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Report: The Internet of Things
大智行雲
By John Egan
Feb 2015
© JVE Consulting, LLC
Topics
  Intro
  Apps
  IoT Landscape
  Assessments
  Players
  Recommendations
  Review of Report
© 2015 JVE Consulting 2
Introduction
© 2015 JVE Consulting 3
Intro to IoT
The IoT is the networking of any objects where the connectivity enhances the
usefulness of the objects.
Objects can be anything physical:
Ø  A Car
Ø  An Appliance
Ø  A Cow
Ø  A Honeybee
Ø  A Person
Once objects are enabled with connectivity, they become the Things of the IoT.
Things can be simple devices such as a wireless water detector for a sprinkler system
or they can be complex systems of devices such as mining dump trucks or factory
robots with many Things inside them that combine to make a system.
© 2015 JVE Consulting 4
Internet of Things
Business to Business
Business to
Consumers
Advanced
Medicine
Advanced
Industrialization
M2MeHealth
People to People
People to
Machines
Smart
Everything
eCommerce
© Copyright 2015 JVE Consulting, LLC
The IoT
© 2015 JVE Consulting 5
Within the IoT’s Levels…
Each	
  level	
  consists	
  of	
  systems,	
  within	
  the	
  systems	
  are	
  devices	
  (aka:	
  gadgets/
machines/appliances)	
  and	
  within	
  devices	
  are	
  their	
  'elements:'	
  components,	
  
modules	
  and	
  software/>irmware:	
  
  The	
  top	
  level	
  is	
  where	
  the	
  storage	
  and	
  processing	
  (e.g.,	
  analytics)	
  of	
  
the	
  collected	
  data	
  occurs	
  
  The	
  second	
  level	
  down	
  is	
  the	
  transport	
  network,	
  which	
  may	
  be	
  the	
  
Internet	
  or	
  a	
  private	
  corporate	
  one.	
  AT&T,	
  for	
  example,	
  offers	
  their	
  
M2M	
  Industrial	
  customers	
  a	
  path	
  through	
  a	
  private	
  AT&T	
  network	
  
that	
  keeps	
  their	
  data	
  completely	
  separate	
  from	
  data	
  over	
  the	
  Internet	
  
  The	
  third	
  level	
  down	
  is	
  the	
  aggregation	
  and	
  collection	
  level,	
  where	
  on-
site/local	
  gateways,	
  routers,	
  and	
  concentrators	
  get	
  data	
  from	
  devices	
  
and	
  pass	
  it	
  up	
  in	
  IP	
  format	
  to	
  the	
  transport	
  network,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  
receive	
  command	
  traf>ic	
  from	
  over	
  the	
  transport	
  network	
  and	
  pass	
  it	
  
down	
  to	
  the	
  Things	
  
  The	
  fourth,	
  and	
  lowest,	
  device	
  level	
  consists	
  of	
  the	
  Things	
  themselves.	
  
These	
  devices	
  use	
  sensors	
  and	
  actuators	
  to	
  provide	
  information	
  and	
  
actions	
  based	
  on	
  remote	
  commands.	
  These	
  devices	
  may	
  be	
  capable	
  of	
  
executing	
  their	
  own	
  program	
  logic	
  and	
  thus	
  providing	
  semi-
autonomous	
  actions	
  but	
  they	
  are	
  also	
  able	
  to	
  be	
  placed	
  under	
  outside	
  
