Business  IFSB-10 Shariah Governance Systems
  • 32. BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA (BNM) WWW.BNM.GOV.MY  Islamic Banking Act 1983  Guidelines on Capital Adequacy (CAFIB)  Guidelines on Financial Reporting  Guidelines on Anti Money Laundering  Guidelines on Prudential Limits and Standards
  • 33. INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCE (IIF) WWW.IIF.COM  Final Report of the IIF Committee on Market Best Practices:  Principles of Conduct and Best Practice Recommendations  Financial Services Industry Response to the Market Turmoil of 2007-2008
  • 34. CHALLENGE: HOW TO CAPTURE UNIQUE RISK OF ISLAMIC BANKING SYSTEM  The answer is to develop Internal Rating Systems (IRSs) in IBs  IRSs can be considered as risk-based inventories of individual assets of banks either based on the loss given default (LGD) of the facility or probability of default (PD) of the obligor or both  Most IRSs are JUDGMENTAL NOT STATISTICAL
  • 35. USES OF IRSS  IRSs differ from bank to bank, from use to use  IRSs are used for a number of purposes:  guiding credit origination process,  portfolio monitoring and management reporting  Analysis of adequacy of loan loss reserves and capital  Profitability and loan pricing analysis  Input to formal mathematical modes of risk management  Facilitate prudential bank supervision
  • 36. DESIRABILITY OF IRSS FOR ISLAMIC BANKING SYSTEM  To capture the diverse nature of the Islamic modes of finance  Internal ratings are based on the profile of individual assets, not on a bucket of assets  Internal ratings help the development of systematic database of critical financial variables  Internal ratings supplement external credit assessment  Internal ratings can enhance external ratings  Internal ratings improve quality of MISs
  • 37. SOURCES AND INPUTS OF IRSS  Client oriented system - probability of default (PD)  Facility oriented system - value of an asset expected to be lost in the event of a default (loss given a default: LGD)  In both cases: balance sheet value of total asset i.e., Exposure-at- Default (EAD)  Maturity of facility  Concentration of credit to the specific client as a percentage of total portfolio etc.
  • 38. CONCLUSION  There are differences in terms of risks faced by Islamic banks compared to conventional banks  As a result, the risk assessment techniques need to consider these risks  The fast-paced development of Islamic banking means that risk assessment approach needs to be continuously refined
  • 39. TEN RULES TO RISK MANAGEMENT  There is no return without risks  Rewards go to those who take risks  Be transparent  Risk should be fully understood  Seek experience  Risk is measured and managed by people, not by mathematical models  Know what you don’t know  Question the assumptions made  Communicate  Risk should be discussed openly
  • 40.  Diversify-avoid concentration  Multiple risks will produce more consistent rewards  Show discipline  A consistent and rigorous approach will beat a constantly changing strategy  Use common sense  It is better to be approximately right, than to be precisely wrong  Return is only half of the equation  Decisions should be made only after considering the risks and returns of the possibilities  Oversight must be enterprise-wide  Risks cannot be managed in isolation
  • 41. A WORD OF CAUTION  Risk Management of your life is important than everything.  Would you ever think about it.  Various risks are related with our body and Soul. Some of them could harm a lot and some less.  Kindly Think about it .