V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




REBOOT 2020
 Sander Duivestein
INFORMATION IS EVERYWHERE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INFORMATION is the new EMOTION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    0
INTRODUCTION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




@duivestein
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 We are all interested in the FUTURE       , for that is
where you and I are going to spend the rest of our lives.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    1
ME THE MEDIA
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




RISE of the CONVERSATION SOCIETY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1440
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1605
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1840
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1875
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1880
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1895
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1906
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1946
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1979
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1989
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2001
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2007
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2009
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2010
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2010
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2011
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




TECHNOLOGY accelerates SOCIETY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




TIMES are CHANGING
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




DANGER is LURING
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 the single most frequent failure in the history of
forecasting has been grossly underestimating the
    IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




RESISTANCE is FUTILE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




We are moving from the MECHANICAL
                                AGE OF
SPEED into the DIGITAL AGE OF REAL TIME.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




MARKETS are CONVERSATIONS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




from   MASS MEDIA to MEDIA MESS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




           2
COLLABORATION IN THE CLOUD
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




the web is the new   OPERATING SYSTEM
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




VALUE CHAIN 2.0
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




NEW NATURE of the FIRM
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




It is not the strongest of
the species that
survives, nor the most
intelligent that survives.
It is the one that is
MOST ADAPTABLE TO
CHANGE.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    3
DON’T BE EVIL
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




Water    1768   1793   1829
Steam    1829   1848   1873
Oil      1875   1893   1918
Energy   1908   1929   1974
ICT      1971   2008     ?
NBIC
GDP
                                               ICT
                                   Energy
                                                       6
                          Oil
                                               5
                                       4
           Steam
                          3            1971
Water
               2                1908

  1                1875
                                   Atoms      Bits
        1829
1771
                                                     Time
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




from   ATOMS to BITS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




DATA is the NEW OIL
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




from   SCARCITY to ABUNDANCE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




FREE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




AGE of ACCESS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




   4
WE THE WEB
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




FUTURE of the WEB
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




4.74 DEGREES of SEPARATION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




DIGITAL FOOTPRINT
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INTERNET OF THINGS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




BIG DATA
WEB OF PAGES   WEB OF PEOPLE   WEB OF THE WORLD
 LINK GRAPH    SOCIAL GRAPH     INTEREST GRAPH
   GOOGLE        FACEBOOK          TWITTER
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




HUMANIZATION of the web
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




from   NOISE to SIGNAL
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




QUANTIFIED SELF
DIKW+ HIERARCHY

                                        ENLIGHTENMENT    HOW CAN I MAKE IT HAPPEN?
UNDERSTANDING  CONTEXT



                              FUTURE
                                           WISDOM        WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN?
                          REALTIME
                          / PRESENT       KNOWLEDGE      WHAT IS HAPPENING?


                                         INFORMATION     WHY DID IT HAPPEN?
                              PAST




                                            DATA         WHAT HAPPENED?
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




PREDICTING the FUTURE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




FRICTIONLESS SHARING
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    5
THE DARK SIDE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




THE DARK SIDE OF SOCIAL MEDIA
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




PRIVACY is the new ATOMIC BOMB
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




PRIVACY is the new CURRENCY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




REALTIME is the new PRIME TIME
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




CITIZEN JOURNALISM
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




ATTENTION is SCARCE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




SNACK ECONOMY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INFORMATION OVERLOAD
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




                    FREEZE
Our overloaded brains
when we have to make decisions.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




MEMORY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 A squirrel dying in front of your house may be
MORE RELEVANT TO YOUR INTERESTS
     right now than people dying in Africa.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




FILTER BUBBLE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




ALONE TOGETHER
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 6
POST-PC
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




THE POST-PC ERA
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INFORMATION at your FINGERTIPS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




HUMAN BODY is the CONTROLLER
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




BRAIN INTERFACES
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




LAST GENERATION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




     7
THE APP EFFECT
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




EVERYONE IS ADDICTED IN 2020
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INFORMATION is the new HARD DRUG
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INFORMATION is the new RELIGION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




       8
AUGMENTED HUMANITY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




WHO IS IN CONTROL?
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




We shape our tools and thereafter
OUR TOOLS SHAPE US
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




HOMO HABILIS      HOMO ERECTUS         HOMO SAPIENS



         650 CC              1075 CC                1425 CC

  2.500.000       1.800.000 – 70.000     250.000
    Tools                Fire            Speech
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




THE RIGHT BRAIN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




  All media are extensions of some human faculty.
Mental or physical. The wheel is an extension of the
foot. Book is an extension of the eye. Clothing is an
     extension of the skin. Electric circuitry is an
    extension of the central nervous system. The
  extension of anyone's sense, displaces the other
  senses and alters the way we think. The way we
 see the world and ourselves. When these changes
               are made, men change.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




TECHNOLOGY is an EXTENSION OF MAN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INFORMATION gets under your SKIN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




SINGULARITY is NEAR
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




   9
CONCLUSION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




PEOPLE of the SCREEN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INNOVATE and EXPERIMENT
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