control
© 2015 JVE Consulting 6
The IoT Hierarchy
© 2015 JVE Consulting 7
The Internet may be Public or Private
What is a Thing Made of?
© 2015 JVE Consulting 8
Elements:
The pieces inside Things that make them Smart, able to
connect, and able to sense or control their environment
Elements also include Software
Elements
  Most important
  Sensors/Actuators
  Connectivity
  Processors
  Software
  Why?
  Sensors will be everywhere, they will be a huge volume of very low cost
pieces. Taiwanese can do this! Actuators will also be a big part, but not as
much as Sensors.
  Connectivity is required. Certain types will do better than others.
  Processors will be needed for the brains of Things and above
  Software will be the thinking part of Things, the Analytics, the User
Interface, the basis of the User Experience, and the Security
  Without the right path ahead the market may be making the wrong
products
© 2015 JVE Consulting 9
Applications
© 2015 JVE Consulting 10
The 3 Categories of the IoT
  Industrial
  Factories
  Farming
  Mining
  Commercial
  Retail
  Smart Buildings
  Medical/Healthcare
  Consumer
  Home
  Vehicles
  Wearables
© 2015 JVE Consulting 11
© 2015 JVE Consulting 12
Connected Home
Protocols
Platforms & Enablement (Horizontals)
Personal Devices
Wearable
Computing
FitnessHealthFamily
Lifestyle
SportsPetsToysMusic/
Art/
Video
AutomationMonitoringSecurity
Industries Industrial Internet
Garden
HealthcareAutomotiveRetail
RoboticsGreen-
tech
Building Blocks
Processors/
Sensors
Parts/Kits
Services
Incubators
Funding
Distribution
Connectivity/DevPlatforms
Corporates
M2M
Networks
OpenSource
Platforms
Software/DataPlatforms
Sensor
Net-
works
3DScan/
Print
PersonalInterfaces
© Matt Turck (@mattturck), David Rogg (@davidjrogg) & FirstMark Capital (@firstmarkcap)
Cloud
Mobile
Applications (Verticals)
Telecom
M2M
Infra-
structure
2G 3G 4G LTE CoAP 6LoWPAN LWM2M BiTXml DDS
Asset
Tracking
Security
Smart
Grid
Tracker
Agri-
culture
Cooking
Hub
Payment/
Loyalty
Drones/
Aerospace
Portable
WiFi
Analytics
IoT Landscape
© 2015 JVE Consulting 13
Industrial
  The BIG volume, now!
  The Biggest players are here, now
  The most money to be made now
  Vendors have opportunities…
  Higher margins per unit
  Large volumes
  Very high demand for top quality,
standards-based, and well engineered
for longevity, ruggedized and very
extended temp range, not like the
consumer: short life cycle and lower
quality
onnected Home Industries Industrial Internet
HealthcareAutomotiveRetail
RoboticsGreen-
tech
s
latforms
3DScan/
Print
faces
Infra-
structure
Asset
Tracking
Smart
Grid
Tracker
Agri-
culture
Hub
Payment/
Loyalty
Drones/
Aerospace
© 2015 JVE Consulting 14
Connected Home
AutomationMonitoringSecurity
Industries Industrial
HealthcareAutomotiveRetail
RoboticsGreen-
tech
3DScan/
Print
Infra-
structure
Asset
Tracking
Smart
Grid
Tracker
Agri-
culture
Hub
Payment/
Loyalty
Drones/
Aerospace
Commercial
  Next substantial growth area
  Big players here already, with more
entering
  Long term Big money
  Vendors have opportunities…
  Good margins per unit
  Large volumes
  Very high demand for top quality,
standards-based, and well engineered for
longevity (same as Industrial, but
packaging must be “nicer” and temp
range is relaxed)
Connected Homestyle
Art/
Video
AutomationMonitoringSecurity
Industries Indus
HealthcareAutomotiveRetail
RoboticsGreen-
tech
3DScan/
Print
Infra-
structure
Asset
Tracking
Smart
Grid
Tracker
Agri-
culture
Hub
Payment/
Loyalty
Drones/
Aerospace
© 2015 JVE Consulting 15
Overall
Infrastructure
  Companies in Verticals
  Includes:
  IBM
  Cisco
  ABB
  Siemens
  GE
Services
Incubators
Funding
Distribution
Corporates
works
PersonalInterfaces
g (@davidjrogg) & FirstMark Capital (@firstmarkcap)
Telecom
M2M
Infra
struct
Asset
Tracking
Security
Smar
Grid
Agri-
culture
Portable
WiFi
© 2015 JVE Consulting 16
ls
Platforms & Enablement (Horizontals)
FitnessHealthFamily
PetsToysMusic/
Art/
Video
MonitoringSecurity
Garden
Building Blocks
Connectivity/DevPlatforms
ks
OpenSource
Platforms
Software/DataPlatforms
Sensor
Net-
works
PersonalInterfaces
m
Tracker
Cook
Hub
le
Analytics
Protocols
Building Blocks
Processors/
Sensors
Parts/Kits
Services
M2M
Networks
S
