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38 www.aiche.org/cep June 2015 CEP
Plant Operations
R
ather than performing a critical evaluation of their
maintenance plans, many companies in the chemical
process industries (CPI) replace malfunctioning or
dated equipment with the latest technology. However, new
technology only enables an ineffective maintenance program
to be more efficient at being ineffective. The goal of a main-
tenance and reliability program is to deliver a proper balance
of maintenance activities — primarily those aimed at iden-
tifying impending failures — to allow for timely corrective
actions. The optimal maintenance and reliability program for
a plant provides the right maintenance on the right assets at
the right time.
After years of operating, many CPI plants lose track of
the main goals of their maintenance program. For example,
after experiencing a rare equipment failure, a plant instituted
frequent inspections aimed at preventing the recurrence
of that failure — a significant burden on the maintenance
staff. Thus, the maintenance program changed from one of
coordinated and well-thought-out preventive behavior to one
of knee-jerk reactionary behavior.
By understanding which assets are most important (right
assets), what should be done to restore or maintain the
inherent reliability of those assets (right maintenance), and
at what frequency those actions should be taken (right time),
a maintenance organization can become more effective and
more efficient — and often reduce costs significantly.
This article looks at how plant maintenance organizations
in the CPI can re-evaluate and restructure their maintenance
and reliability plans to incorporate industry best practices.
Establishing or re-establishing a maintenance and reli-
ability program involves the following basic steps:
1. Create a snapshot of the organization.
2. Develop a plan and a strategy for implementing it.
3. Prioritize assets within the plant.
4. Define maintenance requirements.
5. Allocate personnel resources.
6. Deploy tools (technology and/or software).
7. Measure success and continuously improve.
These actions serve as the building blocks to redefine the
plant’s maintenance program and to help build a sustainable
proactive organization to minimize costs and improve reli-
ability and availability of plant assets.
Create a snapshot of the organization
To determine how to get to your destination, you need
to know where you are beginning. A plant can gauge the
current status of its maintenance program in many ways,
such as by industry benchmarking, through surveys, or using
a trial-and-error approach.
One way is to measure performance against a set of
best practices, as illustrated by the example in Figure 1.
This organization’s performance on 21 elements of a
best-practice maintenance program was rated on a scale of
1 to 10, and these ratings were plotted on a spider chart. In
this assessment, scores of 8–10 are considered world-class
performance.
An analysis such as this is typically conducted by a third
party, who facilitates a series of interviews with personnel
at all levels of the corporation. The evaluator asks ques-
tions about each of the elements, documents the answers,
compares answers across interviewees, and determines an
average rating for each element. The results are compared to
An effective reliability program provides
the right maintenance on the right assets
at the right time.
Chris Armitage
The Reliability
Optimization Co.
Develop a Maintenance
and Reliability Plan
Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
CEP June 2015 www.aiche.org/cep 39
a set of standards that has been developed to describe a best-
practice organization. This is an excellent way for manage-
ment to get feedback on the real issues, both good and bad,
affecting the organization’s maintenance program.
The facility described by Figure 1 has some room for
improvement in its use of work management systems and
information integration systems. It seems to have good
maintenance and diagnostic technologies in place, but its
integration of that information into the identification, plan-
ning, scheduling, and execution of work needs improve-
ment. With regard to management and work culture,
accountability and organizational skills are good, but there
is room for improvement in goal setting, global metrics, and
developing continuous improvement plans. Finally, more
emphasis should be placed on personnel training, which
may have a significant positive impact on some of the other
areas. The gaps between the plant’s ratings and the values
corresponding to world-class performance (gray areas)
represent opportunities for improvement.
Develop a plan for improvement
By focusing on the lower ratings in its snapshot, the
organization can develop a plan to close the gaps and raise
its performance on key metrics, thereby improving its
overall performance. This step may include planning for
training, developing and optimizing procedures, improving
communications, integrating software systems, realigning
organizational structures, reallocating manpower, etc. The
plan should rank the plant’s assets based on how critical
they are to the business, and then optimize the associated
maintenance tasks based on those rankings. The specifics
of the plan will depend on the direction and goals of the
company.