QUESTIONS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




@duivestein
+31 6 250 260 20
  vint.sogeti.nl

Reboot 2020

  • 1.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends REBOOT 2020 Sander Duivestein
  • 2.
  • 3.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INFORMATION is the new EMOTION
  • 4.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 0 INTRODUCTION
  • 5.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends @duivestein
  • 6.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 7.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 8.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We are all interested in the FUTURE , for that is where you and I are going to spend the rest of our lives.
  • 9.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1 ME THE MEDIA
  • 10.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends RISE of the CONVERSATION SOCIETY
  • 11.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1440
  • 12.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1605
  • 13.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1840
  • 14.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1875
  • 15.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1880
  • 16.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1895
  • 17.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1906
  • 18.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1946
  • 19.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1979
  • 20.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1989
  • 21.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2001
  • 22.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2007
  • 23.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2009
  • 24.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2010
  • 25.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2010
  • 26.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2011
  • 27.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends TECHNOLOGY accelerates SOCIETY
  • 28.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends TIMES are CHANGING
  • 29.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends DANGER is LURING
  • 30.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends the single most frequent failure in the history of forecasting has been grossly underestimating the IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES
  • 31.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends RESISTANCE is FUTILE
  • 32.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We are moving from the MECHANICAL AGE OF SPEED into the DIGITAL AGE OF REAL TIME.
  • 33.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends MARKETS are CONVERSATIONS
  • 34.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends from MASS MEDIA to MEDIA MESS
  • 35.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2 COLLABORATION IN THE CLOUD
  • 36.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 37.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends the web is the new OPERATING SYSTEM
  • 38.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends VALUE CHAIN 2.0
  • 39.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends NEW NATURE of the FIRM
  • 40.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 41.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is MOST ADAPTABLE TO CHANGE.
  • 42.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 3 DON’T BE EVIL
  • 43.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends Water 1768 1793 1829 Steam 1829 1848 1873 Oil 1875 1893 1918 Energy 1908 1929 1974 ICT 1971 2008 ?
  • 44.
    NBIC GDP ICT Energy 6 Oil 5 4 Steam 3 1971 Water 2 1908 1 1875 Atoms Bits 1829 1771 Time
  • 45.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends from ATOMS to BITS
  • 46.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends DATA is the NEW OIL
  • 47.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends from SCARCITY to ABUNDANCE
  • 49.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends FREE
  • 50.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends AGE of ACCESS
  • 51.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 4 WE THE WEB
  • 52.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends FUTURE of the WEB
  • 53.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 4.74 DEGREES of SEPARATION
  • 54.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends DIGITAL FOOTPRINT
  • 55.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INTERNET OF THINGS
  • 56.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends BIG DATA
  • 58.
    WEB OF PAGES WEB OF PEOPLE WEB OF THE WORLD LINK GRAPH SOCIAL GRAPH INTEREST GRAPH GOOGLE FACEBOOK TWITTER
  • 59.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends HUMANIZATION of the web
  • 60.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends from NOISE to SIGNAL
  • 61.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 62.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends QUANTIFIED SELF
  • 63.
    DIKW+ HIERARCHY ENLIGHTENMENT HOW CAN I MAKE IT HAPPEN? UNDERSTANDING CONTEXT FUTURE WISDOM WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN? REALTIME / PRESENT KNOWLEDGE WHAT IS HAPPENING? INFORMATION WHY DID IT HAPPEN? PAST DATA WHAT HAPPENED?
  • 64.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends PREDICTING the FUTURE
  • 65.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends FRICTIONLESS SHARING
  • 66.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 5 THE DARK SIDE
  • 67.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends THE DARK SIDE OF SOCIAL MEDIA
  • 68.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends PRIVACY is the new ATOMIC BOMB
  • 69.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends PRIVACY is the new CURRENCY
  • 70.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends REALTIME is the new PRIME TIME
  • 71.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends CITIZEN JOURNALISM
  • 72.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 73.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 74.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 75.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 76.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends ATTENTION is SCARCE
  • 77.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends SNACK ECONOMY
  • 78.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INFORMATION OVERLOAD
  • 79.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends FREEZE Our overloaded brains when we have to make decisions.
  • 80.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends MEMORY
  • 81.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends A squirrel dying in front of your house may be MORE RELEVANT TO YOUR INTERESTS right now than people dying in Africa.
  • 82.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends FILTER BUBBLE
  • 83.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 84.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends ALONE TOGETHER
  • 86.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 6 POST-PC
  • 87.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends THE POST-PC ERA
  • 88.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INFORMATION at your FINGERTIPS
  • 89.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends HUMAN BODY is the CONTROLLER
  • 90.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends BRAIN INTERFACES
  • 91.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends LAST GENERATION
  • 92.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 7 THE APP EFFECT
  • 93.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends EVERYONE IS ADDICTED IN 2020
  • 94.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INFORMATION is the new HARD DRUG
  • 96.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INFORMATION is the new RELIGION
  • 97.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 8 AUGMENTED HUMANITY
  • 98.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends WHO IS IN CONTROL?
  • 99.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We shape our tools and thereafter OUR TOOLS SHAPE US
  • 100.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends HOMO HABILIS HOMO ERECTUS HOMO SAPIENS 650 CC 1075 CC 1425 CC 2.500.000 1.800.000 – 70.000 250.000 Tools Fire Speech
  • 101.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends THE RIGHT BRAIN
  • 102.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends All media are extensions of some human faculty. Mental or physical. The wheel is an extension of the foot. Book is an extension of the eye. Clothing is an extension of the skin. Electric circuitry is an extension of the central nervous system. The extension of anyone's sense, displaces the other senses and alters the way we think. The way we see the world and ourselves. When these changes are made, men change.
  • 103.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends TECHNOLOGY is an EXTENSION OF MAN
  • 104.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 105.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INFORMATION gets under your SKIN
  • 106.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends SINGULARITY is NEAR
  • 107.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 9 CONCLUSION
  • 108.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends PEOPLE of the SCREEN
  • 109.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INNOVATE and EXPERIMENT
  • 110.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends QUESTIONS
  • 111.
    V I NT | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends @duivestein +31 6 250 260 20 vint.sogeti.nl