© Matt Turck (@mattturck), David Rogg (@davidjrogg) &
Cloud
Mobile
2G 3G 4G LTE CoAP 6LoWPAN LWM2M BiTXml DDS
Portable
Incubators
Funding
Distribution
Mark Capital (@firstmarkcap)
Telecom
M2M
Systems/Solutions Vendors
  Industrial
  GE
  Bosch
  Siemens
  ABB
  Cisco
  IBM
  HP
  Dell
  Commercial
  Siemens
  Cisco
  IBM
  Japanese Group
  Panasonic, Sharp, Mitsubishi,
…
  Philips
  HTC?
  Honeywell
  Dell
  Motorola
© 2015 JVE Consulting 17
Home IoT Apps
  Smart Energy – Thermostats, AC/Heater, Vents &Fans
  Smart Appliances – Fridge, Microwave, Washer/Dryer
  Smart Media System – STB/OTT box, Controllers, Media
Storage and Playback
  Smart Household Utilities – Detect who is home or not,
Where the people in the home are, Smart Vacuum, Water
Heater, Sprinklers, Air quality monitoring
  Security – lock doors and windows when necessary, unlock
when people arrive home, frequent visitors announced as they
approach, fire detection, gas detection
© 2015 JVE Consulting 18
Home IoT Management
  Smart Devices
  Phones, tablets, PCs
  Apps under Android and iOS
  Home Server for retaining data and set up, controlling
time of day actions
  This may be part of the gateway functions or NAS
© 2015 JVE Consulting 19
Smart Home Needs…
  Overall
  Gateway
  Link WAN and home
networks
  Wi-Fi Access Point
  Security Firewall from
outside
  Security Firewall between
home networks
  NAS or Server (unless in
gateway)
  Networks
  Broadband (in 99%+ of
smart homes)
  Wi-Fi for PCs, STBs,
TVs, …
  Wired for legacy and
some high demand
devices
  Wireless for IoT
  Maybe Wi-Fi
  ZigBee
  Bluetooth Low Energy
  Z-Wave
  Others
© 2015 JVE Consulting 20
© 2015 JVE Consulting 21
The Home IoT
Security
Will hackers see the home with IoT as a better target than
businesses?
© 2015 JVE Consulting 22
Security Threats
  To all IoT Categories
  Industrial, Commercial, Consumer
  External and Internal
  External is being fought all the time, never know the success or failure
ratio
  Internal is weakest link and how most major intrusions are occurring
today
  The Home with IoT will have a substantial increase in internal threat
potential
  As of the IoT
  Security is weaker in every aspect, there are millions more attack points,
and the number of networks inside a building increases dramatically,
meaning there are more ways of entry and then jumping from one
network to another
© 2015 JVE Consulting 23
End User Mentality
© 2015 JVE Consulting 24
In-home Threats
© 2015 JVE Consulting 25
Could this Really Happen?
© 2015 JVE Consulting 26
Home Alone
© 2015 JVE Consulting 27
And realizing your
Smart Home is
against you…
Security & Consumer IoT
  Vendors sell:
FEAR! PAIN! ROBBERY! LOSS of PRIVACY!
  It is true, these are real threats
  Nothing available yet to truly secure the home network
and still be end user friendly, everything is complex
and may require an advanced degree
  Standards are coming
  Innovative start ups working on a solution
(Disclaimer: JVEC is involved in this effort)
© 2015 JVE Consulting 28
Who Wins, Who Loses
© 2015 JVE Consulting 29
Possible Winners
  Chips
  ARM
  Huge win and long term
  Intel
  Modestly initially but
have power to gain over
time
  MEMS Sensors
  ST Micro, Bosch, TI and
others
  Cisco, IBM, Bosch, Siemens,
Huawei, ZTE, Japanese, …
  Medical device companies
  Most equipment costs
more yet still disposable
(single patient use)
  Agri-business companies
  Monsanto and John
Deere, for example
  Security companies
  Those that can truly
secure the IoT
  Certain Alliances
  IIC, OIC, …
© 2015 JVE Consulting 30
Possible Losers
  Wired Networks?
PLC is a nice to have, but low volumes versus Wi-Fi, time running out?
  Wired Ethernet disappears from the home for the most part
Z-Wave?
  Missing market power, more defensively positioned than offensively
  However, making efforts to grow and establish presence in gateways and bridges
ZigBee?
  Not in smart devices is a substantial problem
  Cost versus Wi-Fi, Z-Wave and BLE is an issue
  Loss will not be immediate and may turn around
  Chips?
PowerPC – dead
MIPS
  Concern over no long term utility for home IoT unless they do something dramatic
© 2015 JVE Consulting 31
Wireless TimeLine
Year &
Application	
  