An action plan for the example in Figure 1 might
include:
• Prioritize all plant assets by assigning each an objective
and relative ranking based on what is business-critical to
plant operations and asset availability.
• Optimize current preventive maintenance (PM) plans
based on the relative criticality of assets to support plant
availability needs.
• Optimize the workflow and define responsibilities for
identifying and planning work.
• Provide training to enable employees to better
utilize the computerized maintenance management
system (CMMS) and integrate diagnostic-technology
data into the CMMS.
• Establish a feedback loop for all work orders to evalu-
Utilization
Work Processes
Technology
Expertise
Managment and
Work Culture
Work Order Close-Out
Maintenance and Diagnostics
Technologies
Continuous Improvement Methods
Global Metrics and Reporting
Plantwide Communications
Qualifications/Job Descriptions
Departmental Communications
Training
Benchmarking
Goal Setting
Leadership Organization
Accountability
Information Integration Systems
Work Management Systems
Work Execution
Work Scheduling
Spare Parts
Work Planning
Work Identification
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
p Figure 1. To create a snapshot of a plant’s maintenance program, the plant’s current performance is assessed, compared to a set of best practices, and
plotted on a spider chart. The gaps between the plant’s rating and the value associated with world-class performance (gray region) represent improvement
opportunities.
Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
40 www.aiche.org/cep June 2015 CEP
Plant Operations
ate lessons learned and to help refine standard job plans for
continuous improvement.
• Develop goals that are aligned with maintenance objec-
tives and relevant to the workforce. Make those goals visible
to employees.
• Provide refresher training to ensure that all personnel
have up-to-date skills.
Prioritize plant assets
The next step is to execute the plan, which typically
starts with taking an objective look at the relative critical-
ity of assets in a particular area or system. Operations and
maintenance personnel should collaborate to define the
basic functional systems and the associated assets (or group
of assets) that work together to achieve a specific function.
Fortunately, much of this work is often completed as part of
a CMMS implementation.
One way to prioritize plant assets for maintenance is to
assign a reliabiltiy optimization ranking (ROR) to each asset,
as shown in Figure 2. This method starts by determining the
system-criticality ranking (SCR) of each subsystem based on
the impact its failure would have on safety, the environment,
annual repair costs, product throughput, and product quality.
The SCR is an average of these five factors, and is a number
from 1 to 10, with 10 being the most critical subsystem (fail-
ure would have a big impact) and 1 being the least critical
(failure would have little to no impact) to plant output.
Then, determine the production-­
criticality ranking (PCR)
of each asset within the subsystem. The PCR is the impact
the asset has on the function of its parent system. This will
help you define where you have single-­
point failures in your
plant (versus redundancy). The PCR is a ranking between
1 and 10, with 10 being an asset with high criticality to the
functioning of its parent system.
Next, calculate the business-criticality ranking (BCR)
of each asset by multiplying the subsystem’s SCR by the
asset’s PCR. After a functional failure occurs, the BCR will
enable you to prioritize repair work. The assets with the
highest BCR values should be repaired first.
The assets that rank highest on the BCR list might not
be the assets that require the most maintenance. Not all
assets have the same likelihood of failure. Before making
an investment to prevent a failure, you need to understand
where the highest probability of failure lies. One way to
measure this is to evaluate where you are currently spend-
ing your resources in an effort to prevent failures through
inspection, preemptive change-out, or other maintenance
activities. Also consider the frequency of failures of equip-
Divide Into
Subsystems x
Asset
Production-Criticality
Ranking
(1–10)
Subsystem
System-Criticality
Ranking
(1–10)
Asset
Business-Criticality
Ranking
(1–100)
Asset Failure
Likelihood
Factor
(1–10)
Asset
Reliability-Optimization
Ranking
(1–1,000)
Step 1: Divide each
parent system into
subsystems
Step 2: Determine the
system-criticality ranking (SCR)
for each subsystem
Step 3: Determine the
production-criticality ranking (PCR)
for each asset
Step 5: Determine the asset’s
failure likelihood factor (AFLF)
x
Step 4: Multiply the SCR
and PCR to yield the
business-criticality ranking (BCR)
for each asset
Step 6: Multiply the BCR
and AFLF to determine
the reliability-optimization
ranking
Equals
Equals
Subsystem
System-Criticality
Ranking
(1–10)
Asset
Business-Criticality
Ranking
(1–100)
Evaluate the subsystem’s effect on:
• Process Throughput
• Repair Cost
• Product Quality
• Safety
• Regulatory Compliance
p Figure 2. To develop an objective criticality ranking, first divide the plant area of concern into subsystems. Then, determine the system-criticality ranking
(SCR) of each subsystem based on the impact its failure would have on attributes such as process throughput, repair cost, product quality, safety, and regula-
tory compliance. To compute the production-criticality ranking (PCR), rank the asset’s effect on the subsystem on a scale of one to ten. The product of the
SCR and the PCR is the business-criticality ranking (BCR). The BCR is the prime metric used to prioritize repair actions after a failure has already occurred.
