The Reformation and Millennials: 
What Does This Mean? 
{ 
Sarah Arnold 
29 October 2014
Brief History of the 
Reformation
Who?
What?
When?
Where?
How?
To expose the teachings of the Catholic Church on… 
 The selling of indulgences 
 Purgatory 
 Particular judgment 
 The authority of the Pope 
Why?
Johannes Tietzel
Indulgence
St. Peter’s Basilica, Rome
Pope Leo X
Archbishop of Mainz
When a coin…
Johannes Tietzel
 Luther wanted an academic debate 
 The translation of the 95 Theses into German set 
off a firestorm 
 The impact was much broader than just 
theological 
Why does this matter?
 Immense increase in literacy 
 Drastic change in church services 
 Expanded educational opportunities for all 
(including women and children) 
 Opening Scripture to laymen 
 Emphasis on marriage and the family 
Cultural
Cultural
Cultural
 Europe became politically fragmented along 
religious lines 
 Rejection of religious “authorities” by monarchs 
 Many citizens challenging the idea of “divine 
right” of monarchs 
 Secularization of politics (separation of church 
and state) 
 Weakening of the Holy Roman Empire and rise of 
the nation-states 
 A lot of wars 
 Rise of Capitalism 
Economic and Political
 Rise of individualism—economic, political, and 
social 
 Encouragement of intellectualism and the 
renaissance 
 Strengthened middle class 
 Poor classes began to demand reforms for 
themselves 
 Rise of a more democratic vs. feudal form of 
government across Europe 
Social
The Role of Church in Politics
Three Estates
Left-hand Kingdom Right-hand Kingdom 
Kingdom of Man (State) Kingdom of God (Church) 
Law Gospel 
Sword: Internal and External Word, no sword 
Power Grace 
Exists for Order and Justice Exists for Mercy 
External Righteousness Internal Righteousness 
Realm of Morals Realm of Faith 
Ruled by Reason Ruled by Scripture 
Two Kingdoms Theology
Millennials
Millennials in the Church
Millennials in the Church
Millennials in the Church
Millennials in the Church
 Most millennials (51%) believe in economic 
freedom, limited taxes and government, and 
entrepreneurialism 
 Most millennials (62%) believe in “social justice” 
and consider themselves “liberal” on social issues 
 In other words… most millennials could be 
considered libertarian… in fact, 53% said they 
would vote for a fiscally conservative, socially 
liberal candidate 
 Millennials weight social issues as a higher 
priority than fiscal issues – that’s where our battle 
lies 
Millennials in Politics
Millennials in Politics
Battle for Millennials
Messaging in Politics
 Don’t talk down 
 Don’t “know-it-all” 
 Don’t pander 
 Don’t be inconsistent 
 Don’t be a hypocrite 
 Remember: Millennials are the first generation to 
grow up with microtargeted advertisement from a 
very young age – they know how to spot BS when 
they hear it 
Messaging to Millennials
 Do be honest 
 Do be upfront 
 Do be concise 
 Do appeal to both sides of the brain 
 Do stand your ground 
 Do realize you aren’t going to change someone’s 
opinion on the first contact or overnight 
 Do build credibility by building a relationship 
Messaging to Millennials
 Do not start out by talking about religion – social 
issues are moral issues first, not necessarily faith 
issues. 
 Ask questions first – and listen. You’ll surprise 
them. Millennials want to be heard and 
understood. 
 Understand that millennials’ education has been 
drastically more liberal than previous generations. 
 Understand that millennials are accustomed to 
instant gratification. 
How to Talk Social Issues
 Access to information is much more readily 
available to millennials than any other generation 
before. 
 Be ready and willing to agree to disagree, and not 
argue minutia. Go in with the understanding that 
you will not come out with 100% agreement. 
 Follow up. Planting seeds now can reap 
significant fruits in 1, 5, or even 10 years. 
 This is the narcissistic generation. Convincing 
them that they are wrong is a long-term project. 
How to Talk Social Issues
What Does This Mean?
New (Political) Reformation
“People of your sort are 
hirelings, dumb dogs unable 
to bark, who see the wolf 
coming and flee or, rather, 
join up with the wolf.” 
{ Rev. Dr. Martin Luther 
Against Latomus
“You moderate enforcer and 
eulogizer of moderation. You are 
one of those bloody and deceitful 
people who affect modesty in words 
and appearance, but who meanwhile 
breathe out threats and blood.” 
{ Rev. Dr. Martin Luther 
Against Latomus
“Your words are so foolishly 
and ignorantly composed 
that I cannot believe you 
understood them.” 