Wi-Fi (all
variants)	
  
802.15.4 and its
variants (ZB)	
  
Bluetooth and its
variants (BLE)	
  
Mobile	
  
Others (Z-Wave,
etc.)	
  
2015	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Industrial	
   Limited	
   Limited	
   None	
   Extensive	
   Extensive	
  
Commercial	
   Good 	
   Good 	
   Limited	
   Good 	
   Good 	
  
Consumer	
   Growing	
   Good	
   Limited	
   Low	
   Good (for ZW)	
  
2017	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Industrial	
   Growing	
   Limited	
   None	
   Extensive	
   Good	
  
Commercial	
   Extensive	
   Good	
   Low	
   Good	
   Limited	
  
Consumer	
   Extensive	
   Limited	
   Growing	
   Low	
   Limited	
  
2020	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Industrial	
   Growing	
   Low	
   None	
   Extensive	
   Limited	
  
Commercial	
   Extensive	
   Good	
   Limited	
   Good	
   Limited	
  
Consumer	
   Extensive	
   Low	
   Extensive	
   Limited	
   Low	
  
© 2015 JVE Consulting 32
Wireline TimeLine
Year &
Application	
  
PLC (all variants)	
  
Ethernet
(standard)	
  
Ethernet
(Industrial)	
  
Bus links (vehicles)	
  
Others (Serial,
etc.)	
  
2015	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Industrial	
  
NB Low, WB
None	
  
Limited	
   Extensive	
   Good	
   Limited	
  
Commercial	
   Low	
   Extensive	
   Limited	
   Good	
   Low	
  
Consumer	
   Limited	
   Good	
   None	
   Extensive	
   Low	
  
2017	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Industrial	
  
NB Low, WB
None	
  
Low	
   Extensive	
   Good	
   Limited	
  
Commercial	
   Low	
   Extensive	
   Limited	
   Good	
   Low	
  
Consumer	
   Limited	
   Limited	
   None	
   Extensive	
   Low	
  
2020	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
Industrial	
   None	
   Low	
   Extensive	
   Good	
   Limited	
  
Commercial	
   None	
   Good	
   Low	
   Limited	
   Low	
  
Consumer	
   Low	
   Low	
   None	
   Good	
   None	
  
© 2015 JVE Consulting 33
Possible Paths Ahead
© 2015 JVE Consulting 34
Service Providers
  Mobile Companies!
  Set trials to learn about Industrial and Remote IoT
  Telecom Service Providers
  Smart Homes – to sell services
  Smart Buildings and Hospitals
  Smart Cities
  Cable Companies
  Smart Homes
  Smart Buildings
© 2015 JVE Consulting 35
Standards
  There is a substantial number in progress or completed
  IEEE
  ISO
  IEC
  ITU
  Not started as yet, seeking leadership?
  Regional
  Alliances & Forums Specifications/Standards
© 2015 JVE Consulting 36
Revenue Potentials
Branch	
   Category	
  
Potential Revenue
2015	
  
Revenue Potential
2017	
  
Revenue Potential
2020	
  
All	
   Industrial	
   High	
   High (increasing)	
   Moderate to High (plateauing)	
  
Mining	
   Industrial	
   High	
   High	
   Moderate (plateauing)	
  
Manufacturing	
   Industrial	
   High	
   High (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Warehousing	
  
Industrial &
Commercial	
  
High	
   High (moderate increasing)	
   Moderate (plateauing)	
  
All	
   Commercial	
   Moderate	
   High (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Smart Buildings	
  Commercial	
   Moderate	
   High (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Transportation	
   	
   High	
   High (increasing)	
   Moderate (plateauing)	
  
Healthcare	
   Commercial	
   Moderate	
   High (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Business	
   Commercial	
   Moderate	
   Moderate to High (moderate increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Retail	
   Commercial	
   Moderate	
   Moderate (increasing)	
   Moderate ( moderate increasing)	
  
All	
   Consumer	
   Low	
   Moderate to High (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Vehicles	
   Consumer	
   Low to Moderate	
   Moderate to High (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Smart Homes	
   Consumer	
   Low to Moderate	
   Moderate (increasing)	
   High (increasing)	
  
Wearables	
   Consumer	
   Low	
   Moderate (increasing)	
   Moderate (moderate increasing)	
  
Smart devices	
   Consumer	
   High	
   High (moderate increasing)	
   Moderate to High (moderate increasing)	
  