Multiply the BCR by the asset’s failure likelihood factor (AFLF) to calculate the asset’s reliability optimization ranking (ROR). The ROR indicates where to start
optimizing maintenance strategies.
Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
CEP June 2015 www.aiche.org/cep 41
ment that is not subject to scheduled preventive action. By
considering these factors, you can determine the asset failure
likelihood factor (AFLF). For each asset, assign an AFLF
ranking from 1 to 10.
Multiplying the BCR by the AFLF for each asset yields
the reliability optimization ranking (ROR). You can then use
the ROR to prioritize assets and identify the best opportuni-
ties for optimizing preventive maintenance strategies.
Define maintenance requirements
To ensure that you have a viable maintenance strategy,
first examine the scheduled maintenance activities that are
currently being performed. Make sure there is an appropriate
balance of conditional inspections, pre-emptive replace-
ments, monitoring technology applications, and/or run-to-
failure strategies based on observed asset behavior.
To determine the need to perform a maintenance activity,
you need to take an objective look at why you would per-
form a task. Objective evidence of need is crucial to defining
a correct strategy.
United Airlines was one of the first companies to
establish a method to define maintenance needs in order to
create a viable maintenance plan. In the late 1960s, with the
introduction of the Boeing 747, the airline industry needed
to re-evaluate its maintenance philosophy. At that time, most
maintenance involved replacing components based on the
number of hours flown. However, as aircraft became increas-
ingly complex, this approach was not economically feasible.
United Airlines formed a committee to determine the reasons
to do — or not to do —maintenance. The committee devel-
oped a single statement that explained why maintenance is
performed: “We do maintenance because hardware reliabil-
ity degrades with age, but we can do something to restore or
maintain the original reliability that pays for itself.” Within
this statement are three hypotheses:
• Hypothesis 1: Hardware reliability is known to degrade
with age.
• Hypothesis 2: Maintenance tasks can restore or main-
tain original reliability.
• Hypothesis 3: Maintenance pays for itself (i.e., the
value of the maintenance exceeds its cost).
These three hypotheses explain why maintenance
is done, and they eventually led to the development of
reliability-­
centered maintenance (RCM). The underlying
principle of RCM is that a certain maintenance task should
be performed only if the hardware is degrading (i.e., a failure
is probable), the task is applicable to the potential failure
mode, and it is a reasonable task. Before starting mainte-
nance, ask the following three questions (Figure 3):
• Is a failure probable? According to RCM principles, all
Identify Failure Mode
Does this condition actually occur during the
equipment’s service life?
Wrong Condition No Yes
Design New Task No Task
What type of task is it?
Does the task correctly address the
failure mode?
Task is not applicable Task is applicable
Is the task reasonable?
Task is not reasonable Task is reasonable
Schedule and perform task
Reasonable
Ensure the task is
justified
Applicable
The task is beneficial in
restoring or maintaining
inherent reliability
Probable
Establish the need for
maintenance
• Change to condition-based
• Rewrite task steps
• Accept “fix when failed”
• Extend intervals
• Make conditional vs. calendar-based
p Figure 3. A maintenance task should only be performed if a failure mode is probable and the task is both applicable and reasonable. This decision tree
can be used to evaluate whether a task fulfills these three criteria.
Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
42 www.aiche.org/cep June 2015 CEP
Plant Operations
maintenance actions should address specific modes of asset
failure. Consult with operations and maintenance personnel
to determine the actual failure modes of your plant assets,
rather than their theoretical behavior. This will help you
eliminate needless repair tasks that are aimed at failures that
are not often seen. You must validate that the maintenance
task in question addresses a failure mode that is probable.
• Is the task applicable? If the maintenance task
addresses a probable failure mode, you can then determine
whether that maintenance task will help remedy or mitigate
that failure mode. Before deeming a maintenance task appli-
cable, ask questions such as: Will this task mitigate the risk
to an acceptable level without being intrusive? Will it restore
or maintain the inherent reliability of the asset?
• Is the task reasonable? Finally, if the maintenance task
is beneficial in restoring the equipment’s original reliability
following a failure that is probable, you need to evaluate
whether that task is worth doing based on the consequences
of the failure if it were to occur. Where safety is an issue —
the failure may cause personnel injury — does performing
the action reduce the probability to an acceptable level? If
operational impact rather than safety is the main concern
(e.g., reduced product output), does the action reduce the
risk to an acceptable level? If neither safety nor operations
are at risk, the task is reasonable only if performing the
action costs less than the consequences of the failure.
If the answer to these three questions is yes, then the
maintenance action is warranted. In many cases, one of these
will not be satisfied — indicating that the maintenance task
is not the best way to prevent an asset failure. In these cases,
consider a different maintenance plan.
Allocate personnel and deploy tools
Next, determine the annual workload required to carry
out the maintenance plan. The frequency and complexity of
each task will determine how many man-hours are required
for maintenance each month.
If technology was implemented to optimize an exist-
ing strategy, the total workload might be reduced. In some
cases, the technology may need to be re-allocated from low-­
criticality assets to higher-criticality assets.
Measure success and continuously improve
Your maintenance plan identifies the right assets, the
right activities, and the right timing. Now you can imple-
ment the plan, evaluate its effectiveness, and work toward
continuously improving the maintenance plan and plant
reliability.
For example, after evaluating and redefining its mainte-
nance plan, a plant determines that it is operating at an aver-
age level — production is average, costs are average, and
failures are average. In this case, it would seem that the plant
has achieved its goal of performing the right maintenance on
the right assets at the right time. However, the plant is likely
performing maintenance actions too often. Without further
improvement and evaluation, it may never realize the poten-
tial savings in performing maintenance at longer or optimal
intervals.
If you ask a mechanic doing a maintenance task what he
or she finds each time a monthly task is performed and the
answer is, “Every third inspection, I find some issues,” then
the time interval at which the task is performed is too short
and a change to every two months may be warranted.
This kind of feedback allows you to narrow down the
best time interval for maintenance. By reducing unnecessary
actions, you allow the redeployment of those maintenance
workers to tasks that would otherwise have to be deferred.
Benefits
Unlike capital expenditures that have a 1–2-yr payback,
investments in a revamped reliability program can have a
2:1 to as much as a 7:1 return in the first year alone. These
savings are typically comprised of reductions in overtime,
reductions in equipment expenditures as the emphasis shifts
from scheduled replacements to inspections, and an increase
in throughput due to a decrease in unscheduled downtime.
On an annual basis, the numbers are usually significant.
An optimized maintenance and reliability plan makes the
entire organization part of the solution — as workers at
every level have a role in the evaluation process.
Closing thoughts
Without a plan or process to manage reliability and
maintenance programs, culture change will be impossible.
The real gains from instituting programmatic change are
not only the short-term gains associated with the so-called
low-hanging fruit, but also the long-term gains that come
from changing the way the organization approaches and
deals with maintenance. When you change behavior, you
get a long-lasting and sustainable benefit, which allows you
to continuously improve. Conducting a formal assessment
and evaluation like the one outlined in this article is a good
first step.
