QE2, PIIGs, €, Bailouts Community

QE2, PIIGS, €, Bailouts Community Session Arturo Bris

President Obama’s Problems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Problem 1: Money stays hidden under the mattress

Problem 2: Unemployment at Historical Records United States – Unemployment Rate October 2008 – October 2010 Seasonality Adjusted Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Guess which country ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],190% 126% 120% 110% 65% 55%

Look at the problem ,[object Object],[object Object]

Look at the problem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Abricotine – Red Bull The worst possible combination ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Abricotine – Red Bull The worst possible combination ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Abricotine – Red Bull Real Interest Rates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Abricotine – Red Bull Real Interest rates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Dollar and Euro on November 2, 2010

Interest Rates on November 2, 2010

Solution “Quantitative Easing 2” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Solution “Quantitative Easing 2” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

QE2 Why more inflation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

How Is QE2 Implemented? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What is good for McDonalds is good for America ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What Does Germany Want? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The Cost of Public Debt in PIIGS

What do they have in common? We are all PIIGS!!!

But not all PIIGS are the same!!! Eurovision Song Contest ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Points Given by Germany to: Portugal: 6 Greece: 8 Ireland: 2 Spain: 0 Ireland: 8 Spain: 10

The PIIGS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The Euro under Attack!!! ,[object Object],[object Object]

The Euro under Attack!!! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What about Switzerland? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What about Switzerland? Source: www.tradingeconomics.com

The Swiss Franc Source: Datastream

The Swiss Franc Source: Datastream The graph shows the price of CHF100 converted into Euros, then from Euros into Dollars, and from Dollars back into Swiss Francs. Red lines represent confidence intervals.

What to do with our money ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Gloomy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Potential Scenarios Scenario 2: Scary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Potential Scenarios Scenario 2: Scary Financial Times, December 1, 2010

Potential Scenarios Scenario 3: Armageddon ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],Potential Scenarios Scenario 4: The Planet of the Apes Source: Icelandic Statistical Service

Conclusion: Who is going to pay for the crisis? Stewart? Willem? Pepijn?

QE2, PIIGs, €, Bailouts Community

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