© 2015 JVE Consulting 37
Revenue Trajectories
© 2015 JVE Consulting 38
The Report
Available end of Q1 2015
© 2015 JVE Consulting 39
Confidential
02/16/15
© 2015 JVE Consulting, LLC
Do Not Copy or Distribute
All Rights Reserved
The Internet of Things
The New Internet Wave – Connected Machines Everywhere
Background, analysis and associated recommendations for: The Institute for Information Industry
Produced by:
John EganJVE Consulting, LLC
Highlights of Report
  Prepared specifically for MIC
  Provides an Intro and Insights to IoT
  Over 150 pages
  Over 90 Figures
  Over 40 Tables
  Extensive list of referenced documents
  Extensive assessment and commentary
© 2015 JVE Consulting 40
Report’s Table of Contents
1.  Terminology
2.  Preface
3.  Executive Overview
4.  Scope & Key Takeaways
5.  Introduction to the IoT
6.  Wireless for IoT
7.  Security
8.  Who are the Leaders?
9.  Views: Vendor, SP, Analyst
10.  Expectations and Projections
11.  Recommendations
12.  Large Tables (in wide format)
© 2015 JVE Consulting 41
© 2015 JVE Consulting 42

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Report the whole IoT r0.0.pptx

  • 1. Report: The Internet of Things 大智行雲 By John Egan Feb 2015 © JVE Consulting, LLC
  • 2. Topics   Intro   Apps   IoT Landscape   Assessments   Players   Recommendations   Review of Report © 2015 JVE Consulting 2
  • 4. Intro to IoT The IoT is the networking of any objects where the connectivity enhances the usefulness of the objects. Objects can be anything physical: Ø  A Car Ø  An Appliance Ø  A Cow Ø  A Honeybee Ø  A Person Once objects are enabled with connectivity, they become the Things of the IoT. Things can be simple devices such as a wireless water detector for a sprinkler system or they can be complex systems of devices such as mining dump trucks or factory robots with many Things inside them that combine to make a system. © 2015 JVE Consulting 4
  • 5. Internet of Things Business to Business Business to Consumers Advanced Medicine Advanced Industrialization M2MeHealth People to People People to Machines Smart Everything eCommerce © Copyright 2015 JVE Consulting, LLC The IoT © 2015 JVE Consulting 5
  • 6. Within the IoT’s Levels… Each  level  consists  of  systems,  within  the  systems  are  devices  (aka:  gadgets/ machines/appliances)  and  within  devices  are  their  'elements:'  components,   modules  and  software/>irmware:     The  top  level  is  where  the  storage  and  processing  (e.g.,  analytics)  of   the  collected  data  occurs     The  second  level  down  is  the  transport  network,  which  may  be  the   Internet  or  a  private  corporate  one.  AT&T,  for  example,  offers  their   M2M  Industrial  customers  a  path  through  a  private  AT&T  network   that  keeps  their  data  completely  separate  from  data  over  the  Internet     The  third  level  down  is  the  aggregation  and  collection  level,  where  on- site/local  gateways,  routers,  and  concentrators  get  data  from  devices   and  pass  it  up  in  IP  format  to  the  transport  network,  as  well  as   receive  command  traf>ic  from  over  the  transport  network  and  pass  it   down  to  the  Things     The  fourth,  and  lowest,  device  level  consists  of  the  Things  themselves.   These  devices  use  sensors  and  actuators  to  provide  information  and   actions  based  on  remote  commands.  These  devices  may  be  capable  of   executing  their  own  program  logic  and  thus  providing  semi- autonomous  actions  but  they  are  also  able  to  be  placed  under  outside   control © 2015 JVE Consulting 6
  • 7. The IoT Hierarchy © 2015 JVE Consulting 7 The Internet may be Public or Private
  • 8. What is a Thing Made of? © 2015 JVE Consulting 8 Elements: The pieces inside Things that make them Smart, able to connect, and able to sense or control their environment Elements also include Software