Chris Armitage is CEO of The Reliability Optimization Co. (Website:
www.troc79.com; Email: carmitage@troc79.com). He has more than
36 years of experience in maintenance and maintenance-­
related
functions, including 25 years in personnel supervision, project
management, and maintenance engineering. His work has involved
reliability-centered maintenance (RCM), streamlined RCM development
and instruction, development of maintenance reliability systems, and
trouble­
shooting in commercial manufacturing, industrial, and military
environments. The originator of the streamlined RCM process, Armitage
is a published author and frequent speaker at professional confer-
ences. He retired from the U.S. Navy as a Commander, having served as
a helicopter pilot, flight instructor, and aircraft maintenance officer. He
holds a BS in mechanical engineering from the U.S. Naval Academy.
CEP
Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)

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reliability plan.pdf

  • 1. 38 www.aiche.org/cep June 2015 CEP Plant Operations R ather than performing a critical evaluation of their maintenance plans, many companies in the chemical process industries (CPI) replace malfunctioning or dated equipment with the latest technology. However, new technology only enables an ineffective maintenance program to be more efficient at being ineffective. The goal of a main- tenance and reliability program is to deliver a proper balance of maintenance activities — primarily those aimed at iden- tifying impending failures — to allow for timely corrective actions. The optimal maintenance and reliability program for a plant provides the right maintenance on the right assets at the right time. After years of operating, many CPI plants lose track of the main goals of their maintenance program. For example, after experiencing a rare equipment failure, a plant instituted frequent inspections aimed at preventing the recurrence of that failure — a significant burden on the maintenance staff. Thus, the maintenance program changed from one of coordinated and well-thought-out preventive behavior to one of knee-jerk reactionary behavior. By understanding which assets are most important (right assets), what should be done to restore or maintain the inherent reliability of those assets (right maintenance), and at what frequency those actions should be taken (right time), a maintenance organization can become more effective and more efficient — and often reduce costs significantly. This article looks at how plant maintenance organizations in the CPI can re-evaluate and restructure their maintenance and reliability plans to incorporate industry best practices. Establishing or re-establishing a maintenance and reli- ability program involves the following basic steps: 1. Create a snapshot of the organization. 2. Develop a plan and a strategy for implementing it. 3. Prioritize assets within the plant. 4. Define maintenance requirements. 5. Allocate personnel resources. 6. Deploy tools (technology and/or software). 7. Measure success and continuously improve. These actions serve as the building blocks to redefine the plant’s maintenance program and to help build a sustainable proactive organization to minimize costs and improve reli- ability and availability of plant assets. Create a snapshot of the organization To determine how to get to your destination, you need to know where you are beginning. A plant can gauge the current status of its maintenance program in many ways, such as by industry benchmarking, through surveys, or using a trial-and-error approach. One way is to measure performance against a set of best practices, as illustrated by the example in Figure 1. This organization’s performance on 21 elements of a best-practice maintenance program was rated on a scale of 1 to 10, and these ratings were plotted on a spider chart. In this assessment, scores of 8–10 are considered world-class performance. An analysis such as this is typically conducted by a third party, who facilitates a series of interviews with personnel at all levels of the corporation. The evaluator asks ques- tions about each of the elements, documents the answers, compares answers across interviewees, and determines an average rating for each element. The results are compared to An effective reliability program provides the right maintenance on the right assets at the right time. Chris Armitage The Reliability Optimization Co. Develop a Maintenance and Reliability Plan Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
  • 2. CEP June 2015 www.aiche.org/cep 39 a set of standards that has been developed to describe a best- practice organization. This is an excellent way for manage- ment to get feedback on the real issues, both good and bad, affecting the organization’s maintenance program. The facility described by Figure 1 has some room for improvement in its use of work management systems and information integration systems. It seems to have good maintenance and diagnostic technologies in place, but its integration of that information into the identification, plan- ning, scheduling, and execution of work needs improve- ment. With regard to management and work culture, accountability and organizational skills are good, but there is room for improvement in goal setting, global metrics, and developing continuous improvement plans. Finally, more emphasis should be placed on personnel