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Long term play; de‐merger to create value
View: Given the likely 10-15% increase in net profit on an annual basis, we apply P/BV multiple of 1.75 for IDFC Bank Ltd and
arrive at fair value of Rs 69 per share. Fair value of IDFC Ltd. is expected at Rs 84 per share, after applying P/BV multiple of
1.4.
As per the management, IDFC Bank’s balance sheet will grow from Rs 70,000-80,000 crore to Rs 150,000-200,000 crore over
the next five years and much of this growth will come from wholesale banking. Since, IDFC has a large exposure to the
corporate sector and has a customer base of 400 companies, IDFC bank wants to leverage this book by cross-selling working
capital, letters of credit and guarantee.
No easy task: We are of the view that real challenge for the bank to make a mark in the retail business. On deposits front, in
order to keep the ratio healthy, it is essential for a bank to get hold of as many low-cost savings and current account deposits
as possible. With an existing corporate book, IDFC Bank will not find it tough to garner current account deposits, however
attracting savings accounts may not be easy. Another challenge will be the high concentration of stressed asset (non-
performing and restructured assets) at 15%. Even though the new bank has already provided for Rs 4,500 crore, which is
more than the regulatory requirement, starting with high NPA may not augur well for it. Further, IDFC Bank will have to
front-load a lot of technology and marketing costs and thus high costs in coming future could prove to be a drag on
profitability in coming future.
IDFC Bank Ltd. launched its banking operations from October 1, 2015. Record date for being eligible for IDFC Bank shares is
Oct 5. Since Oct 2, 3 and 4 are holidays, the day on which IDFC shares has traded ex-demerger is Oct 1. With October 5,
being the record date for the demerger, those who buy IDFC before October 1, will be entitled to get shares of IDFC Bank.
For every share of IDFC, shareholders will get one share of IDFC Bank of Rs 10 face value. On October 9, shareholders of IDFC
will get IDFC bank shares in their demat account. IDFC Bank shares are likely to be listed and traded by Nov 6. Hence, for the
period Oct 9 to Nov 5, IDFC Bank shares will be unlisted.
• On completion of demerger, 53% of equity share of IDFC Bank will be held by IDFC Financial Holding Company, which is
a 100% subsidiary of IDFC, and 47% will be held by shareholders of IDFC
• Under the scheme of demerger, all assets and liabilities related to banking operation will be transferred to IDFC Bank
• Post demerger, the book value of IDFC will fall to Rs 59.85 per share, against book value of Rs 100 pre-demerger, book
value of each IDFC Bank share will be Rs 39.22
• RBI has allowed the lender to utilise Rs 2,500 crore non-distributable statutory reserves for creation of specific
provisions against stressed assets. Accumulated profit of Rs 1,800 crore on the books of IDFC has been moved to the
books of IDFC Bank
• IDFC Bank has started operation with 23 operational branches across Madhya Pradesh, Mumbai and Delhi initially
• Bank to launch personal and SME banking in January
Research Note on IDFC Ltd. Demerger
Satish Kumar Sharma | Desk Phone: 022 - 6707 9974 | satish.kumar@choiceindia.com© Choice Institutional Research SEBI Registered - Research Analyst
Oct 3, 2015
Valuation (Rs mn) IDFC Bank will add significant value to IDFC Ltd.
Net worth of IDFC Bank ltd. 133,000 Net worth of IDFC Ltd. 95,400
Share Capital of IDFC Bank (Face Value: Rs10) 33,920 Share Capital of IDFC Ltd. (Face Value: Rs10) 15,940
Book Value of IDFC Bank Share 39.22 Book Value of IDFC Share 59.85
Expected value per share (Apply P/BV: 1.75x) 69 Expected value per share (Apply P/BV: 1.4x) 84
Source: Choice Broking

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Research Note on IDFC Ltd. Demerger

  • 1. Long term play; de‐merger to create value View: Given the likely 10-15% increase in net profit on an annual basis, we apply P/BV multiple of 1.75 for IDFC Bank Ltd and arrive at fair value of Rs 69 per share. Fair value of IDFC Ltd. is expected at Rs 84 per share, after applying P/BV multiple of 1.4. As per the management, IDFC Bank’s balance sheet will grow from Rs 70,000-80,000 crore to Rs 150,000-200,000 crore over the next five years and much of this growth will come from wholesale banking. Since, IDFC has a large exposure to the corporate sector and has a customer base of 400 companies, IDFC bank wants to leverage this book by cross-selling working capital, letters of credit and guarantee. No easy task: We are of the view that real challenge for the bank to make a mark in the retail business. On deposits front, in order to keep the ratio healthy, it is essential for a bank to get hold of as many low-cost savings and current account deposits as possible. With an existing corporate book, IDFC Bank will not find it tough to garner current account deposits, however attracting savings accounts may not be easy. Another challenge will be the high concentration of stressed asset (non- performing and restructured assets) at 15%. Even though the new bank has already provided for Rs 4,500 crore, which is more than the regulatory requirement, starting with high NPA may not augur well for it. Further, IDFC Bank will have to front-load a lot of technology and marketing costs and thus high costs in coming future could prove to be a drag on profitability in coming future. IDFC Bank Ltd. launched its banking operations from October 1, 2015. Record date for being eligible for IDFC Bank shares is Oct 5. Since Oct 2, 3 and 4 are holidays, the day on which IDFC shares has traded ex-demerger is Oct 1. With October 5, being the record date for the demerger, those who buy IDFC before October 1, will be entitled to get shares of IDFC Bank. For every share of IDFC, shareholders will get one share of IDFC Bank of Rs 10 face value. On October 9, shareholders of IDFC will get IDFC bank shares in their demat account. IDFC Bank shares are likely to be listed and traded by Nov 6. Hence, for the period Oct 9 to Nov 5, IDFC Bank shares will be unlisted. • On completion of demerger, 53% of equity share of IDFC Bank will be held by IDFC Financial Holding Company, which is a 100% subsidiary of IDFC, and 47% will be held by shareholders of IDFC • Under the scheme of demerger, all assets and liabilities related to banking operation will be transferred to IDFC Bank • Post demerger, the book value of IDFC will fall to Rs 59.85 per share, against book value of Rs 100 pre-demerger, book value of each IDFC Bank share will be Rs 39.22 • RBI has allowed the lender to utilise Rs 2,500 crore non-distributable statutory reserves for creation of specific provisions against stressed assets. Accumulated profit of Rs 1,800 crore on the books of IDFC has been moved to the books of IDFC Bank • IDFC Bank has started operation with 23 operational branches across Madhya Pradesh, Mumbai and Delhi initially • Bank to launch personal and SME banking in January Research Note on IDFC Ltd. Demerger Satish Kumar Sharma | Desk Phone: 022 - 6707 9974 | satish.kumar@choiceindia.com© Choice Institutional Research SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Oct 3, 2015 Valuation (Rs mn) IDFC Bank will add significant value to IDFC Ltd. Net worth of IDFC Bank ltd. 133,000 Net worth of IDFC Ltd. 95,400 Share Capital of IDFC Bank (Face Value: Rs10) 33,920 Share Capital of IDFC Ltd. (Face Value: Rs10) 15,940 Book Value of IDFC Bank Share 39.22 Book Value of IDFC Share 59.85 Expected value per share (Apply P/BV: 1.75x) 69 Expected value per share (Apply P/BV: 1.4x) 84 Source: Choice Broking