  • 9. Elements   Most important   Sensors/Actuators   Connectivity   Processors   Software   Why?   Sensors will be everywhere, they will be a huge volume of very low cost pieces. Taiwanese can do this! Actuators will also be a big part, but not as much as Sensors.   Connectivity is required. Certain types will do better than others.   Processors will be needed for the brains of Things and above   Software will be the thinking part of Things, the Analytics, the User Interface, the basis of the User Experience, and the Security   Without the right path ahead the market may be making the wrong products © 2015 JVE Consulting 9
  • 10. Applications © 2015 JVE Consulting 10
  • 11. The 3 Categories of the IoT   Industrial   Factories   Farming   Mining   Commercial   Retail   Smart Buildings   Medical/Healthcare   Consumer   Home   Vehicles   Wearables © 2015 JVE Consulting 11
  • 12. © 2015 JVE Consulting 12
  • 13. Connected Home Protocols Platforms & Enablement (Horizontals) Personal Devices Wearable Computing FitnessHealthFamily Lifestyle SportsPetsToysMusic/ Art/ Video AutomationMonitoringSecurity Industries Industrial Internet Garden HealthcareAutomotiveRetail RoboticsGreen- tech Building Blocks Processors/ Sensors Parts/Kits Services Incubators Funding Distribution Connectivity/DevPlatforms Corporates M2M Networks OpenSource Platforms Software/DataPlatforms Sensor Net- works 3DScan/ Print PersonalInterfaces © Matt Turck (@mattturck), David Rogg (@davidjrogg) & FirstMark Capital (@firstmarkcap) Cloud Mobile Applications (Verticals) Telecom M2M Infra- structure 2G 3G 4G LTE CoAP 6LoWPAN LWM2M BiTXml DDS Asset Tracking Security Smart Grid Tracker Agri- culture Cooking Hub Payment/ Loyalty Drones/ Aerospace Portable WiFi Analytics IoT Landscape © 2015 JVE Consulting 13
  • 14. Industrial   The BIG volume, now!   The Biggest players are here, now   The most money to be made now   Vendors have opportunities…   Higher margins per unit   Large volumes   Very high demand for top quality, standards-based, and well engineered for longevity, ruggedized and very extended temp range, not like the consumer: short life cycle and lower quality onnected Home Industries Industrial Internet HealthcareAutomotiveRetail RoboticsGreen- tech s latforms 3DScan/ Print faces Infra- structure Asset Tracking Smart Grid Tracker Agri- culture Hub Payment/ Loyalty Drones/ Aerospace © 2015 JVE Consulting 14 Connected Home AutomationMonitoringSecurity Industries Industrial HealthcareAutomotiveRetail RoboticsGreen- tech 3DScan/ Print Infra- structure Asset Tracking Smart Grid Tracker Agri- culture Hub Payment/ Loyalty Drones/ Aerospace
  • 15. Commercial   Next substantial growth area   Big players here already, with more entering   Long term Big money   Vendors have opportunities…   Good margins per unit   Large volumes   Very high demand for top quality, standards-based, and well engineered for longevity (same as Industrial, but packaging must be “nicer” and temp range is relaxed) Connected Homestyle Art/ Video AutomationMonitoringSecurity Industries Indus HealthcareAutomotiveRetail RoboticsGreen- tech 3DScan/ Print Infra- structure Asset Tracking Smart Grid Tracker Agri- culture Hub Payment/ Loyalty Drones/ Aerospace © 2015 JVE Consulting 15
  • 16. Overall Infrastructure   Companies in Verticals   Includes:   IBM   Cisco   ABB   Siemens   GE Services Incubators Funding Distribution Corporates works PersonalInterfaces g (@davidjrogg) & FirstMark Capital (@firstmarkcap) Telecom M2M Infra struct Asset Tracking Security Smar Grid Agri- culture Portable WiFi © 2015 JVE Consulting 16 ls Platforms & Enablement (Horizontals) FitnessHealthFamily PetsToysMusic/ Art/ Video MonitoringSecurity Garden Building Blocks Connectivity/DevPlatforms ks OpenSource Platforms Software/DataPlatforms Sensor Net- works PersonalInterfaces m Tracker Cook Hub le Analytics Protocols Building Blocks Processors/ Sensors Parts/Kits Services M2M Networks S © Matt Turck (@mattturck), David Rogg (@davidjrogg) & Cloud Mobile 2G 3G 4G LTE CoAP 6LoWPAN LWM2M BiTXml DDS Portable Incubators Funding Distribution Mark Capital (@firstmarkcap) Telecom M2M
  • 17. Systems/Solutions Vendors   Industrial   GE   Bosch   Siemens   ABB   Cisco   IBM   HP   Dell   Commercial   Siemens   Cisco   IBM   Japanese Group   Panasonic, Sharp, Mitsubishi, …   Philips   HTC?   Honeywell   Dell   Motorola © 2015 JVE Consulting 17