training, which may have a significant positive impact on some of the other areas. The gaps between the plant’s ratings and the values corresponding to world-class performance (gray areas) represent opportunities for improvement. Develop a plan for improvement By focusing on the lower ratings in its snapshot, the organization can develop a plan to close the gaps and raise its performance on key metrics, thereby improving its overall performance. This step may include planning for training, developing and optimizing procedures, improving communications, integrating software systems, realigning organizational structures, reallocating manpower, etc. The plan should rank the plant’s assets based on how critical they are to the business, and then optimize the associated maintenance tasks based on those rankings. The specifics of the plan will depend on the direction and goals of the company. An action plan for the example in Figure 1 might include: • Prioritize all plant assets by assigning each an objective and relative ranking based on what is business-critical to plant operations and asset availability. • Optimize current preventive maintenance (PM) plans based on the relative criticality of assets to support plant availability needs. • Optimize the workflow and define responsibilities for identifying and planning work. • Provide training to enable employees to better utilize the computerized maintenance management system (CMMS) and integrate diagnostic-technology data into the CMMS. • Establish a feedback loop for all work orders to evalu- Utilization Work Processes Technology Expertise Managment and Work Culture Work Order Close-Out Maintenance and Diagnostics Technologies Continuous Improvement Methods Global Metrics and Reporting Plantwide Communications Qualifications/Job Descriptions Departmental Communications Training Benchmarking Goal Setting Leadership Organization Accountability Information Integration Systems Work Management Systems Work Execution Work Scheduling Spare Parts Work Planning Work Identification 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 p Figure 1. To create a snapshot of a plant’s maintenance program, the plant’s current performance is assessed, compared to a set of best practices, and plotted on a spider chart. The gaps between the plant’s rating and the value associated with world-class performance (gray region) represent improvement opportunities. Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
  • 3. 40 www.aiche.org/cep June 2015 CEP Plant Operations ate lessons learned and to help refine standard job plans for continuous improvement. • Develop goals that are aligned with maintenance objec- tives and relevant to the workforce. Make those goals visible to employees. • Provide refresher training to ensure that all personnel have up-to-date skills. Prioritize plant assets The next step is to execute the plan, which typically starts with taking an objective look at the relative critical- ity of assets in a particular area or system. Operations and maintenance personnel should collaborate to define the basic functional systems and the associated assets (or group of assets) that work together to achieve a specific function. Fortunately, much of this work is often completed as part of a CMMS implementation. One way to prioritize plant assets for maintenance is to assign a reliabiltiy optimization ranking (ROR) to each asset, as shown in Figure 2. This method starts by determining the system-criticality ranking (SCR) of each subsystem based on the impact its failure would have on safety, the environment, annual repair costs, product throughput, and product quality. The SCR is an average of these five factors, and is a number from 1 to 10, with 10 being the most critical subsystem (fail- ure would have a big impact) and 1 being the least critical (failure would have little to no impact) to plant output. Then, determine the production-­ criticality ranking (PCR) of each asset within the subsystem. The PCR is the impact the asset has on the function of its parent system. This will help you define where you have single-­ point failures in your plant (versus redundancy). The PCR is a ranking between 1 and 10, with 10 being an asset with high criticality to the functioning of its parent system. Next, calculate the business-criticality ranking (BCR) of each asset by multiplying the subsystem’s SCR by the asset’s PCR. After a functional failure occurs, the BCR will enable you to prioritize repair work. The assets with the highest BCR values should be repaired first. The assets that rank highest on the BCR list might not be the assets that require the most maintenance. Not all assets have the same likelihood of failure. Before making an investment to prevent a failure, you need to understand where the highest probability of failure lies. One way to measure this is to evaluate where you are currently spend- ing your resources in an effort to prevent failures through inspection, preemptive change-out, or other maintenance activities. Also consider the frequency of failures of equip- Divide Into Subsystems x Asset Production-Criticality Ranking (1–10) Subsystem System-Criticality Ranking (1–10) Asset Business-Criticality Ranking (1–100) Asset Failure Likelihood Factor (1–10) Asset Reliability-Optimization Ranking (1–1,000) Step 1: Divide each parent system into subsystems Step 2: Determine the system-criticality ranking (SCR) for each