{ Rev. Dr. Martin Luther 
Explanations of the 95 Theses
“If you who are assembled in a council are 
so frivolous and irresponsible as to waste 
time and money on unnecessary questions, 
when it is the business of the council to deal 
only with the important and necessary 
matters, we should not only refuse to obey 
you, but consider you insane or criminals.” 
{ Rev. Dr. Martin Luther 
Defense and Explanation of All the 
Articles
Questions??
Election Predictions
 48 points of data in 15 categories per district 
 15 categories condensed into one number: District 
Rating 
 7 point scale: 
 1 = Democratic Party Pick-up 
 2 = Strong Democratic Party Performance 
 3 = Leans Democratic Party 
 4 = Toss-up 
 5 = Leans Republican Party 
 6 = Strong Republican Party Performance 
 7 = Republican Party Pick-up 
Methodology
 Polling 
 Money raised 
 Total registered voters 
 Active registered voters 
 Past district performance 
 Unique circumstances in 2014 
Methodology
 101 total seats up in 2014 
 1 – 2 
 2 – 34 
 3 – 12 
 4 – 13 (2 no call / 5 leans R / 6 leans D) 
 5 – 6 
 6 – 35 
 7 – 0 
Overall Numbers
Fun with Numbers 
 97% 
 96% 
 83% 
 38% 
 77% 
 57% 
Accuracy of this model in predicting results in 2012 
Republican candidates (4) 
Democratic candidates (17) 
3rd Party candidates (63) 
3rd Party in competitive seats (10) 
3rd Party in non-statewide/congressional competitive seats (4)
 All Statewide (Gov, US Senate, AG, SoS, 
Treasurer) – 3D/2R 
 Congressional District 6 – no call 
 State Senate Districts 5, 16, 19, 20, 24 – 1 no 
call/1R/3D 
 State House Districts 47, 59 – 2R 
Toss-up Seats
 Statewide: 3D/2R (one loss) 
 Congressional: 3D/3R/1TU (no change/one loss) 
 CU Regents: 5R/4D (no change) 
 State Board of Education: 4R/3D (no change) 
 State Senate: 18D/16R/1TU (no change/one loss) 
 State House: 36D/29R (gain of one) 
Overall Results Predictions
 Supreme Court 
 Justice Boatright: RETAIN 
 Justice Marquez: NOT RETAIN 
 Appeals Court 
 Judge Fox: NOT RETAIN 
 Judge Loeb: NOT RETAIN 
Judicial Recommendations
 Amendment 67: no recommendation 
 Amendment 68: NO 
 Proposition 104: YES 
 Proposition 105: NO 
Ballot Initiative 
Recommendations
Questions??
Sarah Arnold 
 Phone: (719) 640-6534 
 Email: politicsinthetrenches@gmail.com 
 Web: www.politicalpessimist.com 
 Facebook: Sarah Marie Arnold 
 Twitter: @smarnold89 
Contact Me!

Reformation and Millennials: What Does This Mean?

  • 1.
    The Reformation andMillennials: What Does This Mean? { Sarah Arnold 29 October 2014
  • 2.
    Brief History ofthe Reformation
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
    To expose theteachings of the Catholic Church on…  The selling of indulgences  Purgatory  Particular judgment  The authority of the Pope Why?
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
     Luther wantedan academic debate  The translation of the 95 Theses into German set off a firestorm  The impact was much broader than just theological Why does this matter?
  • 17.
     Immense increasein literacy  Drastic change in church services  Expanded educational opportunities for all (including women and children)  Opening Scripture to laymen  Emphasis on marriage and the family Cultural
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
     Europe becamepolitically fragmented along religious lines  Rejection of religious “authorities” by monarchs  Many citizens challenging the idea of “divine right” of monarchs  Secularization of politics (separation of church and state)  Weakening of the Holy Roman Empire and rise of the nation-states  A lot of wars  Rise of Capitalism Economic and Political
  • 21.
     Rise ofindividualism—economic, political, and social  Encouragement of intellectualism and the renaissance  Strengthened middle class  Poor classes began to demand reforms for themselves  Rise of a more democratic vs. feudal form of government across Europe Social
  • 22.
    The Role ofChurch in Politics
  • 23.
  • 24.
