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Rethinking Innovation


   Benjamin Joffe | CEO, Plus Eight Star
Haas School of Business, Berkeley | 2009.11
Plan
1. Introduction

2. Orientation
   – Definition
   – Why foreign companies fail in Asia
   – Why Asian companies fail overseas

3. Background on Innovation
   1.   Misleading appearance
   2.   Techno-Darwinism
   3.   Innovation catalysts
   4.   5Cs of Innovation
   5.   Innovations in web & mobile

4. Q&A
Introduction
Benjamin Joffe
   本杰明
 ベンジャミン
   벤자민
4 years

          1 year
                   4 years
Consulting | Startups | Community
| Plus Eight Star
• “Innovation Arbitrage”
     • Internet & Mobile Digital strategy
     • Best practices from China, Japan & Korea


• Published reports
     • Inside Cyworld (2007)
     • Inside Tencent (2009)
     • Inside Alibaba (upcoming)


• Contact
     • www.plus8star.com
References

EUROPE                  USA




                 ASIA
Work With Startups: Newt Games

• Mobile SNS in 2003 in Japan
  – 3G
  – GPS
  – Avatars
  – Virtual goods and AI!


• Too early!
Work With Startups: Cmune

• Making the 3D Web happen

  –   fbFund winner
  –   First 3D FPS game on Facebook
  –   #1 Widget on Apple.com
  –   Virtual Goods

• Check it out!
  – www.cmune.com
Most Advanced 3D Game on Facebook
         Paradise Paintball by Cmune
      http://apps.facebook.com/paradisepaintball/




   Disclosure: I am an investor & partner of Cmune
Mobile Monday Beijing


   31 events
  111 speakers
3,500 members
1,500 companies
Orientation Test
Question #1
Define “Innovation”
Definitions




                                         Entrepreneur
                            Inventor       (Business)
        Idea               (Prototype)
(e.g. Chocolate + Hemp)
Question #2
Google is the world’s largest search engine.
 Its market share is 1.5% in Korea. Explain.




                                           (here)
Question #3
    Why Did Japanese Handset Makers Fail Overseas?




(Where are Sharp, Panasonic, Fujitsu, NEC, Sanyo, Mitsubishi…?)
Background on Innovation
1. Misleading Appearance




         Aggressive?
Simplification vs. Understanding
The Appearance

• Naver = “Google of Korea”?

• Rakuten = “Amazon of Japan”?

• Tencent = “Facebook of China”?
The Reality
• No real equivalent

• Powerful ideas get overlooked

• Virtual goods since 10 years ago

• Market 7 times USA

• More concepts not yet ported
2. Techno-Darwinism
Charles Darwin




“The Origin of Species”
        (1859)
Voyage of “The Beagle”
“Diverging” from common ancestors
150 years later…
IT Infrastructure
           100%

                                                    Avg. 7 Mbps
           80%

                                                                  Avg. 15 Mbps
           60%
3G users




           40%                C
                              hi
                              n
           20%                a Avg. 4 Mbps


                                                                  www.plus8star.com
            0%
                  0%           20%            40%          60%                   80%
                       % of Internet connections measured above 5Mbps
                                     (Source: Akamai, 4Q08)
Alexa Ranking
        USA            China         Japan        Korea
 #1    Google          Baidu     Yahoo JP / SB     Naver
 #2     Yahoo         Tencent         FC2          Yahoo
 #3   Facebook          Sina       Google JP       Daum
 #4   YouTube       Google China   YouTube        YouTube
 #5   MySpace         Taobao       Rakuten         Google
 #6      MSN          Netease      Livedoor       Cyworld
 #7      Live         Google        Ameblo          Nate
 #8   Wikipedia         Sohu          Mixi       Google KR
 #9   Craigslist       Youku      Wikipedia         Live
#10      eBay          Yahoo          Goo        Facebook
“Japan’s cellphones are like the
endemic species that Darwin
encountered on the Galápagos
Islands — fantastically evolved
and divergent from their
mainland cousins”




                Takeshi Natsuno
                Inventor of i-mode
Internet      Mobile
1.3 billion   3.3 billion




                     Source: Morgan Stanley, 2007
Digital Population



   Country         USA       China      Japan    Korea
  Population     300 mln   1,300 mln   130 mln   50 mln
Internet users   225 mln    340 mln    100 mln   35 mln
 Mobile users    260 mln    650 mln    100 mln   45 mln


                                        x5
                            Total       x2
                                        x3
Why did those countries diverge?
3. Innovation Catalysts
What do you think?
Key Catalysts

• IT infrastructure

• Market potential

• Talent

• Capital
On a smaller scale?
4. The 5Cs of Innovation
5Cs of Innovation

1.   Copy
2.   Competition
3.   Constraints
4.   Combination
5.   China
1. Copy

            Entry barriers

               Technology?
                 Capital?
                  Talent?
          Intellectual Property?
               Censorship?
2. Combination

       Will it blend?




           Tencent
            (US$1bln)
3. Competition

What happens with
    4 Facebook
    20 YouTube
   10 MySpace
   5 Match.com
      3 Yahoo
     4 Twitter

         ?
4. Constraints




 Low GDP/capita

Limited advertising

 No credit cards

No legacy industry
5. China




Scale / Geography / Demography
   make some services viable
1. Some Asian species
  are fit for global markets

2. Learn from them to evolve
         successfully
Question #4
When was it invented?
Europe
Gutemberg | ~1450

     Korea
  Metal | ~1230

     China
 Wooden | ~1040
Who came first?
The Arbitrage Opportunity

        1. Identify

        2. Analyze

        3. Leverage
5. Some Examples
Looking more closely
         Zhenai.com vs. Match.com
• “On the shoulders of giants”
   – Started as Match.com
   – Raised capital
   – Business model issue

• “Each new user costs us
  money!”

• Develop new model
   – 350 people call center
   – VIP service
   – Metrics & analysis
Questions?
Thanks!
   More about “Innovation Arbitrage”

www.plus8star.com

benjamin@plus8star.com
                                       +81 | Japan

benjamin0123                           +82 | Korea

                                       +86 | China
http://twitter.com/plus8star
                                    Telecom & Internet

www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminjoffe     + Added Value

                                      * High quality
www.slideshare.net/plus8star

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