subsystem Step 3: Determine the production-criticality ranking (PCR) for each asset Step 5: Determine the asset’s failure likelihood factor (AFLF) x Step 4: Multiply the SCR and PCR to yield the business-criticality ranking (BCR) for each asset Step 6: Multiply the BCR and AFLF to determine the reliability-optimization ranking Equals Equals Subsystem System-Criticality Ranking (1–10) Asset Business-Criticality Ranking (1–100) Evaluate the subsystem’s effect on: • Process Throughput • Repair Cost • Product Quality • Safety • Regulatory Compliance p Figure 2. To develop an objective criticality ranking, first divide the plant area of concern into subsystems. Then, determine the system-criticality ranking (SCR) of each subsystem based on the impact its failure would have on attributes such as process throughput, repair cost, product quality, safety, and regula- tory compliance. To compute the production-criticality ranking (PCR), rank the asset’s effect on the subsystem on a scale of one to ten. The product of the SCR and the PCR is the business-criticality ranking (BCR). The BCR is the prime metric used to prioritize repair actions after a failure has already occurred. Multiply the BCR by the asset’s failure likelihood factor (AFLF) to calculate the asset’s reliability optimization ranking (ROR). The ROR indicates where to start optimizing maintenance strategies. Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
  • 4. CEP June 2015 www.aiche.org/cep 41 ment that is not subject to scheduled preventive action. By considering these factors, you can determine the asset failure likelihood factor (AFLF). For each asset, assign an AFLF ranking from 1 to 10. Multiplying the BCR by the AFLF for each asset yields the reliability optimization ranking (ROR). You can then use the ROR to prioritize assets and identify the best opportuni- ties for optimizing preventive maintenance strategies. Define maintenance requirements To ensure that you have a viable maintenance strategy, first examine the scheduled maintenance activities that are currently being performed. Make sure there is an appropriate balance of conditional inspections, pre-emptive replace- ments, monitoring technology applications, and/or run-to- failure strategies based on observed asset behavior. To determine the need to perform a maintenance activity, you need to take an objective look at why you would per- form a task. Objective evidence of need is crucial to defining a correct strategy. United Airlines was one of the first companies to establish a method to define maintenance needs in order to create a viable maintenance plan. In the late 1960s, with the introduction of the Boeing 747, the airline industry needed to re-evaluate its maintenance philosophy. At that time, most maintenance involved replacing components based on the number of hours flown. However, as aircraft became increas- ingly complex, this approach was not economically feasible. United Airlines formed a committee to determine the reasons to do — or not to do —maintenance. The committee devel- oped a single statement that explained why maintenance is performed: “We do maintenance because hardware reliabil- ity degrades with age, but we can do something to restore or maintain the original reliability that pays for itself.” Within this statement are three hypotheses: • Hypothesis 1: Hardware reliability is known to degrade with age. • Hypothesis 2: Maintenance tasks can restore or main- tain original reliability. • Hypothesis 3: Maintenance pays for itself (i.e., the value of the maintenance exceeds its cost). These three hypotheses explain why maintenance is done, and they eventually led to the development of reliability-­ centered maintenance (RCM). The underlying principle of RCM is that a certain maintenance task should be performed only if the hardware is degrading (i.e., a failure is probable), the task is applicable to the potential failure mode, and it is a reasonable task. Before starting mainte- nance, ask the following three questions (Figure 3): • Is a failure probable? According to RCM principles, all Identify Failure Mode Does this condition actually occur during the equipment’s service life? Wrong Condition No Yes Design New Task No Task What type of task is it? Does the task correctly address the failure mode? Task is not applicable Task is applicable Is the task reasonable? Task is not reasonable Task is reasonable Schedule and perform task Reasonable Ensure the task is justified Applicable The task is beneficial in restoring or maintaining inherent reliability Probable Establish the need for maintenance • Change to condition-based • Rewrite task steps • Accept “fix when failed” • Extend intervals • Make conditional vs. calendar-based p Figure 3. A maintenance task should only be performed if a failure mode is probable and the task is both applicable and reasonable. This decision tree can be used to evaluate whether a task fulfills these three criteria. Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