    Left-hand Kingdom Right-handKingdom Kingdom of Man (State) Kingdom of God (Church) Law Gospel Sword: Internal and External Word, no sword Power Grace Exists for Order and Justice Exists for Mercy External Righteousness Internal Righteousness Realm of Morals Realm of Faith Ruled by Reason Ruled by Scripture Two Kingdoms Theology
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
     Most millennials(51%) believe in economic freedom, limited taxes and government, and entrepreneurialism  Most millennials (62%) believe in “social justice” and consider themselves “liberal” on social issues  In other words… most millennials could be considered libertarian… in fact, 53% said they would vote for a fiscally conservative, socially liberal candidate  Millennials weight social issues as a higher priority than fiscal issues – that’s where our battle lies Millennials in Politics
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
     Don’t talkdown  Don’t “know-it-all”  Don’t pander  Don’t be inconsistent  Don’t be a hypocrite  Remember: Millennials are the first generation to grow up with microtargeted advertisement from a very young age – they know how to spot BS when they hear it Messaging to Millennials
  • 35.
     Do behonest  Do be upfront  Do be concise  Do appeal to both sides of the brain  Do stand your ground  Do realize you aren’t going to change someone’s opinion on the first contact or overnight  Do build credibility by building a relationship Messaging to Millennials
  • 36.
     Do notstart out by talking about religion – social issues are moral issues first, not necessarily faith issues.  Ask questions first – and listen. You’ll surprise them. Millennials want to be heard and understood.  Understand that millennials’ education has been drastically more liberal than previous generations.  Understand that millennials are accustomed to instant gratification. How to Talk Social Issues
  • 37.
     Access toinformation is much more readily available to millennials than any other generation before.  Be ready and willing to agree to disagree, and not argue minutia. Go in with the understanding that you will not come out with 100% agreement.  Follow up. Planting seeds now can reap significant fruits in 1, 5, or even 10 years.  This is the narcissistic generation. Convincing them that they are wrong is a long-term project. How to Talk Social Issues
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
    “People of yoursort are hirelings, dumb dogs unable to bark, who see the wolf coming and flee or, rather, join up with the wolf.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Against Latomus
  • 41.
    “You moderate enforcerand eulogizer of moderation. You are one of those bloody and deceitful people who affect modesty in words and appearance, but who meanwhile breathe out threats and blood.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Against Latomus
  • 42.
    “Your words areso foolishly and ignorantly composed that I cannot believe you understood them.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Explanations of the 95 Theses
  • 43.
    “If you whoare assembled in a council are so frivolous and irresponsible as to waste time and money on unnecessary questions, when it is the business of the council to deal only with the important and necessary matters, we should not only refuse to obey you, but consider you insane or criminals.” { Rev. Dr. Martin Luther Defense and Explanation of All the Articles
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
     48 pointsof data in 15 categories per district  15 categories condensed into one number: District Rating  7 point scale:  1 = Democratic Party Pick-up  2 = Strong Democratic Party Performance  3 = Leans Democratic Party  4 = Toss-up  5 = Leans Republican Party  6 = Strong Republican Party Performance  7 = Republican Party Pick-up Methodology
  • 47.
     Polling Money raised  Total registered voters  Active registered voters  Past district performance  Unique circumstances in 2014 Methodology
  • 48.
     101 totalseats up in 2014  1 – 2  2 – 34  3 – 12  4 – 13 (2 no call / 5 leans R / 6 leans D)  5 – 6  6 – 35  7 – 0 Overall Numbers
  • 49.
    Fun with Numbers  97%  96%  83%  38%  77%  57% Accuracy of this model in predicting results in 2012 Republican candidates (4) Democratic candidates (17) 3rd Party candidates (63) 3rd Party in competitive seats (10) 3rd Party in non-statewide/congressional competitive seats (4)
  • 50.
     All Statewide(Gov, US Senate, AG, SoS, Treasurer) – 3D/2R  Congressional District 6 – no call  State Senate Districts 5, 16, 19, 20, 24 – 1 no call/1R/3D  State House Districts 47, 59 – 2R Toss-up Seats
  • 51.
     Statewide: 3D/2R(one loss)  Congressional: 3D/3R/1TU (no change/one loss)  CU Regents: 5R/4D (no change)  State Board of Education: 4R/3D (no change)  State Senate: 18D/16R/1TU (no change/one loss)  State House: 36D/29R (gain of one) Overall Results Predictions
  • 52.
     Supreme Court  Justice Boatright: RETAIN  Justice Marquez: NOT RETAIN  Appeals Court  Judge Fox: NOT RETAIN  Judge Loeb: NOT RETAIN Judicial Recommendations
  • 53.
     Amendment 67:no recommendation  Amendment 68: NO  Proposition 104: YES  Proposition 105: NO Ballot Initiative Recommendations
  • 54.
  • 55.
    Sarah Arnold Phone: (719) 640-6534  Email: politicsinthetrenches@gmail.com  Web: www.politicalpessimist.com  Facebook: Sarah Marie Arnold  Twitter: @smarnold89 Contact Me!