  • 18. Home IoT Apps   Smart Energy – Thermostats, AC/Heater, Vents &Fans   Smart Appliances – Fridge, Microwave, Washer/Dryer   Smart Media System – STB/OTT box, Controllers, Media Storage and Playback   Smart Household Utilities – Detect who is home or not, Where the people in the home are, Smart Vacuum, Water Heater, Sprinklers, Air quality monitoring   Security – lock doors and windows when necessary, unlock when people arrive home, frequent visitors announced as they approach, fire detection, gas detection © 2015 JVE Consulting 18
  • 19. Home IoT Management   Smart Devices   Phones, tablets, PCs   Apps under Android and iOS   Home Server for retaining data and set up, controlling time of day actions   This may be part of the gateway functions or NAS © 2015 JVE Consulting 19
  • 20. Smart Home Needs…   Overall   Gateway   Link WAN and home networks   Wi-Fi Access Point   Security Firewall from outside   Security Firewall between home networks   NAS or Server (unless in gateway)   Networks   Broadband (in 99%+ of smart homes)   Wi-Fi for PCs, STBs, TVs, …   Wired for legacy and some high demand devices   Wireless for IoT   Maybe Wi-Fi   ZigBee   Bluetooth Low Energy   Z-Wave   Others © 2015 JVE Consulting 20
  • 21. © 2015 JVE Consulting 21 The Home IoT
  • 22. Security Will hackers see the home with IoT as a better target than businesses? © 2015 JVE Consulting 22
  • 23. Security Threats   To all IoT Categories   Industrial, Commercial, Consumer   External and Internal   External is being fought all the time, never know the success or failure ratio   Internal is weakest link and how most major intrusions are occurring today   The Home with IoT will have a substantial increase in internal threat potential   As of the IoT   Security is weaker in every aspect, there are millions more attack points, and the number of networks inside a building increases dramatically, meaning there are more ways of entry and then jumping from one network to another © 2015 JVE Consulting 23
  • 24. End User Mentality © 2015 JVE Consulting 24
  • 25. In-home Threats © 2015 JVE Consulting 25
  • 26. Could this Really Happen? © 2015 JVE Consulting 26
  • 27. Home Alone © 2015 JVE Consulting 27 And realizing your Smart Home is against you…
  • 28. Security & Consumer IoT   Vendors sell: FEAR! PAIN! ROBBERY! LOSS of PRIVACY!   It is true, these are real threats   Nothing available yet to truly secure the home network and still be end user friendly, everything is complex and may require an advanced degree   Standards are coming   Innovative start ups working on a solution (Disclaimer: JVEC is involved in this effort) © 2015 JVE Consulting 28
  • 29. Who Wins, Who Loses © 2015 JVE Consulting 29
  • 30. Possible Winners   Chips   ARM   Huge win and long term   Intel   Modestly initially but have power to gain over time   MEMS Sensors   ST Micro, Bosch, TI and others   Cisco, IBM, Bosch, Siemens, Huawei, ZTE, Japanese, …   Medical device companies   Most equipment costs more yet still disposable (single patient use)   Agri-business companies   Monsanto and John Deere, for example   Security companies   Those that can truly secure the IoT   Certain Alliances   IIC, OIC, … © 2015 JVE Consulting 30
  • 31. Possible Losers   Wired Networks? PLC is a nice to have, but low volumes versus Wi-Fi, time running out?   Wired Ethernet disappears from the home for the most part Z-Wave?   Missing market power, more defensively positioned than offensively   However, making efforts to grow and establish presence in gateways and bridges ZigBee?   Not in smart devices is a substantial problem   Cost versus Wi-Fi, Z-Wave and BLE is an issue   Loss will not be immediate and may turn around   Chips? PowerPC – dead MIPS   Concern over no long term utility for home IoT unless they do something dramatic © 2015 JVE Consulting 31