  • 5. 42 www.aiche.org/cep June 2015 CEP Plant Operations maintenance actions should address specific modes of asset failure. Consult with operations and maintenance personnel to determine the actual failure modes of your plant assets, rather than their theoretical behavior. This will help you eliminate needless repair tasks that are aimed at failures that are not often seen. You must validate that the maintenance task in question addresses a failure mode that is probable. • Is the task applicable? If the maintenance task addresses a probable failure mode, you can then determine whether that maintenance task will help remedy or mitigate that failure mode. Before deeming a maintenance task appli- cable, ask questions such as: Will this task mitigate the risk to an acceptable level without being intrusive? Will it restore or maintain the inherent reliability of the asset? • Is the task reasonable? Finally, if the maintenance task is beneficial in restoring the equipment’s original reliability following a failure that is probable, you need to evaluate whether that task is worth doing based on the consequences of the failure if it were to occur. Where safety is an issue — the failure may cause personnel injury — does performing the action reduce the probability to an acceptable level? If operational impact rather than safety is the main concern (e.g., reduced product output), does the action reduce the risk to an acceptable level? If neither safety nor operations are at risk, the task is reasonable only if performing the action costs less than the consequences of the failure. If the answer to these three questions is yes, then the maintenance action is warranted. In many cases, one of these will not be satisfied — indicating that the maintenance task is not the best way to prevent an asset failure. In these cases, consider a different maintenance plan. Allocate personnel and deploy tools Next, determine the annual workload required to carry out the maintenance plan. The frequency and complexity of each task will determine how many man-hours are required for maintenance each month. If technology was implemented to optimize an exist- ing strategy, the total workload might be reduced. In some cases, the technology may need to be re-allocated from low-­ criticality assets to higher-criticality assets. Measure success and continuously improve Your maintenance plan identifies the right assets, the right activities, and the right timing. Now you can imple- ment the plan, evaluate its effectiveness, and work toward continuously improving the maintenance plan and plant reliability. For example, after evaluating and redefining its mainte- nance plan, a plant determines that it is operating at an aver- age level — production is average, costs are average, and failures are average. In this case, it would seem that the plant has achieved its goal of performing the right maintenance on the right assets at the right time. However, the plant is likely performing maintenance actions too often. Without further improvement and evaluation, it may never realize the poten- tial savings in performing maintenance at longer or optimal intervals. If you ask a mechanic doing a maintenance task what he or she finds each time a monthly task is performed and the answer is, “Every third inspection, I find some issues,” then the time interval at which the task is performed is too short and a change to every two months may be warranted. This kind of feedback allows you to narrow down the best time interval for maintenance. By reducing unnecessary actions, you allow the redeployment of those maintenance workers to tasks that would otherwise have to be deferred. Benefits Unlike capital expenditures that have a 1–2-yr payback, investments in a revamped reliability program can have a 2:1 to as much as a 7:1 return in the first year alone. These savings are typically comprised of reductions in overtime, reductions in equipment expenditures as the emphasis shifts from scheduled replacements to inspections, and an increase in throughput due to a decrease in unscheduled downtime. On an annual basis, the numbers are usually significant. An optimized maintenance and reliability plan makes the entire organization part of the solution — as workers at every level have a role in the evaluation process. Closing thoughts Without a plan or process to manage reliability and maintenance programs, culture change will be impossible. The real gains from instituting programmatic change are not only the short-term gains associated with the so-called low-hanging fruit, but also the long-term gains that come from changing the way the organization approaches and deals with maintenance. When you change behavior, you get a long-lasting and sustainable benefit, which allows you to continuously improve. Conducting a formal assessment and evaluation like the one outlined in this article is a good first step. Chris Armitage is CEO of The Reliability Optimization Co. (Website: www.troc79.com; Email: carmitage@troc79.com). He has more than 36 years of experience in maintenance and maintenance-­ related functions, including 25 years in personnel supervision, project management, and maintenance engineering. His work has involved reliability-centered maintenance (RCM), streamlined RCM development and instruction, development of maintenance reliability systems, and trouble­ shooting in commercial manufacturing, industrial, and military environments. The originator of the streamlined RCM process, Armitage is a published author and frequent speaker at professional confer- ences. He retired from the U.S. Navy as a Commander, having served as a helicopter pilot, flight instructor, and aircraft maintenance officer. He holds a BS in mechanical engineering from the U.S. Naval Academy. CEP Copyright © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)