  • 32. Wireless TimeLine Year & Application   Wi-Fi (all variants)   802.15.4 and its variants (ZB)   Bluetooth and its variants (BLE)   Mobile   Others (Z-Wave, etc.)   2015             Industrial   Limited   Limited   None   Extensive   Extensive   Commercial   Good   Good   Limited   Good   Good   Consumer   Growing   Good   Limited   Low   Good (for ZW)   2017             Industrial   Growing   Limited   None   Extensive   Good   Commercial   Extensive   Good   Low   Good   Limited   Consumer   Extensive   Limited   Growing   Low   Limited   2020             Industrial   Growing   Low   None   Extensive   Limited   Commercial   Extensive   Good   Limited   Good   Limited   Consumer   Extensive   Low   Extensive   Limited   Low   © 2015 JVE Consulting 32
  • 33. Wireline TimeLine Year & Application   PLC (all variants)   Ethernet (standard)   Ethernet (Industrial)   Bus links (vehicles)   Others (Serial, etc.)   2015             Industrial   NB Low, WB None   Limited   Extensive   Good   Limited   Commercial   Low   Extensive   Limited   Good   Low   Consumer   Limited   Good   None   Extensive   Low   2017             Industrial   NB Low, WB None   Low   Extensive   Good   Limited   Commercial   Low   Extensive   Limited   Good   Low   Consumer   Limited   Limited   None   Extensive   Low   2020             Industrial   None   Low   Extensive   Good   Limited   Commercial   None   Good   Low   Limited   Low   Consumer   Low   Low   None   Good   None   © 2015 JVE Consulting 33
  • 34. Possible Paths Ahead © 2015 JVE Consulting 34
  • 35. Service Providers   Mobile Companies!   Set trials to learn about Industrial and Remote IoT   Telecom Service Providers   Smart Homes – to sell services   Smart Buildings and Hospitals   Smart Cities   Cable Companies   Smart Homes   Smart Buildings © 2015 JVE Consulting 35
  • 36. Standards   There is a substantial number in progress or completed   IEEE   ISO   IEC   ITU   Not started as yet, seeking leadership?   Regional   Alliances & Forums Specifications/Standards © 2015 JVE Consulting 36
  • 37. Revenue Potentials Branch   Category   Potential Revenue 2015   Revenue Potential 2017   Revenue Potential 2020   All   Industrial   High   High (increasing)   Moderate to High (plateauing)   Mining   Industrial   High   High   Moderate (plateauing)   Manufacturing   Industrial   High   High (increasing)   High (increasing)   Warehousing   Industrial & Commercial   High   High (moderate increasing)   Moderate (plateauing)   All   Commercial   Moderate   High (increasing)   High (increasing)   Smart Buildings  Commercial   Moderate   High (increasing)   High (increasing)   Transportation     High   High (increasing)   Moderate (plateauing)   Healthcare   Commercial   Moderate   High (increasing)   High (increasing)   Business   Commercial   Moderate   Moderate to High (moderate increasing)   High (increasing)   Retail   Commercial   Moderate   Moderate (increasing)   Moderate ( moderate increasing)   All   Consumer   Low   Moderate to High (increasing)   High (increasing)   Vehicles   Consumer   Low to Moderate   Moderate to High (increasing)   High (increasing)   Smart Homes   Consumer   Low to Moderate   Moderate (increasing)   High (increasing)   Wearables   Consumer   Low   Moderate (increasing)   Moderate (moderate increasing)   Smart devices   Consumer   High   High (moderate increasing)   Moderate to High (moderate increasing)   © 2015 JVE Consulting 37
  • 38. Revenue Trajectories © 2015 JVE Consulting 38
  • 39. The Report Available end of Q1 2015 © 2015 JVE Consulting 39 Confidential 02/16/15 © 2015 JVE Consulting, LLC Do Not Copy or Distribute All Rights Reserved The Internet of Things The New Internet Wave – Connected Machines Everywhere Background, analysis and associated recommendations for: The Institute for Information Industry Produced by: John EganJVE Consulting, LLC
  • 40. Highlights of Report   Prepared specifically for MIC   Provides an Intro and Insights to IoT   Over 150 pages   Over 90 Figures   Over 40 Tables   Extensive list of referenced documents   Extensive assessment and commentary © 2015 JVE Consulting 40
  • 41. Report’s Table of Contents 1.  Terminology 2.  Preface 3.  Executive Overview 4.  Scope & Key Takeaways 5.  Introduction to the IoT 6.  Wireless for IoT 7.  Security 8.  Who are the Leaders? 9.  Views: Vendor, SP, Analyst 10.  Expectations and Projections 11.  Recommendations 12.  Large Tables (in wide format) © 2015 JVE Consulting 41
  • 42. © 2015 JVE Consulting 42